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At least 451 records · Page 25

Evaluating proxies for the drivers of natural gas productivity using machine-learning models

We report the extensive development of unconventional reservoirs using horizontal drilling and multistage hydraulic fracturing has generated large volumes of reservoir characterization and production data. The analysis of this abundant data using statistical methods and advanced machine-learning (ML) techniques can provide data-driven insights into well performance. Most predictive modeling studies have focused on the impact that different well completion and stimulation strategies have on well production but have not fully exploited the available in situ rock property data to determine its role in reservoir productivity. We have used machine-learning techniques to rank rock mechanical properties, microseismic attributes, and stimulation parameters in the order of their significance for predicting natural gas production from an unconventional reservoir. The data for this study came from a hydraulically fractured well in the Marcellus Shale in Monongalia County, West Virginia. The data classes included measurements aggregated by well completion stage that included (1) gas production, (2) well-log-derived measurements including bulk density, elastic moduli, shear impedance, compressional impedance, brittleness, and gamma measurements, (3) microseismic attributes, (4) long-period long-duration (LPLD) event counts, (5) fracture counts, and (6) stimulation parameters that included the fluid injection volume and average pumping pressure. To identify observable proxies for the drivers of gas production, we evaluated five commonly used ML approaches including multivariate adaptive regression spline, Gaussian mixture model, random forest, gradient boosting, and neural network. We selected five variables including LPLD event count, seismogenic b-value, hydraulic diffusivity, cumulative moment, and fluid volume as the features most likely to impact gas productivity at the stage level in the study area. The data-driven selection of these parameters for their importance in determining gas production can help reservoir engineers design more effective hydraulic-fracture treatments in the Marcellus Shale and other similar unconventional reservoirs. Plain language summary: We use machine-learning methods and data-driven selection of reservoir parameters to rank and better understand their importance in determining gas production, which can help reservoir engineers design more effective hydraulic-fracture treatments in the Marcellus Shale and other similar unconventional reservoirs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Extended-MHD simulations of disruption mitigation via massive gas injection in SPARC

Recent developments to the M3D-C1 code enable higher fidelity modeling of disruptions, and can be applied in the design verification of reactor-scale tokamaks. Among these new capabilities is a method to mesh conducting vessel structures such as coils and passive plates, packing of the toroidal mesh around gas injectors, as well as anisotropic resistivity inside the vessel structures. We present extended-magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations of disruption mitigation via massive gas injection (MGI) in SPARC. The goal of this study is to inform the disruption mitigation layout of SPARC and aid in the design of an effective gas injector configuration. Fully three-dimensional simulations with M3D-C1 are carried out for various injector configurations with the primary goal of determining the effect of different MGI parameters on heat loads and vessel forces. The simulations include a model for impurity ionization, recombination, advection and radiation, as well as spatially resolved conducting structures around the plasma. A localized mixture of deuterium and neon with a small toroidal and poloidal width is injected in up to six locations. We demonstrate that M3D-C1 can model a rapid shutdown via MGI using narrow and more realistic gas plumes than in previous simulations. As a result of the q = 1 surface in the SPARC baseline case a sawtooth is observed early in the simulations. Despite the sawtooth and the onset of edge MHD instabilities, the impurity distribution remains localized around the injector locations, but enables a radiative shutdown of the plasma. We find that using the maximum of six gas injectors results in a lower peaking factor and leads to a more even distribution of radiation toroidally than using two injectors.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Optimization of DARHT Axis 1 Injector Voltage

The Dual-Axis Radiographic Hydrodynamic Test (DARHT) facility provides flash radiography capabilities using two electron Linear Induction Accelerators (LIA’s). Axis-1 of DARHT produces a 20- MeV, 2-kA, 80-ns-FWHM electron beam. The strict requirements for flash radiography require a detailed understanding of the LIA’s performance, including precision measurements of the injector electron beam energy. The technique for time resolved measurement of the electron beam energy using electron Permanent Magnet Spectrometer (ePMSpec) has been developed. The electron energy then is used to infer the voltage produced by the injector pulsed power. The injector pulsed power of DARHT I consists of a 1.5-MV, glycol-insulated Blumlein that is pulsecharged by a step-up transformer and switched by four, laser-triggered spark gaps. A series of increasing impedance transmission lines are used to transform the output voltage of the Blumlein to a maximum of 3.8MV at the diode. Figure 1a shows a graphic of the Axis-1 prime power tank, Blumlein and downstream transmission lines. The injector pulse power is designed to produce voltage on a velvet cathode located in the vacuum vessel. The specifications of the voltage-pulse flat-top over 60ns is +/-1%. A key element in the high-voltage circuit is the ethylene glycol Blumlein. The outer volume, adjacent to the laser triggered switches of the Blumlein, is a peaking capacitor. This is an independent volume that contains a mixture of ethylene glycol and water to make it an adjustable capacitor of 380 to 750 pF.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Beam Design for Muon Catalyzed Fusion

Fusion holds great promise as a clean and abundant energy source. However, traditional thermonuclear fusion encounters significant challenges due to the extreme temperatures required to overcome the coulomb barrier for two nuclei to fuse. In contrast, muon-catalyzed fusion presents an alternative approach that can surmount this barrier at significantly lower temperatures. Muons, with properties resembling those of electrons but 200 times heavier, can effectively reduce the atomic orbital radius, enabling central nuclei to overcome the coulomb force through the strong force. By introducing muons into a mixture of deuterium and tritium (two hydrogen isotopes), fusion is facilitated, releasing a 3.5MeV alpha particle and a 14.1MeV neutron. In the majority of cases, the muon is liberated and can initiate further fusions. However, approximately 0.8% of the time, it adheres to the alpha particle and remains bound until it either decays or undergoes reactivation through collisio nal ionization. To maximize the number of fusions per muon, it is crucial to enhance the cycling rate and reactivation fraction. Theoretical predictions and experimental data both suggest that the sticking rate decreases with increasing density. However, there exists a discrepancy between experimental observations and theoretical estimations regarding the extent of this decrease. To address these disparities, this experiment aims to investigate the cycling rate and sticking fraction under higher temperatures and pressures than previously explored.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Exploitation of Pore Structure for Increased CO 2 Selectivity in Type 3 Porous Liquids

CO 2 capture requires materials with high adsorption selectivity and an industrial ease of implementation. To address these needs, a new class of porous materials was recently developed that combines the fluidity of solvents with the porosity of solids. Type 3 porous liquids (PLs) composed of solvents and metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) offer a promising alternative to current liquid carbon capture methods due to the inherent tunability of the nanoporous MOFs. However, the effects of MOF structural features and solvent properties on CO 2 –MOF interactions within PLs are not well understood. Herein experimental and computational data of CO 2 gas adsorption isotherms were used to elucidate both solvent and pore structure influences on ZIF-based PLs. The roles of the pore structure including solvent size exclusion, structural environment, and MOF porosity on PL CO 2 uptake were examined. A comparison of the pore structure and pore aperture was performed using ZIF-8, ZIF-L, and amorphous-ZIF-8. Adsorption experiments here have verified our previously proposed solvent size design principle for ZIF-based PLs (1.8× ZIF pore aperture). Furthermore, the CO 2 adsorption isotherms of the ZIF-based PLs indicated that judicious selection of the pore environment allows for an increase in CO 2 selectivity greater than expected from the individual PL components or their combination. This nonlinear increase in the CO 2 selectivity is an emergent behavior resulting from the complex mixture of components specific to the ZIF-L + 2'-hydroxyacetophenone-based PL.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Simulating fusion alpha heating in a stellarator reactor

Gyrocenter following simulations of fusion born alpha particles in a stellarator reactor are preformed using the BEAMS3D code. The Wendelstein 7-X high mirror configuration is scaled in geometry and magnetic field to reactor relevant parameters. A $2\,\times\,10^{20}m^{-3}$ density plasma with 20 keV core temperatures is assumed and fusion birth rates calculated for various fusion products assuming a 50/50 deuterium-tritium mixture. It is found that energetic He 4 ions comprise the vast majority of the energetic particle inventory. Slowing down simulations of the He4 population suggest plasma heating consistent with scaled energy confinement times for a stellarator reactor. Losses for this configuration appear large suggesting optimization beyond the scope of the W7-X device is key to a future fusion reactor. These first simulations are designed to demonstrate the capability of the BEAMS3D code to provide fusion alpha birth and heating profiles for stellarator reactor designs.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Coordinated Cation Transport in Ti 3 C 2 T x MXene Membranes

Membrane nanofiltration is an attractive strategy for the selective recovery of high-demand metals from wastewater and brine. Effective sieving of ions in aqueous environments will require precise control over membranes’ nanochannel size and chemistry. Ti 3 C 2 T x MXene is an environmentally stable 2D material that can be processed into laminar membranes containing nanoscale interlayer spaces. The MXene interlayer environment depends on the ion species and amount of water intercalated between MXene sheets, and it is the major factor governing permeation and selectivity through MXene membranes. Coordinated ion–ion and ion-interlayer dynamics in the presence of complex mixtures can impact ion permeability and selectivity. Herein, we observe strong competitive effects between different cations (Li + , Na + , and Ca 2+ ) in binary mixtures, resulting in reduced selectivity when compared with single-salt permeability ratios. X-ray diffraction, molecular dynamics, and density functional theory simulations support the conclusion that cations with stronger attraction to MXene flakes can preferentially occupy the MXene nanochannels and hinder other ions via charge or size exclusion. In conclusion, elucidation of ion transport behavior in MXene under complex conditions will allow for more rational design of efficient ion-sieving membranes.

2D Materials↗

Reactivity of Carbonate Solvent Electrolytes on Lithium Silicon Anodes

Silicon (Si) is promising for lithium-ion battery (LIB) anodes due to their high theoretical capacity and low electrochemical potential. However, significant challenges remain, including severe volumetric expansion during cycling and the electrochemical instability of electrolytes, which leads to the formation of a nonuniform solid electrolyte interphase (SEI). To investigate SEI formation mechanisms, computational molecular dynamics simulations offer valuable insights. In this work, we examine the trajectories and charge transfer behavior of lithium hexafluorophosphate (LiPF 6 ) salt with various solvent compositions using density functional theory (DFT) and ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD). Among the tested electrolyte systems, LiPF 6 with vinylene carbonate (VC) added to ethyl methyl carbonate (EMC) exhibits the lowest reactivity with the Si anode. In contrast, the effects of fluoroethylene carbonate (FEC) and VC depend on whether the primary solvent is EMC alone or a mixture of ethylene carbonate (EC) and EMC. Moreover, we show that electrolyte reactivity varies with the degree of lithiation of the Si anode (LiSi vs Li 15 Si 4 ) and under different charge states. To decouple electrolyte reactivity from surface effects, we analyze the dissociation and formation energies of individual species from solvated configurations. Overall, these first-principles-based findings provide a strategic foundation for electrolyte design to improve cycling stability and extend calendar life in LIBs using Si anodes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Targeted metagenomic assessment reflects critical colonization in battlefield injuries

Current diagnostics and clinical management strategies for combat wounds are based on decisions made by expert clinicians. However, even in the hands of experienced surgeons, wounds from combat injuries can exhibit failed healing and complications related to limitations in the rapid and comprehensive generation of diagnostic information. Previous studies have demonstrated the possible use of genomic sequencing approaches to detect microbial signatures involved in combat casualty care. While effective, whole metagenome sequencing is limited by the depth required to confidently detect all relevant signatures. To address this, we developed a targeted capture sequencing panel to detect microbial signatures relevant to wound healing. These targets include known microbial nosocomial pathogens, wound colonizers, and genes involved in virulence and antimicrobial resistance. A bioinformatics pipeline was built to identify genomic regions of interest and over 8,000 oligonucleotide probes were designed for capture. The panel was synthesized and validated using control reference genomes in human background and on wound-effluent samples from a cohort of combat-injured U.S. service members. Our panel was sensitive against wound-colonizing species, Acinetobacter baumannii and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and was specific in detecting corresponding virulence and antimicrobial-resistance genes as well as other pathogenic species present in microflora mixtures. Random forest feature permutation confirmed the prevalence of Acinetobacter and Pseudomonas in critically colonized wounds and wounds that failed to heal, respectively. Our results demonstrate the capability of targeted sequencing tools and analysis platforms to profile and deliver information on pathogenic factors influencing wound progression, thereby guiding therapeutic intervention.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Aero-Thermal Characterization of Accelerating and Diffusing Passages Downstream of Rotating Detonation Combustors

Cycle benefits of rotating detonation engines show up to five percentage points of efficiency gain for low-pressure ratio engines. An optimal integration between the combustor and the turbine needs to be guaranteed to realize this potential gain. The rotating detonation combustor (RDC) exhausts transonic flow with shocks rotating at frequencies ranging from a few to tens of kilohertz depending on the number of present waves. Hence, the turbine design requires precise knowledge of the fluctuations and losses downstream of the combustor. This paper focuses on the quantification of fluctuations and losses for accelerating and diffusing passages. The analysis of the combustor is performed via reactive unsteady Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (URANS) simulations. The unsteady RANS equations are solved via CFD++ from Metacomp with a one-step reaction mechanism for an H2-air mixture. The resolving of the boundary layer is achieved with a structured mesh of around 36 million cells. Inlet pressure of 10 bar and two different back pressures are applied to the combustor to model the interconnection with downstream turbines. Finally, we present and assess a methodology to reduce the computational time to model these passages ten times.

Braun, James↗

Approaches for Water Removal in Direct-Fired sCO 2 Power Cycles

There is interest in investigation of water removal processes in direct fired sCO 2 flows, as this may potentially lead to greater system efficiency as the removal of this contaminant will result in sCO 2 behaving close to idealized behaviors. Water removal should be split into a two-step process, condensation of the water, followed by separation of the liquid phase water from the sCO 2 . The two main avenues of condensation are manipulation of pressure and temperature for phase change. For this paper, temperature-based phase change is the primary focus through the implementation of heat exchangers. Of the heat exchangers investigated it was found that printed circuit heat exchangers (PCHEs) could be an alternative for this use case, though the specific design of flow channel geometry and flow direction depends on the specific system case and cannot be determined at this point. For water separation there were four processes identified, all of which already assume water is in liquid phase at that point in the system. Of these separation avenues the best candidate is the hydrocyclone as it has a proven history of separating liquid-liquid phase mixtures with small density differences in oilfield use, in addition they have been investigated and modeled specifically for water separation for sCO 2 flows and the footprint is relatively small.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Thermal Compton Scattering of Electron Beams on Blackbody Photons: A Monte Carlo Event Generator for Multi-Turn Tracking at the Electron-Ion Collider

Compton scattering of ultra-relativistic electrons on thermal (blackbody) photons is typically a subdominant process in electron storage rings, but at sufficiently high electron energy and low residual gas pressure it can become competitive with beam-gas scattering and contribute to dis tributed losses and backgrounds. We present a self-contained Monte Carlo event generator for thermal Compton scattering designed for integration into multi-turn tracking workflows. The im plementation follows H. Burkhardt’s proposal method: trial scattering angles are sampled from the Thomson differential cross section and accepted/rejected using the Klein-Nishina to Thomson ratio, yielding the correct Compton spectrum while retaining simple absolute-rate normalization. Ther mal photon energies are sampled from the blackbody photon-number spectrum via an exact mixture representation.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Dissolved gas recovery from water using a sidestream hollow-fiber membrane module: First principles model synthesis and steady-state validation

This paper presents a first-principles model for the recovery of dissolved gases from liquids using a sidestream hollow-fiber membrane module. The model avoids the use of new empirical coefficients, thus providing a parametric understanding of the process behavior for future design and optimization of membrane modules. This type of first-principles model could be particularly useful when gas recovery is beneficial to biological or chemical reactions of interest, such as the acetogenesis reactions in two-stage anaerobic digesters. The steady-state behavior of the model was validated against both new experimental data for the recovery of H 2 , CH 4 and H 2 –CH 4 mixtures from pure water, as well as existing published data. The modeled gas recovery predictions agreed with experimental data to an absolute average error of 13%, and an average R value of 0.98. Parametric analysis of mixed-gas recovery suggests possible key transition points in the composition of the recovered gases. For example, at 40 °C, increasing trans-membrane pressure while keeping hydraulic residence time (HRT) under 0.5 s will result in an increase in the ratio of H 2 to CH 4 recovered. Otherwise, increasing trans-membrane pressure will instead decrease the ratio of H 2 to CH 4 recovered. The model has potential to be extended to transient analysis, but has yet to be validated with transient experimental data. Furthermore, this model was successfully implemented in both Python and MATLAB, and provides valuable insights for future net-energy optimization for anaerobic digestion systems with in-situ gas recovery.

Anaerobic Digestion↗

Elucidating the challenges in extracting ultra-slow flame speeds in a closed vessel - A CH 2 F 2 microgravity case study using optical and pressure-rise data

Refrigerants with a low global warming potential (GWP) possess mild flammability. Hence, a fundamental understanding of their combustion characteristics is required to assess their fire-hazardous potential. The laminar burning velocity is one fundamental property to describe these under safety evaluation aspects. However, measuring laminar burning velocities for slow-burning components, such as low-GWP alternatives, is challenging. This is due to influencing effects such as buoyant flame deformation, stretch, radiation, and confinement, especially at the flammability limits. Here, in the present study, we investigated near-limit flames of the representative refrigerant difluoromethane (CH 2 F 2 ) with nitrogen-enriched oxidizer mixtures to elucidate the potentials and limitations at ultra-slow flame speeds of two widely used flame speed measurement methods in the closed vessel configuration: the optical flame speed measurement in the early quasi-isobaric regime and the flame speed determination from the pressure-rise during the later phase of the isochoric combustion process. Experiments were performed under terrestrial- and microgravity, conducted in a specially designed setup suitable for drop tower applications, using both methods in parallel. Recommendations for the extraction of flame speed data are derived from the non-buoyant reference investigations under microgravity and transferred to ultra-slow flames at terrestrial gravity. Near-limit flames under microgravity were found to be significantly affected by stretch effects for the optical method so that flame speed extrapolations to unstretched conditions are prone to errors. Stretch also affects the pressure method’s lower evaluation limit, and errors can be estimated by combining flame speed data from the pressure method and Markstein lengths from optical experiments.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Reactions during conversion of simplified low-activity waste glass feeds

The mechanisms that affect the incorporation of 99Tc, a volatile radioactive component of concern, into glass melt during vitrification of low-activity waste (LAW) are being investigated to develop the method to increase the retention of 99Tc in glass waste form. Previous studies with simulated LAW glass feeds (slurry mixture of liquid waste and chemical/mineral additives) demonstrated that the early stage feed-to-glass conversion reactions below 800°C are critical for the Re (used as a nonradioactive surrogate of 99Tc) retention in glass. To examine the effect of feed composition on the feed-to-glass conversion reactions, simplified systems containing major LAW components (NaNO3 and NaOH) and representative additive components (SiO2 and H3BO3) were designed and tested. The ratio of H3BO3 to NaNO3 was varied in three-component system without NaOH and that of NaOH to NaNO3 was varied in the four-component system at a fixed H3BO3 to NaNO3 ratio. As a first step of testing with simplified feeds, this study applied thermal analyses and phase characterization of the reacting feeds, which were performed without the addition of Re, to investigate the evolution of salt phases during slurry drying process and upon heating of dried feeds.

Jin, Tongan↗

Improvement and generalization of ABCD method with Bayesian inference

To find New Physics or to refine our knowledge of the Standard Model at the LHC is an enterprise that involves many factors, such as the capabilities and the performance of the accelerator and detectors, the use and exploitation of the available information, the design of search strategies and observables, as well as the proposal of new models. We focus on the use of the information and pour our effort in re-thinking the usual data-driven ABCD method to improve it and to generalize it using Bayesian Machine Learning techniques and tools. We propose that a dataset consisting of a signal and many backgrounds is well described through a mixture model. Signal, backgrounds and their relative fractions in the sample can be well extracted by exploiting the prior knowledge and the dependence between the different observables at the event-by-event level with Bayesian tools. We show how, in contrast to the ABCD method, one can take advantage of understanding some properties of the different backgrounds and of having more than two independent observables to measure in each event. In addition, instead of regions defined through hard cuts, the Bayesian framework uses the information of continuous distribution to obtain soft-assignments of the events which are statistically more robust. To compare both methods we use a toy problem inspired by pp\to hh\to b\bar b b \bar b p p → h h → b b ‾ b b ‾ , selecting a reduced and simplified number of processes and analysing the flavor of the four jets and the invariant mass of the jet-pairs, modeled with simplified distributions. Taking advantage of all this information, and starting from a combination of biased and agnostic priors, leads us to a very good posterior once we use the Bayesian framework to exploit the data and the mutual information of the observables at the event-by-event level. We show how, in this simplified model, the Bayesian framework outperforms the ABCD method sensitivity in obtaining the signal fraction in scenarios with 1% and 0.5% true signal fractions in the dataset. We also show that the method is robust against the absence of signal. We discuss potential prospects for taking this Bayesian data-driven paradigm into more realistic scenarios.

Alvarez, Ezequiel↗

Hierarchical Membrane Dynamics in Phase-Separated Model Membranes

Lipid membranes, the primary matrix of cell membranes, exhibit a hierarchy of dynamics from molecular motions to collective undulations, which control spatiotemporal membrane phenomena and regulate various cellular functions. Thus, understanding how various dynamic modes influence membrane behavior is crucial to uncovering the design rules of cell membranes and implementing them in future technologies. Previous membrane dynamics studies using neutron spin-echo spectroscopy (NSE) have shed light on the dependence of collective membrane fluctuations on viscoelastic membrane properties, demonstrating that thickness fluctuation modes (100ns) are dictated by membrane viscosity, which directly governs fast (ps) molecular diffusive motions. Here, we focus on phase-separating lipid membranes, composed of DMPC:DSPC mixtures, to understand the effect of domain formation/growth on hierarchical matrix dynamics using selective lipid deuteration and different neutron spectroscopy techniques. NSE measurements on DMPC:DSPC-d83 (70:30 mol%) show that bending rigidity of the DMPC-rich matrix graduallyincreases with decreasing temperature - as the fully-fluid membrane approaches the upper phase transition (i.e. with the formation of transient DSPC clusters) - and increases further in the phase coexistence region with the growth of DSPC domains. Comparatively, NSE measurements on DMPC-d54:DSPC-d83 vesicles show pronounced matrix thickness fluctuations in the fully-fluid phase and drastic suppression of this fluctuation mode in the gel-fluid coexistence phase, even when the DMPC-rich matrix is still in its fluid phase. This suppression in fluctuations suggests an increase in the matrix viscosity with the growth of gel DSPC domains, which is further investigated by selectively measuring lipid diffusion in the DMPC-rich matrix using neutron backscattering spectroscopy. Comparisons of the experimental results with coarse-grained MD simulationsillustrate the underlying coupling mechanisms. Overall, these observations indicate a clear mechanical and viscoelastic coupling betweenlipid domains and their host matrix, suggesting that domain formation influences membrane properties beyond local effects.

Carrillo, Jan Michael↗