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At least 451 records · Page 25

A comparative assessment of the economic viability of nuclear-integrated direct air capture systems

Direct air capture (DAC) systems require heat and electricity to operate, which can be supplied by nuclear power plants (NPPs). In this study, the performance and cost of various conceptual nuclear-DAC systems are assessed, and their performance is compared with several non-nuclear options. Three nuclear-DAC systems are considered: (1) a liquid solvent direct air capture (L-DAC) system with heat supplied from natural gas (NG) and electricity supplied by an NPP, (2) an electrified L-DAC system, fully powered by electricity from an NPP, and (3) a solid sorbent direct air capture (S-DAC) system utilizing both heat and electricity generated by an NPP. Two nuclear technologies are considered: a pressurized water reactor and a high-temperature gas-cooled reactor. Under the medium conservatism scenario, the levelized cost of direct air capture (LCOD) for these systems range from $\$$310/tCO 2 to $\$$525/tCO 2 with the L-DAC system having an NG heat supply at the lower end of the range, and the electrified L-DAC system and the S-DAC system at the higher end of the range. Coupling with nuclear energy led to a 21 % reduction in LCOD for the L-DAC system with NG heat supply and a 29 % reduction for the S-DAC system when compared to fully NG-powered options. When powering the DAC system with grid electricity, the LCOD is highly dependent on the assumed electricity price and carbon intensity. The nuclear option is the cheaper choice when the price of low-carbon grid electricity exceeds $\$$95/MWh and $\$$45/MWh for the L-DAC and S-DAC systems, respectively.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Validation of Oregon State University High Temperature Test Facility Experiments Using Pronghorn

The OSU High Temperature Test Facility is a quarter-scale diameter, 1/64 scale volume test facility meant to replicate thermophysical phenomena in the prototypical General Atomics Modular High Temperature Gas Reactor. Tests pertaining to conduction cooldown events were performed from 2016-2019, providing a large database by which computational methods that are applicable to different length scales can be validated. One of these codes is Pronghorn, which is a coarse-meshed, porous-based subchannel thermal hydraulics code based on the MOOSE application, with the intention of better capturing the physics of both conduction and convection heat transfer within the OSU HTTF core. The goal of this summer project is to develop the framework by which Pronghorn can perform validation exercises of the HTTF core for benchmarking, by generating a mesh appropriate to the geometry of the HTTF core, developing input decks that accurately capture the initial and boundary conditions, materials, and relevant equations to the physics seen in the HTTF core, and using a postprocessor to compare simulation results to various experimental data. While validation of codes is a multi-year project, a mesh has been generated and tested in Pronghorn that meets mass conservation and basic heat transfer principles. The next step is to accurate depict the fluid inlet and outlet boundary conditions, which will be performed using computational fluid dynamics software.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Development and Test Results of Thermocouples Used in the TRISO-Fuel Irradiation Experiment AGR-5/6/7

High-temperature gas reactor irradiation experiments create unique challenges for thermocouple-based temperature measurements. High-temperature industrial thermocouples suffer rapid decalibration due to transmutation of the thermoelements from neutron absorption. For lower-temperature applications, Type K and Type N thermocouples are affected by neutron irradiation only to a limited extent. But until recently, the use of these nickel-based thermocouples was limited when the temperature exceeded 1050°C due to drift related to phenomena other than nuclear irradiation. Certain portions of the AGR-5/6/7 experiment experienced temperatures higher than any of the previous AGR tests, up to 1500°C. Recognizing the limitations of existing thermometry to measure such high temperatures, the sponsor of the AGR-5/6/7 test supported a development and testing program for thermocouples capable of low-drift operation at temperatures above 1100°C. This program included additional development of high-temperature irradiation-resistant thermocouples based on molybdenum/niobium thermoelements, which have been studied at Idaho National Laboratory since circa 2004. A step change in accuracy and long-term stability of this thermocouple type was achieved as part of the AGR-5/6/7 thermometry development program. Additionally, long-term testing (7000+ h) at 1250°C of Type N thermocouples utilizing a customized sheath developed at the University of Cambridge has been completed with excellent low-drift results. The results of this testing as well as testing of the improved high-temperature irradiation-resistant design are reported herein. Both the improved high-temperature irradiation-resistant and the Cambridge Type N thermocouple types were incorporated into the AGR-5/6/7 test, which began irradiation in February 2018 and was completed in July 2020. Finally, a summary of the performance of the thermocouples incorporated into the AGR-5/6/7 test is included herein.

In-pile instrumentation↗

Representative-cell-based Modeling of HTTF in SAM

Although the current nuclear power market is primarily occupied by the light water reactors (LWRs), the TRISO-fueled helium-cooled graphite-moderated high temperature gas reactors (HTGRs) are drawing growing attention as the nuclear power industry marches towards more advanced systems. Compared to that of conventional LWRs, the thermal hydraulics of HTGR cores show extra complexity from their multi-scale heat transfer mechanisms with varying importance during different operation modes or transient stages. The modeling of HTGR cores for the system analysis purpose therefore faces the challenge of reaching reasonable fidelity and accuracy while maintaining sufficient simplicity. Previous development and validation efforts have demonstrated that a “2-D ring model” with reasonable performance can be implemented in the System Analysis Module (SAM) for prismatic HTGR cores. In the current project, an alternative modeling methodology based on “representative cells” is proposed for the typical prismatic core of HTGRs. Different from the previous ring model approach, the proposed methodology first separately models and then combines the small- and large-scale thermal conductions, by connecting representative local heat transfer units (cells) with effective core- wise thermal resistance. A modeling practice for an integral high-temperature test facility (HTTF) elaborates the modeling details. Steady-state validation of the resultant candidate model is performed against a higher-resolution benchmark from a 3D-1D coupled simulation, which shows satisfactory prediction with reasonably captured global parameters and well-represented temperature fields. A postulated pressurized conduction cooldown (PCC) is also simulated and analyzed, demonstrating the model’s capability of transient prediction with physically captured phenomena resolved in both small and large temporal and spatial scales. In general, the current work achieves a preliminary success in proposing a methodology using representative cells to model prismatic HTGR cores in SAM. Future efforts are envisioned with more validation activities and with potential modeling improvements to eventually achieve the high confidence on a high-fidelity robust modeling methodology with reasonable accuracy.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Phase stability and microstructure of neutron-irradiated substoichiometric yttrium dihydrides

The impact of the neutron-displacement damage on phase stability and microstructure of substoichiometric yttrium dihydrides (YH x , x <2) were investigated to assess their use as solid moderator in high-temperature nuclear reactors. YH x specimens were, thus, subjected to neutron irradiations in the range of 0.1–2 displacements per yttrium atom (dpa-Y) in the temperature range of 536–878°C at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory's (ORNL's) High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR). YH x specimens were initially prepared at stoichiometry (H/Y) ratios of 1.69 and 1.83. HFIR-irradiated specimens were characterized by variety of techniques to investigate H retention characteristics including dimensional analysis, optical microscopy, scanning electron microscopy electron back scatter diffraction (EBSD), transmission electron microscopy, thermal desorption spectroscopy (TDS), and high-energy x-ray diffraction (HE-XRD) characterizations. Overall, YH x exhibited notable structural and phase stability under short-term neutron-irradiation, except for the samples with significant silicon carbide (SiC) interaction at high doses and temperatures. Basic dimensional and mass measurements were misleading for accurate assessment of H retention, as confirmed by EBSD phase maps, XRD line profiles, and TDS signals. Thus, it was discussed that a robust H retention metric is needed to assess irradiated hydrides. Further, nanoscale cavities were observed as a result of the neutron irradiation in all samples. Although no clear impact of dose and irradiation temperature was determined, the initial H/Y ratio had an impact on the cavity number density where low H/Y specimens had high-resistance to cavity formation. The Y-vacancy cluster formation at the collision stage of the displacement cascade and their stabilization by H were considered to be the likely underlying mechanisms for the observed cavity microstructure.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Follow-On Status Report on FY2022 Model Development within the Integrated Energy Systems Hybrid Repository

This publication details newly created energy storage and reactor models developed within the HYBRID modeling repository as part of the Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE) Integrated Energy Systems (IES) program, led by Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Model development to-date includes creation of dynamic systems-level models of a pebble bed high temperature gas reactor (HTGR), compressed air energy storage (CAES), and Modelica standard library based two-tank sensible heat storage (SHS) in the IES-based HYBRID repository. Models are developed using the latest publicly available data and incorporate the possibility of control strategy inclusion for use with the existing IES modeling, analysis, and optimization toolset. Simulations showcase the abilities of each technology to flexibly operate in ways consistent with IES operation expectations. When these models are available, they can be utilized within different integrated energy park concepts to understand optimal system operation, control, and dispatching. Moreover, given the generic nature of the models, industrial partner technologies can be quickly added to the repository using the existing models as a basis. Additional dynamic models for thermal energy storage concepts can be developed and added to the HYBRID repository as needed.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Seismic Isolation of Major Advanced Reactor Systems for Economic Improvement and Safety Assurance

Advanced reactor concepts currently under development in the United States [e.g., the High-Temperature Gas Reactor (HTGR) of X-Energy and the Molten Chloride Fast Reactor (MCFR) of TerraPower] are striving to improve the economics of nuclear power primarily by using passively and ‘walk-away’ safe technologies in the reactor. The recently published report, ‘Future of Nuclear Energy in a Carbon-Constrained World’ by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Energy Institute (MIT EI) has shown that a significant contributor to the capital cost of NPPs is the ‘civil works’ i.e., the construction of the balance of plant (BoP: all SSCs except those involved in power generation, e.g., reactor vessel) such as the buildings, containment dome, foundation, etc., which amount to almost half of the overnight capital cost. The report suggests that using advanced construction technologies such as seismic isolation and high-performance concrete to significantly reduce the capital costs of advanced reactors. This report demonstrates the application of two cost-cutting solutions on advanced reactor designs that are currently under development. These solutions include, (1) seismic base isolation, and (2) risk- and cost-based seismic design optimization including seismic isolation of individual components.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Validation of Robustness in TCR Design Strategies

Advanced Manufacturing (AM) has been identified as one of key pathways in accelerating deployment of next generation of nuclear power plants. The nuclear industry continues to predominately rely on fabrication techniques and materials that their codes and standards were approved decades ago. This legacy approach in the highly regulated nuclear sector has brought uncertainty to commercial viability of nuclear energy in the U.S. The Transformational Challenge Reactor (TCR), sought to utilize AM methods for fabrication of a High Temperature Gas Reactor (HTGR). The program sought to leverage AM to construct a non-conventional geometry made up of TRISO fuel and hydride moderator in SiC matrix. This project objective was to provide independent analysis of the core configuration with separate set of tools and approaches than utilized by the TCR team in a 2-year time frame. This NEUP project also tackled a question: Can AM be a cost-effective tool in changing the commercial paradigm of nuclear. We investigated this question in-context of a micro HTGR. While respecting the inherit uncertainty in our input parameters, overall we saw that AM has potential in improving economic competitiveness of nuclear energy when employed on multiple fronts (i.e. few percentage cost improvement per component). Given realizing AM requires mass orders and large R&D investment for commercial utilization, Department of Energy should focus its support on few key enabling technologies and support their codes and standards development and qualification cost (including irradiation as applicable) rather than taking a diluted approach.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Probabilistic Risk Assessment of a Light-Water Reactor Coupled with a High-Temperature Electrolysis Hydrogen Production Plant

This report details an expansion of the original two generic probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs) for the addition of a heat extraction system (HES) to a light-water reactor, one for a pressurized-water reactor and one for a boiling-water reactor. The new material in this revision includes a new HES design, direct electrical coupling of the nuclear power plant to the High-Temperature Electrolysis Facility (HTEF), and a smaller 100-MWt HTEF analysis. The results investigate the applicability of the potential licensing approaches, which do not require a full United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission licensing review. The PRAs are generic and include some assumptions. We eliminated many conservative assumptions from the preliminary pressurized-water reactor PRA report using design data for both the HES and HTEF. The PRA results indicate that the 10 CFR 50.59 licensing approach is justified due to the minimal increase in initiating event frequencies for all design basis accidents, with none exceeding 5.6%. The PRA results for core damage frequency and large early release frequency support the use of RG 1.174 as further risk information that supports a change without a full licensing amendment review. Further insights provided through hazard analyses and sensitivity studies confirm with high confidence that the safety case for licensing an HES addition and an HTEF sited 1.0 km from the nuclear power plant is strong and that the placement of a HTEF at 0.5 km is also a viable case. Site-specific information can alter these conclusions.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Towards Thermomechanical Processing of Alloy 709: Progress in Defining High-Temperature Deformation-Recrystallization "Space"

The Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART) Program has established a multi-year plan to develop Alloy 709 advanced stainless steel, generate the data package and develop material-specific design parameters in qualifying it as a new structural material for Class A construction in the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, Section III, Division 5, High Temperature Reactors (ASME 2025). In collaboration with material vendors, the Advanced Materials Development activities under ART have successfully scaled the Alloy 709 plate form production from a laboratory heat of 500 pounds to commercial heats totaling 133,000 pounds of Alloy 709 plate fabricated from three heats. The goal of the overall Alloy 709 development program is to establish the necessary microstructural and mechanical properties relationship for Alloy 709 to ultimately develop fabrication parameters for other product forms such as bars, pipes, and forgings using the available ART Alloy 709 materials. This study will enable its deployment in the industry as an advanced construction material for high-temperature components. The objective of this Alloy 709 development work in FY 2025 is to experimentally determine the high-temperature deformation-recrystallization response of the Alloy 709 heats and to experimentally generate true stress-true strain data for Alloy 709 using the available commercial heat plate materials. Integral to this work is the previous characterization of the as-rolled materials and the determination of an effective solution-annealing process, which was reported in Y. Wang et al., 2023, and the evaluation of the effect of controlled cooling on the resultant precipitation in these commercial heats. This report summarizes and builds on the results of the previous reports to assess the high-temperature deformation behavior as a function of deformation temperature, strain and strain rate using commercial Alloy 709 heat 58776-3RB fabricated by G. O. Carlson and heat 529900-02 fabricated by Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI) Specialty Rolled Products.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Post-irradiation examination of optical components for advanced fission reactor instrumentation

The use of optical instrumentation in advanced nuclear fission systems, such as molten salt reactors, liquid metal-cooled reactors, and high-temperature gas-cooled reactors, has the potential to enhance reactor safety and economic performance through in situ and online measurement of reactor conditions. Selection of suitable optical components, such as optical windows and fibers, is essential for operation of optical instrumentation in intense radioactive and thermal environments inherent to nuclear reactor systems. We present the development and performance of a self-contained and mobile post-irradiation examination system for rapid characterization of the optical properties of materials. The instrument combines linear absorption and nanosecond Z-scan modules in a compact, relocatable design. The system mobility allows for the evaluation of optical samples at the site of irradiation, minimizing the delay between extraction from the irradiation site and optical characterization. This provides nearly real-time information on the material performance under simultaneous irradiation and thermal annealing, simulating the relevant conditions for the use of those components in nuclear power systems.

Morgan, Bryan William (ORCID:0000000224668764)↗

Coolant Channel Design for Additively Manufactured Reactor Cores

Additive manufacturing (AM) methods are currently being explored for applications in nuclear reactors to make advanced reactors more efficient, safe, and reliable. The Transformational Challenge Reactor (TCR) program has explored AM for nuclear by designing a high-temperature gas reactor (HTGR) using an AM silicon carbide fuel form with uranium nitride–tristructural isotropic fuel. In this study, we detail the design process for the TCR fuel form’s coolant channels using computational fluid dynamics models with conjugate heat transfer. Additionally, this work discusses how these models were interfaced with other design teams, project milestones, and the agile design method used to mature the reactor design. The methodology deployed was able to create a channel design with lower maximum fuel temperatures and thermal stresses in the fuel form over traditional channel designs that can be manufactured subtractively. These results were achieved with only small manufacturing penalties. Results are discussed and presented on lessons learned for designing AM components for nuclear reactors. Finally, areas of opportunity are discussed for advanced design tools to further automate design activities and optimize reactors with fewer built-in assumptions.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Steam Generators: Thermal Hydraulic Measurements and Instrumentation

Steam generators are integral components of both conventional and advanced reactors utilizing steam power cycles, as they influence the power conversion performance. Steam generator designs are highly influenced by the type of reactor coolant used, which mainly governs the different control, monitoring, and safety system actuation requirements. Therefore, the present work reviews the thermal hydraulics instrumentation within steam generators designed for pressurized water reactors (PWRs), high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs), sodium fast reactors (SFRs), and molten salt cooled reactors (MSRs). Emphasis is given to measurement techniques that are either unique or particularly important to specific reactor types. Lastly, a discussion is provided on the instrumentation and measured parameters. The work identifies standard parameters of interest and is expected to aid the development of test beds and novel measurements techniques.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

Towards a Benchmark Experiment with the Compact Nuclear Power Source

The Compact Nuclear Power Source (CNPS) was a high-assay low enriched uranium (HALEU) tristructural isotropic (TRISO)-fueled, graphite-moderated microreactor constructed in 1987 at Los Alamos National Laboratory. The reactor, conceived as a power source for short-range radar stations, was designed to be "walk-away safe," and was cooled by heat pipes and ambient air. Though the project was formally cancelled after the fuel and moderator material had been received, its potential to meaningfully advance the body of critical and integral data was evident, and critical experiments with a mock-up of the reactor proceeded at TA-18 until its disassembly in 1991. The reflector and some components of the core would later go on to see service as part of the New Production Reactor Modular High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (NP-MHTGR) critical experiments. In light of the progress made by groups like Westinghouse and X-Energy towards contemporary graphite-moderated microreactors, the system remains an attractive candidate for the basis of a benchmark experiment even today. Uncertainties remain, however, in some features of the system–inconsistencies in the dimensions and composition of the reactor’s components as described in literature and implemented in current computational models. The identification, quantification, and to the extent possible, the minimization of these uncertainties is a crucial task on the path towards creating a benchmark based on the CNPS system. The present work seeks to initiate this process with a survey of available documentation and improvements to the accuracy of CNPS neutronics models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

High-Temperature Ceramic-Carbonate Dual-Phase Membrane Reactor for Pre-combustion Carbon Dioxide Capture (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

Arizona State University, in collaboration with University of South Carolina, worked on a project aimed at development of a new high temperature, high pressure CO 2 perm-selective membrane reactor for water-gas-shift reaction (WGS) with simulated gasifier syngas to produce a high concentration H 2 stream with CO 2 capture. The membrane reactor is made of a CO 2 semi-permeable ceramic-carbonate dual-phase (CCDP) membrane with high CO 2 perm-selectivity/permeance and thermal/mechanical stability for application in WGS reaction. The objectives of this project were to (1) synthesize the chemically/thermally stable tubular CCDP membranes with CO 2 permeance and selectivity (with respect to H 2 , CO or H 2 O) larger than 6.5×10-7 mol/m2·s·Pa and 500, respectively; (2) establish CCDP membrane reactor setup and study high pressure CO 2 permeation and WGS reaction with CO 2 capture using the setup; and (3) identify conditions for WGS in the CCDP membrane reactor that produce CO 2 and H 2 streams with purity of >99% and >90% respectively at CO conversion >95% and overall carbon capture >90%. The work in this project included both membrane development and membrane reactor process study. The membrane development efforts were focused on investigating a H 2 S resistant and highly oxygen-ionic conducting metal oxide material and membrane for CO 2 separation, fabrication of tubular samaria-doped-ceria/molten-carbonate CCDP membrane with high mechanical strength, and experimental and modeling study of high-pressure CO 2 permeation of the CCDP membranes. Mathematical models were developed to describe WGS in the CCDP membrane reactor without a catalyst or packed with a commercial high temperature WGS catalyst. Experiments on WGS in the CCDP membrane reactor with the commercial WGS catalyst, guided by the model analysis, were performed to identify optimum conditions for achieving the CO conversion, carbon capture, and the purity of the H 2 and CO 2 streams mentioned above. At 30 atm feed pressure, 750°C operation temperature, space velocity of 250 h-1, and with steam sweep, a single-stage CCDP membrane reactor with average CO 2 permeation flux of 0.5 cm3(STP)/min.cm2 can achieve CO 2 conversion of 95% and overall carbon capture of 94%, and produce CO 2 and H 2 streams with dry-based purity of >99% and 92% respectively. The project also included process design and techno-economic analysis (TEA) for a CCDP membrane reactor process for WGS reaction with CO 2 capture for a 550 MW coal-fired IGCC power plant, and its comparison with the conventional fixed-bed reactor system for WGS with follow-up CO 2 capture by an amine absorption process. The target performance for the reactor for WGS with CO 2 capture includes CO conversion >95%, hydrogen stream purity >90%, CO 2 stream purity >95%, and total carbon capture >90%. The CCDP membrane developed in this project can achieve the performance target, without subsequent CO 2 capture process at the optimum conditions identified in this project. The outcome of the process design and TEA analysis shows that the membrane reactor for WGS with in-situ CO 2 capture has an operating cost about 40% lower than that for the conventional fixed-bed reactor with a separate amine absorption process for CO 2 capture. However, the capital cost of the membrane reactor process is about twice that of the conventional process because of the higher cost of the CCDP membrane. Modeling analysis shows that a membrane reactor using a CCDP membrane with higher CO 2 permeance (about three times the current value) can deliver the targeted performance for WGS reaction with CO 2 capture at a much higher space velocity and lower membrane surface area to catalyst volume ratio, leading to a smaller catalyst amount and/or membrane area and hence significantly reduced membrane reactor capital costs.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Influence of pre-existing defects on thermal transport in nuclear graphite

Nuclear graphite is a critical material in high-temperature nuclear reactors due to its superior thermal and mechanical properties. The manufacturing process leaves multi-scale ‘pre-existing’ defects that can affect thermal transport characteristics. Because these defects are remnant of graphitization temperature, they cannot be thermally annealed. This study employs a non-thermal electron wind force (EWF) annealing technique to avoid this obstacle. 2 min of EWF treatment of the as-received graphite IG-110 at temperatures below 100 °C led up to 67% increase in thermal diffusivity and ~ 35% decrease in electrical resistivity in average. Differential scanning calorimetry also showed similar outcome for specific heat. X-ray diffraction characterization was performed by fitting a bi-modal crystallite size distribution model to reveal the enhancement in crystallinity after the EWF treatment. The findings emphasize the potential of EWF annealing for optimizing thermal performance in nuclear graphite and its implications for reactor efficiency and safety.

Annealing↗

One-Step Ahead Prediction of Thermal Mixing Tee Sensors with Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Networks

High-temperature advanced reactors under development, such as sodium fast reactors (SFR) and molten salt cooled reactors (MSCR), are expected to offer lower levelized cost of energy (LCOE) compared to existing light water reactor (LWR’s). In the existing light water reactors (LWR’s), operation and maintenance (O&M) expenses constitute the largest fraction of the total operating cost. Some of the O&M costs are related maintenance of sensors which can fail due to exposure to harsh environment in a reactor. The O&M costs of Advanced Reactor (AR)’s are expected to constitute a significant fraction of the total cost as well, because of high temperature and radiation level in AR are likely to cause material fatigue and premature failure of sensors and components. The O&M costs in AR’s could be reduced through integration of advanced informatics of performance-related sensors into a digital twin designed for reactor monitoring. For example, machine learning (ML) could be employed for real-time validation and correction of performance-related sensors, and reducing the number of performance-related physical sensor units through virtual sensing. As part of the effort, we investigate real-time validation of thermal hydraulic sensors through one-step ahead forecasting of sensor values using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks (RNN). The sensors are installed in a flow loop containing a thermal mixing tee, which is a common experimental model to study thermal fatigue in a thermal hydraulic loop. In addition, nonlinear transients generated in a thermal mixing tee constitute a good challenge data set for training and validation of ML algorithms. Sensors in this study include thermocouples, flow meters, and optical fibers for distributed temperature sensing. In one experiment, measurement data sets were obtained for a loop was filled with water, and in another experiment, measurements were performed on a loop filled with liquid metal Galinstan. We have also conducted preliminary investigation of one-step ahead prediction of fiber optics-based distributed temperature sensing with LSTM networks. In predicting fiber-based temperature measurements, we treated each gauge pitch of the fiber as an independent sensor. Accuracy of one-step ahead forecasting was estimated by calculating root mean square error (RMSE) for the test segment of time series of each sensor. RMSE’s for temperature sensors in water loop were, for the most part, lower than for the same sensors in Galinstan loop. The RMSE’s for flow meters were similar for both loops. The RMSE’s for distributed temperature measured with the fiber optic sensor were similar to those of the point sensors. Results of this study demonstrated the capability of LSTM one-step ahead forecasting with RMSE comparable to uncertainty in sensor measurements.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Reduced Order Models Generation for HTGRs Pebble Shuffling Procedure Optimization Studies

This report provides an initial study for producing reduced-order models (ROMs) of pebble-bed high temperature gas reactor (HTGR) models for the purposes of design optimization. As an initial study, this work is meant to be exploratory---identifying useful workflows and methods for ROM generation---and not meant to be a catch-all analysis of HTGR ROM generation and usage for optimization. This report summarizes three tasks performed in Fiscal Year 2022: 1) the creation of HTGR model, 2) the sensitivity analysis of model design parameters, and 3) an introduction to ROM generation techniques. The representative HTGR model created in this work is a multiphysics equilibrium-core using the BlueCRAB (comprehensive reactor analysis bundle) reactor analysis application, coupling four physical phenomena: neutronics, streamline depletion, porous flow thermal hydraulics, and pebble heat conduction. Part of the model creation was identifying some design parameters and quantities of interest that are relevant in an optimization analysis and adjustable in the model. The sensitivity analysis utilized a polynomial chaos expansion methodology to compute global sensitivity metrics. This analysis showed that thermal hydraulics parameters and quantities of interest had a relatively small impact on simulation results. Finally, the ROM generation work involved exploring three different ROM methodologies: polynomial regression, a Gaussian process, and artificial neural networks. Using a cross-validation technique to characterize ROM performance, the Gaussian process and single-layer artificial neural networks showed the most promising results. Overall, this study was insightful and the lessons learned will be invaluable for the eventual development of an HTGR design optimization workflow.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗