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At least 451 records · Page 25

Proppant embedment in coal and shale: Impacts of stress hardening and sorption

During methane production in CBM reservoirs, the influence of proppant embedment and permeability damage cannot be neglected – especially where the wall-rock is soft. Effective stresses are elevated during methane recovery, increasing both normal loading stress and confinement and simultaneously overprinting sorption-induced volumetric strains. Experiments and analytic modeling are conducted to define key mechanisms controlling these competitive effects. We independently measure overall sample compaction (external LVDT) and local strain (strain gauge) in the matrix to deconvolve proppant embedment in a propped fracture for different conditions of confining stress. The results show symptomatic behaviors of elastic (shale) and elastoplastic (coal) responses of embedment. Different from shale, the evolution of embedment is convex upwards with increased stress where indented depth increases more rapidly as loading stress increases under constant confinement. In addition, a stress-hardening effect is found to play a pivotal role in determining the characteristics of indentation, which are examined in terms of evolution profiles, deformation regimes, embedment slopes, curvatures, yield points and irreversible indentations. Based on the experimental observations a semianalytical model predicts indentation and the evolution of propped permeability under recreated in-situ stress conditions. A simplified case study is conducted to further illustrate the evolution of aperture and permeability of a propped fracture in CBM reservoirs. The modeling results suggest that proppant embedment is significantly overestimated if the variable stress-hardening (VSH) effect is neglected, especially when effective stress is large. Moreover, a decrease in indentation depth possibly occurs during late stage methane production, resulting in a reversal/recovery in fracture closure. This is because desorption-induced shrinkage becomes the predominant effect, causing an increase in aperture and a reduction in the indented volume of proppant. The resulting recovery in permeability implies that the propped coal fracture has the potential to optimally facilitate methane production as a pathway, even at high closure stresses generated by methane drainage.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Multi-material hydrodynamics with algebraic sharp interface capturing

A finite volume method for Eulerian multi-material hydrodynamics with sharp interface capturing is presented here. The pressure-temperature non-equilibrium multi-material system with finite-rate pressure relaxation in mixed-cells is considered here. This pressure closure facilitates material-property-dependent pressure relaxation, rather than instantaneous pressure equilibration, which in turn allows the use of unsplit high-order time-integrators. A modified tangent of hyperbola for interface capturing (THINC) method is used to reconstruct multi-material (> 2) interfaces, on three-dimensional unstructured meshes. A simple modification which extends the THINC reconstruction to interfaces between more than two materials is proposed. It is demonstrated that the modified THINC can capture multi-material interfaces within 2–4 tetrahedral cells. Since no geometric reconstructions are required by the THINC method, the presented multi-material method is algorithmically simple, and computationally efficient. Consistent reconstructions of conserved quantities at material interfaces ensure that conservation and closure laws are satisfied at the discrete level. Through a suite of test problems solved on unstructured meshes, it is demonstrated that the presented method is a promising candidate for accurate and efficient multi-material hydrodynamics computations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Experimental and numerical investigation of proppant embedment and conductivity reduction within a fracture in the Caney Shale, Southern Oklahoma, USA

The current worldwide energy supply is insufficient to meet the rising demand. As a result, the energy prices are expected to keep soaring despite the recent increases in a variety of renewable energy resources. Although not renewable, shale oil and gas — “unconventional” hydrocarbon resources are relatively clean forms of energy resources, which still hold a vast share of the energy market. For many oil and gas companies, meeting profitable production goals from shale reservoirs is sometimes challenging, due to the loss of fracture conductivity and premature declines in the production. In this paper we investigate the stress-dependent changes in the hydraulic conductivity of proppant-filled fractures and mechanical fracture–proppant interactions in Caney Shale, a calcareous, organic-rich mudrock, through laboratory experiments and numerical modeling. American Petroleum Institute (API) fracture conductivity tests were conducted using 2% KCl on five locations within the Caney Shale that consisted of selecting three brittle (reservoir) zones and two ductile zones. Confining pressures ranged from 1,000 psi to 12,000 psi at 210 °F. Conductivity, permeability as well as embedment were measured during the test. Also, an additional, laboratory in-situ visualization test was conducted to examine the detailed proppant-shale matrix interaction under elevated stress (3,920 psi effective stress) and temperature (252 °F), with a synthetic reservoir fluid. Our experimental results have confirmed that improved fracture conductivity is attributed to proppant size, and that the increase in porosity of the proppant pack, closure pressure changes and the reduction in fracture conductivity are a function of many factors such as fracture closure stress.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

SOLPS-ITER modeling of a dedicated divertor for negative triangularity operation on DIII-D

The design of a new dedicated divertor for negative triangularity (NT) operation on DIII-D with neutral baffles and pumping is informed by SOLPS-ITER transport modeling. This dedicated NT divertor is the latest step in a progression of NT shapes with various divertor characteristics explored on DIII-D, including NT shapes at reduced triangularity and a campaign with stronger shaping that included new armored components on the outboard side. SOLPS simulations played a key role in these divertor designs. Interpretive simulations, using cross-field diffusivities constrained by experimental data in the NT Shelf shape were used to inform the design of the 2023 armor campaign components. A similar procedure used armor campaign data to predict conditions for the dedicated NT divertor. The predictive simulations were used to assess the divertor fluxes, detachment threshold, pumped flux, and neutral leakage. For the dedicated NT divertor, SOLPS simulations and two-point-modeling were used to show the relative impact of magnetic topology (mainly longer connection length) and divertor closure on the divertor conditions relative to the armor campaign. It is predicted that the dedicated NT divertor reaches detachment (measured by target ion flux rollover) at a lower upstream density (≈(1.75−−2.4)×1⁢019m−3) as compared to the armor campaign shape. For the preliminary design geometry, divertor closure reduces the neutral leakage by ≈10%. Parametric optimization indicating further ≈20%–60% improvement in the leakage flux and recycled flux crossing the pump entrance is possible for relatively minor changes to the divertor and baffle layout.

Lore, Jeremy [ORNL] (ORCID:000000029192465X)↗

Canister valve and actuator deposition in metered dose inhalers formulated with low-GWP propellants

A challenge in pressurised metered-dose inhaler (pMDI) formulation design is management of adhesion of the drug to the canister wall, valve and actuator internal components and surfaces. Wall-material interactions differ between transparent vials used for visual inspection and metal canister pMDI systems. This is of particular concern for low greenhouse warming potential (GWP) formulations where propellant chemistry and solubility with many drugs are not well understood. In this study, we demonstrate a novel application of X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy using synchrotron radiation to assay the contents of surrogate solution and suspension pMDI formulations of potassium iodide and barium sulphate in propellants HFA134a, HFA152a and HFO1234ze(E) using aluminium canisters and standard components. Preliminary results indicate that through unit life drug distribution in the canister valve closure region and actuator can vary significantly with new propellants. For solution formulations HFO1234ze(E) propellant shows the greatest increase in local deposition inside the canister valve closure region as compared to HFA134a and HFA152a, with correspondingly reduced actuator deposition. This is likely driven by chemistry changes. For suspension formulations HFA152a shows the greatest differences, due to its low specific gravity. These changes must be taken into consideration in the development of products utilising low-GWP propellants.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DPM: A deep learning PDE augmentation method with application to large-eddy simulation

A framework is introduced that leverages known physics to reduce overfitting in machine learning for scientific applications. The partial differential equation (PDE) that expresses the physics is augmented with a neural network that uses available data to learn a description of the corresponding unknown or unrepresented physics. Training within this combined system corrects for missing, unknown, or erroneously represented physics, including discretization errors associated with the PDE's numerical solution. For optimization of the network within the PDE, an adjoint PDE is solved to provide high-dimensional gradients, and a stochastic adjoint method (SAM) further accelerates training. Additionally, the approach is demonstrated for large-eddy simulation (LES) of turbulence. High-fidelity direct numerical simulations (DNS) of decaying isotropic turbulence provide the training data used to learn sub-filter-scale closures for the filtered Navier–Stokes equations. Out-of-sample comparisons show that the deep learning PDE method outperforms widely-used models, even for filter sizes so large that they become qualitatively incorrect. It also significantly outperforms the same neural network when a priori trained based on simple data mismatch, not accounting for the full PDE. Measures of discretization errors, which are well-known to be consequential in LES, point to the importance of the unified training formulation's design, which without modification corrects for them. For comparable accuracy, simulation runtime is significantly reduced. A relaxation of the typical discrete enforcement of the divergence-free constraint in the solver is also successful, instead allowing the DPM to approximately enforce incompressibility physics. Since the training loss function is not restricted to correspond directly to the closure to be learned, training can incorporate diverse data, including experimental data.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Assessment of Combustion Residual Leachate Volume, Composition, and Treatment Costs

Combustion residuals and the resulting leachate from storage sites represent a large volume of wastewater in the United States (U.S.) that has not been quantified. Here this work estimates the constituents present, volume of wastewater, and costs of treatment for both combustion residual landfill leachate and the leachate from surface impoundment closures. Combustion residual landfill leachate produced from contact with bituminous coal combustion byproducts is generally predicted to be higher in lithium and manganese, whereas landfill leachate produced from contact with subbituminous coal combustion byproducts is generally predicted to be higher in mercury and vanadium. The annual volume of a single landfill with combustion residual leachate can reach more than 800,000 cubic meters. This leachate represents an annual volume of 26.8–42.8 million cubic meters nationally. Closing surface impoundments can yield between 830 and 1040 cubic meters of leachate nationally for a three-year closure period. Costs as low as $1.5/m 3 or as high as $95/m 3 are observed. Treatment trains will need to remove 72% of total suspended solids (TSS), 87% of arsenic, and 64% of mercury from landfill leachate. When applied to impoundments, these treatment trains would need to remove 97% of arsenic.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Dynamic response of a freely rotating butterfly valve in the advanced test reactor – dynamic fluid-body interaction modeling

To regulate primary coolant flow in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR), a butterfly valve was installed between the primary coolant pumps and the reactor core. If the mechanical connection between the valve's disk and its shaft ever fails, the disk will rotate freely. Rapid disk rotation may induce pressure surges that could damage upstream pipes. In the present work, the rotational trajectory and pressure evolution during a disk free-rotation scenario were analyzed via the dynamic fluid-body interaction (DFBI) approach in STAR-CCM+, with the movement of a solid being driven by the forces and moment/torque imposed by its surrounding fluid. Assuming a large initial opening angle, the disk accelerates slowly, but swiftly passes the closed position. As a result of the sudden valve closure, a pressure surge occurs in the upstream pipes, exceeding their maximum allowable pressure. Furthermore, the disk does not stabilize at the closed position but continually oscillates due to the unsteady nature of the coolant flow. Because of the significant and continuous water hammer effect, a fix to the butterfly valve is being implemented to prevent rapid valve closure due to failure at the valve's disk/shaft mechanical connection.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

A long short-term memory embedding for hybrid uplifted reduced order models

In this paper, we introduce an uplifted reduced order modeling (UROM) approach through the integration of standard projection based methods with long short-term memory (LSTM) embedding. Our approach has three modeling layers or components. In the first layer, we utilize an intrusive projection approach to model dynamics represented by the largest modes. The second layer consists of an LSTM model to account for residuals beyond this truncation. This closure layer refers to the process of including the residual effect of the discarded modes into the dynamics of the largest scales. However, the feasibility of generating a low rank approximation tails off for higher Kolmogorov n -width systems due to the underlying nonlinear processes. The third uplifting layer, called super-resolution, addresses this limited representation issue by expanding the span into a larger number of modes utilizing the versatility of LSTM. Therefore, our model integrates a physics-based projection model with a memory embedded LSTM closure and an LSTM based super-resolution model. In several applications, we exploit the use of Grassmann manifold to construct UROM for unseen conditions. We performed numerical experiments by using the Burgers and Navier-Stokes equations with quadratic nonlinearity. Finally, our results show robustness of the proposed approach in building reduced order models for parameterized systems and confirm the improved trade-off between accuracy and efficiency.

42 ENGINEERING↗

SootLib: A soot model library for combustion simulation

Soot formation in combustion is an important process that affects radiative heat transfer, flame temperatures, and emissions with health and environmental impacts. Soot formation involves complex chemistry for nucleation, growth, oxidation, and coagulation processes. The soot particles vary widely in size and accurate modeling requires representation of the particle size distribution (PSD). Modeling soot is not trivial, and is only one of several physical processes active in combustion systems. This paper presents a software package called SootLib, which is an open-source library for modeling soot formation and other aerosol systems. SootLib is written in C++, is documented with Doxygen, and is available on GitHub. The library includes several models for soot chemistry and coagulation, and it represents the PSD using either a sectional model or the method of moments (MOM). Four closure approaches for the MOM are implemented allowing up to eight moments: monodispersed, an assumed-shape lognormal distribution, the quadrature method of moments, and the method of moments with interpolative closure. SootLib provides an interface for inclusion in other combustion packages including CFD or reacting flow solvers. The range of models allows comparisons and sensitivity studies, and the modularity facilitates extension to other soot models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Serum amyloid A1: Innocent bystander or active participant in cell migration in triple-negative breast cancer?

Highlights: • SAA1 knockdown reduced cell viability in triple-negative breast cancer cells. • SAA1 knockdown induced a S to G{sub 2}/M cell cycle shift in MDA-MB-231 cells. • SAA1 silencing inhibited cell migration in MDA-MB-231 and HCC70 cells. • SAA1 silencing altered epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition markers in MDA-MB-231 cells. The Serum Amyloid A (SAA) family of proteins is associated with various pathological conditions, including cancer. However, their role in cancer is incompletely understood. Here, we investigated the role of SAA1 in cell cycle regulation, apoptosis, survival signaling, metabolism, and metastasis in models of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), using RNAi. Our data show that in untransformed epithelial cells (MCF12A), the knockdown of SAA1 induces the expression of cell cycle regulators (MCM2, p53), the activation of DNA repair (PARP synthesis), and survival signaling (NFκB). In contrast, knockdown of SAA1 in the TNBC cell line (MDA-MB-231) induced the expression p16 and shifted cells in the cell cycle from the S to G{sub 2}/M phase, without the activation of DNA repair. Moreover, in SAA1-deficient MDA-MB-231 and HCC70 cells, metabolism (NADH oxidation) continually increased while cell migration (% wound closure and the rate of wound closure) decreased. However, silencing of SAA1 altered epithelial and mesenchymal markers in MCF12A (E-cadherin, Laminin 1β, Vimentin) and MDA-MB-231 (α-Smooth muscle actin) cells, associated with the metastatic program of epithelial-mesenchymal transition. Nonetheless, our data provide evidence that SAA1 could potentially serve as a therapeutic target in TNBC.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Space–time structure of weak magnetohydrodynamic turbulence

The two-time energy spectrum of weak magnetohydrodynamic turbulence is found by applying a wave-turbulence closure to the cumulant hierarchy constructed from the dynamical equations. Solutions are facilitated via asymptotic expansions in terms of the small parameter $\varepsilon$ , describing the ratio of time scales corresponding to Alfvénic propagation and nonlinear interactions between counter-propagating Alfvén waves. The strength of nonlinearity at a given spatial scale is further quantified by an integration over all possible delta-correlated modes compliant in a given set of three-wave interactions that are associated with energy flux through the said scale. The wave-turbulence closure for the two-time spectrum uncovers a secularity occurring on a time scale of order $\varepsilon ^{-2}$ , and the asymptotic expansion for the spectrum is reordered in a manner comparable to the one-time case. It is shown that for the regime of stationary turbulence, the two-time energy spectrum exponentially decays on a lagged time scale $(\varepsilon ^2 \gamma _k^s)^{-1}$ in proportion to the strength of the associated three-wave interactions, characterized by nonlinear decorrelation frequency $\gamma _k^s$ . The scaling of the form $k_{\perp } v_0 \chi _0$ exhibited by this frequency is reminiscent of random sweeping by the outer scale with characteristic fluctuation velocity $v_0$ that is modified due to competition with Alfvénic propagation (characterized by $\chi _0$ ) at the said scale. A brief calculation of frequency broadening of the power spectrum due to nonlinear interactions is also presented.

Physics↗

Parallel expansion of a fuel pellet plasmoid

The problem of the assimilation of a cryogenic fuel pellet injected into a hot plasma is considered. Due to the transparency to ambient particles of the plasmoid, the localised region of high-density plasma created by ionisation of the ablated pellet material, electrons reach a ‘quasiequilibrium’ (QE) state which is characterised by a steady-state on the fastest collisional time scale. The simplified electron kinetic equation of the QE state is solved. Taking a velocity moment of the higher-order electron kinetic equation, which is valid on the expansion time scale, permits a fluid closure, yielding an evolution equation for the macroscopic parameters describing the QE distribution function. In contrast to the Braginskii equations, the closure does not require that electrons have a short mean free path compared with the size of density perturbations, and permits an anisotropic and highly non-Maxwellian distribution function. As the QE distribution function accounts for both trapped and passing electrons, the self-consistent electric potential that causes the expansion can be properly described, in contrast to earlier models of pellet plasmoid expansion with an unbounded potential. The plasmoid expansion is simulated using both a Vlasov model and a cold-fluid model for the ions. During the expansion plasmoid ions and electrons obtain nearly equal amounts of energy; as hot ambient electrons provide this energy in the form of collisional heating of plasmoid electrons, the expansion of a pellet plasmoid is expected to be a potent mechanism for the transfer of energy from electrons to ions on a time scale shorter than that of ion–electron thermalisation.

Physics↗

From Weibel seeds to dynamo beyond pair-plasmas

Bridging the spatiotemporal scales of magnetic seed field generation and subsequent dynamo amplification in the weakly collisional intracluster medium presents an extreme numerical challenge. We perform collisionless turbulence simulations with initially unmagnetised electrons that capture both magnetic seed generation via the electron Weibel instability and the ensuing dynamo amplification. Going beyond existing pair-plasma studies, we use an ion-to-electron mass ratio of 100 for which we find electron and ion dynamics are sufficiently decoupled. These simulations are enabled by the 10-moment collisionless fluid solver of Gkeyll, which evolves the full pressure tensor for all species. The electron heat-flux closure regulates pressure isotropisation and effectively sets the magnetic Reynolds number. We investigate how the strength of the closure influences the transition between a regime reminiscent of previous kinetic pair-plasma simulations and a regime exhibiting dynamo behaviour qualitatively similar to magnetohydrodynamics.

astrophysical plasmas↗

The Role of Methylaryl Radicals in the Growth of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons: The Formation of Five-Membered Rings

The regions of the C 13 H 11 potential energy surface (PES) related to the unimolecular isomerization and decomposition of the 1-methylbiphenylyl radical and accessed by the 1-/2-methylnaphthyl + C 2 H 2 reactions have been explored by ab initio G3(MP2,CC)//B3LYP/6-311G(d,p) calculations. The kinetics of these reactions relevant to the growth of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) under high-temperature conditions in circumstellar envelopes and in combustion flames has been studied employing the RRKM-Master Equation approach. The unimolecular reaction of 1-methylbiphenylyl proceeding via a five-membered ring closure followed by H elimination is predicted to be very fast, on a submicrosecond scale above 1000 K and to result in the formation of an embedded five-membered ring in the 9H-fluorene product. The 1-/2-methylnaphthyl + C 2 H 2 reaction mechanism involves acetylene addition to the radical on the methylene group followed by a six- or five-membered ring closure and aromatization via an H atom loss. Despite of the complexity of the C 13 H 11 PES, these straightforward pathways are dominant in the high-temperature regime (above ~1000 K), with the prevailing products being phenalene, with a significant contribution of 1H-cyclopenta(a)naphthalene, for 1-methylnaphthyl + C 2 H 2 , and 1H-cyclopenta(b)naphthalene and 3H-cyclopenta(a)naphthalene, for 2-methylnaphthyl + C 2 H 2 . The methylnaphthyl reactions with acetylene represent a clean source of the three-ring PAHs, but they are relatively slow owing to the high entrance barriers of ~10 kcal/mol, with the rate constants of about an order of magnitude lower as compared to those for naphthyl + allene and σ-aryl + C 2 H 2 . Here, the 1-methylnaphthyl + C 2 H 2 and 2-methylnaphthyl + C 2 H 2 reactions represent prototypes for PAH growth by an extra six- and five-membered ring on a zigzag edge or a corner of PAH and the generated modified Arrhenius expressions are recommended for kinetic modeling of PAH expansion by the mechanism of acetylene addition to methylaryl radicals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Thermodynamics–Structure–Dynamics Correlations and Nonuniversal Effects in the Elastically Collective Activated Hopping Theory of Glass-Forming Liquids

We employ the microscopic Elastically Collective Nonlinear Langevin Equation (ECNLE) theory of activated dynamics in combination with crystal-avoiding simulations to study four inter-related questions for metastable monodisperse hard sphere fluids. The first is how significantly improved integral equation theory structural input (Modified-Verlet (MV) closure) changes the dynamical predictions of ECNLE theory. The main consequence is a modest enhancement of the importance of the collective elastic barrier relative to its local cage contribution, which increases the alpha relaxation time and fragility relative to prior results based on the Percus–Yevick closure. Second, ECNLE-MV theory predictions for the alpha time and self-diffusion constant in the metastable regime are quantitatively compared to our new simulations. The small adjustment of a numerical prefactor that enters the collective elastic barrier leads to quantitative agreement over three decades. Third, using the more accurate MV structural input, ECNLE theory is shown to predict thermodynamics–structure–dynamics “correlations” based on various long and short wavelength scalar properties all related to static two-point collective density fluctuations. The logarithm of the alpha relaxation time scales as a power law with these scalar metrics with an exponent that is significantly lower in the less dense noncooperative activated regime compared to the very dense highly cooperative regime. However, the discovered correlation of activated relaxation with a thermodynamic property (dimensionless compressibility) is not causal in ECNLE theory, but rather reflects a strong connection between the local structural quantities that quantify kinetic constraints in the theory with the amplitude of long wavelength density fluctuations. Fourth, the consequences of chemically specific nonuniversalities associated with the onset condition and relative importance of collective elasticity are studied. In conclusion, the predicted thermodynamics–structure–dynamics correlations are found to be robust, albeit with nontrivial shifts of the onset condition.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Geometrical Frustration and Defect Formation in Growth of Colloidal Nanoparticle Crystals on a Cylinder: Implications for Assembly of Chiral Nanomaterials

Using a combination of experiment and simulation, we study how two-dimensional (2D) crystals of colloidal nanoparticles grow on cylindrical substrates. The cylindrical geometry allows us to examine growth in the absence of Gaussian curvature but in the presence of a closure constraint - the requirement that a crystal loops back onto itself. In some cases, this constraint results in structures that have been observed previously in theory and nonequilibrium packing experiments: chiral crystals and crystals with linear defects known as "line slips". More generally, though, the structures we see differ from those that have been observed: the line slips are kinked and contain partial vacancies. We show that these structures arise because the cylinder changes how the crystal grows. After a crystal wraps around the cylinder and touches itself, it must grow preferentially along the cylinder axis. As a result, crystals with a chiral line slip tend to trap partial vacancies. Indeed, we find that line slips that are less aligned with the cylinder axis incorporate more partial vacancies on average than the ones that are more aligned. Here, these results show that crystal growth on a cylinder is frustrated by the closure requirement, a finding that may shed some light on the assembly of biological nanosystems such as tobacco mosaic virus and might inform ways to fabricate chiral optical nanomaterials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Improving the Physical Basis for Updraft Dynamics in Deep Convection Parameterizations

This article presents a new deep convective parameterization that determines cloud characteristics based on a specified cloud size distribution. The vertical profiles of cloud properties are determined by analytic equations, which formulate entrainment with an inverse relationship to cloud width. In line with recent studies of large eddy simulations (LES), cloud widths are assumed to be constant with height and vertical mass flux (M) characteristics of the clouds are therefore regulated by the vertical velocity profile. The parameterization is configured to work with existing cloud base M closure formulations, with the closure predicting the total cloud area rather than the cloud base M directly. Analytic formula are also used to connect the vertical wind shear magnitude to the cloud size distribution, wherein larger shear magnitudes result in more numerous large updrafts than weaker shear magnitudes, which is in line with recent research results. The parameterization is compared against 10 deep convective LES with varying thermodynamic and vertical wind shear profiles. Results show dramatic improvements in the prediction of normalized M, detrainment, and the properties of detrained air over the existing Zhang and McFarlane (1995) scheme. In particular, the new model is able to correctly portray the transition from a bottom-heavy M profile in weakly sheared environments, to a top-heavy M profile in strongly sheared environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗