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At least 451 records · Page 25

Reacting CO 2 with Light Alkanes to Value-Added Products

Catalytic conversion of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) into value-added products is a promising strategy to mitigate global carbon emissions. Concurrently, the shale gas revolution has provided an abundant supply of light alkanes (methane, ethane, propane, and butane), presenting a unique opportunity to employ these underutilized hydrocarbons as an effective, low-cost hydrogen source for CO 2 reduction. In this Perspective, we summarize past efforts, current state, and future opportunities for reacting CO 2 with light alkanes to generate a diverse range of value-added products. Compared with direct alkane conversion, the introduction of CO 2 fundamentally alters reaction thermodynamics and kinetics, enabling selective C–H and C–C bond activation while suppressing catalyst deactivation from coke formation. Building on decades of research in dry reforming and CO 2 -assisted dehydrogenation, recent advances in catalyst design have enabled CO 2 -assisted dehydrogenation processes that approach chemical equilibrium for the selective production of olefins and syngas. Importantly, advances in catalyst design and reactor engineering have further expanded the product scope beyond gas-phase (syngas and olefins) to include liquid-phase (oxygenates and aromatics), and solid-phase products (carbon nanomaterials). We highlight key catalyst design principles for controlling reaction pathways and discuss major challenges and opportunities in developing selective and versatile platforms for the simultaneous upgrading of CO 2 and light alkanes.

CO2↗

Novel Microbial Routes to Synthesize Industrially Significant Precursor Compounds

Ethylene is the most widely employed organic precursor compound in industry. The potential to impact ethylene formation via recently discovered microbial processes is tenable using plentiful CO2 feedstocks. The overall long-term objective of this project was to develop an industrially compatible microbial process to synthesize ethylene in high yields. The key objective of this project was to fully define and initially characterized a recently discovered and genetically regulated anaerobic pathway to produce high levels of ethylene called the Dihydroxyacetone Phosphate - Ethylene Pathway in phototrophic bacteria. This was addressed through the following specific aims: 1. Fully probe the catalytic potential of all enzymes of the DHAP ethylene pathway and determine the regulatory mechanism of DHAP-ethylene pathway gene expression. 2. Discover effective and active ethylene enzymes encoded in cultured and uncultured organisms from anoxic environments. 3.Model the thermodynamics and kinetics of ethylene synthetic pathways to guide engineering efforts in integrating best performing DHAP-ethylene pathway enzymes into model bacteria chassis for enhance ethylene yields. Through this project we discovered the initially missing genetic and enzyme component of the DHAP-ethylene pathway that directly synthesized ethylene and other important industrial compounds like methane and ethane from specific substrates. We uncovered and partially characterized a nitrogenase-like reductase that functions in DHAP-ethylene pathway specifically and in methionine synthesis in general. This nitrogenase-like system is called the Methylthio-Alkane Reductase (MAR) for its ability to cleave volatile organic sulfur compounds into methanethiol (CH3-SH) for methionine synthesis and a hydrocarbon byproduct. Key to the DHAP-ethylene pathway, MAR is the essential enzyme that cleaves 2-methylthioethanol (CH3-S-CH2-CH2-OH) into ethylene. Coordinately, we uncovered that the MAR genes and genes associated with conversion of methanethiol (CH3-SH) to methionine are under genetic control of a LysR Type Transcriptional Regulator called SalR, whose activity is dependent upon the amount of sulfate available to the cell. When sulfate as the preferred sulfur source for cell growth drops below 200 micromolar, SalR become active for expressing the MAR and methionine biosynthesis genes to enable the cell to grow from volatile organic sulfur compounds and make ethylene. Metabolic thermos-kinetic modeling revealed that these MAR reactions for ethylene and other hydrocarbon production are highly thermodynamically favorable and are one of the largest driving forces for ethylene production by the DHAP-ethylene pathway for high ethylene yields. Modeling also indicated that a key aldolase and to a lesser extent an isomerase of the DHAP-ethylene pathway for production of the ethylene precursor, 2-methylthioethanol, also would increase ethylene yields. Through metagenomic mining and gene synthesis by the JGI DNA synthesis program, over 500 aldolase and isomerase homologs were synthesized and screened. From this, variants were uncovered with substantially higher activity that increased ethylene yields 5-fold via the aldolase reaction and 1.5-fold via the isomerase reaction. Each of these elements that increase ethylene production were integrated together via plasmid under appropriate gene promoter elements in the phototrophic bacterium, Rhodospirillum rubrum, resulting in at least 3 orders of magnitude increase in ethylene yield from carbon dioxide feedstock.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Room-Temperature Formate Ester Transfer Hydrogenation Enables an Electrochemical/Thermal Organometallic Cascade for Methanol Synthesis from CO 2

The reduction of CO 2 to synthetic fuels is a valuable strategy for energy storage. However, the formation of energy-dense liquid fuels such as methanol remains rare, particularly under low-temperature and low-pressure conditions that can be coupled to renewable electricity sources via electrochemistry. Here, in this study, a multicatalyst system pairing an electrocatalyst with a thermal organometallic catalyst is introduced, which enables the reduction of CO 2 to methanol at ambient temperature and pressure. The cascade methanol synthesis proceeds via CO 2 reduction to formate by electrocatalyst [Cp*Ir(bpy)Cl] + (Cp*=pentamethylcyclopentadienyl, bpy=2,2'-bipyridine), Fischer esterification of formate to isopropyl formate catalyzed by trifluoromethanesulfonic acid (HOTf), and thermal transfer hydrogenation of isopropyl formate to methanol facilitated by the organometallic catalyst (H-PNP)Ir(H) 3 (H-PNP=HN(C 2 H 4 P i Pr 2 ) 2 ). The isopropanol solvent plays several crucial roles: activating formate ion as isopropyl formate, donating hydrogen for the reduction of formate ester to methanol via transfer hydrogenation, and lowering the barrier for transfer hydrogenation through hydrogen bonding interactions. In addition to reporting a method for room-temperature reduction of challenging ester substrates, this work provides a prototype for pairing electrochemical and thermal organometallic reactions that will guide the design and development of multicatalyst cascades.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High-temperature carbon dioxide capture in a porous material with terminal zinc hydride sites

Carbon capture can mitigate point-source carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions, but hurdles remain that impede the widespread adoption of amine-based technologies. Capturing CO 2 at temperatures closer to those of many industrial exhaust streams (>200°C) is of interest, although metal oxide absorbents that operate at these temperatures typically exhibit sluggish CO 2 absorption kinetics and instability to cycling. Here, in this study, we report a porous metal–organic framework featuring terminal zinc hydride sites that reversibly bind CO 2 at temperatures above 200°C—conditions that are unprecedented for intrinsically porous materials. Gas adsorption, structural, spectroscopic, and computational analyses elucidate the rapid, reversible nature of this transformation. Extended cycling and breakthrough analyses reveal that the material is capable of deep carbon capture at low CO 2 concentrations and high temperatures relevant to postcombustion capture.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Establishing Validation Sites for Field-Level Emissions Quantification from Grain Sorghum in Southern Great Plains

Establish publicly available open-source, high-resolution datasets of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, meteorology, soil, and vegetation to support testing and validation of emerging biofuel production monitoring technologies. The project team deployed latest technologies to collect “Gold Standard” data for field- level fluxes of CO 2 , N 2 O, CH 4 and H 2 O in grain sorghum production systems in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. The Oklahoma State University led SMARTFARM was initiated on Oct 1, 2020, due to COVID-19 pandemic delay. We installed closed-path dual laser Eddy Covariance (EC) flux measurement system along with a well-established open-path EC system for simultaneously measuring field-level fluxes of CO 2 , N 2 O, CH 4 , and H2O. The eddy flux data are combined with sub-acre soil moisture and temperature measurements, plant and soil analysis data (nutrient, composition, carbon, growth, and phenology), spatial surveys of soil EC, and pH. Grain sorghum crop was managed including planting and harvesting by producers. All teams recruited postdocs and students for the project and submitted purchase orders for field equipment. The team has developed a draft impact sheet and finalized the advisory board for the project.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Solvent Impregnated Polymers Loaded with Liquid-Like Nanoparticle Organic Hybrid Materials for Enhanced Kinetics of Direct Air Capture and Point Source CO 2 Capture

Hybrid CO 2 capture materials, solvent impregnated polymers (SIPs), are developed based on a simple and scalable encapsulation technique to enhance CO 2 capture kinetics of water-lean solvents with high viscosity. Liquid-like nanoparticle organic hybrid materials functionalized with polyethylenimine (NOHM-I-PEI) are incorporated into a shell material and UV-cured to produce gas-permeable solid sorbents with uniform NOHMs loading (NPEI-SIPs). The CO 2 capture kinetics of NPEI-SIPs show a remarkable 50-fold increase compared to that of neat NOHM-I-PEI due to a large increase in the NOHMs-CO 2 interfacial surface area provided by the SIP design. The optimum NOHM-I-PEI loading and sorption temperature are found to be ≈49 wt% and 50 °C, respectively, and NPEI-SIPs exhibit great thermal stability over 20 CO 2 capture/sorbent regeneration temperature swing cycles. The pseudoequilibrium CO 2 loadings of NPEI-SIPs under humid conditions are as high as 3.1 mmol CO 2 g -1 NPEI - SIPs for 15 vol% CO 2 (postcombustion capture) and 1.7 mmol CO 2 g -1 NPEI - SIPs for 400 ppm (direct air capture). Overall, these findings suggest that NPEI-SIPs can effectively capture CO 2 from a wide range of CO 2 concentrations including direct air capture while allowing the flexible design of CO 2 capture reactors by combining the benefits of liquid solvents and solid sorbents.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impact of electrolyte solutions on carbon dioxide fixation in single chamber Al–CO 2 battery

Governments and research & development (R&D) organizations are actively initiating various programs and research strategies for CO 2 capture, its utilization, and integration with long duration energy storage from renewable sources worldwide. In line with the carbon capture goals, here we report a novel electrochemical Al-CO 2 battery cell, that can simultaneously capture CO 2 and convert it into value-added products, in addition to long-duration energy generation and storage. Here, this innovative approach employs cost-effective Al metal as an anode and an in-house synthesized Ni–Fe based bimetallic double hydroxide catalyst as the cathode, with meticulously optimized compositions and morphologies. We explore the impact of different aqueous electrolyte solutions compositions on the cell performance, demonstrating up to 10 h of stable long duration energy storage with a stable voltage profile. The cell exhibits low polarization even at high current densities of up to 12 mA cm -2 and maintains stable cycling over 500 h. Through Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), Raman spectroscopy, X-ray Diffraction and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) analysis, we determined that the discharge product is either NaAlCO 3 (OH) 2 or KAlCO 3 (OH) 2 , distinct from the Al 2 (CO 3 ) 3 typically reported in conventional Al–CO 2 batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A Gate-to-Gate Life Cycle Assessment for the CO 2 -EOR Operations at Farnsworth Unit (FWU)

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions related to the Farnsworth Unit’s (FWU) carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery (CO 2 -EOR) operations were accounted for through a gate-to-gate life cycle assessment (LCA) for a period of about 10 years, since start of injection to 2020, and predictions of 18 additional years of the CO 2 -EOR operation were made. The CO 2 source for the FWU project has been 100% anthropogenically derived from the exhaust of an ethanol plant and a fertilizer plant. A cumulative amount of 5.25 × 106 tonnes of oil has been recovered through the injection of 1.64 × 106 tonnes of purchased CO 2 , of which 92% was stored during the 10-year period. An LCA analysis conducted on the various unit emissions of the FWU process yielded a net negative (positive storage) of 1.31 × 106 tonnes of CO 2 equivalent, representing 79% of purchased CO 2 . An optimized 18-year forecasted analysis estimated 86% storage of the forecasted 3.21 × 106 tonnes of purchased CO 2 with an equivalent 2.90 × 106 tonnes of crude oil produced by 2038. Major contributors to emissions were flaring/venting and energy usage for equipment. Improvements on the energy efficiency of equipment would reduce emissions further but this could be challenging. Improvement of injection capacity and elimination of venting/flaring or fugitive gas are methods more likely to be utilized for reducing net emissions and are the cases used for the optimized scenario in this work. This LCA illustrated the potential for the CO 2 -EOR operations in the FWU to store more CO 2 with minimal emissions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Liquid–Solid Boundaries Dominate Activity of CO 2 Reduction on Gas-Diffusion Electrodes

Electrochemical CO 2 electrolysis to produce hydrocarbon fuels or material feedstocks offers a renewable alternative to fossilized carbon sources. Gas-diffusion electrodes (GDEs), composed of solid electrocatalysts on porous supports positioned near the interface of a conducting electrolyte and CO 2 gas, have been able to demonstrate the substantial current densities needed for future commercialization. These higher reaction rates have often been ascribed to the presence of a three-phase interface, where solid, liquid, and gas provide electrons, water, and CO 2 , respectively. Conversely, mechanistic work on electrochemical reactions implicates a fully two-phase reaction interface, where gas molecules reach the electrocatalyst’s surface by dissolution and diffusion through the electrolyte. Because the discrepancy between an atomistic three-phase versus two-phase reaction has substantial implications for the design of catalysts, gas-diffusion layers, and cell architectures, the nuances of nomenclatures and governing phenomena surrounding the three-phase-region require clarification. In this paper we outline the macro, micro, and atomistic phenomena occurring within a gas-diffusion electrode to provide a focused discussion on the architecture of the often-discussed three-phase region for CO 2 electrolysis. From this information, we comment on the outlook for the broader CO 2 electroreduction GDE cell architecture.

CO2 reduction↗

Techno-economic analysis and network design for CO 2 conversion to jet fuels in the United States

The conversion of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) into jet fuel holds significant potential for reducing CO 2 emissions, providing an alternative to carbon-based resources, and offering a renewable means of energy storage. The objective of this study is to conduct a techno-economic analysis and optimize the supply chain network for converting CO 2 to jet fuel in the United States, aiming to minimize total costs while assessing the environmental and economic feasibility of two CO 2 conversion pathways. This first pathway is based on Fischer-Tropsch synthesis (FTS), and the other one is based on the valorization and upgrading of light methanol (MeOH). Incorporating spatial and techno-economic data, a mixed-integer linear programming model was developed to select source plants and conversion pathways, locations of conversion refinery sites, and the amount of captured CO 2 across the United States. The optimal results indicate that the FTS pathway is adopted at all selected refineries when the hydrogen price is 1000 dollars/t and the operating cost, mainly electricity used in conversion, is reduced to 5 % of its current level. Under this scenario, the total annual profit is 8 billion dollars, and the net carbon emissions are -88,783,284 tons. The sensitivity analyses reveal that the prices of electricity and hydrogen significantly contribute to total production costs. The CO 2 recycle percentage of the FTS pathway influences the choice of applied pathways at refineries. Additionally, a higher conversion rate holds a substantial promise for reducing the total production cost and can make the MeOH pathway a viable choice.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Observed declines in leaf nitrogen explained by photosynthetic acclimation to CO 2

Widespread evidence of decreasing leaf nutrients has raised concerns about ecosystem productivity under global change. Interpreting trends in leaf nutrients has important implications for the fate of ecosystem services, particularly the role of forests in mitigating climate change and sustaining quality food sources. Here, we challenge the common interpretation that decreasing leaf nitrogen concentration (LNC) is evidence of increasing nutrient limitations on ecosystem primary productivity. Instead, we show that declines in LNC (4% decrease per 50 ppm CO 2 increase), observed across 409 European forest plots over 22 y, can be explained by reduced photosynthetic nitrogen demand. This regional trend is consistent with leaf acclimation to increasing atmospheric CO 2 according to optimality theory. This finding suggests that enhanced photosynthetic nitrogen use efficiency due to CO 2 fertilization may lead to less nitrogen uptake and/or reallocation of nitrogen for plant growth and other functions. Our results have large implications for understanding and simulating interactions between ecosystem nitrogen and carbon cycles and suggest nitrogen requirements for terrestrial carbon uptake under elevated CO 2 may be lower than previously thought.

CO2 fertilization↗

The oxidative pentose phosphate pathway in photosynthesis: a tale of two shunts

CO 2 release in the light (R L ) and its presumed source, oxidative pentose phosphate pathways, were found to be insensitive to CO 2 concentration. The oxidative pentose phosphate pathways form glucose 6-phosphate (G6P) shunts that bypass the nonoxidative pentose phosphate reactions of the Calvin–Benson cycle. Using adenosine diphosphate glucose and uridine diphosphate glucose as proxies for labeling of G6P in the stroma and cytosol respectively, it was found that only the cytosolic shunt was active. Uridine diphosphate glucose, a proxy for cytosolic G6P, and 6-phosphogluconate (6PG) were significantly less labeled than Calvin–Benson cycle intermediates in the light. But ADP glucose, a proxy for stromal G6P, is labeled to the same degree as Calvin–Benson cycle intermediates and much greater than 6PG. A metabolically inert pool of sedoheptulose bisphosphate can slowly equilibrate keeping the label in sedoheptulose lower than in other stromal metabolites. Finally, phosphorylation of fructose 6-phosphate (F6P) in the cytosol can allow some unlabeled carbon in cytosolic F6P to dilute label in phosphenolpyruvate. The results clearly show that there is oxidative pentose phosphate pathway activity in the cytosol that provides a shunt around the nonoxidative pentose phosphate pathway reactions of the Calvin–Benson cycle and is not strongly CO 2 -sensitive.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Bedroom Concentrations and Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds during Sleep

Because humans spend about one-third of their time asleep in their bedrooms and are themselves emission sources of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), it is important to specifically characterize the composition of the bedroom air that they experience during sleep. This work uses real-time indoor and outdoor measurements of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) to examine concentration enhancements in bedroom air during sleep and to calculate VOC emission rates associated with sleeping occupants. Gaseous VOCs were measured with proton-transfer reaction time-of-flight mass spectrometry during a multiweek residential monitoring campaign under normal occupancy conditions. Results indicate high emissions of nearly 100 VOCs and other species in the bedroom during sleeping periods as compared to the levels in other rooms of the same residence. Air change rates for the bedroom and, correspondingly, emission rates of sleeping-associated VOCs were determined for two bounding conditions: (1) air exchange between the bedroom and outdoors only and (2) air exchange between the bedroom and other indoor spaces only (as represented by measurements in the kitchen). VOCs from skin oil oxidation and personal care products were present, revealing that many emission pathways can be important occupant-associated emission factors affecting bedroom air composition in addition to direct emissions from building materials and furnishings.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effects of water recirculation on microalgae assemblage and corresponding sustainability of the photobioreactor cultivation system

An algae photobioreactor (APB) was used to determine the effect of water recirculation on the growth of algal assemblage. CO 2 in the flue gas from a power plant was the carbon source. Boiler water was used as the source water. The results showed that microalgae cultivation under recirculation conditions was stable over a period of four months. Biomass productivities during the 1st through 4th months of recirculation (0.26, 0.23, 0.20, and 0.18 g L –1 d –1 , respectively) were not significantly different than freshwater (0.22 g L –1 d –1 ). Furthermore, the relationship between eukaryotic and bacterial domains in the assemblage remained consistent throughout the four months of recirculation (80.7, 87.1, 83.1, and 82.1%, respectively, and 19.2, 12.8, 16.9, and 17.8%, respectively). This was not significantly different than the abundance of each domain in the control freshwater cultivation (83.7% eukaryotic and 16.2% bacterial). A 1 m 3 photobioreactor was then envisioned for a mass, energy, and exergy analysis to evaluate the water recirculation on sustainability of the culture system. The mass balance analysis concluded that 98% reduction in water usage, 25% reduction in nitrogen, and 12.5% reduction in phosphorus could be achieved during cultivation operating under recirculation for one year, while maintaining biomass productivity of 1.2 kg wet algal biomass and sequestration of 0.4 kg CO 2 per day. Furthermore, the exergy balance analysis concluded that without considering solar irradiation, the culture with water recirculation greatly enhanced the rational exergy efficiency, which represents a more sustainable cultivation system for CO 2 capture and utilization.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Optimal Design and Techno-Economic Analysis of 3D-Printed, Intensified Packings for Absorbers and Strippers in Solvent-Based CO 2 Capture

A potential technology for the CO 2 absorption process is utilizing intensified structured packing with embedded cooling/heating channels for continuous heat exchange, which can overcome limitations of discrete methods, such as discrete intercooling and centralized reboilers, to aid in reducing energy consumption and decreasing costs. This work investigates the modeling of intensified packing (IP) for the stripper tower, extending on previous work for the absorber, which distributes heat internally within the column, improving the thermodynamics for the solvent regeneration process. The model includes submodels for steam turbine extraction to produce steam at various qualities as well as a surrogate model for calculating steam enthalpy. A cost model for a plant-scale absorption capture process was developed, allowing for the design of the plant to be optimized, subject to minimizing capture cost using two different power plant flue gas sources. In this optimization, the placement of IP in both towers is optimized to balance the trade-off between enhanced heat transfer and reduced mass transfer volume. For natural gas combined cycle flue gas, the standard process configuration had a minimum cost of $\$$65.40/tonne CO 2 , and considering IP, the minimum capture cost is reduced to $\$$62.73/tonne, with utilization in the stripper column, which reduces yearly costs by up to $\$$2.67 MM/yr. Cooling the absorber through IP, or intercoolers, was only found to be beneficial at higher capture rates, with IP in both towers having a cost of capture of $\$$68.08/tonne at 99.9% capture, a reduction of $\$$12.64/tonne when using only intercoolers at the same capture rate. When capturing from pulverized-coal power plants, the minimum cost of capture when using IP in both towers is $\$$44.18/tonne (at 97% capture), while the standard configuration with and without intercoolers was $\$$45.69 and $\$$47.22 per tonne, respectively. This results in a reduction in yearly costs of $\$$16.98 MM/yr from the base-case configuration. At this higher CO 2 concentration, cooling in the absorber from the IP becomes extremely beneficial, reducing energy consumption by up to 6%.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Performance and cost analysis of liquid fuel production from H 2 and CO 2 based on the Fischer-Tropsch process

Electro-fuels can be produced from concentrated sources of carbon dioxide and hydrogen using electricity generated from renewable sources; this process enables energy storage at high volumetric energy density. Among the electro-fuels options, FT (Fischer-Tropsch) fuel is attractive for heavy-duty trucks and non-road transportation applications. This study conducts a techno-economic analysis of FT liquid fuel production from H 2 and CO 2 using a detailed performance analysis. Minimum fuel selling price is estimated for a broad range of H 2 and CO 2 prices and for a range of potential CO 2 credits. The analysis indicates that H 2 price has the largest impact on the minimum selling price of FT fuel. FT fuel production with a CO 2 price of $17.3/metric ton requires an H 2 price of $0.8/kg to be cost-competitive with the pre-tax petroleum diesel price of $3.1/gal in 2050 (before the application of any CO 2 credits). When the H 2 price is $2.0/kg from central water electrolysis (2020 target), the minimum selling price of the FT fuel is $5.4–5.9/gal. A sensitivity analysis shows that future system optimization of FT fuel production could focus on improving the H 2 and CO 2 recycle contributions and FT fuel conversion ratio. The analysis results can be combined with various upstream systems for H 2 and CO 2 production.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Techno-economic and life cycle analysis of synthetic natural gas production from low-carbon H 2 and point-source or atmospheric CO 2 in the United States

Synthetic natural gas (SNG) is of great interest in reducing fossil energy consumption while maintaining compatibility with existing NG infrastructure and end-use applications equipment. SNG can be produced using clean H 2 generated from renewable or nuclear energy and CO 2 captured from stationary sources or the atmosphere. In this study, we develop an engineering process model of SNG production using Aspen Plus® and production scales reported by the industry. We examine the levelized cost and life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of SNG production under various CO 2 supply scenarios. Considering the higher cost of H 2 transportation compared with CO 2 transportation, we assume that CO 2 feedstock is transported via pipeline to the H 2 production location, which is collocated with the SNG plant. We also evaluate the cost of CO 2 captured from the atmosphere, assuming the direct air capture process can occur near the SNG facility. Depending on the CO 2 supply chain, the levelized cost of SNG is estimated to be in the range of $\$45–76$ per million British thermal units (MMBtu) on a higher heating value (HHV) basis. The SNG production cost may be reduced to $\$27–57$/MMBtu-HHV by applying a tax credit available in the United States for low-carbon H 2 production (45V). With a lower electricity price of 3¢/kWh for water electrolysis and accounting for a 45V tax credit, the SNG cost reaches parity with the cost of fossil NG. Depending on the CO 2 supply chain, SNG can reduce life cycle GHG emissions by 52–88% compared with fossil NG.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Forest responses to simulated elevated CO 2 under alternate hypotheses of size- and age-dependent mortality

Elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide (eCO 2 ) is predicted to increase growth rates of forest trees. The extent to which increased growth translates to changes in biomass is dependent on the turnover time of the carbon, and thus tree mortality rates. Size- or age-dependent mortality combined with increased growth rates could result in either decreased carbon turnover from a speeding up of tree life cycles, or increased biomass from trees reaching larger sizes, respectively. However, most vegetation models currently lack any representation of size- or age-dependent mortality and the effect of eCO 2 on changes in biomass and carbon turnover times is thus a major source of uncertainty in predictions of future vegetation dynamics. Using a reduced-complexity form of the vegetation demographic model the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator to simulate an idealised tropical forest, we find increases in biomass despite reductions in carbon turnover time in both size- and age-dependent mortality scenarios in response to a hypothetical eCO 2 -driven 25% increase in woody net primary productivity (wNPP). Carbon turnover times decreased by 9.6% in size-dependent mortality scenarios due to a speeding up of tree life cycles, but also by 2.0% when mortality was age-dependent, as larger crowns led to increased light competition. Increases in aboveground biomass (AGB) were much larger when mortality was age-dependent (24.3%) compared with size-dependent (13.4%) as trees reached larger sizes before death. In simulations with a constant background mortality rate, carbon turnover time decreased by 2.1% and AGB increased by 24.0%, however, absolute values of AGB and carbon turnover were higher than in either size- or age-dependent mortality scenario. The extent to which AGB increases and carbon turnover decreases will thus depend on the mechanisms of large tree mortality: if increased size itself results in elevated mortality rates, then this could reduce by about half the increase in AGB relative to the increase in wNPP.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗