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At least 451 records · Page 25

Simulating nationwide coupled disease and fear spread in an agent-based model

Human cognitive responses, behavioral responses, and disease dynamics co-evolve over the course of any disease outbreak, and can result in complex feedbacks. We present a dynamic agent-based model that explicitly couples the spread of disease with the spread of fear surrounding the disease, implemented within the EpiCast simulation framework. EpiCast models transmission within a realistic synthetic population, capturing individual-level interactions. In our model, fear propagates through both in-person contact and broadcast media, prompting individuals to adopt protective behaviors that reduce disease spread. In order to better understand these coupled dynamics, we create and compare a range of compartmental models to ensure that introducing additional disease states does not prevent the emergence of multiple waves in these simpler models. Additionally, we compare a range of behavioral scenarios within EpiCast, varying the level and intensity of fear and behavior change. Our results show that the addition of asymptomatic, exposed, and pre-symptomatic disease states can impact both the rate at which an outbreak progresses and its overall trajectory in compartmental models. In EpiCast, the combination of non-local fear spread via broadcasters and strong behavioral responses by fearful individuals generally leads to multiple epidemic waves, an outcome that occurs only within a narrow parameter range when fear spreads purely through local contact. Accounting for the coupled spread of fear and disease is critical for understanding disease dynamics and designing timely, targeted responses to emerging infectious threats.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

OpenABLext: An automatic code generation framework for agent-based simulations on CPU-GPU-FPGA heterogeneous platforms

The execution of agent-based simulations (ABSs) on hardware accelerator devices such as graphics processing units (GPUs) has been shown to offer great performance potentials. However, in heterogeneous hardware environments, it can become increasingly difficult to find viable partitions of the simulation and provide implementations for different hardware devices. To automate this process, we present OpenABLext, an extension to OpenABL, a model specification language for ABSs. By providing a device-aware OpenCL backend, OpenABLext enables the co-execution of ABS on heterogeneous hardware platforms consisting of central processing units, GPUs, and field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs).We present a novel online dispatching method that efficiently profiles partitions of the simulation during run-time to optimize the hardware assignment while using the profiling results to advance the simulation itself. In addition, OpenABLext features automated conflict resolution based on user-specified rules, supports graph-based simulation spaces, and utilizes an efficient neighbor search algorithm. We show the improved performance of OpenABLext and demonstrate the potential of FPGAs in the context of ABS. We illustrate how co-execution can be used to further lower execution times. OpenABLext can be seen as an enabler to tap the computing power of heterogeneous hardware platforms for ABS.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Enhancing Charge Transport of 2D Perovskite Passivation Agent for Wide-Bandgap Perovskite Solar Cells Beyond 21%

The replacement of a small amount of organic cations with bulkier organic spacer cations in the perovskite precursor solution to form a 2D perovskite passivation agent (2D-PPA) in 3D perovskite thin films has recently become a promising strategy for developing perovskite solar cells (PSCs) with long-term stability and high efficiency. However, the long, bulky organic cations often form a barrier, hindering charge transport. In this study, for the first time, 2D-PPA engineering based on wide-bandgap (~1.68?eV) perovskites are reported. Pentafluorophenethylammonium (F5PEA+) is introduced to partially replace phenylethylammonium (PEA+) as the 2D-PPA, forming a strong noncovalent interaction between the two bulky cations. The charge transport across and within the planes of pure 2D perovskites, based on mixed ammoniums, increases by a factor of five and three compared with that of mono-cation 2D perovskites, respectively. The perovskite films based on mixed-ammonium (F5PEA+-PEA+) 2D-PPA exhibit similar surface morphology and crystal structure, but longer carrier lifetime, lower exciton binding energy, less trap density and higher conductivity, in comparison with those using mono-cation (PEA+) 2D-PPA. The performance of PSCs based on mixed-cation 2D-PPA is enhanced from 19.58% to 21.10% along with improved stability, which is the highest performance for reported wide-bandgap PSCs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Leveraging inter-firm influence in the diffusion of energy efficiency technologies: An agent-based model

Energy efficiency technologies (EETs) are crucial for saving energy and reducing carbon dioxide emissions. However, the diffusion of EETs in small and medium-sized enterprises is rather slow. Literature shows the interactions between innovation adopters and potential adopters have significant impacts on innovation diffusion. Enterprises lack the motivation to share information, and EETs usually lack observability, which suppress the inter-firm influence. Thus, an information platform, together with proper policies encouraging or forcing enterprises to disclose EET-related information, should help harness inter-firm influence to accelerate EETs' diffusion. To explore whether and how such an information platform affects EETs' diffusion in small and medium-sized enterprises, this report builds an agent-based model to mimic EET diffusion processes. Based on a series of controlled numerical experiments, some counter-intuitive phenomena are discovered and explained. The results show that the information platform is a double-edged sword that notably accelerates EETs' diffusion by approximately 47% but may also boost negative information to diffuse even faster and delay massive adoption of EETs. Increasing network density and the intensity of inter-firm influence are effective to speed EET diffusion, but their impacts diminish drastically after reaching some critical values (0.05 and 0.15 respectively) and eventually harm the stability of the system. Ultimately, the findings implicate that EET suppliers should carefully launch their promising but immature products; policies that can reduce the perceived risk by enterprises and the effort to maintain an informative rather than judgmental information platform can prominently mitigate the negative side effects brought by high fluidity of information.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Ten questions concerning agent-based modeling of occupant behavior for energy and environmental performance of buildings

We report the complexity of occupant behavior is one of the major contributors to uncertainty in building performance simulation. Agent-based modeling (ABM), a computational simulation technique, has gained attention in the occupant modeling field due to its capability and flexibility to capture the heterogeneity and dynamics of human behavior and the emergent effects. While multiple efforts in the past decade have demonstrated the usefulness of the ABM approach for simulating occupants and their impacts on building performance, several crucial matters in the ABM research still remain unexplored. This paper presents ten questions that highlight the most important issues regarding ABM research and applications for occupant behavior in the context of building performance simulation. The questions and answers aim to provide insights into current and future ABM research, and more importantly to inspire new significant questions from young researchers in the field. This research is part of the IEA EBC Annex 79 project, occupant-centric building design and operation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Hinderance of C-S-H sheet piling during first drying using a shrinkage reducing agent: A SAXS study

The role of a shrinkage reducing agent (SRA) in the hardened cement paste during a first desorption process was investigated by measuring the small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS). Fractal disc analysis and Guinier approximation were adopted to interpret the SAXS profiles. We experimentally confirmed that the presence of SRA molecules mitigated the piling of calcium-silicate hydrate (C-S-H) sheets, which could be monitored by the increase in the thickness of the disc, representing the agglomeration of C-S-H sheets. In addition, the basal spacing of C-S-H did not change during the drying. By contrast, the diameter of the discs monotonically decreased and showed a similar trend to that of samples lacking SRA. Based on these findings, we concluded that SRA molecules were on the surface of the C-S-H sheets and mitigated the piling, facilitating water removal from the C-S-H agglomeration in the RH range of 80–40%.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Agent-based simulation and child protection systems: Rationale, implementation, and verification

Simulation models are an important tool used in health care and other disciplines to support operational research and decision-making. In the child protection literature, simulation models are an under-utilized source of research evidence. Here, in this paper, we describe the rationale for and the development of an agent-based simulation of a child protection system in the US. Using the investigation, prevention service, and placement histories of 600,000 children served in an urban child welfare system, we walk the reader through the development of a prototype known as OSPEDALE. The governing equations built into OSPEDALE probabilistically simulate the onset of investigations. Then, drawing from empirical survival distributions, the governing equations trace the probability of subsequent interactions with the system (recurrence of maltreatment, service referrals, and placement) conditional on the characteristics of children, their assessed risk level, and prior child protection system involvement. As an initial test of OSPEDALE's utility, we compare empirical admission counts with counts generated from OSPEDALE. Though the verification step is admittedly simple, the comparison shows that OSPEDALE replicates the empirical count of new admissions closely enough to justify further investment in OSPEDALE. Management of public child protection systems is increasingly research evidence-dependent. The emphasis on research evidence as a decision-support tool has elevated evidence acquired through randomized clinical trials. Though important, the evidence from clinical trials represents only one type of research evidence. Properly specified, simulation models are another source of evidence with real-world relevance.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Agent-based modeling to evaluate the effects of harvesting biomass and hunting on ring-necked pheasant ( Phasianus colchicus ) populations

As the US strives to divest from fossil fuels, dedicated energy crops have increased in popularity because of their potential to serve as a renewable source of transportation fuel and biomass-generated electricity. Whereas the impacts of crop agriculture on biodiversity have been well-documented, less is known about the potential impacts that growing bioenergy crops could have on wildlife. Here we look specifically at the ring-necked pheasant (Phasianus colchicus) and how pheasant populations may be influenced by growing and harvesting bioenergy crops. We explored effects of temporal harvest strategies at the field scale on biomass yield and pheasant population size. To investigate, we developed an agent-based model (ABM) that simulates ring-necked pheasants, tractors, hunters, and vegetation classes. One such vegetation class is land that is enrolled in a Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) plan specifically targeting pheasant conservation. Using this ABM, we assessed four different landscapes—corn-dominated, CRP-dominated, grassland-dominated, and mixed landscape—under strategies that varied the time of harvest. We also used ecological valuation to compare scenario outcomes from an economic perspective. We determined that biomass yield and pheasant population size were sensitive to harvesting times. Our scenarios totaled between ~$931,000 (minimum) and $3.8 million (maximum) over all landscapes, though on average harvesting in late spring generated the most value ($2.45 million) and harvesting in fall was a close second in terms of profitability ($2.39 million).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Agentic framework for programmatic crystal structure generation using a fine-tuned worker–supervisor large language model

Platinum group metals (PGMs) underpin many catalytic technologies but face severe supply constraints, motivating the search for alternative materials and computational methods to accelerate discovery. While atomistic simulation tools such as Pymatgen and ASE have streamlined structure manipulation, they require detailed inputs, limiting accessibility for experimentalists and slowing early-stage exploration. Here, in this study, we present an AI-driven agentic framework that orchestrates worker–supervisor large language models (LLMs). The worker translates natural-language prompts of varying abstraction into valid crystallographic structures using a compact LLM fine-tuned with low-rank adaptation on a curated text–code–CIF dataset, emphasizing energy-efficient training. Benchmarking against the baseline CodeGen-350M-mono model shows that fine-tuning reduces hallucination rates from 100% to as low as 5% and improves structural match accuracy to up to 82% for fully specified inputs. Accuracy declines with decreasing prompt detail but remains nontrivial even when only stoichiometry and space group are provided, underscoring the LLM’s capacity for crystallographic inference. The supervisor Claude LLM evaluates the outputs and triggers iterative refinement through the worker’s built-in structure manipulation capabilities (e.g., supercell scaling, strain, vacancy, and substitution operations). We further demonstrate use cases for technologically relevant catalysts, including IrO 2 , pyrochlore Pb 2 Ir 2 O 7 , Ni 2 FeO 4 , and Ni 3 Mo, where the framework generates physically consistent structures that can be refined via geometry optimization. This work introduces a low-energy, language-driven pathway for integrating human and machine intelligence in materials design, paving the way for AI-assisted synthesis planning and high-throughput screening of complex oxides.

AI agent↗

A multi-agent approach to distribution system fault section estimation in smart grid environment

We report that Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) are seen from different areas as one of the paramount trends for the next generation of power systems. Numerous published studies about MAS discuss its utilization in power distribution networks but none focuses on the prior step to restoration and self-healing that is fault section estimation. This paper aims to show how MAS can improve the utilities’ reliability indexes and consumer satisfaction by overcoming the multiple fault section estimation problem. In order to do this, the authors considered using MAS as a means of communication between smart meters. The purpose of smart meters usage is to employ devices that are already present in smart grids, mainly because of their reading and saving data capacity. The proposed method was tested on a radial feeder generated by the authors. The network was built on HYPERSIM, a software platform of OPAL-RT Technologies. The simulation results show that this MAS provides speed, efficiency, and automation for the process of fault section estimation.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Assessment of two benzylation strategies for the analysis of nerve-agent derived ethyl- and pinacolyl methyl phosphonic acids in sandy loam soil by GC–MS

Despite their prohibition by the Chemical Weapons Convention, nerve agents (NAs) remain in use against military and civilian targets. Due to their high reactivity, NAs readily degrade to phosphonic acids, making them important markers in the inspection of areas of presumed NA use. In this work, we assess the use of benzylation to modify ethyl- and pinacolyl methylphosphonic acids, degradation products of VX and Soman respectively, for their efficient detection in a soil matrix at ~10 and ~1 μg/g using GC–MS. The soil matrix, Sandy Loam (SL), was chosen for its ubiquitous nature, complex composition with silica particles embedded in clay, and low organic content. In this study, we demonstrate that benzylation via benzyl bromide yields a LOD = 25.6 ng/mL for benzylated-EMPA and LOD = 30.1 ng/mL for benzylated-PMPA. This is superior to the use of p-methoxybenzyl trichloroacetimidate in providing stable phosphonic acid ester derivatives for analysis. A base-modified procedure for p-methoxybenzylation was explored in this study yielding a LOD = 29.1 ng/mL for p-methoxybenzylated-EMPA and LOD = 39.8 ng/mL for p-methoxybenzylated-PMPA. Both benzylation pathways (benzyl bromide and p-methoxybenzyl trichloroacetimidate) can be used to yield phosphonic acid derivatives that provide further confirmation of these Soman and VX degradation products in soil samples in investigative scenarios. The work herein represents the first application of benzylation methods for the analysis of these NA markers in the acidic, silicon-based SL soil.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Simulating policy interventions in the interfirm diffusion of low-carbon technologies: An agent-based evolutionary game model

Policy interventions are frequently used by authorities around the world to mitigate carbon emissions. However, economic systems are essentially complex adaptive systems, which often exhibit unexpected responses to exogenous interventions and leave intervenors in a dilemma, even if the interventions are elaborately designed. To explore the behaviors of the diffusion system regarding low-carbon technologies, this study builds an agent-based model (ABM) to simulate enterprises' reactions to multiple policy interventions aimed at spurring low-carbon technology diffusion. The simulated enterprises are in a complex network where they play evolutionary games with their neighbors, which enables the model to possess two critical features of economic systems: adaptiveness and equilibrium. The model reveals a dilemma of policy interventions: intuitively, carbon taxes, asymmetric penalties (only imposed on un-low-carbon enterprises) and subsidies can improve the diffusion, which is consistent with previous research; counter-intuitively, all these policies turn out to be inefficient or even harmful to low-carbon enterprises because of the diffusion system's high adaptiveness. Specifically, when carbon taxes and penalties increase, both the low-carbon and un-low-carbon enterprises end up with the equilibrium of equivalent but lower profits. In contrast, all the enterprises earn equivalent but more profits even though subsidies are only given to the low-carbon enterprises, which implies that the un-low-carbon enterprises (indirectly) grab a portion of the subsidies and accordingly weaken the incentive effect of subsidies. These system behaviors are summarized as "equalizing effect" because the system tends to equalize the impact of both positive and negative interventions among all enterprises even though the policy interventions are asymmetrically imposed on one type of the enterprises. The findings also indicate that policies implemented to enlarge green market sizes can help policymakers bypass the dilemma.

Agent-based modeling↗

Agent-based modeling of supply disruptions in the global rare earths market

Several independent assessments have identified rare earth elements (REEs) as critical materials, notably neodymium (Nd), praseodymium (Pr), and dysprosium (Dy) used in permanent magnets. Factors affecting their criticality include expected growth in demand arising from their unique performance-enhancing properties in consumer, energy, and military applications and the supply risk associated with China's dominance in their production. We demonstrate the use of Argonne's Global Critical Materials (GCMat) agent-based model to explore the possible consequences to REE market dynamics of different types of regional supply disruptions including a temporary loss of production, shutdown of capacity, and diversion of supply. Results suggest that supply disruptions may foster earlier and more REE mine starts outside of China, although some of these mines may not be able to sustain operations post disruption. Further, price and associated market responses such as production, capacity, and demand tended to extend beyond the disruption period. Such market impacts in the magnet supply chain could affect the costs and availability of a number of emerging clean energy technology applications such as electric vehicles and wind turbines. In the future, GCMat could be used to evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation strategies - including recycling, conservation, product substitution, and diversification of supplies - on reducing the severity of disruptions in REE markets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Improved chemical synthesis, identification and evaluation of prospective centrally active oxime antidotes for the treatment of nerve agent exposure

In this study, an improved method for the synthesis of hydroxyiminoacetamide-based oximes, compounds rhat hold great promise as centrally-active nerve agent antidotes, is described. The method involves the coupling of hydroxyiminoacetic acid to various amines in the presence of HOBT or HATU and diisopropylcarbodiimide. The optimized protocol was found to work effectively for the coupling with amines to the activated form of the hydroxyiminoacetic acid with yields ranging between 84 and 90% for primary amines, 65–75% for α-substituted and cyclic amines, while producing decent 41–48% yields for the sterically hindered α,α-substituted amines, that can not be obtained using the previously established method.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Linking transportation agent-based model ($\mathrm{ABM}$) outputs with micro-urban social types ($\mathrm{MUSTs}$) via typology transfer for improved community relevance

The human relationship with transportation is shaped by social, economic, demographic, and urban form variables, or socio-spatial factors. The spatial dynamics of these are key to generating and interpreting outputs of transportation models that are most relevant for a community and the diverse mobility needs of its members. Here we present a typology transfer framework, grounded in socio-spatial dynamics shaping people's mobility, to take transportation-themed regional mobility model outcomes, in this case from two agent-based models (ABMs), and extrapolate them to other cities, with less time and resource intensity than new ABM development. The typology transfer process first identifies micro-urban social types (MUSTs) using socio-spatial factors, then defines city types based on spatial patterns of MUSTs to assess across which cities transfer results are likely to best hold. Lastly, a typology transfer multiplier matrix extrapolates a given variable, in our case the Mobility Energy Productivity (MEP) metric, to another city. The full process demonstration uses ABM results from Chicago (POLARIS model) and San Francisco (BEAM model), applying them to New York City. We discuss how MEP or other outputs can be appropriately estimated and used for integrated, human-centered mobility analysis. Key findings include that this MUST framework of user-defined dependent and independent variables allows tailoring ABM results and interpretations to specific community needs and data availability. Findings clarify that positive outcomes can be targeted towards user groups, based on sociospatial characteristics, using a typology approach, such as inclusive access to mobility choices, transportation affordability, and greater efficiency in resource use.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Laponite-Incorporated UiO-66-NH2-Polyethylene Oxide Composite Membranes for Protection against Chemical Warfare Agent Simulants

A strategy is developed to enhance the barrier protection of polyethylene oxide (PEO)-metal–organic framework (MOF) composite films against chemical warfare agent simulants. To achieve enhanced protection, an impermeable high-aspect-ratio filler in the form of Laponite RD (LRD) clay platelets was incorporated into a composite PEO film containing MOF UiO-66-NH 2 . The inclusion of the platelets aids in mitigating permeation of inert hydrocarbons (octane) and toxic chemicals (2-chloroethyl ethyl sulfide, 2-CEES) of dimensions/chemistry similar to prominent vesicant threats while still maintaining high water vapor transport rates (WVTR). By utilizing small-angle neutron scattering, small-angle X-ray scattering, and wide-angle X-ray scattering, the LRD platelet alignment of the films was determined, and the structure of the films was correlated with performance as a barrier material. Performance of the membranes against toxic chemical threats was assessed using permeation testing of octane and 2-CEES, a common simulant for the vesicant mustard gas, and breathability of the membranes was assessed using WVTR measurements. To assess their robustness, chemical exposure (in situ diffuse reflectance infrared Fourier transform spectroscopy) and mechanical (tensile strength) measurements were also performed. It was demonstrated that the barrier performance of the film upon inclusion of the LRD platelets exceeds that of other MOF-polymer composites found in the literature and that this approach establishes a new path for improving permselective materials for chemical protection applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Paramagnetic Mn 8 Fe 4 -co-Polystyrene Nanobeads as a Potential T 1 –T 2 Multimodal Magnetic Resonance Imaging Contrast Agent with In Vivo Studies

In developing a cluster-nanocarrier design, as a magnetic resonance imaging contrast agent, we have investigated the enhanced relaxivity of a manganese and iron-oxo cluster grafted within a porous polystyrene nanobead with increased relaxivity due to a higher surface area. The synthesis of the cluster-nanocarrier for the cluster Mn 8 Fe 4 O 12 (O 2 CC 6 H 4 CH=CH 2 ) 16 (H 2 O) 4 , cross-linked with polystyrene (the nano-carrier), under miniemulsion conditions is described. By including a branched hydrophobe, iso-octane, the resulting nanobeads are porous and similar to 70 nm in diameter. The increased surface area of the nanobeads compared to nonporous nanobeads leads to an enhancement in relaxivity; r 1 increases from 3.8 to 5.2 ± 0.1 mM -1 s -1 , and r 2 increases from 11.9 to 50.1 ± 4.8 mM -1 s -1 , at 9.4 teslas, strengthening the potential for T 1 and T 2 imaging. Several metrics were used to assess stability, and the porosity produced no reduction in metal stability. Synchrotron X-ray fluorescence microscopy was used to demonstrate that the nanobeads remain intact in vivo . In depth, physicochemical characteristics were determined, including extensive pharmacokinetics, in vivo imaging, and systemic biodistribution analysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗