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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 433 records · Page 24
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Optimization of artificial viscosity in production codes based on Gaussian Regression surrogate models

To accurately model flows with shock waves using staggered-grid Lagrangian hydrodynamics, artificial viscosity has to be introduced to convert kinetic energy into internal energy, thereby increasing the entropy across shocks. Determining the appropriate strength of the artificial viscosity is an art and strongly depends on the particular problem and experience of the researcher. The objective of this study is to pose the problem of finding the appropriate strength of artificial viscosity as an optimization problem and solve this problem using machine learning (ML) tools, specifically using surrogate models based on Gaussian Process regression and Bayesian analysis. We describe the optimization method and discuss various practical details of its implementation. The shock-containing problems for which we apply this method all have been implemented in the LANL code FLAG. First, we apply ML to find optimal values to isolated shock problems of different strengths. Second, we apply ML to optimize viscosity for a 1D propagating detonation problem based on Zel’dovich-von Neumann-Doring (ZND) detonation theory using a reactive burn model. We compare results for default (currently used values in FLAG) and optimized values of artificial viscosity for these problems demonstrating the potential for significant improvement in the accuracy of computations.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Verification and Regression Testing of a Physically Stabilized Layered Solid Element Formulation in DYNA3D/Paradyn

Recent modeling of filament-wound composite structures drove the need for a new element type within the finite element code DYNA3D/Paradyn. This new layered solid element was implemented and designed to capture the kinematics and constitutive be havior of various lamina layers defined with arbitrary orientations and volume fractions within the element to accurately model a laminated composite material. The new el ement uses a single integration point in each of the lamina layers defined to capture the constitutive behavior, and a novel physical stabilization routine is used to prevent hourglassing while mitigating shear and volumetric locking. This report documents the verification testing and the regression tests added to the DYNA3D/Paradyn software quality assurance test suite to assess the proper implementation of the new layered solid element. There were a total of 27 tests added the DYNA3D test suite, which consist of problems using the layered solid element with a single layer or multiple layers for isotropic and orthotropic material models. These tests are a combination of simple kinematically driven patch tests, beam bending tests, plate bending tests, and more complicated problems. Ultimately, the testing done verifies that the element behaves as expected and is implemented correctly.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Dataset for ASME VVUQ Symposium Workshop on Regression of Validation Data to an Application Point

This dataset consists of a collection of Excel spreadsheets that contain output from analysis specified in the workshop. The analysis involves ASME V&V 20-style validation as well as the application of a supplement methodology for regression of validation comparison error and validation uncertainty to application points where experimental data does not exist for comparison. The simulation results and experimental data are provided by the workshop organizers and a NASA report, respectively.

Kirsch, Jared Roelof [Sandia National Laboratories↗
DOE OSTI2023

The executive disruption model of tinnitus distress: Model validation in two independent datasets using factor score regression

This study presents the executive disruption model (EDM) of tinnitus distress and subsequently validates it statistically using two independent datasets (the Construction Dataset: n = 96 and the Validation Dataset: n = 200). The conceptual EDM was first operationalised as a structural causal model (construction phase). Then multiple regression was used to examine the effect of executive functioning on tinnitus-related distress (validation phase), adjusting for the additional contributions of hearing threshold and psychological distress. For both datasets, executive functioning negatively predicted tinnitus distress score by a similar amount (the Construction Dataset: β = −3.50, p = 0.13 and the Validation Dataset: β = −3.71, p = 0.02). Theoretical implications and applications of the EDM are subsequently discussed; these include the predictive nature of executive functioning in the development of distressing tinnitus, and the clinical utility of the EDM.

Clarke, Nathan A.↗
DOE OSTI2023

classLog: Logistic regression for the classification of genetic sequences

Introduction Sequencing and phylogenetic classification have become a common task in human and animal diagnostic laboratories. It is routine to sequence pathogens to identify genetic variations of diagnostic significance and to use these data in realtime genomic contact tracing and surveillance. Under this paradigm, unprecedented volumes of data are generated that require rapid analysis to provide meaningful inference. Methods We present a machine learning logistic regression pipeline that can assign classifications to genetic sequence data. The pipeline implements an intuitive and customizable approach to developing a trained prediction model that runs in linear time complexity, generating accurate output rapidly, even with incomplete data. Our approach was benchmarked against porcine respiratory and reproductive syndrome virus (PRRSv) and swine H1 influenza A virus (IAV) datasets. Trained classifiers were tested against sequences and simulated datasets that artificially degraded sequence quality at 0, 10, 20, 30, and 40%. Results When applied to a poor-quality sequence data, the classifier achieved between >85% to 95% accuracy for the PRRSv and the swine H1 IAV HA dataset and this increased to near perfect accuracy when using the full dataset. The model also identifies amino acid positions used to determine genetic clade identity through a feature selection ranking within the model. These positions can be mapped onto a maximum-likelihood phylogenetic tree, allowing for the inference of clade defining mutations. Discussion Our approach is implemented as a python package with code available at https://github.com/flu-crew/classLog .

Zeller, Michael A.↗
DOE OSTI2020

An Exploratory Approach Using Regression and Machine Learning in the Analysis of Mass Absorption Cross Section of Black Carbon Aerosols: Model Development and Evaluation

Mass absorption cross-section of black carbon (MAC BC ) describes the absorptive cross-section per unit mass of black carbon, and is, thus, an essential parameter to estimate the radiative forcing of black carbon. Many studies have sought to estimate MAC BC from a theoretical perspective, but these studies require the knowledge of a set of aerosol properties, which are difficult and/or labor-intensive to measure. We therefore investigate the ability of seven data analytical approaches (including different multivariate regressions, support vector machine, and neural networks) in predicting MAC BC for both ambient and biomass burning measurements. Our model utilizes multi-wavelength light absorption and scattering as well as the aerosol size distributions as input variables to predict MAC BC across different wavelengths. We assessed the applicability of the proposed approaches in estimating MAC BC using different statistical metrics (such as coefficient of determination (R 2 ), mean square error (MSE), fractional error, and fractional bias). Overall, the approaches used in this study can estimate MAC BC appropriately, but the prediction performance varies across approaches and atmospheric environments. Based on an uncertainty evaluation of our models and the empirical and theoretical approaches to predict MAC BC , we preliminarily put forth support vector machine (SVM) as a recommended data analytical technique for use. We provide an operational tool built with the approaches presented in this paper to facilitate this procedure for future users.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Estimating Field-Level Perennial Bioenergy Grass Biomass Yields Using the Normalized Difference Red-Edge Index and Linear Regression Analysis for Central Virginia, USA

We investigated the indicative power of the normalized difference red-edge index (NDRE) for estimating field-level perennial bioenergy grass biomass yields utilizing Sentinel-2 imagery and a linear regression model as a rapid, cost-effective method for biomass yield estimations for bioenergy. We used 2019 data from three study sites containing mature perennial bioenergy grass stands in central Virginia, USA. Of the simulated daily NDRE values based on the temporally weighted averaging of two temporal neighbors, we found the strongest index–yield correlation on 11 August (R = 0.85). We estimated the perennial bioenergy grass biomass yields for (1) all sites using the data pooled from the three sites (all-site estimation) and (2) each site using the data pooled from the other two sites (cross-site estimation). The estimated field-level perennial bioenergy grass biomass yields strongly correlated with the recorded yields (average R2 = 0.76), with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.5 Mg/ha and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.2 Mg/ha for the all-site estimation. For the cross-site estimation, the site with diverse perennial grass types had the weakest correlation (R2 = 0.44) of the sites, indicating a difficulty in accounting for heterogeneous index–yield relationships in a single model. In addition to identifying a strong indicative power of the NDRE for estimating the overall perennial bioenergy grass biomass yields at a field level, the findings from this study call for an analysis across multiple perennial grasses and a comparison using multiple sites to understand (1) if the indicative power of the index shifts from the biomass of the specific perennial bioenergy grass type to the overall biomass during the growing season and (2) the level of perennial bioenergy grass heterogeneity that may hinder the remotely sensed biomass yield estimation using a single model.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Validating the Use of Gaussian Process Regression for Adaptive Mapping of Residual Stress Fields

Probing the stress state using a high density of measurement points is time intensive and presents a limitation for what is experimentally feasible. Alternatively, individual strain fields used for determining stresses can be reconstructed from a subset of points using a Gaussian process regression (GPR). Results presented in this paper evidence that determining stresses from reconstructed strain fields is a viable approach for reducing the number of measurements needed to fully sample a component’s stress state. The approach was demonstrated by reconstructing the stress fields in wire-arc additively manufactured walls fabricated using either a mild steel or low-temperature transition feedstock. Effects of errors in individual GP reconstructed strain maps and how these errors propagate to the final stress maps were assessed. Implications of the initial sampling approach and how localized strains affect convergence are explored to give guidance on how best to implement a dynamic sampling experiment.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Modeling the Echelle Spectra Continuum with Alpha Shapes and Local Regression Fitting

Continuum normalization of echelle spectra is an important data analysis step that is difficult to automate. Polynomial fitting requires a reasonably high-order model to follow the steep slope of the blaze function. However, in the presence of deep spectral lines, a high-order polynomial fit can result in ripples in the normalized continuum that increase errors in spectral analysis. Here, we present two algorithms for flattening the spectrum continuum. The Alpha-shape Fitting to Spectrum algorithm is completely data driven, using an alpha shape to obtain an initial estimate of the blaze function. The Alpha-shape and Lab Source Fitting to Spectrum algorithm incorporates a continuum constraint from a laboratory source reference spectrum for the blaze function estimation. These algorithms are tested on a simulated spectrum, where we demonstrate improved normalization compared to polynomial regression for continuum fitting. We show an additional application, using the algorithms for mitigation of spatially correlated quantum efficiency variations and fringing in the charge-coupled device detector of the EXtreme PREcision Spectrometer.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Gaussian Process Regression Reveals No Evidence for Planets Orbiting Kapteyn’s Star

Radial–velocity (RV) planet searches are often polluted by signals caused by gas motion at the star’s surface. Stellar activity can mimic or mask changes in the RVs caused by orbiting planets, resulting in false positives or missed detections. Here we use Gaussian process regression to disentangle the contradictory reports of planets versus rotation artifacts from Kapteyn’s star. To model rotation, we use joint quasiperiodic kernels for the RV and Hα signals, requiring that their periods and correlation timescales be the same. We find that the rotation period of Kapteyn’s star is 125 days, while the characteristic active-region lifetime is 694 days. Adding a planet to the RV model produces a best-fit orbital period of 100 yr, or 10 times the observing time baseline, indicating that the observed RVs are best explained by star rotation only. We also find no significant periodic signals in residual RV data sets constructed by subtracting off realizations of the best-fit rotation model and conclude that both previously reported “planets” are artifacts of the star’s rotation and activity. Our results highlight the pitfalls of using sinusoids to model quasiperiodic rotation signals.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Cleaning Images with Gaussian Process Regression

Many approaches to astronomical data reduction and analysis cannot tolerate missing data: corrupted pixels must first have their values imputed. This paper presents astrofix, a robust and flexible image imputation algorithm based on Gaussian process regression. Through an optimization process, astrofix chooses and applies a different interpolation kernel to each image, using a training set extracted automatically from that image. It naturally handles clusters of bad pixels and image edges and adapts to various instruments and image types. For bright pixels, the mean absolute error of astrofix is several times smaller than that of median replacement and interpolation by a Gaussian kernel. We demonstrate good performance on both imaging and spectroscopic data, including the SBIG 6303 0.4 m telescope and the FLOYDS spectrograph of Las Cumbres Observatory and the CHARIS integral-field spectrograph on the Subaru Telescope.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Photometric Recalibration of the SDSS Stripe 82 to a Few Millimagnitude Precision with the Stellar Color Regression Method and Gaia EDR3

By combining spectroscopic data from the LAMOST DR7, Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) DR12, and corrected photometric data from the Gaia EDR3, we apply the stellar color regression (SCR) method to recalibrate the SDSS Stripe 82 standard stars catalog of Ivezic' et al. With a total number of about 30,000 spectroscopically targeted stars, we have mapped out the relatively large and strongly correlated photometric zero-point errors present in the catalog, ~2.5% in the u band and ~1% in the griz bands. Our study also confirms some small but significant magnitude dependence errors in the z band for some charge-coupled devices. Various tests show that we have achieved an internal precision of about 5 mmag in the u band and about 2 mmag in the griz bands, which is about five times better than previous results. We also apply the method to the latest version of the catalog (v4.2), and find modest systematic calibration errors of up to ~1% along the R.A. direction and smaller errors along the decl. direction. The results demonstrate the power of the SCR method when combining spectroscopic data and Gaia photometry in breaking the 1% precision barrier of ground-based photometric surveys. Our work paves the way for the recalibration of the whole SDSS photometric survey and has important implications for the calibration of future surveys. Future implementations and improvements of the SCR method under different situations are also discussed.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Cluster, classify, regress: A general method for learning discontinuous functions

This paper presents a method for solving the supervised learning problem in which the output is highly nonlinear and discontinuous. Here, it is proposed to solve this problem in three stages: (i) cluster the pairs of input-output data points, resulting in a label for each point; (ii) classify the data, where the corresponding label is the output; and finally (iii) perform one separate regression for each class, where the training data corresponds to the subset of the original input-output pairs which have that label according to the classifier. It has not yet been proposed to combine these 3 fundamental building blocks of machine learning in this simple and powerful fashion. This can be viewed as a form of deep learning, where any of the intermediate layers can itself be deep. The utility and robustness of the methodology is illustrated on some toy problems, including one example problem arising from simulation of plasma fusion in a tokamak.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
DOE OSTI2016

Predicting carbon dioxide and energy fluxes across global FLUXNET sites with regression algorithms

Spatio-temporal fields of land–atmosphere fluxes derived from data-driven models can complement simulations by process-based land surface models. While a number of strategies for empirical models with eddy-covariance flux data have been applied, a systematic intercomparison of these methods has been missing so far. In this study, we performed a cross-validation experiment for predicting carbon dioxide, latent heat, sensible heat and net radiation fluxes across different ecosystem types with 11 machine learning (ML) methods from four different classes (kernel methods, neural networks, tree methods, and regression splines). We applied two complementary setups: (1) 8-day average fluxes based on remotely sensed data and (2) daily mean fluxes based on meteorological data and a mean seasonal cycle of remotely sensed variables. The patterns of predictions from different ML and experimental setups were highly consistent. There were systematic differences in performance among the fluxes, with the following ascending order: net ecosystem exchange ( R 2 < 0.5), ecosystem respiration ( R 2 > 0.6), gross primary production ( R 2 > 0.7), latent heat ( R 2 > 0.7), sensible heat ( R 2 > 0.7), and net radiation ( R 2 > 0.8). The ML methods predicted the across-site variability and the mean seasonal cycle of the observed fluxes very well ( R 2 > 0.7), while the 8-day deviations from the mean seasonal cycle were not well predicted ( R 2 < 0.5). Fluxes were better predicted at forested and temperate climate sites than at sites in extreme climates or less represented by training data (e.g., the tropics). Finally, the evaluated large ensemble of ML-based models will be the basis of new global flux products.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Comparing quantile regression forest and mixture density long short-term memory models for probabilistic post-processing of satellite precipitation-driven streamflow simulations

Abstract. Deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) are widely used in hydrological modelling, which plays a critical role in improving the accuracy of hydrological predictions. However, the trade-off between model performance and computational cost has always been a challenge for hydrologists when selecting a suitable model, particularly for probabilistic post-processing with large ensemble members. This study aims to systematically compare the quantile regression forest (QRF) model and countable mixtures of asymmetric Laplacians long short-term memory (CMAL-LSTM) model as hydrological probabilistic post-processors. Specifically, we evaluate their ability in dealing with biased streamflow simulations driven by three satellite precipitation products across 522 nested sub-basins of the Yalong River basin in China. Model performance is comprehensively assessed using a series of scoring metrics from both probabilistic and deterministic perspectives. Our results show that the QRF model and the CMAL-LSTM model are comparable in terms of probabilistic prediction, and their performances are closely related to the flow accumulation area (FAA) of the sub-basin. The QRF model outperforms the CMAL-LSTM model in most sub-basins with smaller FAA, while the CMAL-LSTM model has an undebatable advantage in sub-basins with FAA larger than 60 000 km2 in the Yalong River basin. In terms of deterministic predictions, the CMAL-LSTM model is preferred, especially when the raw streamflow is poorly simulated and used as input. However, setting aside the differences in model performance, the QRF model with 100-member quantiles demonstrates a noteworthy advantage by exhibiting a 50 % reduction in computation time compared to the CMAL-LSTM model with the same ensemble members in all experiments. As a result, this study provides insights into model selection in hydrological post-processing and the trade-offs between model performance and computational efficiency. The findings highlight the importance of considering the specific application scenario, such as the catchment size and the required accuracy level, when selecting a suitable model for hydrological post-processing.

Geology↗
DOE OSTI2022

Corresponding Standard Reference Material Data used in Partial Least Squares Regression Models for Sugar Composition Estimates in Biomass in: Economic Impact of Yield and Composition Variation in Bioenergy Crops: Populus trichocarpa

Corresponding Standard Reference Material Data used in Partial Least Squares Regression Models for Sugar Composition Estimates in Biomass in: Economic Impact of Yield and Composition Variation in Bioenergy Crops: Populus trichocarpa (for corresponding manuscript: DOI: 10.1002/bbb.2148) PDF Files: Images of 1H NMR spectra for neutralized 2-stage acid hydrolysates of 4 NIST Standard Reference Material biomass samples (Monterey Pine 8493, Sugarcane Bagasse 8491, Wheat Straw 8494, and Eastern Cottonwood/Poplar 8492) and 2 Center for Bioenergy Innovation reference biomass samples (Poplar - Populus trichocarpa and Switchgrass - Panicum Virgatum). Suppression of the water peak was achieved using a NOESY-1D with presaturation, a recycle delay of 5 s, and a total of 64 scans. Spectra were acquired at 298 K and processed with automatic phase correction, baseline correction, and chemical shift referencing to TSP-d4. Images show all 1H data from 10 to 1ppm with inset spectra of region of interest (4.0 to 3.1 ppm). Text Files: Spectra for neutralized 2-stage acid hydrolysates of 4 NIST Standard Reference Material biomass samples (Monterey Pine 8493, Sugarcane Bagasse 8491, Wheat Straw 8494, and Eastern Cottonwood/Poplar 8492) and 2 Center for Bioenergy Innovation reference biomass samples (Poplar - Populus trichocarpa and Switchgrass - Panicum Virgatum) were converted into text files for plotting. Files contain 8192 points of raw spectral data from 12.23 to -2.78 ppm. The text file contains 4 columns of data and includes: Point number, Intensity, Hz, and ppm. Xcel Spreadsheet: HPLC measured monomeric sugar concentrations and bucketed 1H NMR data used to build monomeric sugar composition prediction models. Sugar composition in biomass determined from HPLC analyses are given in mg sugar/mg of biomass. Spectral bucketing was performed using Bruker’s AMIX software. Spectra were divided into 0.005 ppm buckets in the region of 3.10– 4.15 ppm for a total of 210 buckets. Headers for the bucketed data are the chemical shift in ppm of the center of the bucket. Bucketed data was used to build partial least squares models for subsequent predictions in The Unscrambler v. 10.5(CAMO A/S, Trondheim, Norway). The formation of methanol during hydrolysis interferes with the quantitative NMR analysis of sugars, so the methanol peak centered at 3.37 ppm and spanning four buckets (3.2925 – 3.2775 ppm) was set to zero for all spectra.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data and code from: Multivariate bayesian regression model for predicting disposed ash composition at U.S. coal fired power stations

This dataset contains the code and data files needed for implementation of a Multivariate Bayesian Regression model, described in Jin et al. (2025), for the historical prediction of the chemical composition of disposed coal ash at U.S. coal fired power plants as a function of annualized coal purchase data. The integrated coal supply data file (CoalSupplyDataset.csv) represents a compilation of monthly fuel purchase records for the period 1973-2022 at major U.S. power stations. These records were obtained from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The CSV file also contains, for each coal purchase record, the coal region of the mine as defined by the U.S. Geological Survey. Data entry errors and data gaps in the EIA records were corrected as described in Jin et al. This CSV file represents the integrated coal supply data after corrections were made. The model structure and fitting parameters are encoded in pickle file format (Bayesian.pkl). The model was developed with the coal supply data and coal ash composition data, apportioned according to the Stratified Shuffle Split for training and testing subsets. The model was built using Python and the PyMC library. Reference Publication: Jin, Z.; Huang, J.; Hower, J.C.; Hsu-Kim, H.(2025). Predictive Assessment of the Chemical Composition of Coal Ash in Reserve at U.S. Disposal Sites. Environmental Science & Technology.

Coal ash composition↗