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At least 433 records · Page 24

Transverse mode analysis for free-space laser beams using Bayesian analysis

Reliable and rapid assessment of the transverse mode quality of a free-space laser beam has a wide range of applications in laser development, research, and utilization. It has become even more important with recent advances in developing orbital angular momentum photon beams across a broad spectral region. In this work, a general modal analysis method for a free-space multimode laser beam has been developed based on Bayesian analysis. After transforming mode decomposition into a linear system problem, a Gaussian probabilistic model is used to find a closed-form solution. The method is found to be robust with the presence of Gaussian noise. Prior knowledge about the mode content can be incorporated into the method to improve the solution for situations when coherent disturbances or contamination are present in the laser beam. This method can be used to analyze the mode content for laser beams in different bases, such as Hermite–Gaussian (HG) modes and Laguerre–Gaussian (LG) modes. Three applications of this method are presented: a detailed modal analysis of the beam image from the incoherent intensity addition of HG modes and two examples of mode decomposition using the complex wavefront from the coherent superposition of HG and LG modes. The feasibility of this method is demonstrated using various simulation results. Based on digital images of a laser beam recorded without complex wavelength-limiting optics, in principle, this method can be used in a wide wavelength range from infrared to ultraviolet, and possibly x ray.

Liu, Peifan (ORCID:0000000273816153)↗

Reconstructing Sediment Transport by Migrating Bedforms in the Physical and Spectral Domains

Abstract Characteristics of migrating bedforms are often used to indirectly quantify the volumetric sediment flux in fluvial environments. Yet, the range of bedform scales that actually contribute to the sediment transport remains elusive. We performed a series of experiments under four different transport stages in a large‐scale sediment recirculating flume. Three independent variables were simultaneously measured: 2D spatio‐temporal bathymetry z ( x , y , t ), high frequency temporal bed elevations at fixed locations z ( t ), and temporal change of the sediment weight carried by migrating bedforms near the channel outlet q m ( t ). Both the measured spatio‐temporal bed evolution and the sediment discharge were analyzed using bedform tracking and Fourier decomposition. We found that small, rapidly migrating secondary bedforms emerge as a main contributor to the sediment transport and to the propagation of larger primary bedforms that slowly migrate underneath. This critical information allows us to define the range of transport‐contributing scales that must be accounted for in a scale‐dependent sediment mass flux model to enable the estimation of the total bedform transport from bed elevation time series.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantum-classical tradeoffs and multi-controlled quantum gate decompositions in variational algorithms

The computational capabilities of near-term quantum computers are limited by the noisy execution of gate operations and a limited number of physical qubits. Hybrid variational algorithms are well-suited to near-term quantum devices because they allow for a wide range of tradeoffs between the amount of quantum and classical resources used to solve a problem. This paper investigates tradeoffs available at both the algorithmic and hardware levels by studying a specific case – applying the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) to instances of the Maximum Independent Set (MIS) problem. We consider three variants of the QAOA which offer different tradeoffs at the algorithmic level in terms of their required number of classical parameters, quantum gates, and iterations of classical optimization needed. Since MIS is a constrained combinatorial optimization problem, the QAOA must respect the problem constraints. This can be accomplished by using many multi-controlled gate operations which must be decomposed into gates executable by the target hardware. We study the tradeoffs available at this hardware level, combining the gate fidelities and decomposition efficiencies of different native gate sets into a single metric called the gate decomposition cost .

Tomesh, Teague↗

Application of x-ray absorption fine structure (XAFS) to local-order analysis in Fe-Cr maghemite-like materials

The maghemite-like oxide system γ-Fe{sub 2-x}Cr{sub x}O{sub 3} (x=0.75, 1 and 1.25) was studied by X-ray absorption fine structure (XAFS) and by synchrotron radiation X-ray diffraction (XRD). Measurements were performed at the Stanford Synchrotron Radiation Lightsource at room temperature, at beamlines 2-1, 2-3 and 4-3. High-resolution XRD patterns were processed by means of the Rietveld method. In cases of atoms being neighbors in the Periodic Table, the order/disorder degree of the considered solutions is indiscernible by “normal” (absence of “anomalous scattering”) diffraction experiments. Thus, maghemite-like materials were investigated by XAFS in both Fe and Cr K-edges to clarify, via short-range structure characterization, the local ordering of the investigated system. Athena and Artemis graphic user interfaces for IFEFFIT and FEFF8.4 codes were employed for XAFS spectra interpretation. Pre-edge decomposition and theoretical modeling of X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) transitions were performed. By analysis of the Cr K-edge XANES, it has been confirmed that Cr is located in an octahedral environment. Fitting of the extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) spectra was performed under the consideration that the central atom of Fe is allowed to occupy octa- and tetrahedral positions, while Cr occupies only octahedral ones. Coordination number of neighboring atoms, interatomic distances and their quadratic deviation average were determined for x=1, by fitting simultaneously the EXAFS spectra of both Fe and Cr K-edges. The results of fitting the experimental spectra with theoretical standards showed that the cation vacancies tend to follow a regular pattern within the structure of the iron-chromium maghemite (FeCrO{sub 3})

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Variation of carbon concentration in proeutectoid ferrite during austenitization in hypoeutectoid steel

The variation of the C concentration in proeutectoid ferrite (α{sub PF}) during austenitization in hypoeutectoid steels was quantitatively investigated using the massive transformation start temperature (T{sub m}) of α{sub PF} to austenite (γ) measured by high-temperature confocal laser scanning microscopy and hardness of α{sub PF}. The C concentration in α{sub PF} at T{sub m} in hypoeutectoid steels increased with increasing total C concentration up to approximately 0.2 wt.% during heating. The hardness of α{sub PF} with isothermal holding time at 775 °C in S20C steel revealed C enrichment in α{sub PF} at the early stage of isothermal holding and its reduction with further holding. These results explain the redistribution of the C in α{sub PF} during austenitization as follows: free C atoms released from cementite during pearlite decomposition diffuse excessively into neighboring α{sub PF} as well as pearlitic ferrite. The supersaturated C concentration in α{sub PF} is reduced during the long-range diffusive transformation of α{sub PF} to γ. However, some of the excess C atoms still remain in α{sub PF} until α{sub PF} starts to massively transform to γ. - Highlights: • Massive transformation of αPF to γ in hypoeutectoid steels was observed using CLSM. • C content in αPF during austenitization was analyzed by measured Tm and hardness. • Tm decreases and C content in αPF at Tm increases with increasing total C. • C atoms released from θ during formation of P to γ diffuse excessively into αPF. • Supersaturated C content in αPF is reduced during transformation of αPF to γ.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Thermal analysis of calcium sulfate dihydrate sources used to manufacture gypsum wallboard

Gypsum wallboard has been used for over 100 years as a barrier to the spread of fire in residential and commercial structures. The gypsum molecule, CaSO 4 ·2H 2 O, provides two crystalline waters that are released upon heating providing an endothermic effect. Manufacturers have recognized that the source of the gypsum ore is a factor that affects all aspects of its performance; thus, it is hypothesized that the impurities present in the gypsum ore are the causes of the performance differences. Differential Thermal Analysis/Thermogravimetric Analysis (DTA/TGA) and X-ray Diffraction (XRD) were used in this paper to compare and characterize samples of gypsum ore representing sources of natural, synthetic from a Flue Gas Desulfurization process (FGD) and blends thereof. The hemihydrate phase of representative natural, FGD, and reagent grade calcium sulfate were rehydrated with distilled water and evaluated by DTA/TGA. Analysis of the data shows distinct areas of similarity separated by the conversion to anhydrite ~250 °C. Compositional reconstructions based on DTA/TGA and XRD data were compared and although, the results were comparable, the DTA/TGA suggests thermally active compounds that were not detected by XRD. Anhydrite, silica and halite were reported by XRD but were not thermally reactive in the temperature range evaluated by DTA/TGA (ambient to 1050 °C). Finally, the presence of carbonate compounds (e.g., calcite and dolomite) were indicated by XRD and estimated from the thermal decomposition reaction ~700 °C.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Assessing spacing impact on coherent features in a wind turbine array boundary layer

As wind farms become larger, the spacing between turbines becomes a significant design consideration that can impose serious economic constraints. To investigate the turbulent flow structures in a 4 × 3 Cartesian wind turbine array boundary layer (WTABL), a wind tunnel experiment was carried out parameterizing the streamwise and spanwise wind turbine spacing. Four cases are chosen spacing turbines by 6 or 3D in the streamwise direction, and 3 or 1.5D in the spanwise direction, where D = 12cm is the rotor diameter. Data are obtained experimentally using stereo particle image velocimetry. Mean streamwise velocity showed maximum values upstream of the turbine with the spacing of 6 and 3D in the streamwise and spanwise direction, respectively. Fixing the spanwise turbine spacing to 3D, variations in the streamwise spacing influence the turbulent flow structure and the power available to following wind turbines. Quantitative comparisons are made through spatial averaging, shifting measurement data and interpolating to account for the full range between devices to obtain data independent of array spacing. The largest averaged Reynolds stress is seen in cases with spacing of 3D × 3D. Snapshot proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) was employed to identify the flow structures based on the turbulence kinetic energy content. The maximum turbulence kinetic energy content in the first POD mode is seen for turbine spacing of 6D × 1.5D. The flow upstream of each wind turbine converges faster than the flow downstream according to accumulation of turbulence kinetic energy by POD modes, regardless of spacing. The streamwise-averaged profile of the Reynolds stress is reconstructed using a specific number of modes for each case; the case of 6D × 1.5D spacing shows the fastest reconstruction to compare the rate of reconstruction of statistical profiles. Intermediate modes are also used to reconstruct the averaged profile and show that the intermediate scales are responsible for features seen in the original profile. The variation in streamwise and spanwise spacing leads to changes in the background structure of the turbulence, where the color map based on barycentric map and Reynolds stress anisotropy tensor provides an alternate perspective on the nature of the perturbations within the wind turbine array. The impact of the streamwise and spanwise spacings on power produced is quantified, where the maximum production corresponds with the case of greatest turbine spacing.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Comparison study of fluorine/hydrazine engine concepts

The weight and performance were examined of 600 lbF thrust liquid-liquid and bimodal engines as chamber pressure, mixture ratio, contraction ratio, combustion chamber and nozzle lengths, area ratio, and operating duration were varied. Results show the bimodal engine to have a lower weight, shorter length, and slightly higher performance over the entire range of operating conditions. Advanced engine designs were also considered. It was determined that the weight of a bimodal engine with a ducted thrust chamber using hydrazine decomposition products for a combination of regenerative, inter-regen, and film cooling would be nearly independent of operating duration. The length of the combustion chamber of the liquid-liquid engine can be reduced by the incorporation of a splash-plate element transverse-platelet injector to obtain improved fuel atomization and vaporization. The use of this injector would result in the performance and weight of the liquid-liquid engine being virtually the same as that of the baseline bimodal engine.

Schindler, R. C.↗

Management of HL deposits for the D and D of UP1 reprocessing plant - retrieval and treatment scenarios - 15295

Built in 1958 on the Marcoule CEA site, the UP1 facility, was the 1. French industrial (500 t U / year) reprocessing plant based on the PUREX process. The plant, which has stopped operation in 1997, constitutes with its auxiliary workshop (vitrification workshop, glass canister storage), one of the largest and most challenging decommissioning project in France. In about 40 years of operation, various type of fuels elements such as metallic uranium, U-Al fuel rods, Phenix breeder elements or PWR fuel have been reprocessed, thereby requiring several plant and process adaptations. Resulting from these complex process chemistry and operation history, significant fouling of the chemical plant circuits and components has occurred. The fission product (FP) concentration process is particularly concerned. Preliminary investigation performed in 2010 in the evaporator's feeding tanks revealed the presence of significant amounts of sludge and dose rates as high as 250 Gy/h. Therefore a thorough investigation campaign, including visual inspection, volume quantification, deposits sampling, and radiological characterization of the components of this workshop has been initiated in 2013. Chemical analysis performed so far show that the solids are mainly composed of zirconium phosphates, 'MoZr' compounds and nitrate salt precipitates. But the presence of insoluble fines arising from the dissolution workshop and organic residues resulting from the TBP decomposition has also been evidenced in some of the tanks. The numerous constraints associated with the management of such highly active sludge, with Cs-137 specific activity ranging from 1 to 10 GBq/g, and a complex physico-chemical composition, lead CEA to investigate the implementation of an in situ conditioning treatment able to produce a waste package complying with existing evacuation routes and/or on-site storage facilities. The full paper presents an overview of the UP1 D and D project and then focuses on the possible dismantling scenarios for the FP concentration workshop, including the evaluation of different strategies for the highly active deposits management. The investigations and deposits characterization program will be developed so as the sampling methodologies that has been specifically tuned. In the light of the best actual knowledge of the deposits properties, the recovery and conditioning treatment scenarios will be exposed, considering, as a case study, the development of a specific vitrification tool to be implemented In Situ and specifically designed to match the requirements and constraints of the D and D project: adequately dimensioned, compact, flexible with respect to the feed composition, for a limited duration of use and designed to be dismantled. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Recommended Direct Simulation Monte Carlo Collision Model Parameters for Reacting Methane Flows

While hydrocarbon combustion and gas-surface interactions have been simulated for a variety of applications in continuum solvers, such processes have been rarely investigated in Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC). Thus Variable Hard/Soft Sphere (VHS/VSS)collision parameters are not available for most molecules of interest in the decomposition of methane, a significant pyrolysis gas product and potential atmospheric species for Titan re-entries. As these properties are essential for accurate modeling of gas transport and thermochemical effects, a method must be devised to compute them for use in DSMC. In this study, the methodology outlined in Stephani et al is utilized to compute the VHS/VSS parameters by fitting the Ω(1,1)and Ω(2,2) collision integrals [1]. These collision integrals are typically computed from intermolecular potentials and are used in CFD simulations to calculate transport properties such as viscosity, thermal conductivity, and diffusion. This approach ensures consistency between micro-scale collisions and macro-scale transport properties. To produce the necessary collision integrals needed for the fitting routine, we utilize the method described by Laricchiuta et al, where collision integrals are computed based on the constituent particles’ polarizability and effective electron number [2].Preliminary computations of pure-species Ω(1,1)and Ω(2,2)collision integrals produced from the coupled approach of Stephani et al and Laricchiuta et al for methane show good agreement with those computed via available ab-initio Potential Energy Surface Computations, as seen in Figure 1. Above 300K, no more than 12% deviation is observed between the two results over the temperature range of the fitted PES data [3].Current results of this study include full collision-specificVSS transport properties for a complex-species mixture involving major byproducts of pure methane decomposition. Targeted final results will include a comprehensive list of VSS parameters relevant toDSMC simulations of Titan atmospheric entry, based on the reduced kinetic model of Savajano et al [4].

M R Gosma↗

Formation of Phenanthrene via Recombination of Indenyl and Cyclopentadienyl Radicals: A Theoretical Study

This work presents quantum chemical G3(MP2,CC)//B2PLYPD3/6-311G(d,p) calculations of the potential energy surface for the indenyl (C 9 H 7 ) + cyclopentadienyl (C 5 H 5 ) reaction followed by unimolecular decomposition of the C 14 H 11 radicals formed as the primary products, as well as the Rice–Ramsperger–Kassel–Marcus master equation (RRKM-ME) calculations to predict temperature- and pressure-dependent reaction rate constants and product branching ratios. The reaction begins with the barrierless recombination of indenyl and cyclopentadienyl forming a C 14 H 12 molecule with a new C–C bond connecting two five-membered rings, which subsequently dissociates to C 14 H 11 radicals by H losses. The primary products of the C 9 H 7 + C 5 H 5 → C 14 H 11 + H reaction can directly decompose by another H loss to benzofulvalene, and this pathway is most favorable in terms of the entropy factor and hence is preferable at higher temperatures. Otherwise, the initial C 14 H 11 isomers can undergo significant structural rearrangements before eliminating an H atom and producing phenanthrene, anthracene, or benzoazulenes, among which the formation of phenanthrene via the “spiran” pathway is clearly preferred. The calculated barriers along the computed favorable dissociation pathways are relatively low, in the ~30–40 kcal/mol range, making the C 14 H 11 radicals unstable at temperatures above 1000–1250 K at 1 atm. The results of RRKM-ME calculations show that, under typical combustion conditions, the decomposition of the C 14 H 11 radicals predominantly leads to benzofulvalene. However, the latter can be rapidly converted to phenanthrene via H-assisted isomerization with the rate constant for the benzofulvalene + H → phenanthrene + H reaction being close to 10 –11 cm 3 molecule –1 s –1 at 1000–1500 K and 1 atm. Here, the results provide further support for the hypothesis that recombination of two π radicals containing five-membered rings can lead to a growth of PAH with the formation of two fused six-membered rings, but the reaction mechanism may not be direct and is likely to involve two consecutive H atom losses leading to a fulvalene-like product, with subsequent H-assisted isomerization of the latter to a benzenoid PAH.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Influence of chemical substitution on the photoluminescence of Sr{sub (1−x)}Pb{sub x}WO{sub 4} solid solution

The solid solution Sr{sub 1−x}Pb{sub x}WO{sub 4} based on luminescent tungstates SrWO{sub 4} and PbWO{sub 4} has been synthesized by solid-state reaction for all compositions 0≤x≤1. Using Rietveld method, the structural data of all polycrystalline samples have been refined and crystal cell parameters exhibited a linear behavior as a function of x. All substituted structures are of scheelite type. Scanning electron microscopy showed that a high level of crystallization characterized the samples, with modifications in sizes and shapes depending on composition x. Infrared and Raman spectroscopy have been performed to characterize the evolution of vibrational modes with substitution rate. Finally, a systematic study of luminescence under X-ray excitation has been performed: in the composition range x=0.2 to 0.4, intensities of emission exhibited increased values. The luminescence profiles have been interpreted in terms of four Gaussian components, two of them depending on substitution rate. - Graphical abstract: Photoluminescence under X-ray excitation of Sr{sub 1−x}Pb{sub x}WO{sub 4} solid solution: (left) decomposition of emission large band into four components for composition x=0.3; (right) variation of total emission intensity with composition x. - Highlights: • Structural study of solid solution Sr{sub 1−x}Pb{sub x} WO{sub 4} using Rietveld analyses. • Variation of Debye–Waller factor with composition x, disorder parameter. • Existence of four components of luminescence under X-ray excitation. • Effect of substitution of Sr by Pb on two components, due to Pb–O–W interactions. • Enhancement of luminescence intensity in a specific composition range.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Carbonation of C–S–H and C–A–S–H samples studied by {sup 13}C, {sup 27}Al and {sup 29}Si MAS NMR spectroscopy

Synthesized calcium silicate hydrate (C–S–H) samples with Ca/Si ratios of 0.66, 1.0, and 1.5 have been exposed to atmospheric CO{sub 2} at room temperature and high relative humidity and studied after one to 12 weeks. {sup 29}Si NMR reveals that the decomposition of C–S–H caused by carbonation involves two steps and that the decomposition rate decreases with increasing Ca/Si ratio. The first step is a gradual decalcification of the C–S–H where calcium is removed from the interlayer and defect sites in the silicate chains until Ca/Si = 0.67 is reached, ideally corresponding to infinite silicate chains. In the seconds step, calcium from the principal layers is consumed, resulting in the final decomposition of the C–S–H and the formation of an amorphous silica phase composed of Q{sup 3} and Q{sup 4} silicate tetrahedra. The amount of solid carbonates and of carbonate ions in a hydrous environment increases with increasing Ca/Si ratio for the C–S–H, as shown by {sup 13}C NMR. For C–A–S–H samples with Ca/Si = 1.0 and 1.5, {sup 27}Al NMR demonstrates that all aluminium sites associated with the C–S–H are consumed during the carbonation reactions and incorporated mainly as tetrahedral Al(–OSi){sub 4} units in the amorphous silica phase. A small amount of penta-coordinated Al sites has also been identified in the silica phase.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Defect structure of epitaxial CrxV1-x thin films on MgO(001)

Epitaxial thin films of CrxV1-x over the entire composition range were deposited on MgO(001) by molecular beam epitaxy. The films exhibited the expected 45° in-plane rotation with no evidence of phase segregation or spinodal decomposition. Pure Cr, with the largest lattice mismatch to MgO, exhibited full relaxation and cubic lattice parameters. As the lattice mismatch decreased with alloy composition, residual epitaxial strain was observed. For 0.2 ≤ x ≤ 0.4 the films were coherently strained to the substrate with associated tetragonal distortion; near the lattice-matched composition of x = 0.33, the films exhibited strain-free pseudomorphic matching to MgO. Unusually, films on the Cr-rich side of the lattice-matched composition exhibited more in-plane compression than expected from the bulk lattice parameters; this result was confirmed with both x-ray diffraction and Rutherford backscattering spectrometry channeling measurements. Although thermal expansion mismatch in the heterostructure may play a role, the dominant mechanism for this phenomenon is still unknown. High resolution transmission electron microscopy was utilized to characterize the misfit dislocation network present at the film/MgO interface. Dislocations were found to be present with a non-uniform distribution, which is attributed to the Volmer-Weber growth mode of the films. The CrxV1-x / MgO(001) system can serve as a model system to study both the fundamentals of defect formation in bcc films and the interplay between nanoscale defects such as dislocations and radiation damage.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Silicene, Siloxene, or Silicane? Revealing the Structure and Optical Properties of Silicon Nanosheets Derived from Calcium Disilicide

Si-nanosheets (Si-NSs) have recently attracted considerable attention due to their potential as next-generation materials for electronic, optoelectronic, spintronic, and catalytic applications. Even though monolayer Si-NSs were first synthesized over 150 years ago via topotactic deintercalation of CaSi 2 , there is a lack of consensus within the literature regarding the structure and optical properties of this material. Herein, we provide conclusive evidence of the structural and chemical properties of Si-NSs produced by the deintercalation of CaSi 2 with cold (~–30 °C) aqueous HCl and characterize their optical properties. We use a wide range of techniques, including XRD, FTIR, Raman, solid-state NMR, SEM, TEM, EDS, XPS, diffuse reflectance absorbance, steady-state photoluminescence, time-resolved photoluminescence, and thermal decomposition; when they are combined together, these techniques enable unique insight into the structural and optical properties of the Si-NSs. Additionally, we support the experimental findings with density functional theory (DFT) calculations to simulate FTIR, Raman, solid-state NMR, interband electronic transitions, and band structures. We determined that the Si-NSs consist of buckled Si monolayers that are primarily monohydride terminated. We characterize the nanosheet optical properties, finding they have a band gap of ~2.5 eV with direct-like behavior and an estimated quantum yield of ~9%. Given the technological importance of Si, these results are encouraging for a variety of optoelectronic technologies, such as phosphors, light-emitting diodes, and CMOS-compatible photonics. Furthermore, our results provide critical structural and optical properties to help guide the research community in integrating Si-NSs into optoelectronic and quantum devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of lithium insertion on thermal conductivity of silicon nanowires

Recently, silicon nanowires (SiNWs) have been applied as high-performance Li battery anodes, since they can overcome the pulverization and mechanical fracture during lithiation. Although thermal stability is one of the most important parameters that determine safety of Li batteries, thermal conductivity of SiNWs with Li insertion remains unclear. In this letter, using molecular dynamics simulations, we study room temperature thermal conductivity of SiNWs with Li insertion. It is found that compared with the pristine SiNW, there is as much as 60% reduction in thermal conductivity with 10% concentration of inserted Li atoms, while under the same impurity concentration the reduction in thermal conductivity of the mass-disordered SiNW is only 30%. With lattice dynamics calculations and normal mode decomposition, it is revealed that the phonon lifetimes in SiNWs decrease greatly due to strong scattering of phonons by vibrational modes of Li atoms, especially for those high frequency phonons. The observed strong phonon scattering phenomenon in Li-inserted SiNWs is similar to the phonon rattling effect. Our study serves as an exploration of thermal properties of SiNWs as Li battery anodes or weakly coupled with impurity atoms.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Statistical Generation of Ocean Forcing With Spatiotemporal Variability for Ice Sheet Models

Melting of ice at the base of floating ice shelves that fringe the Antarctic ice sheet has been identified as a significant source of uncertainty in sea level rise projections. Part of this uncertainty derives from chaotic internal variability of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. For numerical ice sheet model projections, this uncertainty has not previously been quantified because of the prohibitive computational expense of running large climate model ensembles. Here, we develop and demonstrate a technique that generates independent realizations of internal climate variability from a single climate model simulation. Building on previous developments in model emulation, this technique uses empirical orthogonal function decomposition and Fourier-phase randomization to generate statistically consistent realizations of spatiotemporal variability fields for the target climate variable. The method facilitates efficient sampling of a wide range of climate trajectories, which can also be incorporated within ice sheet or other physical models to represent feedback processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗