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At least 433 records · Page 24

UrbanPop 2019 Baseline Population

A synthetic residential baseline population for the United States at the census block group level based on the American Community Survey 2015-2019 5-Year Estimates and described by residential, demographic, social, economic, student, mobility, and housing characteristics.

Tuccillo, Joe [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000259300943)↗

Digital Twins for Predicting Nitrifier Population and Kinetics

Digital twins can be mechanistic biological process models that when regularly calibrated give an indication of nitrifier kinetics and nitrifier population. Having such information can inform waste rates and dissolved oxygen setpoints for ammonia-based aeration control.

Sparks, Jeff↗

Downscaling Synthetic Populations to Realistic Residential Locations

High-fidelity pattern of life (PoL) models require realistic origin points for predictive trip modeling. This paper develops and demonstrates a reproducible method using open data to match synthetic populations generated from census surveys to plausible residential locations (building footprints) based on housing attributes. This approach presents promise over extant methods based on housing density, particularly in small neighborhood areas with heterogeneous land-use.

Tuccillo, Joe↗

Nanoparticle Catalyst Formation and Subsequent Sintering: Size-Distribution Fundamental Understanding and Catalyst Control via Mechanism-Enabled Population Balance Modeling (Final Report)

The challenge of elucidating the chemical mechanisms by which nano- and other particles form, and then using those mechanisms to understand, analyze, and ideally predict particle-size and particle-size distributions, was undertaken. Thanks to multi-year, longer-term DOE support each of these challenges was successfully met. The community is now able to both predict, and control in cases where the underlying mechanism of particle formation has been determined, the key PS and PSD that are, in turn, critical properties that strongly influence the catalytic and other physical properties of nano- and larger particles across nature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Populus_trichocarpa_Breeding_Population_SNPs

These data are from the manuscript “Application of Genomic Prediction in a Populus trichocarpa Breeding Program”, by Brian J. Stanton, David Macaya-Sanz, Chanaka Roshan Abeyratne, David Kainer, Kathy Haiby, Austin Himes, Carlos Gantz, Gerald A. Tuskan, and Stephen P. DiFazio. The data are based on genome resequencing to approximately 10X depth on two collections of Populus trichocarpa trees from Oregon, Washington, California, and British Columbia. The first collection consists of 293 genets collected by Poplar Innovations LLC for a breeding program. The second collection consists of 961 trees collected for the purpose of genome-wide association studies. These genets were sequenced using short, paired-end Illumina sequence reads (Chhetri et al. 2019). Reads were aligned to the P. trichocarpa ′Stettler-14′ reference (Hofmeister et al. 2020), with minor modifications to correct mis-assemblies (Zhou et al. 2020), and variants were called as per methods described in (Abeyratne et al. 2023). Identified variants were filtered using GATK’s VariantFiltration tool (DePristo et al. 2011), with filter expression flag set to “AF < 0.01 || AF > 0.99 || QD < 10.0 || ExcessHet > 20.0 || FS > 10.0 || MQ < 58.0”. SNPs with severe departures from Hardy−Weinberg expectations (exact-test p< 0.01) were also removed using vcftools --hwe flag (Danecek et al. 2011), resulting in 15,627,211 bi-allelic SNPs. The data included here consist of 141,903 high quality bi-allelic genome-wide SNPs obtained by further filtering the original SNP dataset using vcftools with flags --maf 0.05, --max-maf 0.95, --max-missing 0.95, --min-meanDP 10.75, --max-meanDP 43.00, --thin 2000. Collectively, these filtering parameters removed SNPs with 1) a minor allele frequency ≤ 0.05; 2) proportion of missing data for individual loci exceeding 5%; 3) sequencing depth more than 2X mean-depth or less than 0.5X mean-depth; or 4) a distance of

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

A Blueprint for the Milky Way’s Stellar Populations. IV. A String of Pearls—the Galactic Starburst Sequence

We continue our series of papers on phase-space distributions of stars in the Milky Way based on photometrically derived metallicities and Gaia astrometry, with a focus on the halo-disk interface in the local volume. To exploit various photometric databases, we develop a method of empirically calibrating synthetic stellar spectra based on a comparison with observations of stellar sequences and individual stars in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, the SkyMapper Sky Survey, and the Pan-STARRS1 surveys, overcoming band-specific corrections employed in our previous work. In addition, photometric zero-point corrections are derived to provide an internally consistent photometric system with a spatially uniform metallicity zero-point. Using our phase-space diagrams, we find a remarkably narrow sequence in the rotational velocity (v $\phi$ ) versus metallicity ([Fe/H]) space for a sample of high proper-motion stars (>25 mas yr -1 ), which runs along Gaia Sausage/Enceladus (GSE) and the Splash substructures and is linked to the disk, spanning nearly 2 dex in [Fe/H]. Notably, a rapid increase of v $\phi$ from a nearly zero net rotation to ~180 km s -1 in a narrow metallicity interval (-0.6 ≲ [Fe/H] ≲ -0.4) suggests that some of these stars emerged quickly on a short gas-depletion timescale. Through measurements of a scale height and length, we argue that these stars are distinct from those heated dynamically by mergers. This chain of high proper-motion stars provides additional support for recent discoveries suggesting that a starburst took place when the young Milky Way encountered the gas-rich GSE progenitor, which eventually led to the settling of metal-enriched gas onto the disk.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Hybridization breaks species barriers in long-term coevolution of a cyanobacterial population

Bacterial species often undergo rampant recombination yet maintain cohesive genomic identity. Ecological differences can generate recombination barriers between species and sustain genomic clusters in the short term. But can these forces prevent genomic mixing during long-term coevolution? Cyanobacteria in Yellowstone hot springs comprise several diverse species that have coevolved for hundreds of thousands of years, providing a rare natural experiment. By analyzing more than 300 single-cell genomes, we show that despite each species forming a distinct genomic cluster, much of the diversity within species is the result of hybridization driven by selection, which has mixed their ancestral genotypes. This widespread mixing is contrary to the prevailing view that ecological barriers can maintain cohesive bacterial species and highlights the importance of hybridization as a source of genomic diversity.

Evolutionary Biology↗

A nomogram for prediction of stage III/IV gastric cancer outcome after surgery: A multicenter population‐based study

Abstract Most patients with gastric cancer (GC) are first diagnosed at stage III‐IV and surgery resection remains the primary therapeutic modality for these patients. However, clinical staging used for prediction of those patients provides limited information. We collected clinicopathological data and disease‐progression information from 508 patients with stage III‐IV GC at three Chinese hospitals and 1298 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Based on the stepwise multivariate regression model, we constructed a novel nomogram to predict overall survival (OS). The performance of discrimination for this model was measured using Harrell's concordance index (C‐index) and receiver‐operating characteristic curve (ROC), and was validated using calibration plots. Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that tumor size, age at diagnosis, N stage, tumor grade, and distant metastases were outstanding independent prognostic factors of stage III‐IV GC. We developed a nomogram based on these five prognostic predictors. In the training set, the C‐index of the nomogram was 0.645 (95% CI: 0.611‐0.679), which was higher than that of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM system alone (sixth TNM: 0.544; seventh TNM: 0.575; eighth TNM: 0.568). Similar results were observed in validation cohort. Moreover, calibration blots demonstrated good consistency between the actual and predicted OS probabilities. According to the nomogram, GC individuals could be classified into three groups (low‐, middle‐, and high‐risk) ( P < .001). Our nomogram complements the current staging system for prediction of individual prognosis with stage III‐IV GC, and may be helpful for making individualized treatment decisions.

Gao, Zhiying↗

Impact of including second and later cancers in cause-specific survival estimates using population-based registry data

Background. Second or later primary cancers account for approximately 20% of incident cases in the United States. Currently, cause-specific survival (CSS) analyses exclude these cancers because the cause of death (COD) classification algorithm was available only for first cancers. The authors added rules for later cancers to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cause-specific death classification algorithm and evaluated CSS to include individuals with prior tumors. Methods. The authors constructed 2 cohorts: 1) the first ever primary cohort, including patients whose first cancer was diagnosed during 2000 through 2016) and 2) the earliest matching primary cohort, including patients with any cancer who matched the selection criteria irrespective of whether it was the first or a later cancer diagnosed during 2000 through 2016. The cohorts' CSS estimates were compared using follow-up through December 31, 2017. The new rules were used in the second cohort for patients whose first cancers during 2000 through 2016 were their second or later cancers. Results. Overall, there were no statistically significant differences in CSS estimates between the 2 cohorts. Estimates were similar by age, stage, race, and time since diagnosis, except for patients with leukemia and those aged 65 to 74 years (3.4 percentage point absolute difference). Conclusions. The absolute difference in CSS estimates for the first cancer ever cohort versus earliest of any cancers cohort in the study period was small for most cancer types. As the number of newly diagnosed patients with prior cancers increases, the algorithm will make CSS more inclusive and enable estimating survival for a group of patients with cancer for whom life tables are not available or life tables are available but do not capture other-cause mortality appropriately.

Survival Analysis↗

Contrasting responses to climate change at Himalayan treelines revealed by population demographics of two dominant species

Abstract Alpine treelines are expected to shift upward due to recent climate change. However, interpretation of changes in montane systems has been problematic because effects of climate change are frequently confounded with those of land use changes. The eastern Himalaya, particularly Langtang National Park, Central Nepal, has been relatively undisturbed for centuries and thus presents an opportunity for studying climate change impacts on alpine treeline uncontaminated by potential confounding factors. We studied two dominant species, Abies spectabilis (AS) and Rhododendron campanulatum (RC) , above and below the treeline on two mountains. We constructed 13 transects, each spanning up to 400 m in elevation, in which we recorded height and state (dead or alive) of all trees, as well as slope, aspect, canopy density, and measures of anthropogenic and animal disturbance. All size classes of RC plants had lower mortality above treeline than below it, and young RC plants (<2 m tall) were at higher density above treeline than below. AS shows little evidence of a position change from the historic treeline, with a sudden extreme drop in density above treeline compared to below. Recruitment, as measured by size–class distribution, was greater above treeline than below for both species but AS is confined to ~25 m above treeline whereas RC is luxuriantly growing up to 200 m above treeline. Synthesis . Evidence suggests that the elevational limits of RC have shifted upward both because (a) young plants above treeline benefited from facilitation of recruitment by surrounding vegetation, allowing upward expansion of recruitment, and (b) temperature amelioration to mature plants increased adult survival. We predict that the current pure stand of RC growing above treeline will be colonized by AS that will, in turn, outshade and eventually relegate RC to be a minor component of the community, as is the current situation below the treeline.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Microbial Ecology of Permafrost Soils: Populations, Processes, and Perspectives

Permafrost microbial research has flourished in the past decades, due in part to improvements in sampling and molecular techniques, but also the increased focus on the permafrost greenhouse gas feedback to climate change and other ecological processes in high latitude and alpine permafrost soils. Permafrost microorganisms are adapted to these extreme environments and remain active at low temperatures and when resources are limited. They are also an important component of global elemental cycles as they regulate organic matter turnover and greenhouse gas production, particularly as permafrost thaws. Here we review the permafrost microbiology literature coupled with an exploration of its historical aspects, with a particular focus on a new understanding advanced by molecular biology techniques. We further identify knowledge gaps and ways forward to improve our understanding of microbial contributions to ecosystem biogeochemistry of permafrost-affected systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Domain Shift Analysis in Chest Radiographs Classification in a Veterans Healthcare Administration Population

This study aims to assess the impact of domain shift on chest X-ray classification accuracy and to analyze the influence of ground truth label quality and demographic factors such as age group, sex, and study year. We used a DenseNet121 model pre-trained MIMIC-CXR dataset for deep learning-based multi-label classification using ground truth labels from radiology reports extracted using the CheXpert and CheXbert Labeler. We compared the performance of the 14 chest X-ray labels on the MIMIC-CXR and Veterans Healthcare Administration chest X-ray dataset (VA-CXR). The validation of ground truth and the assessment of multi-label classification performance across various NLP extraction tools revealed that the VA-CXR dataset exhibited lower disagreement rates than the MIMIC-CXR datasets. Additionally, there were notable differences in AUC scores between models utilizing CheXpert and CheXbert. When evaluating multi-label classification performance across different datasets, minimal domain shift was observed in the unseen VA dataset, except for the label “Enlarged Cardiomediastinum.” The subgroup with the most significant variations in multi-label classification performance was study year. These findings underscore the importance of considering domain shift in chest X-ray classification tasks, paying particular attention to the temporality of the exam. Our study reveals the significant impact of domain shift and demographic factors on chest X-ray classification, emphasizing the need for improved transfer learning and robust model development. Addressing these challenges is crucial for advancing medical imaging research and improving patient care.

chest X-ray image classification↗