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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 433 records · Page 24
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Surface fluctuating hydrodynamics methods for the drift-diffusion dynamics of particles and microstructures within curved fluid interfaces

Here we introduce fluctuating hydrodynamics approaches on surfaces for capturing the drift-diffusion dynamics of particles and microstructures immersed within curved fluid interfaces of spherical shape. We take into account the interfacial hydrodynamic coupling, traction coupling with the surrounding bulk fluid, and thermal fluctuations. For fluid-structure interactions, we introduce Immersed Boundary Methods (IBM) and related Stochastic Eulerian-Lagrangian Methods (SELM) for curved surfaces. We use these approaches to investigate the statistics of surface fluctuating hydrodynamics and microstructures. For velocity autocorrelations, we find characteristic power-law scalings $τ^{-1}, τ^{-2}$, and plateaus can emerge. This depends on the physical regime associated with the geometry, surface viscosity, and bulk viscosity. This differs from the characteristic $τ^{-3/2}$ scaling for bulk three dimensional fluids. We develop theory explaining these observed power-laws associated with time-scales for dissipation within the fluid interface and coupling to the surrounding fluid. We then use our introduced methods to investigate a few example systems and roles of hydrodynamic coupling and thermal fluctuations including for the kinetics of passive particles and active microswimmers in curved fluid interfaces.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Development and assessment of a reactor system prognosis model with physics-guided machine learning

Autonomous control systems provide recommendations to help operators in decision-making during plant operations ranging from normal operation to accident management. An important step of autonomous control is prognosis. In nuclear engineering domain, prognosis is the process of predicting future conditions of a system or equipment based on present signs and symptoms of a fault. The prognosis model allows predicting future reactor states for possible candidate control strategies so that the outcomes can be evaluated to determine the best control strategy. The prognosis model requires representing direct relationships between the symptoms and the predictions. In nuclear engineering, computational simulations are approximate representations of the operation of the real system. However, prognosis with computational simulations requires high computation power and time due to possible large number of scenarios. Necessary computation resources can be reduced with machine learning (ML) approach for fast predictions by building a surrogate function using the simulation data. A critical issue is, ML models are ignorant of physical knowledge, and these models approximate statistical relationships between the system variables. This ignorance can produce results that are inconsistent with physical laws, even if an optimal result is achieved from a mathematical point of view. Physics-guided machine learning (PGML) is an approach to tackle this issue. Here, this work formulates and illustrates a framework to guide development and assessment of the ML-based prognosis model for autonomous control systems. The development of the prognosis model considers the training of a ML model which consists of optimizing many aspects of the ML approach. The assessment of the prognosis model considers training data limitations and uncertainties of the ML approach. Prognosis models with standalone ML and PGML are developed and assessed on the loss-of-flow scenario of Experimental Breeder Reactor II. The results indicate that PGML based prognosis model has the best performance compared to other prognosis models.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Fully consistent Eulerian Monte Carlo fields method for solving probability density function transport equations in turbulence modeling

The probability density function (PDF) transport equation method is a sophisticated model for the closure of turbulent mixing and turbulent reactive flows. An efficient solution approach for solving the PDF transport equation has been vital for the method to be widely used in applications. The Eulerian Monte Carlo fields (EMCF) method has been developed to solve the PDF transport equation efficiently for decades. A recent work by Wang et al. revealed a serious issue of the EMCF method for not being fully consistent with the PDF transport equation for which the method is designed to solve. This work advances the state of the art by introducing fully consistent EMCF methods for solving the PDF transport equation. The fully consistent EMCF formulations are derived for two different PDF equation forms. The consistency of the EMCF formulations is mathematically confirmed by examining the derived moment transport equations from the EMCF formulations and from the PDF transport equation. The method of manufactured solutions is employed to further verify the consistency and convergence of the different EMCF formulations numerically. The newly introduced EMCF formulations bring the EMCF method to full consistency with the PDF transport equations for the first time.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Physics-Informed Learning Machines for Multiscale and Multiphysics Problems (PHILMS) (Technical Report)

The research work at University of California Santa Barbara (UCSB) resulted in several new developments in the areas of scientific machine learning, numerical analysis, and practical methods for data-driven modeling, prediction, reductions, and simulation. Many of the projects were carried out in collaboration with members of the national laboratories at Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), Pacific Northwestern National Laboratories (PNNL), and other institutions. Results included developing new scientific machine learning methods, related theory and mathematical frameworks for analysis and training, data-driven numerical solvers, and related tools and software for scientific computation. During the support period, over 16+ papers were submitted for publication, and 4 open-source software packages were developed and released (available at http://atzberger.org/). In addition, 7+ students and 2 post-docs were mentored in collaboration with the laboratory staff for future careers in academia, government labs, and industry.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
NASA NTRS1979

Decision rules for unbiased inventory estimates

An efficient and accurate procedure for estimating inventories from remote sensing scenes is presented. In place of the conventional and expensive full dimensional Bayes decision rule, a one-dimensional feature extraction and classification technique was employed. It is shown that this efficient decision rule can be used to develop unbiased inventory estimates and that for large sample sizes typical of satellite derived remote sensing scenes, resulting accuracies are comparable or superior to more expensive alternative procedures. Mathematical details of the procedure are provided in the body of the report and in the appendix. Results of a numerical simulation of the technique using statistics obtained from an observed LANDSAT scene are included. The simulation demonstrates the effectiveness of the technique in computing accurate inventory estimates.

Argentiero, P. D.↗
NASA NTRS1996

Uncertainty and Intelligence in Computational Stochastic Mechanics

Classical structural reliability assessment techniques are based on precise and crisp (sharp) definitions of failure and non-failure (survival) of a structure in meeting a set of strength, function and serviceability criteria. These definitions are provided in the form of performance functions and limit state equations. Thus, the criteria provide a dichotomous definition of what real physical situations represent, in the form of abrupt change from structural survival to failure. However, based on observing the failure and survival of real structures according to the serviceability and strength criteria, the transition from a survival state to a failure state and from serviceability criteria to strength criteria are continuous and gradual rather than crisp and abrupt. That is, an entire spectrum of damage or failure levels (grades) is observed during the transition to total collapse. In the process, serviceability criteria are gradually violated with monotonically increasing level of violation, and progressively lead into the strength criteria violation. Classical structural reliability methods correctly and adequately include the ambiguity sources of uncertainty (physical randomness, statistical and modeling uncertainty) by varying amounts. However, they are unable to adequately incorporate the presence of a damage spectrum, and do not consider in their mathematical framework any sources of uncertainty of the vagueness type. Vagueness can be attributed to sources of fuzziness, unclearness, indistinctiveness, sharplessness and grayness; whereas ambiguity can be attributed to nonspecificity, one-to-many relations, variety, generality, diversity and divergence. Using the nomenclature of structural reliability, vagueness and ambiguity can be accounted for in the form of realistic delineation of structural damage based on subjective judgment of engineers. For situations that require decisions under uncertainty with cost/benefit objectives, the risk of failure should depend on the underlying level of damage and the uncertainties associated with its definition. A mathematical model for structural reliability assessment that includes both ambiguity and vagueness types of uncertainty was suggested to result in the likelihood of failure over a damage spectrum. The resulting structural reliability estimates properly represent the continuous transition from serviceability to strength limit states over the ultimate time exposure of the structure. In this section, a structural reliability assessment method based on a fuzzy definition of failure is suggested to meet these practical needs. A failure definition can be developed to indicate the relationship between failure level and structural response. In this fuzzy model, a subjective index is introduced to represent all levels of damage (or failure). This index can be interpreted as either a measure of failure level or a measure of a degree of belief in the occurrence of some performance condition (e.g., failure). The index allows expressing the transition state between complete survival and complete failure for some structural response based on subjective evaluation and judgment.

Ayyub, Bilal M.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Dude Where's My Stars: A Novel Topologically Justified Approach to Star Tracking

In this paper, we consider two novel approaches to celestial navigation for spacecraft. Determining attitude without any prior knowledge using star tracking is known to be a difficult task, particularly given the computational complexity and the many potential sources of misinformation. We consider localization by optimizing matching parameters without explicit star identification in a computationally tractable manner. This is achieved using the mathematical tools of topological data analysis (TDA) and cellular sheaves to study the geometry and distribution of cataloged stars. A framework is gained that enhances the statistical approach to noise handling and false star detection, and heterogeneous sensor fusion. Finally, we discuss confidence bounds and minimum information requirements for successful operation.

Sheaf theory↗
DOE OSTI2024

ASME Design Code Rule Changes for Nuclear Graphite

The American Society of Mechanical Engineers Boiler Pressure and Vessel Code (ASME BPVC) Section III, Division 5, Article HHA-3000 outlines graphite core component and graphite core assembly design guidelines. Graphite core components are defined as ?components manufactured from graphite that are installed to form a graphite core assembly within the reactor pressure vessel of a high temperature, graphite moderated fission reactor.? (p. 413) Graphites? inherent defect distributions do not allow for deterministic material reliability. Rather, graphite has variable strength distributions which change by grade. Article HHA-3000 outlines two semi-probabilistic methods, the full and simplified assessments, which set design load limit targets for each of three component structural reliability classes. The Design Task Group was officially recognized as a specialized task group within ASME November of 2023, though we?ve been collaborating since 2022. The purpose of the Design Task Group is to correct, clarify, and make HHA-3000 function as intended. The Design Task Group will sunset once we?ve achieved our objectives. The Design Task Group was specifically told to not write new Code. While there may be more precise and more accurate methods to determine reliability targets, the current methods are conservative, relatively simple to implement, and have thus far been considered satisfactory for setting design reliability targets. Much of the ground-work to write proposal files and background documents for records to make the changes needed to achieve our objective have been completed. The Design Task Group has documented much of their work through papers, presentations, and memorandums. Three memorandums in which INL team members had substantial contributions are found in the Appendices: FEA Modeling for the Baseline Program, Evaluating the Effects on Margin of Updating the Threshold and Shape Parameters in the Full Assessment, and Interpretations of the Full and Simplified Assessments in ASME BPVC. Most of the on-going work to achieve the Design Task Group?s objective will be addressing comments on existing records and moving records through the balloting process. The Design Task Group met bi-weekly mostly through the end of FY2023. Since February 2024, the Design Task Group has mostly been completed with solving and documenting the technical issues associated with the assessments. Unless new tasks are identified, the remaining work of the Design Task Group will be political and editorial.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Statistical Estimation of EV Driver Charging Behavior and Influential Factors

INL received data collected via telematics from battery electric vehicles (BEVs), and these vehicles were owned by retail customers who had entered into a telematics user agreement. The goal of analyzing these data was to develop mathematical models to characterize how different sets of BEV drivers use charging infrastructure at home and away from home (i.e., public charging) and quantify how various factors influence BEV drivers’ decision to charge and use available infrastructure. The data used in this analysis are unique because they provide real world BEV driving and charging behavior at the individual driving and parking event level. In this study we seek to leverage this data to quantify BEV charging and driving metrics to help inform models that predict quantities like the specific times when loads are imposed on the electrical grid due to BEV charging. Most models that have been developed to predict electrical grid load due to BEV charging, use simulations of BEV driving events and rely on assumptions such as every vehicle charges every night. Using a statistical modelling framework, we seek to investigate BEV charging behavior and quantitatively assess these common assumptions of BEV charging behavior.

33 - ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Daily Forecasting of Regional Epidemics of Coronavirus Disease with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification, United States

To increase situational awareness and support evidence-based policymaking, we formulated a mathematical model for coronavirus disease transmission within a regional population. This compartmental model accounts for quarantine, self-isolation, social distancing, a nonexponentially distributed incubation period, asymptomatic persons, and mild and severe forms of symptomatic disease. We used Bayesian inference to calibrate region-specific models for consistency with daily reports of confirmed cases in the 15 most populous metropolitan statistical areas in the United States. We also quantified uncertainty in parameter estimates and forecasts. This online learning approach enables early identification of new trends despite considerable variability in case reporting.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Proof that Combining the Forced-collision and DXTRAN Monte Carlo Variance-reduction Techniques is Fair

This report provides mathematical proof that the MCNP DXTRAN (also known in other codes as forced-flight) and forced-collision variance-reduction techniques do not bias the expected value of Monte Carlo simulation estimates when combined. Proof is also provided that the techniques are unbiased when used independently. To prove that the techniques are unbiased, this report derives the first History Score Moment Equation (HSME) for non-multiplying media employing only forced collisions, only DXTRAN, and then both the variance-reduction techniques combined, as defined next. The HSMEs are found by forming the History Score Probability Density Functions (HSPDFs) and then taking the first score moment. Following its derivation, each HSME with a variance-reduction technique employed is reduced to the HSME for an analog simulation. Because the HSME represents the expected contribution to estimators in the simulation, reducing the HSME with variance reduction to the analog HSME shows that the simulation is unbiased despite the variance-reduction technique considered in the HSME. Analysis regarding higher-score moments of each technique is the subject of prior work and is not addressed herein. Throughout this work, the phase space p is defined to be the particle position x, direction-of-flight unit vector $\hat{Ω}$, energy E, and statistical weight w, $$p ≡ (x; \hat{Ω}; E; w).$$ A reduced phase-space excluding the statistical weight of the particle, $$r ≡ (x; \hat{Ω}; E),$$ is also used.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Statistical Analysis of the Limiting Dynamics of Two dimensional Boussinesq Turbulent Systems

In the current study, we investigate rotational and stratified turbulent systems within the framework of the Boussinesq equations. The effects of rotation and stratification give rise to a variety of dynamical regimes in atmospheric and oceanic turbulence. To develop a better understanding of the fundamental flow properties through a more straightforward mathematical framework, we commence our research with a simplified two-dimensional Boussinesq model that incorporates rotation and stratification effects. We explore two distinct limiting dynamics, considering pure rotation and pure stratification separately. We examine these intriguing dynamics through numerical investigations, applying the exact solution theory of Boussinesq equations and examining small-scale perturbations to the exact solution under rotation and stratification. We conduct an analysis of statistical quantities associated with the turbulent state variables. The results indicate that, under weak rotation at the equilibrium statistical state, the flow field exhibits vortex flow. However, strong rotation transforms the flow into vertical shear flow. We observe both downscale and upscale energy transfers with a decay rate of k −3 in the absence of external forcing and dissipation. Furthermore, we delve into the study of internal gravity wave mode interactions in the simplified two-dimensional Boussinesq system, which is a crucial aspect of geophysical turbulence due to gravity. Our findings reveal that the time series of the mode coefficients exhibit wave-like interactions between wave modes.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Leveraging interpolation models and error bounds for verifiable scientific machine learning

Effective verification and validation techniques for modern scientific machine learning workflows are challenging to devise. Statistical methods are abundant and easily deployed, but often rely on speculative assumptions about the data and methods involved. Error bounds for classical interpolation techniques can provide mathematically rigorous estimates of accuracy, but often are difficult or impractical to determine computationally. Here, in this work, we present a best-of-both-worlds approach to verifiable scientific machine learning by demonstrating that (1) multiple standard interpolation techniques have informative error bounds that can be computed or estimated efficiently; (2) comparative performance among distinct interpolants can aid in validation goals; (3) deploying interpolation methods on latent spaces generated by deep learning techniques enables some interpretability for black-box models. We present a detailed case study of our approach for predicting lift-drag ratios from airfoil images. Code developed for this work is available in a public Github repository.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Monotonicity in the averaging process

In this work, we investigate an averaging process that describes how interacting agents approach consensus through binary interactions. In each elementary step, two agents are selected at random and they reach compromise by adopting their opinion average. We show that the fraction of agents with a monotonically decreasing opinion decays as e - αt , and that the exponent is selected as the extremum from a continuous spectrum of possible values. The opinion distribution of monotonic agents is asymmetric, and it becomes self-similar at large times. Furthermore, the tails of the opinion distribution are algebraic, and they are characterized by two distinct and nontrivial exponents. We also explore statistical properties of agents with an opinion strictly above average.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Deep learning for in situ data compression of large turbulent flow simulations

As the size of turbulent flow simulations continues to grow, in situ data compression is becoming increasingly important for visualization, analysis, and restart checkpointing. For these applications, single-pass compression techniques with low computational and communication overhead are crucial. In this paper we present a deep-learning approach to in situ compression using an autoencoder architecture that is customized for three-dimensional turbulent flows and is well suited for contemporary heterogeneous computing resources. The autoencoder is compared against a recently introduced randomized single-pass singular value decomposition (SVD) for three different canonical turbulent flows: decaying homogeneous isotropic turbulence, a Taylor-Green vortex, and turbulent channel flow. Our proposed fully convolutional autoencoder architecture compresses turbulent flow snapshots by a factor of 64 with a single pass, allows for arbitrarily sized input fields, is cheaper to compute than the randomized single-pass SVD for typical simulation sizes, performs well on unseen flow configurations, and has been made publicly available. The results reported here show that the autoencoder dramatically outperforms a randomized single-pass SVD with similar compression ratio and yields comparable performance to a higher-rank decomposition with an order of magnitude less compression in regard to preserving a number of important statistical quantities such as turbulent kinetic energy, enstrophy, and Reynolds stresses.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
NASA NTRS2004

Complexity of life via collective mind

e mind is introduced as a set of simple intelligent units (say, neurons, or interacting agents), which can communicate by exchange of information without explicit global control. Incomplete information is compensated by a sequence of random guesses symmetrically distributed around expectations with prescribed variances. Both the expectations and variances are the invariants characterizing the whole class of agents. These invariants are stored as parameters of the collective mind, while they contribute into dynamical formalism of the agents' evolution, and in particular, into the reflective chains of their nested abstract images of the selves and non-selves. The proposed model consists of the system of stochastic differential equations in the Langevin form representing the motor dynamics, and the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation representing the mental dynamics (Motor dynamics describes the motion in physical space, while mental dynamics simulates the evolution of initial errors in terms of the probability density). The main departure of this model from Newtonian and statistical physics is due to a feedback from the mental to the motor dynamics which makes the Fokker-Planck equation nonlinear. Interpretation of this model from mathematical and physical viewpoints, as well as possible interpretation from biological, psychological, and social viewpoints are discussed. The model is illustrated by the dynamics of a dialog.

collective intelligence↗
DOE OSTI2023

Toward Statistical Real-Time Power Fault Detection

We propose statistical fault detection methodology based on high-frequency data streams that are becoming available in modern power grids. Our approach can be treated as an online (sequential) change point monitoring methodology. However, due to the mostly unexplored and very nonstandard structure of high-frequency power grid streaming data, substantial new statistical development is required to make this methodology practically applicable. The paper includes development of scalar detectors based on multichannel data streams, determination of data-driven alarm thresholds and investigation of the performance and robustness of the new tools. Due to a reasonably large database of faults, we can calculate frequencies of false and correct fault signals, and recommend implementations that optimize these empirical success rates.

bolted faults↗