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At least 433 records · Page 24

Ethical considerations in infectious disease modelling for public health policy: the case of school closures

Mathematical models of infectious diseases are frequently used as a tool to support public health policy and decisions around the implementation of interventions such as school closures. However, most publications on policy-relevant modelling lack an ethical framework and do not explicitly consider the ethical implications of the work. This creates a risk that the unintended consequences of interventions are overlooked or that models are used to justify decisions that are inconsistent with public health ethics. In this article, we focus on the case study of school closures as a commonly modelled intervention against pandemic influenza, COVID-19 and other infectious disease threats. We briefly review some of the key concepts in public health ethics and describe approaches to modelling the effects of school closures. We then identify a series of ethical considerations involved in modelling school closures. These include accounting for population heterogeneity and inequalities; including a diversity of viewpoints and expertise in model design; considering the distribution of benefits and harms; and model transparency and contextualization. Furthermore, we conclude with some recommendations to ensure that policy-relevant modelling is consistent with some key ethics values.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

OmniXAS: A universal deep-learning framework for materials x-ray absorption spectra

X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) is a powerful characterization technique for probing the local chemical environment of absorbing atoms. However, analyzing XAS data presents significant challenges, often requiring extensive, computationally intensive simulations, as well as significant domain expertise. These limitations hinder the development of fast, robust XAS analysis pipelines that are essential in high-throughput studies and for autonomous experimentation. Here, we address these challenges with OmniXAS, a framework that contains a suite of transfer learning approaches for XAS prediction, each uniquely contributing to improved accuracy and efficiency, as demonstrated on the K-edge spectra database covering eight 3⁢d transition metals (Ti–Cu). The OmniXAS framework is built upon three distinct strategies. First, we use M3GNet [Nat. Comput. Sci. 2, 718 (2022)] to derive latent representations of the local chemical environment of absorption sites as input for XAS prediction, achieving significant improvements over conventional featurization techniques. Second, we employ a hierarchical transfer learning strategy, training a universal multitask model across elements before fine-tuning for element-specific predictions. Models based on this cascaded approach after elementwise fine-tuning outperform element-specific models by up to 69%. Third, we implement cross-fidelity transfer learning, adapting a universal model to predict spectra generated by simulation of a different fidelity with a much higher computational cost. This approach improves prediction accuracy by up to 11% over models trained on the target fidelity alone. Our approach significantly boosts the throughput of XAS modeling by orders of magnitude as compared to first-principles simulations and is extendable to XAS prediction for a broader range of elements. The proposed transfer learning framework is generalizable to enhance deep-learning models that target other properties in materials research.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DuraMAT: Building a Consortium to Accelerate the Photovoltaic Module Reliability Learning Cycle

Durable and reliable photovoltaic (PV) modules are critical to enabling an efficient transition to sustainable energy generation. The rate at which new module designs and materials are developed and deployed currently outpaces the rate at which we can identify failure mechanisms and understand degradation rates. Increasing the service life of PV modules, and our ability to predict performance over time, requires more durable materials and designs, better durability testing, more extensive material characterization, robust modeling, and methods to cross-examine historical performance data to extract meaningful results. This is a multidisciplinary challenge that requires expertise from a broad range of fields and, therefore, benefits significantly from a collaborative approach. In this Perspective, we outline the approach taken by the Durable Module Materials Consortium (DuraMAT), present a few case studies where our approach was successful, and provide an outlook on where this approach might be applied as the PV technology landscape continues to rapidly evolve. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The AXEAP2 program for K β X-ray emission spectra analysis using artificial intelligence

The processing and analysis of synchrotron data can be a complex task, requiring specialized expertise and knowledge. Our previous work addressed the challenge of X-ray emission spectrum (XES) data processing by developing a standalone application using unsupervised machine learning. However, the task of analyzing the processed spectra remains another challenge. Although the non-resonant K β XES of 3 d transition metals are known to provide electronic structure information such as oxidation and spin state, finding appropriate parameters to match experimental data is a time-consuming and labor-intensive process. Here, a new XES data analysis method based on the genetic algorithm is demonstrated, applying it to Mn, Co and Ni oxides. This approach is also implemented as a standalone application, Argonne X-ray Emission Analysis 2 ( AXEAP2 ), which finds a set of parameters that result in a high-quality fit of the experimental spectrum with minimal intervention. AXEAP2 is able to find a set of parameters that reproduce the experimental spectrum, and provide insights into the 3 d electron spin state, 3 d –3 p electron exchange force and K β emission core-hole lifetime.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

RCSB Protein Data Bank: supporting research and education worldwide through explorations of experimentally determined and computationally predicted atomic level 3D biostructures

The Protein Data Bank (PDB) was established as the first open-access digital data resource in biology and medicine in 1971 with seven X-ray crystal structures of proteins. Today, the PDB houses >210 000 experimentally determined, atomic level, 3D structures of proteins and nucleic acids as well as their complexes with one another and small molecules ( e.g. approved drugs, enzyme cofactors). These data provide insights into fundamental biology, biomedicine, bioenergy and biotechnology. They proved particularly important for understanding the SARS-CoV-2 global pandemic. The US-funded Research Collaboratory for Structural Bioinformatics Protein Data Bank (RCSB PDB) and other members of the Worldwide Protein Data Bank (wwPDB) partnership jointly manage the PDB archive and support >60 000 `data depositors' (structural biologists) around the world. wwPDB ensures the quality and integrity of the data in the ever-expanding PDB archive and supports global open access without limitations on data usage. The RCSB PDB research-focused web portal at https://www.rcsb.org/ (RCSB.org) supports millions of users worldwide, representing a broad range of expertise and interests. In addition to retrieving 3D structure data, PDB `data consumers' access comparative data and external annotations, such as information about disease-causing point mutations and genetic variations. RCSB.org also provides access to >1 000 000 computed structure models (CSMs) generated using artificial intelligence/machine-learning methods. To avoid doubt, the provenance and reliability of experimentally determined PDB structures and CSMs are identified. Related training materials are available to support users in their RCSB.org explorations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Cryo-EM sample preparation for high-resolution structure studies

High-resolution structures of biomolecules can be obtained using single-particle cryo-electron microscopy (SPA cryo-EM), and the rapidly growing number of structures solved by this method is encouraging more researchers to utilize this technique. As with other structural biology methods, sample preparation for an SPA cryo-EM data collection requires some expertise and an understanding of the strengths and limitations of the technique in order to make sensible decisions in the sample-preparation process. Here, in this article, common strategies and pitfalls are described and practical advice is given to increase the chances of success when starting an SPA cryo-EM project.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

From crystal color symmetry to quantum spacetime

More than one hundred years after the inception of relativistic physics, the concept of time remains incompletely understood. Relativity provides means to perform calculations of geometrical properties of spacetime, such as distances or curvature, and to interpret them in terms of physical observations, for instance as time dilation or gravitational effects. However, an intuitive understanding of spacetime is complicated, not so much because it is four-dimensional (which, after all, can be evaded by visualizing twodimensional cross sections) but mainly because its geometry does not obey Euclid’s axioms even in the absence of curvature. Through a well defined and clever transformation (RBS: renormalized blended spacetime), Venkatraman Gopalan (2021) has demonstrated how the hyperbolic geometry in Minkowski spacetime can be mapped to a circular Euclidean geometry. In particular, Lorentzian boosts become Euclidean rotations which enables new frontiers of exploration in color symmetry and magnetic crystals. His idea of general relativistic spacetime crystals and how to obtain them is both powerful and broad, although the notion of relativistic crystals and lattices in two dimensions has existed for a while (Janner & Ascher, 1969a,b). Finally, the breadth of this new work is underlined by the present opinion piece, written by two co-authors with distinct yet connected areas of expertise.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

A Decision Support System to Compile Environmental Mitigations from Hydropower Licensing Documents

The process of deciphering, extracting, and compiling information from texts dense with domain-specific terminology and technical jargon is a challenging endeavor. It demands considerable expertise and deep knowledge in the respective field, resulting in a labor-intensive process when executed by humans. Furthermore, the task of identifying multiple class labels in extensive texts presents a challenge due to intra- and inter-reader variability, making the process time-consuming and costly.We’re introducing a user-friendly graphical interface, fortified with a BERT model-powered decision support system. This advanced system aims to augment efficiency, curtail data collection time, and sustain high precision in data acquisition. It is instrumental in deciphering and synthesizing intricate texts teeming with a spectrum of expressions, even within similar mitigation categories. Such tasks traditionally demand substantial human effort and specialized knowledge in the domain.Our system is specifically engineered for the task of extracting environmental mitigation information to promote sustainable hydropower development from licenses issued by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). These license documents are comprehensive, each containing over 15,000 words and requiring the identification of 135 different class labels. We anticipate that our system will boost reading speed, improve the consistency of classification outputs among readers, and contribute to the development of a robust scientific database of environmental mitigations associated with the 2,000+ non-federal hydropower facilities licensed by FERC in the United States.

Yoon, Hong-Jun [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000254505878)↗

AutoTG: Reinforcement Learning-Based Symbolic Optimization for AI-Assisted Power Converter Design

Power converters are pervasive in modern electronic component design. They can be found in all electronic devices from household appliances and cellphone chargers to vehicles. Currently, designing new circuit topologies is hard because it requires human expertise based on experience and is difficult to automate. However, artificial-intelligence-assisted design can significantly facilitate the development of new power converters and/or improve the final result. Intelligently designed highly efficient power converters can have a significant effect on many important attributes, such as power efficiency, layout size, cost, heat dissemination, energy requirements, etc. We propose Autonomous Topology Generator (AutoTG), a reinforcement-learning-based framework that generates power converter topology candidates based on user specifications, optimized for user preferences. By modeling power converter design as a symbolic optimization problem, we sequentially sample components in an autoregressive manner until new topologies are formed, providing both the topology specification and the sizing (magnitude of each component parameter) of the proposed power converter. Here, we provide an empirical evaluation and show that AutoTG is able to generate varied high-efficiency topologies within component restrictions based on user input and show that previously unknown topologies can be found for further evaluation.

(AI)-based design↗

Cosimulating Integrated Energy Systems With Heterogeneous Digital Twins: Matching a Connected World

Energy system integration promises in-creased resiliency and the unlocking of synergies, while also contributing to our goal of decarbonization. It is enabled by both old and new technologies, glued together with data and digital services. Hydrolyzers, heat pumps, distributed renewable generation, smart buildings, and the digital grid edge are all currently the subject of integration with the power system and the energy sector at large. To plan and operate such a multidisciplinary and multisectoral system properly, insight, tools, and expertise are all needed. Further, this is exactly where the state of the art fails to deliver: tools for integrated energy systems (IESs) are still in their infancy, and many times, even academia treats these sectors separately, producing experts in each of them but not across.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Cost Estimation of a Permanent Magnet Synchronous Machine for Use in Adjustable Speed-Pumped Storage Hydropower

Electric machine design has become an easier process with the availability of computers in recent decades. However, the interest in electric machine design among students has declined. University-level design courses must compete with courses perceived as more desirable by the potential job market. Hence, the power system engineers with this expertise are very few and are nearing retirement. Contrarily, renewable energy has been picking up in the past few decades. The indeterminacy and variation of renewable energy sources require a balancing mechanism to maintain the constant voltage and frequency of the grid. Adjustable-Speed Pumped-Storage Hydropower plants are considered the contender for future energy storage, providing large capacity and fast-acting response. Large-scale hydropower applications depend on the natural characteristics of each project site, making less expensive, off-the-shelf generators unfeasible. This work gives a shortcut to estimate the cost of constructing a permanent magnet generator for low-volume manufacturing.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Data-Driven Approach to Transactive Energy Systems with Commercial Buildings

A microgrid with solar, storage, and responsive load resources has been implemented and tested on an urban academic campus. Through modeling and simulation, a consensus transactive energy mechanism has been implemented, with each resource participating as a virtual battery. Most owners of large buildings don't have the information and expertise to develop and validate suitable models of their buildings using available tools. To mitigate this adoption barrier, a data-driven building model has been implemented and validated. It uses 5-minute weather data, 3-second revenue meter data, energy audit information, and a load reduction test conducted by the building owner.

Buildings, data-driven modeling, deep learning, en↗

Enhancing EV Motor Design Through Knowledge-Based AI and Hierarchical Fuzzy Logic Model

This work presents a novel approach to optimizing electric vehicle motor design through the integration of Knowledge-Based Artificial Intelligence (KB-AI) and Hierarchical Fuzzy Logic. Traditional motor design processes are time-intensive, relying heavily on iterative simulations and domain-specific expertise. These processes are further complicated by the nonlinear relationships between key design parameters. The proposed framework addresses these challenges by systematically encoding expert knowledge from scientific literature into a fuzzy logic system, allowing for the efficient handling of complex design variables. The hierarchical fuzzy logic model reduces computational complexity by decomposing the nonlinear relationships into manageable rule sets while maintaining design accuracy. The proposed methodology was applied to the design of a 100 kW motor, yielding optimal values for key parameters. This resulted in a compact motor design with a volume of 2.2 liters, showcasing the framework’s ability to deliver high-performance, application-specific motor configurations.

Kumar, Praveen [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000291877857)↗

AutoCheck: Automatically Identifying Variables for Checkpointing by Data Dependency Analysis

Checkpoint/Restart (C/R) has been widely deployed in numerous HPC systems, Clouds, and industrial data centers, which are typically operated by system engineers. Nevertheless, there is no existing approach that helps system engineers without domain expertise and domain scientists without system fault tolerance knowledge identify those critical variables accounted for correct application execution restoration in a failure for C/R. To address this problem, we propose an analytical model and a tool (AutoCheck) that can automatically identify critical variables to checkpoint for C/R. AutoCheck relies on first, analytically tracking and optimizing data dependency between variables and other application execution state, and second, a set of heuristics that identify critical variables for checkpointing from the refined data dependency graph (DDG). AutoCheck allows programmers to pinpoint critical variables to checkpoint quickly within a few minutes. We evaluate AutoCheck on 13 representative HPC benchmarks, demonstrating that AutoCheck can efficiently identify correct critical variables to checkpoint.

HPC↗

Design of Stand-Alone Cryomodule based on Superconducting Quarter-Wave Resonator

Present superconducting accelerators require a central refrigeration system and piping to distribute liquid helium and nitrogen. Stand-alone cryocooler-based systems are of significant interest both to scientific and industrial customers, as they allow applications at facilities where no cryogenic equipment and expertise exists, where it is undesirable to develop additional cryogenic systems, or where a mobile system that can be transported between beamlines or facilities is required. The technical challenge of this approach is to minimize the heat losses to the liquid helium so that commercially available, self-contained cryocoolers are able to handle the thermal load. This paper presents an improved design for a stand-alone quarter-wave resonator (QWR) cryomodule a based on commercially available cryocoolers. This cryomodule has a particular application in the ATLAS intensity upgrade project where it will house a 72.75 MHz QWR for beam energy adjustments to experimental areas, where no helium cryogenic systems exist. The described cryomodule may also be the critical part of a turnkey system with application to material processing, semiconductor manufacturing, food irradiation and homeland security. The development of low heat loss peripheral components reduces cost and widens applicability of the system. We will discuss the cryomodule and RF coupler designs, including numerical thermal and structural analyses.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

On the Development of Compact HTS Coil Modules for Large Bore High Field Superconducting Magnets

Lower cost, high current density superconducting coil modules producing higher magnetic fields and cooled affordably are crucial for obtaining cost-effective, compact commercial fusion reactors. Accessibility to low cost, higher field magnets (>30 T) is also critical for the discovery of new quantum phenomena in materials, cosmic frontier and other topics in basic science research. The Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (PPPL) is working with Princeton University to develop unique large bore, compact superconducting magnets to support science experiments including the development of new instrumentation for condensed matter physics and Axion dark matter search in the cosmic frontier. Core elements of these experiments are unique for access to lower cost, simple fabrication of compact superconducting magnets that can be cooled affordably, while integrated with dedicated science instruments. Conductor qualification and coil design concepts are discussed in support of needs for these experiments. PPPL has the unique expertise and experimental facilities to design, construct and test subscale coil modules for these projects. Compact high field coil modules were fabricated and tested to validate coil design concepts and coil performance. Finally, the design and model coil integration challenges are discussed to identify performance risks and demonstrate feasibility for deploying full scale large bore compact superconducting magnets for cost effective operations of multiple laboratory experiments.

axion dark matter↗

Leveraging Structured Biological Knowledge for Counterfactual Inference: A Case Study of Viral Pathogenesis

Counterfactual inference is a useful tool for comparing outcomes of interventions on complex systems. It requires us to represent the system in form of a structural causal model, complete with a causal diagram, probabilistic assumptions on exogenous variables, and functional assignments. Specifying such models can be extremely difficult in practice. The process requires substantial domain expertise, and does not scale easily to large systems, multiple systems, or novel system modifications. At the same time, many application domains, such as molecular biology, are rich in structured causal knowledge that is qualitative in nature. This manuscript proposes a general approach for querying a causal knowledge graph with a causal question and converting the qualitative result into a quantitative structural causal model that can learn from data to answer the question. Here, we demonstrate the feasibility, accuracy and versatility of this approach using two case studies in systems biology. The first demonstrates the appropriateness of the underlying assumptions and the accuracy of the results. The second demonstrates the versatility of the approach by querying a knowledge base for the molecular determinants of a severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-induced cytokine storm and performing counterfactual inference to predict the causal effect of medical countermeasures for severely ill COVID-19 patients.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Integration Study of Converter-Interfaced Combined Heat and Power Plants

Combined Heat and Power (CHP) systems, as a proven technology, provide numerous benefits to the plant owner by saving electricity bill, reducing carbon dioxide emissions, and improving electricity service reliability. However, their integration into the distribution grid faces many barriers including the complexity of grid code requirements and the lack of technical expertise in commercial and small industrial plants to interface with the utility and accelerate the interconnection process. To solve these issues, this study proposes a converter-interfaced solution for CHP integration. Simulations including various fault scenarios and load flow under different grid conditions are carried out to compare technical performances of the proposed solution with directly-coupled CHP. Results show that the generator size of converter-interfaced CHP can be reduced by approximately 25% and it also provides advantageous features such as reduced stress level under fault conditions and a better dynamic stability margin. In addition, a power factor controller is designed and reactive power from CHP is dispatched in such a way that the CHP plant is compliant with power factor requirements from utilities under all operating conditions.

Converter, Combined heat and power, Distributed en↗