Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “energy applications”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 433 records · Page 24

Tuning Chiral Anomaly Signature in a Dirac Semimetal via Fast-Ion Implantation

Cd 3 As 2 is a Dirac semimetal that hosts a chiral anomaly, functioning as a platform to realize energy applications. We use fast-ion implantation to enhance the negative longitudinal magnetoresistance (NLMR)─signature of a chiral anomaly─in Nb-doped Cd 3 As 2 thin films. High-energy ion implantation is used to investigate semiconductors and nuclear materials but is rarely employed to study topological materials. We use electrical transport and transmission electron microscopy to characterize the NLMR and crystallinity of Nb-doped Cd 3 As 2 . We find surface-doped thin films display a maximum NLMR around B = 7 T and bulk-doped thin films display a maximum over B = 9 T─all while maintaining crystallinity. This is more than a 100% relative enhancement of the maximum NLMR compared to pristine Cd 3 As 2 . As a result, our work demonstrates the potential of high-energy ion implantation as a practical route to explore chiralitronic properties in topological semimetals.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

The Creation of True Two-Dimensional Silicon Carbide

This paper reports the successful synthesis of true two-dimensional silicon carbide using a top-down synthesis approach. Theoretical studies have predicted that 2D SiC has a stable planar structure and is a direct band gap semiconducting material. Experimentally, however, the growth of 2D SiC has challenged scientists for decades because bulk silicon carbide is not a van der Waals layered material. Adjacent atoms of SiC bond together via covalent sp3 hybridization, which is much stronger than van der Waals bonding in layered materials. Additionally, bulk SiC exists in more than 250 polytypes, further complicating the synthesis process, and making the selection of the SiC precursor polytype extremely important. This work demonstrates, for the first time, the successful isolation of 2D SiC from hexagonal SiC via a wet exfoliation method. Unlike many other 2D materials such as silicene that suffer from environmental instability, the created 2D SiC nanosheets are environmentally stable, and show no sign of degradation. 2D SiC also shows interesting Raman behavior, different from that of the bulk SiC. Our results suggest a strong correlation between the thickness of the nanosheets and the intensity of the longitudinal optical (LO) Raman mode. Furthermore, the created 2D SiC shows visible-light emission, indicating its potential applications for light-emitting devices and integrated microelectronics circuits. We anticipate that this work will cause disruptive impact across various technological fields, ranging from optoelectronics and spintronics to electronics and energy applications.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Roadmap for Sustainable Mixed Ionic–Electronic Conducting Membranes

Mixed ionic-electronic conducting (MIEC) membranes have gained growing interest recently for various promising environmental and energy applications, such as H 2 and O 2 production, CO 2 reduction, O 2 and H 2 separation, CO 2 separation, membrane reactors for production of chemicals, cathode development for solid oxide fuel cells, solar-driven evaporation and energy-saving regeneration as well as electrolyzer cells for power-to-X technologies. The purpose of this roadmap, written by international specialists in their fields, is to present a snapshot of the state-of-the-art, and provide opinions on the future challenges and opportunities in this complex multidisciplinary research field. As the fundamentals of using MIEC membranes for various applications become increasingly challenging tasks, particularly in view of the growing interdisciplinary nature of this field, a better understanding of the underlying physical and chemical processes is also crucial to enable the career advancement of the next generation of researchers. As an integrated and combined article, it is hoped that this roadmap, covering all these aspects, will be informative to support further progress in academics as well as in the industry-oriented research toward commercialization of MIEC membranes for different applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Long-Range Charge Transport Facilitated by Electron Delocalization in MoS 2 and Carbon Nanotube Heterostructures

Controlling charge transport at the interfaces of nanostructures is crucial for their successful use in optoelectronic and solar energy applications. Mixed-dimensional heterostructures based on single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) and transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDCs) have demonstrated exceptionally long-lived charge-separated states. However, the factors that control the charge transport at these interfaces remain unclear. In this study, we directly image charge transport at the interfaces of single- and multilayered MoS 2 and (6,5) SWCNT heterostructures using transient absorption microscopy. We find that charge recombination becomes slower as the layer thickness of MoS 2 increases. This behavior can be explained by electron delocalization in multilayers and reduced orbital overlap with the SWCNTs, as suggested by nonadiabatic (NA) molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. Dipolar repulsion of interfacial excitons results in rapid density-dependent transport within the first 100 ps. Stronger repulsion and longer-range charge transport are observed in heterostructures with thicker MoS 2 layers, driven by electron delocalization and larger interfacial dipole moments. These findings are consistent with the results from NAMD simulations. Our results suggest that heterostructures with multilayer MoS 2 can facilitate long-lived charge separation and transport, which is promising for applications in photovoltaics and photocatalysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Atomically Dispersed Zn/Co–N–C as ORR Electrocatalysts for Alkaline Fuel Cells

Hydrogen fuel cells have drawn increasing attention as one of the most promising next-generation power sources for future automotive transportation. Developing efficient, durable, and low-cost electrocatalysts, to accelerate the sluggish oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) kinetics, is urgently needed to advance fuel cell technologies. Herein, we report on metal–organic frameworks-derived nonprecious dual metal single-atom catalysts (SACs) (Zn/Co–N–C), consisting of Co–N 4 and Zn–N 4 local structures. These catalysts exhibited superior ORR activity with a half-wave potential (E 1/2 ) of 0.938 V versus RHE (reversible hydrogen electrode) and robust stability (ΔE 1/2 = –8.5 mV) after 50k electrochemical cycles. Moreover, this remarkable performance was validated under realistic fuel cell working conditions, achieving a record-high peak power density of ~1 W cm –2 among the reported SACs for alkaline fuel cells. Operando X-ray absorption spectroscopy was conducted to identify the active sites and reveal catalytic mechanistic insights. The results indicated that the Co atom in the Co–N 4 structure was the main catalytically active center, where one axial oxygenated species binds to form an O ads –Co–N 4 moiety during the ORR. In addition, theoretical studies, based on a potential-dependent microkinetic model and core-level shift calculations, showed good agreement with the experimental results and provided insights into the bonding of oxygen species on Co–N 4 centers during the ORR. Furthermore, this work provides a comprehensive mechanistic understanding of the active sites in the Zn/Co–N–C catalysts and will pave the way for the future design and advancement of high-performance single-site electrocatalysts for fuel cells and other energy applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

High-Temperature Reference Electrode for Chloride Salts

The unique properties of molten salts enable their use in a wide range of applications, including metal electrodeposition, electrorefining, and as electrolytes in high-temperature batteries. Moreover, molten salts will be used as a coolant in molten salt reactors and as working media in pyrorocessing for nuclear energy applications. As a result, predicting the behavior and properties of the elements involved in the technological processes that employ molten salts is important. The activity of chloride ions in chloride molten salts has a large influence on the behavior of the salts in these applications and one of the key components in measuring the chloride activity is a stable reference electrode. This project aims to develop a reliable and convenient method for measuring chloride ion activity over a wide range of temperatures and salt compositions in chloride salt mixtures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Application of the FaMUS Methodology to the NSUF Research Outputs Through End of 2019

The Nuclear Science User Facilities (NSUF) is one of a diverse group of DOE user facilities. It is focused on advancing the understanding of radiation effects in nuclear fuels and materials in support of nuclear energy applications. The NSUF has been operating since 2007 and has developed a significant portfolio of supported research. Therefore, it is appropriate to consider its achievements and to determine its successes and shortfalls. As part of this analysis of the NSUF research program, the NSUF has developed a novel and elegant formalism for assessing the current level of understanding of nuclear fuels and materials for use in nuclear environments: the NSUF Fuels and Materials Understanding Scale (FaMUS). The FaMUS methodology is being applied to the NSUF portfolio on an ongoing basis to quantify the progress made. This report summarizes the status of the assessment exercise and highlights general lessons learned. This examination will facilitate capability balancing of future research by identifying gaps in knowledge, understanding, testing, and demonstration allowing the NSUF program office in conjunction with DOE-NE to direct resources to important aspects of the DOE-NE mission using “emphasize & enhance”, “maintain”, and “encourage excellence” classifications as well as providing increased transparency to researchers.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Bias Correction and Statistical Downscaling of Future Solar Irradiance Projections Using the NSRDB

Assessing renewable energy resources under future climate scenarios has been highlighted to understand potential impacts of future climate change in renewable generation on the power sector. Climate model projection has been recognized by the renewable energy community as a useful data set to analyze the impacts of future climate change on renewable resources. However, future climate projections generated from general circulation models (GCMs) contain inherent biases that need to be corrected for accurate analysis of future projections of climate variables. In addition, the coarse spatiotemporal resolution of GCMs needs to be improved for regional climate studies. In this work, we develop statistical methods to downscale future projections of global horizontal irradiance (GHI) in a computationally efficient way. Our approach builds statistical downscaling models that correct bias of climate projection of GHI and downscale the future GHI projection from daily-scale to hourly-scale. The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) is used to calibrate the statistical models and validate the downscaled GHI projections across the contiguous United State (CONUS). Preliminary results show that the statistical approach efficiently downscales climate projections of GHI with a nBIAS of 3%, nMAE of 34 % and nRMSE of 46% calculated against NSRDB for CONUS. This study describes the implemented methodology and initial results as well as future research to create high-resolution climate data sets for solar energy applications.

analytical models↗

Shape-Controlled NaTaO 3 by Flux-Mediated Synthesis

NaTaO 3 is a stable and wide bandgap n-type semiconductor material with many different applications. Here, a flux-mediated synthesis method is presented for NaTaO 3 resulting in highly distinctive, substrate covering shapes via precursor chemistry variation at comparatively low temperatures. It is found that the microstructure of the resulting NaTaO 3 films can be varied from nanocubes to smooth thin films. These shapes and surface chemistries can be correlated by employing density functional theory calculations and surface sensitive X-ray photoemission spectroscopy. This study provides guidance on how to synthesize the material and tailor its shape and surface termination for different applications. Finally, as a proof of concept of one possible application, NaTaO 3 is applied to perovskite solar cells as the electron transport layer, resulting in conversion efficiencies of >19%. Further, this study provides a new strategy for designing ternary oxide thin films for renewable energy applications.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Avoiding surface instability and slurry jamming in simultaneous multilayer coating of structured particulate films

Simultaneous multilayer coating techniques are widely known, but their industrial application remains limited to narrow market sectors. One barrier to adoption may be the mismatch between industries that are familiar with such processes but have no need, and industries that have need but are not familiar. Moreover, there are application-specific technical challenges to developing multilayer-coating processes. In this article, we describe our resolution of two specific issues in simultaneous multilayer coating of all aqueous highly loaded slurries for new and emerging energy applications. The first issue is particle jamming (associated with Shear-thickening) of the highly loaded slurries in the die internals, which we alleviated by adding small amounts of viscosity modifiers without reducing the solid loading. The second issue is a Marangoni-driven surface instability that resembles top layer de-wetting, which we solved by carefully selecting surfactants to tune the dynamic surface tensions of each slurry. Both issues were resolved early in a step-wise development, saving significant development cost which in our case was driven by expensive materials.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Performance of Compact Pulsed Thermal Imaging System for In-Service Applications. Pulsed thermal tomography nondestructive examination of additively manufactured reactor materials and components

Additive manufacturing (AM) is an emerging method for cost-efficient fabrication of complex topology nuclear reactor parts from high-strength corrosion resistance alloys, such as stainless steel and Inconel. AM of metallic structures for nuclear energy applications is currently based on laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) process, which has the capability of melting metallic powder and net shaping the structures with relatively high precision. Some of the challenges with using LPBF method for nuclear manufacturing include the possibility of introducing pores into metallic structures. Integrity of AM structures needs to be evaluated nondestructively because material flaws could lead to premature failures due to creep in high temperature nuclear reactor environment. Currently, there exist limited capabilities to evaluate actual AM structures nondestructively. Pulsed Thermography (PT) imaging provides a capability for non-destructive evaluation (NDE) of sub-surface defects in arbitrary size structures. The PT method is based on recording material surface temperature transients with infrared (IR) camera following thermal pulse delivered on material surface with flash light. The PT method has advantages for NDE of actual AM structures because the method involves one-sided non-contact measurements and fast processing of large sample areas captured in one image. The data cube of PT measurements consists of surface temperature taken at sequential time intervals T(x,y,t). Material defects can be detected either by analyzing the thermograms T(x,y,t) data cube, or by using thermal tomography (TT) algorithm to obtain 3D spatial reconstruction of thermal effusivity e(x,y,z). To reduce the cost and enable in-service NDE in spatially constrained environment, it is highly desirable to develop PT with compact and inexpensive IR camera. Following initial qualification of an AM component for deployment in a nuclear reactor, a compact PT system can also be used for in-service nondestructive evaluation (NDE) applications. However, data cube obtained with PT based on compact IR camera suffers from strong thermal noises and loss of features due to relatively low sampling rate. In this report we describe two unsupervised machine learning (ML) algorithms for enhancement of PT images obtained with compact IR camera. In one approach, we introduce Sparse Coding Discrete Cosine Transform (SC/DCT) algorithm to remove additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN) from spatial thermal effusivity reconstructions. In another approach we introduce a Spatial Temporal Denoised Thermal Source Separation (STDTSS) ML algorithm to process thermograms. The STDTSS algorithm consists of spatial and temporal denoising using Gaussian and Savitzky–Golay filtering, followed by the matrix decomposition using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and Independent Component Analysis (ICA) to automatically detect flaws. In the work described in this report, we constructed a compact PT system using a relatively small and low-cost FLIR A65 camera, consisting on uncooled microbolometer detector. Performance of SC/DCT algorithm was demonstrated on enhancing TT images of Inconel 718 AM plate. Performance of the STDTSS methods was investigated using thermography data obtained from imaging stainless steel 316L specimens produced with LPBF method with imprinted calibrated porosity defects.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Demonstrating Advanced Nuclear Energy Solutions for Net Zero

Background/Objectives. The aggressive goals being set by nation states, communities, and private industry for decarbonization of grid electricity, industrial heat sources, and transportation around the world are imperative to mitigating the devastating effects that we are seeing from climate change. Although many of these goals focus on accomplishments by 2035 or 2050, the decisions that we make today won’t just impact the landscape of energy systems for the next 20 or 30 years—they will shape the world’s environment for centuries to come. That means that we can’t just focus on technologies that will get us to 2050, but technologies that will withstand our energy demands over that long-ranging future. Success will require us to utilize all of the clean energy resources that we have available to meet demands for electricity, heat, and steam, and we will need energy carriers such as hydrogen that do not emit additional greenhouse gases at the point of use. Nuclear energy, ranging from technologies in service today to advanced, higher temperature and modular systems that will be in service this decade, will provide a robust complement to renewable energy resources that operate variably. Researchers across the U.S. Department of Energy laboratory complex are working to advance multiple aspects of these clean energy solutions, with many focusing on integrated energy system solutions that leverage all available clean energy assets to meet wide-ranging energy demands. Approach/Activities. Nuclear energy is a proven, zero-emission option during operation that can provide consistent, dispatchable power to meet electricity demands while also providing high-quality heat that can meet energy demands beyond the electricity sector. Energy system design should seek to maximize these assets. As a dispatchable energy source with a small land utilization footprint, nuclear energy can be collocated with renewable resources, and the smaller systems that will be deployed this decade (ranging from a few megawatts to hundreds of megawatts) can be installed right where that energy is needed. Integrated nuclear and renewable systems will enhance power grid reliability and resilience, and they will help stabilize the grid through their increasingly flexible operation. Licensing, installation, and broad adoption of these advanced nuclear energy systems are expected to progress significantly in the 2020s, but this may be longer than desired by some stakeholders wishing to implement impactful clean energy decisions today. However, one must recall that nuclear energy systems will operate for 80 or more years, as is being demonstrated by current fleet nuclear systems. The nuclear community is extremely thorough in reviewing these systems with regard to safety and security; these efforts ensure that the deployed systems will continue to provide reliable, resilient energy over that operational lifetime. That investment of time up front will ensure that we can support energy demands over the centuries to come. While advanced nuclear technologies move through this process, communities and private industry may choose to install renewable generation systems that can later be coupled to the complementary nuclear systems as they become available—thus moving closer to the net zero goals in the near term. Choosing technologies and deployment configurations that allow small modular nuclear powerhouses to be added to these “energy parks” as they become available will ensure that advanced technologies can be readily adopted to support growing demands for clean energy. Results/Lessons Learned. The primary focus of integrated energy systems (IES) research is to assess the technical and economic potential of novel multi-input, multioutput solutions that are expected to enhance energy system flexibility, reliability, and resilience as we pursue a clean energy transition. Various energy applications and product streams beyond electricity are being evaluated, ranging from generation of potable water to production of hydrogen, fertilizers, synthetic fuels, and various chemicals. In early FY23 Idaho National Laboratory (INL) will commission thermal energy generation systems that emulate nuclear fission energy input using electric heating and will allow for integrated system testing with thermal energy storage, hydrogen production via high temperature electrolysis (HTE), and power systems hardware to demonstrate operation of a clean energy park within a microgrid or larger grid infrastructure, supporting up to 450 kW of heat input via electric heating and demonstrating operation of HTE systems at the multi-hundred kW scale. This presentation will highlight the wide array of RD&D being conducted at INL and partner laboratories to develop and deploy nuclear and renewable-based IES that will be key to achieving our net zero goals, including both computational and experimental demonstrations. By working with key collaborators in industry, analytical st

08 HYDROGEN↗

Novel Hourly-Resolved Global Cloud Property Composite from Operational Satellites Imagers

Numerous applications in satellite remote sensing of surface properties, atmospheric state, composition, and radiation require accurate knowledge of the location and characteristics of clouds. Operational satellite imager radiances are valuable for cloud detection and for deriving many different physical parameters that can be used for a variety of weather, aviation, and energy applications. The NASA Satellite ClOud and Radiation Property retrieval System (SatCORPS) applies a suite of algorithms to meteorological satellite data to provide cloud properties, radiative fluxes and other parameters on a global scale. This paper describes a new global high-resolution dataset of cloud properties made available for community use that is constructed from analyses of a constellation of meteorological satellite imagers. Data taken from Meteosat-8/9 and -11, Himawari-8/9, GOES-16, and -17/-18, Aqua, Terra, Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20 are processed and composited on a 3-km grid to provide hourly global coverage. A historical multi-year dataset is available to serve various needs including modeling challenges related to cloud evaluations and parameterizations. Near real-time data products are also currently available between 60N and 60S. Efforts are underway to operationalize polar orbiting satellite cloud detection methods for low-latency applications over polar regions. The cloud detection and retrieval algorithms have been developed over many years to support NASA weather and climate programs such as the Clouds and Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES). To improve the utility of the data products, machine learning and other innovative methods are applied in various ways to help minimize data product uncertainties under the most challenging conditions and to improve their consistency at all times of day. A brief description of the methods highlighting the unique aspects of the SatCORPS data products will be presented along with information on their status and availability.

SatCORPS↗

III-V PV Cell Core Capability (Final Technical Report)

This Core project developed III-V photovoltaics for terrestrial applications, focusing on high efficiency architectures and on cost-reduction. III-V cells have demonstrated the highest efficiencies of any photovoltaic materials system, reaching over 30% for two- junction tandems and over 47% for more complex concentrator cells. III-Vs have other characteristics that make them attractive to a range of terrestrial and near-terrestrial energy applications, such as being direct absorbers, lightweight and potentially flexible, having good thermal coefficient, good radiation hardness, and being very stable and durable. Cost is a key challenge with III-Vs, however, because of the high cost of epitaxy and processing.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Nucleation Rate Theory for Coordination Number: Elucidating Water-Mediated Formation of a Zigzag Na 2 SO 4 Morphology

Predicting and controlling nanostructure formation during nucleation can pave the way to synthesizing novel energy materials via crystallization. However, such control over nucleation and crystallization remains challenging due to an inadequate understanding of critical factors that govern evolving atomistic structures and dynamics. Here, in this paper, we utilize coordination number as a reaction coordinate and rate theory to investigate how sodium sulfate, commonly known as a phase-change energy material, nucleates in a supersaturated aqueous solution. In conjunction with ab initio and force field-based molecular dynamics simulation, the rate theoretical analysis reveals that sodium sulfate from an initially dissolved metastable state transits to a heterogeneous mixture of prenucleated clusters and finally to a large cylindrical zigzag morphology. Measurements of Raman spectra and their ab initio modeling confirm that this nucleated morphology contains a few waters for every sulfate. Rate processes such as solvent exchange and desolvation exhibit high sensitivity to the evolving prenucleation/nucleation structures, providing a means to distinguish between critical nucleation precursors. Desolvation and forming the first-shell interionic coordination structure via monomer-by-monomer addition around sulfates are found to explain the formation of large nuclei. Thus, a detailed understanding of the step-by-step structure formation across scales has been achieved. This can be leveraged to predict nucleation-related structures and dynamics and potentially control the synthesis of novel phase-change materials for energy applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Spectrally Tailored Pulsed Thulium Fiber Laser System for Broadband Lidar CO2 Sensing

Thulium doped pulsed fiber lasers are capable of meeting the spectral, temporal, efficiency, size and weight demands of defense and civil applications for pulsed lasers in the eye-safe spectral regime due to inherent mechanical stability, compact "all-fiber" master oscillator power amplifier (MOPA) architectures, high beam quality and efficiency. Thulium fiber's longer operating wavelength allows use of larger fiber cores without compromising beam quality, increasing potential single aperture pulse energies. Applications of these lasers include eye-safe laser ranging, frequency conversion to longer or shorter wavelengths for IR countermeasures and sensing applications with otherwise tough to achieve wavelengths and detection of atmospheric species including CO2 and water vapor. Performance of a portable thulium fiber laser system developed for CO2 sensing via a broadband lidar technique with an etalon based sensor will be discussed. The fielded laser operates with approximately 280 J pulse energy in 90-150ns pulses over a tunable 110nm spectral range and has a uniquely tailored broadband spectral output allowing the sensing of multiple CO2 lines simultaneously, simplifying future potentially space based CO2 sensing instruments by reducing the number and complexity of lasers required to carry out high precision sensing missions. Power scaling and future "all fiber" system configurations for a number of ranging, sensing, countermeasures and other yet to be defined applications by use of flexible spectral and temporal performance master oscillators will be discussed. The compact, low mass, robust, efficient and readily power scalable nature of "all-fiber" thulium lasers makes them ideal candidates for use in future space based sensing applications.

Heaps, William S.↗

Ion irradiation of iron chalcogenide superconducting films

Iron-chalcogenide FeSe x Te 1-x (Fe(Se,Te)) superconductors have attracted a great deal of interests in both fundamental physics and potential applications. While Majorana zero-modes hosted by the Fe(Se,Te) superconductors hold great promise for topological quantum computing, low-anisotropy and very high upper critical fields make Fe(Se,Te) an excellent candidate for high magnetic field and energy applications. Recently, we demonstrated a route for creating structural defects by ion irradiation in the FST films, leading to strong flux pinning. Ion irradiation into Fe(Se,Te) films significantly improved the critical current density J c over a wide field range and for all orientations with respect to magnetic field. In particular, a robust enhancement of critical temperature T c and J c was realized simultaneously in the Fe(Se,Te) film irradiated with proton. Here, we provide a review of the ion irradiated Fe(Se,Te) films, including the film growth and characteristics before and after irradiations, design of irradiation process for different ion energy and species with irradiation simulations and experimental setups that are scalable for long length Fe(Se,Te) coated conductors.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

A surrogate-model-based approach for estimating the first and second-order moments of offshore wind power

Power curve, the functional relationship that governs the process of converting a set of weather variables experienced by a wind turbine into electric power, is widely used in the wind industry to estimate power output for planning and operational purposes. Existing methods for power curve estimation have three main limitations: (i) they mostly rely on wind speed as the sole input, thus ignoring the secondary, yet possibly significant effects of other environmental factors, (ii) they largely overlook the complex marine environment in which offshore turbines operate, potentially compromising their value in offshore wind energy applications, and (ii) they solely focus on the first-order properties of wind power, with little (or null) information about the variation around the mean behavior, which is important for ensuring reliable grid integration, asset health monitoring, and energy storage, among others. In light of that, this study investigates the impact of several wind-and wave-related factors on offshore wind power variability, with the ultimate goal of accurately predicting its first two moments. Further, our approach couples OpenFAST—a multi-physics wind turbine simulator—with Gaussian Process (GP) regression to reveal the underlying relationships governing offshore weather-to-power conversion. We first find that a multi-input power curve which captures the combined impact of wind speed, direction, and air density, can provide double-digit improvements, in terms of prediction accuracy, relative to univariate methods which rely on wind speed as the sole explanatory variable (e.g. the standard method of bins). Wave-related variables are found not important for predicting the average power output, but interestingly, appear to be extremely relevant in describing the fluctuation of the offshore power around its mean. Tested on real-world data collected at the New York/New Jersey bight, our proposed multi-input models demonstrate a high explanatory power in predicting the first two moments of offshore wind generation, testifying their potential value to the offshore wind industry.

17 WIND ENERGY↗