Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “dependability modeling”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 433 records · Page 24

Dynamic Subgrid Turbulence Modeling for Shallow Cumulus Convection Simulations beyond LES Resolutions

A scale-dependent dynamic Smagorinsky model is implemented in the Met Office/NERC Cloud (MONC) model using two averaging flavors, along Lagrangian pathlines and local moving averages. The dynamic approaches were compared against the conventional Smagorinsky–Lilly scheme in simulating the diurnal cycle of shallow cumulus convection. The simulations spanned from the LES to the near-gray-zone and gray-zone resolutions and revealed the adaptability of the dynamic model across the scales and different stability regimes. The dynamic model can produce a scale- and stability-dependent profile of the subfilter turbulence length scale across the chosen resolution range. At gray-zone resolutions the adaptive length scales can better represent the early precloud boundary layer leading to temperature and moisture profiles closer to the LES compared to the standard Smagorinsky. As a result, the initialization and general representation of the cloud field in the dynamic model is in good agreement with the LES. In contrast, the standard Smagorinsky produces a less well-mixed boundary layer, which fails to ventilate moisture from the boundary layer, resulting in the delayed spinup of the cloud layer. Moreover, strong downgradient diffusion controls the turbulent transport of scalars in the cloud layer. However, the dynamic approaches rely on the resolved field to account for nonlocal transports, leading to overenergetic structures when the boundary layer is fully developed and the Lagrangian model is used. Introducing the local averaging version of the model or adopting a new Lagrangian time scale provides stronger dissipation without significantly affecting model behavior.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A triple junction energy study using an inclination-dependent anisotropic Monte Carlo Potts grain growth model

This work presents a Monte Carlo Potts grain growth model in which the grain boundary (GB) energies depend on the GB inclination. The inclination is calculated using a linear smoothing approach developed by the authors. In bicrystal simulations with a shrinking grain, the grain changes shape to prefer low energy GB inclinations. However, in polycrystal simulations the preferred inclinations depend on the approach used to assign the triple junction (TJ) energies. Approaches that produce unimodal TJ energy distributions result in the expected behavior of preferring low energy GB inclinations. However, approaches that produce bimodal TJ energy distributions result in medium energy or even high energy inclinations being preferred. Overall, this study underscores the importance of TJs in anisotropic grain growth.

Grain boundary inclination↗

Modeling neutrino-induced scale-dependent galaxy clustering for photometric galaxy surveys

Abstract The increasing statistical precision of photometric redshift surveys requires improved accuracy of theoretical predictions for large-scale structure observables to obtain unbiased cosmological constraints. In ΛCDM cosmologies, massive neutrinos stream freely at small cosmological scales, suppressing the small-scale power spectrum. In massive neutrino cosmologies, galaxy bias modeling needs to accurately relate the scale-dependent growth of the underlying matter field to observed galaxy clustering statistics. In this work, we implement a computationally efficient approximation of the neutrino-induced scale-dependent bias (NISDB). Through simulated likelihood analyses of Dark Energy Survey Year 3 (DESY3) and Legacy Survey of Space and Time Year 1 (LSSTY1) synthetic data that contain an appreciable NISDB, we examine the impact of linear galaxy bias and neutrino mass modeling choices on cosmological parameter inference. We find model misspecification of the NISDB approximation and neutrino mass models to decrease the constraining power of photometric galaxy surveys and cause parameter biases in the cosmological interpretation of future surveys. We quantify these biases and devise mitigation strategies.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Energy-dependent implementation of secondary electron emission models in continuum kinetic sheath simulations

The plasma-material interactions present in multiple fusion and propulsion concepts between the flow of plasma through a channel and a material wall drive the emission of secondary electrons. This emission is capable of altering the fundamental structure of the sheath region, significantly changing the expected particle fluxes to the wall. The emission spectrum is separated into two major energy regimes, a peak of elastically backscattered primary electrons at the incoming energy, and cold secondary electrons inelastically emitted directly from the material. The ability of continuum kinetic simulations to accurately represent the secondary electron emission is limited by relevant models being formulated in terms of monoenergetic particle interactions which cannot be applied directly to the discrete distribution function. As a result, rigorous implementation of energy-dependent physics is often neglected in favor of simplified, constant models. We present here a novel implementation of semi-empirical models in the boundary of continuum kinetic simulations which allows the full range of this emission to be accurately captured in physically-relevant regimes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Superexponential primordial black hole production via delayed vacuum decay

If a cosmological first-order phase transition occurs sufficiently slowly, delayed vacuum decay may lead to the formation of primordial black holes. Here we consider a simple model as a case study of how the abundance of the produced black holes depends on the model’s input parameters. We demonstrate, using both numerical and analytical arguments and methods, that the black hole abundance is controlled by a double, “super”-exponential dependence on the three-dimensional Euclidean action over temperature at its minimal value. We show that a modified expansion rate during the phase transition, such as one driven by an additional energy density component, leads to a weaker dependence on the underlying model parameters, but maintains the same superexponential structure. We argue that our findings generalize to any framework of black hole production via delayed vacuum decay. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

Wu, Yanda (ORCID:000000034487305X)↗

Modeling State Transition and Head-Dependent Efficiency Curve for Pumped Storage Hydro in Look-Ahead Dispatch

As one of the most widely installed utility-scale storage facilities, pumped storage hydro (PSH) plays an essential role in providing flexibility for power systems worldwide. Thus, to accurately quantify the flexibility of PSH units in operational optimization problems is important. The conventional PSH models in the literature rarely consider detailed state transitions due to their hourly-based settings. However, it becomes imperative for operational optimization on short-term intervals, especially with increasing shares of renewable energy in power systems. To this end, this paper presents a novel deterministic PSH model that considers the transition time and trajectory between three states of PSH units in look-ahead dispatch. Moreover, to better characterize the varying efficiency of PSH units with water head and flow rate, this paper proposes to model detailed headdependent efficiency curves (hereafter called input-output curves) in look-ahead dispatch, which encounters heavy computational burdens when short time intervals are applied. In this work, a zig-zag piece-wise linear approximation method is used for input-output curve modeling. This can enable an accurate quantification for variable efficiency and head dependence in a computationally effective manner. Here, numerical results are presented to show performances of the proposed PSH model in both flexibility quantification and computation time.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Extremum-Seeking-Based Ultra-local Model Predictive Control and Its Application to Electric Motor Speed Regulation

Electric vehicle (EV) market is rapidly expanding. As a critical component of EV, an electric motor needs to accurately follow a reference speed signal while respecting the electrical current constraint for safety. Those requirements are usually formulated as a model predictive control (MPC) problem. However, the performance of traditional model-based MPC depends on the accuracy of the system model, which may not always be guaranteed in reality. Therefore, we utilize a data-driven, model-free predictive control strategy, called ultra-local MPC (ULMPC), to control the speed of an electric motor. To further enhance the control performance of ULMPC, we employ the extremum-seeking control (ESC) to tune the control gain of the ULMPC online. Simulation and hardware experiments demonstrate the enhancement of the extremum-seeking-based ULMPC over a constant-gain ULMPC.

Zhou, Yujing↗

Physics-informed Bayesian machine learning case study: Integral blade rotors

This paper provides a physics-informed Bayesian machine learning (PIBML) description and case study. The PIBML approach applies three physics-based models to establish the initial beliefs before testing to determine the probability of milling stability (or prior). These include: receptance coupling substructure analysis (RCSA) prediction for the tool tip frequency response functions; finite element software prediction of the mechanistic force model coefficients; and a spindle speed-dependent power law model for process damping. Testing was then performed to identify optimal stable machining conditions using an expected improvement in material removal rate criterion. The prior probability of stability was updated using the test results to determine the posterior probability of stability. The test results were compared to the parameter recommendations provided by the endmill manufacturer. A demonstration integral blade rotor was machined at the optimal stable machining conditions for 304 stainless steel and 6061-T6 aluminum. Finally, the disagreement between manufacturer recommendations and milling performance in both materials tested emphasizes the need for broad implementation of PIBML approaches to increase machining productivity and efficiency.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Biomass burning aerosols in most climate models are too absorbing

Uncertainty in the representation of biomass burning (BB) aerosol composition and optical properties in climate models contributes to a range in modeled aerosol effects on incoming solar radiation. Depending on the model, the top-of-the-atmosphere BB aerosol effect can range from cooling to warming. By relating aerosol absorption relative to extinction and carbonaceous aerosol composition from 12 observational datasets to nine state-of-the-art Earth system models/chemical transport models, we identify varying degrees of overestimation in BB aerosol absorptivity by these models. Modifications to BB aerosol refractive index, size, and mixing state improve the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) agreement with observations, leading to a global change in BB direct radiative effect of -0.07 W m -2 , and regional changes of -2 W m -2 (Africa) and -0.5 W m -2 (South America/Temperate). Our findings suggest that current modeled BB contributes less to warming than previously thought, largely due to treatments of aerosol mixing state.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Pseudoreversible Normalizing Flow for Stochastic Dynamical Systems with Various Initial Distributions

Here, we present a pseudoreversible normalizing flow method for efficiently generating samples of the state of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) with various initial distributions. The primary objective is to construct an accurate and efficient sampler that can be used as a surrogate model for computationally expensive numerical integration of SDEs, such as those employed in particle simulation. After training, the normalizing flow model can directly generate samples of the SDE’s final state without simulating trajectories. The existing normalizing flow model for SDEs depends on the initial distribution, meaning the model needs to be retrained when the initial distribution changes. The main novelty of our normalizing flow model is that it can learn the conditional distribution of the state, i.e., the distribution of the final state conditional on any initial state, such that the model only needs to be trained once and the trained model can be used to handle various initial distributions. This feature can provide a significant computational saving in studies of how the final state varies with the initial distribution. Additionally, we propose to use a pseudoreversible network architecture to define the normalizing flow model, which has sufficient expressive power and training efficiency for a variety of SDEs in science and engineering, e.g., in particle physics. We provide a rigorous convergence analysis of the pseudoreversible normalizing flow model to the target probability density function in the Kullback–Leibler divergence metric. Numerical experiments are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed normalizing flow model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Assessment of Physics Models for Phase Transition Kinetics

The time dependence of phase diagrams and how to model rate dependent transitions remains one of the key unanswered questions in physics. When a material is loaded dynamically through equilibrium phase boundaries, it is the kinetics that determines the real time expression of a phase transition. Here we report the atomic and nanosecond-scale quantification of kinetics of shock-driven phase transition in multiple materials. We uniquely make use of a both a simple shock as well as shock-and-hold loading pathways compress different crystalline solids and induce structural phase transitions below melt. Coupling shock loading with time-resolved synchrotron x-ray diffraction (DXRD), we probe the structural transformations of these solids in the short-lived high pressure and temperature states generated. The novelty and power of using DXRD for the assessment of kinetics of phase transitions lies in the ability to discover and identify new phases and to examine kinetics without prior knowledge of a material's phase diagram. Our results provide a quantified expression and a physics model of kinetics of formation of high-pressure phases under shock loading: transition incubation time, evolution, completion time and crystallization rate.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

VALVE TIMING AND AREA PROFILE SELECTION FOR HYDRAULIC PUMPS AND MOTORS

A significant amount of research has been conducted to select valve timing and area profiles that create efficient and quiet hydraulic pumps and motors. Numerous active valve architectures have been modeled and optimized, but the rationale for the final solution is often unclear. The solution is usually highly dependent on the modeled valve geometry constraints and the duty cycle of the pump or motor for which the valve was optimized. This paper first presents an ideal valve area profile and what compromises are made to design for a working pressure and speed range. The ideal valve area profile is resolved using a piston-cylinder model with a pressure dependent bulk modulus and variable valve openings. The piston-cylinder is first modeled as a pump with passive (check) valves and a specified pressure drop across the valves to determine the ideal area profile. A generalization of the ideal timing is demonstrated for positive pressure differential and positive rotation direction, also known as the first quadrant. The effects on valve timing when varying pressure are shown for the first quadrant, but the trends can be extrapolated for all quadrants of operation. The ideal valve profile is implemented as fixed valve timing, meaning the valve area is only a function of the timing angle, in a pump-motor. The pump-motor is simulated in one rotation direction through a pressure range. Performance is high in pumping operation, but when the pressure differential is reversed, cylinder pressure spikes ensue. Two strategies to modify an ideal valve area profile are presented: timing grooves and a pressure shifted valve timing. Timing grooves reduce pressure spikes and cavitation in the cylinder but generally increase throttling losses. A pressure shifted valve timing has lower throttling energy losses, making it the favored solution.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Site‐selective fluorescence and spectroscopic properties of Yb‐doped lanthanum titanate glasses

Abstract Ytterbium‐doped lanthanum titanate glasses were prepared by levitation melting for the detailed characterization of the spectroscopic properties in the rare‐earth titanate glass host. Low‐temperature fluorescence spectroscopy reveals distinct site‐selectivity in both static and lifetime fluorescence measurements suggesting an absence of clustering as well as significant variation of local ytterbium environments. Typical site‐selectivity behavior of a shrinking Stark manifold with lower excitation energy is observed. At 77 K, both the mean emission frequency and the fluorescence lifetime initially increase as the excitation energy decreases from about 11100 to 10750 and then slightly decrease at lower excitation energy. Temperature‐dependent lifetime measurements between 77 and 420 K show a decreasing lifetime with increasing temperature and are well described by a two‐level thermal activation model. The temperature‐dependent fluorescence spectroscopy coupled with a room temperature white light absorption measurement allow the determination of the Stark energy levels of in lanthanum titanate glass as well as the calculation of the laser cross‐sections.

Materials Science↗

Incorporating concentration-dependent sediment microbial activity into methylmercury production kinetics modeling

We report in anoxic environments, anaerobic microorganisms carrying the hgcAB gene cluster can mediate the transformation of inorganic mercury (Hg(II)) to monomethylmercury (MMHg). The kinetics of Hg(II) transformation to MMHg in periphyton from East Fork Poplar Creek (EFPC) in Oak Ridge, TN have previously been modeled using a transient availability model (TAM). The TAM for Hg(II) methylation combines methylation/demethylation kinetics with kinetic expressions for processes that decrease Hg(II) and MMHg availability for methylation and demethylation (multisite sorption of Hg(II) and MMHg, Hg(II) reduction/Hg(0) oxidation). In this study, the TAM is used for the first time to describe MMHg production in sediment. We assessed MMHg production in sediment microcosms using two different sediment types from EFPC: a relatively anoxic, carbon-rich sediment with higher microbial activity (higher CO 2 production from sediment) and a relatively oxic, sandy, carbon-poor sediment with lower microbial activity (lower CO 2 production from sediment). Based on 16s rRNA sequencing, the overall microbial community structure in the two sediments was retained during the incubations. However, the hgcA containing methanogenic Euryarchaeota communities differed between sediment types and their growth followed different trajectories over the course of incubations, potentially contributing to the distinct patterns of MMHg production observed. The general TAM paradigm performed well in describing MMHg production in the sediments. However, the MMHg production and ancillary data suggested the need to revise the model structure to incorporate terms for concentration-dependent microbial activity over the course of the incubations. We modified the TAM to include Monod-type kinetics for methylation and demethylation and observed an improved fit for the carbon-rich, microbially active sediment. Overall our work shows that the TAM can be applied to describe Hg(II) methylation in sediments and that including expressions accounting for concentration-dependent microbial activity can improve the accuracy of the model description of the data in some cases.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mean field model parameterization to recover coverage-dependent kinetics

Lateral interactions between adsorbates introduce coverage dependence into adsorption energies and activation barriers of surface reactions. Lattice-based kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) simulations can capture these interactions quantitatively but are laborious to parameterize and solve. Mean field models are more tractable, but protocols to construct and parameterize them are unclear. Here we explore the ability of a coverage-aware mean-field model to map to a lattice-kMC model of a generic two-step reaction network, including quasi-equilibrated adsorption and rate-limiting dissociation steps. We derive expressions for mean-field and coverage-dependent adsorption energies and dissociation barriers and parameterize against lattice-kMC predictions. We show that the parameterized mean-field rates correlate with ground truth lattice-kMC results across a wide range of reaction conditions and identify regions where the mean field fails. The mean field model similarly captures kMC-derived rate-order, Arrhenius and Sabatier plots at a greatly reduced computational cost. Further, the results provide guidance for parameterizing mean-field models, benchmarked against explicit lattice-based approaches for incorporating the influence of coverage effects.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Search for electroweak production of charginos and neutralinos in proton-proton collisions at $$ \sqrt{s} $$ = 13 TeV

A direct search for electroweak production of charginos and neutralinos is presented. Events with three or four leptons, with up to two hadronically decaying $\tau$ leptons, or two same-sign light leptons are analyzed. The data sample consists of 137 fb$^{-1}$ of proton-proton collisions with a center of mass energy of 13 TeV, recorded with the CMS detector at the LHC. The results are interpreted in terms of several simplified models. These represent a broad range of production and decay scenarios for charginos and neutralinos. A parametric neural network is used to target several of the models with large backgrounds. In addition, results using orthogonal search regions are provided for all the models, simplifying alternative theoretical interpretations of the results. Depending on the model hypotheses, charginos and neutralinos with masses up to values between 300 and 1450 GeV are excluded at 95% confidence level.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Demonstrating the impact of ro-vibrationally excited H 2 on divertor detachment via population modelling

EDGE2D-EIRENE profiles characteristic for low recycling, high recycling and detached plasmas are postprocessed applying a vibrationally resolved collisional radiative (CR) model based on the Yacora solver to predict excited state densities and thus the molecular Lyman-, Werner- and Fulcher band emission intensities. These emission intensities are compared to predictions from the AMJUEL database standardly used in EIRENE. Lower Fulcher band and higher Lyman- and Werner band emission is predicted by the Yacora model in comparison to AMJUEL suggesting that inconsistent results from model based evaluation of measured spectra are expected depending on which model and molecular emission band is considered. The implications on detachment rate predictions are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Deep-learning-based workflow for boundary and small target segmentation in digital rock images using UNet++ and IK-EBM

We report three-dimensional (3D) X-ray micro-computed tomography (μCT) has been widely used in petroleum engineering because it can provide detailed pore structural information for a reservoir rock, which can be imported into a pore-scale numerical model to simulate the transport and distribution of multiple fluids in the pore space. The partial volume blurring (PVB) problem is a major challenge in segmenting raw μCT images of rock samples, which impacts boundaries and small targets near the resolution limit. We developed a deep-learning (DL)-based workflow for accurate and fast partial volume segmentation. The DL model's performance depends primarily on the training data quality and model architecture. This study employed the entropy-based-masking indicator kriging (IK-EBM) to segment 3D Berea sandstone images as training datasets. The comparison between IK-EBM and manual segmentation using a 3D synthetic sphere pack, which had a known ground truth, showed that IK-EBM had higher accuracy on partial volume segmentation. We then trained and tested the UNet++ model, a state-of-the-art supervised encoder-decoder model, for binary (i.e., void and solid) and four-class segmentation. We compared the UNet++ with the commonly used U-Net and wide U-Net models and showed that the UNet++ had the best performance in terms of pixel-wise and physics-based evaluation metrics. Specifically, boundary-scaled accuracy demonstrated that the UNet++ architecture outperformed the regular U-Net architecture in the segmentation of pixels near boundaries and small targets, which were subjected to the PVB effect. Feature map visualization illustrated that the UNet++ bridged the semantic gaps between the feature maps extracted at different depths of the network, thereby enabling faster convergence and more accurate extraction of fine-scale features. The developed workflow significantly enhances the performance of supervised encoder-decoder models in partial volume segmentation, which has extensive applications in fundamental studies of subsurface energy, water, and environmental systems.

02 PETROLEUM↗