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All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2020

Radial Star Formation Histories in 32 Nearby Galaxies

The spatially resolved star formation histories are studied for 32 normal star-forming galaxies drawn from the Spitzer Extended Disk Galaxy Exploration Science survey. At surface brightness sensitivities fainter than 28 mag arcsec{sup −2}, the new optical photometry is deep enough to complement archival ultraviolet and infrared imaging and to explore the properties of the emission well beyond the traditional optical extents of these nearby galaxies. Fits to the spectral energy distributions using a delayed star formation history model indicate a subtle but interesting average radial trend for the spiral galaxies: the inner stellar systems decrease in age with increasing radius, consistent with inside-out disk formation, but the trend reverses in the outermost regions with the stellar age nearly as old as the innermost stars. These results suggest an old stellar outer disk population formed through radial migration and/or the cumulative history of minor mergers and accretions of satellite dwarf galaxies. The subset of S0 galaxies studied here show the opposite trend compared to what is inferred for spirals: characteristic stellar ages that are increasingly older with radius for the inner portions of the galaxies, and increasingly younger stellar ages for the outer portions. This result suggests that either S0 galaxies are not well modeled by a delayed-τ model, and/or that S0 galaxies have a more complicated formation history than spiral galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Deep learning-based predictive models for laser direct drive at the Omega Laser Facility

The rich and complex physics of inertial confinement fusion provides a unique and challenging space for high-fidelity first-principles modeling. Consequently, simulation codes that are used to design experiments are computationally expensive and lack the predictive capability required for extensive parameter exploration in search of a high-performing design for laser direct drive. In this article, we present two deep-learning-based predictive models intended to address these difficulties. The first model (TL DNN) acts as a fast emulator of simulations as well as experiments at the Omega Laser Facility. This model is trained on a simulation database and subsequently calibrated on experimental data using transfer learning. To facilitate the development of this model, an autoencoder is developed to reduce the dimensionality of the input space by compressing the laser pulse input. The model predicts key experimental scalar observables of Omega experiments with high accuracy and minimal computational cost. This deep neural net enables rapid exploration of a high-dimensional input parameter space for an optimal implosion design. The second model (DNN SM+) aims to extend the statistical modeling work of Lees et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 127, 105001 (2021)], by increasing the complexity of the model space and allowing for coupling between degradation terms. Since the model capacity of DNN SM+ is higher than the model of Lees et al., DNN SM+ can potentially provide an improvement in predictive capability, and we use this model to provide insight into complicated degradation dependencies.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Evidential Deep Learning: Enhancing Predictive Uncertainty Estimation for Earth System Science Applications

Abstract Robust quantification of predictive uncertainty is a critical addition needed for machine learning applied to weather and climate problems to improve the understanding of what is driving prediction sensitivity. Ensembles of machine learning models provide predictive uncertainty estimates in a conceptually simple way but require multiple models for training and prediction, increasing computational cost and latency. Parametric deep learning can estimate uncertainty with one model by predicting the parameters of a probability distribution but does not account for epistemic uncertainty. Evidential deep learning, a technique that extends parametric deep learning to higher-order distributions, can account for both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties with one model. This study compares the uncertainty derived from evidential neural networks to that obtained from ensembles. Through applications of the classification of winter precipitation type and regression of surface-layer fluxes, we show evidential deep learning models attaining predictive accuracy rivaling standard methods while robustly quantifying both sources of uncertainty. We evaluate the uncertainty in terms of how well the predictions are calibrated and how well the uncertainty correlates with prediction error. Analyses of uncertainty in the context of the inputs reveal sensitivities to underlying meteorological processes, facilitating interpretation of the models. The conceptual simplicity, interpretability, and computational efficiency of evidential neural networks make them highly extensible, offering a promising approach for reliable and practical uncertainty quantification in Earth system science modeling. To encourage broader adoption of evidential deep learning, we have developed a new Python package, Machine Integration and Learning for Earth Systems (MILES) group Generalized Uncertainty for Earth System Science (GUESS) (MILES-GUESS) ( https://github.com/ai2es/miles-guess ), that enables users to train and evaluate both evidential and ensemble deep learning. Significance Statement This study demonstrates a new technique, evidential deep learning, for robust and computationally efficient uncertainty quantification in modeling the Earth system. The method integrates probabilistic principles into deep neural networks, enabling the estimation of both aleatoric uncertainty from noisy data and epistemic uncertainty from model limitations using a single model. Our analyses reveal how decomposing these uncertainties provides valuable insights into reliability, accuracy, and model shortcomings. We show that the approach can rival standard methods in classification and regression tasks within atmospheric science while offering practical advantages such as computational efficiency. With further advances, evidential networks have the potential to enhance risk assessment and decision-making across meteorology by improving uncertainty quantification, a longstanding challenge. This work establishes a strong foundation and motivation for the broader adoption of evidential learning, where properly quantifying uncertainties is critical yet lacking.

Schreck, John S.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Griffin Capability Improvements in Support of Ex-core Deep-Penetration Problems

Advanced reactor designs, especially portable reactors that are designed to be located closer to humans and operate autonomously, require the ability to accurately compute the ex-core neutron and gamma flux solutions in terms of shielding design optimization to reduce dose rates at the vessel boundary and detector signal prediction to drive the reactor control system. The Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program has prioritized improvements to the Griffin discrete ordinates (SN) solver for deep-penetration problems in fiscal year 2025. Significant advancements have been made to the Griffin methodologies for solving ex-core deep-penetration problems for steady-state, fixed-source and transient calculations. This work presents the methodology improvements as well as a comprehensive demonstration with a Transient Test Reactor model and measurements.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Quantification of room temperature strengthening of laser shock peened Ni-based superalloy using synchrotron microdiffraction

Laser shock peening (LSP), a surface modification technique, is promising to enhance the strength and wear resistance for Ni-based superalloys. To understand the strengthening mechanism in a laser shock peened Ni-based superalloy DZ417G, we utilize synchrotron poly- and monochromatic X-ray microdiffraction, as well as electron microscopy and microhardness to quantify the local microstructures and mechanical properties at various depths. In the 1.2-mm-deep hardened layer, the microhardness increases monotonically by ~50% from the unaffected interior to the surface. Quantitative microdiffraction analysis shows that large amounts of dislocations are introduced by LSP. High densities of 7.1 × 10 15 m -2 and 11.8 × 10 15 m -2 are seen close to the peened surface for the γ- and γ'-phases, respectively, which are 5 and 20 times of those in the unaffected region. Different gradients of dislocation density are observed for the two phases from interior to surface, and their combined effect accounts well for the hardness increment. Due to the unaltered γ'-precipitates and chemical composition in the LSP affected zone, the large density of dislocations dominates the observed strengthening. Combined poly- and monochromatic X-ray microdiffraction allows quantifying the local microstructures of plastic deformation over a large sampling scale that can hardly be achieved using other materials characterization techniques.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Learning genetic perturbation effects with variational causal inference

Advances in sequencing technologies have enhanced the understanding of gene regulation in cells. In particular, Perturb-seq has enabled high-resolution profiling of the transcriptomic response to genetic perturbations at the single-cell level. This understanding has implications in functional genomics and potentially for identifying therapeutic targets. Various computational models have been developed to predict perturbational effects. While deep learning models excel at interpolating observed perturbational data, they tend to overfit in the lack of enough data and may not generalize well to unseen perturbations. In contrast, mechanistic models, such as linear causal models based on gene regulatory networks, hold greater potential for extrapolation, as they encapsulate regulatory information that can predict responses to unseen perturbations. However, their application has been limited to small studies due to overly simplistic assumptions, making them less effective in handling noisy, large-scale single-cell data. We propose a hybrid approach that combines a mechanistic causal model with variational deep learning, termed Single Cell Causal Variational Autoencoder (SCCVAE). The mechanistic model employs a learned regulatory network to represent perturbational changes as shift interventions that propagate through the learned network. SCCVAE integrates this mechanistic causal model into a variational autoencoder, generating rich, comprehensive transcriptomic responses. Our results indicate that SCCVAE exhibits superior performance over current state-of-the-art baselines for extrapolating to predict unseen perturbational responses. Additionally, for the observed perturbations, the latent space learned by SCCVAE allows for the identification of functional perturbation modules and simulation of single-gene knockdown experiments of varying penetrance, presenting a robust tool for interpreting and interpolating perturbational responses at the single-cell level.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Computationally efficient CFD prediction of bubbly flow using physics-guided deep learning

To realize efficient computational fluid dynamics (CFD) prediction of two-phase flow, a multi-scale framework was proposed in this paper by applying a physics-guided data-driven approach. Instrumental to this framework, Feature Similarity Measurement (FSM) technique was developed for error estimation in two-phase flow simulation using coarse-mesh CFD, to achieve a comparable accuracy as fine-mesh simulations with fast-running feature. In this work, by defining physics-guided parameters and variable gradients as physical features, FSM has the capability to capture the underlying local patterns in the coarse-mesh CFD simulation. Massive low-fidelity data and respective high-fidelity data are used to explore the underlying information relevant to the main simulation errors and the effects of phenomenological scaling. By learning from previous simulation data, a surrogate model using deep feedforward neural network (DFNN) can be developed and trained to estimate the simulation error of coarse-mesh CFD. In a demonstration case of two-phase bubbly flow, the DFNN model well captured and corrected the unphysical “peaks” in the velocity and void fraction profiles near the wall in the coarse-mesh configuration, even for extrapolative predictions. The research documented supports the feasibility of the physics-guided deep learning methods for coarse mesh CFD simulations which has a potential for the efficient industrial design.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2020

DEMONSTRATION OF A DATA-DRIVEN PHYSICS-BASED APPROACH FOR COMPUTATIONALLY EFFICIENT CFD PREDICTION OF TWO-PHASE BUBBLY FLOW

To realize efficient computational fluid dynamics (CFD) prediction of two-phase flow, a multi-scale physics-guided data-driven approach, Feature Similarity Measurement (FSM) technique was developed for error estimation in two-phase flow simulation using coarse-mesh CFD, to achieve a comparable accuracy as fine-mesh simulations with fast-running feature. By defining physics-guided parameters and variable gradients as physical features, FSM has the capability to capture the underlying local patterns in the coarse-mesh CFD simulation. Massive low-fidelity data and respective high-fidelity data are used to explore the underlying information relevant to the main simulation errors and the effects of phenomenological scaling. By learning from previous simulation data, a surrogate model using deep feedforward neural network (DFNN) can be developed and trained to estimate the simulation error of coarse-mesh CFD. In a demonstration case of two-phase bubbly flow, the DFNN model well captured and corrected the unphysical “peaks” in the velocity and void fraction profiles near the wall in the coarse-mesh configuration, even for extrapolative predictions. The research documented supports the feasibility of the physics-guided deep learning methods for coarse mesh CFD simulations which has a potential for the efficient industrial design.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Thermal and Well Flow Performance of Closed-Loop Geothermal in the Wattenberg Area: Preprint

Closed-loop geothermal systems provide an alternative to resource-constrained hydrothermal systems and stimulation-intensive enhanced geothermal systems. In this work, we apply the slender-body theory (SBT) model, to simulate the well flow and heat transfer performance of U-loop well designs drilled in the Wattenberg area of the Denver-Julesburg Basin. Three U-loop well patterns are investigated including a single, double, and multi-lateral design. The subsurface within area is characterized by deep, hot (> 200degreesC) igneous/metamorphic basement rock underlying multiple sedimentary formations. The lateral section(s) of the U-loop lies within a target depth of 6 km where temperatures are estimated to approach 300degreesC. As a base case, conduction-only heat transfer is investigated through simulations with the SBT model within U-loops with open-hole laterals that exchange heat directly with the hot dry rock using water as a working fluid. The utilization of supercritical CO2 as a heat transfer fluid is also considered. For each scenario, the system performance in terms of annual heat production and temperature profile over a 20-year project lifetime are assessed. Also, the levelized costs of heat and electricity (LCOH and LCOE) are determined using a top-down technoeconomic analysis model. The results show that the performance and cost optimized U-loop design is one having an injection-production well spacing of 1,000 meters with ten 50-meter-spaced laterals that traverse a subsurface system with a temperature gradient of 60degreesC/km. By injecting 20 degreesC-water at a rate of 60 kg/s through this loop, an average heat production of 19 MWth can be achieved, resulting in an LCOE and LCOH of $136/MWh and $1.53/GJ, respectively, over a 20-year project life.

closed-loop geothermal↗

DOE OSTI2024

Engineering shallow and deep level defects in $\kappa$-Ga 2 O 3 thin films: comparing metal-organic vapour phase epitaxy to molecular beam epitaxy and the effect of annealing treatments

Orthorhombic gallium oxide (κ-Ga 2 O 3 ) is an ultra-wide bandgap semiconductor with great potential in new generation electronics. Its application is hindered at present by the limited physical understanding of the relationship between synthesis and functional properties. This work discusses the effects of growth method (metal-organic vapour phase epitaxy and molecular beam epitaxy) as well as annealing treatments in different atmospheres (O 2 , H 2 ) on point defects in κ-Ga 2 O 3 layers epitaxially grown on c-plane sapphire. Comprehensive experimental characterization by X-ray diffraction, photo current-as well as photoluminescence excitation spectroscopy, and X-ray photo electron spectroscopy is combined with first principles calculations of the point defects’ formation and complex-dissociation energies. We demonstrate that for κ-Ga 2 O 3 the concentration of shallow and deep level defects can be sensitively controlled through annealing treatments at temperatures (T = 500 °C) well below the thermal stability threshold of this polymorph. In particular, our results suggest that hydrogen-related defects (e.g., H-interstitials, Ga-vacancies—H complexes) play a key role in this process. While we provide direct exemplary implications of our results for the performances of κ-Ga 2 O 3 based photodetectors, these findings are predicted to impact further application fields of κ-Ga 2 O 3 , such as high electron mobility transistors or memory devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Spectrally-dependent positive and negative photo-plastic effects in CdZnTe and CdZnTeSe

We studied the Vickers microhardness HV0.025 of CdZnTe and CdZnTeSe samples upon illumination with quasi-monochromatic light with wavelengths ranging between 750 and 1540 nm. We observed that light with a wavelength close to or above the bandgap of the samples results in a positive photo-plastic effect (hardening), and light in the spectral range well below the band gap can lead both to positive or negative effects depending on the parameters of deep levels in the bandgap. We performed measurements of spectrally dependent photoconductivity and compared them with HV0.025. Based on the analysis, we propose a complex qualitative model explaining the spectral dependence of HV0.025 by the charging and neutralization of deep levels by optical transitions between the valence and conduction bands and between the bands and deep levels in the band gap. Tuning of parameters of deep levels could be used to control the sign and magnitude of the photo-plastic effect.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Calibration sources for the LEGEND-200 experiment

In the search for a monochromatic peak as the signature of neutrinoless double beta decay an excellent energy resolution and an ultra-low background around the Q-value of the decay are essential. The LEGEND-200 experiment performs such a search with high-purity germanium detectors enriched in 76 Ge immersed in liquid argon. To determine and monitor the stability of the energy scale and resolution of the germanium diodes, custom-made, low-neutron emission 228 Th sources are regularly deployed in the vicinity of the crystals. Here we describe the production process of the 17 sources available for installation in the experiment, the measurements of their alpha- and gamma- activities, as well as the determination of the neutron emission rates with a low-background LiI(Eu) detector operated deep underground. With a flux of ( 4.27 ± 0.60 stat ± 0.92 syst ) × 10 -4 n / (kBq·s), approximately one order of magnitude below that of commercial sources, the neutron-induced background rate, mainly from the activation of 76 Ge, is negligible compared to other background sources in LEGEND-200.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Quantitative Particle Analysis of Neptunium-237 Oxides: Optimization of MAMA Analysis for Modified Direct Denitration Products

The production of plutonium-238 through irradiation of neptunium-237 ( 237 Np) target materials for the use in radioisotope thermoelectric generators is paramount for continued deep space exploration. This work employs scanning electron microscopy to analyze 237 Np materials coupled with a well-developed image analysis framework (Morphological Analysis for Material Attribution, or MAMA) to determine the degree of micron-scale homogeneity in the materials. This work demonstrated how the quantification of particle characteristics can validate production materials and affirm the qualitative similarities observed in micrographs. The 237 Np oxide particle analysis determined that the materials from five production runs were quantitatively homogenous (significant at α = 0.05) in particle area, circularity, equivalent circular diameter, and ellipse aspect ratio, with two of the sampling dates having statistically significant different means for one of the four characteristics. Furthermore, these metrics not only confirm general homogeneity of the material but also expand the application of MAMA workflows to 237 Np materials, demonstrating the utility of MAMA analysis for a wider breadth of nuclear materials than previously reported. In the open literature, this study is the first time that these microanalytical techniques were applied to 237 Np materials to this degree.

MAMA↗

DOE OSTI2023

ML for microbiomes

The software provides machine learning analysis and visualization to detect patterns in microbiome data, including topic modeling, probabilistic graphical modeling, conventional machine learning methods, and deep learning. The software is written in python and R, it uses some python and R libraries as well as big open-source libraries like sklearn, networkX, pytorch (python), pgmpy (python), and bnlearn (R). It also has a script to use for MALLET and DTM (open-source packages for topic modeling, written in Java).

Kim, Anastasiia↗

DOE OSTI2024

New Strong Gravitational Lenses from the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys Data Release 9

We have conducted a search for strong gravitational lensing systems in the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) Legacy Imaging Surveys Data Release 9. This is the third paper in a series. These surveys together cover ~19,000 deg 2 visible from the Northern Hemisphere, reaching a z-band AB magnitude of ~22.5. We use a deep residual neural network, trained on a compilation of known lensing systems and high-grade candidates as well as nonlenses in the same footprint. After applying our trained neural network to the survey data, we visually inspect and rank images with probabilities above a threshold which has been chosen to balance precision and recall. We have found 1895 lens candidates, of which 1512 are identified for the first time. Combining the discoveries from this work with those from Papers I (335) and II (1210), we have discovered a total of 3057 new candidates in the Legacy Surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

A human-in-the-loop explanation framework for morphologically transparent AI predictions from whole-slide images

Deep learning models enable the prediction of clinical endpoints from whole-slide images (WSIs), but many such models function as “black boxes”, lacking transparency about whether and which histomorphological patterns drive their predictions, hindering interpretability and clinical adoption. Here we propose a human-in-the-loop explanation framework, MorphoXAI, which provides both local and global interpretability for deep learning models by incorporating human-expert interpretations. At the global level, it reveals the histomorphological patterns on which the model consistently relies to distinguish between classes of WSIs, as well as the patterns associated with confusion between classes. At the local level, it indicates which of these patterns are used in the prediction of an individual WSI and which regions within the slide correspond to such patterns. We validated our method across multiple deep learning–based WSI analysis tasks spanning different tissue types. The results show that our framework generates explanations that accurately reflect the histomorphology underlying the model’s predictions at both global and local levels. For interpretability and clinical utility in diagnostic contexts, human evaluation results showed that our explanations were easy to interpret, rich in diagnostic features, and directly helpful for diagnostic decision-making, thereby enhancing pathologist-AI collaboration. Our work highlights that unifying global and local explanations and grounding them in expert-interpreted morphology enhances the interpretability and verifiability of deep learning models, thereby facilitating the transparent deployment of such models in clinical practice.

Lou, Peiliang↗

DOE OSTI2021

Shallow-to-Deep Convective Transition in the Amazon (Final Report)

The frequent and extensive deep cloud formations over the Amazon Basin provide a vast area of atmospheric heating in the Tropics, forcing large-scale global circulations on daily to secular time scales. Motivated by the importance of these systems to the global climate system and the well-documented seasonal cycle in rainfall over the Amazon Basin, this study focused on improving understanding of the processes governing these systems on seasonal time scales and their impact on the typical growth of convection from early afternoon through evening, termed the shallow-to-deep transition. This study is based on observations from the Department of Energy (DOE) ARM Mobile Facility (AMF) near Manacapuru, Brazil collected during the Observations and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GOAmazon) field campaign from 1 January 2014 to 30 November 2015, together with total column water vapor (CWV) and surface meteorological observations from a dense Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) network within 50 km of the AMF site provided by the CHUVA Program collected in coordination with the GOAmazon campaign. The specific objectives of this study were to address the following questions: 1) What environmental conditions support the shallow-to-deep convective transition over the Central Amazon? 2) How does the relative importance of these conditions compare during the wet and dry seasons? 3) How are these conditions modulated by basin-scale transient forcing? 4) How well are these processes captured by regional model simulations convective resolving scale? Our main hypothesis was that intra-seasonal atmospheric disturbances were a primary driver of rainfall during the wet season in the Central Amazon, while localized surface heating of the land was the primary driver of enhanced rainfall during the dry season. Overall, our findings supported our hypothesis, with the convectively active phase of atmospheric Kelvin waves strongly favoring the development of larger, more organized rain systems during the wet season, while localized isolated deep convection dominated the types of rain events seen during the dry season. These results have implications for the predictability of rainfall over the Central Amazon and for its representation in climate and weather models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Predictive Deep-Reinforcement-Learning-Based Connected Automated Vehicle Anticipatory Longitudinal Control in a Mixed Traffic Lane Change Condition

Maintaining safety and efficiency for mixed traffic consisting of connected automated vehicles (CAVs) and human-driven vehicles (HDVs) is an arduous task due to the inherent HDVs’ stochasticity. Especially for longitudinal control, which is the basic function of vehicle automation, prevailing research primarily considers CAV’s car-following control merely the acceleration and deceleration of leading vehicles. However, this approach overlooks the potential disruptions caused by surrounding vehicles executing lane changes, which can significantly impact the control vehicle’s stability and overall safety. Hence, our study introduces a predictive deep reinforcement learning (DRL) longitudinal CAV controller. This innovative approach leverages prediction from a physics-informed neural network as well as the control capability of DRL to better anticipate and mitigate issues arising from lane-changing, enhancing the safety and efficiency of CAVs in such scenarios. Finally, validated by the numerical simulations embedded with the real-world data, the results indicate that the proposed controller significantly enhances the safety and efficiency of CAVs in situations involving lane changes by other vehicles, showcasing its potential as a valuable tool in advancing CAV technology in mixed traffic.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗