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At least 433 records · Page 24

COVID-19 dynamics across the US: A deep learning study of human mobility and social behavior

This paper presents a deep learning framework for epidemiology system identification from noisy and sparse observations with quantified uncertainty. The proposed approach employs an ensemble of deep neural networks to infer the time-dependent reproduction number of an infectious disease by formulating a tensor-based multi-step loss function that allows us to efficiently calibrate the model on multiple observed trajectories. The method is applied to a mobility and social behavior-based SEIR model of COVID-19 spread. The model is trained on Google and Unacast mobility data spanning a period of 66 days, and is able to yield accurate future forecasts of COVID-19 spread in 203 US counties within a time-window of 15 days. Interestingly, a sensitivity analysis that assesses the importance of different mobility and social behavior parameters reveals that attendance of close places, including workplaces, residential, and retail and recreational locations, has the largest impact on the effective reproduction number. Furthermore, the model enables us to rapidly probe and quantify the effects of government interventions, such as lock-down and re-opening strategies. Taken together, the proposed framework provides a robust workflow for data-driven epidemiology model discovery under uncertainty and produces probabilistic forecasts for the evolution of a pandemic that can judiciously provide information for policy and decision making. All codes and data accompanying this manuscript are available at https://github.com/PredictiveIntelligenceLab/DeepCOVID19.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Generalizable machine learning potentials for quantum-accurate predictions of non-equilibrium behavior in 2D materials

Machine learning interatomic potentials (ML-IAPs) are emerging as transformative tools in materials modeling, promising quantum-level accuracy at a fraction of the computational cost. However, their ability to generalize beyond equilibrium configurations and to reliably capture defect- and temperature-driven behavior remains underexplored. Here, we develop and benchmark two state-of-the-art ML-IAPs, Spectral Neighbor Analysis Potential (SNAP) and Allegro, on a comprehensive dataset for monolayer MoSe₂. Using density functional theory (DFT) as the reference, we evaluate their performance in capturing stress–strain behavior, phase transition energetics, defect evolution, edge stability, and fracture toughness. Allegro, a deep equivariant neural network potential, surpasses both SNAP and the classical Tersoff potential in accuracy, efficiency, and transferability. Importantly, both ML potentials accurately reproduce experimental fracture measurements and ab initio predictions of inversion domain formation—phenomena well beyond their training sets. Our findings establish ML-IAPs as viable replacements for traditional force fields in the study of non-equilibrium mechanical phenomena, enabling large-scale, high-fidelity simulations in 2D materials and beyond. In conclusion, this work provides a broadly applicable framework for data-driven modeling of structural and functional transformations under extreme conditions.

2D materials↗

Experimental and modeling study of the autoignition behavior of a saturated heterocycle: Pyrrolidine

Experiments are conducted in both rapid compression machine (RCM) and shock tube (ST) to better quantify autoignition behavior (e.g., ignition delay, heat release) and understand heteroatomic effects in heterocyclic compounds, which are important reference components for the combustion of biomass-derived liquid fuels. These tests focus on the nitrogen-containing, five-membered saturated ring, pyrrolidine, at diluted conditions covering pressures of 20 and 50 bar, temperatures of 720–1450 K and a range of stoichiometries (ϕ = 0.5–2). A chemical kinetic model is developed and coupled to an existing combustion kinetics framework describing key nitrogen containing intermediates (e.g. pyrrole, ammonia and NOx). H-abstraction reactions by OH, H, CH 3 and HO 2 , are determined using ab-initio transition state theory methods, while analogies to cyclopentane are adopted for many other reactions, such as ring-opening. Here, the autoignition measurements reveal the lack of negative temperature coefficient (NTC) behavior and low-temperature chemistry for pyrrolidine, as opposed to its saturated hydrocarbon analogue, cyclopentane. Interestingly, at the lowest temperatures (T < 750 K), the reactivity of cyclopentane is greater than pyrrolidine, while at higher temperatures, pyrrolidine becomes more reactive. Agreement between the experimental measurements and the model is good, and it is found that H-abstraction reactions by HO 2 and ensuing chemistry play key roles in controlling the reactivity of this cyclic amine. Most of the fluxes, i.e., >70 %, are predicted to move through 1- or 2-pyrroline (C 4 H 7 N) and then the cyclic C 4 H 6 N radical, at both lower and higher temperatures, to form either CH 2 CHCHCHNH via ring-opening or pyrrole via β-scission. It appears that the ring opens more easily at lower temperature whereas the C–H β-scission dominates at higher temperature and lower pressure, such that the reaction of the fuel radical intermediate carrying an unpaired electron on the nitrogen atom with HO 2 is the next most notable in promoting oxidation. When comparing pyrrolidine and cyclopentane, which exhibits distinct pathways in different temperature regimes, the pyrrolidine pathways and sensitivity analysis align more closely to the high temperature case of cyclopentane where the important role of HO 2 radicals is seen to provide chain branching through HO 2 reaction with the fuel, accompanied by H 2 O 2 formation and decomposition to OH. The formation of 5-membered diene rings and ring opening reactions are also found to be highly relevant. Of particular note, it is found that there is little influence of small molecule nitrogen-chemistry, e.g., NH 2 , HCN, NO/NO 2 on the reactivity of the pyrrolidine mixtures investigated here where no recirculated combustion gases are included.

Autoignition↗

Non-monotonic behavior of the lateral diffusivity in an adsorbate as a function of the surface coverage

Diffusion dynamics of adsorbate particles confined on a surface strongly depends on the adsorbate surface coverage. Our molecular dynamics simulation reveals that the average lateral diffusivity of the Lennard-Jones adsorbate on a flat substrate varies non-monotonically with the surface coverage. Given that the adsorbate becomes stratified into distinct layers, we propose a novel approach to analyze the lateral diffusion of the adsorbate particles in different layers, via dividing the total lateral diffusion into consecutive lateral diffusion processes, separated by the layer boundary crossing events. A new definition of the lateral diffusivity in the specific layer has been introduced, and it is revealed that the total lateral diffusivity is equal to the sum of lateral diffusivities in different layers. Furthermore, the non-monotonic behavior of the average lateral diffusivity with the surface coverage is found to result from the difference in behavior of the lateral diffusivity between the first and other layers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effect of grain structure and strain rate on dynamic recrystallization and deformation behavior: A phase field-crystal plasticity model

Herein, a phase field (PF)-crystal plasticity (CP) model has been developed to study the effects of initial grain structures, recrystallized grain orientation, and strain rates on dynamic recrystallization and deformation behavior under stress states typical of the Shear Assisted Processing and Extrusion (ShAPE) process. The model takes the geometrically necessary dislocation density as the nucleation criterion for recrystallization and minimizes the deformation energy as the driving force of recrystallized grain growth. Using this model, the effects of grain orientations and strain rates on dynamic recrystallization and deformation behavior were simulated. The results demonstrate that (1) a polycrystalline structure with the texture observed in ShAPE process has the lowest yield stress under the ShAPE stress conditions, (2) the recrystallized grains with the texture observed in ShAPE process largely soften the materials, and (3) higher shear strain rate or rotation speed results in larger magnitude of material softening.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Numerical study of the chemo-mechanical behavior of FEBEX bentonite in nuclear waste disposal based on the Barcelona expansive model

Experimental studies show that compacted bentonite used as a backfill material for nuclear waste repository experiences strong coupling between chemical and mechanical processes. Here, we use a dual-structure expansive soil model, referred to as the Barcelona Expansive Model (BExM), to predict the behavior of bentonite buffer in subsurface emplacement tunnels for high-level radioactive waste. After emplacement, the bentonite is subjected to complex and coupled Thermal-Hydraulic-Mechanical-Chemical (THMC) processes. The BExM constitutive model is implemented in a multi-phase reactive transport and geomechanics simulator, TOUGHREACT-FLAC3D, and the model is verified with one benchmark test on FEBEX bentonite. We utilize a one-way Chemo-Mechanical (C-M) coupling approach, in which chemical changes affect the mechanical behavior of bentonite through the BExM linked with the evolution of mass fraction of smectite, exchangeable cation concentration, and ionic strength via osmotic suction. The parameters of the new coupled model for FEBEX bentonite are calibrated against a series of laboratory experiments with various salinity solutions. Finally, coupled THMC modeling is conducted for a generic argillite repository with bentonite buffer under high temperature, focusing on the long-term chemical change and its effect on the mechanical process.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Influence of gradation on shear behavior and pore water response of sand

Here, this paper examines the influence of particle size distribution (PSD) on the shearing behavior of sand using axisymmetric triaxial compression (ATC) testing in conjunction with 3D imaging using synchrotron micro-computed tomography (SMT). Angular sand was sieved to obtain a narrow gradation (uniform) and a wide gradation (non-uniform) with uniformity coefficients (C u ) of 1.2 and 3.0, respectively. Experiments were conducted under drained conditions and a constant effective cell pressure (σ$^{'}_3$) of 50 kPa at low and high back pressures (BP). Results of paired ATC-SMT were analyzed in terms of global constitutive behavior, strain localization, and localized flow characteristics. A new particle tracking algorithm is developed to expose strain localization. Relative particle translation gradient (RPTG) results revealed that gradation affects how early the shear band develops and a tendency for narrow gradation to exhibit varying degrees of diffused shear band at high axial strain (ε 1 ) even though a clear single shear band was observed at the peak strength. Geometric tortuosity (τ) is used as a quantitative parameter to assess flow changes and the efficiency of the flow path. Representative elementary volumes (REVs) inside and outside the shear band were analyzed and the results showed a variation in flow path characteristics where wide gradation specimens had preferential flow paths.

Computed tomography↗

In-situ high energy X-ray diffraction study of deformation behavior in Nb nanoparticle-martensitic NiTi composite wire

Here, this study investigated the deformation behavior in Nb nanoparticle-martensitic NiTi composite wire during tensile loading by means of in-situ high-energy X-ray diffraction. Compared to Nb nanowires, the dispersedly distributed Nb nanoparticles have little effect on the transformation and deformation behaviors of NiTi matrix, causing the absence of R phase transformation and the occurrence of deformation twinning in NiTi matrix. Meanwhile, the occurrence of deformation twinning in NiTi matrix can reduce the shape strain to be coordinated by the unfavorable orientated martensite variants, and thus decreases the internal stress among NiTi martensite variants generated during martensite reorientation process. In addition, TEM result proved that Nb nanoparticles can achieve exceptionally large elastic strain in B19'-NiTi matrix (~4%), just as Nb nanowires. However, this large elastic strain (stress) will be released with the occurrence of NiTi deformation twinning.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High temperature air oxidation behavior of Hastelloy X processed by Electron Beam Melting (EBM) and Selective Laser Melting (SLM)

The microstructure and oxidation behavior of Laser Beam Melted, Electron Beam Melted and wrought Hastelloy X were studied at 950 °C in dry air, 50 h cycles, up to 1000 h. The variability of processing parameters and powder compositions strongly impacted the oxidation and spallation behavior. Finally, the alloys with high Mn and Si were associated with higher oxidation rates, finer Cr 2 O 3 grain microstructure and increased spallation was observed for the alloys with large elongated grain microstructures (aspect ratio of 10 ± 3).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Reverse martensitic transformation on the corrosion behavior of a 2304 lean duplex stainless steel

This study investigates the influence of the reverse martensitic transformation on the corrosion behavior of 2304 lean duplex stainless steel (LDSS) at low temperatures (400–600°C). The steel underwent cold rolling, followed by isochronal annealing for 0.5 h. Phase transformations and microstructures were analyzed using X-ray diffraction, scanning electron microscopy, and transmission electron microscopy. Corrosion resistance was evaluated using a syringe cell with cyclic potentiodynamic polarization in 0.6 M NaCl solution and double-loop electrochemical potentiokinetic reactivation in 0.5 M H 2 SO 4 + 0.001 M KSCN solution. A bimodal breakdown potential behavior, associated with either pitting or transpassivity, was observed in the as-received (AR) and samples annealed at 400°C. Pitting in the AR sample was associated with Al–Mg–Si–Ca–O inclusions, while pitting on the samples annealed at 400°C was linked to local reduced passive film resistance. Severe cold rolling enhanced the pitting resistance of 2304 LDSS. Selective electrochemical etching revealed preferential corrosion at phase interfaces and within the austenite phase. Additionally, annealing at 500°C to 600°C led to a marked decrease in pitting resistance and increased sensitization. Electron backscatter diffraction analysis of the corroded pits in the annealed specimens indicated that pits tend to nucleate and grow in α'-martensite/austenite regions. Furthermore, the nanostructure formed during low-temperature reversion, characterized by dislocation-cell martensite with high dislocation density and stacking faults, may adversely affect corrosion resistance due to heterogeneities associated with alloying element redistribution.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Iron redox behavior and oxygen reduction activity of Fe-N-C electrocatalysts in different electrolytes

The iron redox behavior and oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) activity of Fe-N-C ORR electrocatalysts synthesized by a variety of techniques were investigated as a function of the identity of the electrolyte anion (bisulfate/sulfate or perchlorate) at a constant pH. In situ X-ray absorption spectroscopy data support the assignment of the redox peaks in the voltammograms to the Fe 3+ /Fe 2+ redox couple. It was found that for a given Fe-N-C catalyst, there is a correlation between the Fe redox couple peak potential and the ORR activity in perchloric acid electrolyte, but not in sulfuric acid electrolyte. While a higher Fe redox couple potential (≥ 110 mV higher) was observed in perchloric acid electrolyte, a higher ORR activity was obtained in sulfuric acid electrolyte. Here, the higher ORR activity observed in sulfuric acid than perchloric acid was correlated with the higher peak current and larger faradaic charge for the Fe redox couple. A study of the Fe redox behavior using a cavity microelectrode, eliminating the impact of ionomer, showed that the interaction of H 2 SO 4 with Fe-N-C is stronger than that of HClO 4 and that Fe redox in both electrolytes is a reversible surface electrochemical reaction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Macroscopic and microscopic behaviors of Mn(II) (ad)sorption to goethite with the effects of dissolved carbonates under anoxic conditions

Manganese and its compounds have been extensively researched because of their far-reaching roles in a wide range of biogeochemical processes in natural systems. The (ad)sorption behavior of Mn(II), however, is poorly understood despite its important role as the primary reaction step for surface-catalyzed Mn(II) oxidation that is the principal abiotic process forming various Mn (oxyhydr)oxides in nature. Here, we systematically examined Mn(II) (ad)sorption to one of the most common natural sorbents, goethite, in oxygen- and carbonate-free systems. Traditional sorption edge and isotherm experiments were conducted by varying sorbate-to-sorbent ratio (0.027–15 μmol∙m -2 ) and solution pH (pH 5.0–9.0). The effects of dissolved carbonates on Mn(II) sorption were also assessed in a range of naturally prevalent concentrations (0.5–10 mM NaHCO 3 ). The Mn(II) uptake on goethite followed a typical Langmuir isotherm in the absence of dissolved carbonates, with increasing maximum adsorption capacities (Γ max ) from 0.19 at pH 6.5 to 3.4 μmol∙m -2 at pH 9.0. The presence of dissolved carbonates raised the extent of Mn(II) adsorption, which appeared to be directly correspondent to that of the adsorption of dissolved carbonates. Extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) analysis indicated that Mn(II) predominantly formed inner-sphere binuclear bidentate surface complexes. Mn(II) uptake became deviated from the Langmuir model and showed a clear indication of surface precipitation when the Mn(II) sorption density (Γ) exceeded a threshold value in a given solution composition. This secondary Mn(II) phase was identified as rhodochrosite using X-ray diffraction (XRD) and transmission electron microscope (TEM). Furthermore, it would be plausible that a minor fraction of adsorbed Mn(II) coexisted with the secondary rhodochrosite according to a linear combination fitting (LCF) of the X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) spectra of Mn reference and samples. These systematic investigations of the macroscopic and microscopic behaviors of Mn(II) (ad)sorption to goethite provide a critical avenue for disentangling surface-catalytic Mn(II) oxidation processes, which ultimately lead to the formation of diverse Mn (oxyhydr)oxides in the environment.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Effect of pore fluid chemistry on the mechanical behavior of a divalent compacted bentonite, an experimental and constitutive study

Ongoing research in isolating high-level nuclear waste and spent fuel has highlighted compacted bentonite as a suitable material for engineered barrier systems in deep geological repositories due to its extraordinary swelling and retention properties. This research focuses on the chemo-mechanical behavior of compacted bentonite exposed to different pore fluids with different concentrations and loading conditions. The study involves swelling pressure and compressibility experiments along with mineralogy analysis employing X-ray diffraction (XRD) and Cation exchange. The tests were conducted on BCV (a Mg/Ca- bentonite) compacted at a dry density of 1.48 ± .02 Mg/m 3 . An advanced chemical-mechanical constitutive model for unsaturated highly expansive clays was adopted to simulate the material response and better understand its behavior. The model is able to account for the main phenomena at both macro and microstructural levels and the interactions between them. The model successfully replicated experimental observations. The XRD analyses support the macroscopic observation, indicating that salinity impacts crystalline swelling as demonstrated by the reduction of basal spacing from 19.27 Å to 15.68 Å when the osmotic suction increases from 0 MPa to 33 MPa. The results suggested that the osmotic pressure generated by the concentration in the pore fluids promotes a reduction in swelling pressures, swelling strains, and crystalline swelling of clay minerals. Also, it affects the pre-consolidation stress and the compressibility of the compacted samples. In conclusion, it was also observed that both solution type and solution concentration impact the clay swelling pressure.

Chemo-mechanical constitutive model↗

Outgassing behavior and heat treatment optimization of JSC-1A lunar regolith simulant

As NASA strives towards a long duration presence on the Moon, it has become increasingly important to learn how to better utilize resources from the lunar surface for everything from habitats, vehicle infrastructure, and chemical extraction. To that end, a variety of lunar simulants have been sourced from terrestrially available volcanic minerals and glass as Apollo regolith is unavailable for experimentation needing large masses. However, while mineralogy and chemical composition can approach that of lunar material in these simulants, there are still distinct non-lunar phases such as hydrates, carbonates, sulfates, and clays that can cause simulants to behave distinctly non-lunar in a variety of processing conditions that maybe applied in-situ to lunar material. Notably, severe glassy bubbling has been documented in a variety of vacuum sintering experiments on JSC-1A lunar mare simulant heated via microwaves. The origins of this outgassing have not been well understood but are normally attributed to the decomposition of non-lunar contaminates intrinsic to virtually all terrestrially sourced simulants. As such, a series of controlled environmental tests were performed to ascertain the origins of the high temperature outgassing and to develop heat treatments that can drive JSC-1A closer to lunar composition and behavior. It was found that in JSC-1A at elevated temperatures distinct gas evolutions of water, carbon dioxide, and sulfur dioxide occur in both inert gas and vacuum. Additionally, the presence of hydrogen during heat treatments was shown to dramatically change gas evolutions, leading to distinctly more lunar-like composition and behavior from JSC-1A simulant.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Fatigue behavior and modeling for additive manufactured 304L stainless steel: The effect of surface roughness

The fatigue strength of additively manufactured metallic parts in their as-built surface condition is mainly dominated by the surface roughness. Post-processing is often inevitable to reduce surface roughness effects even though post-processing diminishes the main advantage of additive manufacturing, which is net-shaped direct-to-service production. This work investigates the underlying mechanisms responsible for fatigue failure of additively manufactured 304L stainless steel parts in as-built and machined/polished surface conditions. Both strain- and force-controlled, fully reversed fatigue tests were conducted to gain a comprehensive understanding of surface roughness effects on fatigue behavior. The sensitivity to surface roughness is shown to be dependent on the control mode, with stress-based fatigue tests showing greater sensitivity than strain-based fatigue tests. Moreover, the fatigue life estimation for as-built specimens was performed based on surface roughness parameters as well as the fatigue properties of the specimens in machined/polished surface condition of the material without using any fatigue data of specimens in as-built surface condition. Accordingly, the effect of surface roughness on the fatigue behavior could be estimated reasonably well in both strain-life and stress-life approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microstructural effects on the rotating bending fatigue behavior of Ti–6Al–4V produced via laser powder bed fusion with novel heat treatments

The rotating bending fatigue (RBF) behavior (fully reversed, R = -1) of additively manufactured (AM) Ti–6Al–4V alloy produced via laser powder bed fusion (PBF-L) was investigated with respect to different microstructures achieved through novel heat treatments. The investigation herein seeks to elucidate the effect of microstructure by controlling variables that can affect fatigue behavior in Ti–6Al–4V, such as chemistry, porosity, and surface roughness. In order to control these variables, different hot isostatic pressing (HIP) treatments at 800 °C, 920 °C, and 1050 °C with a 920 °C temper were applied to three sets of Ti–6Al–4V cylinders that originated from the same PBF-L build, such that there were 30 tests per condition. After HIP treatment, the specimens were machined and tested. The highest runout stress was achieved after sub-β transus HIP at 800 °C for 2 h at 200 MPa of pressure. A significant drop in fatigue strength was attributed to large prior-β grains and grain boundary α resulting from super-β transus HIP treated specimens. In conclusion, for the sub-β transus HIP specimens, differences in fatigue strength were attributed to α lath thickness, relative dislocation density, and dislocation boundary strengthening.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Influence of geochemical reactions on the creep behavior of Mt. Simon sandstone

The capture and subsurface storage of carbon dioxide is a sustainable option that is currently pursued worldwide to mitigate greenhouse gas effect. However, predicting the long-term mechanical integrity of CO 2 underground storage systems remains a challenge. To address that question, it is essential to understand the influence of fluid-rock chemo-mechanical interactions on the long-term and on the time-dependent mechanical properties. In turn, the long-term mechanical response and the time-dependent mechanical behavior can be represented by the creep response. We investigate the impact of CO 2 -induced geochemical reaction on the creep response of Mt. Simon sandstone with a 50–400 micron grain size. We perform static and dynamic flow experiments on Mt. Simon sandstone specimens under geological conditions, at a temperature of T = 50 - 53 °C and for CO 2 pressures of P = 8:62; 17:2 MPa under both static flow and dynamic flow-through conditions. After aging, we employ creep indentation testing, high-resolution SEM-EDS, computer vision, machine learning, and micromechanics modeling to probe changes on the microstructure and mechanical properties. Following both static and dynamic flow-through experiments, we observe a 10–22% decrease in quartz volume fraction and an increase in both the microporosity (7–28%) and nanoporosity (60–65%). Additional CO 2 -induced microstructural changes include an enlargement of pore throats and the formation of channels. These observations point to the presence of CO 2 -induced K-feldspar dissolution and clay dissolution reactions. Here, the macroscopic creep behavior is logarithmic and the macroscopic creep modulus varies depending on the microporosity and the relative quartz and feldspar content. As a result of these geochemical reactions and of the related microstructural changes, a 55-60% decrease in the macroscopic logarithmic creep modulus is predicted.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Crushing behaviors of unidirectional carbon fiber reinforced plastic composites under dynamic bending and axial crushing loading

The dynamic crushing characteristics of unidirectional carbon fiber reinforced plastic composites under two loading types, dynamic three-point bending and axial crushing, are investigated by experiment and finite element simulation. Hat section samples with two different layup orientations are tested at various impact velocities to investigate its effects. The experiment results show that delamination plays a critical role in dynamic bending deformation. Different layup orientations lead to similar crushing bending behaviors, but remarkable variations in delamination pattern evolutions. In contrast, layup orientation exerts more significant effects on failure modes and energy absorption in axial crushing. A finite element model with multiple layers of thick shell element and cohesive element is established, and simulations are performed for both dynamic three-point bending and axial crushing. The model can capture the crushing behaviors in the two loading types reasonably well. The damage evolution and energy absorption through various mechanisms at different loading conditions are discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗