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At least 433 records · Page 24

Modelling the high-latitude ionosphere

Results of an ionospheric model program are presented which demonstrate the extreme variability of the steady state, daytime, ionospheric F region electron density and ion composition due to both neutral atmospheric changes with solar cycle, season and magnetic activity, and to the effects of ionospheric drifts caused by perpendicular electric fields. Consideration is given to the time history of the ionospheric plasma as it undergoes convective motion due to the combined effects of corotation forces and electromagnetic forces which results from the mapping of the magnetospheric cross tail electric field to the rotating ionosphere. A simple model of the convection pattern is described. The model calculates the net effect of the tendency for the plasma to corotate about the geographic pole and the E sub Bar times B sub Bar velocity induced by a perpendicular electric field mapped to a circle centered about a point 5 deg antisunward of the geomagnetic pole and oriented such that the equipotentials are parallel to the noon midnight meridian. This convection pattern shows the generally accepted features of high latitude convection, but because of the offset between the geographic and geomagnetic poles a marked universal time dependence in these features is predicted.

Raitt, W. J.↗

Modeling a variable thickness sea ice cover

A numerical model simulating a variable thickness sea ice cover over a seasonal cycle is presented. The model includes a fixed depth mixed-layer formulation with open water heat absorption and lateral melting terms, and a mechanical distribution function consistent with the physics of the ridging process. The equibrium simulation results in realistic geographical ice thickness variations of April ice along the Canadian Archipelago which exceed 7 m, and thicknesses of about 2 m along the Alaskan North Slope. Ice velocity fields were realistic in shape but 25% larger than the net ice station drift over a year; sensitivity simulations indicated a reduced average annual ice export rate of 0.04 Sv as compared to 0.09 Sv for the equilibrium simulation.

Hibler, W. D., III↗

Quasi-periodic climate changes on Mars - A review

The current understanding of the manner in which astronomical variations modulate the Martian climate and thereby lead to the occurrence of laminated polar terrain is considered. The seasonal cycles of dust, carbon dioxide and water, and their responses to astronomical variations, are studied. After an assessment of the way in which these cycles presently operate, for which pertinent spacecraft and ground-based observations are extant, attempts to predict how these cycles may differ under conditions of high and low obliquity and eccentricity are discussed. Attention is given not only to those areas in which there is broad agreement, but also to the controversial and speculative. Key questions include the proportion of dust and water ice in the laminae and its variations within individual layers, the relative importance of older laminae and lower-latitude material as sources of new laminae, and the factors responsible for the youth of the laminated terrain.

Pollack, J. B.↗

Simple energy balance model resolving the seasons and the continents - Application to the astronomical theory of the ice ages

An analysis is undertaken of the properties of a one-level seasonal energy balance climate model having explicit, two-dimensional land-sea geography, where land and sea surfaces are strictly distinguished by the local thermal inertia employed and transport is governed by a smooth, latitude-dependent diffusion mechanism. Solutions of the seasonal cycle for the cases of both ice feedback exclusion and inclusion yield good agreements with real data, using minimal turning of the adjustable parameters. Discontinuous icecap growth is noted for both a solar constant that is lower by a few percent and a change of orbital elements to favor cool Northern Hemisphere summers. This discontinuous sensitivity is discussed in the context of the Milankovitch theory of the ice ages, and the associated branch structure is shown to be analogous to the 'small ice cap' instability of simpler models.

North, G. R.↗

Predictability experiments using a low order empirically corrected dynamical model

It is generally accepted that day to day weather variations possess a finite range of predictability estimated to be approximately two weeks (e.g., Lorenz, 1965). However, considerable observational evidence points to the existence of a number of low frequency flow regimes which are potentially predictable beyond this limit. These include blocking events and teleconnection patterns such as those described in Wallace and Gutzler (1981). The problem of the predictability of such modes is addressed by employing a highly simplified dynamical model projected onto the modes of interest. These modes are computed from an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of 10-day averaged anomalies (deviations from the mean seasonal cycle) of the 500 mb stream function for the winters of 1967-76. The first three EOF's are associated with an index cycle and some of the teleconnection patterns. The fourth and ninth are related to North Pacific and North Atlantic blocking, respectively.

Schubert, S.↗

Teleconnection patterns in the Southern Hemisphere

Contemporaneous correlations between geopotential heights on a given pressure surface at widely separated points on Earth, commonly referred to as teleconnections, are calculated from monthly mean sea level pressure and 500 mb geopotential height analyses for the Southern Hemisphere for five-month winter and summer seasons. During summer (November-March), anomalies over the three continents occur out of phase with anomalies over the subtropical oceans and in a wavenumber 3 pattern over the Southern Ocean near 55 deg S. The subtropical part of the pattern appears largely associated with the interannual variation of the seasonal cycle and annual mean. In winter (May-September) 500 mb geopotential heights over Africa exhibit positive correlations with heights over South America and the central South Pacific near New Zealand and negative correlations with height over the Southern Ocean. A striking wavenumber three pattern is apparent which shows the correlation of 500 mb geopotential height anomalies with 500 mb anomalies at 50 deg S, 95 deg E during winter. The strong positive correlations between 50 deg S, 95 E and 58 deg S, 150 deg W and 38 deg S, 15 deg W contrast with negative correlations over Antarctica and in low latitudes. Time variations in a similar pattern in sea level pressure are in phase with variations in the 500 mb pattern, suggesting an equivalent barotropic structure.

Mo, K. C.↗

Arctic Sea ice by passive microwave observations from the Nimbus-5 Satellite

The results of a dynamic/thermodynamic numerical model of Arctic sea ice are compared with satellite images from the Nimbus 5 electrically scanning microwave radiometer. The model combines aspects of two previous sea ice models those of Parkinson and Washington and Ling, Rasmussen, and Campbell. A solid/fluid model basically follows the formulation of the Parkinson and Washington model with the addition of the constitutive equation and equation of state from the Ling model. The Parkinson and Washington model simulates the seasonal cycle of sea ice thicknesses and concentrations with a horizontal resolution of roughly 200 km and a timestep of 8 hours. The thermodynamics are calculated through energy balances at the interfaces between ice and air, water and ice, and water and air. The ice dynamics are calculated through a momentum equation balancing air stress, water stress, dynamic topography, and Coriolis force, with an adjustment for internal ice resistance.

Campbell, W. J.↗

Mechanisms of interannual ocean-atmosphere interactions

Results of an investigation to study the interaction between ocean and atmosphere on the annual to decadal time scale are reported. Separate studies of the ocean response to atmospheric forcing, and of atmospheric response to ocean forcing were also conducted. The main findings are the dynamics of sea surface temperature anomalies, the role of short time scale weather fluctuations in the seasonal cycle of the upper ocean variability, and the planetary wave response to sea surface temperature anomalies. A numerical model of the ocean atmosphere continent system and a two layer quasi-geostropic ocean model is discussed.

Frankignoul, C.↗

Tropospheric methane in the mid-latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere

More than 800 methane concentration measurements have been obtained for the Southern Hemisphere's troposphere over the September 1980-March 1983 period. Concentrations are noted to increase throughout the troposphere during the study period, adding further support to the view that CH4 concentrations are currently increasing on a global scale. In the surface methane data, a seasonal cycle with a peak-to-peak amplitude of 28 ppbv is found. Maxima and minima are on September-October and March, respectively. The phase and amplitude of the cycle are qualitatively consistent with the concept that the major sink for methane is oxidation by hydroxyl radicals. Evidence is found for a positive vertical gradient in methane content.

Fraser, P. J.↗

Seasonal variations of Pb-210 and Po-210 concentrations in an oligotrophic lake

In order to examine spatial and temporal variability during the seasonal cycle of the oligotrophic Crystal Lake, Wisconsin, vertical distribution measurements of Pb-210 and Po-210 in both the dissolved and particulate phases were conducted. Mass balance considerations indicate that the removal rates of the two isotopes from the water column to the sediment vary temporally by nearly an order of magnitude. The mean removal residence time was estimated to be 0.095 yr for Pb-210 and 0.26 yr for Po-210, suggesting a difference in the extent of water column recycling. Calculations indicate a cyclic response of the water column Po-210 inventory which corresponds to successive time periods when there were net losses or gains; this response may be due to rapid biological removal and subsequent release from the sediment of freshly deposited Po-210.

Talbot, R. W.↗

Theoretical study of anomalously high F region peak altitudes in the polar ionosphere

It is pointed out that during the last solar maximum period several observations of anomalously high F region peak altitudes (hmF2) have been made by high latitude incoherent scatter radars. In the present investigation, a high latitude time-dependent F region model (HLTD) was used to study a range of differing plasma transport processes in order to identify possible source mechanisms for the anomalously high hmF2's. A description of model parameters is presented, and region density profiles are discussed. Attention is given to the solar maximum, the solar minimum, and the asymmetric wind. The results of the HLTD model study of transport effects for a wide range of solar cycle, season, magnetic activity, and neutral wind conditions show that high hmF2 values in the polar cap can be generated without the need for auroral particle precipitation.

Sojka, J. J.↗

Elements of a stochastic-dynamical theory of the long-term variability of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation

The rudiments of a stochastic-dynamical model for climatic systems with multiple equilibrium states are presented as a means for analyzing the long-term variability of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. It is shown that a combination of the unstable air-sea interaction, the seasonal cycle, and stochastic intraseasonal forcings must be considered in any model for ENSO. In particular, the instability in the air-sea interaction may be triggered by stochastic forcing. The possibility that stochastic events initiate the conditions leading to ENSO exacerbates the already difficult task of predicting ENSO patterns.

Lau, K.-M.↗

Cross-equatorial and boundary layer exchange: A FGGE review

The Global Weather Experiment (FGGE) provided unique data on the interesting phenomenon of cross-equatorial flow. Such motion is a key element of the seasonal cycle of the tropics, especially in monsoonal regions. The IIb obserations, IIIb assimilations, and implied dynamics of the flows are reviewed. Additional emphasis is given to the low level branches concentrated in the planetary boundary layer, including air sea interaction and vertical turbulence processes. The results of a recent MONEX Boundary Layer Workshop are summarized.

Young, J. A.↗

Satellite observations of sea ice

An overview is presented of Antarctic and Arctic sea ice studies using data from the Nimbus-5 ESMR and the Nimbus-7 SMMR passive microwave radiometers. Four years (1973-1976) of ESMR data for the Antarctic Ocean define the characteristics of the seasonal cycle including regional contrasts and interannual variations. Major advances include the discovery of the Weddell polynya and the presence of substantial areas of open water in the Antarctic winter pack ice. Regional differences in sea ice extent on time-scales of about a month are shown to be associated with variations in surface-wind fields. In the Arctic, the computation of sea ice concentration is complicated by the presence of multiyear ice, but the amount of multiyear ice becomes an important measurable quantity with dual-polarized, multifrequency passive microwave sensors. Analysis of SMMR data demonstrates its advantage for studying the spatial and temporal variability of the Arctic ice cover. Large observed interannual variations in the distribution of the multiyear pack ice and the presence of significant divergent areas in the central Arctic during winter contrast markedly with the classical view of the Arctic pack ice.

Cavalieri, D. J.↗

El Nino and atmospheric water vapor - Observations from Nimbus 7 SMMR

Atmospheric water vapor content over the global oceans is measured to study the air-sea interactions associated with El Nino/Southern Oscillation. A scanning multichannel microwave radiometer measured brightness temperatures of the earth-atmosphere system at 6.6, 10.7, 18, 21, and 37 GHz, and from these data water vapor content is derived. The seasonal mean distribution of water vapor for the regular season cycle from 1979-1981 are examined; the minima associated with the subtropical anticyclones in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans in the Northern and Southern hemispheres, and the Walker circulation in the tropical Pacific Ocean are analyzed. The positive and negative anomalies in water vapor during the 1982-1983 El Nino event, which correspond to convergence and enhanced convective activity, are investigated. It is concluded that during El Nino events a system of convection and subsidence exists; the subsidence slows the supply of water vapor and cloud growth in the convectively active center and the Walker circulation is reversed.

Prabhakara, C.↗

Coherent fluctuations of extratropical geopotential height and tropical convection in intraseasonal time scales

Northern-Hemisphere twice-daily 500-mb-geopotential-height data for November-March 1975-1980 and November-December 1981 and NOAA satellite measurements of outgoing longwave radiation for the same period are processed to remove seasonal cycles and Fourier-decomposition bandpassed to study variations with 20-70-d periods. The results of analysis using correlation, complex EOF, and composite techniques are presented in extensive maps and graphs and characterized. Extratropical wavetrains are found to evolve systematically from Eurasia eastward to North America and the North Atlantic on 5-6-d time scales, while the intraseasonal variation in tropical convection is dominated by a dipolelike east-west feature propagating from the western Indian Ocean to the dateline with a quasi-period of 40-50 d. The possibility that normal modes coupled between the tropics and midlatitudes may be responsible for these phenomena is considered.

Lau, K.-M.↗

On seasonal variations of Mars' gravitational field

A great quantity of CO2 is exchanged between the Martian atmosphere and polar caps in the course of a Martian year. This exchange occurs in seasonal cycles: CO2 condenses to form the polar caps in winter and sublimes into the atmosphere in summer. The mass involved is about 25% of the total mass of the Martian atmosphere. This paper studies the effects of the CO2 mass redistribution on the Mars' gravitational field. Two mechanisms are examined: (1) the waxing and waning of solid CO2 in the polar caps, and (2) the geographical distribution of gaseous CO2 in the atmosphere. The maximum changes produced by (1) in the low-degree zonal J sub l harmonics in the Mars gravitational field are found to be as much as 7.5 x 10 to the-9 power for J sub 2 (corresponding to 1.1 cm change in the geoid), and about half as much for J sub 3. The effect of (2) on some most prominent low-degree harmonics (for l =1-3) in the effective topography (defined as the departure of the true topography from the geoid) is also evaluated. Their magnitudes are large by Earth standards. Whether they can be observed by the upcoming Mars Observer is still uncertain.

Chao, B. Fong↗

Injection of dust into the Martian atmosphere - Evidence from the Viking Gas Exchange experiment

The hypothesis that predawn midlatitude storms are triggered by a soil humidification process is examined. A freeze/thaw model of the process is evaluated in the Viking Gas Exchange experiments conducted on Mars. The humidification-driven desorption and desiccation state of Martian soil samples are analyzed. The periodic humidification of equatorial regolith soil is studied in terms of pore space pressure during desorption events and soil diffusivity; the thermal properties of the regolith surface layer are modeled using the program of Clifford (1984). Consideration is given to the diurnal and seasonal cycles of the humidification process, the permanent, low-albedo features in the midlatitudes, and the production of H2SO4 and HCl aerosols.

Huguenin, R. L.↗