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At least 433 records · Page 24

Evolution of the 1997-98 El Nino and La Nina: the Role of Altimetry in ENSO Studies and Prediction

El Nino and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are known to be a quasi-periodic coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon occurring roughly every 3-7 years. Its largest oceanic manifestations are found in the equatorial Pacific, but it is of global climatic significance. During the flight of the TOPEX]Poseidon altimeter, the equatorial Pacific was in the midst of an unusual period of prolonged ENSO warming in the mid-1990's. In 1997, the tropical Pacific witnessed the development of a major El Nino event, rivaling in strength the 1982-83 El Nino. The intensity of this El Nino, and its rapid intensification early in the calendar year, caught the scientific community by surprise. None of the forecast models, statistical or dynamical, captured these features of the 1997 El Nino, although those models that assimilated in situ ocean observations did better than most in predicting that the event would occur in 1997. The onset of the El Nino coincided with the occurrence of several westerly wind events in the western Pacific rather than to delayed oscillator physics. However, western Pacific sea levels were anomalously elevated a year and a half prior to the onset, which may have helped precondition the system to a particularly strong ENSO episode. The coming of La Nina was foreshadowed by large-scale drops in sea level in the western tropical Pacific and cyclonic wind stress curl anomalies far beyond the +\- 8 degrees latitude bounds of the TAO mooring array. In past El Nino events, the evolution of the coupled system could only be studied from the perspective of in situ observations. The 1997-1998 El Nino event will be the first time a major El Nino event will have been observed from start to finish via remotely-sensed measurements of sea surface topography, sea surface temperature, sea surface winds, ocean color, and precipitation. These observations have considerable potential for advancing coupled climate forecasts on time scales from seasons to decades. This presentation will address questions along the lines of: (1) What are the scientific problems in ENSO that can benefit most from altimetry data? (2) Are there any precursors in the global ocean-atmosphere system for the 1997-98 extreme event? (3) Is there a unique role of altimetry in detecting potential precursors?(4) Has Topex/Poseidon data been adequately used to improve ENSO forecasts? Is there any firm evidence? (6) What is the status of the transition of El Nino into a La Nina?

Busalacchi, Antonio J.↗

Uncertainties in the Thermal and Mechanical Properties of Particulate Composites Quantified

Particle-reinforced composites are candidate materials for a wide variety of aerospace and nonaerospace applications. The high costs and technical difficulties involved with the use of many fiber-reinforced composites often limit their use in many applications. Consequently, particulate composites have emerged as viable alternatives to conventional fiber-reinforced composites. Particulate composites can be processed to near net shapepotentially reducing the manufacturing costs. They are candidate materials where shock or impact properties are important. For example, particle-reinforced metal matrix composites have shown great potential for many automotive applications. Typically, these materials are aluminum matrix reinforced with SiC or TiC particles. Reinforced concrete can also be thought of as a particle-reinforced composite. In situ ceramics can be modeled as particulate composites and are candidate materials for many high-temperature applications. The characterization of these materials is fundamental to their reliable use. It has been observed that the overall properties of these composites exhibit scatter because of the uncertainty in the constituent material properties, and fabrication-related parameters.

Murthy, Pappu L. N.↗

The Use of Mascons to Resolve Time-Variable Gravity from GRACE

We have analyzed GRACE Level 1B data to resolve time-variable gravity using a local mascon approach. The spherical harmonic solutions released to date resolve the signal from surface hydrology over land areas at spatial scales of 750 to 1000 km over one month intervals [Wahr et al., 2004; Tapley et al., 2004]. In our local approach, we solve explicitly for the mass of water in surface blocks using only the KBRR data collected as GRACE overflies the region of interest. The local representation of gravity minimizes leakage of errors from other areas due to aliasing or mismodelling. In this paper, we report on the analysis of GRACE data from January 2003 through August 2004 over three regions: the Amazon, the Indian subcontinent, and the continental United States. We solve for mass change at 10-day intervals using 4 deg x 4 deg blocks. We give an overview of our latest results, and we present the results of error analyses, and comparisons to both hydrology models and in-situ data.

Lemoine, Frank G.↗

The Joint Aerosol-Monsoon Experiment: A New Challenge to Monsoon Climate Research

Aerosol and monsoon related droughts and floods are two of the most serious environmental hazards confronting more than 60% of the population of the world living in the Asian monsoon countries. In recent years, thanks to improved satellite and in-situ observations, and better models, great strides have been made in aerosol, and monsoon research respectively. There is now a growing body of evidence suggesting that interaction of aerosol forcing with water cycle dynamics in monsoon regions may substantially alter the redistribution of energy at the earth surface and in the atmosphere, and therefore significantly impact monsoon rainfall variability and long term trends. In this talk, I will describe issues related to societal needs, scientific background, and challenges in studies of aerosol-water cycle interaction in Asian monsoon regions. As a first step towards addressing these issues, the authors call for an integrated observation and modeling research approach aimed at the interactions between aerosol chemistry and radiative effects and monsoon dynamics of the coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system. A Joint Aerosol-Monsoon Experiment (JAMEX) is proposed for 2007-2011, with an enhanced observation period during 2008-09, encompassing diverse arrays of observations from surface, aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, and satellites of physical and chemical properties of aerosols, long range aerosol transport as well as meteorological and oceanographic parameters in the Indo-Pacific Asian monsoon region. JAMEX will leverage on coordination among many ongoing and planned national programs on aerosols and monsoon research in China, India, Japan, Nepal, Italy, US, as well as international research programs of the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

Lau, William K. M.↗

Tropospheric Vertical Distribution of Tropical Atlantic Ozone Observed by TES during the Northern African Biomass Burning Season

We present vertical distributions of ozone from the Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES) over the tropical Atlantic Ocean during January 2005. Between 10N and 20S, TES ozone retrievals have Degrees of Freedom for signal (DOF) around 0.7 - 0.8 each for tropospheric altitudes above and below 500 hPa. As a result, TES is able to capture for the first time from space a distribution characterized by two maxima: one in the lower troposphere north of the ITCZ and one in the middle and upper troposphere south of the ITCZ. We focus our analysis on the north tropical Atlantic Ocean, where most of previous satellite observations showed discrepancies with in-situ ozone observations and models. Trajectory analyses and a sensitivity study using the GEOS-Chem model confirm the influence of northern Africa biomass burning on the elevated ozone mixing ratios observed by TES over this region.

satellite observations↗

Sensitivity Studies of Dust Ice Nuclei Effect on Cirrus Clouds with the Community Atmosphere Model CAM5

In this study the effect of dust aerosol on upper tropospheric cirrus clouds through heterogeneous ice nucleation is investigated in the Community Atmospheric Model version 5 (CAM5) with two ice nucleation parameterizations. Both parameterizations consider homogeneous and heterogeneous nucleation and the competition between the two mechanisms in cirrus clouds, but differ significantly in the number concentration of heterogeneous ice nuclei (IN) from dust. Heterogeneous nucleation on dust aerosol reduces the occurrence frequency of homogeneous nucleation and thus the ice crystal number concentration in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) cirrus clouds compared to simulations with pure homogeneous nucleation. Global and annual mean shortwave and longwave cloud forcing are reduced by up to 2.0+/-0.1Wm (sup−2) (1 uncertainty) and 2.4+/-0.1Wm (sup−2), respectively due to the presence of dust IN, with the net cloud forcing change of −0.40+/-0.20W m(sup−2). Comparison of model simulations with in situ aircraft data obtained in NH mid-latitudes suggests that homogeneous ice nucleation may play an important role in the ice nucleation at these regions with temperatures of 205-230 K. However, simulations overestimate observed ice crystal number concentrations in the tropical tropopause regions with temperatures of 190- 205 K, and overestimate the frequency of occurrence of high ice crystal number concentration (greater than 200 L(sup-1) and underestimate the frequency of low ice crystal number concentration (less than 30 L(sup-1) at NH mid-latitudes. These results highlight the importance of quantifying the number concentrations and properties of heterogeneous IN (including dust aerosol) in the upper troposphere from the global perspective.

Liu, Xiaohong↗

Airborne Measurements of CO2 Column Concentration and Range Using a Pulsed Direct-Detection IPDA Lidar

We have previously demonstrated a pulsed direct detection IPDA lidar to measure range and the column concentration of atmospheric CO2. The lidar measures the atmospheric backscatter profiles and samples the shape of the 1,572.33 nm CO2 absorption line. We participated in the ASCENDS science flights on the NASA DC-8 aircraft during August 2011 and report here lidar measurements made on four flights over a variety of surface and cloud conditions near the US. These included over a stratus cloud deck over the Pacific Ocean, to a dry lake bed surrounded by mountains in Nevada, to a desert area with a coal-fired power plant, and from the Rocky Mountains to Iowa, with segments with both cumulus and cirrus clouds. Most flights were to altitudes >12 km and had 5-6 altitude steps. Analyses show the retrievals of lidar range, CO2 column absorption, and CO2 mixing ratio worked well when measuring over topography with rapidly changing height and reflectivity, through thin clouds, between cumulus clouds, and to stratus cloud tops. The retrievals shows the decrease in column CO2 due to growing vegetation when flying over Iowa cropland as well as a sudden increase in CO2 concentration near a coal-fired power plant. For regions where the CO2 concentration was relatively constant, the measured CO2 absorption lineshape (averaged for 50 s) matched the predicted shapes to better than 1% RMS error. For 10 s averaging, the scatter in the retrievals was typically 2-3 ppm and was limited by the received signal photon count. Retrievals were made using atmospheric parameters from both an atmospheric model and from in situ temperature and pressure from the aircraft. The retrievals had no free parameters and did not use empirical adjustments, and >70% of the measurements passed screening and were used in analysis. The differences between the lidar-measured retrievals and in situ measured average CO2 column concentrations were <1.4 ppm for flight measurement altitudes >6 km.

Lidar↗

Basaltic Shergottite NWA 856: Differentiation of a Martian Magma

NWA 856 or Djel Ibone, is a basaltic shergottite discovered as a single stone of 320 g in South Morocco in April, 2001. This meteorite is fresh, i.e. shows minimal terrestrial weathering for a desert find. No shergottite discovered in North Africa can be paired with NWA 856. The purpose of this study is to constrain its crystallization history using textural observations, crystallization sequence modeling and in-situ trace element analysis in order to understand differentiation in shergottite magmatic systems.

Ferdous, J.↗

The Role of Cyclone Activity in Snow Accumulation on Arctic Sea Ice

Identifying the mechanisms controlling the timing and magnitude of snow accumulation on sea ice is crucial for understanding snow’s net effect on the surface energy budget and sea-ice mass balance. Here, we analyze the role of cyclone activity on the seasonal buildup of snow on Arctic sea ice using model, satellite, and in situ data over 1979–2016. On average, 44% of the variability in monthly snow accumulation was controlled by cyclone snowfall and 29% by sea-ice freeze-up. However, there were strong spatio-temporal differences. Cyclone snowfall comprised ~50% of total snowfall in the Pacific compared to 83% in the Atlantic. While cyclones are stronger in the Atlantic, Pacific snow accumulation is more sensitive to cyclone strength. These findings highlight the heterogeneity in atmosphere-snow-ice interactions across the Arctic, and emphasize the need to scrutinize mechanisms governing cyclone activity to better understand their effects on the Arctic snow-ice system with anthropogenic warming.

Webster, M. A.↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-18345-DND

Introduction: Our novel high pressure, high temperature synthesis method produces white, highly crystalline, small diameter, long BNNTs without any catalyst. The quality of BNNTs will be optimized by understanding the nucleation and growth mechanism of BNNT through coherent computational modeling and in-situ and ex-situ experiments. Both BNNT production and science rigs operational. Goals and Objectives: Produce high quality, large quantity BNNTs and BNNT fibers for use as reinforcements for polymer, ceramic, and metallic matrices and assess the scale-ability of existing synthesis methods for large scale production of these reinforcements. Deliverable: High quality optimized BNNT synthesis method and systematic property database of BNNT composites. Fabrication and analysis of non-woven mats, fibers, yarns and composites to evaluate their structural and functional properties.

Catharine C Fay↗

Expanding the Spatiotemporal Range of Soil Moisture Analysis Utilizing NASA Earth Observations and In Situ Measurements

Drought can cause immense agricultural and ecological damage resulting in high mitigation and compensation costs. Climate variability in future decades is expected to cause severe drought conditions and threaten necessary water resources. Stakeholders seek to implement effective drought assessments in preparation for potential economic and environmental damage invoked by drought. Although in-situ measurements are accurate, the current infrastructure is spatially limited and costly to maintain. A framework was created to compare modeled, satellite and in-situ data in drought monitoring. Here we show that the comparison of in-situ and remotely sensed soil moisture (SM) measurements can increase the spatiotemporal range of SM assessments. Data collected between 2003 and 2021 by NASA’s SPoRT Land Information System (SPoRT-LIS) and Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission were standardized and compared with in-situ data provided through the Illinois Climate Network (WARM). Statistical analysis results including the Pearson correlation coefficient (r), root mean squared error, mean absolute error and others were calculated to compare the WARM measurements to the SMAP and SPoRT-LIS products. Results indicate that both satellite products demonstrate seasonally variable bias that is not present in the in-situ measurements. Bias was highest in the winter months and lowest in the late summer and early fall months in both satellite datasets. Overall, WARM-SPoRT comparisons resulted in lower seasonal variability. However, on average, the SMAP comparison demonstrated higher correlation values and lower error values. The WARM-SMAP average correlation (r) was 0.61 compared to the WARM-SPoRT average correlation (r) value of 0.54. Average mean absolute error values calculated for the SMAP and SPoRT comparisons were 0.07 and 0.08 percent soil moisture by volume, respectively. These analyses suggest integrating in-situ measurements and those provided by NASA Earth observations can be utilized in a multi-faceted SM evaluation, a valuable contribution to drought monitoring and water resource decision making.

Emma P Myrick↗

An Advanced Open-Source Platform for Air Quality Analysis, Visualization, and Prediction

Ambient air pollution is the largest environmental health risk factor, leading to several million premature deaths globally per year. The challenge of combating poor air quality is exacerbated by growing urban populations, changing emissions, and a warming climate. While there have been many advances monitoring and modeling of atmospheric composition, reflected in the dramatic increase in archived Earth Observations, there is no single measurement or method that alone can provide an accurate depiction of the entire atmosphere. The rapidly growing collections of observational and modeling data require us to be smarter about what data to include, and how such data is used. In recent years, NASA has invested significantly in advancing the concepts for Analytics Collaborative Framework (ACF) [5] and New Observing Strategies (NOS) [4] to tackle our software infrastructure need for harmonized data management and dynamic acquisition of diverse measurements for on-demand, interactive, multivariate analysis, and access [3]. It is not enough to have a big data, standalone analytics solution; it is critical that we start integrating data from remote sensing, modeling, and in-situ networks in a harmonized manner that enables timely and data-driven decision-making for air quality management. This work presents the design and development of an Air Quality Analytics Collaborative Framework (AQ ACF), as part of NASA’s Advanced Information Systems Technology (AIST) effort, to establish a data, machine-learning, and numerically driven platform for air quality analysis, visualization, and prediction.

Liu, Qian↗

The Eruption of a Magnetic Flux Rope Observed By Solar Orbiter and Parker Solar Probe

Magnetic flux ropes are a key component of coronal mass ejections, forming the core of these eruptive phenomena. However, determining whether a flux rope is present prior to eruption onset and, if so, the rope’s handedness and the number of turns that any helical field lines make is difficult without magnetic field modelling or in-situ detection of the flux rope. We present two distinct observations of plasma flows along a filament channel on 4 and 5 September 2022 made using the Solar Orbiter spacecraft. Each plasma flow exhibited helical motions in a right-handed sense as the plasma moved from the source active region across the solar disk to the quiet Sun, suggesting that the magnetic configuration of the filament channel contains a flux rope with positive chirality and at least one turn. The length and velocity of the plasma flow increased from the first to the second observation, suggesting evolution of the flux rope, with the flux rope subsequently erupting within ∼5 hours of the second plasma flow. The erupting flux rope then passed over the Parker Solar Probe spacecraft during its Encounter 13, enabling in-situ diagnostics of the structure. Although complex and consistent with the flux rope erupting from underneath the heliospheric current sheet, the in-situ measurements support the inference of a right-handed flux rope from remote-sensing observations. These observations provide a unique insight into the eruption and evolution of a magnetic flux rope near the Sun.

Dynamics↗

Evolution of Martian Volcanism and Lithosphere: Geochemical Insights from Noachian to Amazonian Volcanic Terrains

The lithosphere of Mars has played a crucial role in shaping its geological features, influencing volcanic activity, climate shifts, and the planet's early habitability. Understanding the evolution of Mars' litho-sphere through different geological eons has been challenging due to weathering and resurfacing affecting the study of early Noachian volcanic chemistry. Therefore, in our study we have focused on recently discovered Noachian volcanic terranes [1-2], along with Hesperian and Amazonian volcanic terranes [3], to trace the evolution of the Martian lithosphere and thermal flux. The composition of igneous rock formed from the eruption of magma tends to preserve the record of thermal properties viz. pressure, temperature, or degree of partial melting at which it forms. Therefore, Martian volcanic provinces are of great geologic interest; they have been active throughout its history, from Noachian (>3.7 Ga) to the Late Amazonian (<500 Ma) [4]. Earlier studies focused on the evolved magmatism from Hesperian to Amazonian [4], but the type and style of Noachian-aged volcanism remain to be understood. We have investigated the geochemical compositions of Noachian volcanic provinces and compared them with relatively younger volcanic provinces on Mars using remote sensing (Mars Odyssey Gamma Ray and Neutron Spectrometer suite-GRS) and in-situ observations. Furthermore, petrologic modeling is performed to understand magmatic processes and thermal evolution. Our findings reveal distinct Pressure-Temperature (P-T) conditions across different Martian geological eras. In the Noachian terranes, we model P-T conditions ranging from 1.3-1.6 GPa and temperatures between 1350-1390°C. Conversely, the Hesperian volcanic terrane exhibits variations between 1.6-1.7 GPa and temperatures spanning 1370-1395°C. For the Amazonian volcanic terrane, P-T conditions ranged notably higher, from 1.9-2.8 GPa with temperatures between 1380-1415°C. Based on our modeling, we estimated the corresponding litho-spheric thicknesses and depths of melting for each eon. In the Noachian, the lithospheric thickness ranged from 110-135 km. Meanwhile, for the Hesperian terranes, it varied between 120-235 km, and for the Amazonian, it extended from 160-235 km. We also calculated partial melting percentages (F), observing a range of 8-12% for the Noachian, 10-11% for the Hesperian, and 10-12% for the Amazonian. Mantle potential temperatures (Tp) were calculated to illustrate variations across these geological eons. Our estimates of heat flux depicted temporal changes, showing ranges from 51-65 mW/m 2 for the Noachian, 38-45 mW/m 2 for the Hesperian, and 27-39 mW/m 2 for the Amazonian. Our study implies that the lithosphere remained consistently uniform until the Hesperian eon, indicating sustained weaker volcanic systems from mid-Noachian to Hesperian. This contrasts with fewer deep-seated plumes observed in the Amazonian era. These variations suggest potential implications for Martian climatic conditions which show a milder climate prevailed until the Hesperian, differing from Mars' current cold, arid conditions.

Mars↗

Analysis of Waste Material Feedstocks Using Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy and Machine Learning

Predicting properties such as heating value, ash fusion temperature, and mineral ash composition from Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS) data can make gasifiers more flexible to different feedstocks. Understanding these feedstock properties in-situ improves feedstock conversion modelling methods that allow for consistent operation, higher carbon conversion, and reduced fouling and erosion rates. The purpose of this study is to demonstrate methods for model creation that take LIBS data as predictor features and estimate higher order material properties as a function of feedstock material properties. Six samples were chosen to represent a mixture of abundant and carbon rich waste materials. LIBS measurements were performed on these samples for elemental wavelengths and intensity values. Laboratory analytical results were obtained for each sample’s heating value, proximate and ultimate analysis, mineral ash composition, ash fusion temperatures, and viscosity temperatures. Thermal conductivity was measured using a HotDisk TPS 2500S. LIBS measurements were processed and used as predictor features for machine learning (ML) models to predict the sample’s material properties. Predictor feature selection algorithms, particularly minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMR), reduced the dimensionality of ML models. Many modelling methods such as Gaussian process regression (GPR), regression tree, neural networks (NN), and support vector machines (SVM) were demonstrated to be effective at predicting higher order properties; however, mRMR with GPR stood out as a clear winning combination.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

A novel semi-structured kinetic model of methanotroph-photoautotroph cocultures for biogas conversion

Through metabolic coupling of methane oxidation and oxygenic photosynthesis, methanotroph-photoautotroph (M-P) cocultures offer a highly promising technology platform for biogas conversion. However, there has not been any quantitative modeling of the coculture growth kinetics. This is mainly due to the inherent difficulty associated with real time characterization of the M-P cocultures and the complex interactions such as the cross-feeding mechanism within the coculture. To address this challenge, we recently developed a novel experimental-computational (E-C) protocol to accurately characterize the M-P coculture in real-time, and validated its accuracy through cell counting. Enabled by the E-C protocol, this work presents the very first kinetic model for M-P cocultures. By explicitly modeling the exchange of in situ produced O 2 /CO 2 within the M-P coculture and coupling the individual biomass growth with mass transfer between the gas and liquid phases, the semi-structured kinetic model accurately predicts the growth dynamics of the M-P coculture under a wide range of growth conditions. The proposed model is validated by a series of wet-lab experiments using Methylomicrobium buryatense 5GB1 - Arthrospira platensis as the model coculture. Although it has been speculated that there may exist other emergent metabolic interactions within the M-P coculture, in addition to the exchange of in situ produced O 2 /CO 2 , there has not been any experimental validation prior to this study. By integrating designed experiments with the semi-structured kinetic model, this study is the first to confirm the existence of the additional emergent metabolic exchanges within the coculture. Furthermore, this study further quantifies the effect of these unknown metabolic interactions on the growth of both species in the model coculture, supporting further research to identify these exchanged metabolites for metabolic engineering.

42 ENGINEERING↗