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At least 433 records · Page 24

On the propagation and mode conversion of auroral medium frequency bursts

Abstract Auroral medium frequency (MF) bursts are broadband, impulsive radio emissions associated with local substorm onsets. MF bursts consist of a characteristic fine structure whereby the higher frequencies arrive 10–100 ms before the lower frequencies. LaBelle (2011a) proposed that MF bursts originate as Langmuir/Z mode waves on the topside of the ionosphere that mode‐convert to LO mode waves and propagate to ground level, with the fine structure resulting by propagation delays due to the topside ionospheric density profile. We investigate three aspects of this mechanism. First, full‐wave calculations are used to simulate the MF burst fine structure using a realistic ionospheric density profile. The delay between the highest and lowest frequencies is 21 ms. This value is smaller than the experimentally determined delays of ∼100 ms presented in Bunch and LaBelle (2009), but differences between the topside electron number density profile used in the simulations and the number density profile during disturbed conditions make comparisons only approximate. Second, the Landau damping of Langmuir/Z mode waves on the topside ionosphere is calculated, assuming the electron distribution function consists of a cold background population ( n e 0 ) and a warm secondary population ( n se ). The Landau damping is small when n se / n e 0 = 0.04% (consistent with Maggs and Lotko (1981)) but is significant when n se / n e 0 > 0.4%. Finally, full‐wave calculations are used to determine the mode conversion efficiency from Langmuir/Z mode waves to LO mode waves. These imply that waves would suffer an attenuation of wave energy density of approximately 5–10% if they are generated with their wave vectors in a narrow cone centered around the local magnetic field. Taken together, these calculations suggest that for small values of n se / n e 0 <0.4%, the mechanism proposed by LaBelle (2011a) is a plausible explanation for the origin of MF bursts.

Broughton, M. C.↗

Offshore wind speed estimates from a high‐resolution rapidly updating numerical weather prediction model forecast dataset

Abstract In association with the Department of Energy–funded Position of Offshore Wind Energy Resources (POWER) project, we present results from compositing a 3‐year dataset of 80‐m (above ground level) wind forecasts from the 3‐km High‐Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model over offshore regions for the contiguous United States. The HRRR numerical weather prediction system runs once an hour and features hourly data assimilation, providing a key advantage over previous model‐based offshore wind datasets. On the basis of 1‐hour forecasts from the HRRR model, we highlight the different climatological regimes of the nearshore environment, characterizing the mean 80‐m wind speed as well as the frequency of exceeding 4, 12, and 25 m s −1 for east and west coast, Gulf of Mexico, and Great Lake locations. Preliminary verification against buoy measurements demonstrates good agreement with observations. This dataset can inform the placement of targeted measurement systems in support of improving resource assessments and wind forecasts to advance offshore wind energy goals both in New England and other coastal regions of the United States.

James, Eric P.↗

Observations of the Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer’s Response to a Solar Eclipse

The atmospheric response to the solar eclipse of 8 April 2024 in North America is investigated with a specific focus on the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL). We leverage measurements collected during the Third Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP3), including Doppler lidars, sonic anemometers, and thermodynamic profiler data to investigate the atmospheric response across sites that experienced partial eclipse conditions with nearly 90% obscuration. Using these measurements, we examine eclipse-induced changes in key meteorological parameters, such as temperature, wind speed, and turbulent fluxes. Most previous eclipse studies have been conducted over land, whereas this study provides new observations for both coastal and marine environments, offering additional insight into eclipse-driven variability in the MABL. The findings confirm a notable decrease in downwelling shortwave radiation during the eclipse, which results in rapid cooling of surface air. The temperature reduction ranges from $1.2^\circ \text {C}$ to $1.4^\circ \text {C}$ in coastal regions and from $0.3^\circ \text {C}$ to $0.5^\circ \text {C}$ over the ocean. This analysis suggests that the MABL’s higher thermal inertia compared to coastal regions moderates the temperature decrease during the eclipse. Wind speed exhibits a more complex behavior, as it is influenced by both the MABL and preexisting synoptic conditions. Although a reduction in wind speed is observable up to approximately 140 m above ground level (AGL) at more inland sites, at other locations closer to the coast, this reduction is constrained to the lowest 100 m AGL. Turbulence parameters retrieved from sonic anemometers, such as turbulence kinetic energy, turbulent heat flux, and friction velocity, decrease during the eclipse at coastal sites, accompanied by a brief transition of atmospheric stability from unstable to neutral or weakly stable conditions. For the open-ocean sites, the variability in turbulence statistics and atmospheric stability is minimal during the occurrence of the eclipse.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Advances in solar forecasting: Computer vision with deep learning

Renewable energy forecasting is crucial for integrating variable energy sources into the grid. It allows power systems to address the intermittency of the energy supply at different spatiotemporal scales. To anticipate the future impact of cloud displacements on the energy generated by solar facilities, conventional modeling methods rely on numerical weather prediction or physical models, which have difficulties in assimilating cloud information and learning systematic biases. Augmenting computer vision with machine learning overcomes some of these limitations by fusing real-time cloud cover observations with surface measurements acquired from multiple sources. This Review summarizes recent progress in solar forecasting from multisensor Earth observations with a focus on deep learning, which provides the necessary theoretical framework to develop architectures capable of extracting relevant information from data generated by ground-level sky cameras, satellites, weather stations, and sensor networks. Overall, machine learning has the potential to significantly improve the accuracy and robustness of solar energy meteorology; however, more research is necessary to realize this potential and address its limitations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Relativistic distorted-wave collision strengths for Δn = 0 transitions in the 67 Li-like, F-like and Na-like ions with 26 ≤ Z ≤ 92

We calculated relativistic distorted-wave collision strength for all possible Δn=0 transitions, where n denotes the valence shell of the ground level, in the 67 Li-like, F-like and Na-like ions with Z in the range 26 ≤ Z ≤92. This choice produces 3 transitions with n=2 in the Li-like and F-like ions, and 10 transitions with n=3 in the Na-like ions. Moreover, for the Li-like and F-like ions, the calculations were made for the six final, or scattered, electron energies E'=0.008,0.04,0.10,0.21,0.41, and 0.75, where E' is in units of Z$2\atop{eff}$ Ry with Z eff = Z- 1.66 for Li-like ions and Z eff = Z- 6.667 for F-like ions. For the Na-like ions, the calculations were made for the six final electron energies E'=0.0025,0.015,0.04,0.10,0.21, and 0.40, with Z eff = Z- 8.34. In the present calculations, an improved “top-up” method, which employs relativistic plane waves, was used to obtain the high partial-wave contribution for each transition, in contrast to the partial-relativistic Coulomb–Bethe approximation used in previous works by Zhang, Sampson and Fontes [H.L. Zhang, D.H. Sampson, C.J. Fontes, At. Data Nucl. Data Tables 44 (1990) 31; H.L. Zhang, D.H. Sampson, C.J. Fontes, At. Data Nucl. Data Tables 48 (1991) 25; D.H. Sampson, H.L. Zhang, C.J. Fontes, At. Data Nucl. Data Tables 44 (1990) 209]. In those previous works, collision strengths were also provided for Li-, F- and Na-like ions, but for a more comprehensive set of transitions. Finally, the collision strengths covered in the present work should be more accurate than the corresponding data given in those previous works and are presented here to replace those earlier results.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Thermal Analysis of of Near-Isothermal Compressed Gas Energy Storage System

In this paper, alternative system configurations for a novel Ground-Level Integrated Diverse Energy Storage (GLIDES) system, which can store energy via input of electricity and heat and deliver dispatchable electricity, is presented. The proposed system is low-cost and hybridizes compressed air and pumped hydro storage approaches that will allow for the off-peak storage of intermittent renewable energy for use during peak times. This study reveals that implementing direct-contact low grade heat exchange via sprayed falling droplets to cool the gas during charging (compression) and warm the gas during discharging (expansion) can be achieved through a secondary recirculating loop of liquid. This study shows that if the recirculating liquid loop is pre-conditioned with waste-heat prior to spraying during gas expansion and considering all the round trip conversion losses from standard 120 V 60 HZ electricity input and output with utilization of low grade heat at 90 C the alternative system design leads to a 16% boost in round trip efficiency of the electricity storage to elec = 82% with an energy density of ED = 3.59 MJ/m3.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

The ozone-climate penalty in the Midwestern U.S.

This paper investigates the relationship between ground-level ozone (O-3) and temperature in the Midwestern U.S. during the period 1990-2015. From 1990 to 2015, the overall trend of 95th percentile temperature showed an increase of 0.04 K yr(-1), while summertime 95th percentile O-3 concentrations in the Midwest decreased at an average rate of 0.7 ppb yr(-1) largely because NO2 concentrations decreased by more than 50%. The ozone-climate penalty, defined as the slope of O-3 change with increasing temperature (Delta O-3/Delta T), was by average 0.43 ppb K-1 less in 1999-2007 than in 1990-1998, indicating the early success of NOx emission controls. However, the slope did not continue to decrease in 2008-2015 despite further NOx emission reductions, and it increased more rapidly with increasing temperature (Delta O-2(3)/Delta T-2) by 0.03-0.09 ppb K-2 in most urban areas of the Midwest. This was accompanied by more frequent dry tropical (DT) weather in the Midwest since 2008. We find that O-3 in DT weather was 12 ppb and 17 ppb higher than in non-DT weather in rural and urban areas, respectively. Furthermore, the 2008-2015 period experienced 8% more surface air stagnation days than in 1990-1998. This demonstrates that, in addition to the impact of warmer temperatures, the ozone-climate penalty could be aggravated by altered weather conditions under climate change. It will be challenging for Midwestern cities to attain the National Ambient Air Quality Standard for O-3 if such conditions persist in the future, and future air quality improvements may require even greater efforts to reduce both NOx and VOC emissions in the Midwest.

Midwestern U.S.↗

Low hygroscopicity of ambient fresh carbonaceous aerosols from pyrotechnics smoke

Pyrotechnics (fireworks) displays are common for many cultures worldwide, with Independence Day celebrations occurring annually on July 4th as the most notable in the U.S. Given an episodic nature, fireworks aerosol properties are poorly characterized. Here we report observations of optical properties of fresh smoke emissions from Independence Day fireworks smoke sampled at Los Alamos National Laboratory, New Mexico U.S.A. on 4–5 July 2016. Aerosol optical properties were measured with a photoacoustic extinctiometer (PAX, DMT, Inc., Model 870 nm) at low RH < 30% and a humidity controlled nephelometry system (Ecotech, Inc., 450 nm Aurora). ‘Dry’ light scattering coefficient (σsp) increased from background < 15 Mm –1 reaching 120 Mm –1 (450 nm) as a 2-min event peak, while the absorption coefficient increased from background of 0.5–4.4 Mm –1 (870 nm). The event peak occurred at 00:35 on 5 July 2016, ~3 h after local fireworks events, and decreased to background by 04:00 on 5 July 2016, showing well mixed aerosol properties. A notable result is that the aerosol hygroscopic response, as characterized by the ratio of wet to dry light scattering or f (RH = 85%), declined to 1.02 at the peak fireworks influence from a background ~1.7. Strong wavelength dependence of light scattering with Ångström exponent ~2.2 throughout the event showed a size distribution dominated by sub-micrometer particles. Likewise, single scattering albedo at 870 nm remained constant throughout the event with ω = 0.86 ± 0.03, indicating light absorbing carbon, though not dominant, was mixed with organic carbon. Subsequent laboratory testing with ground-level sparklers showed that pyrotechnics smoke can generate a strong hygroscopic response, however. As confirmed with chemical analysis, the chemistry of the fireworks was key to defining the hygroscopic response. As a result, sparkler smoke was dominated by salt species such as hygroscopic potassium chloride while it lacked the black powder explosives in aerial fireworks that contribute organic and elemental carbon to its non-hygroscopic smoke.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ammonia in northeast Colorado is increasing, rising most quickly in regions close to confined animal feeding operations

The Colorado Front Range urban corridor and nearby agricultural operations are important source regions of atmospheric ammonia (NH 3 ). Upslope flows periodically transport these emissions into Rocky Mountain National Park (RMNP), located 50 km west of the urban corridor, where wet and dry deposition of excess reactive nitrogen (N) impacts ecosystems. Here, we use a combination of in situ passive NH 3 measurements and NH 3 vertical column density retrievals from the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) to assess variability and changes in NH 3 across three land use categories in the northeast Colorado source region (agricultural, urban, and remote) during the period 2013-2023. A strong seasonal cycle is present across the region with increased NH 3 during summer months. Elevated NH 3 is spatially correlated with the number of permitted animal units in confined animal feeding operations (CAFOs) within 12 km. Ground-level NH 3 concentrations are strongly positively correlated with monthly gridded IASI satellite column densities. Satellite retrievals reveal an increasing trend in NH 3 column amounts of ∼3% per year in agricultural and ∼2% per year in urban sub-regions. The magnitude of the trend observed in NH 3 columns averaged over the agricultural sub-region is > 3 times larger than observed near and over Denver. The largest increases in NH 3 are closely aligned with the distribution of CAFOs. Reductions in particle sulfate associated with declining sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) emissions could account for only ∼0.1% per year increase in gaseous NH 3 . Wildfire smoke across the region has increased but appears unlikely to explain the majority of the observed NH 3 increase.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A modeling examination of cloud seeding conditions under the warmer climate in Utah, USA

Assessment of how the wintertime cloud seeding conditions over Utah's mountains may change provides essential information for the state to work on increasing its snowpack in the warmer climate. Here in this study, data from the National Center for Atmospheric Research's high-resolution, convection-permitting Weather Research and Forecasting model are used to evaluate suitable conditions for wintertime cloud seeding over Utah's mountains, and to estimate future changes to these conditions under a pseudo-global warming scenario. While previous studies have examined historical cloud seeding conditions, this is the first study that explores the impact of future climate change on these conditions. Based on two atmospheric variables commonly used in cloud-seeding operations, i.e. average temperature from the surface to 1 km above ground level (-20 °C≤T≤-6 °C) and vertically integrated supercooled liquid water (SLW > 0.01 mm), Utah's mountains are suitable for seeding more than 20% of the time during winter. A greater rate of suitability exists in the northern and Uinta Mountains. In the warmer climate under a high-emissions scenario, these seeding conditions may wane as the percentage of precipitating clouds suitable for seeding, about 60% under current conditions, would decline to about 40% across the state with significance. This projected decrease is due to rising temperatures and a decreased frequency of precipitation events. These findings imply that climate warming will narrow the window of opportunity for winter cloud seeding operation in Utah.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-frequency signatures of space-leader evolution in negative cloud-to-ground lightning stepped leaders

In this study, we examined 364 space leaders in 18 negative natural cloud-to-ground lightning strokes whose stepped leaders created new channels to ground. All strokes were captured on ultra-high-speed video cameras operating at frame rates ranging from 400k to 783k frames per second. Additionally, broadband electromagnetic field measurements were available for a subset of these strokes. The median space leader inception-to-attachment-point length and retrograde propagation speed towards the pre-existing leader channel (PELC) were 8.2 m and 4.0 x 10 6 m/s, respectively. Space leader lengths were longer and retrograde propagation speeds faster for return strokes with higher peak currents. This is likely due to the relative proximity of space leader inception points to the PELC, which makes the electric field produced by the PELC line charge density one of the primary factors in determining space leader characteristics. Space leader characteristics were weakly related to their inception altitude. We observed bursts of very high frequency (VHF) emissions preceding, by around 0.5 – 1 μs, electric field leader-step pulses; visible-frequency-range luminosity pulses started during the step pulses. The median downward leader propagation speed for all 18 strokes was 4.3 x 10 5 m/s; leader propagation speeds were generally faster for return strokes with higher peak currents. Also, leaders appeared to accelerate (on their way to ground) at altitudes lower than about 200 and 1000 m above ground level for strokes in the 10 – 60 and 84 – 228 kA peak current ranges, respectively.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Near isothermal compressed air energy storage system in residential and commercial buildings: Techno-economic analysis

Electrical energy storage systems offer a wide range of options to efficiently manage our power supply infrastructure. Energy and environmental security via renewable resources and energy storage devices will also play a critical role in addressing the supply-demand challenges. A novel energy efficient storage system based on near isothermal compressed air energy storage concept, named as Ground-Level Integrated Diverse Energy Storage (GLIDES) is analyzed for integration with residential and commercial buildings. Additionally, the influence of different configurational aspects on key performance and cost attributes is presented in this study. GLIDES modules in the range of 0.5 kWh–15 kWh configurations were considered for residential buildings whereas 25 kW h–500 kW h modules were considered for commercial buildings. Detailed cost and performance analysis of the GLIDES module proved them to be an effective resource in lowering the peak energy demand and corresponding utility bills.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Emissions implications of downscaled electricity generation scenarios for the western United States

This study explores how emissions from electricity generation in the Western Interconnection region of the U.S. might respond in circa 2030 to contrasting scenarios for fuel prices and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions fees. We examine spatial and temporal variations in generation mix across the region and year using the PLEXOS unit commitment and dispatch model with a production cost model database adapted from the Western Electricity Coordinating Council. Emissions estimates are computed by combining the dispatch model results with unit-specific, emissions-load relationships. Wind energy displaces natural gas and coal in scenarios with relatively expensive natural gas or with GHG fees. Correspondingly, annual emissions of NOx, SO2, and CO2 are reduced by 20-40% in these cases. NOx emissions, which are a concern as a precursor of ground-level ozone, are relatively high and consistent across scenarios during summer, when peak electricity loads occur and wind resources in the region are comparatively weak. Accounting for the difference in start-up versus stabilized NOx emissions rates for natural gas plants had little impact on region-wide emissions estimates due to the dominant contribution from coal-fired plants, but would be more important in the vicinity of the natural gas units.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Empirical profiling of cold hydrogen plumes formed from venting of LH 2 storage vessels

Liquid hydrogen (LH 2 ) storage is viewed as a viable approach to assure sufficient hydrogen capacity at commercial fuelling stations. Presently, LH 2 is produced at remote facilities and then transported to the end-use site by road vehicles (i.e., LH 2 tanker trucks). Venting of hydrogen to depressurize the transport storage tank is a routine part of the LH 2 delivery and site transfer process. The behavior of cold hydrogen plumes has not been well characterized because of the sparsity of empirical field data, which can lead to overly conservative safety requirements. Committee members of the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) Standard 2 [1] formed the Hydrogen Storage Safety Task Group, which consists of hydrogen producers, safety experts, and computational fluid dynamics modellers, has identified the lack of understanding of hydrogen dispersion during LH 2 venting of storage vessels as a critical gap for establishing safety distances at LH 2 facilities, especially commercial hydrogen fuelling stations. To address this need, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory Sensor Laboratory, in collaboration with the NFPA Hydrogen Storage Task Group, developed a prototype Cold Hydrogen Plume Analyzer to empirically characterize the hydrogen plume formed during LH 2 storage tank venting. The prototype analyzer was field deployed during an actual LH 2 venting process. Critical findings included: hydrogen above the lower flammable limit (LFL) was detected as much as 2 m lower than the release point, which is not predicted by existing models; personal monitors detected hydrogen at ground level, although at levels below the LFL; a small but inconsistent correlation was found between oxygen depletion and the hydrogen concentration; a negligible to non-existent correlation was found between in-situ temperature measurements and the hydrogen concentration. The prototype analyzer is being upgraded for enhanced metrological capabilities, including improved real-time spatial and temporal profiling of hydrogen plumes and tracking of prevailing weather conditions. Additional deployments are planned to monitor plume behavior under different wind, humidity, and temperature conditions. The data will be shared with the Hydrogen Storage Task Group and ultimately will be used support theoretical models and code requirements prescribed in NFPA 2.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Measurements and simulations of the cosmic-ray-induced neutron background

The cosmic-ray-induced neutron background at ground level has been measured and simulated in conjunction with EJ-309 organic liquid scintillators with an approximate deposited energy range of 0.5–6 MeV. Specifically, the pulse height distributions, net neutron count rates, and angular dependences were obtained. The simulations were carried out using the Monte Carlo transport code MCNPX-PoliMi combined with the (Cosmic-Ray Shower Generator) CRY source subroutine that returns secondary particles produced by cosmic rays. A scaling formula from literature was also implemented in the simulation. The angular dependence of the neutron count rate was measured by collimating the liquid scintillator with polyethylene to attain 18° angular resolution from 0° downwards to 72° horizontally. The neutron count rate was measured to be 23.10±1.69 h -1 sr -1 at 0°, and 7.20±0.78 h -1 sr -1 at 72°. The simulations and measurements compare well and show similar cosine anisotropy for the angular distribution. Finally, the study thus shows that the neutron background response in detector systems can be efficiently and accurately simulated using the procedures described.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Performance Analyses of Supercritical Carbon Dioxide-Based Parabolic Trough Collectors with Double-Glazed Receivers

Supercritical carbon dioxide is becoming a hot research topic as a potential heat transfer fluid in parabolic trough concentrators since it enables operating the solar system at high temperatures for a higher quality of energy. However, the corresponding inflated thermal losses necessitate alternative receiver designs. This work examines four double-glazed receivers, with each annular space being evacuated or non-evacuated, in terms of the absorber tube's diameter (53-80 mm) and the diameter ratios of the two glass shells (1.2-2.0). An analytical model is developed and validated for this purpose, and the four designs are further examined using ground-level solar and meteorological measurements. The results demonstrate higher performance in the case of fully evacuating the receiver and using the smallest possible diameters of the three concentric cylinders, where the energy and exergy efficiencies reach 65.3 and 40.3%, respectively. Yet, evacuating only the inner annular space is sufficient to achieve virtually the same performance level. This energy efficiency decreases to 62% in case of increasing the tube diameter to 80 mm. As the operating temperature increases from 423 to 850 K, the specific thermal losses increase by 3.98-4.34 folds, depending on the receiver design. Double glazing the receivers is favorable only at high operating temperatures of sCO2, where the reduction in thermal losses overcomes the drop in optical efficiency. For an inlet sCO2 temperature of 850 K, thermal losses are reduced by 33.64 and 53.92%, compared to evacuated and non-evacuated single-glazed receivers, respectively. Throughout the year, the fully evacuated and fully non-evacuated double-glazed receivers have energy efficiencies of 54.96 and 52.39%, exergy efficiencies of 33.64 and 32.06%, and thermal losses of 348.8 and 402.5 W/m, respectively.

analytical model↗

Assessing outdoor air quality and public health impact attributable to residential black carbon emissions in rural China

Black carbon (BC) is a significant component of particulate matter (PM) that relates to air pollution, climate forcing, and further implications for public health. BC is predominantly released from the combustion of solid fuels. Combustion of low-quality fuels in rural China may induce severe respiratory and cardiopulmonary health outcomes for residents, which have however been inadequately assessed. One major reason for the limited understanding is the lack of a high-resolution inventory. An improved method of estimating the BC-associated public health burden is needed. This work quantified premature mortalities due to residential BC emissions in rural China. Domestic BC emissions at 1×1 km resolution were compiled based on previous field investigation, which were further configured for air quality simulation. A chemistry transport model, WRF–CMAQ v5.2, was employed for simulating BC concentrations. The consequent premature mortalities were quantified by a BC-specific concentration-response function (CRF) derived from an epidemiological study. Results show that residential combustion of solid fuel in rural China emitted 648.0 Gg (95%CI: 361.0–965.9) BC in 2014, after dispersion, accounting for 51.8% of annual mean ground-level BC concentration in China. Such impact was most severe in North and Northeast China, and the Sichuan Basin. The further investigation estimated 171,000 (95%CI: 69,000–387,000) premature mortalities that were attributable to exposure to rural residential BC. These findings reveal the major contribution of rural residential BC emissions to air pollution formation and public health impacts. Our findings are anticipated to provide useful information for enacting the next-stage environmental strategy for the residential sector in China.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Reconciliation of asynchronous satellite-based $\mathrm{NO_2}$ and $\mathrm{XCO_2}$ enhancements with mesoscale modeling over two urban landscapes

Fossil fuel carbon dioxide (CO 2ff ), the main driver of global warming and climate change, is often co-emitted with nitrogen oxides (NO x ) and precursors to ground-level ozone from anthropogenic sources like power plants or vehicles. In urban and suburban areas, satellite-based NO 2 can be used as a proxy to track the emissions of CO 2ff . Because of NO 2 ’s shorter lifetime, urban NO 2 plumes are more distinguishable from backgrounds and more sensitive to variations in emissions. However, the combination of these two gases is limited by the asynchrony among NO 2 and CO 2 monitoring satellites. We used CO 2ff simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model to reconcile the tropospheric NO 2 vertical column density (VCD) from the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) and column-averaged dry-air mole fractions of carbon dioxide enhancements (ΔXCO 2 ) from Orbiting Carbon Observatory 3 (OCO-3) Snapshot Area Maps (SAMs) over a multicity area, Washington D.C.-Baltimore (DC-Balt), and a basin city, Mexico City. NO 2 /CO 2ff ratios over DC-Balt are smaller than Mexico City, indicative of stricter emission restrictions, a more combustion-efficient vehicle fleet, and higher combustion efficiency due to lower altitude in DC-Balt. For single-track cases, the spatial correlations between NO 2 and ΔXCO 2 over Mexico City are stronger than DC-Balt because the NO 2 and CO 2 are mostly trapped in the valley of Mexico City, while DC-Balt is severely affected by distant sources (i.e., US East Coast cities). Using multi-track averaging, spatial correlation coefficients increase with the number of days used for averaging. The correlations reached a maximum when averaging >12 continuous images for DC-Balt and > 10 continuous images for Mexico City. This finding indicates that multi-track averaging using modeled CO 2ff as a proxy is helpful to filter the noise in single-track images, to cancel the interference from distant sources, and to magnify correlations between NO 2 and CO 2ff . Mexico City showed stronger spatial correlations but weaker temporal correlations than DC-Balt due to biomass burning hot spots and large transport errors caused by the trapping effects of the surrounding mountains. Tracking the 20-day moving average of CO 2ff emissions using TROPOMI NO 2 seems technically feasible, considering the relationship between correlation coefficients and the number of available satellite images.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗