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At least 433 records · Page 24

Testing T2K’s Bayesian constraints with priors in alternate parameterisations

Bayesian analysis results require a choice of prior distribution. In long-baseline neutrino oscillation physics, the usual parameterisation of the mixing matrix induces a prior that privileges certain neutrino mass and flavour state symmetries. Here we study the effect of privileging alternate symmetries on the results of the T2K experiment. We find that constraints on the level of CP violation (as given by the Jarlskog invariant) are robust under the choices of prior considered in the analysis. On the other hand, the degree of octant preference for the atmospheric angle depends on which symmetry has been privileged.

Bayesian Inference↗

AmeriFlux US-DBk Berkeley Way West

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-DBk Berkeley Way West. Site Description - This tower is located in dowtown Berkeley, CA on the roof of Berkeley Way West, an 8 story building. The surrounding area is urbanized and includes a major commercial corridor, residential areas, and the UC Berkeley campus within 1 km of the site. Multi-unit residential construction activities took place near the site on an intermittent basis throughout tower operation.

Goldstein, Allen [UC Berkeley]↗

Pulse Detonation Engine for Advanced Oxy-Combustion of Coal-Based Fuel for Direct Power Extraction Applications

Pressure gain combustion and magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) systems have the potential to provide a step increase in the efficiency of combined-cycle power plants. Specific advantages include a net pressure increase to the system instead of a pressure drop, the high temperature of the detonation waves can increase the efficiency of power extraction compared to other processes, significant thermal energy can be released in a compact region, and the high velocities of the flow increase extraction of electrical power. In summary, a pressure gain combustor coupled with a MHD has the potential to be transformative. Despite the potential advantages, relatively little research has been conducted considering coupled pressure gain combustion systems with MHD systems. With this background and motivation, the overall goal of this effort was to advance the knowledge, technology, and computational tools associated with coupled detonation and MHD systems. A joint experimental and computational approach was used while seeking to accomplish the goals of this work. Specifically, two pulse detonation engines were developed and used for the experiments to produce detonations. Detonation speeds were measured for a variety of flow and fuel conditions (e.g., methane, propane, with coal particles). Preliminary electrical conductivity measurements were collected. An extensive amount of research was performed to identify sensitivities of detonation behaviors to the presence of combustion products. Computationally, a twofold approach was used in this work. First, a solver was developed for solving the governing equations for a reactive flow with coupled detonation and ionization chemistry. The solver was applied to study the impacts of seed material ionization on detonation. Second, a conservation element-solution element (CE-SE) based numerical solver for detonation studies with a reduced reaction mechanism for oxy-methane combustion was developed and verified on standard test cases. Key findings and contributions from this work are as follows. A system was developed for injecting powderized coal, or other seeding material, into a pulse-detonation system. The influence of a combustion product (i.e., CO 2 ) on detonation behavior was identified. Knowledge gained from this work is applicable to devices such as rotating detonation engines, where combustion products mix with fresh reactants. A system for measuring the electrical conductivity of the exhaust from a pulse-detonation engine was developed. The open-source solver, Clawpack, was extended to solve the reactive Euler equations for simulating detonations. A coupled combustion and ionization chemistry was developed in a single chemical kinetic model for methane oxidation. This model can be used to solve coupled MHD and detonation simulations. It was found that parasitic interactions from ionization chemistry with the magnetic field can reduce the detonation velocity by up to 8%, with a potential impact on power extraction of 15%. It is recommended that interactions between the detonation front and MHD field be considered. Higher gas temperatures and velocities were achieved owing to oxy-fuel detonations. Use of radical dissociation reactions in the reduced reaction mechanism, was found to be critical in predicting detonation temperature and velocity accurately.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

High Flux Microchannel Receiver Development (Final Report)

The opportunity addressed in this project was using microscale heat exchanger technology for improving solar thermal central receiver efficiency. This will result in smaller, less expensive components and reduce the levelized cost of electricity from concentrated solar thermal power. This micro-pin solar receiver (MSR) directly heats high pressure (25 MPa) supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ) from 550°C to 720°C with an incident flux of at least 120 W/cm 2 at a receiver efficiency of >90% (assuming availability of 95% absorptivity coating), and receiver cost target of less than $\$$150/kWt. Realization of the MSR required an understanding of thermal hydraulic performance of sCO 2 in micro-pin passages, mechanical behavior of high nickel alloys at high temperatures including joints, advanced fabrication methods of high nickel alloys (etching, machining, brazing, welding, diffusion bonding), and the cost implications of these when the concept is scaled to production volumes. The technology can be used with gases (sCO 2 , helium, etc.) or with liquids such as molten salt or liquid metal. Given the high pressure associated with sCO 2 , its use demonstrates a “worst case” scenario, and the successful development of the MSR for this application will result in the development of a technology also applicable to a range of other heat transfer fluids that will enable next generation CSP plants, including support of the Gen3CSP program.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Advanced Algorithms for Scrutiny of Mandatory State Reports Declarations to the IAEA (Final Project Report)

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA, or Agency) has an interest in applying machine learning to safeguards problems. However, the lack of machine training data for outside researchers is a significant impediment for progress in including advanced algorithms in safeguards practices. Information about a State’s inventory and movements of nuclear material is highly sensitive, both from a commercial perspective and from a security perspective. States (and commercial entities) do not freely divulge this information, and the IAEA–which receives detailed information from States as accounting reports–considers all information concerning nuclear materials location and composition to be Safeguards Confidential. Even within the Agency, information marked as safeguards confidential can be accessed only on a direct need-to-know basis by those who analyze and summarize the information for that particular State.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Advanced Algorithms for Scrutiny of Mandatory State Reports Declarations to the IAEA (Final Project Report)

In compliance with their Comprehensive Safeguards Agreements, based on INFCIRC/153 (corrected) (International Atomic Energy Agency, 1972), States Party to the Treaty on the NonProliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) are obligated to declare to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) all changes in their nuclear material inventory as well as movement of the material across boundaries of IAEA recognized material balance areas (MBA), inventories and nuclear material balances. This project addresses capabilities to detect irregularities in State reports, thus ensuring their accuracy and completeness, and in the broader context, States’ compliance with safeguards obligations of the NPT. A recent study (Henzl et al., 2022) (lead by this project’s PI) demonstrated how analysis of dynamic correlations in nuclear material movement within the entire fuel cycle of a State (viewed as a single system) can reveal variances consistent with and indicative of “irregular” activities. Expanding on this concept, novel ways to analyze State declarations themselves—again, for the State as a whole entity—will help the IAEA draw accurate safeguards conclusions and trust the validity and authenticity of Stategenerated declaration reports. Introducing new declaration analyses capabilities explored in this project will help to provide credible assurance of both the non-diversion of nuclear material from declared activities and of the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in the State in general.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Observations of the sodium emission from Jupiter, region C

Observations of the sodium emission near Jupiter made while testing an interferometric imaging device are discussed. The results obtained suggest that the sodium emission detected in the region (designated C2) between 3 and 7.5 arcmin (9 and 23 Jupiter radii) from the planet may be no more than terrestrial airglow. It is concluded that region C2 is implausible on theoretical grounds and would need very solid observational support for its existence to be accepted.

Goody, R.↗

Infrared image of Venus at the time of Pioneer Venus probe encounter

An image of the infrared emission from the Earth-facing hemisphere of Venus was obtained at the time the Pioneer Venus probes penetrated the atmosphere. The thermal structure of the atmosphere at the 85-millibar level included regions of rapidly varying polar features, a solar-related postdawn warm area, and a nonsolar-fixed nighttime warm area. The probes succeeded in entering each of these three thermal regions.

Apt, J.↗

Anomalous features in thermal radiance maps of Venus

Seventeen thermal radiance maps of Venus were recorded in a 26-day interval near the 1977 conjunction. An average symmetrical two-dimensional function was removed from the data. Features remain near the east and west limbs which correspond in part to previously reported solar-related effects but there are important differences, and reasons are given for questioning the interpretation of some of the earlier data. It is concluded that these features cannot be solely under solar control. Features are also found at both poles, just inside the region covered by the ultraviolet polar hood. These are not inconsistent with disturbances rotating rapidly around the planet. There is weak evidence for a 5-day repetition in some features.

Apt, J.↗

Simple Cassegrain scanning system for infrared astronomy

To meet the need for a reliable, fast imaging system capable of being taken rapidly on and off the telescope, a simple, inexpensive, and compact Cassegrain reimaging system for scanning IR images was constructed. Using commercially available components without requiring close mechanical tolerances, the design solves the problem of beam stability pointed out by Koornneef and van Overbeeke (1976). For the moving-iron galvanometer scanner, it is noted that at the imaging frequency of 0.5 Hz, hysteresis in image plane motion was found to be less than 0.2 arc sec for a 64-arc sec scan, and the deviation from linearity with a triangular wave input was found to be less than 0.3 arc sec. This system and a scanning secondary were used to image Venus at 11.5 microns, and compared with the scanning secondary, the reimaging system did not appear to contribute any additional noise, considerably improved mechanical reliability, and eliminated cross-scan motion

Apt, J.↗

The character of the thermal emission from Venus

Images of the thermal infrared emission from 10.6 to 12.6 microns from the earth-facing hemisphere of Venus were made from earth on each available opportunity over a 26-day period in 1977 and a 106-day period in 1978-1979, using a 1.5 m telescope. Compact, variable thermal features exist at latitudes higher than about 50 deg, some of which repeat at 5-day intervals. No such repeatability is observed for features near the equator. Day-to-day variations in limb darkening and the contrast of high latitude features appear to differ in the conjunction and post-conjunction images. A strong, solar-fixed component of the emission exists and exhibits wave number 1, 2, and 4 components. The thermal tides provide constraints upon the atmosphere structure. The solar-fixed structure shows significant asymmetries with respect to the equator.

Apt, J.↗

Structure and circulation of the Venus atmosphere

The Pioneer Venus data relevant to the dynamics and thermodynamics of the atmosphere is summarized and interpreted. On the day side there is a thermosphere in which temperatures increase with height to an exospheric temperature of about 300 K. On the night side there is a cryosphere in which temperatures decrease with height to an exospheric temperature of about 100 K. The atmosphere is stratified stably from the highest altitudes down to about 28 km except for a layer in the clouds between about 50 and 55 km which is nearly adiabatic. Horizontal thermal contrasts are approximately 1 to 2% in the deep atmosphere and 100% in the upper atmosphere. The temperatures generally decrease with latitude at and below the clouds on constant pressure surfaces. Above the clouds there is a reversed zonally averaged latitudinal temperature gradient. The dominant circulation of the atmosphere above the lowest one or two scale heights is a zonal retrograde motion with 100 m/s winds at 60 km altitude. There is also a superrotation at altitudes of 150 km and above.

Schubert, G.↗

Radius and limb darkening of Titan from speckle imaging

The radius R of Titan is determined from ground-based, visible light observations using a two-dimensional speckle imaging technique. The value of R is found to depend on the limb-darkening exponent alpha, which is used in modeling the observed disk, and it is determined that the probable range extends from R values of 2680 + or - 100 km for alpha of 0.6 to 2900 + or - 100 km for alpha of 1.3. This range is in agreement with Voyager 1 and Pioneer Saturn observations. It is suggested that spatial resolution may be doubled by using a grid of 256 x 256 pixels at the time the image is digitized, and that further improvements are possible with speckle-reduction techniques under development.

Nisenson, P.↗

Thermal periodicities in the Venus atmosphere

Evidence of periodic fluctuations was sought in the Pioneer Venus orbiter's IR radiometer data by averaging it in 10 X 10 deg latitude-longitude bins for each of the 72 days during which the instrument was in operation. The thermal brightness temperature time series obtained was then analyzed to determine the amplitude of fluctuations at periods ranging from two to 64 days, for cloud-top, 70, 80 and 90 km levels in the atmosphere. It is found that fluctuation amplitudes, which are small at equatorial latitudes, increase to a maximum at 60-70 deg latitude and reach a maximum at the cloud-top level, decreasing to a minimum at the 80 km channel before increasing again toward the 90 km channel. The period of the highest amplitude fluctuation is found to be 5.3 + or - 0.4 days, at all altitudes except at 70-80 deg latitude, where a 2.9-day period which may correspond to the polar dipole dominates the cloud-top channel.

Apt, J.↗