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At least 433 records · Page 24

Modeling Explosive Dispersal of Radiological Material: A Nonparametric Analysis

The National Atmospheric Release Advisory Center (NARAC) is a Department of Energy (DOE) asset that provides guidance on the potential effects of atmospherically released hazards based on dispersion simulation results. Numerical simulation results are compared to well-characterized experimental measurements whenever possible to validate and refine the model predictions. In 2012, such measurements were obtained by Defence Research and Development Canada (DRDC) and collaborating organizations for the case of explosively released 140 La – a radioactive isotope with a half-life of 1.6781 days.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Understanding Mechanistic Controls of Heterotrophic CO 2 and CH 4 Fluxes in a Peatland with Deep Soil Warming and Atmospheric CO 2 Enrichment

This project was funded from August 1, 2016 – July 31, 2019 with a no-cost extension until July 31, 2020 (and built upon the PI-team’s previous work supported by DE-SC0008092 (June 2012 – September 2016)). Our project focused on the Spruce and Peatland Responses Under Changing Environments (SPRUCE: https://mnspruce.ornl.gov/) experiment taking place in the S1 Bog in the Marcell Experimental Forest in northern Minnesota, USA. The SPRUCE project is a unique whole-ecosystem experiment where a bog peatland is subjected to warming and atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) enrichment. Deep peat heating of the soil profile (to a depth of at least 2 m) began in June of 2014 and was followed by whole-ecosystem warming in August of 2015. Warming treatments included +0 °C, +2.25 °C, +4.5 °C, +6.75 °C, and +9 °C above ambient temperatures, with 2 experimental chambers for each warming treatment. Half of these chambers received ambient atmospheric CO 2 concentrations, and starting in June of 2016, the other half received elevated atmospheric CO 2 concentrations (~ +500 ppm(v) above ambient). Our primary goal with this project was to explore the mechanistic controls of anaerobic carbon cycling – especially the dynamics of the potent greenhouse gas methane (CH 4 ) – within the SPRUCE experiment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessing the Consistency of Estimated Ground Cover Fractions between the BLM AIM Method and Optical Remote Sensing Method

Since 2012, Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) has supported the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) in developing remote sensing methodologies for long-term environmental monitoring of Palo Verde Mesa in eastern Riverside County, California, including methods for: detailed mapping of ephemeral streams, estimating fractional cover of desert-land surface components (e.g., trees, shrubs, litters, and bare ground), evaluating erosion risk or land stability, and characterizing vegetation alliances using spatial structure and geostatistical approaches. These studies showed the promise of remote sensing for monitoring changes in desert landscapes by providing information that would be difficult to obtain through field surveys. During this time the BLM has also worked to establish long-term monitoring protocols and compiled field-observation data collected using standardized protocols from the Assessment, Inventory, and Monitoring (AIM) strategy. The AIM data can be compared to data derived from remote sensing methods to evaluate their relative operational utility in monitoring landscape change. If ground cover estimated using remotely sensed imagery is comparable to AIM ground cover estimates, then remote sensing can be used to monitor whether any land cover change in desert landscapes may be related to solar energy development. Therefore, the goal of this study was to determine the consistency in ground cover estimates between AIM data and those derived from publicly- available remotely sensed imagery, such as that available through the U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Imagery Program (NAIP), to examine feasibility of a remote sensing method for complementing AIM monitoring. Based on the image analysis in this study, we also provide recommendations for how small unmanned aerial system (sUAS) data may be used to complement BLM’s AIM data and NAIP imagery for future vegetation monitoring. The ground cover types we originally planned to investigate were trees, shrubs, and bare ground. However, the small sample size and a limited range of cover fraction of trees and shrubs in the AIM dataset (e.g., 33 samples with a maximum shrub cover of 18%, 14 samples with a maximum tree cover of 17%) did not allow for performing a meaningful evaluation for the remote sensing approach. Therefore, we conducted the study focusing on bare ground, foliar, and rock cover, all of which are indicators reported in the AIM remote sensing dataset.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

RAVEN Theory Manual

RAVEN is a software framework able to perform parametric and stochastic analysis based on the response of complex system codes. The initial development was aimed at providing dynamic risk analysis capabilities to the thermohydraulic code RELAP-7, currently under development at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Although the initial goal has been fully accomplished, RAVEN is now a multi-purpose stochastic and uncertainty quantification platform, capable of communicating with any system code. In fact, the provided Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) allow RAVEN to interact with any code as long as all the parameters that need to be perturbed are accessible by input files or via python interfaces. RAVEN is capable of investigating system response and explore input space using various sampling schemes such as Monte Carlo, grid, or Latin hypercube. However, RAVEN strength lies in its system feature discovery capabilities such as: constructing limit surfaces, separating regions of the input space leading to system failure, and using dynamic supervised learning techniques. The development of RAVEN started in 2012 when, within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, the need to provide a modern risk evaluation framework arose. RAVEN’s principal assignment is to provide the necessary software and algorithms in order to employ the concepts developed by the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) program. RISMC is one of the pathways defined within the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program. In the RISMC approach, the goal is not just to identify the frequency of an event potentially leading to a system failure, but the proximity (or lack thereof) to key safety-related events. Hence, the approach is interested in identifying and increasing the safety margins related to those events. A safety margin is a numerical value quantifying the probability that a safety metric (e.g. peak pressure in a pipe) is exceeded under certain conditions. Most of the capabilities, implemented having RELAP-7 as a principal focus, are easily deployable to other system codes. For this reason, several side activates have been employed (e.g. RELAP5-3D, any MOOSE-based App, etc.) or are currently ongoing for coupling RAVEN with several different software. The aim of this document is to provide a set of commented examples that can help the user to become familiar with the RAVEN code usage.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

RAVEN User Manual

RAVEN is a generic software framework to perform parametric and probabilistic analysis based on the response of complex system codes. The initial development was aimed to provide dynamic risk analysis capabilities to the Thermo-Hydraulic code RELAP-7, currently under development at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Although the initial goal has been fully accomplished, RAVEN is now a multi-purpose probabilistic and uncertainty quantification platform, capable to agnostically communicate with any system code. This agnosticism includes providing Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). These APIs are used to allow RAVEN to interact with any code as long as all the parameters that need to be perturbed are accessible by inputs files or via python interfaces. RAVEN is capable of investigating the system response, and investigating the input space using Monte Carlo, Grid, or Latin Hyper Cube sampling schemes, but its strength is focused to- ward system feature discovery, such as limit surfaces, separating regions of the input space leading to system failure, using dynamic supervised learning techniques. The development of RAVEN has started in 2012, when, within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, the need to provide a modern risk evaluation framework became stronger. RAVEN principal assignment is to provide the necessary software and algorithms in order to employ the concept developed by the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) program. RISMC is one of the pathways defined within the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program. In the RISMC approach, the goal is not just the individuation of the frequency of an event potentially leading to a system failure, but the closeness (or not) to key safety-related events. Hence, the approach is interested in identifying and increasing the safety margins related to those events. A safety margin is a numerical value quantifying the probability that a safety metric (e.g. for an important process such as peak pressure in a pipe) is exceeded under certain conditions. The initial development of RAVEN has been focused on providing dynamic risk assessment capability to RELAP-7, currently under development at the INL and, likely, future replacement of the RELAP5-3D code. Most the capabilities that have been implemented having RELAP-7 as principal focus are easily deployable for other system codes. For this reason, several side activates are currently ongoing for coupling RAVEN with soft- ware such as RELAP5-3D, etc. The aim of this document is the explanation of the input requirements, focalizing on the input structure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Towards A Geo-Data Science Method for Assessing Rare Earth Element and Critical Mineral Occurrences in Coal and Other Sedimentary Systems

While preliminary analyses of data from open-source resources (Ekmann, 2012) show promising concentrations of REE in individual coal samples from a number of sites and basins in the U.S., other sparse data for REE in domestic coal-related strata suggest that many occurrences are low, “subeconomic” concentrations. At present, there is no method for systematically assessing potential sedimentary occurrences of REE. However, the geologic processes responsible for REE occurrences in coal-related strata are systematic; the unpredictability of REE resources in coal-related strata is due to poorly quantified spatial resource trends and the lack of an exploration method tailored to these resources. Thus, there exists a need for a systematic assessment approach that incorporates knowledge of geological variation in the mechanisms of REE enrichment within coal basins to help minimize geologic uncertainty and reduce commercial exploration risk.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Radiological Handling and Containment Considerations in Support of an American Medical Isotope Producer

This work will discuss evaluation and design of new and modified facility level radiological containment, transfer, and handling systems in support of the United States’ American Medical Isotope Production Act. In the United States alone, Molybdenum-99 (Mo-99) is used as a precursor to locally generate its decay product, technetium-99m (Tc-99m), for use in approximately 40,000 medical procedures every day to detect cancer and heart disease. Currently, however, Mo-99 is primarily produced overseas and typically requires highly enriched uranium (HEU) which is classified as weapon -usable. This poses a serious security risk to the United States and, in 2012, Congress passed the American Medical Isotope ACT which aimed to cease all Mo-99 production that requires HEU and support American based companies who have found safer production methods. Through this effort, a system was designed and developed to access irradiated material in processing hot cells for ease of material introduction and removal in the confined area. The proposed solution uses a double-door design that allows for easy access to material while also providing shielding through a mechanically manipulated carousel. A system was also designed to transport irradiated materials from target reactors to a target receipt box using a rail guide system, pneumatic motor, and lead screw drive.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

End-of-Life Evaluation of Compressed Natural Gas Vehicle Fuel Tanks

This study evaluated the structural integrity of Type III and Type IV CNG fuel tanks from the Los Angeles (LA) County Metropolitan Transportation Authority to characterize the fuel tank conditions after experiencing a full service life of 15 years in transit bus application. The data produced provide insight about the condition of the CNG fuel tanks at the conclusion of their defined EOL and potential risks of continued operation of the CNG vehicle without replacement of the expired fuel tanks. In addition to physical testing performed on the fuel tanks, a nondestructive evaluation of modal acoustic emission (MAE) was utilized to assess the structural integrity of the tanks. The CNG fuel tanks were evaluated in their received condition and after experiencing artificial damage. The MAE results were then compared to visual inspection results of the procedures defined in the Compressed Gas Association’s (CGA’s) C-6.2 and C-6.4 standards (Compressed Gas Association 2013; 2012) to better understand the effectiveness of the visual inspection and potential safety risks of continued use of the tanks.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor (ACSM) Composition-Dependent Collection Efficiency (CDCE) Value-Added Product Report

Aerosol particles influence the Earth’s radiation balance directly by absorbing and scattering light and indirectly by influencing cloud formation, properties, and lifetimes. Measurements of aerosol particle optical properties, mass loading, size distributions, microphysical properties, cloud formation properties, and chemical composition are important for understanding the aerosol life cycle and for validating earth system models that predict these quantities. The U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s Aerosol Observing System (AOS) is a highly instrumented platform that measures many of these aerosol properties in situ. The Aerodyne aerosol chemical speciation monitor (ACSM) is a baseline instrument deployed in the AOS. The ACSM provides a quantitative measurement of aerosol particle chemical composition for non-refractory (operationally defined as components that evaporate on the 600ºC vaporizer) aerosol components in real time. Standard output is the mass concentration of particulate organics, nitrate, sulfate, chloride, and ammonium. One well-known limitation to the accuracy of the ACSM data is in evaluating the fraction of the ambient aerosol particles that are detected by the instrument. This quantity is referred to as the collection efficiency (CE) and is often less than unity. This is attributed to particles rebounding after impaction onto the heated vaporizer rather than being trapped, volatilized rapidly, and detected. Other factors, such as divergence of the aerosol particle beam, may also impact CE, but the particle rebound effect is the dominant factor. Scientists will sometimes assume CE = 0.5 (i.e., one half of sampled particles are detected) for ambient particles collected during field missions. However, parameterizations have been developed that express CE as a function of the measured chemical composition, referred to as the composition-dependent collection efficiency (CDCE). The physical explanation for a CDCE, supported by laboratory studies, is that rebound from the vaporizer is a function of the particle phase, with liquid-like particles “sticking” to the vaporizer and solid-like or crystalline particles “bouncing” from the vaporizer. Thus, particles with compositions are liquids-like under the measurement conditions (e.g., certain organics, acidic particles, particles enriched in nitrate) have CE close to unity while crystalline or solid particles (e.g., deliquesced ammonium sulfate) have lower CE. This value-added product (VAP) implements the procedure described by Middlebrook et al. (2012) to correct the ACSM data for the composition-dependent collection efficiency. Applying this parameterization improves the accuracy of the ACSM data and brings them into better agreement with other co-located aerosol measurements.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Enhanced Hanford Low-Activity Waste Glass Property Data Development: Phase 2

The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of River Protection (ORP) requested Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to support the River Protection Project vitrification in an effort to support operations upon completion of startup activities (DOE 2012). This work was performed under the PNNL project titled “ORP Glass Support Work.” One task of this project—Enhanced Hanford Waste Glass Models—is the subject of this report. A previous task focused on generating property-composition data and models for the Hanford site low-activity waste (LAW) glasses with lower waste loadings, which are relevant to the commissioning of the LAW vitrification facility. The current task has the long-term objective of expanding the Hanford site LAW glass database and property composition models for the balance of the Hanford site tank waste treatment and immobilization mission. During the balance of the mission, LAW glasses with higher waste loadings will be produced. This report presents the glass compositions and glass property data developed in Phase 2 of the enhanced Hanford LAW glass property data development effort. When this effort is complete, enhanced LAW glass property models will be developed. Section 1.1 summarizes the status of the LAW glass composition regions and waste loading constraints prior to the data development effort documented in this report. Section 1.2 summarizes the LAW Phase 2 glass composition region and test matrix. Section 1.3 documents the quality assurance program used in performing the work discussed in this report.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Site Environmental Report for 2020, Sandia National Laboratories, California

Sandia National Laboratories, California (SNL/CA) is a Department of Energy (DOE) facility. The management and operations of the facility are under a contract with the DOE's National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA). On May 1, 2017, the name of the management and operating contractor changed from Sandia Corporation to National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC (NTESS). The DOE, NNSA, Sandia Field Office administers the contract and oversees contractor operations at the site. DOE and its management and operating contractor for Sandia are committed to safeguarding environmental protection, compliance, and sustainability and to ensuring the validity and accuracy of the monitoring data presented in this Annual Site Environmental Report. This Site Environmental Report for 2020 was prepared in accordance with DOE Order 231.1B, Environment, Safety and Health Reporting (DOE 2012). The report provides a summary of environmental monitoring information and compliance activities that occurred at SNL/CA during calendar year 2020, unless noted otherwise. General site and environmental program information is also included.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nondestructive Evaluation (NDE) of Cable Moisture Exposure using Frequency Domain Reflectometry (FDR)

This Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) milestone report assesses the capability of frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) to determine electrical cable submergence using PNNL’s Accelerated and Real-Time Environmental Nodal Assessment (ARENA) cable/motor test bed. This work includes a review of relevant literature as well as experimental tests. Nuclear power facilities have experienced various electrical cable failures related to water exposure. The current industry response involves actions to de-water cable vaults, manholes, and other cable locations. These efforts require considerable expenditure of resources, which makes it desirable for the industry to have information on cable condition and history regarding their submergence and water exposure (Mantey 2012). Two tests that are gaining favor within the nuclear industry are time-domain reflectometry (TDR) and FDR. These are low-voltage nondestructive tests that can be applied at a cable end. Testing from the cable end is important because local inspection along the cable length is very difficult due to cables being routed within trays, conduits, underground, and through walls. Both TDR and FDR techniques have been shown to locate cable insulation damage due to thermal, radiation, and mechanical damage. FDR measurements are also more sensitive than TDR to temperature changes, low-bend radius bends, and cable contact with various materials, including conductive materials like steel and water. This work evaluates the feasibility to extend FDR testing to characterizing whether an electrical cable is submerged or not and where it may be submerged using PNNL’s ARENA cable/motor test bed.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Alternative All-Metal Scroll Pump Design

In tritium process systems, vacuum pumps are typically used to evacuate volumes and piping, as well as transfer gas to other parts of the process. This was done using the combination of an all-metal scroll pump with a metal bellows backing pump. The all-metal scroll pump, manufactured by Normetex, has been unavailable since 2012, and efforts continue to find a suitable replacement. The main obstacle is finding a pump that has no oils or polymer components, which degrade when exposed to tritium and introduce corrosive and/or hazardous impurities into the process. There have been development efforts to design an all-metal scroll pump design alternative to the Normetex style. The first generation was fabricated out of machined stainless steel, but the thermal management and increased weight were not ideal. To mitigate the weight, an aluminum version was designed. The tritium holdup on untreated aluminum surfaces can be greater than stainless steel, so the wetted aluminum surfaces were electroless plated in nickel and then electroplated in gold. The development effort outlined in this report details the design of an improved version of the stainless steel version.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

SECARB 2020 Semi-Annual Field Review Reports - Anthropogenic Test

The Southern States Energy Board (SSEB) managed the overall Southeast Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (SECARB) Phase III project and the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) managed all activities associated with the Anthropogenic Test site. Advanced Resources International, Inc. (ARI) assisted EPRI with the management of site activities. EPRI and ARI followed reporting procedures that included monthly and quarterly technical progress reports, as well as periodic reporting on key field activities. Subsequent sections of this report catalog the field activities and are organized in a semi-annual chronology. The SECARB Anthropogenic Test was the largest demonstration of a fully integrated, pulverized coal-fueled carbon capture and storage (CCS) project in the United States as of 2012 and supports a commercial prototype of CO 2 capture; transportation; subsurface storage; and monitoring, verification, and accounting (MVA); and assessment. The demonstration-scale, post-combustion CO 2 capture facility at Alabama Power Company’s Plant Barry diverted flue gas (25MW equivalent) from its Unit #5 coal burning facility and captured the CO 2 using Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) KM-CDRTM advanced amine technology. The captured CO2 was compressed at Plant Barry and transported by pipeline to the injection location southeast of Citronelle, Alabama. The Citronelle Project’s geologic storage and MVA sites were located on the flanks of the Citronelle Dome, approximately three miles southeast of the city of Citronelle. The injection zone, the Paluxy Formation, a saline formation that occurs at approximately 9,400 feet and overlies the oil production horizon of the Citronelle oilfield, presents a favorable injection reservoir in terms of areal extent and petrophysical characteristics. The confining zone, the basal shale of the overlying Washita-Fredericksburg Formation, is persistent throughout the Citronelle area and possesses the appropriate criteria to act as an effective CO 2 seal.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Information Products & Communication Materials for SSEB, SGA, SLC and Partners [Slides]

Contents include the following: 1) Southeastern Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (SECARB)–Southern States Energy Board's 48th Annual Meeting, August 8, 2008; 2) Southern States Energy Board Carbon Management Program SSEB Associate Members Meeting, August 21, 2009; 3) Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) Demonstration Project, August 21, 2009; 4) Clean Energy in the Southern Region, August 27, 2010; 5) Carbon Management–Southern Leadership of a Regional Partnership, October 17, 2011; 6) Southeastern Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership "Knowledge Sharing", August 10, 2012; 7) Southeastern Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership; 8) Site Visit by Southern Legislative Group, July 30, 2013; 9) SECARB Awards Anthropogenic Test, March 4, 2014; 10) Southern Company/MHI Ltd. 500 TPD CCS Demonstration; 11) SECARB Anthropogenic Test Project Assessment, March 4-5, 2014; 12) Advanced Monitoring Technologies SECARB Phase III CO 2 Storage Citronell, Alabama, March 4, 2014; 13) Geomechanics at Cranfield, March 5, 2014; 14) Gulf Coast Carbon Center Near-Surface Update, March 4-5, 2014; 15) Monitoring Design Best Practices, March 5, 2014; 16) Special Projects–Carbon Management Program, 2015; 17) Special Projects, November 2-3, 2016; 18) Carbon Management Program Carbon Capture & Storage Projects, September 24, 2017; 19) Remarks Before the 58th Annual Meeting of the Executive Committee, September 16, 2018; 20) Annual Business Session, September 24, 2019; and 21) Recent Activities & 2019-2020 Elections Insights, February 7, 2020.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

GDSA Framework Development and Process Model Integration FY2021

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Spent Fuel & Waste Disposition (SFWD) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and highlevel nuclear waste (HLW). A high priority for SFWST disposal R&D is disposal system modeling (DOE 2012, Table 6; Sevougian et al. 2019). The SFWST Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) work package is charged with developing a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating generic disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Using the CYBER-Champ Model to Determine Cyber Competencies and Role Alignment

Cybersecurity roles, tasks, and skills are seen by many organizations as nonessential, abstract, or complicated. Although standards are in place, such as the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) 800-181 document titled “Workforce Framework for Cybersecurity (NICE Framework)” available since September 2012, companies are still showing security vulnerabilities in their cyber networks (Hatzes, 2020). Barriers towards creating a cyber-ready workforce are not always due to a lack of resources, but often caused by organizational structure. The need for cyber-cognizant job postings, improved communication between Operational Technology (OT) and Information Technology (IT) employees, increases in staffing and funding for cyber teams, and better communication of standards and training can all contribute to increasing an organization’s cyber resilience. Cybersecurity Competency Health and Maturity Progression model (CYBER-CHAMP) is a model aimed at evaluating an organization’s structure and individual employee’s cyber knowledge and helps develop a plan to reach competency. This model was used to engage with organizations to promote proper cyber protocols and policies. The aim of this paper is to answer if it is possible for an organization to build a cyber-ready workforce by providing education and training options for current employees and prepare the future workforce to be ready on day one of employment. Both open source and firsthand interviews with organizations were used to conduct the research contained in this document. Further research may include additional development to the CYBER-CHAMP model and its delivery platform.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Are coupled renewable-battery power plants more valuable than independently sited installations?

Coupled renewable-battery powerplants differ from the traditional concept of independent siting of electricity resources within transmission networks. Prior research on the value proposition and cost savings from coupling did not consider the geographic constraint of co-location. This paper fills the gap by assessing how pricing volatility differences between nodes within electricity markets impact the system value of coupled renewable-battery projects as compared to independent VRE and battery installations. We use wholesale power market prices from 2012–2019 across the seven main U.S. independent system operators (ISOs) with a linear optimization program to compare the electricity market value of coupled projects to the value of the same underlying sub-components, deployed separately. We find that additional value from adding a 4-hour battery sized to 50% of renewable-plant nameplate capacity is $\$$10/MWh across ISOs on average. The highest boost occurs in California ($\$$15/MWh), where the value of adding storage to solar rises over time in tandem with increased solar penetration in the region. If renewables and batteries are deployed independently, we estimate that $\$$12.5/MWh of additional value could be achieved because of more flexibility on battery siting and operation. The $\$$12.5/MWh coupling penalty is reduced to $\$$1.6/MWh when considering alternative approaches to integrating battery storage. This result implies that renewable-battery power plants will play an increasing role in electricity systems if they can be built for $\$$2–$\$$13/MWh less than independent projects of comparable size. However, the wide regional variation in coupling penalties, along with the importance of conditions captured in our sensitivity cases, suggests the tradeoff between coupling penalties and savings will vary by situation. Therefore, roles exist for independent and coupled projects from a system optimization perspective.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗