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At least 415 records · Page 23

Emerging Potassium Metal Anodes: Perspectives on Control of the Electrochemical Interfaces

Potassium metal acts as the anode in emerging potassium metal batteries (KMBs). It further serves as the counter-electrode for potassium ion battery (KIB) half-cells, with its reliable performance being critical for assessing the working electrode material. This first-of-its-kind critical review focuses on the dual challenge of controlling the potassium metal-substrate and the potassium metal-electrolyte interface so as to prevent dendrites. The discussion begins with a comparison of the physical and chemical properties of K metal anodes versus the much oft studied Li and Na metal anodes. Based on established descriptions for root causes of dendrites, the problem should be less severe for K than for Li or Na, while in fact the opposite is observed. The key reason that the K metal surface rapidly becomes dendritic in common electrolytes is its unstable solid electrolyte interphase (SEI). An unstable SEI layer is defined as being non self-passivating. No SEI is perfectly stable during cycling, and all SEI structures are heterogenous both vertically and horizontally relative to the electrolyte interface. The difference between a "stable" and an "unstable" SEI may be viewed as the relative degree to which during cycling it thickens and becomes further heterogeneous. The unstable SEI on K metal leads to a number of interrelated problems, such as low cycling Coulombic efficiency (CE), a severe impedance rise, large overpotentials, and possibly electrical shorting; all of which have been reported to occur as early as in the first ten plating/stripping cycles. Many of the traditional "interface fixes" employed for Li and Na metal anodes, such as various artificial SEIs, surface membranes, barrier layers, the secondary separators, etc. have not been attempted or optimized for the case of K. This is an important area for further exploration, with an understanding that success may come harder than with Li due to K-based SEI reactivity with both ether and ester solvents. The second critical problem with K metal anodes is that they do not thermally or electrochemically wet a standard (untreated) Cu foil current collector. Published experimental and modeling research directly highlights the weak bonding between the K atoms and a Cu surface. Existing surface treatment approaches that achieve improved K wetting are discussed, along with the general design rules for future studies. Also discussed are geometry-based methods to tune nucleation, as well dual approaches where nucleation and SEI structure are tuned through complementary schemes to achieve extended half-cell and full battery stability. We hypothesize that K metal never achieves a planar wetting morphology even at cycle one making the dendrites "baked-in". We propose that classical thin films growth models, Frank van der Merwe (F-M), Volmer Weber (V-W), and Stranski-Krastanov (S-K) can be employed to describe early stage plating behavior. It is demonstrated that island-like V-W growth is the applicable description for the natural plating behavior of K on pristine Cu. Moving forward, there are three inter-related thrusts to be pursued: First, K salt - based electrolyte formulations have to mature and become further tailored to handle the increased reactivity of a metal rather than an ion anode. Second, the K-based SEI structure needs to be further understood and ultimately tuned to be less reactive. Third, the energetics of the K metal - current collector interface must be controlled to promote planar wetting/dewetting throughout cycling.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Influence of Pelletization and Moisture Content of Oil Palm Empty Fruit Bunches (EFBs) on Dynamic Gasification Performance

Wet-ground empty fruit bunches (EFBs), dry-ground EFB, and pelletized EFB were gasified in a laboratory-scale updraft fixed-bed reactor at differing temperatures and equivalent ratios (ERs) between 0.19 and 0.78 to evaluate the performance and quality of the syngas under autothermal operating conditions. In addition, the theoretical estimation of the key performance indicator of the ashes on the performance of the gasification process was obtained. The results show that for ERs > 0.4 the autothermal operating condition was achieved for pretreatments with pelletized and dry-ground EFBs, with reactor operating temperatures T > 700 °C. With wet EFB, this condition is achieved at any ER value. The average composition of the syngas from pelletized EFB presented the best average concentrations of the combustible species CO, H2, and CH4 when the ER values were between 0.25 and 0.40. The highest hot and cold thermal efficiency values were obtained for the gasification of EFB pellets with ER values between 0.25 and 0.40. For ground EFB, increases in the ER value led to improvements in hot thermal efficiency. Finally, during the EFB pellet gasification tests, no agglomeration and sintering problems were evidenced in comparison with wet-ground and dry-ground EFBs that showed slag formation, especially at ER < 0.46.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Ab Initio Molecular Dynamics Study of Pd Nucleation on a γ-Al 2 O 3 Surface

We perform ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) free energy simulations to investigate the stability and dynamics of dispersed Pd atoms and subnanometer clusters on γ-Al 2 O 3 . We consider nucleation for varying Pd loadings on dry γ-Al 2 O 3 (100), dry γ-Al 2 O 3 (110) and wet γ-Al 2 O 3 (110) and examine temperature, entropy and water coverage effects on the stability and dynamics of Pd clusters. At low Pd loading (1.07 Pd atoms/nm 2 on the (100) and 0.75 Pd/nm 2 on the (110)), association of the Pd atoms is thermodynamically unfavorable on the dry surfaces and almost thermoneutral on the wet (110) owing to water blocking of the AlIII defect sites. In agreement with past studies, the Pd atoms are quite mobile but the diffusion free energy barriers do not increase with the water coverage, as previously suggested, but rather remain similar in magnitude owing to translational entropy at finite temperatures. At these Pd loadings, oxidized Pd(II) atoms on the wet (110) surface are dispersed and immobile. At higher Pd loading (1.12 and 1.5 Pd atoms/nm 2 ) on the (110) surface, Pd 3 and Pd 4 clusters are thermodynamically very stable and form fast. At the 1.12 Pd atoms/nm 2 loading, the formation of the Pd 3 cluster is two orders of magnitude slower when the surface is hydroxylated as the system becomes somewhat trapped before the dinuclear cluster Pd 2 collides with a Pd atom.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Importance of the Heat Treatment Scheme on Self-Reducing Reactive Silver Inks

Self-reducing reactive silver inks can print high-quality silver at reasonable temperatures. While numerous studies have explored the impact of processing temperature on electrical properties, the role of the heat treatment scheme has not yet been studied. Common heat treatment schemes include printing and drying inks at room temperature before heat treatment, performing heat treatments while the inks are still wet, and directly printing the inks onto heated substrates. Each scheme generates distinct heat transfer and mass transport kinetics that can affect the silver morphology and electrical properties. However, to date, the impact of different schemes has not been systematically investigated. To address this knowledge gap, this work investigates how different heat treatment schemes impact metal formation, sintering, and the resultant electrical properties of printed self-reducing reactive silver inks. Heat treatment on room-temperature dried inks and wet inks, with top-down (oven) and bottom-up (hot plate) heating sources, were compared. Inks dried at room temperature resulted in extremely porous films that required high heat treatment temperatures (>100 °C) for silver densification. However, these dried films could only densify locally, and their high initial porosities resulted in voids and high resistances (~0.6 Ω mm –1 ) even after heat treatments above 300 °C. Inks that were wet during heat treatment showed moderate improvements in electrical properties with resistances on the order of 0.4 Ω mm –1 at heat treatments of 250 °C. Printing reactive inks directly onto heated substrates yielded the best low-temperature results, with 0.46 Ω mm –1 (5.5 × bulk silver) line resistances achieved at only 90 °C. Overall, this work’s experimental results provide detailed insights into why printing onto a heated substrate results in superior electrical performance compared to more common heat treatment schemes. Additionally, controlling where the precipitation reaction occurs is critical to controlling the film morphology and properties. As a result, this work shows that even an ammonia-based silver reactive ink can achieve good, low-temperature electrical properties with the proper heat treatment scheme.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Roll-to-Roll, Dual-Layer Slot Die Coating of Chitin and Cellulose Oxygen Barrier Films for Renewable Packaging

Cellulose and chitin are the two most abundant naturally produced biopolymers and are being extensively studied as candidates for renewable oxygen barrier films used in packaging. It has been shown that bilayers formed from cellulose nanocrystals (CNCs) and chitin nanofibers (ChNFs) exhibit oxygen barrier properties similar to polyethylene terephthalate (PET). However, this prior work explored only coating each layer individually in sequence through techniques such as spray coating. Here, we demonstrate the viability of dual-layer slot die coating of CNC/ChNF bilayers onto cellulose acetate (CA) substrates. The dual-layer slot die method enables significantly lower oxygen permeability versus spray coating while using a roll-to-roll system that applies the bilayer in a single pass. This work discusses suspension properties, wetting, and drying conditions required to achieve well-controlled ChNF/CNC bilayers. Spray-coated bilayer films were on average 25% thinner than the dual-layer bilayer film; however, the thickness-normalized oxygen permeability (OP) of the dual-layer-coated ChNF/CNC bilayer film on CA was 20 times better than that of the spray-coated bilayers. Additionally, it has been shown that ChNF contributes to the wetting and barrier properties. Values of OP for the slot die-coated bilayers under optimized drying conditions were as low as 1.2 cm 3 ∙μm∙m -2 ∙d -1 ∙kPa -1 , corresponding to a normalized oxygen transmission rate of 0.32 cm 3 ∙m -2 ∙d -1 at 23 °C and 50% relative humidity. It is also noted that the adhesive properties of the dual-layer coating are also improved when films are air-dried and that ChNF contributes to the wetting and barrier properties.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Single-Step Conversion of Ethanol to n-Butene over Ag-ZrO2/SiO2 Catalysts

Ethanol is a promising platform molecule for production of a variety of fuels and chemicals. Of particular interest is producing middle distillate fuels (i.e., jet and diesel blendstock) from renewable ethanol feedstock. State-of-the-art alcohol-to-jet technology requires multiple process steps based on catalytic dehydration of ethanol to form ethylene, followed by sometimes a multi-step oligomerization, and then hydrotreatment and distillation. Here we report on a new catalytic route in which ethanol is directly converted to n-butene (1- and 2-butene mixtures) over Ag-ZrO2/SBA-16, thus offering the potential for a reduction in the number of required processing steps versus conventional alcohol-to-jet technology. This catalyst system provides the balanced metal and Lewis acid sites required to selectively facilitate a cascading sequence of reactions that includes dehydrogenation, aldol condensation, Meerwein–Ponndorf–Verley reduction, dehydration, and hydrogenation. High conversion and selectivity toward either n-butene or 1,3-butadiene is achieved by tuning the hydrogen feed partial pressure and other process/catalyst parameters. With sufficient hydrogen partial pressure 1,3-butadiene is completely and selectively hydrogenated to form n-butene. The reaction mechanism was elucidated through operando-nuclear magnetic resonance investigations coupled with reactivity measurements. Combined experimental-computational investigation reveals how changes in silver and zirconium composition and the silver oxidation state affects reactivity under controlled hydrogen partial pressures and after prolonged run times. Finally, catalyst effectiveness also was demonstrated when using wet ethanol feed, thus highlighting process flexibility in terms of feedstock purity requirements. This work was financially supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Bioenergy Technologies Office, and was performed at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) under Contract No. DE-AC05-76RL01830 and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory under Contract No. DE-AC36- 08GO28308. Part of the work conducted by S. A. Akhade was performed under the auspices of the U.S. DOE at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under Contract No. DE-AC52-07NA27344. This work was partly supported through the PNNL-WSU Distinguished Graduate Research Program for ADW. NMR and XPS experiments were performed using EMSL (grid.436923.9), a DOE Office of Science User Facility sponsored by the Office of Biological and Environmental Research

Dagle, Vanessa↗

Impacts of Precipitation Events on Concentrations of Oxygenated Gas- and Particle-Phase Compounds Observed in the Amazon

Removal of gases and particles by precipitation (wet deposition) is a critical process that significantly influences the transport and chemical transformation of atmospheric compounds. However, there are few studies that directly measure or constrain the rates of this process under real-world conditions. This work quantifies the net change in ambient concentrations during precipitation events (removal rates) of gas- and particle-phase organic compounds at a surface site near Manaus, Brazil, during the GoAmazon2014/5 campaign. Removal rates of identified and unknown compounds that have been previously classified into source-based clusters are measured during rain events and categorized based on estimated properties of compounds and clusters. Highly oxygenated gases, such as isoprene oxidation products, are removed during precipitation events with a median removal rate of 0.09 h –1 and the fastest analyte is removed at a rate of 0.22 h –1 . Removal rates of particle-phase compounds are observed at roughly this median rate, while less soluble gases, such as terpenes, exhibit low removal rates. These results are roughly in agreement with prior theoretical estimates of wet deposition rates for comparable compounds, providing an empirical point of comparison while noting that our metric reflects the net influence of precipitation events rather than wet deposition alone.

atmospheric chemistry↗

Gating of Hydrophobic Nanopores with Large Anions

In this report, understanding ion transport in nanoporous materials is critical to a wide variety of energy and environmental technologies, ranging from ion-selective membranes, drug delivery, and biosensing, to ion batteries and supercapacitors. While nanoscale transport is often described by continuum models that rely on a point charge description for ions and a homogeneous dielectric medium for the solvent, here, we show that transport of aqueous solutions at a hydrophobic interface can be highly dependent on the size and hydration strength of the solvated ions. Specifically, measurements of ion current through single silicon nitride nanopores that contain a hydrophobic-hydrophilic junction show that transport properties are dependent not only on applied voltage but also the type of anion. We find that in Cl - -contained solutions the nanopores only conducted ionic current above a negative voltage threshold. On the other hand, introduction of large polarizable anions, such as Br - and I - , facilitated the pore wetting, making the pore conductive at all examined voltages. Molecular dynamics simulations revealed that the large anions, Br - and I - , have a weaker solvation shell compared to that of Cl - , and consequently were prone to migrate from the aqueous solution to the hydrophobic surface, leading to the anion accumulation responsible for pore wetting. The results are essential for designing nanoporous systems that are selective to ions of the same charge, for realization of ion-induced wetting in hydrophobic pores, as well as for fundamental understanding on the role of ion hydration shell on the properties of solid/liquid interfaces.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Moisture‐ Versus Wind‐Dominated Flavors of Atmospheric Rivers

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are essential features of the global water cycle. Although AR definitions are commonly based on integrated vapor transport (IVT), ARs of a given IVT can induce a wide range of surface precipitation and wind impacts. We develop an AR “flavor” metric that partitions AR IVT into moisture‐dominant and wind‐dominant components. We use this metric to create a climatological catalog of “wet” and “windy” ARs along the U.S. West Coast from 1980 to 2016. Windy ARs are generally associated with stronger surface winds than are wet ARs, with the largest differences at low IVT. Windy ARs are also associated with greater daily precipitation totals than are wet ARs, with the difference widening at higher IVT, notably over mountainous regions. Pacific Northwest ARs have become increasingly moisture dominated over 1980–2016, which has important implications for western U.S. water availability and flood risk.

Gonzales, Katerina R.↗

Winter precipitation changes in California under global warming: Contributions of CO2, uniform SST warming, and SST change patterns

Climate models project a wetting winter over California, distinct from the drying in all other Mediterranean climate regions under warming. Dynamic effect via an eastward extension of the westerly jet stream over the North Pacific is the root cause for the wetting California. Utilizing four sets of prescribed-SST (sea surface temperature) simulations, the relative effects of direct CO2 radiative forcing, uniform SST warming, and SST change pattern are investigated. The wetting winter is dominated by uniform SST warming mainly through its effect on the jet extension. As a fundamental response to the enhanced upper-tropospheric warming in the tropics, the jet extension in coupled simulations is well reproduced under uniform SST warming and robust among models. An El Niño-like SST warming pattern has a secondary contribution to the jet extension via atmospheric teleconnection, but with large inter-model spread. Relative to the SST forcing, the direct CO2 radiative effect is negligible.

Dong, Lu↗

Meteorological environments associated with California wildfires and their potential roles in wildfire changes during 1984-2017

California has been seeing more wildfires in recent years, resulting in huge economic losses and threatening human health. Clarifying the meteorological environments of wildfires is foundational to improving the understanding and prediction of wildfires and their impacts. Here, 1535 California wildfires during 1984-2017 are systematically investigated. Based on two key meteorological factors - temperature and moisture anomalies - all wildfires are classified into four groups: hot-dry, hot-wet, cold-dry, cold-wet. Most (~60%) wildfires occurred on hot-dry days. Compositing the large-scale environments of the four groups shows that persistent high pressure and strong northeasterly wind descending from inland favor hot-dry conditions for wildfires. This analysis also reveals an important role of anomalies in southerly onshore flow that supports stronger convection, accompanied by more lightning flashes that provide a triggering mechanism for wildfires under hot-wet conditions. Self-organizing map analysis lends confidence in the large-scale meteorological pattern for dominating hot-dry wildfires in California. Besides wildfire occurrence, wildfire size is also influenced by meteorological anomalies through their magnitudes. Among them, moisture anomaly explains the largest fraction (~69%) of variability in wildfire sizes. Large-scale meteorological anomalies are found to play an important role in the devastating 2018 wildfire season in California. During 1984-2017, wildfire burned area has significantly increased by ~3.6% per year, indicating a doubling of burned area in 2017 relative to 1984, with the trend dominated by hot-dry wildfires in summer. Drying and warming in conjunction with strengthening of the high pressure in summer support more frequent and larger wildfires in California.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Experimental Soil Warming and Permafrost Thaw Increase CH 4 Emissions in an Upland Tundra Ecosystem

Rapid Arctic warming is causing permafrost to thaw and exposing large quantities of soil organic carbon (C) to potential decomposition. In dry upland tundra systems, subsidence from thawing permafrost can increase surface soil moisture resulting in higher methane (CH 4 ) emissions from newly waterlogged soils. The proportion of C released as carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and CH 4 remains uncertain as previously dry landscapes transition to a thawed state, resulting in both wetter and drier microsites. To address how thaw and moisture interact to affect total C emissions, here we measured CH 4 and CO 2 emissions from paired chambers across thaw and moisture gradients created by nine years of experimental soil warming in interior Alaska. Cumulative growing season (May–September) CH 4 emissions were elevated at both wetter (216.1–1,099.4 mg CH 4 -C m –2 ) and drier (129.7–392.3 mg CH 4 -C m –2 ) deeply thawed microsites relative to shallow thaw (55.6–215.7 mg CH 4 -C m –2 ) and increased with higher deep soil temperatures and permafrost thaw depth. Interannual variability in CH4 emissions was driven by wet conditions in graminoid-dominated plots that generated >70% of emissions in a wet year. Shoulder season emissions were equivalent to growing season CH 4 emissions rates in the deeply thawed, warmed soils, highlighting the importance of non-growing season CH 4 emissions. Net C sink potential was reduced in deeply thawed wet plots by 4%–42%, and by 3.5%–8% in deeply thawed drier plots due to anaerobic respiration, suggesting that some dry upland tundra landscapes may transition into stronger CH 4 sources in a warming Arctic.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multivariate Drought Monitoring, Propagation, and Projection Using Bias-Corrected General Circulation Models

Understanding how droughts are characterized, propagated, and projected, particularly multivariate droughts, is necessary to explain the variability and changes in drought characteristics. This study aims to understand multimodel global drought monitoring, propagation, and projection by utilizing a multivariate standardized drought index (MSDI) during the historical (1959–2014) and future (2045–2100) periods under two socioeconomic pathways SSPs (370 and 585), derived from the bias-corrected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Based on the energy metrics, the multivariate bias correction method outperformed other techniques in correcting the biases in the CMIP6 drought representation. The drought indicators demonstrate distinct categories for meteorological, hydrological, and multivariate droughts. There were significant high cross correlations between Heatwave Total Length (HWTL) and MSDI in Africa and South America for all lagged times. Europe and North America generally saw the maximum MSDI drought duration (228 months) during the historical period. For future projections, Africa recorded the maximum drought duration (197 months), while Europe witnessed the minimum drought duration for SSP 370 (171 months), and North America (149 months) for SSP 585. Furthermore, during the historical period in tropical Africa, the propagation of meteorological to hydrological drought was slower during the wet months than during the dry months. Under the SSP 370 future projection, there was a shift in the long period of meteorological-hydrological propagation from the middle and late wet months to the beginning of the wet months in tropical Africa. Therefore, tracking and projecting drought characteristics is vital for understanding the risk of drought-related consequences.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Soil Respiration Responses to Throughfall Exclusion Are Decoupled From Changes in Soil Moisture for Four Tropical Forests, Suggesting Processes for Ecosystem Models

Abstract Climatic drying is predicted for many tropical forests yet models remain poorly parameterized for these ecosystems, hampering predictions of forest‐climate interactions. We applied an integrated model–experiment approach, parameterizing an ecosystem model with tropical forest observational data and comparing model predictions to a field drying manipulation. We hypothesized that drying suppresses soil CO 2 fluxes (i.e., respiration) in relatively dry tropical forests but increases CO 2 fluxes in wetter tropical forests by alleviating anaerobiosis. We measured soil CO 2 fluxes during wet‐dry cycles from 2015 to 2022 in four Panamanian forests that vary in rainfall and soil fertility. Measured soil CO 2 fluxes declined in the dry season and peaked in the early wet season ahead of peak soil moisture, resulting in lower soil moisture optima for respiration than previously modeled. We then parameterized the model using field data and the new moisture‐respiration response functions. The updated model predicted increased soil CO 2 fluxes with drying in wetter and fertile forests and suppressed fluxes in drier, infertile forests. In contrast to model predictions, a chronic throughfall exclusion experiment initially suppressed soil respiration across forests, with sustained suppression for four years in the wettest forest only (−28% ± 4% during the dry season). In the fertile forest, drying eventually elevated CO 2 fluxes over this period (+75% ± 28% during the late wet season). The unexpected negative drying effect in the wettest, infertile forest could have resulted from reduced vertical flushing of nutrients into soils. Including hydro‐nutrient interactions in ecosystem models could improve predictions of tropical forest‐climate feedbacks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Amplified Extreme Floods and Shifting Flood Mechanisms in the Delaware River Basin in Future Climates

Abstract Historical records in the Delaware River Basin reveal complex and spatially diverse flood generating mechanisms influenced by the region's mountains‐to‐plains gradients. This study focuses on predicting future flood hazards and understanding the underlying drivers of changes across the region. Using a process‐based hydrological model, we analyzed the hydrometeorological condition of each historical and future flood event. For each event, at the subbasin scale, we identified the dominant flood generating mechanism, including snowmelt, rain‐on‐snow, short‐duration rain, and long‐duration rain. The rain‐induced floods are further categorized based on the soil's Antecedent Moisture Condition (AMC) before the event, whether dry, normal, or wet. Our historical analysis suggests that rain‐on‐snow is the primary flood mechanism of the Upper Basin. Although most frequent, the magnitude of rain‐on‐snow floods is often less severe than short rain floods. In contrast, historical floods in the Lower Basin are primarily caused by short rain under normal AMC. Given the uncertainties in climate projections, we used an ensemble of future climate scenarios for flood projections. Despite variations in regional climate projections, coherent perspectives emerge: the region will shift toward a warmer, wetter climate, with a projected intensification of extreme floods. The Upper Basin is projected to experience a marked decrease in rain‐on‐snow floods, but a substantial increase in short rain floods with wet AMC. The largest increase in flood magnitude will be driven by short rains with wet AMC in the Upper Basin and by short rains with normal AMC in the Lower Basin.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Urban Versus Lake Impacts on Heat Stress and Its Disparities in a Shoreline City

Abstract Shoreline cities are influenced by both urban‐scale processes and land‐water interactions, with consequences on heat exposure and its disparities. Heat exposure studies over these cities have focused on air and skin temperature, even though moisture advection from water bodies can also modulate heat stress. Here, using an ensemble of model simulations covering Chicago, we find that Lake Michigan strongly reduces heat exposure (2.75°C reduction in maximum average air temperature in Chicago) and heat stress (maximum average wet bulb globe temperature reduced by 0.86°C) during the day, while urbanization enhances them at night (2.75 and 1.57°C increases in minimum average air and wet bulb globe temperature, respectively). We also demonstrate that urban and lake impacts on temperature (particularly skin temperature), including their extremes, and lake‐to‐land gradients, are stronger than the corresponding impacts on heat stress, partly due to humidity‐related feedback. Likewise, environmental disparities across community areas in Chicago seen for skin temperature are much higher (1.29°C increase for maximum average values per $10,000 higher median income per capita) than disparities in air temperature (0.50°C increase) and wet bulb globe temperature (0.23°C increase). The results call for consistent use of physiologically relevant heat exposure metrics to accurately capture the public health implications of urbanization.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Two-Way Option Contracts That Facilitate Adaptive Water Reallocation in the Western United States

Many water markets in the western United States (U.S.) have the ability to reallocate water temporarily during drought, often as short-term water rights leases from lower value irrigated activities to higher value urban uses. Regulatory approval of water transfers, however, typically takes time and involves high transaction costs that arise from technical and legal analyses, discouraging short-term leasing. This leads municipalities to protect against drought-related shortfalls by purchasing large volumes of infrequently used permanent water rights. High transaction costs also result in municipal water rights rarely being leased back to irrigators in wet or normal years, reducing agricultural productivity. This research explores the development of a multi-year two-way option (TWO) contract that facilitates leasing from agricultural-to-urban users during drought and leasing from urban-to agricultural users during wet periods. The modeling framework developed to assess performance of the TWO contracts includes consideration of the hydrologic, engineered, and institutional systems governing the South Platte River Basin in Colorado where there is growing competition for water between municipalities (e.g., the city of Boulder) and irrigators. The modeling framework is built around StateMod, a network-based water allocation model used by state regulators to evaluate water rights allocations and potential rights transfers. Results suggest that the TWO contracts could allow municipalities to maintain supply reliability with significantly reduced rights holdings at lower cost, while increasing agricultural productivity in wet and normal years. Additionally, the TWO contracts provide irrigators with additional revenues via net payments of option fees from municipalities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Increasing sensitivity of dryland vegetation greenness to precipitation due to rising atmospheric CO 2

Water availability plays a critical role in shaping terrestrial ecosystems, particularly in low- and mid-latitude regions. The sensitivity of vegetation growth to precipitation strongly regulates global vegetation dynamics and their responses to drought, yet sensitivity changes in response to climate change remain poorly understood. Here we use long-term satellite observations combined with a dynamic statistical learning approach to examine changes in the sensitivity of vegetation greenness to precipitation over the past four decades. We observe a robust increase in precipitation sensitivity (0.624% yr –1 ) for drylands, and a decrease (–0.618% yr –1 ) for wet regions. Using model simulations, we show that the contrasting trends between dry and wet regions are caused by elevated atmospheric CO 2 (eCO 2 ). eCO 2 universally decreases the precipitation sensitivity by reducing leaf-level transpiration, particularly in wet regions. However, in drylands, this leaf-level transpiration reduction is overridden at the canopy scale by a large proportional increase in leaf area. The increased sensitivity for global drylands implies a potential decrease in ecosystem stability and greater impacts of droughts in these vulnerable ecosystems under continued global change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗