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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

High-Resolution WRF-Based Downscaling of Earth System Model Projections for Energy Applications across CONUS

Evaluating energy resources under future scenarios requires meteorological information that adequately resolves regional-scale variability and is suitable for regional energy system studies. Although Earth system model (ESM) outputs provide essential large-scale context, their coarse resolution and inherent biases limit direct use in energy system applications. This work presents a high-resolution dynamical downscaling framework using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to generate energy-relevant regional fields for future scenarios over the contiguous United States (CONUS). The framework first identifies an optimal WRF configuration through sensitivity experiments, then evaluates raw and bias-corrected ESM initial and boundary conditions, with soil moisture and soil temperature bias correction implemented as an integral component of the bias-corrected ESM atmospheric forcing prior to WRF dynamical downscaling to improve land-atmosphere interactions. Simulations performed at 4-km resolution show that uncorrected ESM forcing leads to systematically dry and cold soil states, which propagate into elevated near-surface air temperature and solar irradiance biases, particularly during summer for the period 2000-2014. Incorporating bias-corrected atmospheric forcing together with soil state bias correction substantially reduces these errors and improves the representation of surface energy processes in WRF simulations. The results highlight the importance of bias-aware initialization strategies in high-resolution dynamical downscaling for future energy system analysis and planning.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mechanistic Insights into the Demethylation of Lignin‐Derived Structures Using Protic Ionic Liquids: A Density Functional Theory Study

Lignin valorization is restricted by the stability of its methoxy groups, creating a critical need for efficient demethylation strategies. Here, in this study, density functional theory (DFT) is employed to dissect the mechanistic pathways of demethylation in lignin model compounds, guaiacol and syringol, using protic ionic liquids (PILs) that act as both solvent and catalyst. Conductor‐like Screening Model for Real Solvents (COSMO‐RS) analysis identifies monoethanolammonium acetate ([MEOA][Ace]) as the most promising medium, attributed to its strong hydrogen bonding network and solvation ability. By integrating implicit and explicit solvation models, it is revealed that an acid‐catalyzed hydrolytic mechanism governs demethylation, with PILs stabilizing crucial transition states and intermediates. Complementary electronic structure evaluations, including highest occupied molecular orbital–lowest unoccupied molecular orbital (HOMO‐LUMO) gap analysis, charge distribution, and electrostatic potential mapping, demonstrate how PILs lower energetic barriers and enhance reactivity. To simulate realistic environments, this study is extended to lignin dimer complexes with varying water content, uncovering how water‐bridged solvation reverses demethylation preference from guaiacyl to syringyl units. This mechanistic shift aligns with experimental observations showing faster S‐unit reactivity in hydrated systems. Together, these findings provide atomic‐level insight into lignin demethylation dynamics and highlight how tuning acid concentration in PILs can accelerate kinetics, enabling a rational pathway toward next‐generation biomass conversion technologies.

COSMO-RS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effect of pressure cycling and compression rate on the bcc-hcp transition in an FeNi alloy

Here, we investigate the body-centered cubic (bcc) to hexagonal close-packed (hcp) phase transition in Fe-10wt. %Ni alloy, combining pressure cycling and fast compression with time-resolved synchrotron x-ray diffraction in a dynamic diamond anvil cell. Three pressure cycles were conducted with compression rates ranging from 0.1 to nearly 10 3 GPa/s. During the first cycle with the slowest compression, the observed orientations in the bcc and hcp phases are consistent with the Burgers mechanism, followed by c-axis rotation of the hcp phase consistent with {$10$ $\bar{1}2$} twinning. During the following cycles with fast compression at 10 2 –10 3 GPa/s, the hcp phase exhibits negligible c-axis rotation with a nearly constant c/a ratio of ∼1.61 up to ∼30 GPa, indicating suppression of plastic deformation (especially, twinning) due to sample confinement from the gasket. Notably, the onset pressure of the transition decreases with additional pressure cycling and faster compression, which normally leads to over-pressurization. This suggests that defects or shear induced from the pressure cycling reduces the transition kinetics even during fast compression. These insights into the deformation and transition behavior in an FeNi alloy under multiple dynamic loading cycles can offer guidance for future design of advanced structural alloys and improve our understanding of planetary core processes.

FeNi alloy↗
DOE OSTI2025

An Alternative Ensemble Streamflow Prediction Approach Using Improved Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts from the North America Multi-Model Ensemble Phase II

In this article, streamflow forecasting at a subseasonal time scale (10–30 days into the future) is important for various human activities. The ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) is a widely applied technique for subseasonal streamflow forecasting. However, ESP’s reliance on the randomly resampled historical precipitation limits its predictive capability. Available dynamical subseasonal precipitation forecasts provide an alternative to the randomly resampled precipitation in ESP. Prior studies found the predictive performance of raw subseasonal precipitation forecast is limited in many regions such as the central south of the United States, which raises questions about its effectiveness in assisting streamflow forecasting. To further assess the hydrologic applicability of dynamical subseasonal precipitation forecasts, we test the subseasonal precipitation forecast from North America Multi-Model Ensemble Phase II (NMME-2) at four watersheds in the central south region of the United States. The subseasonal precipitation forecasts are postprocessed with bias correction and spatial disaggregation (BCSD) to correct bias and improve spatial resolution before replacing the randomly resampled precipitation in ESP for streamflow predictions. The performance of the resulting streamflow predictions is benchmarked with ESP. Evaluation is conducted using Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE), continuous ranked probability score (CRPS), probability of detection (POD), false alarm ratios (FARs), as well as reliability diagrams. Our results suggest that BCSD-corrected subseasonal precipitation forecasts lead to overall improved streamflow predictions due to added skills in winter and spring. Our results also suggest that BCSD-corrected subseasonal precipitation forecasts lead to improved predictions on the occurrence of high-percentile streamflow values above 75%. Overall, BCSD-corrected subseasonal precipitation has shown promising performance, highlighting its potential broader applications for river and flood forecasting.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Comparison of Global Aboveground Biomass Estimates From Satellite Observations and Dynamic Global Vegetation Models

The global forest carbon stocks represent the amount of carbon stored in woody vegetation and are important for quantifying the ability of the global forests to sequester atmospheric CO 2 and to provide ecosystem services (e.g., timber) under climate change. The forest ecosystem carbon pool estimates are highly variable and poorly quantified in areas lacking forest inventory estimates. Here, we compare and analyze aboveground biomass (AGB) estimates from five satellite-based global data sets and nine dynamic global vegetation models (DVGMs). We find that across the data sets, mean AGB exhibits the largest variability around the tropical area. In addition, AGB shows a similar latitudinal trend but large variability among the data sets. Satellite-based AGB estimates are lower than those simulated by DVGMs. The divergence among the satellite-based AGB estimates can be driven by the methodology, input satellite products, and the forested areas used to estimate AGB. The modeled NPP, autotrophic respiration, and carbon allocation mostly drive the variability of AGB simulated by DGVMs. The future availability of a high-quality global forest area map is anticipated to improve AGB estimate accuracy and to reduce the discrepancies among different satellite- and model-based AGB estimates. Furthermore, we suggest the carbon-modeling community reexamine the methodology used to estimate AGB and forested areas for a more robust global forest carbon stock estimation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Direct comparison of gyrokinetic and fluid scrape-off layer simulations

Typically, fluid simulations are used for tokamak divertor design. However, fluid models are only valid if the scrape-off layer (SOL) is highly collisional. This assumption is valid in many present-day experiments but is questionable in the upstream SOL of some high-power scenarios envisioned for burning plasmas and fusion pilot plants. This paper reports on comparisons between fluid and kinetic simulations of the SOL for upstream parameters and geometry representative of the Spherical Tokamak for Energy Production fusion pilot plant. The SOLPS-ITER (fluid) and Gkeyll (gyrokinetic) codes are operated in a two-dimensional axisymmetric mode, which replaces turbulence with ad-hoc diffusivities. In kinetic simulations, we observe that the ions in the upstream SOL experience significant mirror trapping. This substantially increases the upstream temperature and has important implications for impurity dynamics. We show that the mirror force, which is excluded in SOLPS’s fluid equations, enhances the electrostatic potential drop along the field line in the SOL. We also show that the assumption of equal main ion and impurity temperatures, which is made in commonly used fluid codes, is invalid for the regimes explored here. The combination of these effects results in superior confinement of impurities to the divertor region in kinetic simulations, consistent with our earlier predictions [Kotschenreuther et al., in 29th IAEA 29 Fusion Energy Conference (IAEA, London, UK, 2023)]. This effect can be dramatic, reducing the midplane impurity density by orders of magnitude. These results indicate that in lower collisionality SOL’s the tolerable downstream impurity densities may be higher than would be predicted by fluid simulations, allowing for higher radiated power while avoiding unacceptable core contamination. Our results highlight the importance of kinetic simulations for divertor design and optimization for fusion pilot plants.

Computational fluid dynamics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Backbone Dynamics of Bottlebrush Polymers Studied by Neutron Scattering

Bottlebrush polymers have a versatile architecture that is highly customizable due to the combination of a linear backbone and side chains. As a result of the chemical tethering of the side chains, both parts cannot be easily be separated. Huge effort is seen regarding the dynamical behavior of the side chains or the entire bottlebrush polymer, whereas few studies are available considering the backbone. Here, isotopic labeling in combination with quasi-elastic neutron scattering was used to compare the dynamical behavior of the bottlebrush’s backbone with the side chain dynamics. Keeping the side chains deuterated, (h-PNB)- g -(d-PPO), leads to the scattering signal dominated by backbone dynamics, while the fully protonated sample, (h-PNB)- g -(h-PPO), gives side chain dynamics. Both results reveal slower dynamics associated with the backbone with less heterogeneity, as seen for the side chains. Additionally, a plasticizer effect for the backbone dynamics is confirmed by extracting the glass transition temperature and comparing it with pure linear PNB.

neutron scattering↗
DOE OSTI2026

Ultrafast Proton-Coupled Electron Transfer Reactions at Unit Quantum Yield

Proton-coupled electron transfer (PCET) reactions mediate essential biological energy-conversion processes, yet dynamical experiments that distinguish concerted electron/proton motion from sequential electron-transfer/proton-transfer pathways are unprecedented on ultrafast time scales. Here we report a tightly coupled donor–spacer–acceptor assembly, NDI-Sp-PhOH/BI, that enables direct interrogation of light-triggered and ultrafast PCET dynamics. Photoexcitation of the naphthalene diimide chromophore drives charge separation forming NDI radical anion and benzimidazolium phenoxy radical (PhO●/BIH+) products with a 440 fs time constant, followed by thermal charge recombination on a 5 ps time scale. Transient visible/near-infrared and mid-infrared spectroscopies independently track electron and proton motion and reveal coincident formation and decay of the charge-separated PCET products, excluding detectable phenol radical cation or phenoxide intermediates expected for sequential electron transfer-proton transfer (ET-PT) pathways. Surface-hopping quasiclassical trajectory simulations demonstrate rapid proton relocation coupled to evolution from locally excited to charge-transfer states, congruent with a concerted mechanism. These combined spectroscopic and computational results establish NDI-Sp-PhOH/BI as an archetype for ultrafast, concerted PCET occurring with unit quantum yield; further, because this platform provides distinct electronic and vibrational spectroscopic handles in its ground, electronically excited, and charge-separated states, it provides new opportunities to characterize mechanistic crossover in biomimetic PCET systems.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Particle dynamics of nanoplastics suspended in water with soil microparticles: insights from small angle neutron scattering (SANS) and ultra-SANS

Small-angle neutron scattering (SANS) and ultra-SANS (USANS) were employed to understand the aggregation behavior and observe the size reduction for nanoplastics (NPs) formed from a biodegradable mulch film, and microparticles of vermiculite (V), an artificial soil, suspended in water in the presence of low convective shear (ex situ stirring) prior to measurements. Neutron contrast matching was employed to minimize the signal of V (by 100-fold) and thereby isolate the signal due to NPs in the neutron beam, as the contrast match point (CMP) for V (67 vol% deuteration of water) differed from that of NPs by more than 20%. The original NPs' size distribution was bimodal: <200 nm and 500–1200 nm, referred to as small and large NPs, i.e., SNPs and LNPs, respectively. In the absence of V, SNPs formed homoaggregates at higher concentrations that decreased with stirring time, while the size of LNPs remained unchanged. The presence of V at 2-fold lower concentration than NPs did not change the size of SNPs but reduced the size of LNPs by nearly 2-fold as stirring time increased. Because the size of SNPs and LNPs did not differ substantially between CMP and 100% D 2 O solvents, it is evident that SNPs and LNPs are mainly composed of NPs and not V. In conclusion, the results suggest that LNPs are susceptible to size reduction through collisions with soil microparticles via convection, yielding SNPs near soil–water interfaces within vadose zones.

Nanoplastics↗
DOE OSTI2026

A multiscale packed-bed reactor model for sustainable ethylene production via chemical looping oxidative coupling of methane

The rising global warming concerns and shale gas discovery have prompted research in the direction of greenhouse gas (GHG), such as methane, reduction and conversion. Oxidative coupling of methane (OCM) offers a pathway to low carbon-intense valorization of methane while producing ethylene, a chemical regarded as central to the petrochemical industry. Even after decades of OCM discovery, researchers keep understanding the process and underlying chemical reactions in a pursuit to achieve industrial viability for OCM. Here, in general, OCM suffers from low C 2 selectivity, yield and reactor temperature runaways due to highly exothermic nature of its reactions. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) tools help analyze spatial gradients within the reactor to deeply understand the diffusion of species, mass and heat transfer phenomena. Furthermore, challenges associated with scaling up such as hot spot formation and parametric sensitivity can be addressed without having to expend on costly experiments. The current paper presents a multiscale packed-bed reactor CFD model coupled with a chemical kinetic model for the chemical looping OCM. The CFD model includes two scales i.e., macroscale for catalyst bed and microscale for individual pellets. Moreover, a chemical kinetic model based on 10 gas-phase reactions is integrated with the CFD model. An additional surface reaction for the formation of gas-phase oxygen from catalyst surface is added to account for the absence of feed oxygen. The model is calibrated against experimental results. The calibrated model captures trends in CH 4 conversion, C 2 selectivity and C 2 yield within a ± 4.35 % range across a temperature range of 700-900 °C. Moreover, model fidelity is evaluated by varying key computational parameters such as mesh resolution and time step size. The model is also verified by varying the inlet methane concentration and the gas hourly space velocity (GHSV) and comparing the results with literature. A sensitivity analysis and scale-up of the current model is undergoing.

Chemical looping↗
DOE OSTI2024

Enhancing Extreme Precipitation Predictions With Dynamical Downscaling: A Convection‐Permitting Modeling Study in Texas and Oklahoma

Precipitation in the Southern Plains of the United States is relatively well depicted by the Community Earth System Model (CESM). However, despite its ability to capture seasonal mean precipitation anomalies, CESM consistently underestimates extreme pluvial and drought events, rendering it an insufficient tool for extending simulation lead times for exceptional events, such as the abnormally dry May 2011, which helped drive Texas into its worst period of drought in more than a century, and the abnormally wet May 2015, which led to widespread flooding in that state. Ensemble‐based regional climate experiments are completed for the two extreme years using Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) and downscaled from CESM. WRF simulations are at convection‐permitting grid resolution for improved physical representation of simulated precipitation over the Southern Great Plains. By integrating convection‐permitting models (CPMs) into each individual member of a CESM ocean data assimilation ensemble, this study demonstrates that high‐resolution dynamical downscaling can improve model skillfulness at capturing these two events and is thus a potentially useful tool for forecasting extremely high and extremely low precipitation events at subseasonal or even seasonal lead times.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Multimode turbulent flow measurements using magnetic resonance imaging- and laser-based techniques and computational fluid dynamics simulations

We studied the flow field characteristics of a turbulent flow over a regularized cube array with a perpendicular injection flow through the floor between the second and third cubical elements, representing the complex flow interactions of a 3D jet and the wake flows behind cubical obstacles. Four different experimental measurements were performed: two magnetic resonance imaging-based measurements for three-dimensional three-component velocity (MRV) and concentration (MRC) and two laser-based techniques, particle image velocimetry (PIV) and planar laser-induced fluorescence (PLIF), for two-dimensional two-component velocity and concentration measurement, respectively. The mainstream Reynolds number is Re = 15 000⁠, based on the primary inlet velocity U m and channel height D H ⁠, whereas the injector Reynolds number is Re j = 3400⁠, based on the injector velocity U j and the injector's exit width D j ⁠. Numerical simulations were performed for the studied flow configuration of turbulent flow over a regularized cube array using Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) and large-eddy simulation (LES) approaches. Results obtained from experimental measurements—including MRV, MRC, PIV, and PLIF—as well as RANS and LES simulations are discussed and compared along several horizontal and vertical planes of the studied configuration. In addition, 3D turbulent flow structures, such as leading-edge vortex, horseshoe vortex, and jet shear-layer vortex, and the isosurfaces of scalar concentration successfully revealed by MRV and MRC techniques were found to be in very good agreement with those 3D features extracted from RANS and LES simulations. In conclusion, the high-resolution experimental and numerical database obtained from this study could be useful for validation and verification of numerical codes.

Computational fluid dynamics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Optimization of spray breakup model parameters for predicting fuel spray and film characteristics in gasoline direct injection engines

This study investigated the behavior of gasoline direct injection (GDI) sprays using computational fluid dynamics (CFD). The authors developed an approach to identify optimal spray breakup model parameters by evaluating an error function across numerous simulations, with the goal of minimizing discrepancies from experimental data. Using the optimal setup, the simulated spray matched well with projected liquid volume distributions, liquid penetration, and spray width measured in a constant-pressure continuous-flow chamber. To further validate the approach, the same setup was tested across various fuels, injectors, and operating conditions. Subsequently, the optimal setup, along with a recently developed spray-wall interaction model, were applied to a direct-injection spark-ignited engine under late-injection conditions to predict and evaluate fuel film formation and evolution at varying engine coolant temperatures. Here, with the centrally mounted injector directing the spray toward the piston, simulations indicated that the spray tends to impinge on the piston surface. The proposed simulation framework also accurately captured the aggregate film area on the piston surface, aligning with previously published experimental results. Moreover, simulations showed that increasing the coolant temperature from cold start conditions (333 K) to warm conditions (363 K) reduced the fuel mass deposited on the piston by roughly 50%. Furthermore, for the spray-guided engine configuration studied in this work, the CFD model predicted minimal film deposition on the spark plug electrodes regardless of the coolant temperatures due to a relatively weak in-cylinder flow during the compression phase.

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Growth-induced Donnan exclusion influences swelling kinetics in highly charged dynamic polymerization hydrogels

Polymeric gels crosslinked by DNA sequences can exploit DNA strand-displacement reactions to promote swelling through dynamic polymerization. The degree of swelling and the rate of swelling must be directly tunable to achieve the promise of programmable soft matter. Though the kinetics of the strand-displacement reaction provide insertion rates up to 10 4 /Molar/second as measured in bulk solution, DNA hydrogel swelling can take upwards of 30 h to complete. Computational modeling of the reaction-induced swelling of these gels with our recently-developed reactive electrochemomechanical theory (Zimmerman et al., 2024) suggests that their extraordinarily slow swelling is partly due to a scaling mismatch between the addition of charge and the addition of fluid volume, leading to a large transient increase in the fixed charge density. The significant increase in the gel’s fixed charge density, due to the binding of negatively charged DNA, sharply restricts the concentration of mobile hairpins through the phenomenon of Donnan charge exclusion, an effect commonly exploited in nanofiltration applications using polymeric membranes. The scaling problem is overcome when the mean additional swelling provided to the hydrogel by addition of a crosslink is above a critical value, thus the swelling outpaces the charge accumulation, leading the fixed charge density to drop and significantly accelerating the swelling process. This study shows that Donnan exclusion can explain the kinetics of DNA hydrogel swelling, and studies ways to modulate the reaction speed by either modifying the salt concentration or increasing or decreasing the number of base pairs in each DNA sequence.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effect of particle shape on stratification in drying films of binary colloidal mixtures

The role of particle shape in evaporation-induced auto-stratification in polydisperse colloidal suspensions is explored with molecular dynamics simulations of mixtures of spheres and aspherical particles. A unified framework based on the competition between diffusion and diffusiophoresis is proposed to understand the effects of shape and size dispersity. In general, particles diffusing more slowly (e.g., larger particles) tend to accumulate more strongly at the evaporation front. However, larger particles have larger surface areas and therefore greater diffusiophoretic mobility. Hence, they are more likely to be driven away from the evaporation front via diffusiophoresis. For a rapidly dried bidisperse suspension containing small and large spheres, the competition leads to “small-on-top” stratification. Here, we employ a computational model in which the diffusion coefficient is inversely proportional to particle mass. For a mixture of spheres and aspherical particles with similar mass, the diffusion contrast is reduced, and the spheres are always enriched at the evaporation front as they have the smallest surface area for a given mass and, therefore, the lowest diffusiophoretic mobility. Furthermore, for a mixture of solid and hollow spheres that have the same outer radius and thus the same surface area, the diffusiophoretic contrast is suppressed, and the system is dominated by diffusion. Consequently, the solid spheres, which have a larger mass and diffuse more slowly, accumulate on top of the hollow spheres. Finally, for a mixture of thin disks and long rods that differ significantly in shape but have similar mass and surface area, both diffusion and diffusiophoresis contrasts are suppressed, and the mixture does not stratify.

Classical molecular dynamic simulations↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multiscale influenza forecasting

Abstract Influenza forecasting in the United States (US) is complex and challenging due to spatial and temporal variability, nested geographic scales of interest, and heterogeneous surveillance participation. Here we present Dante, a multiscale influenza forecasting model that learns rather than prescribes spatial, temporal, and surveillance data structure and generates coherent forecasts across state, regional, and national scales. We retrospectively compare Dante’s short-term and seasonal forecasts for previous flu seasons to the Dynamic Bayesian Model (DBM), a leading competitor. Dante outperformed DBM for nearly all spatial units, flu seasons, geographic scales, and forecasting targets. Dante’s sharper and more accurate forecasts also suggest greater public health utility. Dante placed 1st in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s prospective 2018/19 FluSight challenge in both the national and regional competition and the state competition. The methodology underpinning Dante can be used in other seasonal disease forecasting contexts having nested geographic scales of interest.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Multi-Timescale Integrated Dynamics and Scheduling for Solar (MIDAS-Solar) (Final Technical Report)

Solar photovoltaic (PV) installations have experienced unprecedented growth in the United States. PV will become not only an energy producer but also a necessary provider of ancillary services at multiple timescales. Conventional methods to simulate power systems operations - such as long-term production simulation (which typically considers schedules from hours to minutes by using an optimization framework) and short-term transient studies (which simulate dynamics from seconds to sub-seconds using state variables and differential equations) - are not sufficient for studying the multiple-timescale variation of solar generation and its impact on system reliability. Long-term system economics and short-term system dynamics are highly coupled, particularly when the penetration level of renewable generation is extremely high, because the uncertainty and variability of solar generation will impact both power system steady-state and dynamic performance. This project helps meet and exceed the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Solar Energy Technologies Office goal of systems integration by directly addressing this stability and reliability challenge for power grid planning and operation. We have developed a temporally comprehensive, closed-loop simulation model, named Multi-timescale Integrated Dynamics and Scheduling (MIDAS), that seamlessly simulates power system operations from economic scheduling (day-ahead to hours) to dynamic response analysis (seconds to sub-seconds). For schedules with very high levels of inverter-based resources (IBRs), up to and including 100%, the stability of grid controls has been evaluated through electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulations and power-hardware-in-the-loop (PHIL) simulations of key transient events at key schedule points. Specifically, MIDAS provides: 1) a closed-loop simulation framework for simulating timescales from economic scheduling to dynamic stability analysis; 2) machine learning-based stability assessment; 3) EMT modeling and analysis for large-scale power systems; 4) MIDAS PHIL test bed. We worked with Hawaii Electric Companies to apply the MIDAS study framework to a Maui grid study. The entire island's transmission system was modeled in detail - from a yearly scheduling model, to a second-level frequency dynamic model, down to a sub-second-scale EMT model to address critical stability issues. The project demonstrated how MIDAS can help system planners and operators assess system reliability and stability while the power grid is marching toward a high-renewable, high-IBR future. In this Maui grid study, we found that 100% instantaneous IBR operation is achievable in EMT simulation and PHIL testing, and grid planners and operators might need new analysis/simulation tools to assess grid reliability and stability in the scheduling stage. MIDAS will bring Maui and other systems closer to 100% clean and stable energy futures. (In this study, we examined transient stability. Other topics necessary for 100% IBR operation, such as protection and resource adequacy, were not examined.)

100% Renewables↗
DOE OSTI2025

CFD modeling of near-wall combustion and unburned methane prediction in natural gas spark ignition engines

Natural gas-powered engines play a critical role in gas drilling, compression, and transmission sectors, but methane (CH 4 ) from engine combustion slip can be significant over their lifespan, contributing to atmospheric pollution and signaling reduced engine efficiency. Here, to address this challenge, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations offer valuable insights into the in-cylinder combustion process, enabling the optimization of combustion strategies and engine designs to minimize unburned CH 4 slip. This study aims to evaluate and improve combustion models for simulating the combustion process and predicting unburned CH 4 concentrations in natural gas spark-ignition (SI) engines, including engines that are part of combined reformer-engine systems. Specifically, the performance of two flamelet-based combustion models—the Extended Coherent Flame Model (ECFM) and the G-equation model—was assessed using experimental engine data collected under varying excess-air ratio (λ) conditions and fuel compositions, including natural gas and syngas blends. In addition, to enhance the predictive capabilities of the G-equation model, a flame-wall interaction (FWI) sub-model was integrated into its framework. The effects of its model parameters, such as quenching and influence distance, on combustion behavior and unburned methane predictions were analyzed in detail. The ECFM tended to predict delayed combustion phasing under diluted mixture conditions, resulting in overprediction of unburned CH 4 concentrations. In contrast, the G-equation model provided reasonable predictions of combustion pressure, while representing higher the CH 4 reduction rate across the operating condition compared to experimental data. Incorporating the FWI sub-model—with the quenching distance calculated based on a pressure-dependent relation (P -0.48 ) and a fixed influence distance of 1.5 mm—further improved the G-equation model’s accuracy in predicting CH 4 reduction rates without compromising its ability to simulate the combustion process.

Combustion model↗