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At least 415 records · Page 23

Peak Wind Tool for General Forecasting

The expected peak wind speed of the day is an important forecast element in the 45th Weather Squadron's (45 WS) daily 24-Hour and Weekly Planning Forecasts. The forecasts are used for ground and space launch operations at the Kennedy Space Center (KSC) and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS). The 45 WS also issues wind advisories for KSC/CCAFS when they expect wind gusts to meet or exceed 25 kt, 35 kt and 50 kt thresholds at any level from the surface to 300 ft. The 45 WS forecasters have indicated peak wind speeds are challenging to forecast, particularly in the cool season months of October - April. In Phase I of this task, the Applied Meteorology Unit (AMU) developed a tool to help the 45 WS forecast non-convective winds at KSC/CCAFS for the 24-hour period of 0800 to 0800 local time. The tool was delivered as a Microsoft Excel graphical user interface (GUI). The GUI displayed the forecast of peak wind speed, 5-minute average wind speed at the time of the peak wind, timing of the peak wind and probability the peak speed would meet or exceed 25 kt, 35 kt and 50 kt. For the current task (Phase II ), the 45 WS requested additional observations be used for the creation of the forecast equations by expanding the period of record (POR). Additional parameters were evaluated as predictors, including wind speeds between 500 ft and 3000 ft, static stability classification, Bulk Richardson Number, mixing depth, vertical wind shear, temperature inversion strength and depth and wind direction. Using a verification data set, the AMU compared the performance of the Phase I and II prediction methods. Just as in Phase I, the tool was delivered as a Microsoft Excel GUI. The 45 WS requested the tool also be available in the Meteorological Interactive Data Display System (MIDDS). The AMU first expanded the POR by two years by adding tower observations, surface observations and CCAFS (XMR) soundings for the cool season months of March 2007 to April 2009. The POR was expanded again by six years, from October 1996 to April 2002, by interpolating 1000-ft sounding data to 100-ft increments. The Phase II developmental data set included observations for the cool season months of October 1996 to February 2007. The AMU calculated 68 candidate predictors from the XMR soundings, to include 19 stability parameters, 48 wind speed parameters and one wind shear parameter. Each day in the data set was stratified by synoptic weather pattern, low-level wind direction, precipitation and Richardson Number, for a total of 60 stratification methods. Linear regression equations, using the 68 predictors and 60 stratification methods, were created for the tool's three forecast parameters: the highest peak wind speed of the day (PWSD), 5-minute average speed at the same time (A WSD), and timing of the PWSD. For PWSD and A WSD, 30 Phase II methods were selected for evaluation in the verification data set. For timing of the PWSD, 12 Phase\I methods were selected for evaluation. The verification data set contained observations for the cool season months of March 2007 to April 2009. The data set was used to compare the Phase I and II forecast methods to climatology, model forecast winds and wind advisories issued by the 45 WS. The model forecast winds were derived from the 0000 and 1200 UTC runs of the 12-km North American Mesoscale (MesoNAM) model. The forecast methods that performed the best in the verification data set were selected for the Phase II version of the tool. For PWSD and A WSD, linear regression equations based on MesoNAM forecasts performed significantly better than the Phase I and II methods. For timing of the PWSD, none of the methods performed significantly bener than climatology. The AMU then developed the Microsoft Excel and MIDDS GUls. The GUIs display the forecasts for PWSD, AWSD and the probability the PWSD will meet or exceed 25 kt, 35 kt and 50 kt. Since none of the prediction methods for timing of the PWSD performed significantly better thanlimatology, the tool no longer displays this predictand. The Excel and MIDDS GUIs display forecasts for Day-I to Day-3 and Day-I to Day-5, respectively. The Excel GUI uses MesoNAM forecasts as input, while the MIDDS GUI uses input from the MesoNAM and Global Forecast System model. Based on feedback from the 45 WS, the AMU added the daily average wind speed from 30 ft to 60 ft to the tool, which is one of the parameters in the 24-Hour and Weekly Planning Forecasts issued by the 45 WS. In addition, the AMU expanded the MIDDS GUI to include forecasts out to Day-7.

Barrett, Joe H., III↗

Methods for Prediction of High-Speed Reacting Flows in Aerospace Propulsion

Research to develop high-speed airbreathing aerospace propulsion systems was underway in the late 1950s. A major part of the effort involved the supersonic combustion ramjet, or scramjet, engine. Work had also begun to develop computational techniques for solving the equations governing the flow through a scramjet engine. However, scramjet technology and the computational methods to assist in its evolution would remain apart for another decade. The principal barrier was that the computational methods needed for engine evolution lacked the computer technology required for solving the discrete equations resulting from the numerical methods. Even today, computer resources remain a major pacing item in overcoming this barrier. Significant advances have been made over the past 35 years, however, in modeling the supersonic chemically reacting flow in a scramjet combustor. To see how scramjet development and the required computational tools finally merged, we briefly trace the evolution of the technology in both areas.

Drummond, J. Philip↗

PAN AIR - A higher order panel method for predicting subsonic or supersonic linear potential flows about arbitrary configurations

PAN AIR is a computer program for predicting subsonic or supersonic linear potential flow about arbitrary configurations. It uses linear source and quadratic doublet strength distributions. These higher-order distributions have been implemented in a manner that greatly reduces the numerical stability problems that have plagued earlier attempts to make surface paneling methods work successfully for supersonic flow. PAN AIR's problem-solving capability, numerical approach, modeling features, and program architecture are described. Numerical results are presented for a variety of geometries at supersonic Mach numbers.

Carmichael, R. L.↗

A method of predicting quasi-steady aerodynamics for flutter analysis of high speed vehicles using steady CFD calculations

High speed linear aerodynamic theories like piston theory and Newtonian impact theory are relatively inexpensive to use for flutter analysis. These theories have limited areas of applicability depending on the configuration and the flow conditions. In addition, these theories lack the ability to capture viscous, shock and real gas effects. CFD methods can model all of these effects accurately, but the unsteady calculations required for flutter are expensive and often impractical. This paper describes a method for using steady CFD calculations to approximate the generalized aerodynamic forces for a flutter analysis. Example two-and three-dimensional aerodynamic force calculations are provided. In addition, a flutter analysis of a NASP-type wing will be discussed.

Scott, Robert C.↗

A method of predicting quasi-steady aerodynamics for flutter analysis of high speed vehicles using steady CFD calculations

High speed linear aerodynamic theories like piston theory and Newtonian impact theory are relatively inexpensive to use for flutter analysis. These theories have limited areas of applicability depending on the configuration and the flow conditions. In addition, these theories lack the ability to capture viscous, shock, and real gas effects. CFD methods can model all of these effects accurately, but the unsteady calculations required for flutter are expensive and often impractical. This paper describes a method for using steady CFD calculations to approximate the generalized aerodynamic forces for a flutter analysis. Example two-and three-dimensional aerodynamic force calculations are provided. In addition, a flutter analysis of a NASP-type wing will be discussed.

Scott, Robert C.↗

Airframe noise prediction evaluation

The objective of this study is to evaluate the accuracy and adequacy of current airframe noise prediction methods using available airframe noise measurements from tests of a narrow body transport (DC-9) and a wide body transport (DC-10) in addition to scale model test data. General features of the airframe noise from these aircraft and models are outlined. The results of the assessment of two airframe prediction methods, Fink's and Munson's methods, against flight test data of these aircraft and scale model wind tunnel test data are presented. These methods were extensively evaluated against measured data from several configurations including clean, slat deployed, landing gear-deployed, flap deployed, and landing configurations of both DC-9 and DC-10. They were also assessed against a limited number of configurations of scale models. The evaluation was conducted in terms of overall sound pressure level (OASPL), tone corrected perceived noise level (PNLT), and one-third-octave band sound pressure level (SPL).

Yamamoto, Kingo J.↗

Evaluating Alerting and Guidance Performance of a UAS Detect-And-Avoid System

A key challenge to the routine, safe operation of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) is the development of detect-and-avoid (DAA) systems to aid the UAS pilot in remaining "well clear" of nearby aircraft. The goal of this study is to investigate the effect of alerting criteria and pilot response delay on the safety and performance of UAS DAA systems in the context of routine civil UAS operations in the National Airspace System (NAS). A NAS-wide fast-time simulation study was conducted to assess UAS DAA system performance with a large number of encounters and a broad set of DAA alerting and guidance system parameters. Three attributes of the DAA system were controlled as independent variables in the study to conduct trade-off analyses: UAS trajectory prediction method (dead-reckoning vs. intent-based), alerting time threshold (related to predicted time to LoWC), and alerting distance threshold (related to predicted Horizontal Miss Distance, or HMD). A set of metrics, such as the percentage of true positive, false positive, and missed alerts, based on signal detection theory and analysis methods utilizing the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were proposed to evaluate the safety and performance of DAA alerting and guidance systems and aid development of DAA system performance standards. The effect of pilot response delay on the performance of DAA systems was evaluated using a DAA alerting and guidance model and a pilot model developed to support this study. A total of 18 fast-time simulations were conducted with nine different DAA alerting threshold settings and two different trajectory prediction methods, using recorded radar traffic from current Visual Flight Rules (VFR) operations, and supplemented with DAA-equipped UAS traffic based on mission profiles modeling future UAS operations. Results indicate DAA alerting distance threshold has a greater effect on DAA system performance than DAA alerting time threshold or ownship trajectory prediction method. Further analysis on the alert lead time (time in advance of predicted loss of well clear at which a DAA alert is first issued) indicated a strong positive correlation between alert lead time and DAA system performance (i.e. the ability of the UAS pilot to maneuver the unmanned aircraft to remain well clear). While bigger distance thresholds had beneficial effects on alert lead time and missed alert rate, it also generated a higher rate of false alerts. In the design and development of DAA alerting and guidance systems, therefore, the positive and negative effects of false alerts and missed alerts should be carefully considered to achieve acceptable alerting system performance by balancing false and missed alerts. The results and methodology presented in this study are expected to help stakeholders, policymakers and standards committees define the appropriate setting of DAA system parameter thresholds for UAS that ensure safety while minimizing operational impacts to the NAS and equipage requirements for its users before DAA operational performance standards can be finalized.

UAS Detect-and-Avoid (DAA) System↗

On the effects of flight on jet engine exhaust noise

Differences between flight data and predictions of jet engine exhaust noise were reconciled by considering the combined effects of jet mixing noise and internally generated engine exhaust noise. The source strength of the internally generated noise was assumed to be unaffected by flight, as experiments demonstrated. The directivity of the internally generated noise was assumed to be the same statically as that given in the NASA interim prediction method for core engine noise. However, it was assumed that in flight internally generated noise is subject to the convective amplification effect of a simple source. The absolute levels of internally generated noise were obtained from an empirical fit of some typical engine data. The static and flight jet noise were predicted using the above prediction method. It was shown that in many cases much of the flyover noise signature is dominated by internally generated noise.

Stone, J. R.↗

On the effects of flight on jet engine exhaust noise

Recent flight data on jet engine exhaust noise do not agree with projections based on classical jet noise theories. This paper demonstrates that these differences may be reconciled by considering the combined effects of jet mixing noise and internally-generated engine exhaust noise. The source strength of the internally-generated noise is assumed to be unaffected by flight, as has been shown in small-scale free-jet experiments. The directivity of the internally-generated noise is assumed to be the same statically as that given in the NASA interim prediction method for core engine noise. However, it is assumed that in flight the internally generated noise is subject to the convective amplification effect of a simple source. The absolute levels of the internally-generated noise are obtained from an empirical fit of some typical engine data. The static and flight jet noise are predicted using the NASA interim prediction method for jet noise. It is shown that in many cases, although jet mixing may be the dominant noise source statically, much of the flyover noise signature is dominated by internally-generated noise.

Stone, J. R.↗

A study of methods of prediction and measurement of the transmission sound through the walls of light aircraft

Several aspects were studied. The SEA theory was used to develop a theoretical model to predict the transmission loss through an aircraft window. This work mainly consisted of the writing of two computer programs. One program predicts the sound transmission through a plexiglass window (the case of a single partition). The other program applies to the case of a plexiglass window window with a window shade added (the case of a double partition with an air gap). The sound transmission through a structure was measured in experimental studies using several different methods in order that the accuracy and complexity of all the methods could be compared. Also, the measurements were conducted on the simple model of a fuselage (a cylindrical shell), on a real aircraft fuselage, and on stiffened panels.

Forssen, B.↗

Predicted and measured boundary layer refraction for advanced turboprop propeller noise

Currently, boundary layer refraction presents a limitation to the measurement of forward arc propeller noise measured on an acoustic plate in the NASA Lewis 8- by 6-Foot Supersonic Wind Tunnel. The use of a validated boundary layer refraction model to adjust the data could remove this limitation. An existing boundary layer refraction model is used to predict the refraction for cases where boundary layer refraction was measured. In general, the model exhibits the same qualitative behavior as the measured refraction. However, the prediction method does not show quantitative agreement with the data. In general, it overpredicts the amount of refraction for the far forward angles at axial Mach number of 0.85 and 0.80 and underpredicts the refraction at axial Mach numbers of 0.75 and 0.70. A more complete propeller source description is suggested as a way to improve the prediction method.

Dittmar, James H.↗

Report 1: A Method of Predicting the Optimum Lunar Landing Area for a Manned Spacecraft

From a safety aspect, our present knowledge of the moon is inadequate to make a fast decision concerning the best site for landing a manned spacecraft. To date, ten sites have been proposed from which we must select the safest. Additional data from the areas selected are necessary in order to compare the results with data obtained from terrestrial samples of the site where Surveyor has landed. This paper proposes a method of successive transformations of observational data obtained during the Surveyor program from which we can expect t o acquire a considerable amount of information regarding the proposed sites.

Rojas, Hector R.↗

Jet-Surface Interaction Test: Flow Measurements Results

Modern aircraft design often puts the engine exhaust in close proximity to the airframe surfaces. Aircraft noise prediction tools must continue to develop in order to meet the challenges these aircraft present. The Jet-Surface Interaction Tests have been conducted to provide a comprehensive quality set of experimental data suitable for development and validation of these exhaust noise prediction methods. Flow measurements have been acquired using streamwise and cross-stream particle image velocimetry (PIV) and fluctuating surface pressure data acquired using flush mounted pressure transducers near the surface trailing edge. These data combined with previously reported far-field and phased array noise measurements represent the first step toward the experimental data base. These flow data are particularly applicable to development of noise prediction methods which rely on computational fluid dynamics to uncover the flow physics. A representative sample of the large flow data set acquired is presented here to show how a surface near a jet affects the turbulent kinetic energy in the plume, the spatial relationship between the jet plume and surface needed to generate surface trailing-edge noise, and differences between heated and unheated jet flows with respect to surfaces.

Flow↗

Subsonic pressure distributions near a wing-fin juncture on a supersonic arrow-wing configuration with wing-mounted vertical fins

A generic supersonic arrow-wing configuration has been extensively studied to develop a consistent experimental data base to aid in verifying analytical prediction methods. One of the wing configurations studied was a twisted and cambered wing with wing-mounted vertical fins and trailing-edge flaps. The pressure data obtained on that configuration was limited in the wing-fin juncture region, and no pressures were obtained on the fin itself. However, detailed data in the juncture region and on the fin are essential to check out the analytical prediction methods. Therefore, the model was modified to provide details of the juncture pressure field as well as pressures on the fin. The results of this experimental investigation showed that the addition of a fin helped improve the wing pressure distribution outboard of the fin. Deflection of the trailing-edge flap did not adversely affect this trend. The pressure distributions on the vertical fin were generally affected more by change in angle of attack than by flap deflection. The spanwise pressure distribution on the fin itself indicated a load reversal with angle of attack.

Huffman, J. K.↗

Accelerated/abbreviated test methods for predicting life of solar cell encapsulants to Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology for the encapsulation task of the low-cost solar array project

An important principle is that encapsulants should be tested in a total array system allowing realistic interaction of components. Therefore, micromodule test specimens were fabricated with a variety of encapsulants, substrates, and types of circuitry. One common failure mode was corrosion of circuitry and solar cell metallization due to moisture penetration. Another was darkening and/or opacification of encapsulant. A test program plan was proposed. It includes multicondition accelerated exposure. Another method was hyperaccelerated photochemical exposure using a solar concentrator. It simulates 20 year of sunlight exposure in a short period of one to two weeks. The study was beneficial in identifying some cost effective encapsulants and array designs.

Kolyer, J. M.↗

A large-scale investigation of V/STOL ground effects

A large-scale ground-effects test of a single jet in hover was conducted as a first-case study for future tests to provide the V/STOL community with an improved data base. The objectives for this single-jet hover test were to (1) document the jet characteristics and then (2) gather the associated force data. These data are then compared with results obtained from existing prediction methods. A conically convergent nozzle was mounted to a turbojet engine, and an 8-ft-diam suckdown-plate model measured the lift-loss forces in ground effect. Jet-exit characteristics (pressure profile, temperature, turbulence, etc.) are documented for several nozzle pressure ratios. Characteristics that may give rise to scale effects are discussed. Results from this first study indicate that small-scale tests, and current prediction methods, will lead to significant errors in the lift-loss estimation of a single-jet configured aircraft, hovering in ground effect.

Christiansen, R. S.↗

Hover performance analysis of advanced rotor blades

This is an effort aimed at validating recent hover prediction methods. The experimental basis for this validation work is an extensive set of loads, wake and performance data, which were obtained from a pressure instrumented model UH-60 rotor tested at the Sikorsky hover test facility and at Duits-Nederlandse Windtunnel (DNW). This model was equipped with replaceable tips - including a tapered and a BERP-type tip - which permitted studies of the effects of rotor geometry. The central prediction method studied is a free-wake, vortex embedded, full-potential CFD method - called HELIX-I. It is found that the HELIX-I code produces very good comparisons with the data including wake, surface pressure and performance. Comparisons with the measured radial load distributions have permitted an improved understanding of the wake resolution modelling requirements of CFD methods. Since HELIX-I is a combined Eulerian/Lagrangian method, limited comparisons are also made with a Lagrangian boundary element code (called EHPIC) and an Eulerian Navier-Stokes code (called TURNS). In most cases all methods produce good comparisons with the data. It is found that the HELIX-I code provides a good compromise between the speed of boundary integral methods and the comprehensive nature of Navier-Stokes methods.

Tung, C.↗