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Results for “ignition prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 415 records · Page 23
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1989

Liquid Rocket Booster (LRB) for the Space Transportation System (STS) systems study. Appendix B: Liquid rocket booster acoustic and thermal environments

The ascent thermal environment and propulsion acoustic sources for the Martin-Marietta Corporation designed Liquid Rocket Boosters (LRB) to be used with the Space Shuttle Orbiter and External Tank are described. Two designs were proposed: one using a pump-fed propulsion system and the other using a pressure-fed propulsion system. Both designs use LOX/RP-1 propellants, but differences in performance of the two propulsion systems produce significant differences in the proposed stage geometries, exhaust plumes, and resulting environments. The general characteristics of the two designs which are significant for environmental predictions are described. The methods of analysis and predictions for environments in acoustics, aerodynamic heating, and base heating (from exhaust plume effects) are also described. The acoustic section will compare the proposed exhaust plumes with the current SRB from the standpoint of acoustics and ignition overpressure. The sections on thermal environments will provide details of the LRB heating rates and indications of possible changes in the Orbiter and ET environments as a result of the change from SRBs to LRBs.

Source record↗
DOE OSTI2023

Antecedent Hydrometeorological Conditions of Wildfire Occurrence in the Western U.S. in a Changing Climate

Abstract Wildfires have significant hydrological and ecological impacts in the western U.S. Using a high‐resolution regional climate simulation and wildfire observations for 1984–2018, this study investigates the antecedent hydrometeorological conditions (AHCs) of wildfires in the western U.S. During the warm season (April‐September), the wildfire AHCs feature diverse surface pressure (PS), soil moisture, and longwave/shortwave radiation (LW/SW) conditions. K‐means clustering classifies wildfires into four types with distinct AHCs: low‐PS‐type and high‐PS‐type with lower and higher PS anomalies, respectively, LW‐type featuring intense LW but weak SW anomalies, and wet‐soil‐type with wet soil anomalies. Each fire cluster represents 22%–27% of all the wildfires, featuring different combinations of climate and vegetation conditions and their diverse relations to regional hydrometeorological conditions, with wet‐soil‐type fires often exhibiting opposite correlations with AHCs compared to those of the other three types. In five major Köppen climate zones over the western U.S., clustering‐based predictions improve the seasonal wildfire prediction accuracy ( R 2 ) by 10% compared to prediction without classification. Such improvement comes from separating the opposite relationships between wet‐soil‐type fires and their seasonal AHCs from the other three types, along with separating LW‐type fires, which include most of the lightning‐ignited fires that occur more randomly. Increases in wildfire occurrence during 1984–2018 are dominated by the increases in the LW‐type fires, while the wet‐soil‐type fires have decreased, consistent with the long‐term drying in the western U.S.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1972

Scramjet fuel injector design parameters and considerations: Development of a two-dimensional tangential fuel injector with constant pressure at the flame

The factors affecting a tangential fuel injector design for scramjet operation are reviewed and their effect on the efficiency of the supersonic combustion process is evaluated using both experimental data and theoretical predictions. A description of the physical problem of supersonic combustion and method of analysis is followed by a presentation and evaluation of some standard and exotic types of fuel injectors. Engineering fuel injector design criteria and hydrogen ignition schemes are presented along with a cursory review of available experimental data. A two-dimensional tangential fuel injector design is developed using analyses as a guide in evaluating the effects on the combustion process of various initial and boundary conditions including splitter plate thickness, injector wall temperature, pressure gradients, etc. The fuel injector wall geometry is shaped so as to maintain approximately constant pressure at the flame as required by a cycle analysis. A viscous characteristics program which accounts for lateral as well as axial pressure variations due to the mixing and combustion process is used in determining the wall geometry.

Agnone, A. M.↗
NASA NTRS2024

Validation of Multiphase CFD Predictions of the SLS Launch Environment against Artemis I Flight Data

NASA’s Space Launch System (SLS) is powered by four Aerojet-Rocketdyne RS-25 engines, previously referred to as Space Shuttle Main Engines (SSMEs), with two RSRMV solid rocket boosters (SRBs) derived from the Shuttle booster as seen in Fig. 1. Ignition and the start transient of the SRBs, each of which generate 3.6 million pounds of thrust, create a series of large magnitude pressure waves separate from launch acoustics that have the potential to damage the vehicle if unmitigated. This portion of the SLS launch environment consists of igniter shock (IS), ignition overpressure (IOP), and duct overpressure (DOP).

T. Rivord↗
DOE OSTI2022

A comprehensive model to capture electrical discharge and spark channel evolution during spark-ignition processes

Emissions reduction through engine efficiency improvements is a priority for automakers who have turned to unconventional engine operation such as highly dilute, boosted, and stratified charge. Given its importance to flame initiation and sustained turbulent flame propagation, reliable and accurate spark ignition models are necessary to design ignition systems that reduce cyclic indicated mean effective pressure (IMEP) variability and increase engine efficiency in these operation modes. In this paper, secondary electric circuit, short-circuit, blowout, and re-strike sub-models are added to the Lagrangian-Eulerian spark ignition (LESI) model to simulate electrical discharge and spark channel elongation in an inert cross-flow combustion vessel. First, the physics of the underlying sub-models are described and the governing equations discussed with the spark channel voltage expression playing a critical role. Then, the experimental and simulations setups are presented. The results section begins with the derivation of spark channel voltage from experimental results. Then, electrical discharge and spark channel elongation simulations in inert flows are carried out using LESI and compared against experimental results. Finally, the results validate the model's ability to accurately predict spark channel elongation, as well as the occurrence of short-circuits, blowouts, re-strikes, and end of discharge.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Numerical investigation of a fueled pre-chamber spark-ignition natural gas engine

Pre-chamber spark-ignition (PCSI) is a leading advanced ignition concept for internal combustion engines with the potential to enable diesel-like efficiency in medium-duty/heavy-duty (MD/HD) natural gas (NG) engines. By leveraging distributed ignition sources from multiple turbulent jets, the PCSI technology can deliver extremely short combustion duration in ultra-lean mixtures and significantly improve the engine thermal efficiency. However, in the automotive industry there is a lack of adequate science base and predictive simulation tools required for commercial development of PCSI engines. Here, in this study, Reynolds-Average Navier-Stokes simulations are carried out to describe the combustion process in lean-burn NG engines, focusing on the combustion modeling approach. Two combustion models, multi-zone well-stirred reactor (MZ-WSR) and G-equation, are used to simulate the combustion process in an MD NG engine equipped with a fueled-PCSI system for four operating conditions close to the lean operating limit. A skeletal chemical mechanism and a laminar flame speed tabulation are used to compute the combustion accurately. Simulation results are compared with experimental data regarding measured cylinder pressure, heat release rate, and combustion duration. By dividing the PCSI combustion process into four distinct phases, the difference between the two models’ results for each phase is analyzed in detail. The MZ-WSR model overestimates the combustion duration for early flame kernel growth in the pre-chamber due to the lack of a specific formulation to take turbulence-chemistry interaction into account. Despite the prolonged combustion duration and low pressure built-up inside the pre-chamber, the model matches the combustion rate in the main-chamber. In contrast, the G-equation model delivers good agreements for the pre-chamber combustion and turbulent jet-driven combustion processes. However, the model starts to underestimate the combustion rate in the main-chamber, especially under ultra-lean mixture conditions. Finally, improvements are needed for both models to simulate the later combustion stage that occurred in the near-wall regions.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Influence of NOx Chemistry on the Prediction of Natural Gas End-Gas Autoignition

Research on the influence of NOx (NO/NO2) chemistry on HC oxidation has shown that NOx plays an important role in the promotion/inhibition of HC autoignition [1-6]. Current data for n-heptane, iso-octane, ethanol, and toluene [3, 4] have shown that NO chemistry inhibits autoignition at low temperatures and concentrations. However, at medium and high temperatures and low concentrations, autoignition is promoted, decreasing the Negative Temperature Coefficient (NTC) effect. This autoignition promotion, however, becomes weaker as NO concentrations are increased. Additionally, fundamental kinetics studies have suggested that NOx chemistry also promotes the autoignition of smaller HC, such as CH4 [7-10], C2H6 [11-14], and C3H8 [15]. Additionally to the chemical kinetics studies, a growing body of evidence supports the importance of NOx chemistry on SI engine simulations [16, 17]. Foong et al. [18] suggested that the addition of NO in their models significantly improved the agreement between simulations and experiments where the onset of knock was advanced due to the presence of NO, and Morganti et al. [19] showed that NO addition in the residual-gas was necessary for their models to obtain good agreement with experimental data. Lastly, Mohr et al. [20, 21] investigated the effect of Natural Gas (NG) reactivity and EGR substitution rate and composition on homogeneous ignition delay, flame speeds, and EGAI for stoichiometric NG/oxidizer/EGR blends. They observed that the addition of EGR composed of only inert species (CO2 and Ar) suppressed homogeneous autoignition in all NG fuels tested under all conditions. However, for all NG fuels tested, increasing EGR rates with reactive species (Ar, CO2, CO, and NO) promoted homogeneous autoignition under all conditions, thus reproducing the same trends for various NG fuel compositions that were observed in other studies and fuels. For this reason, a study is being conducted to analyze the effects of NOx chemistry on the prediction of NG/air/EGR homogeneous autoignition. This study has been divided into two tasks. First, the addition of NOx chemistry to the ARIES82 mechanism [20] is being validated using homogeneous ignition delay data collected by Mohr [20, 21]. Second, once the new modified mechanism with NOx reactions has been validated, it will be employed on engine multi-dimensional modeling presented in [22, 23] to analyze the influence of NOx chemistry on NG EGAI. Results thus far have shown that homogeneous ignition delay calculations are sensitive to NOx chemistry, where the modified mechanisms captured well all trends and closely matched the homogeneous ignition delays observed by Mohr et al. Also, the results in this work suggest that NOx chemistry is necessary to correctly capture the trends in NG homogeneous autoignition when EGR with reactive species is used since the opposite behavior is observed when only inert species are considered for the EGR composition.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
NASA NTRS1990

Critical evaluation of Jet-A spray combustion using propane chemical kinetics in gas turbine combustion simulated by KIVA-II

Numerical solutions of the Jet-A spray combustion were obtained by means of the KIVA-II computer code after Jet-A properties were added to the 12 chemical species the program had initially contained. Three different reaction mechanism models are considered. The first model consists of 131 reactions and 45 species; it is evaluated by comparing calculated ignition delay times with available shock tube data, and it is used in the evaluation of the other two simplified models. The simplified mechanisms consider 45 reactions and 27 species and 5 reactions and 12 species, respectively. In the prediction of pollutants NOx and CO, the full mechanism of 131 reactions is considered to be more reliable. The numerical results indicate that the variation of the maximum flame temperature is within 20 percent as compared with that of the full mechanism of 131 reactions. The chemical compositions of major components such as C3H8, H2O, O2, CO2, and N2 are of the same order of magnitude. However, the concentrations of pollutants are quite different.

Nguyen, H. L.↗
NASA NTRS2010

JANNAF Lessons Learned Panel Discussion

The difference between the AS-510 observed and predicted separation distance is attributed to a greater F-1 engine "tail off" impulse than that used in the separation distance prediction. . The F-1 thrust decay was normal and not appreciably different from previous (AS-505 through 509) flights. . Analysis indicates that with an S-IC stage having only four retro motors, failure of one retro motor to ignite would result in marginal separation distances and, in the 3-sigma case, re-contact of the two stages. . S-IC-11 and subsequent flight stages were equipped with eight retro motors rather than the planned four.

Richards, Steve↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hybridizing Machine Learning and Physically-based Earth System Models to Improve Prediction of Multivariate Extreme Events (AI Exploration of Wildland Fire Prediction)

Focal Areas: This project responds to two focal areas identified in the DOE Call for AI4ESP White Papers: 1) Predictive modeling through the use of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, and 2) insights gleaned from complex data using explainable AI and big data analytics. Science Challenge: Large wildland fires (hereafter wildfires) appearing as high-impact compound climate extreme events are closely related to hydroclimate and water cycle extremes that modulate surface fuel supply and combustibility. These compound events have multivariate climatic features (e.g., temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, wind, lightning) and societal drivers (e.g., forest management, land use change, human caused ignitions). Meanwhile, they induce strong feedbacks to the coupled atmosphere, biosphere, and hydrosphere by perturbing regional and global radiation budget as well as ecological, biogeochemical, and water cycles across multiple spatiotemporal scales. The nonlinear interactions between these natural and anthropogenic components of the Earth system are too complex to be completely and adequately represented in today’s Earth system models (ESMs). The inherent stochastic nature of fire activity at all scales further increases the difficulty of its prediction using ESMs that are usually developed from deterministic equations and parameterizations. Besides, concurrence of long-term (decadal to interdecadal) global climate change and fire regime shifts overlapping with short-term (intraseasonal to interannual) variations of regional fire weather and burning activity confound predictability of these compound extreme events. We propose to address the above scientific challenges by using machine learning (ML)-based data-driven modeling techniques to integrate observations and physically-based ESMs’ simulations in a computationally efficient hybrid prediction system. This prediction system is supposed to characterize the wildfire’s sensitivity to climate and exogenous drivers at high resolution (~ 0.25°) on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales providing improved predictability and explainability. We will use the system to help identify: (1) What are the computational elements of a hybrid system needed to predict compound climate extreme events such as global wildfires? (2) What are the key drivers (either natural or anthropogenic) that modulate short-term variations of multivariate fire weather and burning activity over different regions? How can one take advantage of those driver-response relationships to improve the predictability of large wildfires on S2S time scales? (3) What are the underlying physical mechanisms and sources of improved predictability? Which ML techniques are optimal in revealing and adapting these mechanisms?

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Rapid prediction of fuel research octane number and octane sensitivity using the AFIDA constant-volume combustion chamber

Current research octane number (RON) and motor octane number (MON) gasoline performance characterization techniques use dated, complex engine testing methodology and limit researchers’ ability to easily characterize small volumes of experimental fuels. A novel methodology is presented that correlates measured ignition delay (ID) time to RON in an Advanced Fuel Ignition Delay Analyzer (AFIDA) constant-volume combustion chamber device at a single pressure/temperature condition, with an r2 of 0.99 and standard error (SE) of 1.0. The correlation of the slope of the ID time between two additional temperature points to octane sensitivity (S) produces an r2 of 0.97 and SE of 0.69; however, fuels with S>12 are indistinguishable. These results are based on methodology calibration using 31 primary and toluene reference fuels containing 0%-40% ethanol with RON values ranging from 85 to 113. Validation of these methods using a 102-sample fuel matrix spanning an array of base fuels and additive chemistry designed to test the robust applicability of the method, along with pump gasoline and high-octane surrogate blend samples, demonstrates an r2 of 0.94 and SE of 1.3 for the RON correlation over all samples, whereas the equivalent S correlation produces an r2 of 0.78 and SE of 1.2 by excluding two additives, 3-pentanone and diisobutylene, which displayed poor S correlation results. This novel AFIDA analysis method can be performed in 1 h and with 40 mL of fuel, offering significant improvements in time and volume requirements over traditional techniques.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
NASA NTRS1974

Apollo 16, LM-11 descent propulsion system final flight evaluation

The performance of the LM-11 descent propulsion system during the Apollo 16 missions was evaluated and found satisfactory. The average engine effective specific impulse was 0.1 second higher than predicted, but well within the predicted one sigma uncertainty of 0.2 seconds. Several flight measurement discrepancies existed during the flight as follows: (1) the chamber pressure transducer had a noticeable drift, exhibiting a maximum error of about 1.5 psi at approximately 130 seconds after engine ignition, (2) the fuel and oxidizer interface pressure measurements appeared to be low during the entire flight, and (3) the fuel propellant quantity gaging system did not perform within expected accuracies.

Avvenire, A. T.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Ignition and combustion characteristics of metallized propellants, phase 2

Experimental and analytical investigations focusing on aluminum/hydrocarbon gel droplet secondary atomization and its effects on gel-fueled rocket engine performance are being conducted. A single laser sheet sizing/velocimetry diagnostic technique, which should eliminate sizing bias in the data collection process, has been designed and constructed to overcome limitations of the two-color forward-scatter technique used in previous work. Calibration of this system is in progress and the data acquisition/validation code is being written. Narrow-band measurements of radiant emission, discussed in previous reports, will be used to determine if aluminum ignition has occurred in a gel droplet. A one-dimensional model of a gel-fueled rocket combustion chamber, described in earlier reports, has been exercised in conjunction with a two-dimensional, two-phase nozzle code to predict the performance of an aluminum/hydrocarbon fueled engine. Estimated secondary atomization effects on propellant burnout distance, condensed particle radiation losses to the chamber walls, and nozzle two phase flow losses are also investigated. Calculations indicate that only modest secondary atomization is required to significantly reduce propellant burnout distances, aluminum oxide residual size, and radiation heat losses. Radiation losses equal to approximately 2-13 percent of the energy released during combustion were estimated, depending on secondary atomization intensity. A two-dimensional, two-phase nozzle code was employed to estimate radiation and nozzle two phase flow effects on overall engine performance. Radiation losses yielded a one percent decrease in engine Isp. Results also indicate that secondary atomization may have less effect on two-phase losses than it does on propellant burnout distance and no effect if oxide particle coagulation and shear induced droplet breakup govern oxide particle size. Engine Isp was found to decrease from 337.4 to 293.7 seconds as gel aluminum mass loading was varied from 0-70 wt percent. Engine Isp efficiencies, accounting for radiation and two phase flow effects, on the order of 0.946 were calculated for a 60 wt percent gel, assuming a fragmentation ratio of five.

Mueller, D. C.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Toxicology and Biodegradability of Blendstocks for Mixing Controlled Compression Ignition Combustion: Literature Review of Available Data

The goal of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Co-Optima project is to develop an understanding of potential biomass-derived blendstocks for use in the transportation sector. This report documents the estimated environmental and toxicological impact of potential bioblendstocks for mixing controlled compression ignition (MCCI) engines. The candidate molecules were: 2-nonanol; n-undecane; 2,6,10-trimethyldodecane; 5-ethyl-4-propylnonane; hexylhexanoate; methyldecanoate; dibutoxymethane; 4-butoxyheptane; dipentylether; renewable diesel; and soy biodiesel. To provide a robust comparison, diesel surrogate molecules were also considered: α-methylnaphthalene; decahydronaphthalene; 2,2,4,4,6,8,8-heptamethylnonane; n-butylcyclohexane; n-hexadecane; tetralin; and n-dodecylbenzene. The intent of this work was not to provide absolute answers and remove any molecules from consideration, but to provide more robust data for each molecule that can be used in subsequent evaluations. Little literature data was available for many of the molecules, both potential blendstocks and diesel surrogates, so a quantitative structural activity relationship (QSAR) approach was used to provide input into the relevant models. This assessment included an evaluation of compartment partitioning in the event of an accidental chemical spill, fate and transport indicators, estimated biodegradability, and human and environmental toxicology. The higher molecular weight and longer hydrocarbon chain lengths of these MCCI molecules reduce water solubility and mobility. Generally, the oxygenated molecules improved biodegradability metrics. The hydrocarbons farnesane and 5-Et-4-PrNonane are not predicted to be biodegradable. Human acute toxicity was found to be slightly to non-toxic for the MCCI blendstocks and the diesel surrogates. 2-Nonanol, undecane, MeDecanoate, dibutoxymethane, and dipentylether were likely developmental toxicants. Although poorly water soluble, all the compounds, whether Co-Optima blendstocks or diesel surrogates, showed significant toxicity to D. magna. The oxygenated blendstocks were less likely to bioaccumulate than the non-oxygenated blendstocks, which behaved similar to the diesel surrogates. Overall, this predicted analysis showed that the MCCI blendstocks are very similar to their diesel counterparts. No significant showstoppers were found that would indicate concern moving forward with additional research into these potential fuels. The results presented were based solely on predictive models and serve to provide information going forward for continued evaluation of these molecules.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Effects of dilution and pressure on combustion characteristics within externally heated micro-tubes

Here this study investigates the impact of pressure and dilution on combustion behavior of of C 2H6/air/N2 mixtures within an externally heated micro-tube using both experimental and analytical techniques. Experiments are conducted for pressures up to 10 bar at multiple dilution levels and document three flame regimes, i.e. weak flames, FREI and normal flames. Characteristic temperatures for flame stabilization, as well as and ignition and extinction are obtained by applying a novel thin filament pyrometry method (TFP), which uses a thin silicon carbide (SiC) filament that enables temperature measurements for both reacting and non-reacting cases. Results show a decrease of characteristic temperatures with increasing pressure, which can be which can be partially compensated by a decrease of O2 content. Further, regime transitions occur at lower velocity as the pressure increases, whereas weak flame positions are insensitive to dilution at a given pressure. Predictions from the analytical model compare favorably with experimental results. The most prominent finding is that as dilution increases, the transition from weak flame to FREI becomes less abrupt and is completely lost for high dilution levels (i.e. low O2 content). Both experimental and analytical results indicate that the unstable FREI combustion regime does not exist at high dilution levels, i.e. weak flame and normal flame regimes are no longer clearly separated. As FREI are interpreted as a cyclic transition from an ignition zone to a propagating flame, results for highly diluted conditions are interpreted as a combustion regime where classical flame propagation ceases to exist.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Non-equilibrium low-temperature plasma-assisted combustion of iso-octane: Perturbing pyrolysis and oxidation kinetics

Here, in this study, a plasma-coupled flow reactor facility is used to examine the effects of non-equilibrium low-temperature plasmas on perturbing the pyrolysis and oxidation kinetics of iso-octane. Experiments were performed in highly dilute reactive mixtures of nitrogen, at near isothermal conditions for temperatures ranging from 523 K to 1203 K. Experiments cumulatively demonstrated enhanced chemical reactivity with the plasma for temperatures below 900 K, and a lowering of the hot-ignition temperature. Detailed kinetic insight was derived from a 0D plasma-coupled kinetic model, utilizing a constructed mechanism that combined both plasma-specific chemistry and the neutral combustion chemistry. For pyrolysis conditions, the model displayed relatively good agreement with fuel consumption and the formation of most intermediates compared to the experimental data, demonstrating the model is able to accurately predict primary radical formation from the plasma directly interacting with the fuel. Enhanced reactivity was attributed to collisional quenching of excited-states of N 2 with fuel, which led to efficient fuel fragmentation and enhancement of the H-radical flux. For oxidation conditions, the model displayed satisfactory agreement with the experiments. Model predictions were able to accurately predict fuel consumption and most intermediate speciation data for T > 800 K, but most discrepancies were towards T < 800 K in particular with oxygenated intermediates. In the presence of oxygen, plasma effects were predominantly spent on efficient enhancement of O- and H-radical fluxes, leading to further fuel fragmentation and initiation of both the OH- and HO 2 -radical pools. Subsequent reactivity of iso-octane was then dictated by the response of the temperature-dependent neutral chemistry. At low-temperatures (T = 643 K), enhanced fuel radicals and O 2 -additon chemistry lead to the formation of oxygenated species, while at intermediate temperatures (T = 843 K) net decrease in OH-radical reactivity led to an increase in hydrocarbon speciation. Near the self-ignition threshold (T = 1163 K), radicals generated by high-temperature branching reactions dominate the oxidation process and effectively ignition. This study ultimately demonstrated that the enhancement of radicals afforded by the plasma causes a deviation in known understanding of iso-octane kinetics in some regards and warrants future studies to reconcile these discrepancies.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Identification of Promising Alternative Mono-Alcohol Fuel Blend Components for Spark Ignition Engines

Alcohols are attractive fuel blendstocks for spark ignition engines due to their high octane values and potentially positive influence on performance and emission. Although methanol, ethanol, and butanol have been widely studied, other biomass-derived alcohols may have similar or better properties. However, it is not feasible to experimentally investigate the fuel potential of every molecule. The goals of this study were to develop a methodology for rapid screening of a fuel property database for mono-alcohols and to identify alcohols with the potential of blending to produce advantaged motor gasolines. A database was developed with 13 fuel properties of all saturated C1–C10 mono-alcohols. A decision framework was used to evaluate alcohols suitable for blending in gasoline for spark ignition engines in two scenarios: low-range (up to 15 vol%) blends and high-range (greater than 40 vol%) blends. The low-range blend cases resulted in the identification of 48 alcohols. In the case of high-range blending, only six alcohols were found to be suitable. This is the first study to systematically evaluate all C1–C10 saturated alcohols for blending with gasoline using relevant fuel properties. A novel aspect of this study is the evaluation of the influence of errors in predicted property values. These scenario screenings focus attention on a smaller number of promising candidate molecules, and the approach could be modified for other classes of fuel molecules, engine types, and fuel blending goals.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization with Gaussian Processes for Double Shell Inertial Confinement Fusion Target Design

Reliable, secure access to energy is a major focus for national security efforts. One potential route to such energy is through fusion reactions in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments. Such experiments are carried out at facilities such as the National Ignition Facility (NIF) in Livermore, California, where high powered lasers are used to compress a DT fuel-containing target to the necessary high temperature, high pressure conditions. These experiments are limited in number, which creates a heavy dependence on high fidelity predictive physics simulations and analysis performed “pre shot,” or before the experiment occurs. Many of these simulations in higher dimensions (2D and 3D) are computationally expensive, so finding optimal simulation-based designs presents its own challenges. In this work, we present our multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization with Gaussian processes (GPs) for ICF double shell targets, where a 1D surrogate model is used to help find a 2D surrogate model, enabling us to find optimal targets in the higher fidelity (2D), while saving computational cost.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗