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DOE OSTI2026

Uncertainty quantification of fireball features extracted from nuclear test films using computer vision

Films from the US’s historic nuclear testing era comprise the only extensive collection of imagery depicting high-yield detonations. These films offer unique insights into the characteristics of flows occurring on scales that are difficult to replicate experimentally, and they are a valuable source of data for the validation of models used to describe nuclear detonations. In recent work, we implemented modern computer vision and machine learning techniques to extract features of the fireball following nuclear detonation. With a training dataset of fireball films, we fine-tuned a You Only Look Once 11 (YOLO11) model to detect and track the fireball. Applied to a video, the outer bounding box produced in each frame by YOLO11 is used as an input prompt to Meta’s Segment Anything Model 2 (SAM2), which is shown to accurately predict the boundary of the fireball over time with high resolution. These state-of-the-art computer vision foundation models exhibit impressive visual accuracy in their results but lack an output of values that robustly quantify uncertainty in scientific applications. In this paper, we develop procedures for uncertainty quantification of extracted fireball features. We outline the application of a parallel attention mechanism to calculate uncertainty ranges that complement and better pose model validation data. This higher quality fireball validation data may serve to improve prognostic models describing nuclear detonations in support of nuclear forensic and emergency response activities.

Khristy, Joel [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000209963060)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Addressing the dynamic nature of reference data: a new nucleotide database for robust metagenomic classification

Accurate metagenomic classification relies on comprehensive, up-to-date, and validated reference databases. While the NCBI BLAST Nucleotide (nt) database, encompassing a vast collection of sequences from all domains of life, represents an invaluable resource, its massive size—currently exceeding 10 12 nucleotides—and exponential growth pose significant challenges for researchers seeking to maintain current nt-based indices for metagenomic classification. Recognizing that no current nt-based indices exist for the widely used Centrifuge classifier, and the last public version currently available was released in 2018, we addressed this critical gap by leveraging advanced high-performance computing resources. We present new Centrifuge-compatible nt databases, meticulously constructed using a novel pipeline incorporating different quality control measures, including reference decontamination and filtering. These measures demonstrably reduce spurious classifications, as shown through our reanalysis of published metagenomic data where Plasmodium annotations were dramatically reduced using our decontaminated database, highlighting how database quality can significantly impact research conclusions. Through temporal comparisons, we also reveal how our approach minimizes inconsistencies in taxonomic assignments stemming from asynchronous updates between public sequence and taxonomy databases. These discrepancies are particularly evident in taxa such as Listeria monocytogenes and Naegleria fowleri, where classification accuracy varied significantly across database versions. These new databases, made available as pre-built Centrifuge indexes, respond to the need for an open, robust, nt-based pipeline for taxonomic classification in metagenomics. Applications such as environmental metagenomics, forensics, and clinical metagenomics, which require comprehensive taxonomic coverage, will benefit from this resource. Our work highlights the importance of treating reference databases as dynamic entities, subject to ongoing quality control and validation akin to software development best practices. This approach is crucial for ensuring accuracy and reliability of metagenomic analysis, especially as databases continue to expand in size and complexity.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Flow Injection Electrochemical Quartz Crystal Microbalance with ICP-OES Detection: Electroprecipitation and Stripping of Lanthanum and Neodymium in a Flow Cell

We used an improved version of our hyphenated analysis technique, flow injection electrochemical quartz crystal microbalance (EQCM) with inductively coupled optical emission spectroscopy, to investigate the electroprecipitation of lanthanum and neodymium from flowing solutions. The improved version has two independent flow injection circuits, allowing different conditions for electrochemical precipitation (pH=4.3 or 2.6) and quick stripping (2% HNO3) with EQCM mass detection and ICP-OES elemental analysis. Lanthanum or neodymium ions in a 500 uL sample were injected into a carrier stream and deposited onto an EQCM housed in a micro flow cell, owing to a localized high-pH layer. The deposits are subsequently stripped from the electrode using HNO3 and analyzed downstream using an ICP-OES. We found that using acidic solutions without supporting electrolyte leads to an increase of the amount of lanthanum detected by 4-fold. The enhanced deposition can be attributed to enhanced mass transfer by migration. Furthermore, we showed that by applying chronopotentiometry, we can detect a change in the hydrogen evolution reaction mechanism that enables the precipitation of lanthanides on the surface of the electrode. Understanding and enhancing the deposition of lanthanides is relevant for elemental or isotopic detection in nuclear forensics.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2020

ENSIGN

ENSIGN is a data analytics software package offering a modern unsupervised machine learning solution for scalable discovery in Big Data. The analytics in ENSIGN are based on an advanced mathematical tool called tensor decomposition and they are optimized to run efficiently on a range of computing platforms (from small multicore Desktop platforms to large Supercomputing clusters and novel high-end memory-driven computing platforms such as HPE Superdome Flex). ENSIGN enables the user to extract deep insights from the entirety of massive-scale (100s of Gigabytes or Terabytes scale) multidimensional data. ENSIGN uncovers latent patterns in data without the user having to specify or describe what the patterns are; the user, in the first place, may not even know such patterns existed and that they have to look for such patterns. The insights gained from ENSIGN could be trailheads that can be used as starting points for deeper forensic investigation.

Baskaran, Muthu↗

DOE OSTI2022

ENSIGN

Baskaran, Muthu↗

DOE OSTI2022

IViz-OT (Intrusion Detection Visualizer for Operational Technology Network) [SWR-22-63]

The Visualizer dashboard provides grid operator highly-trusted alarming environment for an ongoing or potential cyber-attack based on system anomalies and network-based verification. Once anomalies are detected by the IDS tool (HIDES, NREL SWR-19-65), this platform stores the signatures or alert logs that are generated by the intrusion detector, lays out the detailed summary of the possible alerts, and maps these attacks with high-level scenarios. These scenarios are later combined to define a final event using a decision tree approach and a final report is generated out of this tool for further forensic analysis. It also supports authentication and authorization to support roles-based access control (RBAC) for users and a group of people.

Singh, Vivek Kumar↗

DOE OSTI2024

Polyglot Framework

Polyglot utilizes a combination of custom and open source tools and libraries to provide developers with a consistent environment for building tools, etc. for a wide variety of targets with minimal changes to the code being built. It supports a variety of architectures and operating systems/firmware in as target-agnostic way as possible. This allows for developers to minimize the amount of time/effort required to port tools—in particular, forensic tools—to a wide variety of targets. The project is comprised of two main components: a frontend toolchain that understands how to utilize other tools in order to build code for a specific target, and a minimalistic C library specific to Polyglot. These collectively provide the method to build code for a specific target, and the capability for code to interact with the underlying operating system when run on the target. Both components are written in a way to minimize the amount of target-specific knowledge required to both develop and utilize the project.

Huddleston, TimothyA.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Polyglot C Library

The C library component of Polyglot. Polyglot utilizes a combination of custom and open source tools and libraries to provide developers with a consistent environment for building tools, etc. for a wide variety of targets with minimal changes to the code being built. It supports a variety of architectures and operating systems/firmware in as target-agnostic way as possible. This allows for developers to minimize the amount of time/effort required to port tools-in particular, forensic tools-to a wide variety of targets. The project is comprised of two main components: a frontend toolchain that understands how to utilize other tools in order to build code for a specific target, and a minimalistic C library specific to Polyglot. These collectively provide the method to build code for a specific target, and the capability for code to interact with the underlying operating system when run on the target. Both components are written in a way to minimize the amount of target-specific knowledge required to both develop and utilize the project.

Huddleston, TimothyA.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Blue Keanu: A Scientific Visualization Tool For Network Data

This software allows the user to visualize complex PCAP-ng files captured from network capture software such as Wireshark. The visualization runs in a GUI window that can be zoomed or moved to areas of interest in a waterfall type display. The user then can see an area of interest that looks different than the typical traffic visually, such as a human interaction or non-repetitive area of data. The program will tell the user the packet number and byte offset of interest for fast analysis of discrete atomic or non-random events. This is particularly useful for visualization of unknown binary format data, such as in PLC or SCADA protocols that may have human or other non-repetitive activity for further analysis, reverse engineering, or fast forensic analysis.

Durller, MichaelGeorge↗

DOE OSTI2023

Diffuse Reflectance Spectroscopy and Principal Component Analysis to Retrospectively Determine Production History of Plutonium Dioxide

Diffuse reflectance spectroscopy measurements in the shortwave infrared (930–1600 nm) spectral region were acquired for Pu 2 (C 2 O 4 ) 3 •9H 2 O and its thermal decomposition product, PuO 2 . We analyzed a total of eight PuO 2 samples that were produced at different calcination temperatures (300, 350, 450, 525, 600, 675, 750, and 900 °C). Our goal was to identify spectroscopic fingerprints that could be used to gain retrospective information regarding the production parameters of these important nuclear compounds. The diffuse reflectance spectrum of Pu 2 (C 2 O 4 ) 3 •9H 2 O features several broad bands that currently preclude detailed analysis. However, all PuO 2 samples produced relatively sharp spectral features that got sharper and more intense for samples that were produced at higher calcination temperatures. The electronic band observed at 1433 nm in the diffuse reflectance spectra of PuO 2 was found to be a sensitive indicator of crystallinity; a result that is corroborated by ancillary Raman spectroscopy measurements. Principal component analysis of diffuse reflectance spectra was able to clearly rank and categorize PuO 2 samples based on the calcination temperature that was employed during their production. Thus, we show herein that important retrospective information pertaining to the process history of PuO 2 can be gained through the relatively simplistic combination of diffuse reflectance spectroscopy and principal component analysis. This discovery presents a new method for determining the provenance and process history of PuO 2 and should have an impact in the fields of nuclear forensics and nuclear nonproliferation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Laser Ablation Plasmas and Spectroscopy for Nuclear Applications

The development of measurement methodologies to detect and monitor nuclear-relevant materials remains a consistent and significant interest across the nuclear energy, nonproliferation, safeguards, and forensics communities. Optical spectroscopy of laser-produced plasmas is becoming an increasingly popular diagnostic technique to measure radiological and nuclear materials in the field without sample preparation, where current capabilities encompass the standoff, isotopically resolved and phase-identifiable (e.g., UO and UO[Formula: see text]) detection of elements across the periodic table. These methods rely on the process of laser ablation (LA), where a high-powered pulsed laser is used to excite a sample (solid, liquid, or gas) into a luminous microplasma that rapidly undergoes de-excitation through the emission of electromagnetic radiation, which serves as a spectroscopic fingerprint for that sample. This review focuses on LA plasmas and spectroscopy for nuclear applications, covering topics from the wide-area environmental sampling and atmospheric sensing of radionuclides to recent implementations of multivariate machine learning methods that work to enable the real-time analysis of spectrochemical measurements with an emphasis on fundamental research and development activities over the past two decades. Background on the physical breakdown mechanisms and interactions of matter with nanosecond and ultrafast laser pulses that lead to the generation of laser-produced microplasmas is provided, followed by a description of the transient spatiotemporal plasma conditions that control the behavior of spectroscopic signatures recorded by analytical methods in atomic and molecular spectroscopy. High-temperature chemical and thermodynamic processes governing reactive LA plasmas are also examined alongside investigations into the condensation pathways of the plasma, which are believed to serve as chemical surrogates for fallout particles formed in nuclear fireballs. Laser-supported absorption waves and laser-induced shockwaves that accompany LA plasmas are also discussed, which could provide insights into atmospheric ionization phenomena from strong shocks following nuclear detonations. Furthermore, the standoff detection of trace radioactive aerosols and fission gases is reviewed in the context of monitoring atmospheric radiation plumes and off-gas streams of molten salt reactors. Finally, concluding remarks will present future outlooks on the role of LA plasma spectroscopy in the nuclear community.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Spatially Resolved Raman Spectroscopic Investigation of Uranyl Fluoride: A Case Study in the Importance of Instrument Optimization

Raman spectroscopy is an emerging technique for rapid and nondestructive analysis of nuclear materials for forensic and nonproliferation applications as it is a powerful tool for distinguishing multiple chemical forms of materials with similar stoichiometries. Recent developments in spectroscopic software have enabled rapid data collection with high-speed Raman spectroscopic mapping capabilities. However, some uranium-rich materials are susceptible to degradation in humid air and/or laser-induced phase transformations. To mitigate environmental or measurement-related sample degradation of potential samples of interest, we have taken a systematic approach to define optimized data collection parameters for high-throughput measurements of uranyl fluoride (UO 2 F 2 ), which is an important intermediate material in the nuclear fuel cycle. First, we systematically describe the influence of optical magnification (5× to 100×), laser power, and exposure time on obtained signal for identical particles of UO 2 F 2 and find that at low laser power and exposure times, comparable signal is obtained regardless of optical magnification. Second, we ensure sample integrity during data collection, and third, collect spectroscopic maps that employ optimized parameters to reduce the time required to obtain spatially resolved spectroscopic information. Reductions of 90% and 99% in measurement times are discussed as they relate to differences in resolving spectroscopic features of particles in identical mapping areas. Finally, during this work, we found that additional data processing options were needed and thus developed a customized Python script for importing, processing, analyzing, and visualizing Raman spectroscopic map data.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2023

Machine learning in analytical spectroscopy for nuclear diagnostics [Invited]

Analytical spectroscopy methods have shown many possible uses for nuclear material diagnostics and measurements in recent studies. In particular, the application potential for various atomic spectroscopy techniques is uniquely diverse and generates interest across a wide range of nuclear science areas. Over the last decade, techniques such as laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy, Raman spectroscopy, and x-ray fluorescence spectroscopy have yielded considerable improvements in the diagnostic analysis of nuclear materials, especially with machine learning implementations. These techniques have been applied for analytical solutions to problems concerning nuclear forensics, nuclear fuel manufacturing, nuclear fuel quality control, and general diagnostic analysis of nuclear materials. The data yielded from atomic spectroscopy methods provide innovative solutions to problems surrounding the characterization of nuclear materials, particularly for compounds with complex chemistry. Implementing these optical spectroscopy techniques can provide comprehensive new insights into the chemical analysis of nuclear materials. In particular, recent advances coupling machine learning methods to the processing of atomic emission spectra have yielded novel, robust solutions for nuclear material characterization. This review paper will provide a summation of several of these recent advances and will discuss key experimental studies that have advanced the use of analytical atomic spectroscopy techniques as active tools for nuclear diagnostic measurements.

Rao, Ashwin P. (ORCID:0000000319312568)↗

DOE OSTI2020

Variation of lead isotopic composition and atomic weight in terrestrial materials (IUPAC Technical Report)

The isotopic composition and atomic weight of lead are variable in terrestrial materials because its three heaviest stable isotopes are stable end-products of the radioactive decay of uranium ( 238 U to 206 Pb; 235 U to 207 Pb) and thorium ( 232 Th to 208 Pb). The lightest stable isotope, 204 Pb, is primordial. These variations in isotope ratios and atomic weights provide useful information in many areas of science, including geochronology, archaeology, environmental studies, and forensic science. While elemental lead can serve as an abundant and homogeneous isotopic reference, deviations from the isotope ratios in other lead occurrences limit the accuracy with which a standard atomic weight can be given for lead. In a comprehensive review of several hundred publications and analyses of more than 8000 samples, published isotope data indicate that the lowest reported lead atomic weight of a normal terrestrial materials is 206.1462 ± 0.0028 (k = 2), determined for a growth of the phosphate mineral monazite around a garnet relic from an Archean high-grade metamorphic terrain in north-western Scotland, which contains mostly 206 Pb and almost no 204 Pb. The highest published lead atomic weight is 207.9351 ± 0.0005 (k = 2) for monazite from a micro-inclusion in a garnet relic, also from a high-grade metamorphic terrain in north-western Scotland, which contains almost pure radiogenic 208 Pb. When expressed as an interval, the lead atomic weight is [206.14, 207.94]. It is proposed that a value of 207.2 be adopted for the single lead atomic-weight value for education, commerce, and industry, corresponding to previously published conventional atomic-weight values.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Improved Parametric Models for Explosion Pressure Signals Derived From Large Datasets

Accurate recording and characterization of explosion-induced pressure signals are key components of the forensic analysis of explosion events in the atmosphere. Parametric overpressure models based on several key waveform features (peak overpressure, positive pulse duration, and impulse) are widely used to estimate explosion energy in terms of trinitrotoluene equivalent yield. However, those models are often developed by a limited dataset, including only a few events or recordings at relatively short propagation distances. Here, we develop empirical waveform-parameter models based on a regression analysis of a large set of data curated from four chemical explosion experiments including 16 detonations. We measured peak overpressure and impulse for positive and negative phases from 1000 pressure signals recorded at local ranges (<20 km) with scaled distance up to 8000 m/kg 1/3 . Additionally, the measured waveform parameters showed large variation with respect to observing distances indicating the effects of atmospheric propagation. In this study, a second-order polynomial model was used in a least-squares regression to account for those propagation effects and to improve data fitting. In addition to model parameters for waveform features, we also determined range-dependent model uncertainties based on data variance. The model uncertainty represents the prediction error of our models and can be critical to evaluating the uncertainty of yield estimate.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

The Seismic Signature of a High-Energy Density Physics Laboratory and Its Potential for Measuring Time-Dependent Velocity Structure

The Z Machine at Sandia National Laboratories is a pulsed power facility for high-energy density physics experiments that can shock materials to extreme temperatures and pressures through a focused energy release of up to ~ 25 MJ in < 100 nanoseconds. It has been in operation for more than two decades and conducts up to ~ 100 experiments, or “shots,” per year. Based on a set of 74 known shot times from 2018, we determined that Z Machine shots produce detectable ~ 3–17 Hz ground motion 12 km away at the Albuquerque Seismological Laboratory, New Mexico (ANMO), borehole seismograph, with peak signal at ~ 7 Hz. The known shot waveforms were used to create a three-component template, leading to the detection of 2339 Z Machine shots since 1998 through single-station cross-correlation. Local seismic magnitude estimates range from local magnitude (M L ) —2 to —1.3 and indicate that only a small fraction of the shot energy is transmitted by seismic phases observable at 12 km distance. The most recent major facility renovation, which was intended to decrease mechanical dissipation, is associated with an abrupt decrease in observed seismic amplitudes at ANMO despite stable maximum shot energy. The highly repetitive impulsive sources are well suited to coda-wave interferometry to investigate time-dependent velocity structures. Relative velocity variations (dv/v) show an annual cycle with amplitude of ~ 0.2%. Local minima are observed in the late spring, and dv/v increases through the summer monsoon rainfall, possibly reflecting patchy saturation as rainfall infiltrates near the eastern edge of the Albuquerque basin. Importantly, the cumulative results demonstrate that forensic seismology can provide insight into long-term operation of facilities such as pulsed-power laboratories, and that their recurring signals may be valuable for studies of time-dependent structure

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Characterization of Oil Well Cement Performance during Early Hydration under Simulated Borehole Conditions

Summary Experiments on oil well cement (OWC) slurries were performed using the newly developed laboratory-scale wellbore simulation chamber (WSC). The WSC can simulate hydrostatic pressure reduction in the cemented annulus and possible gas migration under representative conditions. Forensic analysis shows that pressurized fluids can result in porous cement and gas channeling during cement slurry gelation. The effects of different factors on slurry pore pressure were also studied, including formation permeability, initial overburden pressure (OBP) representing the depth of interest, wellbore temperature, water/cement (w/c) ratio, cement composition, and the use of a calcium chloride (CaCl2)-based accelerator. By analyzing the temperature history of hydrating cement using degree of hydration, the evolution of cement hydration was characterized for slurry designs cured at different hydration rates. This provides the opportunity to parameterize the slurry designs and other important factors associated with wellbore conditions.

Engineering↗

DOE OSTI2020

Characterization of Uranium Foil Irradiations at the WSU TRIGA Reactor Using a New Reactor Model in SCALE [Slides]

A depleted uranium foil and a highly enriched uranium foil that were irradiated at the Washington State University TRIGA reactor were used to measure the relative production of 237 U and 239 U, two key isotopes of interest in nuclear forensics, as well as their decay daughters 237 Np and 239 Pu. Total fissions in the two foils were also estimated using 99 Mo measurement. A reactor model of the TRIGA was built in the SCALE neutron transport code using dimensions obtained from an existing MCNP geometry. The model was successfully used to simulate foil fissions and the reaction rate ratios in 238 U, using the laboratory-measured isotope ratios as a benchmark. The flux distribution in the foils was determined. Finally, using the continuous energy Tsunami-3d module of SCALE, a sensitivity/uncertainty analysis was performed to determine the effects on the reaction ratio caused by other reactions in the reactor and by uncertainties in the known cross-sections.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗