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At least 415 records · Page 23

A Deep Generative Model for Non-Intrusive Identification of EV Charging Profiles

The proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs) brings environmental benefits and technical challenges to power grids. An identification algorithm which can accurately extract individual EV charging profiles out of widely available smart meter measurements has attracted great interests. This paper proposes a non-intrusive identification framework for EV charging profile extraction, which is driven by deep generative models (DGM). First, the proposed DGM is designed as a representation layer embedded into the Markov process and used to model the joint probability distribution of available time-series data. A novel contribution is to approximate posterior distributions by neural networks whose parameters are obtained by variational inference and supervised learning. Second, the EV charging status is inferred from the DGM via dynamic programming. Lastly, the desired EV charging profile can be reconstructed by the rated power of EV models and inferred status. Compared with the benchmark Hidden Markov Models, the proposed framework can better handle noise in data with less computational complexity and better overall accuracy performances with smaller recall. The proposed framework is validated by numerical experiments on the Pecan Street dataset.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Plug-in Electric Vehicle Charging Response Characterization for Grid Integration: Implications for Smart Charge Management

The rapid expansion of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) has created a unique challenge for electrical grids due to their significant power demand. At the same time, PEVs also create a unique opportunity to ease their own burden on the power grid, as they create a growing fleet of distributed energy resources capable of providing grid services such as demand response, frequency regulation, and renewable balancing. For aggregators and grid operators to effectively integrate PEVs into grid management, it is essential to first understand and characterize how they would respond in such situations. This study examines 25 models of PEVs across 25 makes, spanning model years from 2013 to 2025, to characterize their responses to the basic controls used in vehicle-grid integration (VGI): stopping, starting, and modulating the charge rate. Each vehicle was tested in a controlled laboratory setting to evaluate its performance in response to varying the maximum allowable current via the SAE J1772 control pilot signal, as well as its response to wake-up commands outlined in SAE J1772. Results show measurable differences across vehicle makes in the accuracy, latency, and precision with which PEVs respond to changes in ampacity, as well as varying sleep and wake-up behavior. The test results show that all vehicles respond to changes in ampacity, though with varying accuracy, precision, latency, and resolution. Wake-up behavior also differs across makes and models. These findings indicate that effective grid integration strategies must account for these differences. The results provide a foundation for understanding current vehicle behavior and advancing smart-charging methods while also highlighting the need for further testing, broader standardization, and manufacturer collaboration to ensure the successful integration of PEVs into the electrical grid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Electric Vehicle Managed Charging: Forward-Looking Estimates of Bulk Power System Value

When and where electric vehicle charging occurs has significant implications for power systems supporting widespread electric vehicle deployment with high shares of wind and solar generation. Numerous studies have estimated the value of scheduling or otherwise managing electric vehicle charging in such power systems. This study improves on those earlier works by leveraging detailed simulation models for electric vehicle adoption, electric vehicle use, electric vehicle charging, and bulk power system operations; and linking them with methods for describing charging flexibility at both the individual vehicle and aggregate levels. This study closely analyzes electric vehicle managed charging (EVMC) performance along the dimensions of flexibility type (within-charging session or within-week scheduling), dispatch mechanism (direct load control or one of several price-based mechanisms), and participation rate, under the assumptions of ubiquitous chargers and all trips completed on time. The study is located in a passenger light-duty vehicle adoption scenario with 100% electric vehicle sales by 2035, and in an envisioned 2038 New England power system for which within-region generation is 84% clean.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Short-Term Load Forecasting Considering EV Charging Loads with Prediction Interval Evaluation

Short-term load forecasting plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. Along with the electrification of various loads, electricity demands are becoming increasingly hard to predict. Notably, the recent rise in electric vehicles (EVs) has further contributed to this unpredictability. To address this issue, this paper proposes a probabilistic load forecasting strategy utilizing Gaussian process regression, structured in a day-ahead manner. While many works focus on deterministic prediction, probabilistic forecasting offers additional insights into variability and uncertainty, enabling more flexible and reliable operation for power systems. To enhance the accuracy of the load forecasting model, the inputs include features related to EV charging habits as well as commonly used weather information. The load forecasting results are evaluated using various metrics, including conventional ones that assess the accuracy of point forecasts, as well as additional metrics that test the reliability of prediction intervals. The proposed load forecasting method is finally tested on real residential power consumption data and EV charging data sampled from real-world sources. The results prove that the new features can greatly improve the performance of the load forecasting method.

electrical vehicle↗

High-Efficiency, Medium-Voltage-Input, Solid-State-Transformer-Based 400-kW/1000V/400A Extreme Fast Charger for Electric Vehicles

Range anxiety and long battery charging time continue to be critical challenges to mass adaptation of EVs. A major identified gap to wider adoption of BEVs is the ability and availability to refuel quickly or to fast charge. Studies have shown that in areas where drivers have access to 50-kW or 120-kW fast charge stations, annual electric vehicle (EV) miles traveled (i.e., eVMT) increased by over 25%, even in cases where fast charging was used for 1% to 5% of total charging events. Charge stations of higher power not only alleviate the “range anxiety” and reduce the driver’s waiting time, but also requires less investment. Michigan Energy Office completed a study in early 2019 titled “Electric Vehicle Charger Placement Optimization in Michigan: Phase I – Highways”. This study finds a system with 150kW chargers, though more expensive individually, actually has lower total system cost when compared to a 50kW charging system when serving the same battery size EV. To be truly competitive to the ICEV refueling experience, even higher power stations are necessary. However, high power charge stations would create large power draws from the grid. If this occurs during peak demand periods, grid capacity could be overloaded. This problem needs to be addressed to reduce the impact on the electric utility infrastructure. The main goal of this project is to develop a 400-kW/400-A XFC system targeting total efficiency of 96.5 percent from the MVAC grid to a vehicle. The novel SST power cell topology, combined with a new silicon carbide (SiC) MOSFET device, enables a 3.5 percent improvement in system efficiency, a 50-percent smaller equipment footprint, and four times less weight than today’s DCFC systems. The SST technology would directly utilize MVAC at 4.8-kV or 13.2-kV. This would eliminate the line frequency transformer (LFT), which steps down medium-voltage AC to 3-Phase 480-V line-to-line voltage in current DCFC systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

QED radiative corrections to neutrino-nucleon elastic scattering

Neutrino oscillation experiments at accelerator energies aim to establish CP violation in the neutrino sector by measuring the energy-dependent rate of $\nu_e$ appearance and $\nu_\mu$ disappearance in a $\nu_\mu$ beam. Extracting the correct oscillation rate demands control over QED radiative corrections at the percent level. Focusing on the critical charged-current neutrino-nucleon scattering process, we show that the cross section factorizes into two pieces. The first piece depends on hadron structure but is universal for $\nu_e$ and $\nu_\mu$, and hence constrained by high-statistics $\nu_\mu$ data. The second piece is nonuniversal and suffers large logarithm enhancements, but is computed to high precision using renormalization group improved perturbation theory. Our results provide a missing ingredient for the robust interpretation of current NOvA and T2K experiments, and can be applied to future experiments such as DUNE and HyperK.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

US ATLAS and US CMS HPC and Cloud Blueprint

The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN houses two general purpose detectors - ATLAS and CMS - which conduct physics programs over multi-year runs to generate increasingly precise and extensive datasets. The efforts of the CMS and ATLAS collaborations lead to the discovery of the Higgs boson, a fundamental particle that gives mass to other particles, representing a monumental achievement in the field of particle physics that was recognized with the awarding of the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2013 to François Englert and Peter Higgs. These collaborations continue to analyze data from the LHC and are preparing for the high luminosity data taking phase at the end of the decade. The computing models of these detectors rely on a distributed processing grid hosted by more than 150 associated universities and laboratories worldwide. However, such new data will require a significant expansion of the existing computing infrastructure. To address this, both collaborations have been working for years on integrating High Performance Computers (HPC) and commercial cloud resources into their infrastructure and continue to assess the potential role of such resources in order to cope with the demands of the new high luminosity era. US ATLAS and US CMS computing management have charged the authors to provide a blueprint document looking at current and possibly future use of HPC and Cloud resources, outlining integration models, possibilities, challenges and costs. The document will address key questions such as the optimal use of resources for the experiments and funding agencies, the main obstacles that need to be overcome for resource adoption, and areas that require more attention.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Optimization of the electron transport layer in quantum dot light-emitting devices

Quantum dot light-emitting devices have emerged as an important technology for display applications. Their emission is a result of recombination between positive and negative charge carriers that are transported through the hole and electron conductive layers, respectively. The selection of electron or hole transport materials in these devices not only demands the alignment of energy levels between the layers but also balances the flow of electrons and holes toward the recombination sites. In this work, we examine a method for device optimization through control of the charge carrier kinetics. We employ impedance spectroscopy to examine the mobility of charge carriers through each of the layers. The derived mobility values provide a path to estimate the transition time of each charge carrier toward the emitting layer. We suggest that an optimal device structure can be obtained when the transition times of both charge carriers toward the active layer are similar. Finally, we examine our hypothesis by focusing on thickness optimization of the electron transport layer.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Spacecraft Charging Analysis of a CubeSat

Spacecraft charging occurs when charged particles from the surrounding space plasma environment contact a spacecraft and unequal charging currents result in a net charge density accumulation on or in spacecraft materials. Charging becomes a threat when differential potentials between two points on the spacecraft or between the spacecraft and the ambient space environment build to the level that electric fields associated with the potentials exceed the electric breakdown strength of the spacecraft materials and electrostatic discharge arcs are generated. Electrostatic discharges resulting from spacecraft charging can adversely affect telemetry and cause irreparable damage to electronics. Other spacecraft charging effects include damage of solar arrays and thermal protection, enhancement of contamination of surfaces, and degradation of optics. Typically, the large government and commercial space programs include spacecraft charging analysis as part of the design process. CubeSat projects, however, usually do not have the time or funding to include a spacecraft charging analysis due to their low budget and quick-turnaround requirements. CubeSat projects also tend to rely heavily on commercial "off-the-shelf" products, many of which are not qualified for use in space, and are particularly vulnerable to the effects of the space environment. As the demand for longer and more complex CubeSat missions increases, it is becoming more and more important to consider the effects of spacecraft charging in the design process. Results of surface charging analysis using Nascap-2k on a typical CubeSat design for a polar orbit scenario are illustrated. These results show that for a polar orbiting CubeSat, spacecraft charging could be an issue and steps should be taken to mitigate the effects for these small satellites.

Willis, Emily M.↗

Fast Charging Infrastructure for Electrifying Road Trips to and from National Parks in the Western United States

National parks in the Western United States draw over 80 million visitors every year, and most visitors rely on personal cars for their road trips (or long-distance travels). Travel to national parks represents distinct travel demand, as they are typically located in remote areas necessitating long-distance trips. This study investigates the quantity and locations of on-route fast charging infrastructure needed by 2030 to enable seamless travel to/from national parks using electric vehicles in seven target states in the region, employing unprecedented high-resolution spatial and temporal analysis. We find that the required number of fast charging ports for on-route charging infrastructure ranges from 1,200 to 22,000, depending on different assumptions of key input parameters - vehicle electrification rate, charging behavior, average gap between charging stations, port utilization rate, and towing trailers. Our analysis also indicates that electrical load for on-route fast charging infrastructure would peak in the afternoon, in the range of 70-400 MW, varying with the key input parameters. This study illustrates how different input parameters result in different degrees of impact on various aspects of charging infrastructure. We also examine the characteristics of projected charging infrastructure in terms of land use type, relationship with traffic volume, size of stations, and other variables.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Geological Thermal Energy Storage (GeoTES) Charged with Solar Thermal Technology Using Depleted Oil/Gas Reservoirs and Carnot-Battery Technique Using Shallow Reservoirs: Preprint

Geological thermal energy storage (GeoTES) utilizes the underground reservoirs to storage and dispatch energy per given demand schedule over a time scale up to seasons of a year. The energy input can be of various sources/forms; in this paper, we investigate 1) the GeoTES technology with solar thermal hybridization and using depleted oil/gas reservoirs; 2) the GeoTES technology with heat pumps charged by excess renewable electricity and using low-temperature shallow reservoirs. For each GeoTES technology, we carry out the suitability analysis of candidate reservoirs, develop initial techno-economic models, and validate the model with selected case study. The paper provides an overview of our technical progress on the topics of concern and aims to promote a wider acceptance of the GeoTES technologies in the future energy market.

Carnot battery↗

The Convergence of Vehicle Electrification and Automation - Enabling Sustainable Automated Mobility Districts

The transportation industry is entering a new frontier with three major simultaneous transformations: electrification, automation, and on-demand services. All three directly affect the same spaces of vehicle technology, infrastructure, and system operational performance. Further, each area of change adds its own driving forces of complexity to the others' design challenges. This paper explores these transformations, framing the implications for vehicle technology and infrastructure and their impact on operating concepts and strategies, which in turn impact the sustainability of the transportation infrastructure in the built environment. Specifically, this paper examines battery-electric vehicles operating in a fully automated fleet within an "automated mobility district" (AMD) setting with multiple on-demand services. From this examination, the paper assesses the implications for transportation electrification, comparing and contrasting traditional fixed-route services with those of on-demand transit and automated transit networks, including the trade-offs between vehicle range (battery capacity), charging parameters, power availability, and operations predictability with respect to policy and infrastructure configurations. The paper also addresses the configuration and management of boarding and alighting zones (also called pickup and drop-off zones), and the need for complementary infrastructure intelligence at intersections and curbs. Finally, conclusions are drawn with respect to the system integration and analysis needs for AMDs regarding resilience and sustainability of mobility infrastructure.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Numerical Modeling & Size Optimization of Thermal Energy Storage for Iron & Steel Production

Iron and steel production are responsible for 90 million MtCO2 per year in the United States. Hydrogen direct reduction of iron (H2DRI) is a promising pathway for a more sustainable iron production than commercially deployed technologies which rely on natural gas. The H2DRI process requires hydrogen at a temperature of up to 950 degrees C fed into a reduction furnace to produce pellets or briquettes that are used in the downstream iron and steelmaking process. In this work, we propose to use an electrical thermal energy storage (ETES) system, that can use renewable electricity to store high-temperature heat and dispatch it upon demand. Such a system can buffer the H2DRI plant from the variability of electricity prices by charging during curtailment and running the plant from storage during times of peak electricity price. We have developed heat transfer models for two different ETES systems that can be used to heat up hydrogen to the required temperatures: a particle-based ETES and a firebrick ETES. These models are used to evaluate the performance of such a system and support the sizing and preliminary cost estimation. The preliminary results using both models show that designing ETES systems for an industrial-scale H2DRI furnace is feasible. The firebrick ETES system has limited operational duration, which might limit the price buffering effect unless significantly oversized. The particle ETES system heat exchanger has industry-feasible dimensions, but its storage capacity would be decided upon the number of particle storage silos.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Integral Field Probe for Mapping of Curved Magnets

The Single Stretched Wire (SSW) method allows highly precise integral field measurements by recording voltage across a tensioned wire mounted to 2-axis linear stages at either end of the magnet aperture. However, traditional SSW probes are not well suited for curved accelerator magnets, which are essential for steering charged particles along arced trajectories in storage rings or beamlines. The tension required to eliminate sag demands a purely straight path, making them incompatible with non-linear magnet geometries. To address this limitation for curved magnets, a modified approach was developed using a segmented, 3D-printed support structure that incorporates a pre-shaped anti-sag curve. Under its own weight and that of the wire bundle, the structure deforms to lie flat while conforming to the curvature of the magnet in the horizontal plane. The optimal geometry of the probe was derived using an iterative process combining FEA simulations in Ansys Mechanical with testing of various carbon fiber-reinforced filaments. The printed and assembled probe was successfully used to measure the SDD-059 magnet at Fermilab, yielding promising results.

Jakopin, Alexander [Northern Illinois U.]↗

Low Temperature Combustion Exploration with Negative Valve Overlap

Progressively stringent emission regulations and increasing regulatory demands on fuel economy have led to advanced combustion development. Low temperature combustion (LTC), specifically homogenous charge compression ignition (HCCI), is a promising technology for reducing exhaust emissions and improving efficiency. However, its operating range is limited to low load without boosting and EGR, due to low volumetric efficiency and high pressure rise rates. In addition, effectively controlling the combustion phasing is another challenge in realizing the associated combustion gains. In this work, advanced valve control mechanisms known as continuously variable valve duration (CVVD) and continuously variable valve timing (CVVT) were used for both intake and exhaust valvetrains to enable negative valve overlap (NVO) for trapping hot exhaust residuals and to promote multipoint simultaneous ignition. Heat release phasing was controlled by varying the fueling scheme and by adjusting the amount of NVO. Parametric studies on valve timing and duration, fueling strategy, lambda, spark assist, etc., were carried out first. Afterwards the LTC strategy was proposed and then LTC operation was explored at different engine speeds. Various approaches for extending load limits were summarized and discussed. Finally, combustion performance was compared to that of spark ignition combustion, demonstrating the combustion gains of LTC.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Impact of Space Heating Options on Electricity Rates and Affordability

Electricity prices have increased in many regions of the U.S., with a national average of 18 cents/kWh projected for 2026, up from 16 cents/kWh in 2020. While the increases can be attributed to a number of factors, increasing electricity use in an efficient and strategic manner - with energy efficient building envelope upgrades and high performance HVAC systems - has the potential to increase revenue for utilities without significantly increasing electricity demand, and therefore could help moderate rate increases. This effect has been studied for electric vehicle charging[1] and dual-fuel heat pumps in Minnesota[2]. Leveraging a recently developed system cost methodology and FERC data on utility revenue, spending, and profits, this poster will present the direction and relative magnitude of rate impacts for efficient space heating upgrades in utility balancing areas across the contiguous U.S., using current prices and showing how the rate impacts would evolve under future grid scenarios.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Development of Two High-Energy Bus ‘Cores’ for Rapid Support of Low-TRL and Educational Payloads: A Software-Configured EPS Combined with Flexible C&DH

For several years the TechEdSat flight series (TES-n), developed by the Nano Orbital Workshop (NOW) group at NASA Ames, has relied upon an in-house developed unit to serve both EPS (Electrical Power System) and C&DH (Command and Data Handling) roles along with low data-rate telemetry functions, i.e., serving as the ‘core’ of the spacecraft bus. This ‘core’ has a considerable task given the rapid cadence of the TES program and the typically low-TRL of payloads; configurability and compatibility are key to prevent mission-specific hardware. However, at only 15 watts the current core has become insufficient to support the program’s growing missions and increasingly demanding payloads. To this end, the NOW program is developing new cores to support two TES mission classes: a single-PCB ‘MiniCore’ designed to support 80-watt missions 6U or smaller in LEO, and a three-PCB, radiation-tolerant ‘StackCore’ designed to support 6U and larger missions over 500 watts in LEO and beyond. The ‘MiniCore’ design consists of three main segments: a processor-agnostic C&DH, a software-configured EPS, and a backup low data-rate radio. The design philosophy was to enable rapid-manufacture in a turbulent supply chain, hence the design consists of COTS parts with a focus on those able to be drop-in replaced with radiation-tolerant versions when demanded by the mission. As a single PC-104 sized circuit board, power density and ease of integration also dominated design, demanding the use of modern features such as single-point USB-C for easy charging and monitoring of the spacecraft on the ground. The ‘MiniCore’ can support 80 watts of load, 140 watt-hours of storage, and over 20 watts of optimized solar generation with extensive power monitoring throughout. The ‘MiniCore’ supports one battery pack, six solar-panels, six loads, five actuators, Iridium SBD, and an internal 802.15.4 network. Additionally, the processor-agnostic design can accept any PJRC Teensy 3.x or Adafruit Feather microcontroller unit to enable processor scaling with mission requirements or environment. It is expected a development unit of this design will be completed before conference. The ‘StackCore’ design consists of three stacked PC-104 sized circuit boards: one dedicated to power generation and storage, one dedicated to power distribution, and one dedicated to C&DH tasks. This delineation is necessary to support the transition from highly integrated ICs to discrete analog circuitry, enabling a primarily analog control power system able to operate without software in a radiation environment with finer monitoring compared to the ‘MiniCore’ design. The planned base architecture supports over 500 watts of load, 250 watt-hours of storage, and over 80 watts of optimized solar generation. The power distribution board allows for the use of daughter cards hosting custom converters or interfaces for payloads, in addition to the software-configured supplies used on the ‘MiniCore’. This core stack will be managed by a Vorago ARM M4 microcontroller and support the same wireless communications as the ‘MiniCore’, with optional integration of a NOW S-band radio and attitude determination sensors for ‘black box’ functionality. It is expected the prototype will still be in development during conference.

Spacecraft↗