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At least 415 records · Page 23

Adaptive autoencoder latent space tuning for more robust machine learning beyond the training set for six-dimensional phase space diagnostics of a time-varying ultrafast electron-diffraction compact accelerator

In this work, we present a general adaptive latent space tuning approach for improving the robustness of machine learning tools with respect to time variation and distribution shift. We demonstrate our approach by developing an encoder-decoder convolutional neural network-based virtual 6D phase space diagnostic of charged particle beams in the HiRES ultrafast electron diffraction (UED) compact particle accelerator with uncertainty quantification. Our method utilizes model-independent adaptive feedback to tune a low dimensional 2D latent space representation of ~1 million dimensional objects which are the 15 unique 2D projections (x, y),...,(z, p z ) of the 6D phase space (x, y, z, p x , p y , p z ) of the charged particle beams. We demonstrate our method with numerical studies of short electron bunches utilizing experimentally measured UED input beam distributions.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Characteristics of the Diffuse Astrophysical Electron and Tau Neutrino Flux with Six Years of IceCube High Energy Cascade Data

In this work, we report on the first measurement of the astrophysical neutrino flux using particle showers (cascades) in IceCube data from 2010-2015. Assuming standard oscillations, the astrophysical neutrinos in this dedicated cascade sample are dominated (~90%) by electron and tau flavors. The flux, observed in the sensitive energy range from 16 TeV to 2.6 PeV, is consistent with a single power-law model as expected from Fermi-type acceleration of high energy particles at astrophysical sources. We find the flux spectral index to be γ=2.53±0.07 and a flux normalization for each neutrino flavor of $\phi$ astro =1.66$_{-0.27}^{+0.25}$ at E 0 =100 TeV, in agreement with IceCube's complementary muon neutrino results and with all-neutrino flavor fit results. In the measured energy range we reject spectral indices γ≤2.28 at ≥3σ significance level. Because of high neutrino energy resolution and low atmospheric neutrino backgrounds, this analysis provides the most detailed characterization of the neutrino flux at energies below ~100 TeV compared to previous IceCube results. Results from fits assuming more complex neutrino flux models suggest a flux softening at high energies and a flux hardening at low energies (p value ≥0.06). The sizable and smooth flux measured below ~100 TeV remains a puzzle. In order to not violate the isotropic diffuse gamma-ray background as measured by the Fermi Large Area Telescope, it suggests the existence of astrophysical neutrino sources characterized by dense environments which are opaque to gamma rays.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Dark energy survey: Modeling strategy for multiprobe cluster cosmology and validation for the full six-year dataset

Here, we introduce an updated To&Krause2021 model for joint analyses of cluster abundances and large-scale two-point correlations of weak lensing and galaxy and cluster clustering (termed CL+3×2 pt analysis) and validate that this model meets the systematic accuracy requirements of analyses with the statistical precision of the final Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 6 (Y6) dataset. The validation program consists of two distinct approaches, (i) identification of modeling and parametrization choices and impact studies using simulated analyses with each possible model misspecification and (ii) end-to-end validation using mock catalogs from customized Cardinal simulations that incorporate realistic galaxy populations and DES-Y6-specific galaxy and cluster selection and photometric redshift modeling, which are the key observational systematics. In combination, these validation tests indicate that the model presented here meets the accuracy requirements of DES-Y6 for CL+3×2 pt based on a large list of tests for known systematics. In addition, we also validate that the model is sufficient for several other data combinations: the CL+GC subset of this data vector (excluding galaxy–galaxy lensing and cosmic shear two-point statistics) and the CL+3×2 pt+BAO+SN (combination of CL+3×2 pt with the previously published Y6 DES baryonic acoustic oscillation and Y5 supernovae data).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Occasions for laughter and dementia risk: Findings from a six‐year cohort study

Aim Currently, there is little evidence on the relationship between laughter and the risk of dementia, and since laughter is mainly a social behavior, we aimed to examine the association between various occasions for laughter and the risk of dementia in Japanese older adults. Methods We draw upon 6‐year follow‐up data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study, including 12 165 independent older adults aged 65 years or over. Occasions for laughter were assessed using a questionnaire, while dementia was diagnosed using the standardized dementia scale of the long‐term care insurance system in Japan. Cox proportional hazards models were estimated, yielding hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results The multivariable hazard ratio of dementia incidence for all participants in the groups for high versus low variety of occasions for laughter was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.72–0.98, P for trend <0.001). A greater variety of occasions for laughter was associated with a lower risk of dementia 0.78 (95% CI: 0.63–0.96, P for trend <0.001) among women, but was less pronounced for men, with significant associations only for the medium group. Laughing during conversations with friends, communicating with children or grandchildren, and listening to the radio were primarily associated with decreased risk. Conclusion A greater variety of laughter occasions in individual and social settings was associated with a reduced risk of dementia. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; 22: 392–398 .

Wang, Yu↗

Multi-dimensional resilience: A quantitative exploration of disease outcomes and economic, political, and social resilience to the COVID-19 pandemic in six countries

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted a need for better understanding of countries’ vulnerability and resilience to not only pandemics but also disasters, climate change, and other systemic shocks. A comprehensive characterization of vulnerability can inform efforts to improve infrastructure and guide disaster response in the future. In this paper, we propose a data-driven framework for studying countries’ vulnerability and resilience to incident disasters across multiple dimensions of society. To illustrate this methodology, we leverage the rich data landscape surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic to characterize observed resilience for several countries (USA, Brazil, India, Sweden, New Zealand, and Israel) as measured by pandemic impacts across a variety of social, economic, and political domains. We also assess how observed responses and outcomes (i.e., resilience) of the COVID-19 pandemic are associated with pre-pandemic characteristics or vulnerabilities, including (1) prior risk for adverse pandemic outcomes due to population density and age and (2) the systems in place prior to the pandemic that may impact the ability to respond to the crisis, including health infrastructure and economic capacity. Our work demonstrates the importance of viewing vulnerability and resilience in a multi-dimensional way, where a country’s resources and outcomes related to vulnerability and resilience can differ dramatically across economic, political, and social domains. This work also highlights key gaps in our current understanding about vulnerability and resilience and a need for data-driven, context-specific assessments of disaster vulnerability in the future.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The Dark Energy Survey Six-Year Calibration Star Catalog

This Technical Note presents a catalog of calibrated reference stars that was generated by the Forward Calibration Method (FGCM) pipeline (arXiv:1706.01542) as part of the FGCM photometric calibration of the full Dark Energy Survey (DES) 6-Year data set (Y6). This catalog provides DES grizY magnitudes for 17 million stars with i-band magnitudes mostly in the range 16 < i < 21 spread over the full DES footprint covering 5000 square degrees over the Southern Galactic Cap at galactic latitudes b < -20 degrees (plus a few outlying fields disconnected from the main survey footprint). These stars are calibrated to a uniformity of better than 1.8 milli-mag (0.18%) RMS over the survey area. The absolute calibration of the catalog is computed with reference to the STISNIC.007 spectrum of the Hubble Space Telescope CalSpec standard star C26202; including systematic errors, the absolute flux system is known at the approximately 1% level. As such, these stars provide a useful reference catalog for calibrating grizY-band or grizY-like band photometry in the Southern Hemisphere, particularly for observations within the DES footprint.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Freewheeling: What Six Locations, 61,000 Trips, and 242,000 Miles in Colorado Reveal About How E-Bikes Improve Mobility Options

E-bikes have been quickly growing in popularity in recent years. Access to e-bikes poses an opportunity to improve mobility options as a comparatively inexpensive yet similarly convenient alternative to car ownership. This study focuses on the outcomes of the CanBikeCO program developed by the Colorado Energy Office (CEO) that provided e-bikes to low-income users in sites across Colorado. This is the first large-scale, longitudinal evaluation of how privately-owned e-bikes are used, revealing energy, emissions, and behavior implications. The evaluation indicates that e-bikes primarily replaced driving alone. They were primarily used to access employment opportunities, although their use spanned the spectrum of mobility needs. They were popular among low-income, disadvantaged participants, with the greatest usage in the < $25,000 income bracket and by those who did not have access to a household vehicle. They have similar proportions to driving alone and shared rides for trips under 5 miles, so are a viable alternative for the majority of trips in the United States. Finally, they are competitive with cars in the number of destinations that can be reached in a given time, especially in urban cores and areas with good bicycling infrastructure. Analysis of the CanBikeCO pilot program revealed that e-bikes are a viable alternative to larger motorized modes, particularly for disadvantaged communities who may not have a variety of other mobility options. With supporting land use and infrastructure, their high energy efficiency can support substantial energy and emissions impacts due to mode shift, even in smaller communities. We will expand on these themes in a comprehensive paper to be released later this year.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Destructive PIE and Safety Testing of Six AGR-5/6/7 Capsule 2 Compacts

This study evaluates fission product retention and particle failure mechanisms in AGR-5/6/7 Capsule 2 uranium carbide and uranium oxide (UCO) tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuel under high-temperature gas reactor accident-relevant conditions using high-temperature safety tests and destructive postirradiation examination. Three Capsule 2 compacts were held isothermally at 1600°C for approximately 300 hours and one compact at 1800°C for approximately 300 hours; two additional compacts were examined in the as-irradiated state. Post-test deconsolidation–leach–burn–leach (DLBL) quantified nuclide inventories in matrix and particles. Individual particles were surveyed for radioisotope inventories, and microanalytical approaches resolved microstructural evolution and fission product distributions within the coating layers. At 1600°C, no krypton was detected above the minimum detectable limit, and cesium releases were far below a single particle equivalent, indicating the absence of full TRISO failure or SiC failures. Silver releases were limited and primarily reflected depleted postirradiation inventories, consistent with prior compact-level exams indicating substantial in-pile 110mAg loss. At 1800°C, cumulative 134Cs release of approximately 2.5 particle equivalents and delayed 85Kr totaling approximately 0.53 particle equivalents were consistent with one full TRISO failure and two SiC failures. Europium and strontium releases were roughly one order of magnitude higher than at 1600°C and comparable to AGR-1/AGR-2 high-temperature tests, with sustained late-hold rates indicating diffusion through intact coatings coupled with matrix depletion. Overall, AGR-5/6/7 Capsule 2 UCO fuel demonstrated fission product retention during safety testing consistent with prior AGR campaigns, while distinctive in-pile 110mAg depletion and measurable 1600°C europium loss motivate targeted follow-on studies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Destructive PIE and Safety Testing of Six AGR-5/6/7 Capsule 2 Compacts

This study evaluates fission product retention and particle failure mechanisms in AGR-5/6/7 Capsule 2 uranium carbide and uranium oxide (UCO) tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuel under high-temperature gas reactor accident-relevant conditions using high-temperature safety tests and destructive post-irradiation examination. Three Capsule 2 compacts were held isothermally at 1600°C for approximately 300 hours and one compact at 1800°C for approximately 300 hours; two additional compacts were examined in the as-irradiated state. Post-test deconsolidation–leach–burn–leach (DLBL) quantified nuclide inventories in matrix and particles. Individual particles were surveyed for radioisotope inventories, and microanalytical approaches resolved microstructural evolution and fission product distributions within the coating layers. At 1600°C, no krypton was detected above the minimum detectable limit, and cesium releases were far below a single particle equivalent, indicating the absence of full TRISO failure or SiC failures. Silver releases were limited and primarily reflected depleted post-irradiation inventories, consistent with prior compact-level exams indicating substantial in-pile 110m Ag loss. At 1800°C, cumulative 134 Cs release of approximately 2.5 particle equivalents and delayed 85 Kr totaling approximately 0.53 particle equivalents were consistent with one full TRISO failure and two SiC failures. Europium and strontium releases were roughly one order of magnitude higher than at 1600°C and comparable to AGR-1/AGR-2 high-temperature tests, with sustained late-hold rates indicating diffusion through intact coatings coupled with matrix depletion. Overall, AGR-5/6/7 Capsule 2 UCO fuel demonstrated fission product retention during safety testing consistent with prior AGR campaigns, while distinctive in-pile 110m Ag depletion and measurable 1600°C europium loss motivate targeted follow-on studies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

JCZ3: An Equation of State Based on the Exponential-Six Intermolecular Potential – Update: Formulation

This report presents a comprehensive analysis of the JCZ3 equation of state (EOS) as implemented in the TIGER code, focusing on its thermodynamic framework, mathematical formulations, and implications for modeling gas phase behavior under varying conditions. Overall, the report affirms the TIGER code's foundational robustness and its potential as a valuable tool for simulating high-pressure, high-temperature gas mixtures, while also highlighting areas for further refinement and validation.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗