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At least 415 records · Page 23

Assessment of Natural and Anthropogenic Aerosol Air Pollution In the Middle East Using MERRA-2, CAMS Data Assimilation Products, and High-Resolution WRF-Chem Model Simulations

Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications v.2 (MERRA-2), Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service Operational Analysis (CAMS-OA), and a high-resolution regional Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem) were used to evaluate natural and anthropogenic particulate matter (PM) air pollution in the Middle East (ME) during 2015–2016. Two Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) retrievals – combined product Deep Blue and Deep Target (MODIS-DB&DT) and Multi-Angle Implementation of Atmospheric Correction (MAIAC) – and Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) aerosol optical depth (AOD) observations as well as in situ PM measurements for 2016 were used for validation of the WRF-Chem output and both assimilation products. MERRA-2 and CAMS-OA assimilate AOD observations. WRF-Chem is a free-running model, but dust emission in WRF-Chem is tuned to fit AOD and aerosol volume size distributions obtained from AERONET. MERRA-2 was used to construct WRF-Chem initial and boundary conditions both for meteorology and chemical and aerosol species. SO2 emissions in WRF-Chem are based on the novel OMI-HTAP SO2 emission dataset. The correlation with the AERONET AOD is highest for MERRA-2 (0.72–0.91), MAIAC (0.63–0.96), and CAMSOA (0.65–0.87), followed by MODIS-DB&DT (0.56–0.84) and WRF-Chem (0.43–0.85). However, CAMS-OA has a relatively high positive mean bias with respect to AERONET AOD. The spatial distributions of seasonally averaged AODs from WRF-Chem, assimilation products, and MAIAC are well correlated with MODIS-DB&DT AOD product. MAIAC has the highest correlation (R = 0.8), followed by MERRA-2 (R = 0.66), CAMS-OA (R = 0.65), and WRF-Chem (R = 0.61). WRF-Chem, MERRA-2, and MAIAC underestimate and CAMS-OA overestimates MODIS-DB&DT AOD. The simulated and observed PM concentrations might differ by a factor of 2 because it is more challenging for the model and the assimilation products to reproduce PM concentration measured within the city. Although aerosol fields in WRF-Chem and assimilation products are entirely consistent, WRF-Chem is preferable for analysis of regional air quality over the ME due to its higher spatial resolution and better SO2 emissions. The WRF-Chem’s PM background concentrations exceed the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines over the entire ME. Mineral dust is the major contributor to PM (≈ 75%–95%) compared to other aerosol types. Near and downwind from the SO2 emission sources, non-dust aerosols (primarily sulfate) contribute up to 30% to PM(sub 2.5). The contribution of sea salt to PM in coastal regions can reach 5%. The contributions of organic matter, black carbon and organic carbon to PM over the Middle East are insignificant. In the major cities over the Arabian Peninsula, the 90th percentile of PM(sub 10) and PM(sub 2.5) (particles with diameters less than 10 and 2.5 μm, respectively) daily mean surface concentrations exceed the corresponding Kingdom of Saudi Arabia air quality limits. The contribution of the non-dust component to PM(sub 2.5) is < 25%, which limits the emission control effect on air quality. The mitigation of the dust effect on air quality requires the development of environment-based approaches like growing tree belts around the cities and enhancing in-city vegetation cover. The WRF-Chem configuration presented in this study could be a prototype of a future air quality forecast system that warns the population against air pollution hazards.

Alexander Ukhov↗

A modular BLSS simulation model

A bioregenerative life support system (BLSS) for extraterrestrial use will be faced with coordination problems more acute than those in any ecosystem found on Earth. A related problem in BLSS design is providing an interface between the various life support processors, one that will allow for their coordination while still allowing for system expansion. A modular model is presented of a BLSS that interfaces system processors only with the material storage reservoirs, allowing those reservoirs to act as the principal buffers in the system and thus minimizing difficulties with processor coordination. The modular nature of the model allows independent development of the detailed submodels that exist within the model framework. Using this model, BLSS dynamics were investigated under normal conditions and under various failure modes. Partial and complete failures of various components, such as the waste processors or the plants themselves, drive transient responses in the model system, allowing the examination of the effectiveness of the system reservoirs as buffers. The results from simulations help to determine control strategies and BLSS design requirements. An evolved version could be used as an interactive control aid in a future BLSS.

Rummel, John D.↗

Modeling, simulation, and flight characteristics of an aircraft designed to fly at 100,000 feet

A manned real time simulation of a conceptual vehicle, the stratoplane, was developed to study the problems associated with the flight characteristics of a large, lightweight vehicle. Mathematical models of the aerodynamics, mass properties, and propulsion system were developed in support of the simulation and are presented. The simulation was at first conducted without control augmentation to determine the needs for a control system. The unaugmented flying qualities were dominated by lightly damped dutch roll oscillations. Constant pilot workloads were needed at high altitudes. Control augmentation was studied using basic feedbacks. For the longitudinal axis, flight path angle, and pitch rate feedback were sufficient to damp the phugoid mode and to provide good flying qualities. In the lateral directional axis, bank angle, roll rate, and yaw rate feedbacks were sufficient to provide a safe vehicle with acceptable handling qualities. Intentionally stalling the stratoplane to very high angles of attack (deep stall) was studied as a means of enable safe and rapid descent. It was concluded that the deep stall maneuver is viable for this class of vehicle.

Sim, Alex G.↗

Simulation Modeling for Off-Nominal Conditions - Where Are We Today?

The modeling of aircraft flight characteris4cs in off-nominal or otherwise adverse conditions has become increasingly important for simulation in the loss-of-control arena. Adverse conditions include environmentally-induced upsets such as wind shear or wake vortex encounters; off-nominal flight conditions, such as stall or departure; on-board systems failures; and structural failures or aircraft damage. Spirited discussions in the research community are taking place as to the fidelity and data requirements for adequate representation of vehicle dynamics under such conditions for a host of research areas, including recovery training, flight controls development, trajectory guidance/planning, and envelope limiting. The increasing need for multiple sources of data (empirical, computational, experimental) for modeling across a larger flight envelope leads to challenges in developing methods of appropriately applying or combining such data, particularly in a dynamic flight environment with a physically and/or aerodynamically asymmetric vehicle. Traditional simplifications and symmetry assumptions in current modeling methodology may no longer be valid. Furthermore, once modeled, challenges abound in the validation of flight dynamics characteristics in adverse flight regimes

Shah, Gautam H.↗

Importance of Model Simulations in Cassini In-Flight Mission Events

Simulation environments have been an integral part of Cassini's heritage. From the time of flight software development and testing to the beginning of the spacecraft's extended mission operations, both softsim and hardware-in-the-loop testbeds have played vital roles in verifying and validating key mission events. Satellite flybys and mission-critical events have established the need to model Titan's atmospheric torque, Enceladus' plume density, and other key parametric spacecraft environments. This paper will focus on enhancements to Cassini's Flight Software Development System (FSDS) and Integrated Test Laboratory (ITL) to model key event attributes which establish valid test environments and ensure safe spacecraft operability. Comparisons between simulated to in-flight data are presented which substantiate model validity.

FSDS↗

Ocean-Atmosphere Coupled Model Simulations of Precipitation in the Central Andes

The meridional extent and complex orography of the South American continent contributes to a wide diversity of climate regimes ranging from hyper-arid deserts to tropical rainforests to sub-polar highland regions. In addition, South American meteorology and climate are also made further complicated by ENSO, a powerful coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon. Modelling studies in this region have typically resorted to either atmospheric mesoscale or atmosphere-ocean coupled global climate models. The latter offers full physics and high spatial resolution, but it is computationally inefficient typically lack an interactive ocean, whereas the former offers high computational efficiency and ocean-atmosphere coupling, but it lacks adequate spatial and temporal resolution to adequate resolve the complex orography and explicitly simulate precipitation. Explicit simulation of precipitation is vital in the Central Andes where rainfall rates are light (0.5-5 mm hr-1), there is strong seasonality, and most precipitation is associated with weak mesoscale-organized convection. Recent increases in both computational power and model development have led to the advent of coupled ocean-atmosphere mesoscale models for both weather and climate study applications. These modelling systems, while computationally expensive, include two-way ocean-atmosphere coupling, high resolution, and explicit simulation of precipitation. In this study, we use the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST), a fully-coupled mesoscale atmosphere-ocean modeling system. Previous work has shown COAWST to reasonably simulate the entire 2003-2004 wet season (Dec-Feb) as validated against both satellite and model analysis data when ECMWF interim analysis data were used for boundary conditions on a 27-9-km grid configuration (Outer grid extent: 60.4S to 17.7N and 118.6W to 17.4W).

Regional Climate Model↗

Kiwi-TNT Simulation Model [Slides]

The Kiwi-TNT Test (Toonerville Trolley) was performed on January 12, 1965. LANL has the objective: "LANL will develop a defensible methodology for establishing the maximum number of fissions for postulated inadvertent criticality events. The methodology may include several methods, such as hand calculations, sophisticated modeling, and the use of historical data.” The historic test, Kiwi TNT, posed a starting point for predictive simulations to determine the number of fissions and excursion understanding. This presentation gives results of that effort.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

The analysis of delays in simulator digital computing systems. Volume 1: Formulation of an analysis approach using a central example simulator model

The effects of spurious delays in real time digital computing systems are examined. Various sources of spurious delays are defined and analyzed using an extant simulator system as an example. A specific analysis procedure is set forth and four cases are viewed in terms of their time and frequency domain characteristics. Numerical solutions are obtained for three single rate one- and two-computer examples, and the analysis problem is formulated for a two-rate, two-computer example.

Heffley, R. K.↗

Statistical and Probabilistic Extensions to Ground Operations' Discrete Event Simulation Modeling

NASA's human exploration initiatives will invest in technologies, public/private partnerships, and infrastructure, paving the way for the expansion of human civilization into the solar system and beyond. As it is has been for the past half century, the Kennedy Space Center will be the embarkation point for humankind's journey into the cosmos. Functioning as a next generation space launch complex, Kennedy's launch pads, integration facilities, processing areas, launch and recovery ranges will bustle with the activities of the world's space transportation providers. In developing this complex, KSC teams work through the potential operational scenarios: conducting trade studies, planning and budgeting for expensive and limited resources, and simulating alternative operational schemes. Numerous tools, among them discrete event simulation (DES), were matured during the Constellation Program to conduct such analyses with the purpose of optimizing the launch complex for maximum efficiency, safety, and flexibility while minimizing life cycle costs. Discrete event simulation is a computer-based modeling technique for complex and dynamic systems where the state of the system changes at discrete points in time and whose inputs may include random variables. DES is used to assess timelines and throughput, and to support operability studies and contingency analyses. It is applicable to any space launch campaign and informs decision-makers of the effects of varying numbers of expensive resources and the impact of off nominal scenarios on measures of performance. In order to develop representative DES models, methods were adopted, exploited, or created to extend traditional uses of DES. The Delphi method was adopted and utilized for task duration estimation. DES software was exploited for probabilistic event variation. A roll-up process was used, which was developed to reuse models and model elements in other less - detailed models. The DES team continues to innovate and expand DES capabilities to address KSC's planning needs.

Trocine, Linda↗

Time-partitioning simulation models for calculation on parallel computers

A technique allowing time-staggered solution of partial differential equations is presented in this report. Using this technique, called time-partitioning, simulation execution speedup is proportional to the number of processors used because all processors operate simultaneously, with each updating of the solution grid at a different time point. The technique is limited by neither the number of processors available nor by the dimension of the solution grid. Time-partitioning was used to obtain the flow pattern through a cascade of airfoils, modeled by the Euler partial differential equations. An execution speedup factor of 1.77 was achieved using a two processor Cray X-MP/24 computer.

Milner, Edward J.↗

Time-partitioning simulation models for calculation of parallel computers

A technique allowing time-staggered solution of partial differential equations is presented in this report. Using this technique, called time-partitioning, simulation execution speedup is proportional to the number of processors used because all processors operate simultaneously, with each updating of the solution grid at a different time point. The technique is limited by neither the number of processors available nor by the dimension of the solution grid. Time-partitioning was used to obtain the flow pattern through a cascade of airfoils, modeled by the Euler partial differential equations. An execution speedup factor of 1.77 was achieved using a two processor Cray X-MP/24 computer.

Milner, Edward J.↗

Impacts of secondary ice production on Arctic mixed-phase clouds based on ARM observations and CAM6 single-column model simulations

For decades, measured ice crystal number concentrations have been found to be orders of magnitude higher than measured ice-nucleating particle number concentrations in moderately cold clouds. This observed discrepancy reveals the existence of secondary ice production (SIP) in addition to the primary ice nucleation. However, the importance of SIP relative to primary ice nucleation remains highly unclear. Furthermore, most weather and climate models do not represent SIP processes well, leading to large biases in simulated cloud properties. This study demonstrates a first attempt to represent different SIP mechanisms (frozen raindrop shattering, ice–ice collisional breakup, and rime splintering) in a global climate model (GCM). The model is run in the single column mode to facilitate comparisons with the Department of Energy (DOE)'s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Mixed-Phase Arctic Cloud Experiment (M-PACE) observations. We show the important role of SIP in four types of clouds during M-PACE (i.e., multilayer, single-layer stratus, transition, and frontal clouds), with the maximum enhancement in ice crystal number concentrations up to 4 orders of magnitude in moderately supercooled clouds. We reveal that SIP is the dominant source of ice crystals near the cloud base for the long-lived Arctic single-layer mixed-phase clouds. The model with SIP improves the occurrence and phase partitioning of the mixed-phase clouds, reverses the vertical distribution pattern of ice number concentrations, and provides a better agreement with observations. The findings of this study highlight the importance of considering SIP in GCMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Diagnostic analysis and spectral energetics of a blocking event in the GLAS climate model simulation

A synoptic and spectral analysis of a blocking event is presented, with attention given to the temporal evolution, maintenance, and decay of the block. The GLAS numerical climate model was used to generate a blocking event by the introduction of SST anomalies. Wavenumbers 2 and 3 became stationary around their climatological locations, and their constructive interference produced persistent blocking ridges over the west coast of North America and the other over western Europe. Time variations of the kinetic and potential energies and energy conversions during the blocking were performed. Spectrally filtered Hovmoller diagrams were developed for the winter of 1976-77, and showed that long waves were stationary over most of the interval, which featured severe weather conditions.

Chen, T.-C.↗

Forward flight trim calculation and frequency response validation of a high-order helicopter simulation model

This paper describes a new trim procedure, that includes the calculation of the steady-state response of the rotor blades, and that is applicable to straight flight and steady coordinated turns. This paper also describes the results of a validation study for a high order linearized model of helicopter flight dynamics, that includes rotor, inflow, and actuator dynamics. The model is obtained by numerical perturbations of a nonlinear, blade element type mathematical model. Predicted responses are compared with flight test data for two values of flight speed. The comparison is carried out in the frequency domain. Numerical simulations show that the trim algorithm is very accurate, and preserves the periodicity of the aircraft states. The results also indicate that the predictions of the linearized model are in good agreement with flight test data, especially at medium and high frequencies.

Kim, Frederick D.↗

Evaluation of Human Spaceflight-Related Tissue Weight Relief Using Whole Body Finite Element Model Simulations

Tissue Weight Relief (TWR) is a physiological condition observed in human spaceflight. It not only impacts the injury biomechanics of soft tissue but also the physiological responses of the cardiovascular system both due to fluid redistribution and the effect of tissue-related transmural pressure on the large venous blood vessels. Understanding the effects of tissue weight relief is especially important because of the role it may play in understanding the cause of Space Associated Neuro-Ocular Syndrome (SANS). SANS can be characterized by a number of ocular changes which reduce visual acuity and SANS related symptoms occur in up to 51% of astronauts. A prevailing theory for the causation of SANS is that of headward (cephalad) fluid shift and a prolonged increase of Intracranial Pressure (ICP) similar to intracranial hypertension, which is not fully supported by the experimental data or astronaut symptom reporting. However, it is still believed that SANS is caused by a pressure change in the eye and the surrounding tissues. It has been proposed that TWR plays a substantial role in affecting internal pressures and fluid shifts in microgravity. In this effort, two whole-body Finite Element (FE) models – Elemance and THUMS – are used to ascertain the microgravity-associated TWR of the musculature surrounding the lower body veins. Elemance and THUMS are physics-based computational models that have been validated and verified for several automotive and domestic applications, and as such, can simulate the relief of soft tissue weight due to changes in the gravitation vector. Specifically, the current effort modeled the transition of the gravitational vector from 1G to 0G, applied across the whole-body model in a supine position. For each 1G to 0G transition simulation, the lower body vein’s transmural pressure-time profile was extracted and averaged around the anterior portion of the thigh muscle. The ascertained transmural pressure changes from 1G to 0G transition are given in Figure 1 for the Elemance and the THUMS FE models. The transmural pressure changes of 10 mmHg and 21 mmHg are in the same order of magnitude as Lu’s value of 44 mmHg. It is to be noted that Lu implemented a 0D to 1D lumped parameter model and the Elemance and THUMS are 3D higher order computational models. This proof-of-concept approach demonstrates that TWR pressure can be adequately estimated with in silico techniques however, further in silico investigations need to be conducted to address the unique contributions to the transmural pressure from each of the computational models.

Finite element modeling↗

Computational Experiment Design for Operations Model Simulation

Computer simulations that demonstrate the value of novel approaches are crucial to developing more flexible and robust power systems operations with high penetrations of renewable energy at multiple geographic and temporal scales. However, optimization-based simulations that depend on forecast data often face challenges in evaluating performance, reproducing results, and testing under realistic simulation scenarios. In this paper, we develop scientific computing best-practices for the validation and reproduction of power systems operational models. We then employ two case studies to demonstrate the proposed validation and reproduction framework.

MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING,POWER TRANSMISSION AND D↗

Development of test methods for scale model simulation of aerial applications in the NASA Langley Vortex Research Facility

As part of basic research to improve aerial applications technology, methods were developed at the Langley Vortex Research Facility to simulate and measure deposition patterns of aerially-applied sprays and granular materials by means of tests with small-scale models of agricultural aircraft and dynamically-scaled test particles. Interactions between the aircraft wake and the dispersed particles are being studied with the objective of modifying wake characteristics and dispersal techniques to increase swath width, improve deposition pattern uniformity, and minimize drift. The particle scaling analysis, test methods for particle dispersal from the model aircraft, visualization of particle trajectories, and measurement and computer analysis of test deposition patterns are described. An experimental validation of the scaling analysis and test results that indicate improved control of chemical drift by use of winglets are presented to demonstrate test methods.

Jordan, F. L., Jr.↗

Development of test methods for scale model simulation of aerial applications in the NASA Langley Vortex Facility

Methods have been developed at the Langley Vortex Research Facility to simulate and measure the deposition patterns of aerially applied sprays and granular materials by means of tests with small-scale models of agricultural and dynamically scaled test particles. Interactions between the aircraft wake and the dispersed particles are studied with the aim of modifying wake characteristics and dispersal techniques in order to increase swath width, improve deposition pattern uniformity, and minimize drift. This paper examines the particle sizing analysis, test methods for particle dispersal from the model aircraft, and measurement and computer analysis of test deposition patterns. Results that indicate improved control of chemical drift by winglets are presented to demonstrate test methods.

Jordan, F. L., Jr.↗