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At least 415 records · Page 23

Case study on climate change effects and food security in Southeast Asia

Agriculture, a cornerstone of human civilization, faces rising challenges from climate change, resource limitations, and stagnating yields. Precise crop production forecasts are crucial for shaping trade policies, development strategies, and humanitarian initiatives. This study introduces a comprehensive machine learning framework designed to predict crop production. We leverage CMIP5 climate projections under a moderate carbon emission scenario to evaluate the future suitability of agricultural lands and incorporate climatic data, historical agricultural trends, and fertilizer usage to project yield changes. Our integrated approach forecasts significant regional variations in crop production across Southeast Asia by 2028, identifying potential cropland utilization. Specifically, the cropland area in Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Viet Nam is projected to decline by more than 10% if no action is taken, and there is potential to mitigate that loss. Moreover, rice production is projected to decline by 19% in Viet Nam and 7% in Thailand, while the Philippines may see a 5% increase compared to 2021 levels. Our findings underscore the critical impacts of climate change and human activities on agricultural productivity, offering essential insights for policy-making and fostering international cooperation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Laser Doppler velocimeter measurement in the tip region of a compressor rotor

The axial and tangential velocity components near the tip region of a compressor rotor were measured by a laser Doppler velocimeter. The measurements were taken at 25 radial locations in the outer twenty percent of the blade span and at 10 axial locations upstream, inside and at the exit of the rotor. The results are interpreted to derive the behavior of the leakage flow, annulus wall boundary layer growth, inviscid effects and the rotor wake decay characteristics in the tip region. The inviscid and annulus wall boundary layer effects dominate up to quarter chord, beyond which the leakage phenomena has a major influence in altering the flow characteristics in the outer ten percent of the blade span. The annulus wall boundary layer undergoes drastic change through the passage. The velocity field measured near the leading edge reveals the effects of rapid acceleration near the suction surface and the stagnation point on the pressure surface.

Murthy, K. N. S.↗

On a class of unsteady three-dimensional Navier Stokes solutions relevant to rotating disc flows: Threshold amplitudes and finite time singularities

A class of exact steady and unsteady solutions of the Navier Stokes equations in cylindrical polar coordinates is given. The flows correspond to the motion induced by an infinite disc rotating with constant angular velocity about the z-axis in a fluid occupying a semi-infinite region which, at large distances from the disc, has velocity field proportional to (x,-y,O) with respect to a Cartesian coordinate system. It is shown that when the rate of rotation is large, Karman's exact solution for a disc rotating in an otherwise motionless fluid is recovered. In the limit of zero rotation rate a particular form of Howarth's exact solution for three-dimensional stagnation point flow is obtained. The unsteady form of the partial differential system describing this class of flow may be generalized to time-periodic equilibrium flows. In addition the unsteady equations are shown to describe a strongly nonlinear instability of Karman's rotating disc flow. It is shown that sufficiently large perturbations lead to a finite time breakdown of that flow whilst smaller disturbances decay to zero. If the stagnation point flow at infinity is sufficiently strong, the steady basic states become linearly unstable. In fact there is then a continuous spectrum of unstable eigenvalues of the stability equations but, if the initial value problem is considered, it is found that, at large values of time, the continuous spectrum leads to a velocity field growing exponentially in time with an amplitude decaying algebraically in time.

Hall, Philip↗

Experimental Investigation at Mach Number 3.0 of the Effects of Thermal Stress and Buckling on the Flutter of Four-Bay Aluminum Alloy Panels with Length-Width Ratios of 10

Skin-stiffener aluminum alloy panels consisting of four bays, each bay having a length-width ratio of 10, were tested at a Mach number of 3.0 at dynamic pressures ranging from 1,500 psf to 5,000 psf and at stagnation temperatures from 300 F to 655 F. The panels were restrained by the supporting structure in such a manner that partial thermal expansion of the skins could occur in both the longitudinal and lateral directions. A boundary faired through the experimental flutter points consisted of a flat-panel portion, a buckled-panel portion, and a transition point at the intersection of the two boundaries. In the region where a panel must be flat when flutter occurs, an increase in panel skin temperature (or midplane compressive stress) makes the panel more susceptible to flutter. In the region where a panel must be buckled when flutter occurs, the flutter trend is reversed. This reversal in trend is attributed to the panel postbuckling behavior.

Dixon, Sidney C.↗

Thermal Protection System Evaluation Using Arc-jet Flows: Flight Simulation or Research Tool?

The arc-jet has been used to evaluate thermal protection systems (TPS) and materials for the past forty years. Systems that have been studied in this environmerd include ablators, active, and passive TPS concepts designed for vehicles entering planetary and Earth atmospheres. The question of whether arc-jet flow can simulate a flight environment or is it a research tool that provides an aero-thermodynamic heating environment to obtain critical material properties will be addressed. Stagnation point tests in arc-jets are commonly used to obtain material properties such as mass loss rates, thermal chemical stability data, optical properties, and surface catalytic efficiency. These properties are required in computational fluid dynamic codes to accurately predict the performance of a TPS during flight. Special facilities have been developed at NASA Ames Research Center to approximate the flow environment over the mid-fuselage and body flap regions of proposed space-planes type vehicles. This paper compares flow environments generated in flight over a vehicle with those created over an arc-jet test articles in terms of scale, chemistry, and fluid dynamic properties. Flight experiments are essential in order to validate the material properties obtained from arc-jet tests and used to predict flight performance of any TPS being considered for use on a vehicle entering the Earth atmosphere at hypersonic speed.

Stewart, David A.↗

Forebody and base region real gas flow in severe planetary entry by a factored implicit numerical method. II - Equilibrium reactive gas

The factored-implicit, gas-dynamic algorithm has been adapted to the numerical simulation of equilibrium reactive flows. Changes required in the perfect gas version of the algorithm are developed, and the method of coupling gas-dynamic and chemistry variables is discussed. A flow-field solution that approximates a Jovian entry case was obtained by this method and compared with the same solution obtained by HYVIS, a computer program much used for the study of planetary entry. Comparison of surface pressure distribution and stagnation line shock-layer profiles indicates that the two solutions agree well.

Davy, W. C.↗

Stagnation Flow in Thin Streamer Boundaries

Slow solar wind is believed to arise in the legs or near the cusp of streamers, inside the brightness boundary. In an earlier study, we used an analytic model of flow in this layer to analyze the effect of the magnetic field on the geometry of the flow. That study successfully described those conditions that can lead to a decrease of the flow speed with increasing height near the cusp of the closed magnetic helmet inside a streamer. The model was, however, restricted to a radial brightness boundary on the streamer and hence to a relatively thick outflow region near the cusp. Here, this restriction is relaxed through the explicit introduction of a coronal hole-like region outside the brightness boundary. We use the model to describe flow solutions for outflow in a thin layer inside the brightness boundary. The flow geometry now can be constrictive above the cusp and we show solutions of this type. We fail to find solutions in which the geometry alone leads to slow flow but give a more general description than before of conditions favoring slow flow and, consequently, gravitational settling in the legs of streamers.

Nerney, S.↗

Stagnation Flow in Thin Streamer Boundaries

Slow solar wind is believed to arise in the legs or near the cusp of streamers, inside the brightness boundary. In an earlier study, we used an analytic model of flow in this layer to analyze the effect of the magnetic field on the geometry of the flow. That study successfully described those conditions that can lead to a decrease of the flow speed with increasing height near the cusp of the closed magnetic helmet inside a streamer. The model was, however, restricted to a radial brightness boundary on the streamer and hence to a relatively thick outflow region near the cusp. Here this restriction is relaxed through the explicit introduction of a coronal hole-like region outside the brightness boundary. We use the model to describe flow solutions for outflow in a thin layer inside the brightness boundary. The flow geometry now can be constrictive just above the cusp, and we show solutions of this type. Many solutions then show a diverging geometry at greater heights above the cusp, out to at least 5 solar radius. We fail to find solutions in which the geometry alone leads to slow flow but give a more general description than before of conditions favoring slow flow and, consequently, gravitational settling in the legs of streamers.

Suess, Steven T.↗

A method for the evaluation of damage on the surface of carbon-carbon ablation samples

The effect of weave geometry on the onset of transition from laminar to turbulent flow around a sample of an orthogonally woven fine weave carbon-carbon material tested in an arc-jet is investigated. Seventeen post-test models which had undergone only partial transition around the circumference were examined as to location of turbulent regions relative to the weave axes. It was statistically shown that the weave axes had the lowest probability of being a position of initial transition onset. The probability generally increased with distance from a major axis, with some rays, notably the 45 deg rays, showing better transition resistance than the adjacent rays. The incidence of initial transition onset correlated well with the number of X or Y fibers that the flow passes over from stagnation point to the shoulder.

Heinonen, E. W.↗

Solutions of the Navier-Stokes equations for vortex breakdown

Steady solutions of the Navier-Stokes equations, in terms of velocity and pressure, for breakdown in an unconfined viscous vortex are obtained numerically using the artificial compressibility technique of Chorin combined with an ADI finite-difference scheme. Axisymmetry is assumed and boundary conditions are carefully applied at the boundaries of a large finite region in an axial plane while resolution near the axis is maintained by a coordinate transformation. The solutions, which are obtained for Reynolds numbers up to 200 based on the free-stream axial velocity and a characteristic core radius, show that breakdown results from the diffusion and convection of vorticity away from the vortex core which, because of the strong coupling between the circumferential and axial velocity fields in strongly swirling flows, can lead to stagnation and reversal of the axial flow near the axis.

Grabowski, W. J.↗

Viking Afterbody Heating Computations and Comparisons to Flight Data

Computational fluid dynamics predictions of Viking Lander 1 entry vehicle afterbody heating are compared to flight data. The analysis includes a derivation of heat flux from temperature data at two base cover locations, as well as a discussion of available reconstructed entry trajectories. Based on the raw temperature-time history data, convective heat flux is derived to be 0.63-1.10 W/sq cm for the aluminum base cover at the time of thermocouple failure. Peak heat flux at the fiberglass base cover thermocouple is estimated to be 0.54-0.76 W/sq cm, occurring 16 seconds after peak stagnation point heat flux. Navier-Stokes computational solutions are obtained with two separate codes using an 8-species Mars gas model in chemical and thermal non-equilibrium. Flowfield solutions using local time-stepping did not result in converged heating at either thermocouple location. A global time-stepping approach improved the computational stability, but steady state heat flux was not reached for either base cover location. Both thermocouple locations lie within a separated flow region of the base cover that is likely unsteady. Heat flux computations averaged over the solution history are generally below the flight data and do not vary smoothly over time for both base cover locations. Possible reasons for the mismatch between flight data and flowfield solutions include underestimated conduction effects and limitations of the computational methods.

Edquist, Karl T.↗

Viking Afterbody Heating Computations and Comparisons to Flight Data

Computational fluid dynamics predictions of Viking Lander 1 entry vehicle afterbody heating are compared to flight data. The analysis includes a derivation of heat flux from temperature data at two base cover locations, as well as a discussion of available reconstructed entry trajectories. Based on the raw temperature-time history data, convective heat flux is derived to be 0.63-1.10 W/cm2 for the aluminum base cover at the time of thermocouple failure. Peak heat flux at the fiberglass base cover thermocouple is estimated to be 0.54-0.76 W/cm2, occurring 16 seconds after peak stagnation point heat flux. Navier-Stokes computational solutions are obtained with two separate codes using an 8- species Mars gas model in chemical and thermal non-equilibrium. Flowfield solutions using local time-stepping did not result in converged heating at either thermocouple location. A global time-stepping approach improved the computational stability, but steady state heat flux was not reached for either base cover location. Both thermocouple locations lie within a separated flow region of the base cover that is likely unsteady. Heat flux computations averaged over the solution history are generally below the flight data and do not vary smoothly over time for both base cover locations. Possible reasons for the mismatch between flight data and flowfield solutions include underestimated conduction effects and limitations of the computational methods.

Edquist, Karl T.↗

Experiments concerning the theories of vortex breakdown

An experimental project was undertaken to investigate the character of vortex breakdown with particular regard to the stagnation and wave guide theories of vortex breakdown. Three different wings were used to produce a trailing vortex which convected downstream without undergoing breakdown. Disturbances were then introduced onto the vortex using a moving wire to 'cut' the vortex. The development of upstream and downstream propagating disturbance waves was observed and the propagation velocities measured. A downstream traveling wave was observed to produce a structure similar in appearance to a vortex breakdown. An upstream traveling wave produced a moving turbulent region. The upstream disturbance moved into an axial velocity profile that had a wake-like defect while the downstream moving vortex breakdown moved against a jet-like overshoot. The longitudinal and swirl velocity profiles were documented by LDV measurement. Wave velocities, swirl angles, and swirl parameters are reported.

Panton, Ronald L.↗

Standoff Infrared Measurements of Chemical Plume Dynamics in Complex Terrain Using a Combination of Active Swept-ECQCL Laser Spectroscopy with Passive Hyperspectral Imaging

Chemical plume detection and modeling in complex terrain present numerous challenges. We present experimental results from outdoor releases of two chemical tracers (sulfur hexafluoride and Freon-152a) from different locations in mountainous terrain. Chemical plumes were detected using two standoff instruments collocated at a distance of 1.5 km from the plume releases. A passive long-wave infrared hyperspectral imaging system was used to show time- and space-resolved plume transport in regions near the source. An active infrared swept-wavelength external cavity quantum cascade laser system was used in a standoff configuration to measure quantitative chemical column densities with high time resolution and high sensitivity along a single measurement path. Both instruments provided chemical-specific detection of the plumes and provided complementary information over different temporal and spatial scales. The results show highly variable plume propagation dynamics near the release points, strongly dependent on the local topography and winds. Effects of plume stagnation, plume splitting, and plume mixing were all observed and are explained based on local topographic and wind conditions. Measured plume column densities at distances ~100 m from the release point show temporal fluctuations over ~1 s time scales and spatial variations over ~1 m length scales. The results highlight the need for high-speed and spatially resolved measurement techniques to provide validation data at the relevant spatial and temporal scales required for high-fidelity terrain-aware microscale plume propagation models.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Trajectory Traces of Charged Particles in the Magnetosphere

The characteristic enhancements of ring current particles with energies of about 1 to 100 keV, associated with magnetospheric substorms, were observed by Explorer 45 around the plasmapause in the afternoon to midnight region, and showed the characteristic structure called a 'nose' in the proton spectrograms. The motion of these particles in the equatorial magnetosphere, under a recently proposed convection electric field and a dipole magnetic field is described. Approximate equations of a bounce period, a second adiabatic invariant, and a bounce-average azimuthal velocity are given with inaccuracies less than about 0.001 for all pitch angles. The complete set of flow patterns of 90 deg pitch angle particles is also presented by means of stagnation lines through which radial drifts and/or azimuthal drifts change their directions. The particle tracings in the magnetosphere give a basic concept to explain the observed nose characteristics.

Ejiri, M.↗

Theoretical investigation of non-equilibrium chemistry and optical radiation in hypersonic flow fields

Future space vehicles returning from distant missions or high earth orbits may enter the upper regions of the atmosphere and use aerodynamic drag to reduce their velocity before they skip out of the atmosphere and enter low earth orbit. The Aeroassist Flight Experiment (AFE) is designed to explore the special problems encountered in such entries. A computer code was developed to calculate the radiative transport along line-or-sight in the general 3-D flow field about an arbitrary entry vehicle, if the temperatures and species concentrations along the line-of-sight are known. The radiative heating calculation at the stagnation point of the AFE vehicle along the entry trajectory was performed, including a detailed line-by-line accounting of the radiative transport in the vacuum ultraviolet (below 200 nm) by the atomic N and O lines. A method was developed for making measurements of the haze particles in the Titan atmosphere above 200 km altitude. Several other tasks of a continuing nature, to improve the technical ability to calculate the nonequilibrium gas dynamic flow field and radiative heating of entry vehicles, were completed or advanced.

Whiting, Ellis E.↗

Spherical Diffusion Flames: Structure and Dynamics

The spherical geometry is the most suitable one to study fundamental issues concerning the structure and the dynamics of diffusion flames. From a theoretical point of view, it is the only geometry that permits the existence of a truly one dimensional stationary diffusion flame. A stationary planar diffusion flame with the fuel supplied upstream, at x approaches -infinity say, and the oxidant downstream, at x approaches +infinity is not possible. For a steady diffusion flame to exist, one must have nonzero fluxes of fuel and oxidant towards the flame. However, in the unlimited region behind the planar flame the only bounded solutions to the reaction-free convective-diffusive operator are constants. Hence the oxidant concentration behind the flame remains constant and there is no mechanism to generate the necessary flux towards the flame. A one-dimensional problem can be formulated if the reactants are supplied at finite locations; but the boundary conditions in this case introduce unnecessary complications and do not appropriately model the physical reality. Indeed, a planar diffusion flame can be established in the stagnation-point flow of two opposed jets but the flame in this case is stretched and the flow is essentially two-dimensional. The only stationary one-dimensional diffusion flame in an unlimited environment is therefore the spherical flame.

Matalon, Moshe↗

Flow structures of the cross-flow over a five-layer helically coiled steam generator geometry

The helically-coiled heat exchanger (HCSG) offers advantages over straight tubes such as compactness in geometry, increased heat transfer coefficients, and capability to absorb thermal expansion. In this study, the time-resolved velocity field data of shell-side crossflow over a five-layer helically coiled steam generator geometry was obtained using Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) between adjacent rods in four regions with up to 5000 frames per second (5 kHz) at approximately Re u = 3600. The slant rod bundle created different flow patterns in different regions. Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) revealed high-energy-mode flow structures. Due to the confined flow channel geometry, the large flow structures were not advected resulting in no strong POD mode paring. Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) visualized the characteristics of flow fluctuation in time and frequency domain simultaneously, which ranged in Strouhal number, S u , between 0.03 and 1.17. In the wake regions of the rods, flows changed in both pattern and magnitude over time. Once a pattern formed, it continued for relatively shorter than straight tube arrays, before changing the pattern again. The histograms of the POD time coefficients presented this multimodal flow characteristics. The current study focuses more on whole flow field analyses in the selected regions rather than local point-wise analyses. Finally, this study revealed that various Strouhal numbers can exist in the helically coiled heat exchanger geometry, which was not observed in straight tube arrays. In particular, Strouhal numbers smaller than 0.1 do not seem to be caused by vortex shedding but seem to be the result of the combination of complex geometry and possible multimodal trends. Based on the current observation, further works would involve intensive instantaneous point-wise analyses on the interactions between important locations such as separation points, stagnation points, shear layers, etc.

42 ENGINEERING↗