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At least 415 records · Page 23

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NASA NTRS1985

Estimation of finite mixtures using the empirical characteristic function

A problem which occurs in analyzing LANDSAT scenes is the problem of separating the components of a finite mixture of several distinct probability distributions. A review of the literature indicates this is a problem which occurs in many disciplines, such as engineering, biology, physiology and economics. Many approaches to this problem have appeared in the literature; however, most are very restrictive in their assumptions or have met with only a limited degree of success when applied to realistic situations. A proceudre is investigated with combines the k-L procedure of (Feurverger and McDunnough, 1981) with the MAICE procedure of (Akaike, 1974). The feasibility of this approach is being investigated numerically via the development of a computer software package enabling a simulation study and comparison with other procedures.

Anderson, C.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Optimal airframe synthesis for gust loads

An optimization capability for sizing airframe structures that are subjected to a combination of deterministic and random flight loads was established. The random vibration environment introduces the need for selecting a statistical process that best describes the random loads and permits computation of the dynamic response parameters of interest. Furthermore, it requires a formulation of design constraints that would minimize the conservativeness in the design and retain computational viability. The random loads are treated as a stationary, homogeneous process with a Gaussian probability distribution. The formulation of the analysis problem, the structure of the optimization programming system and a representative numerical example are discussed.

Hajela, P.↗

NASA NTRS1986

A Monte Carlo study of Weibull reliability analysis for space shuttle main engine components

The incorporation of a number of additional capabilities into an existing Weibull analysis computer program and the results of Monte Carlo computer simulation study to evaluate the usefulness of the Weibull methods using samples with a very small number of failures and extensive censoring are discussed. Since the censoring mechanism inherent in the Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) data is hard to analyze, it was decided to use a random censoring model, generating censoring times from a uniform probability distribution. Some of the statistical techniques and computer programs that are used in the SSME Weibull analysis are described. The methods documented in were supplemented by adding computer calculations of approximate (using iteractive methods) confidence intervals for several parameters of interest. These calculations are based on a likelihood ratio statistic which is asymptotically a chisquared statistic with one degree of freedom. The assumptions built into the computer simulations are described. The simulation program and the techniques used in it are described there also. Simulation results are tabulated for various combinations of Weibull shape parameters and the numbers of failures in the samples.

Abernethy, K.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Calculation of charge-state ratios for satellite Tor I

The diffusion of ions in a satellite plasma torus is presently modeled in terms of a one-dimensional random walk in which the particle source is at 0, the particle sink is at an N value that is an integer greater than 2, and the scale size of the diffusion cell is unity. The probability distribution function of the number of steps to exit for an ion is obtained and used in a model which incorporates ionization by electron impact to derive steady state expressions for the ratio of doubly to singly ionized ions, as well as the total number of ions in the torus. The results thus obtained are applied to the torus of the Jovian satellite Io, in order to predict mean residence times for sulfur and oxygen ions.

Summers, D.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Boundary layer measurements on an airfoil in cascade using laser Doppler anemometry

Laser Doppler anemometry (LDA) was used to obtain detailed boundary layer data at 89.3 percent chord on the pressure surface of a double circular arc compressor blade in cascade. The measurements were taken at a chord Reynolds number of 5.0 x 10 to the 5th and a cascade angle of 53 degrees. The mean velocity, local turbulence intensity, skewness, and kurtosis were determined from the measured velocity probability distributions. The mean velocity profile and the local turbulence intensity profile had classical shapes. Also, the skewness and kurtosis had commonly observed shapes through out the boundary layer, reaching maximum values for Y/delta between 0.5 and 1.1 and Gaussian values for Y/delta greater than 1.1. A comparison was made between data taken with and without the Bragg cell and no significant differences were found.

Williams, F. W.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Reflector sidelobe degradation due to random surface errors

It is well known that the sidelobe structure of a reflector antenna is highly susceptible to random surface errors, and that in most applications it is not adequate to investigate only the average behavior of the antenna. In this study, an attempt is made to determine the probability distribution of the sidelobe level of a reflector antenna subject to some random surface errors. Specifically, the random pattern function is considered and its sidelobe level studied using the level-upcrossing theory. Both the degradation of the maximum sidelobe and the degradation of the sidelobe region with respect to an International Radio Consultative Committee (CCIR) sidelobe envelope are obtained. The theoretical results are found in excellent agreement with those obtained by Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, some useful tolerance charts are presented.

Ling, H.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Structure of turbulence in the presence of uniform shear

The structure of the vorticity field in homogeneous turbulent shear flow is analyzed using a database generated by direct numerical solution of the unsteady Navier-Stokes equations with up to 128x128x128 grid points. For two Reynolds numbers, the probability distribution of the inclination angle of the vorticity vectors, two-point correlations of the velocity and vorticity fields, and the instantaneous vorticity vectors and vortex lines in three-dimensional space were examined. It is shown that homogeneous turbulent shear flow contains a large number of horseshoe vortices. These vortices are most often found in planes inclined at 45 deg to the flow direction and are formed from the roll-up of sheets of transverse vorticity. These findings and similar results obtained in turbulent channel flow, lead to the conclusion that hairpin vortices are the characteristic vortical structures in all turbulent shear flows.

Moin, P.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Statistical properties and correlation functions for drift waves

The dissipative one-field drift wave equation is solved using the pseudospectral method to generate steady-state fluctuations. The fluctuations are analyzed in terms of space-time correlation functions and modal probability distributions. Nearly Gaussian statistics and exponential decay of the two-time correlation functions occur in the presence of electron dissipation, while in the absence of electron dissipation long-lived vortical structures occur. Formulas from renormalized, Markovianized statistical turbulence theory are given in a local approximation to interpret the dissipative turbulence.

Horton, W.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Sensitivity of an atmospheric photochemistry model to chlorine perturbations including consideration of uncertainty propagation

Models of stratospheric photochemistry are generally tested by comparing their predictions for the composition of the present atmosphere with measurements of species concentrations. These models are then used to make predictions of the atmospheric sensitivity to perturbations. Here the problem of the sensitivity of such a model to chlorine perturbations ranging from the present influx of chlorine-containing compounds to several times that influx is addressed. The effects of uncertainties in input parameters, including reaction rate coefficients, cross sections, solar fluxes, and boundary conditions, are evaluated using a Monte Carlo method in which the values of the input parameters are randomly selected. The results are probability distributions for present atmosheric concentrations and for calculated perturbations due to chlorine from fluorocarbons. For more than 300 Monte Carlo runs the calculated ozone perturbation for continued emission of fluorocarbons at today's rates had a mean value of -6.2 percent, with a 1-sigma width of 5.5 percent. Using the same runs but only allowing the cases in which the calculated present atmosphere values of NO, NO2, and ClO at 25 km altitude fell within the range of measurements yielded a mean ozone depletion of -3 percent, with a 1-sigma deviation of 2.2 percent. The model showed a nonlinear behavior as a function of added fluorocarbons. The mean of the Monte Carlo runs was less nonlinear than the model run using mean value of the input parameters.

Stolarski, R. S.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Study of wind change for the development of loads reduction techniques for the space shuttle

Wind change statistics are analyzed for Vandenberg AFB, California (VAFB) and Kennedy Space Center, Florida (KSC). Means and standard deviations of wind component change and vector wind change modulus within 3-9 and 9-16 km altitude bands are tabulated. The contribution to 3.5 hr wind component change by wind perturbations in various wavelength bands is evaluated. Probability distributions of maximum 3.5 hr wind change in an altitude band are presented and a model for wind change at a specified altitude is tested with data derived from six data bases from VAFB and Santa Monica, California.

Adelfang, S. I.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Probabilistic Modeling of Loran-C for nonprecision approaches

The overall idea of the research was to predict the errors to be encountered during an approach using available data from the U.S. Coast Guard and standard normal distribution probability analysis for a number of airports in the North East CONUS. The research consists of two parts: an analytical model that predicts the probability of an approach falling within a given standard, and a series of flight tests designed to test the validity of the model.

Einhorn, John K.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Effect of signal jitter on the spectrum of rotor impulsive noise

The effect of randomness or jitter of the acoustic waveform on the spectrum of rotor impulsive noise is studied because of its importance for data interpretation. An acoustic waveform train is modelled representing rotor impulsive noise. The amplitude, shape, and period between occurrences of individual pulses are allowed to be randomized assuming normal probability distributions. Results, in terms of the standard deviations of the variable quantities, are given for the autospectrum as well as special processed spectra designed to separate harmonic and broadband rotor noise components. Consideration is given to the effect of accuracy in triggering or keying to a rotor one per revolution signal. An example is given showing the resultant spectral smearing at the high frequencies due to the pulse signal period variability.

Brooks, Thomas F.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Transport of passive scalars in a turbulent channel flow

A direct numerical simulation of a turbulent channel flow with three passive scalars at different molecular Prandtl numbers is performed. Computed statistics including the turbulent Prandtl numbers are compared with existing experimental data. The computed fields are also examined to investigate the spatial structure of the scalar fields. The scalar fields are highly correlated with the streamwise velocity; the correlation coefficient between the temperature and the streamwise velocity is as high as 0.95 in the wall region. The joint probability distributions between the temperature and velocity fluctuations are also examined; they suggest that it might be possible to model the scalar fluxes in the wall region in a manner similar to the Reynolds stresses.

Kim, John↗

NASA NTRS1986

A structural-stochastic model for the analysis and synthesis of cloud images

A structural-stochastic image model is developed for the analysis and synthesis of cloud images. The ability of the model to characterize the visual appearance of cloud fields observed by satellite with a limited number of parameters is demonstrated. The model merges structural and stochastic information, the stochastic model acting as a local statistical operator applied to the output of the structural model. The structural or large-scale organization of the scene is retrieved from the two-dimensional Fourier representation of the digital image. The pattern generated by the major Fourier components provides a first guess of the scene. The stochastic aspect is described by a Markov model of texture that assumes a binomial probability distribution for the local grey-level variability. This Markov model provides four parameters that represent the clustering strength in the horizontal, vertical and diagonal directions. These parameters are estimated by a standard maximum-likelihood technique. The image can be reproduced with a fair degree of verisimilitude from these parameters. The data compression factor is of the order of one hundred to several hundreds.

Garand, L.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Solar wind observations near the sun

Observations of interplanetary scintillations with the VLA telescope are reported. The solar wind in the accelerating region from 3 to 12 solar radii was observed by scintillation of the radio source 3C279. The results obtained outside of 7 solar radii showed good agreement with previous work but observations between 3 and 4.5 solar radii were new and unexpected. Turbulence in the solar wind has a spatially anisotropic structure elongated in the radial direction, the flow direction being also in the radial direction. An abrupt change of both the velocity and the spatial anisotropy of turbulence was found at distances from 3 to 4.5 solar radii. There is a large random velocity component inside of 12 solar radii which is comparable to the bulk flow speed, and it has a spatially anisotropic probability distribution. From the measured cross-correlation functions, evidence which may be related to the complex structure of the magnetic field is found.

Armstrong, J. W.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Theory of optimal weighting of data to detect climatic change

A search for climatic change predicted by climate models can easily yield unconvincing results because of 'climatic noise,' the inherent, unpredictable variability of time-average atmospheric data. A weighted average of data that maximizes the probability of detecting predicted climatic change is presented. To obtain the optimal weights, an estimate of the covariance matrix of the data from a prior data set is needed. This introduces additional sampling error into the method. This is presently taken into account. A form of the weighted average is found whose probability distribution is independent of the true (but unknown) covariance statistics of the data and of the climate model prediction.

Bell, T. L.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Microstructures in type III events in the solar wind

A model is presented for the generation and evolution of bump-in-tail driven Langmuir waves in the solar wind during type III emission which removes a number of apparent inconsistencies between theory and observations. Growth rates and energy densities of Langmuir waves are considerably enhanced, permitting growth to overcome linear scattering losses, and also allowing nonlinear decay into ion-acoustic waves, in line with observations. Estimates are made of the probability distribution p(E), of wave field strengths E, based on linear and nonlinear wave-packet evolution, yielding p(E) approximately equal to E exp -alpha, alpha greater than or equal to 3. This helps explain why very high values of E are rarely found in the measured spiky wave turbulence.

Melrose, D. B.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Statistical study of thermal fracture of ceramic materials in the water quench test

The Weibull statistical theory of fracture was applied to thermal shock of ceramics in the water quench test. Transient thermal stresses and probability of failure were calculated for a cylindrical specimen cooled by convection. The convective heat transfer coefficient was calibrated using the time to failure which was measured with an acoustic emission technique. Theoretical failure probability distributions as a function of time and quench temperature compare favorably with experimental results for three high-alumina ceramics and a glass.

Rogers, Wayne P.↗