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At least 415 records · Page 23

Design and simulation of stratified probability digital receiver with application to the multipath communication

One approach to the problem of simplifying complex nonlinear filtering algorithms is through using stratified probability approximations where the continuous probability density functions of certain random variables are represented by discrete mass approximations. This technique is developed in this paper and used to simplify the filtering algorithms developed for the optimum receiver for signals corrupted by both additive and multiplicative noise.

Deal, J. H.↗

Transition probability data for seven band systems of C2

Absolute transition-probability parameters are reported for seven band systems of the C2 molecule. These include all the known C2 band systems in the spectral region between 0.2 and 1.2 microns with the exception of the Messerle-Krauss system. To obtain the data, absolute intensities of selected spectral regions were measured behind the incident shock wave in a combustion-driven shock tube containing 85% Ar and 15% C2H2. These measurements were converted into electronic transition moments by a synthetic spectrum analysis. The electronic transition moments were then used to determine extensive tables of the transition-probability parameters for each of the band systems measured.

Coo, D. M.↗

Probabilities of good, marginal, and poor flying conditions for space shuttle ferry flights

Empirical probabilities are provided for good, marginal, and poor flying weather for ferrying the Space Shuttle Orbiter from Edwards AFB, California, to Kennedy Space Center, Florida, and from Edwards AFB to Marshall Space Flight Center, Alabama. Results are given by month for each overall route plus segments of each route. The criteria for defining a day as good, marginal, or poor and the method of computing the relative frequencies and conditional probabilities for monthly reference periods are described.

Whiting, D. M.↗

On the error probability of general trellis codes with applications to sequential decoding

An upper bound on the average probability of error for maximum-likelihood decoding of the ensemble of random L-branch binary trellis codes of rate R = 1/n with distinction between memory length and tail length is given. It is shown that the bound is independent of the length L of the information sequence if the memory length exceeds the tail length by a specified amount that depends on L. Sequential decoding simulations using the stack algorithm were conducted to test the dependence of the undetected error probability on tail length and memory length, and the results corroborated the theory.

Johannesson, R.↗

The condition of a finite Markov chain and perturbation bounds for the limiting probabilities

The inequalities bounding the relative error the norm of w- w squiggly/the norm of w are exhibited by a very simple function of E and A. Let T denote the transition matrix of an ergodic chain, C, and let A = I - T. Let E be a perturbation matrix such that T squiggly = T - E is also the transition matrix of an ergodic chain, C squiggly. Let w and w squiggly denote the limiting probability (row) vectors for C and C squiggly. The inequality is the best one possible. This bound can be significant in the numerical determination of the limiting probabilities for an ergodic chain. In addition to presenting a sharp bound for the norm of w-w squiggly/the norm of w an explicit expression for w squiggly will be derived in which w squiggly is given as a function of E, A, w and some other related terms.

Meyer, C. D., Jr.↗

Fisher classifier and its probability of error estimation

Computationally efficient expressions are derived for estimating the probability of error using the leave-one-out method. The optimal threshold for the classification of patterns projected onto Fisher's direction is derived. A simple generalization of the Fisher classifier to multiple classes is presented. Computational expressions are developed for estimating the probability of error of the multiclass Fisher classifier.

Chittineni, C. B.↗

Most probable states in magnetohydrodynamics

A method is developed for selecting 'most probable' MHD states compatible with certain global constraints (e.g., the energy, the toroidal magnetic flux, the total toroidal electric current, or the magnetic helicity). These states occur as the solutions of nonlinear partial differential equations which are far simpler than the original MHD equations. The stabilized Z pinch is discussed by way of illustration of the theory of probable states.

Montgomery, D.↗

Rapid, single-step most-probable-number method for enumerating fecal coliforms in effluents from sewage treatment plants

A single-step most-probable-number method for determining the number of fecal coliform bacteria present in sewage treatment plant effluents is discussed. A single growth medium based on that of Reasoner et al. (1976) and consisting of 5.0 gr. proteose peptone, 3.0 gr. yeast extract, 10.0 gr. lactose, 7.5 gr. NaCl, 0.2 gr. sodium lauryl sulfate, and 0.1 gr. sodium desoxycholate per liter is used. The pH is adjusted to 6.5, and samples are incubated at 44.5 deg C. Bacterial growth is detected either by measuring the increase with time in the electrical impedance ratio between the innoculated sample vial and an uninnoculated reference vial or by visual examination for turbidity. Results obtained by the single-step method for chlorinated and unchlorinated effluent samples are in excellent agreement with those obtained by the standard method. It is suggested that in automated treatment plants impedance ratio data could be automatically matched by computer programs with the appropriate dilution factors and most probable number tables already in the computer memory, with the corresponding result displayed as fecal coliforms per 100 ml of effluent.

Munoz, E. F.↗

Atomic electron excitation probabilities during orbital electron capture by the nucleus

Approximate probabilities of electron excitation (shakeup/shakeoff) from various atomic states during nuclear ns electron capture have been calculated in the sudden approximation, using Hartree-Fock wave functions. Total excitation probabilities are much lower than during inner-shell ionization by photons or electrons, and ns states are more likely to be excited than np states. This latter result is borne out by K-alpha X-ray satellite spectra.

Crasemann, B.↗

The probability distribution of the predicted CFM-induced ozone depletion

It is argued from the central limit theorem that the uncertainty in model predicted changes of the ozone column density is best represented by a normal probability density distribution. This conclusion is validated by comparison with a probability distribution generated by a Monte Carlo technique. In the case of the CFM-induced ozone depletion, and based on the estimated uncertainties in the reaction rate coefficients alone the relative mean standard deviation of this normal distribution is estimated to be 0.29.

Ehhalt, D. H.↗

Computer simulation of random variables and vectors with arbitrary probability distribution laws

Assume that there is given an arbitrary n-dimensional probability distribution F. A recursive construction is found for a sequence of functions x sub 1 = f sub 1 (U sub 1, ..., U sub n), ..., x sub n = f sub n (U sub 1, ..., U sub n) such that if U sub 1, ..., U sub n are independent random variables having uniform distribution over the open interval (0,1), then the joint distribution of the variables x sub 1, ..., x sub n coincides with the distribution F. Since uniform independent random variables can be well simulated by means of a computer, this result allows one to simulate arbitrary n-random variables if their joint probability distribution is known.

Bogdan, V. M.↗

Poster error probability in the Mu-11 Sequential Ranging System

An expression is derived for the posterior error probability in the Mu-2 Sequential Ranging System. An algorithm is developed which closely bounds the exact answer and can be implemented in the machine software. A computer simulation is provided to illustrate the improved level of confidence in a ranging acquisition using this figure of merit as compared to that using only the prior probabilities. In a simulation of 20,000 acquisitions with an experimentally determined threshold setting, the algorithm detected 90% of the actual errors and made false indication of errors on 0.2% of the acquisitions.

Coyle, C. W.↗

Theoretical foundations for quantitative paleogenetics. III - The molecular divergence of nucleic acids and proteins for the case of genetic events of unequal probability

Theoretical equations are derived for molecular divergence with respect to gene and protein structure in the presence of genetic events with unequal probabilities: amino acid and base compositions, the frequencies of nucleotide replacements, the usage of degenerate codons, the distribution of fixed base replacements within codons and the distribution of fixed base replacements among codons. Results are presented in the form of tables relating the probabilities of given numbers of codon base changes with respect to the original codon for the alpha hemoglobin, beta hemoglobin, myoglobin, cytochrome c and parvalbumin group gene families. Application of the calculations to the rabbit alpha and beta hemoglobin mRNAs and proteins indicates that the genes are separated by about 425 fixed based replacements distributed over 114 codon sites, which is a factor of two greater than previous estimates. The theoretical results also suggest that many more base replacements are required to effect a given gene or protein structural change than previously believed.

Holmquist, R.↗

Probability of laminar flow loss because of ice crystal encounters

A method for combining the cloud detector observation results from the Global Atmospheric Sampling Program (GASP) with Knollenberg probe observations of cloud particle concentration from other programs to derive estimates of the ambient concentration of particles larger than a given size was developed. The method was applied to estimate the probability of encountering particle concentrations which would degrade the performance of laminar flow control (LFC) aircraft. It is concluded that LF loss should occur only about one percent of the time in clear air and that flight within clouds should always result in a significant loss of LF, with 90 percent LF loss occurring about one percent of the time. Preliminary estimates of cloud encounter probability are presented for four airline routes, and conclusions are presented as to the best altitudes for cloud avoidance in extratropical and tropical latitudes.

Davis, R. E.↗

Error probabilities in optical PPM receivers with Gaussian mixture densities

A Gaussian mixture density arises when a discrete variable (e.g., a photodetector count variable) is added to a continuous Gaussian variable (e.g., thermal noise). Making use of some properties of photomultiplier Gaussian mixture distributions, some approximate error probability formulas can be derived. These appear as averages of M-ary orthogonal Gaussian error probabilities. The use of a pure Gaussian assumption is considered, and when properly defined, appears as an accurate upper bound to performance.

Gagliardi, R. M.↗

The probability distributions of S/+/ gyrospeeds in the Io torus

The first detailed thermal speed probability distribution for a Jovian plasma ion is presented. The distribution of heavy ion thermal speeds appears to be highly significant for an evaluation of the processes by which the particle and energy budgets of the Io plasma torus are maintained. Attention is given to the measurement, reduction, and analysis procedures which yield the reported probability distribution. A kinetic energy inventory of the Jovian plasma heavy ion component can be obtained from high-resolution, high-precision spectrophotometry of emission lines. The current S(+) study finds that detection of the line wings results in a mean energy (approximately 60 eV) which is higher by a factor of approximately 10 than is implied by the line core. This illustrates that a dispersive measurement may provide only a lower limit to the kinetic energy content.

Brown, R. A.↗

Theoretical quasar emission line ratios. IV - General asymptotic escape probabilities and the effects of linear Stark broadening

Established techniques permitting the evaluation of exact asymptotic forms of photon escape probabilities for a wide range of absorption coefficient profile types are used for QSO radiative transfer effect studies, and it is shown that the exact formulae are easily evaluated. It is found that some of the commonly used expressions overestimate the true value by a factor of about two, and a computationally expedient approximate expression is derived for the asymptotic form of the photon escape probability when linear Stark broadening contributes to the line absorption coefficient profile in hydrogenic lines. Attention is given to Lyman-alpha, for the case in which partial redistribution, over the linear Stark component of the line absorption coefficient profile, dominates single-flight photon escape.

Puetter, R. C.↗

Approximation to the Probability Density at the Output of a Photmultiplier Tube

The probability density of the integrated output of a photomultiplier tube (PMT) is approximated by the Gaussian, Rayleigh, and Gamma probability densities. The accuracy of the approximations depends on the signal energy alpha: the Gamma distribution is accurate for all alpha, the Raleigh distribution is accurate for small alpha (approximate or less than 1 photon) and the Gaussian distribution is accurate for large alpha (approximate or greater than 10 photons).

Stokey, R. J.↗