Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Model fitting”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 415 records · Page 23

The soft X-ray spectrum of the Vela supernova remnant

An X-ray spectrum of a major fraction of the Vela supernova remnant has been obtained during scanning observations with the low energy proportional counters of the A-2 experiment, flown on HEAO 1. A deconvolution analysis of the data shows that the spectrum exhibits pronounced line emission near 0.6 keV due primarily to oxygen ions. Model fits using the Raymond-Smith hot plasma emission calculations indicate that the spectrum can be well described by a model involving two collisional equilibrium components with temperatures of 2.4 x 10 to the 6th and 1.9 x 10 to the 7th K, respectively. The abundances of oxygen and iron are found to be constrained to lie near their normal cosmic values.

Kahn, S. M.↗

A simplified regression building thermal modelling method for detached two-floor house in U.S.

The residential building sector accounts for approximately 37% of total U.S. electricity consumption. Within the residential building sector, heating and cooling is the main target for peak load shifting/reduction since it is the largest contributor to peak demand. In fact, the flexibility of residential HVAC loads can provide continuous variation of demand to provide grid services by varying their demand over a baseline. The performance of HVAC load control to provide grid services relies heavily on the accuracy of indoor air temperature or cooling/heating demand predictions and therefore the quality of building model. Besides forward models, popular building models are data-driven models which can be broken down into two categories: gray-box model, e.g. Resistance-Capacitance (RC) model and black-box model. RC model, also called lumped capacitance or network model, which is constituted with electrical analogue pattern with resistance (R) and capacitance (C). In general, RC models require considerable computation burden and long periods of data to train limited number of model coefficients. Black-box models have gained increasing interest due to their capability in analyzing large-scale data and flexibility in practical applications. But, the data-mining based (machine learning algorithms/techniques based) models tend to have invisible model structures which poses a problem when trying to use the model for optimal control or model predictive control of the HVAC system. Hence, there is a continuing need for efficient online system identification techniques, which can provide explicit parameters for the model. Traditional regression models fit well for this specific purpose. This paper presents an innovative way to predict average indoor temperature in separate floors of typical detached residential house. A rolling horizon linear regression model, which includes online adaptive correction component, is proposed to predict the temperature difference between downstairs and upstairs. A RC model is used to predict the overall mean indoor air temperature. Since the adaptive algorithm needs to be implemented online, a less computation-demanding polynomial fitting algorithm is adopted. This kind of fitting problem can be cast as linear regression problem with multiple variables, parameters of which can be efficiently obtained by well-known gradient descent method.The validation is conducted by comparing the predicted results with the results from data-mining based models as well as measured data from a real typical detached two-floor house. The results show that the developed method has satisfactory performance in predicting the building indoor temperature in 1st and 2nd floors.

Cui, Borui↗

Constrained partitioning of autotrophic and heterotrophic respiration reduces model uncertainties of forest ecosystem carbon fluxes but not stocks

Abstract We partitioned the soil carbon dioxide flux ( R s ) into its respective autotrophic and heterotrophic components in a mature temperate‐boreal forest (Howland Forest in Maine, USA). We combined automated chamber measurements of R s with two different partitioning methods: (1) a classic root trenching experiment and (2) a radiocarbon ( 14 C) mass balance approach. With a model‐data fusion approach, we used these data to constrain a parsimonious ecosystem model (FöBAAR), and we investigated differences in modeled C fluxes and pools under both current and future climate scenarios. The trenching experiment indicated that heterotrophic respiration accounted for 53 ± 11% of total R s . In comparison, using the 14 C method, the heterotrophic contribution was 42 ± 9%. For both current and future model runs, incorporating the partitioning data as constraints substantially reduced the uncertainties of autotrophic and heterotrophic respiration fluxes. Moreover, with best fit model parameters, the two partitioning methods yielded fundamentally different estimates of the relative contributions of autotrophic and heterotrophic respiration to total R s , especially at the annual time scale. Surprisingly, however, modeled soil C and biomass C pool size trajectories did not differ significantly between model runs based on the different methods. Instead, model differences in partitioning were compensated for by changes in C allocation, resulting in similar, but still highly uncertain, soil C pool trajectories. Our findings show that incorporating constraints on the partitioning of R s can reduce model uncertainties of fluxes but not pools, and the results are sensitive to the partitioning method used.

Carbone, Mariah S.↗

An Eco-friendly Porous Poly(imide-ether)s for the Efficient Removal of Methylene Blue: Adsorption Kinetics, Isotherm, Thermodynamics and Reuse Performances

Poly(imide-ether)s (PIEs), which is porous in nature, was synthesized using aromatic diamines and dianhydrides via the solution polycondenzation reaction. In the process, PIEs was used as an adsorbent for the removal of basic dye [Methylene blue (MB)] from the aqueous solution. The structure and the thermal stability of PIEs were characterized by FT-IR, {sup 1}H-NMR, XRD and TG analysis, and the adsorption behaviour of the PIEs was confirmed using UV/Visible, FT-IR and SEM with EDX analysis. Batch adsorption experiments were carried out and their parameters (pH 6.95), initial MB concentration (200 mg/L), adsorbent dosage (50 mg), contact time (120 min) and temperature (28 °C) were optimized. The batch adsorption experimental data of the effect of contact time, initial MB concentration and temperature were evaluated using the adsorption kinetics (Pseudo-first order, Pseudo-second order, Elovich and Intra-particle diffusion kinetic), isotherm (Langmuir, Freundlich, Redlich–Peterson and Sips isotherms) and thermodynamic models respectively. In the study, adsorption of MB onto PIEs followed Pseudo-second kinetics and found to be the best fitting model based on the obtained experimental data. The homogeneity and heterogeneity surface nature of PIEs were elucidated with two and three isotherm parameters respectively. The adsorption thermodynamic study indicates that the adsorption of MB onto PIEs was endothermic and spontaneous in nature. The adsorbed PIEs solid waste was utilized to prepare the polymer composite, and its property was characterized. Graphical Abstract: .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Gas-phase dehydration of tetrahydrofurfuryl alcohol to dihydropyran over γ-Al 2 O 3

Gas-phase dehydration of tetrahydrofurfuryl alcohol (THFA) to 3,4-2H-dihydropyran (DHP) was investigated over solid acid catalysts. A γ-Al 2 O 3 catalyst resulted in 90% DHP yield from THFA. The γ-Al 2 O 3 deactivated due to solid coke formation but was nearly fully re-generable upon a high temperature calcination step (only 2.5% activity loss after 3 rd regeneration). The high catalytic activity and selectivity of γ-Al 2 O 3 was correlated to its high Lewis to Brønsted acid site ratio, as confirmed by ammonia temperature-programmed desorption (NH 3 -TPD) and isopropylamine temperature-programmed desorption (IPA-TPD). According to isotopic-labelling studies, a reaction mechanism was proposed in which THFA initially dehydrates into a carbenium intermediate prior to Wagner-Meerwien rearrangement into DHP. A kinetic model of THFA dehydration over γ-Al 2 O 3 was developed according to kinetic experimental data. The best-fit model implied the rate-determining step was the surface reaction of adsorbed THFA dissociating into adsorbed DHP and water.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Improvement of a mixture experiment model relating the component proportions to the size of nanonized itraconazole particles in extemporary suspensions

A paper by Foglio Bonda et al. published previously in this journal (2016, Vol. 83, pp. 175–183) discussed the use of mixture experiment design and modeling methods to study how the proportions of three components in an extemporaneous oral suspension affected the mean diameter of drug particles (Z ave ). The three components were itraconazole (ITZ), Tween 20 (TW20), and Methocel® E5 (E5). This commentary addresses some errors and other issues in the previous paper, and also discusses an improved model relating proportions of ITZ, TW20, and E5 to Z ave . The improved model contains six of the 10 terms in the full-cubic mixture model, which were selected using a different cross-validation procedure than used in the previous paper. In conclusion, compared to the four-term model presented in the previous paper, the improved model fit the data better, had excellent cross-validation performance, and the predicted Z ave of a validation point was within model uncertainty of the measured value.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Simulations of grain growth in tungsten armor materials under ARC plasma edge operation conditions using an integrated plasma-edge/materials model

An integrated model of grain growth deuterium-exposed tungsten polycrystals, consisting of a two-dimensional vertex dynamics model fitted to atomistic data, has been developed to assess the grain growth kinetics of deuterium-exposed polycrystalline tungsten (W). The model tracks the motion of grain boundaries under the effect of driving forces stemming from grain boundary curvature and differential deuterium concentration accumulation. Here, we apply the model to experimentally synthesized tungsten polycrystals under deuterium-saturated conditions relevant to the ARC concept design. The results indicate rapid grain growth kinetics in the near-surface region adjacent to the plasma, where the temperature reaches 1400 K, whereas the microstructure remains stable deeper in the material with the lower temperature of 1000 K. The combined modeling and analysis further reveal that monolithic tungsten produced via conventional fabrication routes is highly susceptible to grain coarsening at temperatures exceeding 1000 K, largely independent of the magnitude of the applied driving force. Moreover, the accumulation of deuterium near grain boundaries has a pronounced inhibitory effect on grain boundary migration. High-angle grain boundaries ( > 50°) contribute more significantly to the overall grain growth process.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

WE-H-BRA-03: Development of a Model to Include the Evolution of Resistant Tumor Subpopulations Into the Treatment Optimization Process for Schedules Involving Targeted Agents in Chemoradiation Therapy

Purpose: To develop a model that includes the process of resistance development into the treatment optimization process for schedules that include targeted therapies. Further, to validate the approach using clinical data and to apply the model to assess the optimal induction period with targeted agents before curative treatment with chemo-radiation in stage III lung cancer. Methods: Growth of the tumor and its subpopulations is modeled by Gompertzian growth dynamics, resistance induction as a stochastic process. Chemotherapy induced cell kill is modeled by log-cell kill dynamics, targeted agents similarly but restricted to the sensitive population. Radiation induced cell kill is assumed to follow the linear-quadratic model. The validation patient data consist of a cohort of lung cancer patients treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors that had longitudinal imaging data available. Results: The resistance induction model was successfully validated using clinical trial data from 49 patients treated with targeted agents. The observed recurrence kinetics, with tumors progressing from 1.4–63 months, result in tumor growth equaling a median volume doubling time of 92 days [34–248] and a median fraction of pre-existing resistance of 0.035 [0–0.22], in agreement with previous clinical studies. The model revealed widely varying optimal time points for the use of curative therapy, reaching from ∼1m to >6m depending on the patient’s growth rate and amount of pre-existing resistance. This demonstrates the importance of patient-specific treatment schedules when targeted agents are incorporated into the treatment. Conclusion: We developed a model including evolutionary dynamics of resistant sub-populations with traditional chemotherapy and radiation cell kill models. Fitting to clinical data yielded patient specific growth rates and resistant fraction in agreement with previous studies. Further application of the model demonstrated how proper timing of chemo-radiation could minimize the probability of resistance, increasing tumor control significantly.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

A PRELIMINARY JUPITER MODEL

In anticipation of new observational results for Jupiter's axial moment of inertia and gravitational zonal harmonic coefficients from the forthcoming Juno orbiter, we present a number of preliminary Jupiter interior models. We combine results from ab initio computer simulations of hydrogen–helium mixtures, including immiscibility calculations, with a new nonperturbative calculation of Jupiter's zonal harmonic coefficients, to derive a self-consistent model for the planet's external gravity and moment of inertia. We assume helium rain modified the interior temperature and composition profiles. Our calculation predicts zonal harmonic values to which measurements can be compared. Although some models fit the observed (pre-Juno) second- and fourth-order zonal harmonics to within their error bars, our preferred reference model predicts a fourth-order zonal harmonic whose absolute value lies above the pre-Juno error bars. This model has a dense core of about 12 Earth masses and a hydrogen–helium-rich envelope with approximately three times solar metallicity.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Spectral properties of cool stars: Extended abundance analysis of 1,617 planet-search stars

We present a catalog of uniformly determined stellar properties and abundances for 1,617 F, G, and K stars using an automated spectral synthesis modeling procedure. All stars were observed using the HIRES spectrograph at Keck Observatory. Our procedure used a single line list to fit model spectra to observations of all stars to determine effective temperature, surface gravity, metallicity, projected rotational velocity, and the abundances of 15 elements (C, N, O, Na, Mg, Al, Si, Ca, Ti, V, Cr, Mn, Fe, Ni, and Y). Sixty percent of the sample had Hipparcos parallaxes and V-band photometry, which we combined with the spectroscopic results to obtain mass, radius, and luminosity. Additionally, we used the luminosity, effective temperature, metallicity and α-element enhancement to interpolate in the Yonsei–Yale isochrones to derive mass, radius, gravity, and age ranges for those stars. Finally, we determined new relations between effective temperature and macroturbulence for dwarfs and subgiants. Our analysis achieved precisions of 25 K in T{sub eff}, 0.01 dex in [M/H], 0.028 dex for logg, and 0.5 km s{sup −1} in vsin i based on multiple observations of the same stars. The abundance results were similarly precise, between ∼0.01 and ∼0.04 dex, though trends with respect to T{sub eff} remained for which we derived empirical corrections. The trends, though small, were much larger than our uncertainties and are shared with published abundances. We show that changing our model atmosphere grid accounts for most of the trend in [M/H] between 5000 and 5500 K, indicating a possible problem with the atmosphere models or opacities.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

AGN Coronae through a Jet Perspective

This paper presents an in-depth look at the jet and coronal properties of 41 active galactic nuclei (AGNs). Utilizing the highest quality NuSTAR, XMM-Newton, and NRAO VLA Sky Survey 1.4 GHz data, we find that the radio Eddington luminosity inversely scales with X-ray reflection fraction, and positively scales with the distance between the corona and the reflected regions in the disk. We next investigate a model fit to the data that predicts the corona is outflowing and propagates into the large-scale jet. We find this model describes the data well and predicts that the corona has mildly relativistic velocities, 0.04<β<0.40. We discuss our results in the context of disk–jet connections in AGNs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Central Engine and Host Galaxy of RXJ 1301.9+2747: A Multiwavelength View of a Low-mass Black Hole Active Galactic Nuclei with Ultra-soft X-Ray Emission

RXJ 1301.9+2747 is an optically identified very-low-mass AGN candidate with M{sub BH}∼1×10{sup 6} M{sub ⊙}, which shows extremely soft X-ray emission and unusual X-ray variability in the form of short-lived flares. We present an analysis of multiwavelength observations of RXJ 1301.9+2747 in order to study the properties of the active nucleus and its host galaxy. The UV-to-X-ray spectrum in the quiescent state can be well and self-consistently described by a thermal and a Comptonized emission from the accretion disk, with the black body dominating ∼70% of the X-rays in the 0.2–2 keV. The same model can describe the X-ray spectrum in the flare state, but the Comptonized component becomes dominant (∼80%). The best fit implies an Eddington ratio of ∼0.14 and a black-hole mass of (1.7−2.8)×10{sup 6} M {sub ⊙}, in agreement with the estimation from the optical data within errors. However, the best-fitting model under predicts the optical flux for the HST point source by a factor of ∼2. The excess of nuclear optical emission could be attributed to a nuclear stellar cluster, which is frequently seen in low-mass AGNs. The X-ray to optical spectral slope (α{sub ox}) is lower than in most other active galaxies, which may be attributed to intrinsically X-ray weakness due to very little hot and optically thin coronal emission. We performed a pilot search for weak or hidden broad emission lines using optical spectropolarimetry observations, but no polarized broad lines are detected. The host galaxy appears to be a disk galaxy with a boxy pseudobulge or nuclear bar accounting for ∼15% of the total starlight, which is consistent with the general characteristics of the host of low-mass AGNs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Observations of the J = 10 manifold of the pure rotational band of phosphine on Saturn

Saturn was observed in the vicinity of the J = 10 manifold of the pure rotational band of phosphine on 1984 July 10 and 12 from NASA's Kuiper Airborne Observatory with the facility far-infrared cooled grating spectrometer. On each night observations of the full disk plus rings were made at 4 to 6 discrete wavelengths which selectively sampled the manifold and the adjacent continuum. The previously reported detection of this manifold is confirmed. After subtraction of the flux due to the rings, the data are compared with disk-averaged models of Saturn. It is found that PH3 must be strongly depleted above the thermal inversion (approx. 70 mbar). The best fitting models consistent with other observational constaints indicate that PH3 is significantly depleted at even deeper atmospheric levels ( or = 500 mbar), implying an eddy diffusion coefficient for Saturn of 10 to the 4 cm sq/sec.

Haas, M. R.↗

Observations of the J = 10 manifold of the pure rotational band of phosphine on Saturn

Saturn was observed in the vicinity of the J = 10 manifold of the pure rotational band of phosphine on 1984 July 10 and 12 from NASA's Kuiper Airborne Observatory with the facility far-infrared cooled grating spectrometer. On each night observations of the full disk plus rings were made at 4 to 6 discrete wavelengths which selectively sampled the manifold and the adjacent continuum. The previously reported detection of this manifold is confirmed. After subtraction of the flux due to the rings, the data are compared with disk-averaged models of Saturn. It is found that PH3 must be strongly depleted above the thermal inversion (approx. 70 mbar). The best fitting models consistent with other observational constraints indicate that PH3 is significantly depleted at even deeper atmospheric levels (or = 500 mbar), implying an eddy diffusion coefficient for Saturn of 10 to the 4 cm sq/sec.

Haas, M. R.↗

Mass Anomalies on Ganymede

Radio Doppler data from two Ganymede encounters (G1 and G2) on the first two orbits in the Galileo mission have been analyzed previously for gravity information . For a satellite in hydrostatic equilibrium, its gravitational field can be modeled adequately by a truncated spherical harmonic series of degree two. However, a fourth degree field is required in order to fit the second Galileo flyby (G2). This need for a higher degree field strongly suggests that Ganymede s gravitational field is perturbed by a gravity anomaly near the G2 closest approach point (79.29 latitude, 123.68 west longitude). In fact, a plot of the Doppler residuals , after removal of the best-fit model for the zero degree term (GM) and the second degree moments (J2 and C22), suggests that if an anomaly exists, it is located downtrack of the closest approach point, closer to the equator.

Schubert, G.↗

Modelling the Huge, Herschel-Resolved Debris Ring around HD 207129

Debris disks, which are inferred from the observed infrared excess to be ensembles of dust, rocks. and probably planetesimals, arc common features of stellar systems. As the mechanisms of their fonnation and evolution are linked to those of planetary bodies, they provide valuable infonnation. The few well-resolved debris disks are even more valuable because they can serve as modelling benchmarks and help resolve degeneracies in modelling aspects such as typical grain sizes and distances. Here, we present an analysis of the HD 207129 debris disk, based on its well-covered spectral energy distribution and Herschel/PACS images obtained in the framework of the DUNES (DUst around NEarby Stars) programme. We use an empirical power-law approach to the distribution of dust and we then model the production and removal of dust by means of collisions, direct radiation pressure, and drag forces. The resulting best-fit model contains a total of nearly 10(sup -2) Earth masses in dust, with typical grain sizes in the planetesimal beh ranging from 4 to 7 micrometers. We constrain the dynamical excitation to be low, which results in very long collisional lifetimes and a drag that notably fills the inner gap, especially at 70 micrometers. The radial distribution stretches from well within 100 AU in an unusual, outward-riSing slope towards a rather sharp outer edge at about 170-190 AU. The inner edge is therefore smoother than that reported for Fomalhaut, but the contribution from the extended halo of barely bound grains is similarly small. Both slowly self-stirring and planetary perturbations could potentially have formed and shaped this disk.

Lohne, T.↗

Pore-resolved investigation of turbulent open channel flow over a randomly packed permeable sediment bed

Pore-resolved direct numerical simulations are performed to investigate the interactions between streamflow turbulence and groundwater flow through a randomly packed porous sediment bed for three permeability Reynolds numbers, Re K = 2.56 , 5.17 and 8.94, representative of natural stream or river systems. Time–space averaging is used to quantify the Reynolds stress, form-induced stress, mean flow and shear penetration depths, and mixing length at the sediment–water interface (SWI). Here, the mean flow and shear penetration depths increase with Re K and are found to be nonlinear functions of non-dimensional permeability. The peaks and significant values of the Reynolds stresses, form-induced stresses, and pressure variations are shown to occur in the top layer of the bed, which is also confirmed by conducting simulations of just the top layer as roughness elements over an impermeable wall. The probability distribution functions (p.d.f.s) of normalized local bed stress are found to collapse for all Reynolds numbers, and their root-mean-square fluctuations are assumed to follow logarithmic correlations. The fluctuations in local bed stress and resultant drag and lift forces on sediment grains are mainly a result of the top layer; their p.d.f.s are symmetric with heavy tails, and can be well represented by a non-Gaussian model fit. The bed stress statistics and the pressure data at the SWI potentially can be used in providing better boundary conditions in modelling of incipient motion and reach-scale transport in the hyporheic zone.

turbulence simulation↗