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At least 415 records · Page 23
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Estimation of the Thermal-Fluids and Thermal-Structural Performance of Helium-Cooled Modular Finger-Type Divertors

Over the past decade, our group has investigated the thermal-fluid performance of the helium-cooled modular divertor with multiple jets (HEMJ) and a simplified “flat” design of the HEMJ for long-pulse magnetic fusion energy (MFE) reactors. Experimental studies were performed in a helium (He) loop at the prototypical pressure of 10 MPa, nearly prototypical He temperatures and incident heat fluxes using test sections made from stainless steel and tungsten alloys. Correlations for average Nusselt numbers and pressure loss coefficients were developed from the data and are used to validate computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models. Here, this work presents updated thermal-fluids performance curves based on these correlations that estimate the maximum heat flux that can be accommodated by the plasma-facing surface and coolant pumping power requirements at prototypical operating conditions. Thermal-structural performance curves developed from ITER structural design criteria are introduced, which include protection against ductile and non-ductile failure, ratcheting fatigue, and creep fatigue. The performance design curves for these finger-type divertors demonstrate that the “flat” design, with a significantly less complicated geometry than the HEMJ, has thermal-fluid and thermal-structural performance comparable to the original HEMJ concept, and may be superior in terms of non-ductile failure criteria.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Assessing the ASME Section III, Division 5, Class A Primary Load Design Rules Against Creep Notch Effects

This report assesses the ASME Section III, Division 5, Subsection HB, Subpart B rules covering the design and construction of high temperature Class A nuclear reactor components for their robustness against creep notch effects. The creep notch effect combines the effect of multiaxial stresses on material creep deformation and damage. This report considers both effects, including the potential for creep mechanism shifts affecting the extrapolation of design data from high stress, short-time experimental data to low stress, long time operating component conditions. The report summarizes the history of and literature on multiaxial creep and surveys the current ASME design rules dealing with multiaxial effects. The report then describes the results of two dedicated numerical studies, one assessing the robustness of the ASME rules against uncertainty in extrapolating from uniaxial creep test data to multiaxial component conditions and a second study examining the potential effects of a mechanism shift from high stress, dislocation-mediated creep to diffusion-dominated creep at lower stresses. The final conclusion of the report is that the ASME rules adequately guard against multiaxial creep failure, though there are several aspects of the Code that could be optimized to provide less over-conservative design predictions or to provide a more consistent design margin as a function of temperature and stress. In a few areas, particularly the potential for mechanism shifts outside the currently-available experimental data, the Code rules should be revaluated as additional experimental data and new modeling and simulation results become available

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Stress Relaxation Cracking of Alloys at Temperatures Higher Than 540°C

Type 347H stainless steel (347H SS), used in commercial concentrating solar power (CSP) thermal energy storage to store solar-salt at a temperature of 565°C, has been reported in the literature to be susceptible to stress-relaxation cracking (SRC). The welded heat-affected zone (HAZ) and fusion zone (FZ) of 347H SS, particularly in thick sections, are known to be susceptible to failure during post-weld heat treatment (reheat cracking). SRC could also occur after months or years under an elevated-temperature service environment. Two conditions must be present for failure to occur in the HAZ and/or FZ: 1) a modified or sensitized microstructure and 2) sufficiently high tensile residual stresses present at the elevated service temperature. The overarching goal of this project is to recommend SRC mitigation protocols to avoid susceptibility to fail through SRC at temperatures relevant for CSP. Post weld heat treatment conditions and alternative alloys are investigated as potential mitigation solutions to SRC. We used Gleeble thermomechanical simulation tests and finite element (FE) models to understand the susceptibility of 347H SS to SRC as a function of temperature, stress, and microstructure. We started with a literature review of weldability issues with 347H SS and techniques to mitigate SRC in 347H SS weldments. Next, we used Gleeble experiments to determine reheat cracking susceptibility in the simulated HAZ of 347SS weldments and an alternative alloy, 316L SS (NUCL 167 SPH) with boron added. We also performed Gleeble experiments to compare the reheat cracking susceptibility of 347H cross welded with two different fillers: E347, which is used in some commercial CSP TES tanks, and E16.8.2. We validated the experimental results with FE models of the residual stresses. We found that although the 316L (NUCL 167 SPH) is less susceptible to reheat cracking, it is slightly weaker than 347H and ASME BP&V codes limit its use to a service condition of 565°C. We also found that welds using E16.8.2 as the weld filler are less susceptible to failure than those using E347, likely due to the higher creep ductility of E16.8.2, and that it may be used as an alternative filler for repair welding of 347H welds or as the primary choice of filler for newly developed weld joints. We also found that post weld heat treatment could be a viable solution for mitigating stress in E347-347H SS thick, constrained welds, like those found in CSP tanks, and propose several options for mitigating SRC in existing and future TES tanks.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Development of Standardized Property Requirements, Measurement Methods, and Reporting Guidance for Coatings

The diverse research programs presently in progress around the world have advanced a large number of coated cladding concepts to various stages of maturity. Industry teams have developed leading coating compositions and geometries, but significant disparity exists in the importance placed on different coating properties, as well as the applicability and standardization of the various methods used to measure these properties. This milestone report provides an initial assessment of the most important coating properties and the experimental methods available for their determination to lay the foundation for standardized reporting and development of comprehensive datasets for modeling efforts. This report has determined that the residual stress of the coating is the most crucial property to investigate, yet it has received minimal attention to date due to a knowledge gap about the growth and formation of the brittle Laves phase under reactor conditions. The significance of residual stress of the coating is further enhanced by its connection and interdependence with other important properties like creep and coating failure mechanisms. This milestone proposes an importance rating for residual stress properties and their associated measurement techniques to fill in knowledge. Furthermore, techniques to investigate the outlined properties are discussed, and their capabilities and limitations are illustrated to provide guidance on their use.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development and Integration of a Stochastic Clad Damage Propagation Model into PRONGHORN-SC Subchannel Analysis Code

The failure of fuel pins in nuclear reactors is intrinsically stochastic. Typically, a combination of variation in manufacturing that affects the material characteristics and the fuel assembly dimensions, variation in operating conditions, such as local power, coolant flow rate, and irradiation induced changes in material properties lead to a large uncertainty in failure margin of the fuel pins. Failure, therefore, may occur in exceptional pins with adverse combinations of these variations. Upon a metal fuel pin (U-Pu-Zr/HT9) failure, depressurization of the fuel pin takes place by release of fission gas, liquid sodium bond, and potentially solid fuel particles or molten/eutectic fuel droplets through the hole in cladding. The effect of a fission gas jet on neighbor fuel pins and possible propagation of a clad damage during normal operation was studied experimentally in 1970s and it was found that the post-failure fission gas jet insulates the jet impingement area of the target fuel pin surface and could increase the target pin’s surface temperature by as much as 100 – 200 K during the failed pin depressurization. It was concluded that the effect should not lead to fuel pin failure propagation during normal operation. In accident scenarios of sodium and lead fast reactors such as Unprotected Loss-Of-Flow (ULOF) or Unprotected Transient Over Power (UTOP), the fuel pins can be subjected to higher clad temperatures and fuel pin pressures or fuel clad mechanical/chemical interaction where thermal creep margin becomes significantly lower compared to the normal operation conditions. Therefore, possible stochastic failure and the post-failure fission gas/fuel jet impingement could be critical in order to predict fuel pin failure propagation. Pin depressurization due to fission gas release may degrade the heat transfer by formation of a gas blanket on a neighboring pin surface, which is a local phenomenon, and by causing coolant flow deceleration and starvation, which could affect a surrounding region as well. Furthermore, the potential presence of solid fuel particles or molten fuel at the time of clad failure could boost post-failure jet induced degradation even further. The present study models the U-Pu-Zr/HT9 metal fuel pin failure and stochastic clad damage propagation by biased sampling based on a Cumulative Damage Fraction (CDF) type clad failure criterion and the normal distribution of fuel failure probability density as a function of logarithm of Cumulative Damage Fraction. In addition, the effect of post-failure fission gas jet on heat transfer degradation is modeled for the target pins. This model is called stochastic Clad Damage Propagation (CDAP). The CDAP model is now fully integrated into developmental version of PRONGHORN-SC subchannel analysis code, allowing for modeling local failures and its propagation potential. Section 2 describes the components of the CDAP models. Section 3 describes the model implementation to PRONGHORN-SC and input specifications. Section 4 describes the CDAP model validation coupled to PRONGHORN-SC.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Study of Void Formation at the Lithium|Solid Electrolyte Interface

There is growing recognition of the critical role of void formation in lithium metal anodes in solid-state batteries and its impact on electrochemical performance. While experimental studies have demonstrated the challenges ensuing from void formation at the lithium metal interface with the solid electrolyte, there is a need to understand and quantify the role of intrinsic transport properties in lithium metal and the impact of external stimuli, such as temperature, pressure, and current density. Here, we develop this understanding by constructing a phase field-based model that captures the evolution of void domains at the lithium-solid electrolyte interface. Growth of the pores is driven by the fast removal of lithium from the interface during stripping at high current densities. Relative magnitudes of the bulk and surface lithium diffusivities, along with the applied current density, dictate the final pore morphology. Increasing the temperature results in faster diffusion, while external applied pressure causes creep flow of lithium, both of which help to mitigate the evolution of voids by quickly transporting metal from the bulk to the interface. Finally, a phase map as a function of temperature and pressure is developed as a guide to determine the regions that can lead to the stable cycling of lithium metal.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Linear viscoelastic measurements of commerical therapy putties for design and intuition

This dataset complements the publication Mapping Linear Viscoelasticity for Design and Tactile Intuition (Corman & Ewoldt, 2019). It contains rigorous shear rheometry measurements for six commercial silicone putties, including creep recovery, SAOS, LAOS, and stress relaxation. Additional, unpublished data was generated as part of a graduate rheology course taught by Randy Ewoldt at University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign. Together, these datasets provide a comprehensive example of linear viscoelasticity of a commercial material. The collection is intended both as a pedagogical resource for developing physical intuition in linear viscoelasticity and as a reference dataset for data interpretation, model fitting, and comparative rheological analysis.

C. Marsh, Maxwell↗
DOE OSTI2023

Ion-beam radiation-induced Eshelby transformations: The mean and variance in hydrostatic and shear residual stresses

Ion beam plays a pivotal role in ion implantations and the fabrication of nanostructures. However, there lacks a quantitative model to describe the residual stresses associated with the ion-beam radiation. Radiation-induced residual stress/transformation strain have been mostly recognized in the hydrostatic sub strain space. Here, in this study, we use molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to show that the response of a material to irradiation is generally anisotropic that depends on the ion-beam direction, and should be described using tensorial quantities. We demonstrate that accelerator-based ion beam irradiation, combined with the intrinsic lattice anisotropy and externally induced anisotropy (such as anisotropic mechanical loadings), causes radiation-actuated shear transformation strains in addition to hydrostatic expansion. We map out these complex correlations for several materials. Radiation-induced defects are shown to be responsible for residual shear stresses in the manner of Eshelby inclusion transformation. We propose such tensorial response model should be considered for accurate nanoscale fabrication using ion-beam irradiation.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2023

The Physical and Engineering Limits of Coupled In situ TEM Experiments

Almost all future energy systems (advanced nuclear reactors, fusion energy system, concentrating solar-thermal power (CSP), and wind technologies) are limited by degradation of key material systems exposed to multiple environmental stressors. The degradation during exposure to high temperatures, radiation, mechanical loading, and chemical attack is often dictated by mechanisms active at the microstructural level. The nature of these mechanisms and the associated variations between sequential and concurrent interplay can be explored if the transmission electron microscope (TEM) is utilized as a toolbox for exploration [1]. One such tool developed at Sandia National Laboratories to couple several of these environments is the In situ Ion Irradiation TEM (I3TEM) [2]. Several studies over the last decade utilizing this tool have shown that the scientific intuition developed over decades of sequential experiments is not always a good indicator of concurrent mechanisms or failure routes. This presentation will highlight the recent and planned additions into the I3TEM facility of a Waviks gas injection system and Raman system, respectively, as can be seen in Fig. 1, permitting environmental degradation from gas species leaked into the pole piece region during quantitative mechanical loading (indentation, monotonic loading, high temperature creep, irradiation induced creep, and high-cycle fatigue); multi-beam ion irradiation (energies ranging from 1 keV to 48 MeV and species from H to Au); laser exposure (20 W and 1064 nm), or various combinations thereof that are already possible [3]. This addition permits the facility to explore both sequential or concurrently the four axes of stressors: thermal, mechanical, radiation, and chemical. This information can be directly coupled to modeling, expediting the refinement and validation of both atomistic and mesoscale models.

degradation↗
DOE OSTI2022

Irradiation damage concurrent challenges with RAFM and ODS steels for fusion reactor first-wall/blanket: a review

Reduced activation ferritic martensitic (RAFM) and oxide dispersion strengthened (ODS) steels are the most promising candidates for fusion first-wall/blanket (FW/B) structures. The performance of these steels will deteriorate during service due to neutron damage and transmutation-induced gases, such as helium/hydrogen, at elevated operating temperatures. Here, after highlighting the operating conditions of fusion reactor concepts and a brief overview, the main irradiation-induced degradation challenges associated with RAFM/ODS steels are discussed. Their long-term degradation scenarios such as (a) low-temperature hardening embrittlement (LTHE)—including dose-temperature dependent yield stress, tensile elongations, necking ductility, test temperature effect on hardening, Charpy impact ductile-to-brittle transition temperature and fracture toughness, (b) intermediate temperature cavity swelling, (c) the effect of helium on LTHE and cavity swelling, (d) irradiation creep and (e) tritium management issues are reviewed. The potential causes of LTHE are discussed, which highlights the need for advanced characterisation techniques. The mechanical properties, including the tensile/Charpy impact of RAFM and ODS steels, are compared to show that the current generation of ODS steels also suffers from LTHE, and shows irradiation hardening up to high temperatures of ~400 °C–500 °C. To minimise this, future ODS steel development for FW/B-specific application should target materials with a lower Cr concentration (to minimise α'), and minimise other elements that could form embrittling phases under irradiation. RAFM steel-designing activities targeting improvements in creep and LTHE are reviewed. The need to better understand the synergistic effects of helium on the thermo-mechanical properties in the entire temperature range of FW/B is highlighted. Because fusion operating conditions will be complex, including stresses due to the magnetic field, primary loads like coolant pressure, secondary loads from thermal gradients, and due to spatial variation in damage levels and gas production rates, an experimentally validated multiscale modelling approach is suggested as a pathway to future reactor component designing such as for the fusion neutron science facility.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Data-driven methods for diffusivity prediction in nuclear fuels

The growth rate of structural defects in nuclear fuels under irradiation is intrinsically related to the diffusion rates of the defects in the fuel lattice. The generation and growth of atomistic structural defects can significantly alter the performance characteristics of the fuel. This alteration of functionality must be accurately captured to qualify a nuclear fuel for use in reactors. Predicting the diffusion coefficients of defects and how they impact macroscale properties such as swelling, gas release, and creep is therefore of significant importance in both the design of new nuclear fuels and the assessment of current fuel types. In this article, we apply data-driven methods focusing on machine learning (ML) to determine various diffusion properties of two nuclear fuels—uranium oxide and uranium nitride. We show that using ML can increase, often significantly, the accuracy of predicting diffusivity in nuclear fuels in comparison to current analytical models. We also illustrate how ML can be used to quickly develop fuel models with parameter dependencies that are more complex and robust than what is currently available in the literature. In conclusion, these results suggest there is potential for ML to accelerate the design, qualification, and implementation of nuclear fuels.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Initial development of an in-situ, passive material surveillance test article for monitoring high temperature reactor structural components

This report describes the development of a family of passively-actuated surveillance test articles, suitable for use in an in-situ reactor test program monitoring the degradation in structural material properties caused by the reactor environment. The test articles apply creep-fatigue-type cyclic load to a test section driven by changes in the reactor coolant temperature converted to mechanical force by differential thermal expansion. The report describes three types of test articles, all of which apply the load to a 316H test section using Alloy 617 as the driver material. The three types of specimens each serve a unique purpose: (1) initial proof-of-concept, (2) validation of the models used to size the specimens to achieve a given strain range, and (3) demonstration that the articles can be miniaturized for use in an actual operating reactor. In addition to the specimen design, fabrication, and testing, this report describes the outline of two types of in-situ monitoring programs, using the test article. Monitoring programs such as these could be a critical component in gaining regulator acceptance for Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) designs using structural materials for which there is little long-term experimental environmental testing or operating experience available for calibrating the component structural design.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring the impact of hydro-mechanical coupling on compaction localization

In deep subsurface environments, where porous rocks are saturated with fluids, hydromechanical coupling plays a critical role in the formation and propagation of localized deformation zones, such as compaction bands. In this study, we numerically investigate the influence of fluid-rock interactions on the development of compaction localization in fluid-saturated rocks. For this purpose, it uses a numerical framework that adapts the heat equation to model the diffusion of pore pressure caused by deformation. This is achieved with specialized subroutines for material behavior and heat transfer formulated within the ABAQUS platform and by allowing changes in rock permeability during strain localization. The results highlight that hydromechanical coupling significantly alters the compaction behavior compared to dry conditions. Under high confining stress, excess pore pressure inhibits the progression of compaction fronts, while in time-dependent processes like rock creep, pore pressure transients accelerate deformation by creating feedback loops between mechanical forces and fluid flow. These findings underscore the importance of saturation in controlling the dynamics of compaction localization and provide insights into the interplay between pore pressure, deformation, and permeability. The implications of this study extend to applications in geological storage, resource extraction, and subsurface geomechanics, offering a deeper understanding of coupled hydromechanical processes in porous rocks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Joint Geophysical and Numerical Insights of the Coupled Thermal‐Hydro‐Mechanical Processes During Heating in Salt

Abstract Salt offers an optimal medium for the permanent isolation of heat‐producing radioactive waste due to its impermeability, high thermal conductivity, and ability to close fractures through creep. A thorough understanding of the thermal‐hydrological‐mechanical (THM) processes, encompassing brine migration, is fundamental for secure radioactive waste disposal within salt formations. At the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), we conducted joint in situ geophysical monitoring experiments during active heating to investigate brine migration near excavations. This experiment incorporated electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) alongside high‐resolution fiber‐optic‐based distributed temperature sensing within a controlled heating experiment. Additionally, discrete element model (DEM) based numerical simulations were conducted to simulate THM processes during heating, providing a more mechanistic understanding of the coupled processes leading to the observed changes in geophysical measurements. During heating, resistivity shifts near the heater were reasonably explained by temperature effects. However, in more distant, cooler regions, the resistivity decrease exceeded predictions based solely on temperature. DEM simulations highlighted brine migration, propelled by pore pressure gradients, as the likely primary factor contributing to the additional resistivity decline beyond temperature effects. The comparison between the predicted ERT responses and observations was much improved when considering the effects of brine migration based on the DEM simulations. These geophysical and simulation findings shed light on brine migration in response to salt heating, enhancing our understanding of the coupled THM processes in salt for safe radioactive waste disposal.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Phase Field Modeling of Pressure Induced Densification in Solid Electrolytes

Adoption of dense and homogeneous solid electrolytes can possibly mitigate the propagation of lithium dendrites and enable lithium metal anodes. Application of external pressure helps to minimize the sintering temperature in oxide ceramics and can potentially densify softer sulfide electrolytes even under room temperature conditions. Here, a previously developed phase field-based computational scheme for predicting the high-temperature sintering-induced densification of oxide ceramic solid electrolytes is extended in the present context to capture the influence of external pressure for densifying solid electrolytes. Two different bulk deformation mechanisms, namely, "reorganization" and "creep deformation," are dominant under external pressure, which is different from the surface and grain-boundary diffusion-induced densification of solid electrolytes that occurs during high temperature sintering. External pressure also increases the points of contact between the particles, which further enhances the propensity of diffusion-induced sintering process. Results obtained from simulations indicate that densification under external pressure is independent of the solid electrolyte particle morphology. Finally, a phase map is generated between applied pressure and temperature for achieving complete densification of oxide ceramics, which can possibly guide the synthesis of thin and dense solid electrolyte separators.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Structural Design and Modeling of MARVEL Primary Coolant System Using the ASME Section III, Division 5, Code

This paper presents the structural design and supporting analysis for the Microreactor Applications Research Validation and Evaluation (MARVEL) primary coolant system (PCS) using the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code Section III, Division 5, rules. MARVEL is a liquid metal–cooled microreactor intended to provide experimental capabilities for the rapid testing and development of microreactor technologies. The PCS utilizes high-temperature sodium-potassium liquid metal as the primary coolant and operates at a design temperature of 570°C, necessitating the consideration of creep-related failure mechanisms. The base metal for the PCS is 316H stainless steel, and the weldments are made with a 16-8-2 filler. The design approach incorporates the current base code rules along with ASME code cases N-924, N-861, and N-862 to address primary load, ratcheting, and creep-fatigue evaluations, respectively. The reactor’s operation involves complex thermal and mechanical interactions due to natural convective flow and differential thermal expansion between components. In conclusion, this paper discusses the structural engineering challenges encountered, such as managing thermal stresses in the distribution plenum and guard vessel, and outlines the strategies implemented to meet the code requirements, including design modifications and operational constraints.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗
DOE OSTI2022

A coupled vacancy diffusion-dislocation dynamics model for the climb-glide motion of jogged screw dislocations

Here, we develop a novel model to study the climb/glide motion of jogged screw dislocations within the discrete dislocation dynamics (DDD) framework. We present results for the dependence of the climb velocity on the applied stress and on the jog size and distribution statistics. We show that the model predictions are consistent with experimental data in both γ-TiAl and Zircaloy-4. The ranges of the applied stress and jog spacing that determine the dominance of one of three dislocation mechanisms are identified. These are the jog dragging, dipole dragging, and dipole bypass mechanisms, respectively. The overall dislocation motion in the jog dragging regime is composed of glide of screw segments and climb of jogs, controlling the plastic strain and the creep rate, respectively. Based on current simulations and on a detailed examination of the predicted jog heights compared to experiments, we advance the hypothesis that a combination of jog dragging and dipole bypass mechanisms is necessary to reproduce the high creep rate observed in some experiments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Multiscale-Informed Modeling of High Temperature Component Response with Uncertainty Quantification

This report summarizes a joint effort between Argonne National Laboratory, Idaho National Laboratory, and Los Alamos National Laboratory to develop and deploy constitutive models targeted at predicting the life of Grade 91 alloy components subjected to high temperature environments typical of those that structural components in advanced nuclear reactors would experience. Two distinct, but complementary constitutive modeling approaches have been taken here. The first employs a phenomenological viscoplastic model for which parameters have been calibrated based on experimental data for a wide range of Grade 91 alloy that has undergone a variety of processing. A Bayesian approach was used to derive distributions of uncertain parameters for this model based on this data set. The second approach is a reduced order model suitable for engineering-scale analysis that is based on the results of a large set of mesoscale simulations. Mesoscale models allow for the microstructure and composition of a particular alloy to be directly taken into account in the computation of the viscoplastic response, but are computationally expensive, which makes it impractical to directly call those models for the material constitutive response in an engineering-scale simulation. The reduced-order representation of the response of the underlying model used here allows for an engineering-scale model to take into account the characteristics of the underlying microstructure, while only incurring a reasonable computational expense. Both of these approaches have different strengths, and are applicable for different parts of the design/analysis process. The phenomenological models can be readily parameterized based on a set of experimental data for a given class of materials and used for scoping calculations. Once a specific material is chosen and adequately characterized, the reduced order models can accurately predict the response of that specific alloy, and because the models are based on predictive models of the underlying microstructure, they can be used to more confidently predict the response under conditions in regions where there is limited experimental data. Both of these models have been integrated in the Grizzly code, which is used here to perform proof-of-concept uncertainty quantification analyses of a simple component under prototypical conditions. The built- in stochastic analysis capabilities in the MOOSE framework that Grizzly is built on are used here to run large sets of simulations for this uncertainty quantification analysis. As would be expected, because the reduced order models are developed for a much more tightly defined alloy, they predict tighter distributions of the time to failure than the phenomenological models, which are calibrated to a broader set of data. Also important is that these simulations demonstrate that a reduced order modeling approach can be successfully deployed to propagate uncertainties from the material scale to practical engineering-scale component simulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗