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DOE OSTI2025

Open Source Intelligence for Cybersecurity Events via Twitter Data

Open-Source Intelligence (OSINT) is largely regarded as a necessary component for cybersecurity intelligence gathering to secure network systems. With the advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) and increasing usage of social media, like Twitter, we have a unique opportunity to obtain and aggregate information from social media. In this study, we propose an AI-based scheme capable of automatically pulling information from Twitter, filtering out security-irrelevant tweets, performing natural language analysis to correlate the tweets about each cybersecurity event (e.g., a malware campaign), and validating the information. This scheme has many applications, such as providing a means for security operators to gain insight into ongoing events and helping them prioritize vulnerabilities to deal with. To give examples of the possible uses, we present three case studies demonstrating the event discovery and investigation processes. We also examine the potential of OSINT for identifying the network protocols associated with specific events, which can aid in the mitigation procedures by informing operators if the vulnerability is exploitable given their system’s network configurations.

Dale, Dakota↗

NASA NTRS1988

Medium range lagged average forecasts

In this work, the application of the lagged average forecasting (LAF) technique to operational forecasts of the ECMWF is reported. The ECMWF data consist of two 100-day samples of 10-day forecasts of 500-mb geopotential height for winter 1980/81 and summer 1981. the LAF ensemble includes the latest operational forecast, and also forecast for the same verification time started one or more days earlier than the latest one. The focus is on the following two issues: (1) does ensemble averaging improve forecast skill and (2) is the dispersion of the ensemble useful in predicting forecast skill. The LAF technique was used to produce 3, 5, 7, 8, and 9 day forecasts of the 500-mb height field. The results show that the statistically filtered LAF is a marked improvment upon the operational forecast after 5 days. It is found that on a global scale, forecast skill is weakly correlated with the dispersion of the ensemble, as measured by the rms difference between the operational forecast and the statistically filtered LAF.

Dalcher, Amnon↗

NASA NTRS2005

CORRELATED ERRORS IN EARTH POINTING MISSIONS

Two different Earth-pointing missions dealing with attitude control and dynamics changes illustrate concerns with correlated error sources and coupled effects that can occur. On the OrbView-2 (OV-2) spacecraft, the assumption of a nearly-inertially-fixed momentum axis was called into question when a residual dipole bias apparently changed magnitude. The possibility that alignment adjustments and/or sensor calibration errors may compensate for actual motions of the spacecraft is discussed, and uncertainties in the dynamics are considered. Particular consideration is given to basic orbit frequency and twice orbit frequency effects and their high correlation over the short science observation data span. On the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) spacecraft, the switch to a contingency Kalman filter control mode created changes in the pointing error patterns. Results from independent checks on the TRMM attitude using science instrument data are reported, and bias shifts and error correlations are discussed. Various orbit frequency effects are common with the flight geometry for Earth pointing instruments. In both dual-spin momentum stabilized spacecraft (like OV-2) and three axis stabilized spacecraft with gyros (like TRMM under Kalman filter control), changes in the initial attitude state propagate into orbit frequency variations in attitude and some sensor measurements. At the same time, orbit frequency measurement effects can arise from dynamics assumptions, environment variations, attitude sensor calibrations, or ephemeris errors. Also, constant environment torques for dual spin spacecraft have similar effects to gyro biases on three axis stabilized spacecraft, effectively shifting the one-revolution-per-orbit (1-RPO) body rotation axis. Highly correlated effects can create a risk for estimation errors particularly when a mission switches an operating mode or changes its normal flight environment. Some error effects will not be obvious from attitude sensor measurement residuals, so some independent checks using imaging sensors are essential and derived science instrument attitude measurements can prove quite valuable in assessing the attitude accuracy.

Steve Bilanow↗

DOE OSTI2026

High Semi-Volatile Organic Aerosol Contributions Associated with Ammonium Nitrate in the Coastal Urban Environment

Organic components often contribute 50% or more of the submicron aerosol mass in coastal urban environments, but their partitioning between the gas and particle phases is controlled by a complex mixture of unidentified organic compounds that are poorly constrained by observations. This study compares daily filter organic functional groups (OFG) with online organic mass fragments from La Jolla, California, as part of the Eastern Pacific Cloud Aerosol Precipitation Experiment (EPCAPE), quantifying the contributions of four types of non-volatile (NV) organic emission sources to the submicron composition. Daily filters retained only 0.79–0.98 µg/m3 NV submicron organic mass concentration, even though 1.8–1.9 µg/m3 non-refractory (NR) submicron organic mass concentration was measured online. The 62–64% of measured NR submicron organic mass concentration that exceeded what remained on the filters after 23-hr sampling is interpreted as semi-volatile, consistent with the moderate correlation of the NR NV difference to NR ammonium, NR nitrate, and biomass burning-related NV and NR organic factors. The association between semi-volatile organic components and ammonium nitrate likely results from both co-emission and co-evaporation. Size-resolved filter analysis showed that NV organic mass concentration accounts for 68% of NR organic mass concentration for 0.5–1 µm dry diameter but account for 9.0% for 0.18–0.5 µm dry diameter showing the differences in volatility between particle modes. Importantly, volatility of organic components was size-dependent Information Classification: General and associated with ammonium nitrate and biomass burning, providing guidance for constraining atmospheric aerosol properties in global models.

Pelayo, Christian↗

NASA NTRS1992

Propagation velocity and space-time correlation of perturbations in turbulent channel flow

A database obtained from direct numerical simulation of a turbulent channel flow is analyzed to extract the propagation velocity V of velocity, vorticity, and pressure fluctuations from their space-time correlations. A surprising result is that V is approximately the same as the local mean velocity for most of the channel, except for the near-wall region. For y(+) is less than or equal to 15, V is virtually constant, implying that perturbations of all flow variables propagate like waves near the wall. In this region V is 55 percent of the centerline velocity U(sub c) for velocity and vorticity perturbations and 75 percent of U(sub c) for pressure perturbations. Scale-dependence of V is also examined by analyzing the bandpass filtered flow fields. Comprehensive documentation of the propagation velocities and space-time correlation data, which should prove useful in the evaluation of Taylor's hypothesis is presented. An attempt was made to explain some of the data in terms of our current understanding of organized structures, although not all of the data can be explained this way.

Kim, John↗

NASA NTRS1992

Estimation of surface heat and moisture fluxes over a prairie grassland. II - Two-dimensional time filtering and site variability

The behavior of in situ measurements of surface fluxes obtained during FIFE 1987 is examined by using correlative and spectral techniques in order to assess the significance of fluctuations on various time scales, from subdiurnal up to synoptic, intraseasonal, and annual scales. The objectives of this analysis are: (1) to determine which temporal scales have a significant impact on areal averaged fluxes and (2) to design a procedure for filtering an extended flux time series that preserves the basic diurnal features and longer time scales while removing high frequency noise that cannot be attributed to site-induced variation. These objectives are accomplished through the use of a two-dimensional cross-time Fourier transform, which serves to separate processes inherently related to diurnal and subdiurnal variability from those which impact flux variations on the longer time scales. A filtering procedure is desirable before the measurements are utilized as input with an experimental biosphere model, to insure that model based intercomparisons at multiple sites are uncontaminated by input variance not related to true site behavior. Analysis of the spectral decomposition indicates that subdiurnal time scales having periods shorter than 6 hours have little site-to-site consistency and therefore little impact on areal integrated fluxes.

Crosson, William L.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Estimation of attitude sensor timetag biases

This paper presents an extended Kalman filter for estimating attitude sensor timing errors. Spacecraft attitude is determined by finding the mean rotation from a set of reference vectors in inertial space to the corresponding observed vectors in the body frame. Any timing errors in the observations can lead to attitude errors if either the spacecraft is rotating or the reference vectors themselves vary with time. The state vector here consists of the attitude quaternion, timetag biases, and, optionally, gyro drift rate biases. The filter models the timetags as random walk processes: their expectation values propagate as constants and white noise contributes to their covariance. Thus, this filter is applicable to cases where the true timing errors are constant or slowly varying. The observability of the state vector is studied first through an examination of the algebraic observability condition and then through several examples with simulated star tracker timing errors. The examples use both simulated and actual flight data from the Extreme Ultraviolet Explorer (EUVE). The flight data come from times when EUVE had a constant rotation rate, while the simulated data feature large angle attitude maneuvers. The tests include cases with timetag errors on one or two sensors, both constant and time-varying, and with and without gyro bias errors. Due to EUVE's sensor geometry, the observability of the state vector is severely limited when the spacecraft rotation rate is constant. In the absence of attitude maneuvers, the state elements are highly correlated, and the state estimate is unreliable. The estimates are particularly sensitive to filter mistuning in this case. The EUVE geometry, though, is a degenerate case having coplanar sensors and rotation vector. Observability is much improved and the filter performs well when the rate is either varying or noncoplanar with the sensors, as during a slew. Even with bad geometry and constant rates, if gyro biases are independently known, the timetag error for a single sensor can be accurately estimated as long as its boresight is not too close to the spacecraft rotation axis.

Sedlak, J.↗

NASA NTRS1972

Orbit determination in the presence of unmodeled accelerations.

In the investigation discussed here, the unmodeled acceleration is approximated as a first-order stationary Gauss-Markov process which can be separated into a time wise correlated component and a purely random component. An extended form of the Kalman-Bucy filter is used to estimate the state and the unmodeled accelerations at each observation epoch. Applications of the estimation algorithm to simulated data and to tracking data obtained during the Apollo 10 and 11 missions indicate that a more accurate estimate of the state is obtained using the algorithm and that the estimated values of the unmodeled accelerations can be correlated with physical phenomena neglected by the mathematical model.

Tapley, B. D.↗

NASA NTRS1974

Lunar satellite techniques applicable to earth satellite geodesy

The techniques considered are related to gravity profiling from Doppler residuals, a solution for a surface mass distribution, and a dynamical approach for the estimation of random forces at each data point. The dynamical approach makes use of a new filtering method which uses sequential estimation theory to determine unknown and somewhat correlated forces which randomly perturb the orbit. It is concluded that lunar data reduction methods would be suitable for applications in connection with the GEOS-C/ATS-F mission.

Sjogren, W. L.↗

NASA NTRS1975

Strain gaged struts and data reduction techniques to maximize quality data from spacecraft flight measurements

The flight instrumentation for the Viking project was established to obtain environmental data, and maximize the data obtainable from the limited number of telemetry channels. To achieve these objectives, a set of six struts were strain gaged and calibrated as load cells to obtain a complete force-time history across an interface. The force-time history can be used with an analytical model to calculate the response of any part of the structure above the instrumented interface. Special matched filters were required to reduce the flight data and derive the phase correlated loads. Flight data results from the Viking Dynamic Simulator flown in February 1974 are described in addition to ground test results used to verify the data reduction process.

Day, F. D., III↗

NASA NTRS1982

Evaluation of LANDSAT-D Orbit Determination Using a Filter/Smoother (PREFER)

Simulated range and range rate data for five tracking stations were first generated using batch least squares orbit determination (GTDS). Then GTDS was used (in the differential correction mode) to produce a nominal trajectory which was input to PREFER. The GTDS differential correction (DC) run was made using models which differed from those used to produce the simulated data. These model differences were chosen to be fairly realistic approximations to the errors in the models actually used for operational orbit determination. Several different simulation runs were made with different types of model errors in order to determine the sensitivity to these errors. The nominal trajectory and the simulated measurement data were input to PREFER to produce a smoothed ephemeris file. Numerous runs of PREFER were made in which parameters describing the statistics of the model errors were varied. The likelihood function computed by the Kalman filter determined the ""best'' choice of input parameters. There was strong negative correlation between the likelihood function and the errors in the smoothed ephemeris.

Gibbs, B. P.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Investigation of the influence of the zeta-potential on the filtration rate in the presence of collectors

The value of the zeta-potential does not have an explicit effect, which is expressed by a simple math correlation, on filtration rate when a solution of the tested collector is filtered through a cake prepared under standard conditions from the examined particulate material. The zeta-potential measurements and filtration tests were carried out on silica and galena with solutions contg. a cationic container ANP and Et xanthane, resp. at PH = 6.5, varying concentration of the agent (0-2500 g/ton), and under a vacuum of 100 to 600 mm Hg.

Provirnina, E. V.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Optical correlators with fast updating speed using photorefractive semiconductor materials

The performance of an updatable optical correlator which uses a photorefractive semiconductor to generate real-time matched filters is discussed. The application of compound semiconductors makes possible high-speed operation and low optical input intensities. The Bragg diffraction is considered, along with the speed and power characteristics of these materials. Experimental results on photorefractive GaAs are presented.

Gheen, Gregory↗

NASA NTRS1988

Circumpolar hoods and clouds and their relation to the Martian H2O cycle

Water exists in both vapor and solid phases in the Martian atmosphere. The polar hoods are shrouds of condensate clouds which obscure both polar regions at times during their respective fall and winter seasons. The hemispheric asymmetries in the polar hood clouds are reviewed and their significance to the seasonal water cycle is discussed. Comparisons of images acquired using short wavelength filters, which provide maximum cloud contrast, and long wavelength filters, which are sensitive to surface features including the surface cap, provide correlations between cloud formation and large scale planetary dynamics.

James, Philip B.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Filter clogging by the extracted gamma prime and its measurement

The extraction of gamma-prime sample residues from Ni-based superalloys varies greatly in efficiency with the type of heat-treatment that had previously been applied to the alloy; this effect has prompted the present formulation of a standardized procedure for measuring the residues' filter-clogging factor (FCF). The FCF differences between heat treatments can be correlated with the quantity and size distribution of extracted particles; this procedure could accordingly furnish a means of checking the accuracy of heat treaments.

Harf, F. H.↗

NASA NTRS2000

CVS Filtering of 3D Turbulent Mixing Layers Using Orthogonal Wavelets

Coherent Vortex Simulation (CVS) filtering has been applied to Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) data of forced and unforced time-developing turbulent mixing layers. CVS filtering splits the turbulent flow into two orthogonal parts, one corresponding to coherent vortices and the other to incoherent background flow. We have shown that the coherent vortices can be represented by few wavelet modes and that these modes are sufficient to reproduce the vorticity probability distribution function (PDF) and the energy spectrum over the entire inertial range. The remaining incoherent background flow is homogeneous, has small amplitude, and is uncorrelated. These results are compared with those obtained for the same compression rate using large eddy simulation (LES) filtering. In contrast to the incoherent background flow of CVS filtering, the LES subgrid scales have a much larger amplitude and are correlated, which makes their statistical modeling more difficult.

Schneider, Kai↗

NASA NTRS2008

Identifying Bearing Rotordynamic Coefficients using an Extended Kalman Filter

An Extended Kalman Filter is developed to estimate the linearized direct and indirect stiffness and damping force coefficients for bearings in rotor-dynamic applications from noisy measurements of the shaft displacement in response to imbalance and impact excitation. The bearing properties are modeled as stochastic random variables using a Gauss-Markov model. Noise terms are introduced into the system model to account for all of the estimation error, including modeling errors and uncertainties and the propagation of measurement errors into the parameter estimates. The system model contains two user-defined parameters that can be tuned to improve the filter s performance; these parameters correspond to the covariance of the system and measurement noise variables. The filter is also strongly influenced by the initial values of the states and the error covariance matrix. The filter is demonstrated using numerically simulated data for a rotor-bearing system with two identical bearings, which reduces the number of unknown linear dynamic coefficients to eight. The filter estimates for the direct damping coefficients and all four stiffness coefficients correlated well with actual values, whereas the estimates for the cross-coupled damping coefficients were the least accurate.

Miller, Bard A.↗

NASA NTRS2008

Identifying Bearing Rotordynamic Coefficients using an Extended Kalman Filter

Miller, Brad A.↗