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At least 415 records · Page 23

Final Report for LDRD: The Effect of Proppant Placement on Closure of Fractured Shale Gas Wells

The recent boom in the oil and natural gas industry of hydraulic fracture of source rocks has caused a new era in oil and gas production worldwide. However, there are many parts of this process that are poorly understood and thus hard to control. One of the few things that can be controlled is the process of injection to create the fractures in the subsurface and the subsequent injection of proppants to maintain the permeability of the fractured formation, allowing hydrocarbons to be extracted. The goal of this work was to better understand the injection process and resulting proppant distribution in the fracture through a combination of lab-scale experiments and computational models.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Programmable Dynamic Self-Assembly of DNA Nanostructures (Final Technical Report)

This technical report summarizes our research toward the synthesis of active biomolecular materials that take advantage of the biological properties of DNA and RNA, but can operate in non-biological contexts. Our approach takes inspiration from the dynamic assembly and disassembly of cytoskeletal filaments inside cells, and focuses on the generation of artificial filaments with comparable adaptation and responsiveness. We report the construction of DNA nanotube systems that assemble and disassemble reversibly in response to a variety of molecular stimuli including other nucleic acids (DNA and RNA), enzymes, and pH, as well as our progress on developing a reaction network framework to regulate self-assembly. Our DNA polymers are active in that they rely on the programmable energetics of hybridization and on the kinetics of enzymatic reactions to perform assembly and disassembly. Results include experiments and computational models. The research described here was performed between June 15, 2016 and June 15, 2019 at the University of California at Riverside with the support of the collaborative award DE-SC0010595 to PI Elisa Franco at UC Riverside and PI Rebecca Schulman at Johns Hopkins. The report focuses on the research performed by the team of PI Franco. The report also details work performed during a no-cost extension (June 15, 2019 - December 15, 2019) awarded to PI Guillermo Aguilar and PI Franco.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Surrogate Modeling For Efficiently Accurately and Conservatively Estimating Measures of Risk

We present a surrogate modeling framework for conservatively estimating measures of risk from limited realizations of an expensive physical experiment or computational simulation. We adopt a probabilistic description of risk that assigns probabilities to consequences associated with an event and use risk measures, which combine objective evidence with the subjective values of decision makers, to quantify anticipated outcomes. Given a set of samples, we construct a surrogate model that produces estimates of risk measures that are always greater than their empirical estimates obtained from the training data. These surrogate models not only limit over-confidence in reliability and safety assessments, but produce estimates of risk measures that converge much faster to the true value than purely sample-based estimates. We first detail the construction of conservative surrogate models that can be tailored to the specific risk preferences of the stakeholder and then present an approach, based upon stochastic orders, for constructing surrogate models that are conservative with respect to families of risk measures. The surrogate models introduce a bias that allows them to conservatively estimate the target risk measures. We provide theoretical results that show that this bias decays at the same rate as the L 2 error in the surrogate model. Our numerical examples confirm that risk-aware surrogate models do indeed over-estimate the target risk measures while converging at the expected rate.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Fuel Injection Dynamics and Composition Effects on RDE Performance

Rotating detonation engines (RDEs) provide a promising route to substantially increasing cycle efficiency in stationary gas turbines. Much of this increase relies on the ability to achieve consistent pressure gain within the combustor. In particular, the design of injectors that feed fuel and air into the detonation channel plays a crucial role. Such injectors have to ensure proper mixing of fuel and oxidizer, while minimizing backflow of detonation products into the feed plenums, and reduce susceptibility to the complex wave structures that exist within the combustor. From a practical perspective, such RDEs also need to operate with variable fuel composition. When fuel mixtures with components that possess vastly different oxidation pathways and time-scales are used, there could be additional losses through deflagrative burning instead of detonation-driven heat release. Such sensitivity to the complete flow path is akin to the physics of thermoacoustic instabilities in conventional gas turbines. In this sense, RDEs pose a unique research challenge: the performance of the device relies on the small-scale heat release process, which is highly dependent on the flow interactions within the full-scale system. As a result, canonical flow configurations, instrumented with detailed diagnostics or modeled using high-fidelity tools, but only focus on the small-scale processes will not contain the key system-level interactions. At the same time, macroscopic measurements and models that only capture system-level performance will not provide insight into the key sources of pressure losses. These couplings and sensitivities provide a formidable challenge to both experimental and simulation studies of the effects Thus, a joint experimental/computational program designed specifically to address these challenges was undertaken in this program. The focus of this program was on two key topics: a) the interaction between injector flow and the overall wave dynamics within the combustor, and b) the deflagration/detonation structure in multi-component fuels that are of practical interest. Both topics involve interaction of small-scale heat release processes with the geometry-dependent wave structure. Studies focused on the study of full-scale RDE systems, based on a 6-inch conventional annular geometry. Experimentally RDEs were studied using a combination of diagnostics. A combination of optical diagnostics and aero-thermo-acoustic analysis based on a combination of spectral and mode decomposition analysis was used to identify the dynamics of the detonation wave and other secondary waves that exist in the system. These studies have helped the identification and investigation of injector and detonation dynamics arising from coupling, and how they affect RDE mixing, detonation structure, operability and performance. Performance of RDEs was investigated through thrust stand measurements, which was used to evaluate the effective pressure gain generated by the system through the concept of equivalent available pressure. Optical diagnostics were developed and implemented to investigate the distribution of heat release, across the detonation wave. Novel optical diagnostics of NIR imaging was also developed and applied to investigate the high temperature / high pressure distribution across the detonation wave. In order to complement the experiments, the computational tools were geared to simulate the full experimental setup. GPU-based acceleration of the models and computations were developed to enable rapid simulation of the full system. In addition, the use of adaptive mesh refinement, and unstructured grid formulation, enabled the investigation of realistic geometries studied in the laboratory. The simulations produced a wealth of detail on the structure of the detonation wave under different operating conditions. Emphasis was placed on quantifying mixture pre-burning and the impact on wave propagation and structure.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Review of capture cross sections relevant for intentional nuclear forensics

The NA-22 Intentional Forensics Venture is developing a system for tagging nuclear fuel using various methods of information encoding. One of the main methods under development is the insertion of isotopically enriched tracers into the fuel. In order to aid in the understanding of the neutronic performance of these taggants, we assess the quality of the nuclear data underpinning simulations, which are driven by the neutron-capture cross sections. We present these cross sections of naturally occurring isotopes of the elements provided in the neutron sublibrary of the planned ENDF/B-VIII.1 Feb. 2023 library release. We make this assessment using a rubric designed for this effort, which quantifies orthogonal features related to the overall quality. The quality metric highlights 6 aspects: experimental data, resonance evaluations, integral metrics, covariances, fission products, and documentation. We focus on energy ranges relevant for reactor applications. We also discuss additional sources for new, high-quality cross-section data that may be utilized on the time scale of the venture, including existing global data, new experiments, and computational methods. Finally, overall outlook is presented with conclusions.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

New Dimensions in the Theory of Excited States and X-ray Spectra (Final Report)

This Final Technical Report briefly summarizes the achievements during the lifetime of our DOE BES grant DE-FG02-97ER45623. The long-term goal of this project has been the development of quantitative theories of the interaction between radiation and matter, with a focus on x-ray spectroscopies. X-ray spectra have long been among the most important probes of atomic-scale structure and properties of matter, ranging from atoms and molecular systems to condensed matter and exotic states. These spectroscopies are widely used in investigations at the major DOE synchrotron x-ray facilities and related centers world-wide. In addition to fundamental theory, a major goal of our project has been the development of computational software that implements the theory for calculations of x-ray spectra of various materials throughout the periodic table. Due to the complex nature of x-ray spectra, quantitative theory is essential for its interpretation. The theory is challenging since it involves excited state electronic structure and many-body correlation effects that go beyond independent particle approximations like DFT or Hartree-Fock. Moreover, the experimental investigations typically involve a broad range of energy, time, and temperature scales, from the UV-Vis to hard x-ray energies of order 10 4 eV, and temperatures T from ambient up to the warm-dense-matter regime where the Fermi energy kBTF is of order a few eV, i.e., temperatures of order 105 Kelvin. This broad range of experimental conditions has fostered many novel theoretical approaches and computational techniques, many of which we have developed systematically over the duration of the grant. In contrast to the traditional wave-function approach of quantum theory and electronic structure methods, our theoretical approach is based on modern Green's function techniques. This approach is better suited for aperiodic structures, excited states, and broad spectral ranges, since it avoids the computational bottlenecks of sum-over-states approaches, as in the Fermi golden rule. This theoretical framework has been incorporated into efficient, user-friendly x-ray spectroscopy software which is now used routinely worldwide to simulate and analyze spectra. These theoretical tools provide an essential complement to synchrotron and next-generation light sources, which are used to investigate complex materials with ever increasing precision. Moreover, the synergism between theory, computation and experiment contributed by our research enhances scientific understanding and creates opportunities for innovations in materials and energy science and in many fields. As documented in this Report, this research grant has been remarkably successful in achieving these goals. In particular, this grant has supported the development of the x-ray spectroscopy software suite known as FEFF (named for an effective scattering amplitude f eff in the theory). The FEFF codes have become one of the premier tools for quantitative simulations of x-ray spectra as documented by many thousands of citations in the Web of Science and Google-Scholar.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

2D-EFICACY: Control of Metastable 2D Carbide[1]Chalcogenide Heterolayers: Strain and Moire Engineering

The experimental isolation of graphene led to the discovery of an entirely new world of two-dimensional (2D) materials in which the 2D nature often leads to emergent behaviors not seen in bulk systems. 2D transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) exhibit physico-chemical properties that depend on the transition metal, polymorph, thickness, and presence and type of defects. Recently, a group of thin (10-100nm) transition metal carbides (TMCs), such as Mo2C, has been synthesized that exhibit a thickness-dependent superconducting critical temperature (Tc). These thin TMCs are different from MXenes, another class of 2D materials consisting of few layers of nitrides or carbides (<5nm) produced by chemical etching and delamination. The goal of this renewal proposal is to combine experiment and computation to synthesize and elucidate the guiding principles that control the growth, orientation and strain of heterostacks of thin TMCs and TMDs composed with Nb, Ti and W. We expect to stabilize metastable hybrid phases of TMCs sandwiched between TMDs (H-TMD/Cs) with unprecedented physico-chemical properties. As part of previous DOE-funded work by the Terrones/Sinnott groups, thin (10-100 nm thick) Mo2C flakes were successfully synthesized by chemical vapor deposition (CVD). By subsequently exposing Mo2C to H2S, partial chalcogenization was achieved, resulting in heterostacks of MoCx phases and MoS2. The formation of MoS2 led to a deficiency of Mo atoms in the underlying Mo2C, resulting in an inhomogeneous phase change from α-Mo2C to γ’-MoCx and then to γ-MoC. The γ’-MoCx is a strained metastable phase and the heterostack of all three phases demonstrated an increased Tc relative to that of α-Mo2C, from 4 to 6K; its interleaved layered structure consisting of superconducting and semiconducting phases is ideal for future studies of Josephson junction series arrays. Moiré patterns in these heterostacked systems could result in new phenomena, as moiré patterns in bilayer graphene showed unconventional superconductivity and moiré excitons have been observed in twisted TMD heterobilayers. The scientific hypothesis of the proposed synergistic computational and experimental research is that orientation and strain control within confined thin metastable TMCs, sandwiched by stable phases of TMCs and layered TMDs, will depend on kinetic and thermodynamic “knobs” that include fast temperature changes, chalcogen diffusion through preferred crystallographic planes, reaction times, pressure, reactive atmosphere, precursors, and surfactants, which will also tailor properties such as superconductivity, magnetism, ferroelectricity, piezoelectricity, and catalytic performance. We will develop the guiding principles for the synthesis and stabilization of metastable H-TMD/Cs based on Nb, Ti and W. In order to validate the hypothesis, four tasks are proposed: The first task will synthesize ultra-thin TMCs based on Nb, W and Ti, by: 1) adapting the CVD method used for Mo2C, 2) plasma assisted CVD, 3) defect-mediated CVD processes, and 4) cryo-milling of carbide powders. The second task will accomplish the synthesis and basic physico-chemical characterizations of H-TMD/Cs by chalcogenization of the materials synthesized in task one, and by carbonization of TMDs. H-TMD/Cs will also be investigated for their suitability in energy conversion applications such as supercapacitors, Li and multivalent ion batteries, and electrocatalysts, topics of interest to DoE. These tasks will be carried out in close conjunction with density functional theory (DFT) calculations with insights into energetics, lattice parameters, stability, phase diagrams, band structures, and density of states of H-TMD/Cs. The third task will characterize and evaluate strain and moiré patterns at the interfaces of different H-TMD/Cs by high-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy (HR-STEM), scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), and conductive tip atomic force microscopy. Nudged elastic band calculations with DFT will be performed to understand the chalcogen diffusion process, which will provide insights into the interfaces between different phases of TMCs and TMDs. The fourth task aims at quantifying the stability and dynamics of H-TMD/Cs by in-situ TEM and Raman studies under heating, strain, and electrical biasing. Phonon calculations using DFT will provide a basis for interpreting Raman spectra. This coherent framework involving synthesis, characterization, and computation will result in a broad scientific impact for energy related applications. The ability to develop new H-TMD/Cs will enhance a range of applications that include batteries, catalysts, switches, sensors, quantum computing components and smart coatings.

2-Dimensional materials↗

2D-EFICACY: Control of Metastable 2D Carbide Chalcogenide Heterolayers: Strain and Moire Engineering

The experimental isolation of graphene led to the discovery of an entirely new world of two-dimensional (2D) materials in which the 2D nature often leads to emergent behaviors not seen in bulk systems. 2D transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) exhibit physico-chemical properties that depend on the transition metal, polymorph, thickness, and presence and type of defects. Recently, a group of thin (10-100nm) transition metal carbides (TMCs), such as Mo 2 C, has been synthesized that exhibit a thickness-dependent superconducting critical temperature (Tc). These thin TMCs are different from MXenes, another class of 2D materials consisting of few layers of nitrides or carbides (<5nm) produced by chemical etching and delamination. The goal of this renewal proposal is to combine experiment and computation to synthesize and elucidate the guiding principles that control the growth, orientation and strain of heterostacks of thin TMCs and TMDs composed with Nb, Ti and W. We expect to stabilize metastable hybrid phases of TMCs sandwiched between TMDs (H-TMD/Cs) with unprecedented physico-chemical properties. As part of previous DOE-funded work by the Terrones/Sinnott groups, thin (10-100 nm thick) Mo 2 C flakes were successfully synthesized by chemical vapor deposition (CVD). By subsequently exposing Mo 2 C to H 2 S, partial chalcogenization was achieved, resulting in heterostacks of MoCx phases and MoS 2 . The formation of MoS 2 led to a deficiency of Mo atoms in the underlying Mo 2 C, resulting in an inhomogeneous phase change from α-Mo 2 C to γ’-MoCx and then to γ-MoC. The γ’-MoCx is a strained metastable phase and the heterostack of all three phases demonstrated an increased Tc relative to that of α-Mo 2 C, from 4 to 6K; its interleaved layered structure consisting of superconducting and semiconducting phases is ideal for future studies of Josephson junction series arrays. Moiré patterns in these heterostacked systems could result in new phenomena, as moiré patterns in bilayer graphene showed unconventional superconductivity and moiré excitons have been observed in twisted TMD heterobilayers. The scientific hypothesis of the proposed synergistic computational and experimental research is that orientation and strain control within confined thin metastable TMCs, sandwiched by stable phases of TMCs and layered TMDs, will depend on kinetic and thermodynamic “knobs” that include fast temperature changes, chalcogen diffusion through preferred crystallographic planes, reaction times, pressure, reactive atmosphere, precursors, and surfactants, which will also tailor properties such as superconductivity, magnetism, ferroelectricity, piezoelectricity, and catalytic performance. We will develop the guiding principles for the synthesis and stabilization of metastable H-TMD/Cs based on Nb, Ti and W. In order to validate the hypothesis, four tasks are proposed: The first task will synthesize ultra-thin TMCs based on Nb, W and Ti, by: 1) adapting the CVD method used for Mo 2 C, 2) plasma assisted CVD, 3) defect-mediated CVD processes, and 4) cryo-milling of carbide powders. The second task will accomplish the synthesis and basic physico-chemical characterizations of H-TMD/Cs by chalcogenization of the materials synthesized in task one, and by carbonization of TMDs. H-TMD/Cs will also be investigated for their suitability in energy conversion applications such as supercapacitors, Li and multivalent ion batteries, and electrocatalysts, topics of interest to DoE. These tasks will be carried out in close conjunction with density functional theory (DFT) calculations with insights into energetics, lattice parameters, stability, phase diagrams, band structures, and density of states of H-TMD/Cs. The third task will characterize and evaluate strain and moiré patterns at the interfaces of different H-TMD/Cs by high-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy (HR-STEM), scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), and conductive tip atomic force microscopy. Nudged elastic band calculations with DFT will be performed to understand the chalcogen diffusion process, which will provide insights into the interfaces between different phases of TMCs and TMDs. The fourth task aims at quantifying the stability and dynamics of H-TMD/Cs by in-situ TEM and Raman studies under heating, strain, and electrical biasing. Phonon calculations using DFT will provide a basis for interpreting Raman spectra. This coherent framework involving synthesis, characterization, and computation will result in a broad scientific impact for energy related applications. The ability to develop new H-TMD/Cs will enhance a range of applications that include batteries, catalysts, switches, sensors, quantum computing components and smart coatings.

2-Dimensional Materials↗

Nanoconfined Interfaces for Highly Selective Separation of Critical Rare Earth Elements

Industrial demand for rare earth elements (REEs) has surged over the past three decades due to their unique properties that support sustainable energy and new technologies. Separating individual REEs is challenging and hazardous, typically done through liquid-liquid extraction. There is an urgent need for environmentally friendly and efficient separation technologies for REEs. Porous materials offer promising advances for sustainable REE separation via ion-selective capture. We hypothesize that REE separation can be efficiently achieved in reactive nanopores, such as Zr(IV) and Cr(III) metal-organic frameworks (MOFs), through surface functionalization. By integrating material synthesis, interfacial chemistry experiments, theory, computation, and machine learning, we gained insights into the chemical factors controlling REE speciation and their competitive adsorption on MOFs. Our findings show that these materials’ selectivity can be tuned by surface functionalization. The machine learning component addressed ion-specific diffusion based on MOF topology and chemistry.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Evaluation of DED and LPBF Fe-based Alloys Process Application Envelopes based on Performance, Process Economics, Supply Chain Risks, and Reactor-specific Targeted Components

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technologies (AMMT) program aims to develop extreme-environment materials solutions for use in the deployment of advanced nuclear reactors and the sustainment of the current fleet. To achieve this objective, a combination of experiment, a computational tool, and machine learning (ML) for the design of materials is adopted for the maturation of materials for nuclear technology. Through advanced manufacturing techniques such as laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) and laser powder direct energy deposition (LP-DED), components with complex geometries can be fabricated with reduced time and effort. Such advanced manufacturing methods can also provide the opportunity to improve materials performance through optimized microstructures and mechanical properties. However, existing engineering alloys are not always well suited for fabrication with additive manufacturing (AM), as their compositions have been tuned to optimize fabrication via conventional methods. Thus, similar alloys with modified compositions that are better suited for AM can be studied for improved performance. Over the past three years, the AMMT teams from Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) studied various known Fe-based alloys by evaluating their initial printability using LPBF, and an AMMT-developed down-selection and decision matrix reduced the number of alloys to be studied from six to three in fiscal year (FY) 2024. Additionally, in FY 2024, for parallel evaluation, these three alloys were studied using LPDED. While LPBF is better for small- to medium-sized components with high detail and internal features, LP-DED combines a material feed system to place the powder onto the exact spot where the laser will melt the material. This AM method can be easily scaled to extremely large components and provides high build rate speeds compared to those of conventional LPBF systems. Additionally, DED is a better choice for complex geometries and compositional gradients.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Using Apptainer in a Pilot-based Distributed Workload

GlideinWMS is a pilot and pressure-based workload manager for distributed scientific computing. Many experiments like CMS and Fermilab’s Neutrino experiments use it to provision elastic clusters for their analysis and simulations, split into close to a million concurrent jobs. Most user jobs require containers, and the pilots use Apptainer to set up the desired platform. For the pilots that run as regular batch jobs, Apptainer is safer, lighter, and easier to use than other containerization solutions. Many images used by the pilots are expanded SIF images distributed via the CernVM-FS: this combination is very efficient. At Fermilab, for example, we store on GitHub Dockerfiles that mimic the platform in the worker nodes of local clusters. GitHub workflows build and push the images to Docker Hub, and a service periodically pulls and converts them to the expanded SIF images in the CernVM-FS, so the scientists can find a familiar environment everywhere. Apptainer has also been used to run services inside the pilot jobs, like benchmarks that characterize the worker node being used, or a Triton Inference Server that allows sharing a GPU with all the jobs that run in parallel on a node.

Mambelli, Marco [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000294892681↗

Increased Fidelity and Associated Computational cost of Detailed Integral Experiment Benchmarks [Slides]

It does not seem like the system is significantly more sensitive to diameters of components near the center of the core. Intuitively it is, but was not detectable with simulations run to a Monte Carlo k eff uncertainty of 0.00002. The system is more sensitive to heights of components near the center of the core. Most (if not all) Zeus style benchmarks have perturbed core component heights individually.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Heavy-Duty Vehicle Air Drag Coefficient Estimation: From an Algebraic Perspective

When a heavy-duty vehicle (HDV) operates at the nominal highway speed, over two-thirds of its total resistive force comes from the air drag, contributing to more than half of its fuel consumption. One effective countermeasure to reduce the fuel consumption of HDVs is platooning, which employs connectivity and automated driving technologies to link two or more HDVs in convoy. Platooning allows HDVs to drive closer together and yields improved fuel economy and less CO2 emission thanks to the reduced air drag. Maximizing the energy benefits of an HDV platoon requires quantifying the drag interaction between vehicles. In practice, modeling the drag reduction in a platoon boils down to identifying the relationship between the air drag coefficient C d and the inter-vehicle distance d. Existing approaches to identify C d (d) include vehicle field tests, wind tunnel experiments, and computational fluid dynamics simulation, which can howbeit be time-consuming and cost prohibitive. In contrast, this paper proposes an algebraic approach, which relies on onboard-measurable variables, to estimate the air drag coefficient of an HDV in a platoon. Its algebraic nature avoids the classical persistence of excitation condition for parameter identification and can yield the identified parameter almost instantaneously. Simulation results demonstrate its effectiveness and the improved estimation speed over a recursive least squares identifier.

Wang, Zejiang↗

Heterogeneous Reconstruction of Tracks and Primary Vertices With the CMS Pixel Tracker

The High-Luminosity upgrade of the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) will see the accelerator reach an instantaneous luminosity of 7 × 10 34 cm −2 s −1 with an average pileup of 200 proton-proton collisions. These conditions will pose an unprecedented challenge to the online and offline reconstruction software developed by the experiments. The computational complexity will exceed by far the expected increase in processing power for conventional CPUs, demanding an alternative approach. Industry and High-Performance Computing (HPC) centers are successfully using heterogeneous computing platforms to achieve higher throughput and better energy efficiency by matching each job to the most appropriate architecture. In this paper we will describe the results of a heterogeneous implementation of pixel tracks and vertices reconstruction chain on Graphics Processing Units (GPUs). The framework has been designed and developed to be integrated in the CMS reconstruction software, CMSSW. The speed up achieved by leveraging GPUs allows for more complex algorithms to be executed, obtaining better physics output and a higher throughput.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Orthogonal Gaussian process models

Gaussian processes models are widely adopted for nonparameteric/semi-parametric modeling. Identifiability issues occur when the mean model contains polynomials with unknown coefficients. Though resulting prediction is unaffected, this leads to poor estimation of the coefficients in the mean model, and thus the estimated mean model loses interpretability. This paper introduces a new Gaussian process model whose stochastic part is orthogonal to the mean part to address this issue. As a result, this paper also discusses applications to multi-fidelity simulations using data examples.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Integrated GW Farm ABM

This Data Repository includes data used for the integrated groundwater- farm ABM model, raw model output from scenario ensemble, and processed outputs that isolate the groundwater storage depletion outcomes for the 35,000 farm cells. Model Inputs: Farm ABM Inputs: This folder contains the input data used by the integrated groundwater - farm ABM modelling script (Python file) used for the high performance computing (HPC) experiments. The sub-folder "data inputs" contains all of the farm attribute data, while the three files in the folder have the hydrogeological data lookup table (NLDAS Cost Curve Attributes.csv), a lookup table (Theis well function table.csv) for the groundwater cost curve function, and the farm indexes and corresponding NLDAS ids for all of the cells run in this experiment (nldas farms subset final.csv). NLDAS Cost curve hydrogeological data: Hydrogeological data aggregated to 1/8 degree resolution and aligned with the NLDAS grid. Parameters include: water depth below ground surface [meters], subsurface porosity [unitless], aquifer depth from ground surface to aquifer bottom [meters], annual average recharge (USGS: mm, Doll: meters), and three different hydraulic conductivity (K) values (meters/day). The three K values represent the mean value from Gleeson et al. (2018), one standard deviation above the mean from Gleeson et al. (2018), and the de Graaf et al. 2020 modifications to certain lithologies. Additional information about these datasets and their processing are documented in the supplement to Yoon et al. 2025 (in review). Output: Raw outputs: This folder contains a .zip file that has model outputs for the entire scenario ensemble. There is one csv for each farm id, using the format "farm farmid cases.csv". The relationship between the farm id and NLDAS id is defined by the "nldas farms subset final.csv" located in the Farm ABM Inputs folder. Each csv has 625 rows, corresponding to 625 combinations of different scenario parameter values. Each row (scenario) represents the outcome of a 100 year simulation. Columns define scenario settings and summary statistics for each scenario. The first four columns define the scenario settings: "hydro ratio," "econ ratio," "K scenario," and "gamma scenario." The hydro and econ ratios are values passed to the modeling script that influence multipliers for other model parameters, as documented in the supplement to Yoon et al. 2025 (in review). The gamma multiplier is a coefficient multiplier applied to the baseline gamma values (values below 1 represent lower unobserved costs compared to baseline, values above 1 represent higher costs). The K scenario names represent K values of: "low": 0.5 m/d, "int 1": 2.5 m/d, "int 2": 10 m/d, "high": 50 m/d, and "gleeson": mean Gleeson K value. "Perc vol depleted" is the fraction of groundwater depleted at the end of the 100 simulation. Processed Output: Derived depletion outcomes from raw outputs: All of the individual csv files from the Raw outputs were aggregated into a single file that has the scenario settings and fraction depletion "Perc vol depleted" for every farm cell, for every scenario. The other two files define relationships between the farm id, NLDAS id, and local and major aquifer units, used for aquifer-level depletion analysis.

Agent based modeling↗