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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 415 records · Page 23
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Transportation and System Analysis Collaborations in Support of a Federal Consolidated Interim Storage Facility

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Integrated Waste Management (IWM) program under the Office of Nuclear Energy is planning for the future transportation, storage, and eventual disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste (HLW) from nuclear power plant and waste custodian sites across the United States. To better enable informed decision-making regarding the back end of the nuclear fuel cycle, the IWM program has been sponsoring the development and application of system analysis tools capable of analyzing various options for managing SNF and HLW. With these tools, integrated waste management system (IWMS) architecture analyses are being conducted to support the future deployment of a comprehensive nuclear waste management system that considers all major back-end aspects of the nuclear fuel cycle (i.e., transportation, storage, and disposal). System analyses and assessments typically use these modeling and simulation tools to investigate implications of changes in various assumptions and parameters such as acceptance rates, receipt logic, facility capacities and capabilities, use of standardized canisters, start and stop dates of facilities, etc. The Next Generation System Analysis Model (NGSAM) is an agent-based simulation toolkit that is used for a system-level simulation and analysis focused on SNF management in the United States. NGSAM’s primary purpose is to provide a system analyst with capabilities to model the IWMS and gain insights into SNF and HLW management alternatives including the impact of system choices, associated cost estimates, and development of integrated yet flexible approaches. An analyst using NGSAM can define several factors like the number of storage facilities, capacity at each facility, transportation schedules, shipment rates, and other conditions. IWM is also developing the Stakeholder Tool for Assessing Radioactive Transportation (START). START is a web-based geospatial tool developed to provide the visualization and initial evaluation of transportation options associated with future SNF and HLW shipment planning and operations. This includes characterizing safety, economic, and environmental conditions at and in proximity to shipment origins as well as along prospective transportation routes. Information from the START tool can be presented/shared as maps, graphics, geospatial files, and tabular form to enable easy data representation and export functionality. The system analysis, NGSAM, and START teams have been working closely for several years before formalizing this collaboration. START provides the SNF transportation routing information for use in NGSAM. System analysts use the NGSAM tool to generate results (schedule, costs, infrastructure acquisitions, shipment rates, etc.). Subject-matter experts and system analysts work together to inform how NGSAM should model the waste management system. Specifically, this paper discusses the collaborations between the system analysis, NGSAM, and START teams and their accomplishments over the past year. Some examples of these efforts include calibrating and adding data to the START output files to meet NGSAM needs, gaining a better understanding of START data used in NGSAM as well as how updates in START data could result in an improved NGSAM analysis. Detailed examples of various tasks that have been performed by the team will be discussed in the full paper. Continued efforts in this direction are expected in the coming years.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Design and Characterization of Metal Nanoparticle Infiltrated Mesoporous Metal–Organic Frameworks

The infiltration of palladium and platinum nanoparticles (NPs) into the mesoporous metal–organic framework (MOF) CYCU-3 through chemical vapor infiltration (CVI) and incipient wetness infiltration (IWI) processes was systematically explored as a means to design novel NP@MOF composite materials for potential hydrogen storage applications. We employed a traditional CVI process and a new "green" IWI process using methanol for precursor infiltration and reduction under mild conditions. Transmission electron microscopy-based direct imaging techniques combined with synchrotron-based powder diffraction (SPD), energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, and physisorption analysis reveal that the resulting NP@MOF composites combine key NP and MOF properties. Room temperature hydrogen adsorption capacities of 0.95 and 0.20 mmol/g at 1 bar and 2.9 and 1.8 mmol/g at 100 bar are found for CVI and IWI samples, respectively. Additionally, hydrogen spillover and/or physisorption are proposed as the dominating adsorption mechanisms depending on the NP infiltration method. Mechanistic insights were obtained through the crystallographic means using SPD-based difference envelope density analysis, providing previously underexplored details on NP@MOF preparations. Consequently, important host–guest correlations influencing the global hydrogen adsorption properties are discussed, and they demonstrate that employing MOFs as platforms for NPs is an alternative approach to the development of versatile materials for improving current hydrogen storage technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

An Innovative Insight into Performance Degradation of NCM111 Cathode Induced by Suspension of Operation

The lifespan of lithium-ion batteries varies enormously from fundamental study to practical applications. This big difference has been typically ascribed to the high degree of uncertainty in unpredictable and complicated operation conditions in real-life applications. Here, in this paper, we report that the pause of the charging–discharging process, which is frequently operated in practice but rarely studied in academics, is an important reason for the performance degradation of the NCM111 cathode. It is found that the pause during cycling could trigger a remarkable drop in capacity, giving rise to ~30% more capacity decay compared with the continuously cycled sample. In situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction analysis reveals that the harmful H1–H2 phase transition, which typically appears in the initial cycle but disappears in subsequent cycles, is reactivated by the pausing process. The anisotropic lattice strains that occur during the H1–H2 transition result in mechanical fractures that terminate with an inert NiO-type rock-salt phase on the surface of particles. The present study indicates that the discontinuous usage of rechargeable batteries is also a key factor for cycle life, which might provide a distinct perspective on the performance decay in practical applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Techno-economic and life cycle analyses for a supercritical biodiesel production process from waste cooking oil for a plant located in the Midwest United States

Existing literature lacks detailed techno-economic and environmental life cycle analyses (TEA-LCA) focused on supercritical biodiesel production pathways produced via waste products. Therefore, in this work, the TEA-LCA was conducted to generate supercritical biodiesel from waste cooking oil for plants located in the Midwest region of USA having annual production capacities of 10,600 and 128,000 t using Aspen Plus and GREET softwares. Here, two plant production capacities were chosen to capture the economies of scale impact on biodiesel manufacture cost. In the supercritical process, methanol and propane were used as a cosolvent to synthesize biodiesel from waste cooking oil (WCO) at 280 °C and 128 bar at a residence time of 8.4 min and a WCO conversion rate of 97%. Economic analysis revealed that the supercritical process was an economically attractive pathway with a 2-year payback period for the 10,600 t/year capacity along with a break-even selling price of $\$$ 2.42/gal of diesel. In case of the larger plant (128,000 t/year capacity), the payback period and the breakeven selling price were considerably lower at values of 0.4 years and $1.31/gal of diesel, respectively, due to economies of scale impact. The generated biodiesel from supercritical process for the both the plant capacities met European (EN14214) and US (ASTM D6751) fuel quality standards while the obtained commercially valuable side product, i.e., glycerol, adhered to a pharmaceutical grade of 99.7%. Cradle to gate life cycle analysis using GREET revealed that supercritical process possessed 17% lower CO2 emissions than alkali-catalyzed process and 4% lower CO2 emissions than the conventional diesel production process. Other biodiesel production pathways in the literature were also compared to the results of the TEA-LCA of supercritical biodiesel production pathway.

Biodiesel production↗
DOE OSTI2024

Battery Electrolyte Design for Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (eVTOL) Platforms

Here, the development of robust and high-performance battery systems is crucial for the advancement of Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (eVTOL) vehicles for urban air mobility. This study evaluates the performance of different lithium-ion battery chemistries under Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (eVTOL) load profiles. The actual flight data coupled with physical models is used to create discharge profiles for testing on developed lithium-ion cells for eVTOLs. The performance of a standard liquid electrolyte (1.2 M LiPF 6 in EC:EMC), labeled Gen-2, is benchmarked and compared with a fast-charging electrolyte (1.2 M LiFSI in EC:EMC), labeled XFC. Cell analysis involves the use of various techniques, such as impedance spectroscopy, polarization curves, and capacity retention measurements. Capacity retention is stable for both systems over 500 cycles, but unique discharge capacity trends are observed for different mission segments. During the initial takeoff hover stages, Gen-2 electrolytes experience substantial voltage fade, while XFC electrolytes maintain consistent behavior. In general, the Gen-2 electrolyte demonstrated lower discharge overpotentials and higher decay during cycling compared to the XFC electrolyte. This work highlights the complexity of eVTOL battery behavior and provides insights into battery system design, contributing to the advancement of battery energy storage solutions for urban air mobility.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Chapter 5: Methods for Algal Protein Isolation and Proteome Analysis

Microalgae present promising feedstocks to produce renewable fuel and chemical intermediates, in part due to high storage carbon flux capacity to triacylglycerides or storage carbohydrates upon nutrient deprivation. However, the mechanism(s) governing deprivation-mediated carbon partitioning remain to be fully elucidated, limiting targeted strain engineering strategies in algal biocatalysts. Though genomic and transcriptomic analyses offer key insights into these mechanisms, active post-transcriptional regulatory mechanisms, ubiquitous in many microalgae, necessitate proteomic and post-translational (e.g., phospho- and nitroso-proteomic) analyses to more completely evaluate algal responsiveness to nutrient deprivation. Herein, we describe methods for isolating total algal protein and conducting proteomic, phosphoproteomic, and nitrosoproteomic analyses. We focus on methods deployed for the chlorophyte, Chlorella vulgaris, a model oleaginous alga with high flux to renewable fuel and chemical precursors.

BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES,BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Mechanical behavior of carbonated MgO-based Engineered Cementitious Composite (ECC) after high temperatures exposure

Carbonated MgO-based Engineered Cementitious Composite (ECC) has ultrahigh tensile ductility and tight crack width control behavior. However, the expectation of improved fire-resistant has not been confirmed. This study explored the alterations to mechanical and microstructure characteristics of this material after exposure to temperatures up to 500 °C. Material mass loss, compressive strength, tensile strength, strain capacity, and matrix fracture toughness were measured. Scanning electron microscopy, mercury intrusion porosimetry, thermogravimetric analysis, and X-ray diffraction were used to probe the degradation of the cement matrix and fibers. The effect of elevated temperature on carbonated MgO-based ECC was further assessed via examination of the micromechanical behavior of the fiber-matrix. The objective of this research was to assess the performance of carbonated MgO-based ECC exposed to fire hazards. The tensile ductility of carbonated MgO-based ECC was found to be enhanced when exposed to ~100 °C as compared with those at room temperature ~20 °C. Further increase in exposure temperature, however, posed a negative impact on the composite compressive strength, ultimate tensile strength, and ability to control crack width. Here the results provide a useful database for further investigations into carbonated MgO-based ECC for fire safety enhancement.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

INSPIRED: Inelastic neutron scattering prediction for instantaneous results and experimental design

Inelastic neutron scattering (INS) has unique advantages in probing how atoms vibrate and how the vibrations propagate and interact. Such dynamic information is crucial in understanding various material properties, from heat capacity, thermal conductivity, phase transitions, and chemical reactions to more exotic quantum behavior. The analysis and interpretation of the INS spectra often start from a model structure of the sample, followed by a series of calculations to obtain the simulated spectra to compare with experiments. The conventional way to perform such calculations usually requires significant time, computing resources, and specialized expertise. Here, we present a new program named INSPIRED (Inelastic Neutron Scattering Prediction for Instantaneous Results and Experimental Design), which enables users to perform rapid INS simulations in several different ways on their personal computers in just a few clicks, with the crystal structure as the only input file. Specifically, the users can choose a pre-trained symmetry-aware neural network (coupled with an autoencoder) to predict the phonon density of states (DOS), 1D S(E) and 2D S(|Q|,E) spectra for any given structure. One can also choose an existing density functional theory (DFT) calculation from a database (containing over 12,000 crystals), and quickly obtain the simulated INS spectra for single crystals and powders. It is also possible to use pre-trained universal machine learning force fields to relax a given crystal structure, calculate the phonon dispersion and DOS, and, subsequently, the INS spectra. All these functions are implemented with a PyQt graphic user interface. Finally, we expect these new tools will benefit broad user communities and significantly improve the efficiency of experiment design, execution, and data analysis for INS.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modeling nuclear energy’s future role in decarbonized energy systems

Increased attention has been focused on the potential role of nuclear energy in future electricity markets and energy systems as stakeholders target rapid and deep decarbonization and reductions in fossil fuel use. This paper examines models of electric sector planning and broader energy systems optimization to understand the prospective roles of nuclear energy and other technologies. In this perspective, we survey modeling challenges in this environment, illustrate opportunities to propagate best practices, and highlight insights from the deep decarbonization literature on the range of visions for nuclear energy's role. Nuclear energy deployment is highest with combinations of stringent emissions policies, nuclear cost reductions, and constraints on the deployment of other technologies, which underscores model dimensions related to these areas. New modeling capabilities are needed to adequately address emerging issues, including representing characteristics and applications of nuclear energy in systems models, and to ensure the relevance of models for policy and planning as deeper decarbonization is explored.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Adsorption of rare earth elements in carboxylated mesoporous carbon

The separation of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) from various non-conventional sources is critically important to maintain the supply–demand balance of REEs in the western world. Here, in this research, we have investigated coal Fly Ash (CFA) as the non-conventional source of REEs. In order to recover REEs, we have synthesized carboxylate-functionalized mesoporous carbon (CMC) to harness the chelation-induced adsorption of REEs. These adsorbents were characterized with pore textural properties, FTIR spectroscopy, and SEM-EDX mapping. In the initial study with single-component La(III) Dy(III) and Lu(III), it was revealed that CMC can adsorb those REEs 2–4 times more than that of pristine mesoporous carbon confirming the effective role of the carboxylate group in the REE separation. Furthermore, the affiliation of the carboxylate group towards heavier REEs (Lu>Dy>La, when present is equal amounts) provides an added benefit of this adsorbent owing to the high demand for heavier REEs in the technology sectors. The leachate solution produced from CFA contained sixteen REEs in the range of 50–200 ppb for most of the REEs. It was revealed that CMC can extract 80–90% of all the REEs thereby further confirming the success of the CMC as an effective REE sorbent. Three successive cycles of adsorption and desorption of REEs with the same CMC revealed the consistent adsorption capacity of REEs. In-situ X-ray Absorption Near Edge Spectroscopy (XANES) analysis confirmed the +3 oxidation states of La, Dy, and Lu within CMC. In-situ Extended X-ray Absorption Fine Structure (EXAFS) analysis revealed the shortening of mean La-O, Dy-O, and Lu-O bond distance by 0.03–0.05 Å thereby confirming the coordination of these REEs with carboxylate groups present on CMC.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Spatial Optimization of Multiscale Biorefinery Deployment for a Diversified Bioeconomy in the United States

Strategic biorefinery siting is critical for a diversified bioeconomy, yet industry, policy, and research often focus on either large-scale biofuel plants or smaller-scale specialty bioproduct facilities, with limited coordination across scales. We address this gap by modeling biorefinery deployment spanning a 28-fold difference in capacity. We developed an open-source, spatially explicit framework integrating techno-economic analysis with logistics and refinery cost surrogate models to evaluate multiscale miscanthus-derived biorefineries across the rainfed U.S. for the production of ethanol, succinic acid, lactic acid, potassium sorbate, and acrylic acid. Overall costs change little as feedstock density increases, while transport distances decrease by ∼30 to 67% (∼100 km) and siting flexibility improves. Specifically, a 5-fold feedstock density increase (2% to 10% of suitable land) reduces minimum selling prices by <10% (e.g., 0.27 USD·gal –1 for ethanol). This limited economic sensitivity suggests dense planting is not required for competitive deployment, particularly for smaller-scale facilities. Representing collection areas as irregular rather than circular expands the feasible space under low-density scenarios. While large-scale refineries anchor regional supply chains, smaller facilities retain spatial flexibility even when large refineries are established. These findings highlight the importance of spatial representation and multiscale coordination for robust, regionally tailored biomanufacturing networks to advance renewable carbon integration without extensive land conversion.

biorefinery siting↗
DOE OSTI2023

Morphology–Diffusivity Relationships in Fluorine-Free Random Terpolymers for Proton-Exchange Membranes

Here, using atomistic molecular dynamics simulations, we investigate the morphology and transport properties of a new family of fluorine-free terpolymers designed as proton-exchange membranes. Simulated random terpolymers consist of three monomers with a 5-carbon backbone with a phenylsulfonate, phenyl, or no pendant group and have ion exchange capacities (IECs) ranging from 1.06–4.14 mmol/g. At a hydration level of 9, cluster analysis reveals macrophase separation between water and terpolymers with IEC < 2.1 mmol/g and continuous, percolated hydrophilic and hydrophobic nanoscale domains at higher IECs. Channel width distribution analysis of the percolated morphologies revealed that more hydrophobic units produce less uniform channels. Decreasing the surface area per sulfonate group and increasing the fractal dimension of the hydrophilic domains correlate with increased water diffusivity, due to a more acidic interface and more isotropic water channels. Relative to the previously studied phenylsulfonate homopolymer, these terpolymers with lower IECs have only modestly lower water diffusion, and we anticipate other advantages related to processability.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Aliovalent Anion Incorporation in Halide Na-ion Conductors for Enhanced Ionic Conductivity

Halide-based solid electrolytes (SEs), particularly zirconium (Zr)-centered halides, are attractive from a material cost perspective. Nevertheless, Zr-centered halide SEs are hindered by their low ionic conductivity. Here, in this study, we report on the cubic Na 3 ZrCl 5 S superionic conductor through strategic sulfur anion incorporation, achieving 10 times higher ionic conductivity than that of Na 2 ZrCl 6 . With the optimal composition, the highest ionic conductivity of 0.753 mS cm –1 is obtained for the 0.6Na 2 S–1.4NaCl–ZrCl 4 compound. When paired with a NaCrO 2 cathode, the assembled all-solid-state batteries (ASSBs) achieve a specific discharge capacity of 110 mA h g –1 at 0.1C and exhibit long-term cycling stability at 0.3C at room temperature over 1000 cycles (with 83% capacity retention). Moreover, in situ electrochemical impedance spectroscopy combined with distribution of relaxation times analysis reveal the dynamically interfacial stability between Na halide with electrodes. In conclusion, this work highlights the design and synthesis of advanced halide electrolytes through anion incorporation, paving the way for the development of next-generation ASSBs.

Guo, Xiaolin [Univ. of Louisville, KY (United Stat↗
DOE OSTI2022

The histone code of the fungal genus Aspergillus uncovered by evolutionary and proteomic analyses

Chemical modifications of DNA and histone proteins impact the organization of chromatin within the nucleus. Changes in these modifications, catalysed by different chromatin-modifying enzymes, influence chromatin organization, which in turn is thought to impact the spatial and temporal regulation of gene expression. While combinations of different histone modifications, the histone code, have been studied in several model species, we know very little about histone modifications in the fungal genus Aspergillus, whose members are generally well studied due to their importance as models in cell and molecular biology as well as their medical and biotechnological relevance. Here, we used phylogenetic analyses in 94 Aspergilli as well as other fungi to uncover the occurrence and evolutionary trajectories of enzymes and protein complexes with roles in chromatin modifications or regulation. We found that these enzymes and complexes are highly conserved in Aspergilli, pointing towards a complex repertoire of chromatin modifications. Nevertheless, we also observed few recent gene duplications or losses, highlighting Aspergillus species to further study the roles of specific chromatin modifications. SET7 (KMT6) and other components of PRC2 (Polycomb Repressive Complex 2), which is responsible for methylation on histone H3 at lysine 27 in many eukaryotes including fungi, are absent in Aspergilli as well as in closely related Penicillium species, suggesting that these lost the capacity for this histone modification. We corroborated our computational predictions by performing untargeted MS analysis of histone post-translational modifications in Aspergillus nidulans. This systematic analysis will pave the way for future research into the complexity of the histone code and its functional implications on genome architecture and gene regulation in fungi.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Rutin is a potent senomorphic agent to target senescent cells and can improve chemotherapeutic efficacy

Aging is a major risk factor for most chronic disorders, for which cellular senescence is one of the central hallmarks. Senescent cells develop the pro-inflammatory senescence-associated secretory phenotype (SASP), which significantly contributes to organismal aging and age-related disorders. Development of senotherapeutics, an emerging class of therapeutic agents to target senescent cells, allows to effectively delay aging and alleviate chronic pathologies. Here we report preliminary outputs from screening of a natural medicinal agent (NMA) library for senotherapeutic candidates and validated several agents with prominent potential as senomorphics. Rutin, a phytochemical constituent found in a number of plants, showed remarkable capacity in targeting senescent cells by dampening expression of the full spectrum SASP. Further analysis indicated that rutin restrains the acute stress-associated phenotype (ASAP) by specifically interfering with the interactions of ATM with HIF1α, a master regulator of cellular and systemic homeostasis activated during senescence, and of ATM with TRAF6, part of a key signaling axis supporting the ASAP development toward the SASP. Conditioned media produced by senescent stromal cells enhanced the malignant phenotypes of prostate cancer cells, including in vitro proliferation, migration, invasion, and more importantly, chemoresistance, while rutin remarkably downregulated these gain-of-functions. Although classic chemotherapy reduced tumor progression, the treatment outcome was substantially improved upon combination of a chemotherapeutic agent with rutin. Our study provides a proof of concept for rutin as an emerging natural senomorphic agent, and presents an effective therapeutic avenue for alleviating age-related pathologies including cancer.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Ampk alpha2 T172 activation dictates exercise performance and energy transduction in skeletal muscle

Adenosine 5′-monophosphate–activated protein kinase (AMPK) is an energetic sensor for metabolic regulation and integration. Here, we used CRISPR-Cas9 to generate nonactivatable Ampkα knock-in (KI) mice with mutation of threonine-172 phosphorylation site to alanine (T172A), circumventing the limitations of previous genetic interventions that disrupt the protein stoichiometry. KI mice of Ampkα2, but not Ampkα1, demonstrated phenotypic changes with increased fat-to-lean mass, impaired endurance exercise capacity, and diminished mitochondrial maximal respiration and conductance in skeletal muscle. Integrated temporal multiomics analysis (proteomics/phosphoproteomics/metabolomics) in skeletal muscle at rest and during exercise establishes a pleiotropic yet imperative role of Ampkα2 T172 activation for glycolytic and oxidative metabolism, mitochondrial respiration, and contractile function. There is a substantial overlap of skeletal muscle proteomic changes in Ampkα2 T172A KI mice with that of patients with type 2 diabetes. Our findings suggest that Ampkα2 T172 activation is critical for exercise performance and energy transduction in skeletal muscle and may serve as a therapeutic target for type 2 diabetes.

Bioenergetics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Methods for Quantitative Thermal Analysis of Lithium Solid-State and Beyond Battery Safety

The use of differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) to measure the thermal behavior of individual components and electrolyte/electrode combinations is common. However, here we focus on DSC tests on an anode, cathode, and electrolyte (ACE) component combination over a temperature range that includes many of the phase transitions and key reactions (i.e., to 500 °C) that contribute to thermal runaway. This method can help quantify the complex reaction network in a full cell, thereby informing potential safety issues. Here, we used DSC heat flow data from a solid-state Li 0.43 CoO 2 +C+PVDF | LLZO | Li metal ACE sample and its components to quantify key factors affecting results. We focused on three areas: (1) ACE sample preparation and assembly in DSC pans, (2) DSC measurement parameters, and (3) heat flow analysis. Key points include the choice of component ratios (e.g., commercially relevant N:P capacity ratio), the importance of conductive carbon and binder, type of pan used, DSC ramp rate, and integration method used when dealing with broad and overlapping exothermic peaks. This work deepens the scientific basis and best practices for obtaining heat flow data from ACE samples for early-stage evaluation of solid-state and beyond battery safety.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Nuclear Power's Future Role in a Decarbonized U.S. Electricity System

This study explores the potential future role of nuclear energy in a decarbonized U.S. electricity system through a multi-model comparison approach. We employ four state-of-the-art CEMs with native and harmonized input assumptions, layered with different policy and technology trajectories. Comparing outputs across models, technology assumptions, and policy scenarios informs model understanding, interpretation, and development decisions. Under current policies, models differ in their projections for nuclear retirements, but nuclear power plants consistently run with high capacity factors and new builds only occur in scenarios with very low nuclear costs. String power sector carbon policies drive models to align in keeping existing nuclear capacity and employing nuclear plant flexibility, but they may not be enough to bring new nuclear capacity online in the absence of significant cost declines. Therefore, significant economic deployment of new nuclear capacity requires both a stringent electric sector CO2 policy and very low cost assumptions for new nuclear. While these scenarios should not be interpreted as predictions, they are informative for understanding differing model assessments of the relative competitiveness of nuclear energy under a range of policy and technology conditions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗