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At least 415 records · Page 23

The Bias-Variance-Correlation Tradeoff and Its Implications for ML Applications in HEP

The bias-variance tradeoff is a well-recognized phenomenon in statistics and machine learning. In this talk, I will discuss an extension, dubbed the bias-variance-correlation tradeoff. Roughly speaking, as the flexibility of a model decreases, the correlations in the outputs of a trained model for different inputs increases. Such correlations have implications for several applications of machine learning in high energy physics, e.g., the use generative models for event generation. In particular, I will argue that claims in the literature of data amplification by generative models stem from ignoring important correlations between the model's outputs for different inputs.

Shyamsundar, Prasanth [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000227↗

Using quantum noise correlation analysis to measure ion temperature

Quantum noise correlation analysis was tested at the proof-of-concept level as a technique to measure ion temperature in a plasma. If eventually successful, this technique could enable a compact, inexpensive, and robust ion temperature diagnostic suitable for a burning plasma environment. Ion temperature is a key parameter determining the fusion performance of a burning plasma, as the fusion cross-section has a strong dependence on ion temperature. This ion temperature diagnostic would require only a small optical view of the plasma through a port to passively record impurity line emission. The instrumentation would be remote from the reactor behind the neutron and bio-shielding. The technique relies solely on quantum correlations of the photons emitted by a plasma impurity to measure ion temperature; there is no grating dispersion of an emission line-width or pulse-height analysis of photon energy. This measurement innovation was tested with instrumentation consisting of two single-photon detectors with high timing resolution, a time-tagging unit, and simple light collection optics. This instrumentation measures the second-order correlation between the light intensity falling on the two detectors. The next steps beyond the proof-of-concept level will be development of diagnostic designs for application of this technique to high-temperature and burning plasmas. Arrays of single-photon avalanche detectors to multiplex measurements of photon correlation will be required to reduce signal integration time to an acceptable duration.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Imaging the Wake of a Jet with Energy Correlators

In heavy ion collisions, jets are formed during the initial hard scattering event and move through the quark-gluon plasma (QGP) as it evolves. The evolution of the medium manifests itself on the jet via various jet-medium interactions, modifying its substructure as compared to vacuum QCD. Recently, the energy correlator observable has been shown to be a powerful method to decode correlations in pp collisions through measurements in ALICE, CMS and STAR. Additionally, recent studies have shown the sensitivity of this observable to medium modification due to the QGP. In this work [1], we perform the first study of the three-point energy correlator for medium modified jets, to show how it can be used to map out the shape of medium induced modifications. We illustrate this for the specific case of the Hybrid Model, where we show how higher-point correlation functions can image the wake of a jet.

Rai, Ananya [Yale University, New Haven, CT (Unite↗

Circulating Tumour Cell Numbers Correlate with Platelet Count and Circulating Lymphocyte Subsets in Men with Advanced Prostate Cancer: Data from the ExPeCT Clinical Trial (CTRIAL-IE 15-21)

Interactions between circulating tumour cells (CTCs) and platelets are thought to inhibit natural killer(NK)-cell-induced lysis. We attempted to correlate CTC numbers in men with advanced prostate cancer with platelet counts and circulating lymphocyte numbers. Sixty-one ExPeCT trial participants, divided into overweight/obese and normal weight groups on the basis of a BMI ≥ 25 or <25, were randomized to participate or not in a six-month exercise programme. Blood samples at randomization, and at three and six months, were subjected to ScreenCell filtration, circulating platelet counts were obtained, and flow cytometry was performed on a subset of samples (n = 29). CTC count positively correlated with absolute total lymphocyte count (r 2 = 0.1709, p = 0.0258) and NK-cell count (r 2 = 0.49, p < 0.0001). There was also a positive correlation between platelet count and CTC count (r 2 = 0.094, p = 0.0001). Correlation was also demonstrated within the overweight/obese group (n = 123, p < 0.0001), the non-exercise group (n = 79, p = 0.001) and blood draw samples lacking platelet cloaking (n = 128, p < 0.0001). By flow cytometry, blood samples from the exercise group (n = 15) had a higher proportion of CD3+ T-lymphocytes (p = 0.0003) and lower proportions of B-lymphocytes (p = 0.0264) and NK-cells (p = 0.015) than the non-exercise group (n = 14). These findings suggest that CTCs engage in complex interactions with the coagulation cascade and innate immune system during intravascular transit, and they present an attractive target for directed therapy at a vulnerable stage in metastasis.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Unveiling the Significance of Correlations in K-Space and Configuration Space for Drift Wave Turbulence in Tokamaks

Turbulence and transport phenomena play a crucial role in the confinement and stability of tokamak plasmas. Turbulent fluctuations in certain physical quantities, such as density or temperature fluctuations, can have a wide range of spatial scales, and understanding their correlation length is important for predicting and controlling the behavior of the plasma. The correlation length in the radial direction is identified as the critical length in real space. The dynamics in real space are of significant interest because transport in configuration space is primarily focused on them. When investigating transport caused by the E×B drift, the correlation length in real space represents the size of E×B whirls. It was numerically discovered that in drift wave turbulence, this length is inversely proportional to the normalized mode number of the fastest growing mode relative to the drift frequency. Considerable time was required before a proper analytical derivation of this condition was accomplished. Therefore, a connection has been established between phenomena occurring in real space and those occurring in k-space. Although accompanied by a turbulent spectrum in k-space with a substantial width, transport in real space is uniquely determined by the correlation length, allowing for accurate transport calculations through the dynamics of a single mode. Naturally, the dynamics are subject to nonlinear effects, with resonance broadening in frequency being the most significant nonlinear effect. Thus, mode number space is once again involved. Resonance broadening leads to the detuning of waves from particles, permitting a fluid treatment. It should be emphasized that the consideration here involves the total electric field, including the induction part, which becomes particularly important at higher beta plasmas.

Weiland, Jan (ORCID:0000000253496025)↗

Long-Range Azimuthal Correlation, Entanglement, and Bell Inequality Violation by Spinning Gluons at the Large Hadron Collider

We apply the recently developed concept of the nucleon energy–energy correlator (NEEC) for the gluon sector to investigate the long-range azimuthal angular correlations in proton–proton collisions at the Large Hadron Collider. The spinning gluon in these collisions will introduce substantial nonzero cos(2Φ) asymmetries in both Higgs boson and top quark pair productions, where Φ is the azimuthal angle between the forward and backward energy correlators in the NEEC observables. The genesis of the cos(2Φ) correlation lies in the intricate quantum entanglement. Owing to the substantial cos(2Φ) effect, the NEEC observable in Higgs boson and $t\bar{t}$ production emerges as a pivotal avenue for delving into quantum entanglement and scrutinizing the Bell inequality at high-energy colliders.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

A Cross-correlation Study of High-energy Neutrinos and Tracers of Large-scale Structure

The origin of the bulk of the astrophysical neutrinos detected by the IceCube Observatory remains a mystery. Previous source-finding analyses compared the directions of IceCube events and individual sources in astrophysical catalogs. The source association method is technically challenging when the number of source candidates is much larger than the number of the observed astrophysical neutrinos. In this paper, we show that in this large source number regime, a two-point cross-correlation analysis of neutrino data and source catalog can instead be used to constrain potential source populations for the high-energy astrophysical neutrinos, and provide spatial evidence for the existence of astrophysical neutrinos. We present an analysis of the cross-correlation of the IceCube 2010–2012 point-source data and a WISE–2MASS galaxy sample. While we find no significant detection of cross-correlation with the publicly available neutrino data set, we show that, when applied to the full IceCube data, which has a longer observation time and higher astrophysical neutrino purity, our method has sufficient statistical power to detect a cross-correlation signal if the neutrino sources trace the large-scale structure of the universe.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Improved Treatment of Host-galaxy Correlations in Cosmological Analyses with Type Ia Supernovae

Improving the use of Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) as standard candles requires a better approach to incorporate the relationship between SNe Ia and the properties of their host galaxies. Using a spectroscopically confirmed sample of ~1600 SNe Ia, we develop the first empirical model of underlying populations for SNe Ia light-curve properties that includes their dependence on host-galaxy stellar mass; we find a significant correlation between stretch population and stellar mass (99.9% confidence) and a weaker correlation between color and stellar mass (90% confidence). These populations are important inputs to simulations that are used to model selection effects and correct distance biases within the BEAMS with Bias Correction (BBC) framework. Here we improve BBC to also account for SNe Ia-host correlations, and we validate this technique on simulated data samples. Here, we recover the input relationship between SNe Ia luminosity and host-galaxy stellar mass (the mass step, γ) with a bias of 0.004 ±0.001 mag, which is a factor of 5 improvement over previous methods that have a γ bias of ~0.02 ± 0.001 mag. We adapt BBC for a novel dust-based model of intrinsic brightness variations, which results in a greatly reduced mass step for data (γ = 0.017 ± 0.008) and for simulations (γ = 0.006 ± 0.007). Analyzing simulated SNe Ia, the biases on the dark energy equation of state, w, vary from Δw = 0.006(5) to 0.010(5) with our new BBC method; these biases are significantly smaller than the 0.02(5) w bias using previous BBC methods that ignore SNe Ia-host correlations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Cross-correlation Study between IceCube Neutrino Events and the FERMI Unresolved Gamma-Ray Sky

With the coincident detections of electromagnetic radiation together with gravitational waves (GW170817) or neutrinos (TXS 0506+056), the new era of multimessenger astrophysics has begun. Of particular interest are the searches for correlation between the high-energy astrophysical neutrinos detected by the IceCube Observatory and gamma-ray photons detected by the Fermi Large Area Telescope (LAT). So far, only sources detected by the LAT have been considered in correlation with IceCube neutrinos, neglecting any emission from sources too faint to be resolved individually. Here we present the first cross-correlation analysis considering the unresolved gamma-ray background (UGRB) and IceCube events. We perform a thorough sensitivity study, and, given the lack of identified correlation, we place upper limits on the fraction of the observed neutrinos that would be produced in proton–proton or proton–$γ$ interactions from the population of sources contributing to the UGRB emission and dominating its spatial anisotropy (aka blazars). Our analysis suggests that, under the assumption that there is no intrinsic cutoff and/or hardening of the spectrum above Fermi-LAT energies, and that all gamma rays from the unresolved blazars dominating the UGRB fluctuation field are produced by neutral pions from $p–p$ ($p–γ$) interactions, up to 60% (30%) of such a population may contribute to the total neutrino events observed by IceCube. This translates into an O (1%) maximum contribution to the astrophysical high-energy neutrino flux observed by IceCube at 100 TeV.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

General circulation models simulate negative liquid water path–droplet number correlations, but anthropogenic aerosols still increase simulated liquid water path

General circulation models' (GCMs) estimates of the liquid water path adjustment to anthropogenic aerosol emissions differ in sign from other lines of evidence. This reduces confidence in estimates of the effective radiative forcing of the climate by aerosol–cloud interactions (ERFaci). The discrepancy is thought to stem in part from GCMs' inability to represent the turbulence–microphysics interactions in cloud-top entrainment, a mechanism that leads to a reduction in liquid water in response to an anthropogenic increase in aerosols. In the real atmosphere, enhanced cloud-top entrainment is thought to be the dominant adjustment mechanism for liquid water path, weakening the overall ERFaci. We show that the latest generation of GCMs includes models that produce a negative correlation between the present-day cloud droplet number and liquid water path, a key piece of observational evidence supporting liquid water path reduction by anthropogenic aerosols and one that earlier-generation GCMs could not reproduce. However, even in GCMs with this negative correlation, the increase in anthropogenic aerosols from preindustrial to present-day values still leads to an increase in the simulated liquid water path due to the parameterized precipitation suppression mechanism. This adds to the evidence that correlations in the present-day climate are not necessarily causal. We investigate sources of confounding to explain the noncausal correlation between liquid water path and droplet number. These results are a reminder that assessments of climate parameters based on multiple lines of evidence must carefully consider the complementary strengths of different lines when the lines disagree.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Semi-Empirical Correlation for the Onset of Density Wave Oscillations in a Helical Coil Steam Generator

NuScale Power has completed full length helical coil steam generator (HCSG) tests at SIET Laboratories in Piacenza, Italy. The test program included an investigation of the onset and evolution of density wave oscillations (DWO). This paper describes the mechanisms leading to the onset of DWO as inferred from tests performed in the full-height TF-2 counter-flow test facility. This research supports the concept that the onset of DWO is caused by liquid bridging inside the boiling length of the tubes. Using a separate cylinders approximation, a DWO onset correlation is obtained by performing a steady-state momentum balance on the density front created by liquid bridging. This yields a momentum balance equation in terms of a set of dimensionless superficial velocities, a corresponding dimensionless pressure drop term and an average void fraction. Envelope theory is then used to obtain a critical void fraction which is substituted into the dimensionless momentum balance to obtain a DWO onset correlation similar to the Wallis counter-current flooding correlation. A comparison of the DWO onset correlation to the TF-2 DWO experimental data is presented and shows excellent agreement when the average equilibrium vapor quality is greater than 0.2.

Density Wave Oscillations, Helical Coil Steam Gene↗

Correlated Signal Analysis for Nuclear Emergency Response

In the context of nuclear emergency response (NER) scenarios, the critical task is to quickly identify a "black box" as a potential threat, as failing to do so could have catastrophic consequences. Techniques for passive assay of a “black box” typically include gamma-ray spectroscopy and neutron coincidence/multiplicity counting. However, there are significant challenges associated with these type of measurements. First, the presence of intervening materials can obstruct the detection of relevant signatures. Second, the presence of strong non-fission neutron sources, like (α, n) emitters, can add uncertainties to the neutron multiplicity analysis. In our LDRD-MFR Phase II work, a portable neutron spectrometer, called the Compact Fast Neutron Spectrometer (CFNS), was developed for NER applications. The CFNS system leverages information-rich neutron energy spectra to derive actionable information. This work investigates the use of correlated signals in the CFNS from special nuclear material (SNM) to characterize physical properties, such as intervening shielding material and fission to non-fission neutron contributions. In this report, the Phase II results from bulk SNM measurements at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) are briefly discussed along with the motivation for this work. Afterwards, simulations using the MCNPX-PoliMi transport code are discussed, which were used to expand our correlated signal study. Signal triggered analysis for neutron multiplicity extraction will also be discussed. Lastly, the use neutron-photon correlations for intervening material identification are shown, along with the use of correlated neutron energy spectra for α-ratio extraction.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Cross-correlation of SPT-3G D1 CMB lensing and DES Y3 galaxy lensing

Measurements of the weak lensing of galaxies and of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) provide direct probes of the cosmic matter density field, but the two observables are sensitive to different spatial scales, redshift ranges, and survey systematics. Their cross-correlation thus enables consistency checks of the theoretical model and of potential systematics in either dataset. We present measurements of the cross-correlation between CMB lensing and cosmic shear over $\sim$1,300 deg$^2$ of the sky using the SPT-3G D1 CMB lensing maps and the Dark Energy Survey Year 3 (DES Y3) shear catalogs. For the first time, we measure this cross-correlation at high significance ($\sim 14σ$) when using a polarization-only CMB lensing reconstruction that is expected to be robust against biases induced by extragalactic foregrounds. We test a variety of other CMB lensing estimators that include temperature information and exhibit different tradeoffs between foreground biases and noise, as well as a shear sample that consists of blue, star-forming galaxies and has been shown to be less impacted by galaxy intrinsic alignments. Assuming $Λ$CDM and marginalizing over uncertainties in intrinsic alignments, baryonic feedback, and various nuisance parameters, we obtain a constraint on the amplitude of matter clustering $S_8 \equiv σ_8 \sqrt{Ω_m / 0.3} = 0.833^{+0.047}_{-0.061}$, consistent with both the primary CMB results from Planck and shear-only results from DES Y3. By combining our measurement with Planck, we find mild constraints on the astrophysical processes that impact the cross-correlation. We obtain a constraint on the intrinsic alignment amplitude of the DES sample that is competitive with that from shear-only analyses, and we find a lower limit on the strength of baryonic feedback.

Ouellette, A. [Illinois U., Urbana] (ORCID:0000000↗

Observation of nuclear modification of energy-energy correlators inside jets in heavy ion collisions

Energy-energy correlators are constructed by averaging the number of charged particle pairs within jets, weighted by the product of their transverse momenta, as a function of the angular separation of the particles within a pair. They are sensitive to a multitude of perturbative and nonperturbative quantum chromodynamics phenomena in high-energy particle collisions. Using lead-lead data recorded with the CMS detector, energy-energy correlators inside high transverse momentum jets are measured in heavy ion collisions for the first time. The data are obtained at a nucleon-nucleon center-of-mass energy of 5.02 TeV and correspond to an integrated luminosity of 1.70 nb −1 . A similar analysis is done for proton-proton collisions at the same center-of-mass energy to establish a reference. The ratio of lead-lead to proton-proton energy-energy correlators reveals significant jet substructure modifications in the quark-gluon plasma. The results are compared to different models that incorporate either color coherence or medium response effects, where the two effects predict similar substructure modifications.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Multireference Electron Correlation Methods: Journeys along Potential Energy Surfaces

Multireference electron correlation methods describe static and dynamical electron correlation in a balanced way and, therefore, can yield accurate and predictive results even when single-reference methods or multiconfigurational self-consistent field theory fails. One of their most prominent applications in quantum chemistry is the exploration of potential energy surfaces. This includes the optimization of molecular geometries, such as equilibrium geometries and conical intersections and on-the-fly photodynamics simulations, both of which depend heavily on the ability of the method to properly explore the potential energy surface. Because such applications require nuclear gradients and derivative couplings, the availability of analytical nuclear gradients greatly enhances the scope of quantum chemical methods. This review focuses on the developments and advances made in the past two decades. A detailed account of the analytical nuclear gradient and derivative coupling theories is presented. Emphasis is given to the software infrastructure that allows one to make use of these methods. Notable applications of multireference electron correlation methods to chemistry, including geometry optimizations and on-the-fly dynamics, are summarized at the end followed by a discussion of future prospects.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Dynamical correlation between ions in liquid seen in real space and time

Controlling ionic transport in liquids is anticipated to provide new scientific and technological opportunities, but it requires accurate knowledge of atomic-scale dynamics of ions beyond the hydrodynamic description. Atomic dynamics in liquids is characterized by strong and dynamical correlations among atoms, which render a conventional approach to describing the dynamics in reciprocal space challenging. We propose an alternative approach to describe liquid dynamics in real space and time using the time-delayed two-body correlation function, Van Hove correlation function, and discuss recent results on the local dynamics in water and electrolytes.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Topological protection in a Landau flat band at v = 7/11, a candidate filling factor for unconventional correlations

Strong interactions in Landau flat bands are known to stabilize correlated states that do not form in other types of flat bands. We report hallmarks of topological protection at the Landau level filling factor v = 7/11 in a 2D electron system. The v = 7/11 filling factor is the particle-hole conjugate of v = 4/11⁠, a filling factor intensely studied for the possibility of realizing unconventional electronic correlations. Our data establish a new instance for an unusual fractional quantum Hall state and opens up possibilities for the study of unconventional correlations in an enlarged parameter space. We report and discuss transport signatures developing at other filling factors of interest v = 7/11, 5/8⁠, and 8/13⁠, which however in our sample do not exhibit topological protection.

composite fermions↗

Source function from two-particle correlation function through entropy-regularized Richardson-Lucy deblurring

Source functions are obtained from p – p and d – α correlation functions by applying the Richardson-Lucy (RL) deblurring to the Koonin-Pratt (KP) equation. To prevent fitting of noise in the correlation function, total-variation (TV) regularization is employed that has been effective in ordinary image restoration. TV alone cannot ensure normalization of the source functions. To ensure the latter, we propose a maximum-entropy regularized RL algorithm (MEM-RL). We outline the MEM-RL formalism and optimization strategy for the KP equation, demonstrating its effectiveness on both simulated and experimental data, including the p – p and d – α correlation functions.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗