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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

MURR LEU structural and thermal hydraulics analyses: Part I – Preliminary irradiation thermo-mechanical behavior

The University of Missouri Research Reactor (MURR) is expected to be converted from highly enriched uranium (HEU, ≥ 20 wt% U-235) U-Al x dispersion fuel to low-enriched uranium (LEU, < 20 wt% U-235) with U-10Mo monolithic fuel. This work introduces high-fidelity irradiation thermo–mechanical (T-M) analysis of the MURR LEU focusing on changes in coolant channel gap thickness. Three-dimensional (3D) finite element (FE) models were developed to simulate the irradiation T-M behavior of the MURR LEU element with all 23 curved fuel plates, the two side plates, and the combs. It was shown that channel gap thickness changes were influenced not only by plate thickness variations due to fuel swelling and creep but also by the radial displacement of consecutive MURR LEU plates. Modeling the fuel element assembly captured side plate displacements, which were shown to reduce radial fuel plate displacements towards the convex side. The maximum local radial displacement in the element was predicted at the end of life (EOL) as 23.7 mil (602.0 µm) on the lateral centerline of plate 23 towards the convex side. The maximum stripe-averaged reduction in channel gap thickness, particularly relevant for thermal hydraulics (TH) safety analysis, was calculated as 15.9 mil (403.9 µm) in single-side heated channel 24 (the outermost channel). These results account for the thermal resistance from the oxide build-up on cladding surfaces which was shown to be up to 0.82 mil (20.8 µm) thick. It was demonstrated that accounting for oxide layer thermal resistance led to a 10 °C higher peak fuel temperature and a 4.4 mil (111.8 µm) greater maximum local radial displacement. The impact of the calculated channel gap thickness changes on the MURR LEU TH safety analysis is evaluated in Part II.

Irradiation thermo-mechanical analysis↗
DOE OSTI2021

Complexity and near extremal charged black branes

Highlights: • Trying to explore a remedy to overcome the puzzle in holographic complexity by assuming a cutoff behind the horizon and the corresponding boundary term. • Holographic complexity growth obtained by the WDW patch on shell action is insensitive to the UV cutoff at the late time. Therefore one may conclude that either on shell action does not compute complexity, or the late time is not given by the physical charges, or in our computations we have missed something! • We find that one needs to carefully compute on shell action taking into account the behind the horizon and the corresponding boundary term. Doing so, one arrives at a consistent picture. • We check this consistency by evaluating the late time complexity growth for near horizon limit of the near extremal black hole using two different methods. We would have obtained non-consistent picture, if we had not considered the behind the horizon cutoff as well as the corresponding boundary term. We compute holographic complexity of charged black brane solutions in arbitrary dimensions for the near horizon limit of near extremal case using two different methods. The corresponding complexity may be obtained either by taking the limit from the complexity of the charged black brane, or by computing the complexity for near horizon limit of near extremal solution. One observes that these results coincide if one assumes to have a cutoff behind horizon whose value is fixed by UV cutoff and also taking into account a proper counterterm evaluated on this cutoff. We also consider the situation for Vaidya charged black branes too.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

Sizing battery energy storage and PV system in an extreme fast charging station considering uncertainties and battery degradation

In this paper, we present mixed integer linear programming (MILP) formulations to obtain optimal sizing for a battery energy storage system (BESS) and solar generation system in an extreme fast charging station (XFCS) to reduce the annualized total cost. The proposed model characterizes a typical year with eight representative scenarios and obtains the optimal energy management for the station and BESS operation to exploit the energy arbitrage for each scenario. Contrasting extant literature, this paper proposes a constant power constant voltage (CPCV) based improved probabilistic approach to model the XFCS charging demand for weekdays and weekends. This paper also accounts for the monthly and annual demand charges based on realistic utility tariffs. Furthermore, BESS life degradation is considered in the model to ensure no replacement is needed during the considered planning horizon. Different from the literature, this paper offers pragmatic MILP formulations to tally BESS charge/discharge cycles using the cumulative charge/discharge energy concept. McCormick relaxations and the Big-M method are utilized to relax the bi-linear terms in the BESS operational constraints. Finally, a robust optimization-based MILP model is proposed and leveraged to account for uncertainties in electricity price, solar generation, and XFCS demand. Case studies were performed to signify the efficacy of the proposed formulations.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

How close are urban scale building simulations to measured data? Examining bias derived from building metadata in urban building energy modeling

Residential and commercial buildings in the United States accounted for 40% of total energy in 2020. Building energy modeling (BEM) is a useful tool that allows individuals, researchers, companies, or utilities to save energy by optimizing buildings through estimation of building technology savings and performance projection of building energy under various environmental conditions. Urban building energy modeling (UBEM) expands the scope beyond individual buildings to the buildings in a neighborhood, city, utility and more. Yet there is a knowledge gap in the literature as to how these models compare to measured data on an individual and aggregated basis. As UBEM data and methods continue to develop, it is important to consider the accuracy, bias, and limitations of the models. Here, nation-scale data and UBEM software suite named Automatic Building Energy Modeling (AutoBEM) was used to model 50,843 buildings in Chattanooga, Tennessee. The uncalibrated simulation results were compared to aggregated 15-minute electricity data for the year 2019 with visualizations highlighting sources of bias in building data and the AutoBEM framework while considering how they relate to other UBEM methods. Estimation of building type and year of constructions are found to be the major sources of bias. Accounting for the amount of conditioned area per building significantly improves the overall fit of the simulated energy use intensity. it was found that inherent variation in building energy use contributes to R 2 values between 0.008 and 0.095 across building types but slope values near 1 for the total number of buildings. This indicates the need for building aggregation for representative building energy modeling with data sources available at an urban scale while illustrating the need for additional individual building data and model improvement beyond the originally produced UBEM models for individual building analysis.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

A bi-level data-driven framework for fault-detection and diagnosis of HVAC systems

Long-term operation of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems will eventually lead to a range of HVAC system failures, resulting in excessive energy consumption and maintenance costs. Here, to avoid HVAC malfunctioning, fault detection diagnostic (FDD) is utilized as a common practice. Machine learning methods have lately received considerable interest for FDD analysis of HVAC systems due to their high detection accuracy. Meanwhile, HVAC malfunctions are regarded as rare occurrences, hence normal operating data samples are much more accessible than data samples in faulty and malfunctioning conditions. The dominating frequency of normal operation in HVAC datasets has also led to heavily biased classification algorithms within the literature. Moreover, the focus of previous literature has been on increasing the accuracy of the models which leads to a high number of false positives (misleading alarms) in the system. In order to enhance the performance of diagnostic procedures and fill the mentioned gaps, this study proposes a novel data-driven framework. A bi-level machine learning framework is developed for diagnosing faults in air handling units (AHUs) and rooftop units (RTUs) based on principal component analysis (PCA), time series anomaly detection, and random forest (RF). It is shown that PCA can reduce the dataset dimension with one principal component accounting for 95% of data variance. Also, the random forest could classify the faults with 89% precision for single-zone AHU, 85% precision for RTU, and 79% for multi-zone AHU. By proposing this framework, three persistent challenges are addressed: (I) minimizing false positives; (II) accounting for data imbalance; and (III) normal condition monitoring of equipment.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Enhancing flexibility for climate change using seasonal energy storage (aquifer thermal energy storage) in distributed energy systems

Long-term energy storage is expected to play a vital role in the deep decarbonization of building energy sectors, while enhancing the flexibility of buildings to withstand future climate variations. However, it is challenging to design distributed multi-energy systems (DMES) while taking into account the uncertainties introduced by climate change, since stochastic optimization of such systems is difficult. The present study introduces a stochastic optimization model to address this bottleneck, taking into account DMES including aquifer thermal energy storage (ATES) as the long-term thermal storage. For the first time, a novel optimization algorithm links ATES with the DMES optimization model with the support of a simplified geotechnical model. Subsequently, a case study was conducted, focusing on a residential district in Chicago where the impact of future climate condition, energy demand, and solar and wind energy potentials were evaluated using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) data (up to 2080) and the EnergyPlus model. The study revealed that ATES is an attractive way to improve the renewable energy penetration level and minimize the dependence on fossil fuels with reasonable support from the grid to assist the fluctuations in both demand and generation. Furthermore, ATES notably reduces fuel consumption and dependence while greatly enhancing the flexibility of the energy system to withstand fluctuations in demand and renewable energy generation brought by future climate variations. These qualities will make ATES an important part of distributed energy systems, even though it is not currently the lowest cost alternative due to lack of technology maturity. Furthermore, the design platform introduced in the present study can be used to design DMES enhancing flexibility to accommodate future climate variations.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Estimating the economic value of hydropeaking externalities in regulated rivers

Hydropower is a flexible form of electricity generation providing both baseload and balancing power to accommodate intermittent renewables in the energy mix. However, hydropower also generates various externalities. This study investigates individuals' preferences for policies aiming to reduce short-term regulations (i.e., hydropeaking in regulated rivers) while accounting for associated externalities with a discrete choice experiment. This is the first valuation study focusing on hydropeaking that considers both negative and positive externalities. The results imply that most individuals prefer stronger restrictions on short-term regulations to mitigate local environmental impacts. Individuals especially value improvements in recreational use, fish stocks, and the ecological state. On the other hand, potential increases in CO 2 emissions are linked with a clear disutility. The estimated benefits obtained from an improved state of the river environment due to such restrictions exceed the disutility caused by increased CO 2 emissions. Furthermore, the results also reveal unobserved preference heterogeneity among individuals, which should be accounted for in the willingness-to-pay (WTP) estimation using a model specification with correlated utility coefficients. Overall, the findings can inform policy-makers and environmental managers on the economic value of hydropeaking externalities and further guide the sustainable management of rivers regulated for hydropower generation.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Dual-module humidity pump for efficient air dehumidification: Demonstration and performance limitations

Condensation dehumidification in conventional air conditioning technologies is energy-intensive, accounting for up to 50% of building cooling energy used in some climates. Selective vacuum membrane dehumidification (VMD) is one of the leading alternative dehumidification technologies due to its potential for significant energy savings, and the “dual-module humidity pump” is one of the most promising VMD concepts. Here, this work is the first to provide experimental proof-of-concept for the dual-module humidity pump system and provides the first thermodynamic modeling framework that accounts for realistic steady-state operating limitations, both of which are lacking in the current literature. Additionally, this work is the first to provide a system design solution that overcomes practical challenges associated with air accumulation in the vacuum channels. The experimental results in this work show that the current prototype can remove up to 45% of the water vapor in the air stream, and the vapor pressure difference in the vapor rejection module needs to be approximately 2–4 times greater than that of the dehumidification module in order to maintain balanced mass transfer. The thermodynamic model applied to typical air conditioning conditions shows that the ideal dehumidification (latent) COPs can reach up to 40, but practical COPs are limited to approximately 10. Furthermore, the model shows that the overall energy efficiency increases as the membrane air selectivity increases, though this improvement gradually starts to diminish when the membrane selectivity is increased above 10,000.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2026

Demand response event simulator and risk-aware bidding tool for industrial customers

Incentive Based Demand Response (IBDR) program participation delivers financial benefits to the consumers and resiliency benefits to the electricity grid. Effectively participating in these programs as an industrial consumer requires bidding strategies that balance financial risk with operational constraints. Existing bidding tools tend not to fully incorporate stochastic IBDR event modeling, program specific baseline and payment/penalty calculations, or demand reduction process control schemes that account for the cascading impacts of shutdown in complex facilities. Here, this work presents an IBDR event simulator and risk-aware bidding framework tool integrating three key components: a flexible, parameterized demand response event generator that rigorously accounts for program structures and stochasticity, a demand response operational simulation model that generates explicit control strategies for load reduction, and a Monte Carlo simulator to evaluate financial risk for varied capacity bids. A case study at a wastewater treatment plant participating in PG&E's Capacity Bidding Program demonstrates the framework's utility. In the peak capacity price month of August, optimal bidding by the wastewater treatment plant nets a mean IBDR benefit of $101,000 (67% of the August electricity bill) with 0.4% probability of a financial loss. This framework enables industrial operators to make informed bidding decisions, negotiate better program terms with demand response load aggregators, and analyze energy flexibility investments at their facilities. Ultimately, this work reduces participation barriers in IBDR programs and supports the broader goal of enhancing grid reliability and renewable energy integration.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Source attribution of near-surface ozone pollution in Jiangsu Province of China over 2013–2019

Near-surface ozone (O3) is one of the most severe air pollutants in China, particularly over densely populated Jiangsu Province in the Yangtze River Delta. In this study, an O3 source tagging technique is utilized in a chemistry-climate model to quantify the source contributions of various emission sectors and regions for nitrogen oxides (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) to O3 concentrations in Jiangsu Province during 2013–2019. The results show that the near-surface O3 in Jiangsu Province is mainly contributed by surrounding and remote anthropogenic NOx emissions through long-range transport. Local anthropogenic NOx emissions account for only 13 % and 18 % of the annual and summertime mean near-surface O3 in Jiangsu Province, respectively. Anthropogenic NOx emissions from the surface transportation, industry, and energy sectors account for 21 %, 22 % and 20 % of the annual mean near-surface O3 concentration in Jiangsu Province, respectively. Biogenic and anthropogenic VOCs emissions each explains one-third of the annual mean near-surface O3 concentration in Jiangsu, while methane and stratospheric chemical production contribute 21 % and 6 %, respectively. The sources from stratospheric production, aircraft, lightning, and foreign emissions are the primary contributors to O3 in the mid- and high troposphere. During high pollution days in Jiangsu Province, the near-surface O3 concentrations increase with the maximum exceeding 20 ppb, which is attributed to both the enhanced photochemical production and regional transport in favorable meteorological conditions.

ozone pollution↗
DOE OSTI2022

Importance of residence-time control of industrial screw-conveying reactors: Application to dilute-acid hydrolysis of biomass

Horizontal screw reactors are utilized in biorefineries for acid-catalyzed hydrolysis of xylan, which is a multi-step chemical reaction requiring accurate residence-time control. However, it is difficult to obtain online analytical measurement of reactant species. In this work, a residence-time distribution (RTD) is exhibited whose characteristics influence species yields. Sensitivity of product yield to RTD was investigated to understand the relative importance of operating control vs. inherent reactor dispersion. We find that reactor operation using a commonly used theoretical residence-time relationship can result in substantial yield losses. Instead, a model that accounts for the actual reactor RTD provides much improved results. The dispersion caused by reactor conditions only slightly hinders achieving theoretical optimal xylose yield (less than 3% yield loss for coefficient of variation less than 0.35), provided a validated RTD model is used to target the desired mean residence-time. In contrast, neglecting to account for the RTD by using the simplistic theoretical calculation results in xylose yields that are as much as 16% lower than the theoretical maximum.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Microstructural changes and mass transport in cement-based materials: A modeling approach

Highlights: • Concept to relate microstructural changes, mass transport, and chemical reactions in cement-based materials is presented. • Multi-physics modeling approach utilizing an extended version of the PNP equation and the geochemical code IPHREEQC. • Case studies indicate significant changes in mass transport properties due to alterations in the microstructure. • Microstructural changes depend on exposure and interactions between chemical reactions, pore structure, and mass transport. A generic modeling framework is presented to relate microstructural changes, i.e. changes in the pore volume distribution and phase assemblage, and mass transport in cement-based materials. The modeling framework accounts for mass transport and chemical equilibrium between ions in the pore solution and solid hydrates by means of an extended version of the Poisson-Nernst-Planck equation, in which the chemical equilibrium is solved by the external geochemical code IPHREEQC. Results of numerical studies concerning carbonation and leaching of a cement-based material indicate significant changes in mass transport properties due to chemical reactions leading to alterations in the microstructure. The resulting highly non-linear (both spatial and temporal) microstructural changes are thereby depending on the exposure and indicate that interactions between chemical reactions, pore structure changes, and mass transport have to be accounted for as a whole.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Influence of pH on chloride binding isotherms for cement paste and its components

In this paper, chloride (Cl{sup −}) binding isotherms are developed for cement hydration compounds, specifically, calcium-silicate-hydrates (CSH) and AFm phases including mono-sulfate aluminate, hydroxy-AFm, monocarbonate-AFm, and hemicarbonate-AFm, in simulated concrete pore solutions to account for the effect of pH and the presence of other ions. pH and the presence of other ions have a strong influence on the Cl{sup −} binding capacity of cement compounds, which have not been taken into consideration in previous research. A novel experimental technique is developed to characterize the binding capacity from very low (1 mM) to very high concentrations (5 M). To overcome the existing challenges of measuring both low and high Cl{sup −} concentrations without significant dilution and in the presence of SO{sub 4}{sup 2−} and OH{sup −} ions, a potentiometric method was used. The amorphous CSH in the hydrated cement paste; thus, the heterogeneity of the hydrated components of the cement paste was also quantified and accounted for in this study.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Linearization errors in discrete goal-oriented error estimation

This paper is concerned with goal-oriented a posteriori error estimation for nonlinear functionals in the context of nonlinear variational problems solved with continuous Galerkin finite element discretizations. A two-level, or discrete, adjoint-based approach for error estimation is considered. The traditional method to derive an error estimate in this context requires linearizing both the nonlinear variational form and the nonlinear functional of interest which introduces linearization errors into the error estimate. In this paper, we investigate these linearization errors. In particular, we develop a novel discrete goal-oriented error estimate that accounts for traditionally neglected nonlinear terms at the expense of greater computational cost. We demonstrate how this error estimate can be used to drive mesh adaptivity. Here, we show that accounting for linearization errors in the error estimate can improve its effectivity for several nonlinear model problems and quantities of interest. We also demonstrate that an adaptive strategy based on the newly proposed estimate can lead to more accurate approximations of the nonlinear functional with fewer degrees of freedom when compared to uniform refinement and traditional adjoint-based approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Two-color pyrometry based flame to fuel surface radiative heat flux diagnostic using flamelets

In this study, a non-intrusive two-color pyrometry based radiative heat flux diagnostic is presented that accounts for the self-absorption effects. This diagnostic relies on looking up the flame temperature and soot volume fraction using the ratio of color intensities obtained from digital cameras and numerical solutions of 1D steady-state diffusion flames. Virtual two color pyrometry of computed flame show a unique one-to-one mapping of strained flames with intensity ratio; thereby allowing flames to be indexed and creation of a two-color flamelet manifold (TCFM). The TCFM is a function of two variables; the ratio of red to green intensities (flame index) and physical distance to the stoichiometric surface defined using a level-set function. The developed diagnostic is used in upward flame spread experiments where an approximate flame hull reconstruction method is applied to provide the 3D level-set function and intensity ratio for use of TCFM to provide radiative absorption properties for 3D ray tracing. Accounting for self- absorption effects provide improved soot volume fraction estimates. In conclusion, the radiative heat flux estimates are found to be in very good agreement with literature and improved results are obtained near the flame base.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

A phase-field model for void and gas bubble superlattice formation in irradiated solids

A phase-field model to simulate the formation of both void and gas bubble superlattices is derived from a grand potential functional, assuming 1D diffusion of self-interstitial atoms. The model is capable of accounting for superlattice formation by either a nucleation and growth or spinodal decomposition mechanism; in this work, we focus on the nucleation and growth mechanism, using a discrete nucleation approach in the phase-field model. In simulations of void formation, short aligned rows of voids were initially formed, followed by growth in the size of the aligned rows, and finally leading to superlattice formation, consistent with experimental observations. Void superlattice spacing as a function of model parameters was quantified. Increased nucleation rates led to smaller superlattice spacing, while increased vacancy diffusivity led to larger superlattice spacing. In simulations of gas bubble superlattice formation, superlattice spacing decreased with increasing gas atom flux, consistent with experimental observations. Here, simulations with increasing ratio of gas atom flux to vacancy-interstitial pair production led to increased superlattice spacing, which is inconsistent with experimental observations at high gas atom flux rates; this discrepancy is attributed to the fact that the model does not account for bound gas atom-vacancy pairs that may dominate at high gas flux rates.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

A control-inspired approach for energy transition planning under uncertainty

As the global carbon footprint continues to grow, many countries are implementing carbon emission reduction policies which have incentivized the expansion of low-carbon and renewable technologies. However, the speed and scale of deployment falls short of that needed to meet climate goals. Energy system models serve as key tools for guiding investment decisions and helping policymakers evaluate the effects of various policies on the development of an energy system. This study focuses on the energy system of the United States and builds upon prior work by incorporating more geographic granularity to account for the trade of commodities and addresses transmission congestion through electricity price adjustments. Furthermore, real-world characteristics, such as delays in constructing new liquid fuel production and electricity generation facilities, are integrated using a sequential decision-making approach that better reflects how decisions can be updated as uncertainties unfold. Results demonstrate that stochastic programming combined with sequential decision-making produces energy transition pathways that are robust to multiple uncertain futures. Additionally, considering real-world characteristics significantly impacts the deployment of renewable technologies and the ability to meet carbon emission reduction goals while also reliably meeting demand. These findings highlight the importance of accounting for uncertainty and real-world characteristics to avoid overly optimistic projections in energy system planning.

energy systems↗
DOE OSTI2024

A mean field homogenization model for the mechanical response of ceramic matrix composites

SiC/SiC composites offer exceptional mechanical stability at high temperatures and under irradiation. These ceramic matrix composites are therefore strong candidate materials for future nuclear energy applications. Their mechanical response, which exhibits pseudo-plasticity, is mediated by matrix cracking, fiber debonding, and fiber pull-out due to slip. Here, this study introduces a mechanistic model for the behavior of unidirectionally reinforced SiC/SiC composites. Specifically a mean field homogenization approach is proposed to account for all deformation and degradation modes during mechanical deformation. The homogenization scheme relies on a Mori Tanaka method that is extended to consider the effects of the coating’s elasto-plastic response on the development of micromechanical fields. Further, the model proposed introduces a method to effectively account for the role of localized damage (i.e., cracks) on mechanical fields within both the fiber and the matrix. Upon validating the model against experimental data, the roles of interface sliding, coating dimensions and intrinsic elastic response, as well as of microstructure (e.g. porosity, fiber volume fraction) are discussed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗