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At least 397 records · Page 22

Taweret: a Python package for Bayesian model mixing

Uncertainty quantification using Bayesian methods is a growing area of research. Bayesian model mixing (BMM) is a recent development which combines the predictions from multiple models such that the fidelity of each model is preserved in the final result. Practical tools and analysis suites that facilitate such methods are therefore needed. Taweret introduces BMM to existing Bayesian uncertainty quantification efforts. Currently, Taweret contains three individual Bayesian model mixing techniques, each pertaining to a different type of problem structure; we encourage the future inclusion of user-developed mixing methods. Taweret’s first use case is in nuclear physics, but the package has been structured such that it should be adaptable to any research engaged in model comparison or model mixing.

Ingles, Kevin↗

Aqueous harvesting of 88 Zr at a radioactive-ion-beam facility for cross-section measurements

Isotope harvesting is a method of collecting the long-lived radioisotopes that build up during the operation of ion-beam facilities in a way that is useful for subsequent research. As a demonstration of this method for the collection of a group IV metal at a fragmentation facility, the high-energy Zr 88 secondary beam produced from a 140-MeV/u Mo 92 primary beam at the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory (NSCL) was stopped in a water target. The setup aimed to mimic the aqueous beam dump that will be implemented at the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams (FRIB). The collected Zr 88 and accompanying Y 88 decay daughter were radiochemically extracted from the solution and made into target samples suitable for neutron-capture cross-section measurements. These samples were then irradiated at two reactor facilities, and the Zr 88 average thermal-neutron-capture cross section ( σ T ) and resonance integral ( I ) were determined to be σ T = ( 8.04 ± 0.63 ) × 10 5 b and I = ( 2.53 ± 0.28 ) × 10 6 b. The σ T value agrees well with previous results and I , determined for the first time here, was found to be the largest measured resonance integral by two orders of magnitude. The Y 88 thermal-neutron-capture cross section was determined to be less than 1.8 × 10 4 b. This work demonstrates the steps needed to make cross-section measurements with samples produced via aqueous isotope harvesting.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Differentiable Multiphysics Codes: A Breakthrough Technology for Simulation and Computing

This document summarizes the findings of a strategic planning exercise commissioned by the Weapons Simulation and Computing, Computational Physics (WSC/CP) program at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) in FY24. During the year, the committee met with multiple stakeholder communities to gather input, opinions, suggestions and concerns which have been incorporated throughout this document. The key findings from this exercise are summarized: • The development of multiphysics modelling and simulation (mod/sim) codes and software technologies, their deployment on exascale compute platforms, and their broad adoption across the NNSA is a major success of the Advanced Simulation and Computing (ASC) program and the Exascale Computing Project (ECP). Sustained investment in these core technologies is essential. • Today’s state of the art involves running ensembles of O(100K) simulations to perform uncertainty quantification (UQ) and design studies using multiple statistical methods such as Bayesian optimization to understand sensitivities of our models and explore parameterized design spaces. Even with exascale computing, we are practically limited to O(10) parameters in these studies since the number of simulations required to sample the space scales exponentially with the number of design parameters. • The data from these simulation ensembles is increasingly being used to train machine learned (ML) surrogates (or reduced order models, ROMs) which can then be used for optimization or real time design exploration. However, the trained surrogates are still limited in the number of parameters they can represent due to the sampling limitations previously noted. • Augmenting our suite of integrated multiphysics simulation codes, both current and emerging, with the ability to compute gradients (solution derivatives) of arbitrary simulation outputs with respect to (some or all) simulation inputs would be a breakthrough technology, opening the door to a new era of efficient and automated inverse design based on verified and validated mod/sim capabilities. • This capability, which we refer to as differentiable multiphysics codes (DMCs), would revolutionize both UQ and optimization studies by breaking the curse of dimensionality that presently limits our “gradient-free” ensemble based computing approach. A similar breakthrough occurred in the AI/ML community once the ability to compute gradients of arbitrary loss functions using back-propagation became commonplace. Gradient information from the multiphysics codes can also be used to dramatically improve the efficiency and scale of training of ML/ROM surrogates for rapid assessments. • Achieving this in our suite of codes will be a grand challenge, similar to the amount of effort that was required to transition from CPU to GPU computing. It will require buy-in from the entire WSC/CP program and beyond, including all integrated codes, physics and engineering models, third-party library dependencies and performance portability abstractions. It will also require investment in research and development of numerical methods for computing adjoints of coupled physics across multiple adaptively refined moving meshes and of stochastic (Monte Carlo) and mesh free (SPH) methods. • New software and numerical techniques, largely pioneered by the AI/ML community, make this feasible. Chief among these is automatic differentiation (AD), the ability to employ AD at point-wise locations in a physics calculation (instead of traditional black-box approaches) and the ability to perform “back-propagation in time” (or reverse mode AD) for non-linear partial differential equations (PDEs). Fundamentally, the conclusion of this strategic planning exercise is that the time is right to undertake a large scale effort in WSC, centered on the existing integrated codes, to continue the natural evolution of mod/sim in the age of AI/ML. Instead of attempting to replace mod/sim with purely data driven AI/ML models, we believe the key to success is to integrate AI/ML by building on top of the decades of hard-won knowledge and the verified/validated multiphysics modelling capability that is the hallmark of the ASC program.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Novel Methods to Produce an Argon-37 Standard

The purpose of this research was to produce a measurable quantity of radioactive argon-37 through photonuclear production methods. The detection of argon-37, above background levels, uniquely and clearly indicates the underground detonation of a nuclear device.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Non-Abelian quasiparticles and topological superconductivity for the quantum information science

The research performed on this proposal lead to significant progress in understanding spectra of charge carrier holes in spin 3/2 valence bands in two-dimensional systems and topological phenomena in these systems; resulted in enhanced knowledge of topological excitations, such as Majorana fermions and parafermions in electron and hole systems; lead to new breakthroughs in understanding quantum Hall systems, which is an important breeding ground for topological excitations; contributed to understanding of several aspects of theory of spin-orbit interactions; and understanding of hybrid superconductor/semiconductor structures. Methods and techniques used or developed in the research were effective in achieving its results. Some of the developed methods have been used by the research community. The achieved results are beneficial for both theorists and experimentalists in condensed matter and related areas of research, developed knowledge is important for progress in quantum science and technology, and therefore is of benefit to the public.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Challenges and Perspectives in Lignin‐Derived Polyurethane Foam Synthesis

Abstract Polyurethane foams (PUFs) represent a significant segment of the polyurethane (PU) and cellular plastics industries, owing to their versatile applications and desirable properties. However, the production of PUFs heavily relies on petroleum‐derived chemicals, including polyols and isocyanates, raising critical environmental concerns. Lignin, an abundant aromatic macromolecule, offers a promising alternative for replacing petroleum‐based polyols because of its intrinsic hydroxyl groups. While efforts have been made to produce and apply various lignin‐based polyurethane foams (LPUFs), their commercialization remains limited by challenges such as low product consistency, poor technical performances, and high production costs. This study critically evaluates recent advances in the development of LPUFs, including innovative synthesis methods, functional applications, and emerging research trends. Moreover, potential strategies are discussed, such as lignin fractionation, modification, and co‐solvent assistance, for addressing the challenges. By resolving them, LPUFs could play a pivotal role in transitioning the PU industry to help achieve a circular bioeconomy.

Zhang, Mairui [Carl and Melinda Helwig Department ↗

Characterizing Disorders Within Cathode Materials of Lithium‐Ion Batteries

The demand for developing high-energy density cathode materials has been increasing. The energy densities of cathode materials have been improved by adapting structural deviation from the ideal fully ordered α-NaFeO2 type, but that led to limitations in terms of structural stability and safety. Although disorders in cathode materials are closely related to their electrochemical properties, unfortunately, characterizing the disorder itself in cathode materials has been challenging due to its complex parasitic reaction and strong correlation with other disorders occurring during charge/discharge. In this review, we categorize various disorders by their scales of ordering from short-range to long-range. We addressed the principles of various characterization tools to figure out how they can help to identify the structural disorder in cathode materials. Specifically, we focused on the underlying principles of each characterization technique to correlate different disorder-driven phenomena through several case studies. It underscores the substantial importance of disorder-property relationships and the corresponding characterization methods, which can provide novel research strategies for developing high-energy density cathode materials with decent structural stability.

Lee, Hakwoo↗

Chapter 20: Advances and Application of CRISPR-Cas Systems

A new gene-editing technique called clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats (CRISPR) and CRISPR-associated (Cas) proteins have revolutionized genome engineering because of its high efficiency, relatively low cost, and ease of use compared with other techniques such as zinc-finger nucleases and transcription activator-like effector nucleases. CRISPR-Cas systems have transformed biological research, quickly becoming the preferred method for engineering specific genome sequences in industrially relevant microbes, important food crops, and human cells. This powerful new tool has the potential for limitless applications ranging from the treatment of human diseases to improving food security to the generation of renewable and sustainable bioproducts and biofuels. In this chapter, we will discuss advances and applications for these CRISPR-Cas systems in biological engineering.

bacterial↗

A worldwide aerosol phenomenology: Elemental and organic carbon in PM 2.5 and PM 10

Elemental carbon (EC), organic carbon (OC), and particulate matter (PM) concentrations in the inhalable (PM 10 ) and fine (PM 2.5 ) size fractions are measured worldwide, albeit with different analytical methods. These measurements from many researchers were collected and analyzed for Africa, America, Asia, and Europe for 2012–2019. EC/PM, OC/PM, and OC/EC ratios were examined based on region, site type, and season to infer potential sources and impacts. These analyses demonstrate that carbonaceous materials are important PM constituents throughout the world. Mean EC/PM ratios were lowest in PM 10 in Sahelian Africa and Europe (∼0.01), highest (>0.07) in PM 2.5 at urban sites in North America, South America, and Japan. Mean OC/PM ratios were lowest in PM 10 in the Sahel (∼0.06) and in PM 2.5 in China and Thailand (0.10), and highest in central and eastern Europe (∼0.3) and North America (∼0.4). OC/EC ratios were elevated in western and northern Europe, and at regional background sites in North America. EC/PM increased with PM 10 in Thailand, while OC/PM increased with higher PM mass in Thailand, India, and North America, highlighting the specific contribution of carbonaceous aerosols to PM pollution in these regions. At European and North American background sites, OC/EC ratios increased with PM mass. Higher OC/EC ratios in dry periods indicate influence of wildfires, prescribed burns, and secondary aerosol formation. Elevated wintertime EC/PM ratios coincide with residential heating in temperate climate zones.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Revisiting the SGTE lattice stability of bcc aluminum

The CALPHAD framework rests on the ability to assign well-defined free energies to all phases, including mechanically unstable ones. Given the experimental difficulties associated with the latter, researchers have turned to computational methods to obtain a theoretically justified definition of the free energy of mechanically unstable phases. Recently, a method called “inflection detection” has been shown to yield free energies that are broadly consistent with the current SGTE (Scientific Group Thermodata Europe) standard for pure elements, which were obtained through an extrapolation of stable solid solutions free energies towards unstable end members. Despite this general agreement, apparent failures for a few elements stand out, notably for the bcc–fcc enthalpy difference for the common element Al. Furthermore we revisit the definition of the bcc Al enthalpy and show that a careful CALPHAD-based analysis of enthalpy trends in five different mechanically stable binary solid solutions in fact does agree very well with the inflection-detection approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The effects of outdoor air-side fouling on frost growth and heat transfer characteristics of a microchannel heat exchanger: An experimental study

Air source heat pumps have the potential to efficiently heat and cool buildings, but their effectiveness in many climates is limited by frost growth on the outdoor heat exchanger in heating mode. These heat exchanger coils are also subject to fouling from fibers and particulates outdoors. Frost and fouling have each independently been studied extensively, and newly available research on fouling provides a method to realistically foul the air-side of coils in the laboratory. The current paper uses this method to conduct the first laboratory study of the important interactions between fouling and frost growth for a heat pump outdoor coil. A microchannel heat exchanger is tested clean and fouled, with variations in fouling level, humidity, and initial face velocity of air. Air flow rate is allowed to vary with resistance, and a surprising result is that light fouling increases heat transfer and frost growth rates, even with a 3.5% reduction in initial airflow caused by the fouling. However, heavier fouling decreases both rates. When frost growth is normalized to heat transfer, it is found to be increased by fouling; i.e. the coil’s sensible heat ratio decreases.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Shifting temporal dynamics of human mobility in the United States

In this paper we analyze the average hourly temporal dynamics of human mobility in the United States from 2019 to 2020. We discuss how large decreases in human mobility nonuniformly effect the daily temporal dynamics of aggregate human behavior. The data used are weekly activity patterns for POIs from 2019 to 2020 in the United States, provided by SafeGraph and made openly available to academic and research institutions. We use clustering methods to create metrics describing how human activity changes throughout the day/week at the county and national levels. In response to significant mobility reductions starting March 2020, daily temporal patterns of human activity changed nonuniformly. Morning activity started later, and evening activity started earlier in 2020 compared to 2019, and temporal behavioral patterns on weekdays began to look more similar to weekends. The changes in daily temporal behavior persisted throughout the year even as total mobility levels recovered. The results provide insights on the changes in human behavior in response covid-19 policies and illustrate influences on social systems, health, and transportation networks.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Sequential Bayesian inference of transition rates in the hidden Markov model for multi-state system degradation

The more easily available system performance data and advances in data analytics have provided us with opportunities to optimize maintenance programs for engineered systems, for example nuclear power plants. One key task in maintenance optimization is to obtain an accurate model for system degradation. Here, in this research, we propose a Bayesian method to address this problem. Noting that systems usually exhibit multiple states and that the actual state of a system usually is not directly observable, in the method we first model the system degradation process and the observation process based on a hidden Markov model. Then we develop a sequential Bayesian inference algorithm based on importance sampling and the forward algorithm to infer the posterior distributions of the transition rates in the hidden Markov model based on available observations. The proposed Bayesian method allows us to take advantage of evidence from multiple sources, and also allows us to perform Bayesian inference sequentially, without the need to use the entire history of observations every time new observations are collected. We demonstrate the proposed method using both synthetic data for a nuclear power plant feedwater pump and realistic data for a nuclear power plant chemistry analytical device.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Temporal variabilities of soil carbon dioxide fluxes from cornfield impacted by temperature and precipitation changes through high-frequent measurement and DAYCENT modelling

Soil carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from the field of corn (Zea mays L.) play an important role in global warming. This study investigated temporal variability of soil CO 2 fluxes (R s ) with soil temperature (T s ) and moisture (θ) and built DAYCENT models for predicting future impacts of climate changes on R s using the measured high-frequency data. R s trend was tested by Mann–Kendall and Sen Estimator. Predicted R s s under different climate scenarios were compared using Parallel-line Analysis. Herein, the findings indicated that daily R s exponentially increased with T s constrained by θ. During the θ of 27–31%, there was a strong exponential relationship between R s and T s , but the relationship was weaker for the θ of 38–41% and 22–26%. Soil environmental index (SEI, T s × θ) significantly impacted R s with linear regression R s 0.5 = 0.4599 + 0.002059 × SEI in 2008, 2009 and 2011. At the diurnal scale, there were different trends in R s s and relationships among R s and T s and θ in different years. Predicted yearly R s s, root R s s and corn yield in 2014–2049 increased with an increase in temperature scenarios, but the R s s significantly increased as temperature rose by 1°C or higher. Predicted yearly R s s, root R s s and yield reduced with precipitation scenario increase, and the root R s s and yield significantly diminished as precipitation increased by 15 and 30%. Predicted yearly R s from cornfields had a significantly increasing trend. Future research is needed to explore methods for mitigating cornfield R s and evaluating sensitivities of different cropland R s s to temperature changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Theoretical and Experimental Insights into CO 2 Capture and Methanation over Amine-Grafted Ru-Based Catalysts

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies, along with CO 2 capture and conversion methods, have emerged as crucial research areas to address rising CO 2 emissions. In this study, we seek to understand the mechanistic role of amines in enabling lower-energy pathways for CO 2 conversion. Our research focuses on the development and analysis of dual-functional materials (DFMs) engineered for the reactive capture and conversion (RCC) of CO 2 into methane, utilizing Ru catalysts grafted with amine groups. We employ Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations using methylamine as a model amine to investigate the impact of amine groups on CO 2 methanation on a Ru(0001) surface, both in the presence and absence of amine groups. The amine ligand alters the carbon coordination environment, promoting direct C–O dissociation and potentially destabilizing the CO* adsorbate, thereby reducing the risk of CO poisoning. Additionally, we observe a preference for hydrogenation, although it becomes more energetically uphill in the amine-bound scenario. Our experiments, however, report similar CO 2 conversion and CH 4 production rates over the synthesized catalysts “Ru/TiO 2 ” and the amine (N-(2-aminoethyl)-3-aminoproplytrimethoxysilane (“diaminosilane”)) deposited catalyst “Diamine−Ru/TiO 2 ”. By constructing comparative reaction-free energy diagrams and performing microkinetic modeling (MKM) simulations, we link our theoretical findings with experimentally observed CO 2 uptake, conversion, and methane production rates. A microkinetic model was employed to investigate the anomaly, showing reduced amine–carbon complex coverage and increased CO 2 coverage at all temperatures. The MKM simulations consistently confirmed these trends. In conclusion, this comprehensive approach offers key insights into the role of the amine-CO 2 bond in methanation, highlighting a pathway toward lower-energy, more efficient CO 2 capture and conversion processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Irradiation-Driven Restructuring of UO 2 Thin Films: Amorphization and Crystallization

Combustion synthesis in uranyl nitrate–acetylacetone–2-methoxyethanol solutions was used to deposit thin UO 2 films on aluminum substrates to investigate the irradiation-induced restructuring processes. Thermal analysis revealed that the combustion reactions in these solutions are initiated at ~160 °C. The heat released during the process and the subsequent brief annealing at 400 °C allow the deposition of polycrystalline films with 5–10 nm UO 2 grains. The use of multiple deposition cycles enables tuning of the film thicknesses in the 35–260 nm range. Irradiation with Ar 2+ ions (1.7 MeV energy and a fluence of up to 1 × 10 17 ions/cm 2 ) is utilized to generate a uniform distribution of atomic displacements within the films. X-ray fluorescence (XRF) and alpha-particle emission spectroscopy showed that the films were stable under irradiation and did not undergo sputtering degradation. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) showed that the stoichiometry and uranium ionic concentrations remain stable during irradiation. The high-resolution electron microscopy imaging and electron diffraction analysis demonstrated that at the early stages of irradiation (below 1 × 10 16 ion/cm 2 ) UO 2 films show complete amorphization and beam-induced densification (sintering), resulting in a pore-free disordered film. Prolonged irradiation (5 × 10 16 ion/cm 2 ) is shown to trigger a crystallization process at the surface of the films that moves toward the UO 2 /Al interface, converting the entire amorphous material into a highly crystalline film. This work reports on an entirely different radiation-induced restructuring of the nanoscale UO 2 compared to the coarse-grained counterpart. The preparation of thin UO 2 films deposited on Al substrates fills an area of national need within the stockpile stewardship program of the National Nuclear Security Administration and fundamental research with actinides. Here, the method reported in this work produces pure, robust, and uniform thin-film actinide targets for nuclear science measurements

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Advanced Microstructured BaTiO 3 -Embedded PVDF–HFP/PEO Film for Enhanced Triboelectric Interface in Self-Sufficient Energy Generation and Sensing

The global reliance on fossil fuels and natural gas has largely dominated the energy production field, but due to finite resource depletion and escalating greenhouse gas emissions, the immediate exploration of sustainable energy alternatives to mitigate climate change and ensure resource security has been a major concern. There has been extensive research into other more renewable methods of energy production, such as wind and hydropower. Of these current energy generation types, there are many areas of untapped potential from the mechanical movements generated ambiently not only in the large scale of power generation but also on a smaller scale. The piezoelectric and triboelectric effects are phenomena where these ambient mechanical movements can generate electrical energy. Developing a hybrid system that leverages both mechanical stress and surface charges presents an ideal opportunity to exploit these untapped energy sources. Producing a hybrid PVDF–HFP/PEO film with perovskite BaTiO 3 (BTO) enables ambient power harvesting from both mechanical movement and surface charge. The optimized cell produced a potential of up to 15 V and a current of 200 nA with a 68 kΩ resistor, a substantial increase from a base system with an average of 2.1 V and 40 nA. These hybrid TENGs offer significant potential for energy harvesting in small-scale applications, such as health monitoring devices and indicators in electric circuits.

Ybarra, Rigobert [University of Texas Rio Grande V↗

Unexpected inverse correlations and cooperativity in ion-pair phase transfer

Liquid/liquid extraction is one of the most widely used separation and purification methods, where a forefront of research is the study of transport mechanisms for solute partitioning and the relationships that these have to solution structure at the phase boundary. To date, organized surface features that include protrusions, water-fingers, and molecular hinges have been reported. Many of these equilibrium studies have focused upon small-molecule transport – yet the extent to which the complexity of the solute, and the competition between different solutes, influence transport mechanisms have not been explored. Here we report molecular dynamics simulations that demonstrate that a metal salt (LiNO 3 ) can be transported via a protrusion mechanism that is remarkably similar to that reported for H 2 O by tri-butyl phosphate (TBP), a process that involves dimeric assemblies. Yet the LiNO 3 out-competes H 2 O for a bridging position between the extracting TBP dimer, which in-turn changes the preferred transport pathway of H 2 O. Examining the electrolyte concentration dependence on ion-pair transport unexpectedly reveals an inverse correlation with the extracting surfactant concentration. As [LiNO 3 ] increases, surface adsorbed TBP becomes a limiting reactant in correlation with an increased negative surface charge induced by excess interfacial NO 3 – , however the rate of transport is enhanced. Within the highly dynamic interfacial environment, we hypothesize that this unique cooperative effect may be due to perturbed surface organization that either decreases the energy of formation of transporting protrusion motifs or makes it easier for these self-assembled species to disengage from the surface.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗