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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Ideas for Infusing In-Space Servicing, Assembly, and Manufacturing Concepts into Nuclear Electric Propulsion Architectures

NASA is currently investigating nuclear electric propulsion (NEP) for human Mars transport within the space nuclear propulsion portfolio. NEP spacecraft have the following characteristics, they: 1) include very large structures (~100-meter length); 2) are comprised of many components/modules; and 3) have very long lifetimes (e.g., 50 years for fuel rods). Thus, NEP spacecraft can be classified as a “persistent asset,” which is any zero-g or planetary surface system that benefits from in-space assembly (ISA) or multiple visits for servicing, repairs, and upgrades. NEP spacecraft will benefit from taking advantage of, and incorporating, In-space Servicing, Assembly, and Manufacturing (ISAM) capabilities in the spacecraft architecture from the onset, enabling system maintenance, repair, and evolution. ISA has a long history of being proposed for, and studied as, a means for achieving large systems in space. More recently, the benefits of ISA have been recognized by NASA, the Department of Defense (DOD), other government agencies, and commercial space companies, and thus, ISAM is being actively pursued at a national level. Past and current strategies for achieving large structures in space have relied largely on two strategies; the first is to launch monolithic structures (designed to meet launch vehicle requirements for payload size and mass) that are docked or berthed to other monolithic structures on-orbit to form a larger structure (e.g., the International Space Station [ISS]); the second is folding and packaging large structures to fit inside a payload fairing and deploying the full-sized structure (unaided) once on-orbit (e.g., the James Webb Space Telescope [JWST]). To date, conceptual architecture studies performed for NEP spacecraft capable of human-rated Mars transport have only included a combination of the two previously mentioned strategies. This paper will propose ideas for infusing ISAM strategies into NEP vehicle architectures that leverage existing and near future technologies and enable the resulting NEP systems to be realized in a more time- and cost-efficient manner.

in-space assembly↗

DOE OSTI2023

Evaluating Retention Index Score Assumptions to Refine GC–MS Metabolite Identification

As metabolomics grows into a high-throughput and high demand research field, current metrics for the identification of small molecules in gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC–MS) still require manual verification. Though steps have been taken to improve scoring metrics by combining spectral similarity (SS) and retention index (RI), the problem persists. A large body of literature has analyzed and refined SS scores, but few studies have explicitly studied improvements to RI scores. Here, in this study, we examined whether uninvestigated assumptions of the RI score are valid and propose ways to improve them. Query RIs were matched to library RI with a generous window of ±35 to avoid unintentional removal of valid compound identifications. Each match was manually verified as a true positive (TP), true negative, or unknown. Metabolites with at least 30 TP identifications were included in downstream analyses, resulting in a total of 87 metabolites from samples of varying complexity and type (e.g., amino acid mixtures, human urine, fungal species, and so on.). Our results showed that the RI score assumptions of normality, consistent variance across metabolites, and a mean error centered at 0 are often violated. We demonstrated through a cross-validation analysis that modifying these underlying assumptions according to empirical metabolite-specific distributions improved the TP and negative rankings. Further, we statistically determined the minimum number of samples required to estimate distributional parameters for scoring metrics. Overall, this work proposes a robust statistical pipeline to reduce the time bottleneck of metabolite identification by improving RI scores and thus minimize the effort to complete manual verification.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS2004

Simultaneous X-Ray and Optical Timing Observations of GX 339-4

The goal of this proposal is to perform the first comprehensive study of the correlated X-ray and optical variability of the Galactic accreting black hole candidate GX 339-4 using the X-ray and optical instruments on XMM-Newton. With these observations, we hope to make significant progress in understanding the coupled inflow - outflow system around a persistently accreting stellar mass black hole. The data is now all reduced. This includes the data analysis for all of the instruments on XMM-Newton, the EPIC - PN, the EPIC - MOS, the RGS, and the OM. We are currently preparing the results for publication.

Kaaret, Philip↗

NASA NTRS2009

Development of a GCR Event-based Risk Model

A goal at NASA is to develop event-based systems biology models of space radiation risks that will replace the current dose-based empirical models. Complex and varied biochemical signaling processes transmit the initial DNA and oxidative damage from space radiation into cellular and tissue responses. Mis-repaired damage or aberrant signals can lead to genomic instability, persistent oxidative stress or inflammation, which are causative of cancer and CNS risks. Protective signaling through adaptive responses or cell repopulation is also possible. We are developing a computational simulation approach to galactic cosmic ray (GCR) effects that is based on biological events rather than average quantities such as dose, fluence, or dose equivalent. The goal of the GCR Event-based Risk Model (GERMcode) is to provide a simulation tool to describe and integrate physical and biological events into stochastic models of space radiation risks. We used the quantum multiple scattering model of heavy ion fragmentation (QMSFRG) and well known energy loss processes to develop a stochastic Monte-Carlo based model of GCR transport in spacecraft shielding and tissue. We validated the accuracy of the model by comparing to physical data from the NASA Space Radiation Laboratory (NSRL). Our simulation approach allows us to time-tag each GCR proton or heavy ion interaction in tissue including correlated secondary ions often of high multiplicity. Conventional space radiation risk assessment employs average quantities, and assumes linearity and additivity of responses over the complete range of GCR charge and energies. To investigate possible deviations from these assumptions, we studied several biological response pathway models of varying induction and relaxation times including the ATM, TGF -Smad, and WNT signaling pathways. We then considered small volumes of interacting cells and the time-dependent biophysical events that the GCR would produce within these tissue volumes to estimate how GCR event rates mapped to biological signaling induction and relaxation times. We considered several hypotheses related to signaling and cancer risk, and then performed simulations for conditions where aberrant or adaptive signaling would occur on long-duration space mission. Our results do not support the conventional assumptions of dose, linearity and additivity. A discussion on how event-based systems biology models, which focus on biological signaling as the mechanism to propagate damage or adaptation, can be further developed for cancer and CNS space radiation risk projections is given.

Cucinotta, Francis A.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Opportunities and Challenges to Capturing Distributed Battery Value via Retail Utility Rates and Programs

Distributed battery deployment is increasing with advanced metering, control, and communication technologies, leaving electric utilities with an under-utilized, flexible grid resource in aggregate. Rates can reflect locational and temporal prices while utility incentive-based programs allow DERs to provide direct grid services. However, utilities must balance accurately reflecting dynamic grid conditions versus simple and feasible design that encourages customer participation. Currently, most rates and incentive-based programs are simple, but as penetration of DER and advanced controls increase, dynamic designs could become prevalent. Utilities could encourage providing multiple services to optimize distributed battery dispatch and value streams, however, challenges persist when stacking services across distribution and bulk systems. A DER committed to multiple discrete services concurrently necessitates coordination between operators and a clear hierarchy of commitments. One way to address this is to separate commitments by time or capacity. For services that follow cyclic, predictable patterns, or those that are peak driven with predictability, an operator could ensure sufficient state of charge for participation, leaving time where a distributed battery could otherwise provide different services by segmenting participation temporally. To provide continuous or unexpected services, a battery operator may use state of charge management to reserve some percentage of the battery and segment participation by capacity. Macroeconomic trends, load patterns, generation profiles, and grid configurations drive variation in value and the subsequent implications for utility offerings and how a customer might participate. As distributed battery adoption increases, both regulators and utilities will need to ensure no adverse grid impacts and encourage provision of societal value beyond the customer domain.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Pressure Fluctuations due to ‘Trapped Waves’ in Heated Jets

An experimental study was conducted to investigate the presence and characteristics of ‘trapped waves’ in the near field of a small axisymmetric jet at heated conditions. Trapped waves occur within the potential core of compressible jets and manifest as distinct peaks in the unsteady pressure spectra measured just outside the jet near the nozzle exit. The existence and properties of the trapped wave spectral peaks in round and rectangular jets of various sizes in subsonic and supersonic conditions were studied in our recent experiments, at cold conditions [7]. The current work extends the study to heated jets. Pressure fluctuation spectra near the nozzle exit are analyzed for a small (D = 6.35 mm) axisymmetric jet at stagnation temperature ratios up to 1.6. It is shown that trapped waves continue to persist in heated jets. At sufficiently high Mach numbers, one of the trapped wave harmonics emerges as screech tone, a behavior consistent with that observed in cold jets. For a given Mach number, the frequencies of both trapped waves and screech increase with jet temperature with no significant change occurring in their amplitudes. The Strouhal numbers based on jet diameter for the trapped waves and screech continue to follow similar scaling laws as observed previously with cold jets.

aeroacoustics↗

NASA NTRS1991

Lessons learned for composite structures

Lessons learned for composite structures are presented in three technology areas: materials, manufacturing, and design. In addition, future challenges for composite structures are presented. Composite materials have long gestation periods from the developmental stage to fully matured production status. Many examples exist of unsuccessful attempts to accelerate this gestation period. Experience has shown that technology transition of a new material system to fully matured production status is time consuming, involves risk, is expensive and should not be undertaken lightly. The future challenges for composite materials require an intensification of the science based approach to material development, extension of the vendor/customer interaction process to include all engineering disciplines of the end user, reduced material costs because they are a significant factor in overall part cost, and improved batch-to-batch pre-preg physical property control. Historical manufacturing lessons learned are presented using current in-service production structure as examples. Most producibility problems for these structures can be traced to their sequential engineering design. This caused an excessive emphasis on design-to-weight and schedule at the expense of design-to-cost. This resulted in expensive performance originated designs, which required costly tooling and led to non-producible parts. Historically these problems have been allowed to persist throughout the production run. The current/future approach for the production of affordable composite structures mandates concurrent engineering design where equal emphasis is placed on product and process design. Design for simplified assembly is also emphasized, since assembly costs account for a major portion of total airframe costs. The future challenge for composite manufacturing is, therefore, to utilize concurrent engineering in conjunction with automated manufacturing techniques to build affordable composite structures. Composite design experience has shown that significant weight savings have been achieved, outstanding fatigue and corrosion resistance have been demonstrated, and in-service performance has been very successful. Currently no structural design show stoppers exist for composite structures. A major lesson learned is that the full scale static test is the key test for composites, since it is the primary structural 'hot spot' indicator. The major durability issue is supportability of thin skinned structure. Impact damage has been identified as the most significant issue for the damage tolerance control of composite structures. However, delaminations induced during assembly operations have demonstrated a significant nuisance value. The future challenges for composite structures are threefold. Firstly, composite airframe weight fraction should increase to 60 percent. At the same time, the cost of composite structures must be reduced by 50 percent to attain the goal of affordability. To support these challenges it is essential to develop lower cost materials and processes.

Whitehead, R. S.↗

NASA NTRS2014

FY13 High Performance EVA Glove (HPEG) Collaboration: Glove Injury Data Mining Effort - Training Data Overview

From the time hand-intensive tasks were first created for EVAs, discomforts and injuries have been noted.. There have been numerous versions of EVA gloves for US crew over the past 50 years, yet pain and injuries persist. The investigation team was tasked with assisting in a glove injury assessment for the High Performance EVA Glove (HPEG) project.center dot To aid in this assessment, the team was asked to complete the following objectives: - First, to develop the best current understanding of what glove-related injuries have occurred to date, and when possible, identify the specific mechanisms that caused those injuries - Second, to create a standardized method for comparison of glove injury potential from one glove to another. center dot The overall goal of the gloved hand injury assessment is to utilize ergonomics in understanding how these glove injuries are occurring, and to propose mitigations to current designs or design changes in the next generation of EVA gloves.

Reid, Christopher↗

NASA NTRS2015

Low-Altitude Satellite Measurements of Pulsating Auroral Electrons

We present observations from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program and Reimei satellites, where common-volume high-resolution ground-based auroral imaging data are available. These satellite overpasses of ground-based all-sky imagers reveal the specific features of the electron populations responsible for different types of pulsating aurora modulations. The energies causing the pulsating aurora mostly range from 3 keV to 20 keV but can at times extend up to 30 keV. The secondary, low-energy electrons (<1 keV) are diminished from the precipitating distribution when there are strong temporal variations in auroral intensity. There are often persistent spatial structures present inside regions of pulsating aurora, and in these regions there are secondary electrons in the precipitating populations. The reduction of secondary electrons is consistent with the strongly temporally varying pulsating aurora being associated with field-aligned currents and hence parallel potential drops of up to 1 kV.

imaging↗

NASA NTRS1989

The structure of the clouds distributed operating system

A novel system architecture, based on the object model, is the central structuring concept used in the Clouds distributed operating system. This architecture makes Clouds attractive over a wide class of machines and environments. Clouds is a native operating system, designed and implemented at Georgia Tech. and runs on a set of generated purpose computers connected via a local area network. The system architecture of Clouds is composed of a system-wide global set of persistent (long-lived) virtual address spaces, called objects that contain persistent data and code. The object concept is implemented at the operating system level, thus presenting a single level storage view to the user. Lightweight treads carry computational activity through the code stored in the objects. The persistent objects and threads gives rise to a programming environment composed of shared permanent memory, dispensing with the need for hardware-derived concepts such as the file systems and message systems. Though the hardware may be distributed and may have disks and networks, the Clouds provides the applications with a logically centralized system, based on a shared, structured, single level store. The current design of Clouds uses a minimalist philosophy with respect to both the kernel and the operating system. That is, the kernel and the operating system support a bare minimum of functionality. Clouds also adheres to the concept of separation of policy and mechanism. Most low-level operating system services are implemented above the kernel and most high level services are implemented at the user level. From the measured performance of using the kernel mechanisms, we are able to demonstrate that efficient implementations are feasible for the object model on commercially available hardware. Clouds provides a rich environment for conducting research in distributed systems. Some of the topics addressed in this paper include distributed programming environments, consistency of persistent data and fault-tolerance.

Dasgupta, Partha↗

DOE OSTI2021

Intentional Uranium Tagging for Material Provenance and Pathway Forensics (LA19-Intentional-Forensics-NDD3Bb) (Annual Report for FY21)

This report describes the outcomes of the third and final year of a project to research the feasibility of tagging uranium materials, especially nuclear fuels. The experimental focus remained on metallic uranium forms under prospective surface and bulk tagging scenarios. Overall, the results showed that the tags could be successfully imparted and characterized in both as-built and degraded conditions. This was in line with expectations coming into this project, indicating promise for both surface and bulk tagging of metallic forms of uranium. Multiple surface tagging techniques and detection strategies were explored in FY21, with an emphasis on improving tag quality, readability, and detection in the field. Non-radioactive materials were used as a testbed. Selective deposition via laser beam was determined to be successful in imparting a readable titanium deposit on a stainless steel base plate, and can be read with high resolution characterization techniques (e.g., scanning electron microscopy) and field capable tools (e.g., eddy current testing). Other deposition techniques, such as selective deposition via electron beam and photoluminescent tags, were explored in FY21, and while success for these techniques would be dependent on additional work, these techniques showed potential for surface tagging applications. To survey bulk taggant elements for bulk uranium metal, 16 tagging elements were spread among 18 depleted uranium castings (4 baseline, 3 mix, 1 dilution, and 10 recycle). Most of these were made and characterized in FY21. Taggant acceptability was based upon manufacturability, detectability, and persistence from the standpoint of two detection options: bulk chemical analysis (for “chemical taggants”) and microstructural analysis (for “second phase taggants”). Taggant detection in both up-front manufacturing and in the face of “degradations” such as dilution, mixing, and recycling was generally good. Two independent laboratories carried out chemical analysis on most of the castings, and often at several locations within a casting, and the results are discussed. Scanning electron microscopy+EDS microanalysis revealed the second phases mostly contained the expected tagging elements. The shapes and 2 spatial distributions of these micron-sized carbides, oxides, and intermetallic particles offers opportunities for further science-based investigation and tagging optimization. Overall, V and Co currently appear as the best choices for chemical taggants while Al, Ti, Mn, Co, Pd, and Tb all look good as second phase taggants. The other elements considered here – Sc, Ni, Ge, Nb, Ce, Ta, W, Ir, and Au – while not being ruled out, require more study to become viable options. It is of special note that in the recycling study only one of the 12 elements fell out of detection even after 10 meltings, demonstrating their persistence. An Appendix tabulates all chemical analysis results to enable more quantitative and statistical studies of detection opportunities and limitations, as a part of a related project.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

On the theoretical limitations in estimating thickness of a plate-like structure from a full-field single-tone response Lamb wave measurement

A persistent question in wavenumber analysis in the estimation of thickness from a steady-state wave field is identifying the theoretical sensitivity of the system. Here, a well-known trade-off between spatial frequency/wavenumber resolution and thickness resolution exists. The current work presents a calculation of the Cramer-Rao Lower bound (CRLB), specifically as applied to thickness estimates, for a 2-dimensional multi-mode waveform in Gaussian noise. Cases of near-field and far-field excitation are considered, and transducer position with respect to the scan area is also varied. Additionally, we consider the CRLB in a plate with multiple sources, simulated as sources placed on the boundary of the plate. We conclude by presenting the CRLB values in terms of frequency for various thicknesses, and by presenting optimal excitation frequencies for a nominal thickness, based on the CRLB.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Improved accuracy and robustness of electron density profiles from JET’s X-mode frequency-modulated continuous-wave reflectometers

JET’s frequency-modulated continuous wave (FMCW) reflectometers have been operating well with the current design since 2005, and density profiles have been automatically calculated intershot since then. However, the calculated profiles had long suffered from several shortcomings: poor agreement with other diagnostics, sometimes inappropriately moving radially by several centimeters, elevated levels of radial jitter, and persistent wriggles (strong unphysical oscillations). Here, in this research, several techniques are applied to the reflectometry data analysis, and the shortcomings are significantly improved. Starting with improving the equilibrium reconstruction that estimates the background magnetic field, adding a ripple correction in the reconstructed magnetic field profile, and adding new inner-wall reflection positions estimated through ray-tracing, these changes not only improve the agreement of reconstructed profiles to other diagnostics but also solve density profile wriggles that were present during band transitions. Other smaller but also persistent wriggles were also suppressed by applying a localized correction to the measured beat frequency where persistent oscillations are present. Finally, the burst analysis method, as introduced by Varela et al., has been implemented to extract the beat frequency from stacked spectrograms. Due to the strong suppression of spurious reflections, the radial jitter that sometimes would span several centimeters has been strongly reduced. The stacking of spectrograms has also been shown to be very useful for stacking recurring events, like small gas puff modulations, and extracting transport coefficients that would otherwise be below the noise level.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

NASA NTRS2020

Ohio River Basin Water Resources: Monitoring Flash Drought Potential and Quantifying the Hydrologic Impacts in the Ohio River Basin

Flash drought conditions emerge in a matter of weeks following persistent weather anomalies, such as high temperatures or large vapor pressure deficits, that drive increased evaporative demand. Vegetation response rapidly depletes soil moisture, threatening surface water supplies, triggering significant crop loss, and increasing wildfire risk. Drought indices sensitive to flash drought are currently not included in drought forecast models in the Ohio River Basin (ORB). The team assessed and compared drought indices, gauge-based data, and satellite measurements over the course of the September 2019 flash drought event in the Ohio River Basin to investigate environmental fingerprints throughout flash drought evolution. Potential leading flash drought indicators were compared to the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) to aid the National Weather Service (NWS) Ohio River Forecast Center and Kentucky Climate Center in producing early warning flash drought forecasts. These drought indices included Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Landscape Evaporative Response Index (LERI) (derived from Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)). Drought index behavior inherently varies based on parameters incorporated - EDDI measures evaporative demand through potential evapotranspiration, and demonstrates more variations due to sensitivity to seasonal changes in evaporative demand throughout the 2010-2019 study period. Conversely, LERI measures evaporative response through actual evapotranspiration, representing different environmental changes. Soil moisture response was evaluated using Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) L-band radiometer data and Kentucky Mesonet gauge-based measurements. This analysis enables climatologists and weather forecasters to keep decision-makers and stakeholders better informed about drought risks, and to implement the appropriate actions for preparation of drought onset.

Adelaide Schmid↗

NASA NTRS2020

Ohio River Basin Water Resources: Monitoring Flash Drought Potential and Quantifying the Hydrologic Impacts in the Ohio River Basin Utilizing NASA Earth Observations

Flash drought conditions emerge in a matter of weeks following persistent weather anomalies, such as high temperatures or large vapor pressure deficits, that drive increased evaporative demand. Vegetation response rapidly depletes soil moisture, threatening surface water supplies, triggering significant crop loss, and increasing wildfire risk. Drought indices sensitive to flash drought are currently not included in drought forecast models in the Ohio River Basin (ORB). The team assessed and compared drought indices, gauge-based data, and satellite measurements over the course of the September 2019 flash drought event in the Ohio River Basin to investigate environmental fingerprints throughout flash drought evolution. Potential leading flash drought indicators were compared to the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) to aid the National Weather Service (NWS) Ohio River Forecast Center and Kentucky Climate Center in producing early warning flash drought forecasts. These drought indices included Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Landscape Evaporative Response Index (LERI) (derived from Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)). Drought index behavior inherently varies based on parameters incorporated -EDDI measures evaporative demand through potential evapotranspiration, and and demonstrates more variations due to sensitivity to seasonal changes in evaporative demand throughout the 2010-2019 study period. Conversely, LERI measures evaporative response through actual evapotranspiration, representing different environmental changes. Soil moisture response was evaluated using Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) L-band radiometer data and Kentucky Mesonet gauge-based measurements. This analysis enables climatologists and weather forecasters to keep decision-makers and stakeholders better informed about drought risks to implement the appropriate actions for preparation of drought onset.

DEVELOP Project Summary↗

DOE OSTI2024

Atmospheric Transformation of Refrigerants: Current Research Developments and Knowledge Gaps

Refrigerants have evolved through the years to reduce their global warming potential while providing sufficient cooling in refrigeration systems. Replacements for hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) are the hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs), which contain reactive double bonds that decrease the atmospheric lifetime of fluorinated compounds. However, the transformation of unsaturated fluorinated compounds in the atmosphere could generate persistent pollutants, particularly trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) which is the simplest Perfluoroalkyl carboxylic acids (PFCAs). Understanding the transformation of refrigerants is critical in assessing their contribution to atmospheric levels of TFA and their impact on watersheds and human health. This article will present the reactivity of the refrigerants, atmospheric oxidation source, and sink processes of fluorinated refrigerants under daytime conditions, particularly the variability of TFA from refrigerants. Moreover, the discussion will suggest experimental procedures that can quantify the low concentration (~parts per trillion) of TFA generated from the transformation of HFOs. New state-of-the-art techniques such as chemical ionization mass spectrometers (HR-CIMS) will be assessed in providing high temporal resolution (minutes to hourly) to fully capture the atmospheric sources and variability of TFA. Likewise, local, regional, and global concentrations of TFA accounted from the oxidation of refrigerants will be examined. This will include data from both experimental procedures and simulation models. Participation of TFA in critical atmospheric processes such as new particle formation will also be included in this study. Lastly, overall knowledge gaps related to the oxidation products and their dispersion in the environment will be summarized to guide future research needs.

Salvador, Christian↗

DOE OSTI2024

Anticipating how rain-on-snow events will change through the 21st century: lessons from the 1997 new year’s flood event

The California-Nevada 1997 New Year’s flood was an atmospheric river (AR)-driven rain-on-snow (RoS) event and remains the costliest in their history. The joint occurrence of saturated soils, rainfall, and snowmelt generated inundation throughout northern California-Nevada. Although AR RoS events are projected to occur more frequently with climate change, the warming sensitivity of their flood drivers across scales remains understudied. We leverage the regionally refined mesh capabilities of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (RRM-E3SM) to recreate the 1997 New Year’s flood with horizontal grid spacings of 3.5 km across California, with forecast lead times of up to 4 days, and across six warming levels ranging from pre-industrial conditions to +3.5° C. We describe the sensitivity of the flood drivers to warming including AR duration and intensity, precipitation phase, intensity and efficiency, snowpack mass and energy changes, and runoff efficiency. Our findings indicate current levels of climate change negligibly influence the flood drivers. At warming levels ≥ 1.7° C, AR hazard potential increases, snowpack nonlinearly decreases, antecedent soil moisture decreases (except where the snowline retreats), and runoff decreases (except in the southern Sierra Nevada where antecedent snowpack persists). Storm total precipitation increases, but at rates below warming-induced increases in saturation-specific humidity. Warming intensifies short-duration, high-intensity rainfall, particularly where snowfall-to-rainfall transitions occur. This study highlights the nonlinear tradeoffs in 21st-century RoS flood hazards with warming and provides water management and infrastructure investment adaptation considerations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1975

Plasmaspheric hiss observations in the evening and afternoon quadrants

Data obtained with an Explorer-45 instrument for detecting the magnetic components of ELF signals propagating in the magnetosphere are examined, showing that the strongest, most persistent signals were plasmaspheric hiss from a few hundred to a few thousand Hertz. Broad-band signals of 25 milligamma were common. The most intense hiss was observed in the recovery phase of magnetic storms at the inner edge of the ring current. Its source appears to be the outer plasmasphere. Most of the hiss is attributed to generation of hiss through cyclotron resonance with energetic electrons. Ring current protons, forming a peak in the proton flux between 10 and 100 keV, may be a source of some of the hiss.

Parady, B. K.↗