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At least 397 records · Page 22

Savings in Action: Lessons from Observed and Modeled Residential Solar Plus Storage Systems [Slides]

The study performed two related analyses using data from a new-construction residential community equipped with rooftop solar and storage (S+S) in Arizona. The study analyzed the factors that determine customer electricity cost savings from S+S adoption. The research compared the Arizona case study data to modeled system performance to understand how models deviate from real-world outcomes. Based on these findings, NREL explored ways to improve such models and, conversely, use modeled results to suggest improvements to S+S dispatches.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Examining the Impacts of Microphysical-Dynamical Feedbacks on Convective Clouds in Different Aerosol Environments Using Enhanced Observational and Modeling Strategies

This project investigated how microphysical–dynamical feedbacks influence deep convective clouds across a range of aerosol conditions, storm lifecycles, and meteorological regimes, and how these sensitivities depend on the modeling framework used to represent convection and microphysics. Using the Aerosol, Cloud, Precipitation, and Climate (ACPC) Working Group model intercomparison simulations of isolated deep convection in the Houston region, we found a robust warm-phase aerosol response in most cloud-resolving models. Increased aerosol loading tended to suppress warm-rain production, increase cloud water, and reduce surface rainfall and near-surface evaporation. These impacts were typically strongest early in the convective lifecycle, with the largest aerosol-driven differences occurring during the first half of storm evolution. The ice-phase response, on the other hand, varied widely across modeling frameworks, and differed in sign, timing, and vertical structure. Ice microphysical pathways and parameterizations are therefore leading sources of uncertainty in aerosol–deep convection interactions. Theoretical analyses further suggested that aerosol-driven invigoration through cold-phase processes was much weaker than previously hypothesized for cold-based storms, and in warm-based storms could even reduce updraft strength. These results imply that any invigoration signal is more likely linked to warm-phase processes and peaks early in storm development.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Linking large-scale weather patterns to observed and modeled turbine hub-height winds offshore of the US West Coast

The US West Coast holds great potential for wind power generation, although its potential varies due to the complex coastal climate. Characterizing and modeling turbine hub-height winds under different weather conditions are vital for wind resource assessment and management. This study uses a two-stage machine learning algorithm to identify five large-scale meteorological patterns (LSMPs): post-trough, post-ridge, pre-ridge, pre-trough, and California high. The LSMPs are linked to offshore wind patterns, specifically at lidar buoy locations within lease areas for future wind farm development off Humboldt and Morro Bay. While each LSMP is associated with characteristic large-scale atmospheric conditions and corresponding differences in wind direction, diurnal variation, and jet features at the two lidar sites, substantial variability in wind speeds can still occur within each LSMP. Wind speeds at Humboldt increase during the post-trough, pre-ridge, and California-high LSMPs and decrease during the remaining LSMPs. Morro Bay has smaller responses in mean speeds, showing increased wind speed during the post-trough and California-high LSMPs. Besides the LSMPs, local factors, including the land–sea thermal contrast and topography, also modify mean winds and diurnal variation. The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model analysis does a good job of capturing the mean and variation at Humboldt but produces large biases at Morro Bay, particularly during the pre-ridge and California-high LSMPs. The findings are anticipated to guide the selection of cases for studying the influence of specific large-scale and local factors on California offshore winds and to contribute to refining numerical weather prediction models, thereby enhancing the efficiency and reliability of offshore wind energy production.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Anthropogenic desertification by high-albedo pollution Observations and modeling

ERTS-1 MSS albedo data of Western Negev, Sinai and the Gaza strip are presented. A sharp contrast in albedo exists across the Negev-Sinai and Negev-Gaza strip borders. Anthropogenic desertification has occurred on the Arab side due to overgrazing and Bedouin agriculture, whereas natural vegetation grows much more abundantly on the Israeli side.

Otterman, J.↗

The 'Little Ice Age' - Northern Hemisphere average observations and model calculations

Numerical energy balance climate model calculations of the average surface temperature of the Northern Hemisphere for the past 400 years are compared with a new reconstruction of the past climate. Forcing with volcanic dust produces the best simulation, whereas expressing the solar constant as a function of the envelope of the sunspot number gives very poor results.

Robock, A.↗

Observation and modeling of energetic particles at synchronous orbit on July 29, 1977

In the twelve hours following a worldwide storm, there was a series of at least four magnetospheric substorms, the last and largest of which exhibited an expansion phase onset at approximately 1200 UT. Data from six spacecraft in three general local time groupings (0300, 0700, and 1300 LT) were examined and vector magnetic field data and energetic electron and ion data from approximately 15 keV to 2 MeV were employed.

Baker, D. N.↗

Observations and models of inertial waves in the deep ocean

A study of the structure of the inertial peak in deep ocean kinetic energy is presented, based on records taken from Polymode arrays deployed in the western North Atlantic Ocean. Results are interpreted in terms of both local sources and turning point effects on internal waves generated at lower latitudes, and it is found that three classes of environment and their corresponding spectra emerge from peak height variations: (1) the 1500-m level near the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, with the greatest peak height of 18 dB; (2) the upper and deep ocean over rough topography and the deep ocean underneath the Gulf Stream, with the intermediate peak height of 11.5 dB; and (3) the deep ocean over smooth topography, with the lowest peak height of 7.5 dB. Using the globally valid wave functions obtained by Munk and Phillips (1968), frequency spectra near f are calculated numerically. The model is latitudinally dependent, with the frequency shift and bandwidth of the inertial peak decreasing with latitude.

Fu, L.-L.↗

Observation and modeling of energetic particles at synchronous orbit on July 29, 1977

In the 12 hours immediately after a worldwide storm sudden commencement at 0027 UT on July 29, there was a series of at least four magnetospheric substorms, the last and largest of which exhibited an expansion phase onset at approximately 1200 UT. Data from six spacecraft in three general local time groupings (0300, 0700, and 1300 LT) are examined, and vector magnetic field data and energetic electron and ion data from approximately 15 keV to more than 2MeV are employed. Four primary types of studies are carried out: (1) timing and morphology of energetic particle injections; (2) variation of particle phase space densities, using local magnetic field and particle flux data; (3) measurement of boundary motions, using high-energy ion gradient anisotropies; and (4) adiabatic modeling, which included injection, large-scale convection, corotation, and gradient drifts. For the 1200 UT substorms, it is concluded that there was a substantial flux dropout in a broad sector near local midnight because of a large-scale boundary motion, followed by a recovery to a predropout configuration.

Baker, D. N.↗

Dynamic thermal episodes in the protosolar nebula: Development of models from observations on CAI's

Evaluation of earlier observations indicated that layered rims on coarse-grained Allende CAI's were possibly the result of partial melting by ablation/drag-heating and reaction of CAI exteriors with a gas or gases of non-solar composition. Bunch and Chang reported the common occurrence of thin, fine-grained, matrix-like bands that at least partially surround rims of CAI's. Although material in these bands in general appears to be similar to matrix, SEM observations show them to be dissimilar in volatile element content, mineral composition, and grain morphology. Moreover, they appear to be related in time of formation with rim development and Na-metasomatism of CAI's. Observations indicate a short-lived but intense heating episode followed by radid cooling as the mechanism responsible for these CAI features.

Bunch, T. E.↗

BL Lacertae objects: Multifrequency observations and model applications

Quasi-simultaneous spectra covering radio, IR, optical and UV wave bands of BL Lac and active galactic nuclei were obtained. The X-ray flux densities from other epochs, and information on temporal behavior in the various wave bands, are used in model fitting. The required amount of relativistic beaming in these sources is calculated as 30.

Worrall, D. M.↗