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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 397 records · Page 22

Challenges in Tracking Waste Reduction Performance Improvement in Manufacturing Plants

The recently released Circularity Gap Report 2023 by the Circle Economy Foundation states that the circularity score for the global economy is declining. The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) tracked municipal solid waste from 1960 to 2018 and found that 50% of the waste was destined for landfills. EPA estimates that US industry is responsible for 2.7 Gt of solid nonhazardous waste annually in the US mostly linear economy model. The circular economy framework aims to decouple economic value generation from the extraction of virgin materials from nature. The linear model of material extraction and disposal at the end of life is highly unsustainable. Manufacturing companies are adopting ambitious waste reduction targets to achieve sustainability. Through the Better Plants program, US DOE has established the Waste Reduction Network, which offers technical assistance to partners to achieve their ambitious waste reduction goals. Basic requirements of establishing a target include identifying a baseline, quantifying waste performance, and measuring progress over time. One problem faced by industry is unstandardized metrics for quantifying waste performance that may not be well suited to demonstrate progress. This paper studies traditional methods used to measure waste performance and highlights advantages, disadvantages, and limitations of each method. It also examines the suitability of applying the methods in different manufacturing circumstances. Finally, the paper presents a case study of a large manufacturer that faced inconsistencies in its tracked measurement metric. A solution was proposed and implemented to alter the methodology to enable more accurate waste performance tracking against a baseline.

circular economy↗

Generative Adversarial Networks and Mixture Density Networks-Based Inverse Modeling for Microstructural Materials Design

Abstract There are two broad modeling paradigms in scientific applications: forward and inverse. While forward modeling estimates the observations based on known causes, inverse modeling attempts to infer the causes given the observations. Inverse problems are usually more critical as well as difficult in scientific applications as they seek to explore the causes that cannot be directly observed. Inverse problems are used extensively in various scientific fields, such as geophysics, health care and materials science. Exploring the relationships from properties to microstructures is one of the inverse problems in material science. It is challenging to solve the microstructure discovery inverse problem, because it usually needs to learn a one-to-many nonlinear mapping. Given a target property, there are multiple different microstructures that exhibit the target property, and their discovery also requires significant computing time. Further, microstructure discovery becomes even more difficult because the dimension of properties (input) is much lower than that of microstructures (output). In this work, we propose a framework consisting of generative adversarial networks and mixture density networks for inverse modeling of structure–property linkages in materials, i.e., microstructure discovery for a given property. The results demonstrate that compared to baseline methods, the proposed framework can overcome the above-mentioned challenges and discover multiple promising solutions in an efficient manner.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Bayesian Optimized Deep Ensemble for Uncertainty Quantification of Deep Neural Networks: a System Safety Case Study on Sodium Fast Reactor Thermal Stratification Modeling

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are increasingly important to scientific computing and engineering system simulations. Accurate uncertainty quantification (UQ) for DNNs is critical in safety-sensitive engineering domains. Traditional Deep Ensemble (DE) methods, while easy to implement, frequently suffer from poorly calibrated uncertainty estimates and limited predictive accuracy due to reliance on fixed architectures with varied weight initializations. To address these issues, we introduce a workflow that combines Bayesian Optimization (BO) and DE. The workflow is modular, scalable, and integrates parallel BO initialized with Sobol sequences to individually optimize the hyperparameters of each ensemble member. This method enhances ensemble diversity, improves predictive accuracy, and provides reliable uncertainty estimates. We evaluate the proposed BODE approach in a sodium fast reactor thermal stratification modeling case study, where we used a densely connected convolutional neural network to predict turbulent viscosity during the reactor transient with consideration of data noise. We benchmark its performance against several optimization approaches, including baseline deep ensemble, evolutionary algorithm-optimized ensemble, ensemble formed via random search combined with greedy selection, and a BO ensemble using random initialization. Here, our results demonstrate superior performance of the developed BODE approach. In noise-free scenarios, BODE notably reduces incorrect aleatoric uncertainty and significantly enhances predictive accuracy. Under conditions of 5% and 10% Gaussian noise, BODE adaptively quantifies uncertainty proportional to data noise, achieving up to an 80% reduction in root mean square error compared to baseline methods and producing well-calibrated prediction intervals.

Bayesian optimization↗

PopGNN: Graph Neural Network-Based Flexible Future Population Forecasting Model

Accurate population forecasts is important to plan critical infrastructure and services, from housing and education to healthcare and transport. However, traditional population prediction studies have only employed traditional machine learning models limited to capture complex spatial interdependencies and patterns. Althogh recently computer vision-based framework was introduced with with promising accuracy, it has critical limitations for real-world planning applications: it function only at fixed spatial resolutions, restricting their use in diverse boundaries such as census tracts, neighborhoods, or administrative zones. Therefore, this study suggests a Graph Neural Network (GNN)-based population prediction framework, called PopGNN. This model recorded remarkable performance compared with state-of-the-art models and traditional baseline models in the grid and administrative boundaries. Furthermore, our framework achieved comparable predictive accuracy to a computer vision-based model in both the South Korea and Tennessee case studies. Consequently, this study is valuable in that a single model can provide accurate population forecasts that address diverse planning demands, ranging from granular grid-level estimates for precise service allocation and facility location planning to aggregate administrative-level forecasts for macro-scale regional policy and resource distribution.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The Integrated Virtual Blast Furnace: Enabling Physics-Based Operational Guidance

As part of a DOE-supported research effort, Purdue University Northwest researchers are collaborating with Oak Ridge National Laboratory and United States Steel Corporation to develop a tool to provide blast furnace operators and engineers with process performance insight comparable to high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics modeling, accelerated to provide “what-if” scenarios at near-real-time speed. This is accomplished by pre-simulating a baseline case and a range of potential operating scenarios to establish how the furnace responds to changing inputs, then training a neural network-based Reduced Order Model to accelerate the speed at which predictions of key parameters can be generated.

Okosun, Tyamo↗

Satellite fixed communications service: A forecast of potential domestic demand through the year 2000. Volume 3: Appendices

Voice applications, data applications, video applications, impacted baseline forecasts, market distribution model, net long haul forecasts, trunking earth station definition and costs, trunking space segment cost, trunking entrance/exit links, trunking network costs and crossover distances with terrestrial tariffs, net addressable forecasts, capacity requirements, improving spectrum utilization, satellite system market development, and the 30/20 net accessible market are considered.

Kratochvil, D.↗

Integrated Operations Architecture Technology Assessment Study

As part of NASA's Integrated Operations Architecture (IOA) Baseline, NASA will consolidate all communications operations. including ground-based, near-earth, and deep-space communications, into a single integrated network. This network will make maximum use of commercial equipment, services and standards. It will be an Internet Protocol (IP) based network. This study supports technology development planning for the IOA. The technical problems that may arise when LEO mission spacecraft interoperate with commercial satellite services were investigated. Commercial technology and services that could support the IOA were surveyed, and gaps in the capability of existing technology and techniques were identified. Recommendations were made on which gaps should be closed by means of NASA research and development funding. Several findings emerged from the interoperability assessment: in the NASA mission set, there is a preponderance of small. inexpensive, low data rate science missions; proposed commercial satellite communications services could potentially provide TDRSS-like data relay functions; and. IP and related protocols, such as TCP, require augmentation to operate in the mobile networking environment required by the space-to-ground portion of the IOA. Five case studies were performed in the technology assessment. Each case represented a realistic implementation of the near-earth portion of the IOA. The cases included the use of frequencies at L-band, Ka-band and the optical spectrum. The cases also represented both space relay architectures and direct-to-ground architectures. Some of the main recommendations resulting from the case studies are: select an architecture for the LEO/MEO communications network; pursue the development of a Ka-band space-qualified transmitter (and possibly a receiver), and a low-cost Ka-band ground terminal for a direct-to-ground network, pursue the development of an Inmarsat (L-band) space-qualified transceiver to implement a global, low data rate network for LEO/MEO, mission spacecraft; and, pursue developmental research for a miniaturized, high data rate optical transceiver.

Source record↗

Comparison of earth-based radio metric data strategies for deep space navigation

Spacecraft angular coordinates can be determined with a variety of radio tracking measurements, such as Doppler, range, and Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI)-derived data types. A relatively new interferometric tracking technique under development is Connected Element Interferometry (CEI), which uses a single frequency standard, distributed to two antennas spaced 10 to 100 km apart, to make highly accurate measurements of the phase-delay of incoming radio signals. The angular navigation accuracies attainable with Doppler, range, CEI, and VLBI data strategies are compared, using simple analytic models for these data types. The measurement accuracies assumed for Doppler, range, and VLBI data represent the performance expected from these systems in the Magellan and Galileo missions, while the assumed CEI data accuracy represents the anticipated performance of an experimental connected element system being constructed at the Deep Space Network's Goldstone, California complex. The results indicate that the Galileo VLBI system can deliver 20- to 25-nrad accuracy throughout the ecliptic plane. A hypothetical CEI dual-baseline sysem at Goldstone yielded accuracies in the 35- to 50-nrad range, while another hypothetical Goldstone-based system, consisting of a single CEI baseline and an X-band (8.4 GHz) Doppler system, produced accuracies of 25 to 100 nrad. Angular accuracies obtained from Doppler and range were found to be highly dependent upon the sensitivity of earth-spacecraft differential acceleration to small changes in geocentric spacecraft position.

Thurman, Sam W.↗

Development of machine learning framework for interface force closures based on bubble tracking data

Interfacial force closures in the two-fluid model play a critical role for the predictive capabilities of void fraction distribution. However, the practices of interfacial force modeling have long been challenged by the inherent physical complexity of the two-phase flows. The rapidly expanding computational capabilities in the recent years have made high-fidelity data from the interface-captured direct numerical simulation become more available, and hence potential for data-driven interfacial force modeling has prevailed. In this work, we established a data-driven modeling framework integrated to the HZDR multiphase Eulerian-Eulerian framework for computational fluid dynamics simulations. The data-driven framework is verified in a benchmark problem, where a feedforward neural network managed to capture the non-linear mapping between bubble Reynolds number and drag coefficient and reproduce the void distribution resulting from the baseline model in the test case. The second focus is on utilizing the bubble tracking data set to form a closure for the bubble drag in the turbulent bubbly flow, in which the drag coefficient is set to be correlated with the bubble Reynolds number and the Eötvös number. Pseudo-steady state filtering in the Frenet Frame was carried out to obtain the drag coefficient from the turbulent bubbly flow data. The performance of the data-driven drag model is also examined through a case study, where improvement of model’s prediction near-wall is regarded necessary. In conclusion, discussion and further plans of investigation are provided.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DUNE: Michel Electron Selection with SPINE

This poster details the evaluation of a Michel electron selection algorithm centered on the neural network-based software SPINE (Scalable Particle Imageing with Neural Embeddings). The algorithm was developed and calibrated using simulated data from the SBND (Short-Baseline Neutrino Detector) experiment before being applied to simulated data from DUNE (Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment).

Wilson, Dante [U. Colorado, Boulder]↗

Michel Electron Selection with SPINE for DUNE Far Detector Simulation

Michel electrons are a valuable input for particle detector calibration due to their consistent kinetic energy distribution. This report details the evaluation of a Michel electron identification method's application to simulated data from the DUNE (Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment) far detector. This method, which relies on the neural network-based particle classification software SPINE (Scalable Particle Imaging with Neural Embeddings), was developed and calibrated using simulated data for the SBND (Short-Baseline Neutrino Detector) experiment before being applied to simulated DUNE data from a 1x2x6 subset of far detector modules.

Wilson, Dante [Colorado State U.]↗

Interpretable Joint Event-Particle Reconstruction for Neutrino Physics at NOvA with Sparse CNNs and Transformers

The complex events observed at the NOvA long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment contain vital information for understanding the most elusive particles in the standard model. The NOvA detectors observe interactions of neutrinos from the NuMI beam at Fermilab. Associating the particles produced in these interaction events to their source particles, a process known as reconstruction, is critical for accurately measuring key parameters of the standard model. Events may contain several particles, each producing sparse high-dimensional spatial observations, and current methods are limited to evaluating individual particles. To accurately label these numerous, high-dimensional observations, we present a novel neural network architecture that combines the spatial learning enabled by convolutions with the contextual learning enabled by attention. This joint approach, TransformerCVN, simultaneously classifies each event and reconstructs every individual particle's identity. TransformerCVN classifies events with 90% accuracy and improves the reconstruction of individual particles by 6% over baseline methods which lack the integrated architecture of TransformerCVN. In addition, this architecture enables us to perform several interpretability studies which provide insights into the network's predictions and show that TransformerCVN discovers several fundamental principles that stem from the standard model.

Shmakov, Alexander↗

Traffic Signal Optimization by Integrating Reinforcement Learning and Digital Twins

Machine learning (ML) methods, especially reinforcement learning (RL), have been widely considered for traffic signal optimization in intelligent transportation systems. Most of these ML methods are centralized, lacking in scalability and adaptability in large traffic networks. Further, it is challenging to train such ML models due to the lack of training platforms and/or the cost of deploying and training in a real traffic networks. This paper presents an approach for the integration of decentralized graph-based multi-agent reinforcement learning (DGMARL) with a Digital Twin (DT) to optimize traffic signals for the reduction of traffic congestion and network-wide fuel consumption related to stopping. Specifically, the DGMARL agents learn traffic state patterns and make decisions regarding traffic signal control with assistance from a Digital Twin module, which simulates and replicates the traffic behaviors of a real traffic network. The proposed approach was evaluated using PTV-Vissim [1], a microscopic traffic simulation platform. PTV-Vissim is also the simulation engine of the DT, enabling emulation and optimization of the traffic signals on the MLK Smart Corridor in Chattanooga, Tennessee. Compared to an actuated signal control baseline approach, experiment results show that Eco_PI, a developed performance measure capturing the impact of stops on fuel consumption, was reduced by 44.27% in a 24-hour and an average of 29.88% in a PM-peak-hour scenario.

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning, Digital Twin, ↗

Detecting anomalous sequences in electronic health records using higher-order tensor networks

Detecting anomalous sequences is an integral part of building and protecting modern large-scale health information technology (HIT) systems. These HIT systems generate a large volume of records of patients’ state and significant events, which provide a valuable resource to help improve clinical decisions, patient care processes, and other issues. However, detecting anomalous sequences in electronic health records (EHR) remains a challenge in healthcare applications for several reasons, including imbalances in the data, complexity of relationships between events in the sequence, and the curse of dimensionality. Conventional anomaly detection methods use the finite sequence of events to discriminate sequences. They fail to incorporate salient event details under variable higher-order dependencies (e.g., duration between events) that can provide better discrimination of sequences in their models. To address this problem, we propose event sequence and subsequence anomaly detection algorithms that (1) use network-based representations of interactions in the data, (2) account for variable higher-order dependencies in the data, and (3) incorporate events duration for adequate discrimination of the data. The proposed approach identifies anomalies by monitoring the change in the graph after the test sequence is removed from the network. The change is quantified using graph distance metrics so that dramatic changes in the network can be attributed to the removed sequence. Furthermore, the proposed subsequence algorithm recommends plausible paths and salient information for the detected anomalous subsequences. Our results show that the proposed event sequence anomaly detection algorithm outperforms the baseline methods for both synthetic data and real-world EHR data.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Bringing HPE Slingshot 11 support to Open MPI

The Cray HPE Slingshot 11 network is used on the new exascale systems arriving at the U.S. Department of Energy (DoE) laboratories (e.g., Frontier, Aurora, Perlmutter). As such, the support of this network is an important capability to meet the needs of exascale applications. Here, this article highlights recent work to develop supporting infrastructure to enable Open MPI to efficiently support these new platforms. A key component of this effort involves development of a new Open Fabrics Interface (OFI) provider, LinkX. We discuss the design and development of enhancements that take advantage of the new Slingshot 11 network and AMD GPUs. We include performance data from tests on the Frontier supercomputer using synthetic communication benchmarks, and the vendor provided MPI as a baseline for comparison. The tests demonstrate full functionality of Open MPI on the system and initial results show favorable performance when compared to the highly tuned vendor implementation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

On the Effectiveness of Neural Operators at Zero-Shot Weather Downscaling [SWR-25-20]

Code repository for the experiments performed in the paper: On the Effectiveness of Neural Operators at Zero-Shot Weather Downscaling (https://doi.org/10.1017/eds.2025.11) Overall, our work investigates the zero-shot downscaling potential of neural operators. To summarize, our contributions are: 1. We provide a comparative analysis based on two challenging weather downscaling problems, between various neural operator and non-neural-operator methods with large upsampling factors (e.g., 8x and 15x) and fine grid resolutions (e.g., 2 km × 2 km wind speed). 2. We examine whether neural operator layers provide unique advantages when testing downscaling models on upsampling factors higher than those seen during training, i.e., zero-shot downscaling. Our results instead show the surprising success of an approach that combines a powerful transformer-based model with a parameter-free interpolation step at zero-shot weather downscaling. 3. We find that this Swin-Transformer-based approach mostly outperforms all neural operator models in terms of average error metrics, whereas an enhanced super-resolution generative adversarial network (ESRGAN)-based approach is better than most models in capturing the physics of the system, and suggests their use in future work as strong baselines. However, these approaches still do not capture variations at smaller spatial scales well, including the physical characteristics of turbulence in the HR data. This suggests a potential for improvement in transformer or GAN-based methods and neural-operator-based methods for zero-shot weather downscaling.

Sinha, Saumya [National Renewable Energy Laborator↗

A systems plan for an earth and ocean dynamics satellite applications program

A system for investigating phenomena associated with the earth's dynamical and crustal motions, and the sea surface is described. The proposed observing systems include the following facilities: (1) A network of fundamental stations, whose locations and motions, including polar, variations in the earth's rotational rate, and crustal motions, are determined by very long baseline interferometry, relative to the basic reference system of radio stars. The sites are all NASA Goddard stations with the exception of Kashima, Japan, a facility which has participated extensively in the ATS program. (2) A system of Geopause spacecraft in nearly circular polar orbits, normal to the ecliptic at a distance of about five earth radii with a period on the order of two thirds of a day.

Siry, J. W.↗

A few parts in 10 to the 8th geodetic baseline repeatablity in the Gulf of California using the Global Positioning System

GPS geodetic measurements of 350-650 km baselines across the Pacific-North America plate boundary in the Gulf of California are presented. The analysis employs a four-station U.S. fiducial network and combined carrier phase and pseudorange data. Water vapor radiometer data at the Gulf sites are used to calibrate the GPS signal for wet tropospheric path delays. Residual tropospheric delays are modeled as first-order exponentially correlated stochastic processes. The measurement precision for horizontal components is a few parts in 10 to the 8th or better.

Tralli, David M.↗