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At least 397 records · Page 22

National population mapping from sparse survey data: A hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework to account for uncertainty

Population estimates are critical for government services, development projects, and public health campaigns. Such data are typically obtained through a national population and housing census. However, population estimates can quickly become inaccurate in localized areas, particularly where migration or displacement has occurred. Some conflict-affected and resource-poor countries have not conducted a census in over 10 y. We developed a hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate population numbers in small areas based on enumeration data from sample areas and nationwide information about administrative boundaries, building locations, settlement types, and other factors related to population density. We demonstrated this model by estimating population sizes in every 10- m grid cell in Nigeria with national coverage. These gridded population estimates and areal population totals derived from them are accompanied by estimates of uncertainty based on Bayesian posterior probabilities. The model had an overall error rate of 67 people per hectare (mean of absolute residuals) or 43% (using scaled residuals) for predictions in out-of-sample survey areas (approximately 3 ha each), with increased precision expected for aggregated population totals in larger areas. This statistical approach represents a significant step toward estimating populations at high resolution with national coverage in the absence of a complete and recent census, while also providing reliable estimates of uncertainty to support informed decision making.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Development of Test Protocols for International Space Station Particulate Filters

Air quality control on the International Space Station (ISS) is a vital requirement for maintaining a clean environment for the crew and the hardware. This becomes a serious challenge in pressurized space compartments since no outside air ventilation is possible, and a larger particulate load is imposed on the filtration system due to lack of gravitational settling. The ISS Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS) uses a filtration system that has been in use for over 14 years and has proven to meet this challenge. The heart of this system is a traditional High-Efficiency Particulate Air (HEPA) filter configured to interface with the rest of the life support elements and provide effective cabin filtration. The filter element for this system has a non-standard cross-section with a length-to-width ratio (LW) of 6.6. A filter test setup was designed and built to meet industry testing standards. A CFD analysis was performed to initially determine the optimal duct geometry and flow configuration. Both a screen and flow straighter were added to the test duct design to improve flow uniformity and face velocity profiles were subsequently measured to confirm. Flow quality and aerosol mixing assessments show that the duct flow is satisfactory for the intended leak testing. Preliminary leak testing was performed on two different ISS filters, one with known perforations and one with limited use, and results confirmed that the testing methods and photometer instrument are sensitive enough to detect and locate compromised sections of an ISS BFE.Given the engineering constraints in designing spacecraft life support systems, it is anticipated that non-industry standard filters will be required in future designs. This work is focused on developing test protocols for testing the ISS BFE filters, but the methodology is general enough to be extended to other present and future spacecraft filters. These techniques for characterizing the test duct and perform leak testing can be applied to conducting acceptance testing and inventory testing for future manned exploration programs with air revitalization filtration needs, possibly even for in-situ filter element integrity testing for extensively long-duration missions. We plan to address the unique needs for test protocols for crewed spacecraft particulate filters by preparing the initial version of a standard, to be documented as a NASA Technical Memorandum (TM).

Filtration↗

Wind Resource Data for Southeast Asia Using a Hybrid Numerical Weather Prediction with Machine Learning Super Resolution Approach

In this work we develop and present a machine learning based downscaling approach using generative adversarial networks (GANs). GANs learn to distinguish the relationships between low-resolution and high-resolution simulations and generate accurate high-resolution output from low-resolution input (Stengel, Glaws, Hettinger, & King, 2020). Low-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) simulations at 9-km spatial and 60-minute temporal resolution were executed over Southeast Asia to provide input to the GANs model. GANs for wind, temperature, and pressure were trained on coarsened WIND Toolkit data with a diverse sampling of terrain and meteorological conditions. After training, the NWP simulations over Southeast Asia were enhanced by 3x along each horizontal spatial dimension and 4x along the temporal dimension. This novel downscaling approach generated 15-year high-resolution wind, temperature, and pressure data from January 2007 through December 2021 at multiple hub heights over Southeast Asia at 3-km spatial and 15-minute temporal resolution with a 16x reduction in compute time over standard dynamical downscaling.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Recovering from On-orbit Anomalies on the Astrobee Free Flyers and its Systems

Since 2019, NASA has been operating three Astrobee free flying robots on board the International Space Station (ISS) providing an autonomous and flexible research platform for national and international payload developers in microgravity and serving as a robotic assistant for astronauts on the ISS. During its use on the ISS, in particular with over 750 hours of free-flyer operation as of March 2022, Astrobee and its Docking Station have encountered multiple software and hardware anomalies. These anomalies were either resolved remotely via software and firmware updates, or, where not possible, with hardware replacements on orbit or by the return of the faulty unit to NASA’s ground facilities for its repair. Despite being inherently designed to be repaired or replaced on orbit, Astrobee and its systems can still suffer anomalies that would be complex enough to disassemble, cause risks of hardware damage, or use excessive crew time to perform the repair in orbit. That was the case for the anomaly the Astrobee unit ‘Honey’ encountered, reason why it needed to be down-massed for repair. One of the most common points of failure was found to be the SD card, which is used for the different Astrobee processors and for the Dock Station. Other comparable SD card anomalies were found also on the Astrobee ground units, which provided useful data in the effort of upgrading their systems. This presentation will focus on 1) The overview of the different faults and anomalies on Astrobee and its systems on orbit and on the ground 2) The processes and procedures implemented to resolve the anomalies 3) The implementation of software updates and hardware upgrades in order to reduce the risk on returning anomalies 4) The lessons learned in increasing Astrobee’s robustness and resilience to such anomalies.

International Space Station↗

Degradation Science from Nanometers to Kilometers: A Pathway to Rapid Detection for Reliable Photovoltaics

Photovoltaics reliability for terrestrial applications has more than four decades of history and experience. International standards development has prevented many early life failures and must be continued in the future. Yet, as the module product development cycle is measured in mere months, additional investment in the fundamental degradation science and rapid detection should be developed. In this article, a brief strategy is provided addressing indoor accelerated, outdoor testing, and modeling efforts required to retain high reliability in the following decade.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Unraveling kinking: A plasticity enhancing failure mode in high strength nano metallic laminates

Kinking is an important and plasticity-enhancing deformation/failure mode in numerous mechanically anisotropic materials including high-strength nano metallic laminates (NMLs). However, our current limited understanding of the mechanics of kinking and its dependence on microstructural attributes is insufficient for thoroughly comprehending and eventually being able to control failure behaviors of materials. In this study, we investigate kinking dependencies on microstructural attributes in NMLs via in situ micropillar compression, multiscale microstructure characterization, dislocation dynamic simulations, and crystal plasticity modeling. Additionally, by examining several NML systems (Cu/Fe, Ag/Fe, Al-4Mg/Fe), we demonstrate that the development of internal stresses during loading activates local layer-parallel glide triggering kinking in NMLs. Furthermore, this work reveals the effect of key microstructural features including layer thickness, layer waviness, interface barrier strength, and work hardening capacity on kink band formation in NMLs. More broadly, our efforts represent a generically applicable approach for probing large-strain deformation behavior of complex materials via synergetic modeling and experimental efforts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Atomistic modeling of energy band alignment in CdTe(1 0 0) and CdTe(1 1 1) surfaces

An atomic-scale perspective of energy band alignment in CdTe surfaces has not been spatially studied despite the major role surfaces play in forming interfaces within CdTe-based thin film photovoltaic devices. Atomistic modeling based on density functional theory coupled with surface Green’s function is used for calculating energy band alignment of CdTe surfaces. The CdTe(1 0 0) ((1×1) and c(2×2) reconstruction) and CdTe(1 1 1) ((1×1) and (2×2) reconstruction) facets without and with surface relaxation provide insightful band bending characteristics that influence charge carrier transport. Results show that unrelaxed (1×1) CdTe(1 0 0) and CdTe(1 1 1) surfaces bend the valence band downward with surface polarity dictating the surface potential magnitude. The reconstructed CdTe(1 0 0) c(2×2) and CdTe(1 1 1) (2×2) surfaces result in favorable surface electronic features in relation to their unreconstructed variants. In addition, the structurally relaxed CdTe(1 1 1) surfaces develop an internal energy cusp potential that may enhance hole charge transport toward the back of CdTe solar cell devices. In conclusion, energy band alignments calculated within the study lead to a detailed understanding of how CdTe surfaces may affect CdTe-based thin film photovoltaic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Resting time effect on the rheological behavior of cement paste in presence of superplasticizer

Rheology has been widely used to describe the flow properties of fresh cement-based suspensions. Nevertheless, the effect of early hydration product formation on rheology, and the effect of shear on breaking of hydration bonds is not fully understood. Therefore, the characterization of the time-dependency of rheology has become necessary to predict precisely the behavior of concrete during placement. In this paper, variations in the resting time in between rheological tests were imposed to evaluate the effects on the development of internal structure of the mixture using different dispersing agents. Increasing resting time in between measurements mainly enhances viscosity, but the magnitude seems strongly dependent on the dispersant used. However, the effect of the employed procedure, as two procedures were evaluated, seems to have a stronger influence on the time-evolution of the rheological properties than changing the resting time in between measurements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Complex magnetic properties associated with competing local and itinerant magnetism in \({\text {Pr}}_2 {\text {Co}}_{0.86} {\text {Si}}_{2.88}\)

Ternary intermetallic compound \({\text {Pr}}_2 {\text {Co}}_{0.86} {\text {Si}}_{2.88}\) has been synthesized in single phase and characterized by x-ray diffraction, scanning electron microscopy with energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy (SEM-EDX) analysis, magnetization, heat capacity, neutron diffraction and muon spin rotation/relaxation ( \(\mu\) SR) measurements. The polycrystalline compound was synthesized in single phase by introducing necessary vacancies in Co/Si sites. Magnetic, heat capacity, and zero-field neutron diffraction studies reveal that the system undergoes magnetic transition below \(\sim\) 4 K. Neutron diffraction measurement further reveals that the magnetic ordering is antiferromagnetic in nature with an weak ordered moment. The high temperature magnetic phase has been attributed to glassy in nature consisting of ferromagnetic clusters of itinerant (3 d ) Co moments as evident by the development of internal field in zero-field \(\mu\) SR below 50 K. The density-functional theory (DFT) calculations suggest that the low temperature magnetic transition is associated with antiferromagnetic coupling between Pr 4 f and Co 3 d spins. Pr moments show spin fluctuation along with unconventional orbital moment quenching due to crystal field. The evolution of the symmetry and the crystalline electric field environment of Pr-ions are also studied and compared theoretically between the elemental Pr and when it is coupled with other elements such as Co. The localized moment of Pr 4 f and itinerant moment of Co 3 d compete with each other below \(\sim\) 20 K resulting in an unusual temperature dependence of magnetic coercivity in the system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of Horizontal Resolution, Domain Size, Boundary Conditions, and Surface Heterogeneity on Coarse LES of a Convective Boundary Layer

Atmospheric properties in a convective boundary layer vary over a wide range of spatial scales and are commonly studied using large-eddy simulations (LES) in various configurations. We examine how the boundary layer depth and distribution of variability across scales are affected by LES grid spacing, domain size, inhomogeneity of surface properties, and external forcing. Two different setups of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are analyzed. A semi-idealized configuration uses a periodic domain, flat surface, prescribed homogeneous surface heat fluxes, and horizontally uniform profiles of large-scale advective tendencies. A nested LES setup employs a larger domain and realistic initial and boundary conditions, including an interactive land surface model with representative topography and vegetation and soil types. Subdomains of identical size are analyzed for all simulations. Characteristic structure sizes are quantified using the variability scales L 50 and L 95 , defined such that features smaller than that contain 50% and 95% of the total variance, respectively. Progressive increase in L 50 from vertical velocity to temperature and moisture structures is systematically reproduced in all simulation configurations. This dependence of L 50 on the considered variable complicates the development of scale-aware parameterizations for models with grid spacing in the “terra incognita”. In simulations using a larger domain with heterogeneous surface properties, the development of internal mesoscale patterns significantly affects variance distributions inside analyzed subdomains. Sizes of boundary layer structures also strongly depend on the LES grid spacing and, in case of heterogeneous surface and topography, on location of the subdomain inside a larger computational domain.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Catalytic Upgrading of Thermochemical Intermediates to Hydrocarbons (Final Report)

A lot of activity in catalytic pyrolysis and hydroprocessing occurred in the past 10-15 years with notable successes and failures; however, very little technical information is available in the open literature from pilot-scale studies such as those performed in this project. Besides, the next step along the technology commercialization pathway is to scale-up the catalytic biomass pyrolysis process, integrate this technology with a hydroprocessing unit, and demonstrate the long-term operation and performance of the integrated process; notably, these were achieved in this project. RTI International has developed a single-step catalytic biomass pyrolysis process to produce a hydrocarbon-rich bio-crude intermediate. This bio-crude is more thermally stable and has lower oxygen content than conventional biomass fast pyrolysis oil, so it can be effectively and efficiently upgraded with traditional hydroprocessing technology to produce gasoline and diesel. Our partner, Haldor Topsøe, has developed a strategy for hydroprocessing bio-crude intermediates based on extensive catalyst and process development in support of converting vegetable oils and waste greases into high-quality diesel fuel. The goal of the originally proposed project was to demonstrate an advanced biofuels technology that integrates a catalytic biomass pyrolysis step and a hydroprocessing step to produce infrastructure-compatible biofuels. The specific technical goals of this project were 1) to optimize the catalytic biomass pyrolysis process to achieve high degree of deoxygenation, while maximizing the bio-crude production, 2) improve bio-crude thermal stability, 3) evaluate the impact of bio-crude quality in the hydroprocessing step, 4) minimize hydrogen demand of the integrated process, and 5) maximize biofuels yields. This project showed that it is technically feasible to use non-zeolitic solid acid catalyst to consistently generate bio-crude with 20% oxygen content and that these liquids can be effectively hydrotreated into low oxygen fuel blendstocks. The reproducibility of the small-scale pyrolysis yields at the 1 tonne/day scale is an achievement worth noting and the effect of pyrolysis temperature on biocrude yields and quality was investigated at the pilot scale. Additionally, advanced analytical techniques were used to analyze bio-crude to investigate the effect of process conditions and feedstock on the concentration and speciation of oxygen-containing compounds. Insights into the impact of oxygen content and oxygen speciation on bio-crdue upgrading were also sought. Clearly, more successful upgrading correlated with bio-crudes with lower oxygen content. This was most evident when partially upgraded bio-crude with 55-90% less oxygen compared to the starting bio-crude was blended with straight run diesel and hydrotreated without any noticeable increase in pressure drop across the reactor or any measurable loss of hydrodenitrification (HDN) activity. Minimizing hydrogen demand while maximizing biofuels yield are the desired outcomes for the integrated process. In summary, several technical challenges remain before catalytic biomass pyrolysis becomes a commercial reality, most notably bio-crude yields and quality still need to be improved. The integrated catalytic biomass pyrolysis hydroprocessing scheme being developed produces intermediates that can be refined for use as drop-in hydrocarbon replacement fuels. From a technology perspective, this advanced biofuel technology produces liquid transportation fuels that can leverage capital expenditures in the existing petroleum refining and distribution infrastructure. From a business perspective, this technology does not face potential market limitations as other nonhydrocarbon biofuels caused by oxygenated blending limitations and fuel certification for light-duty vehicle applications.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

IACMI Project 4.10: Blade Finishing Automation (Final Report)

IACMI Project 4.10, the Innovative Wind Turbine Blade Finishing with Advanced Automated Technology project, performed research addressing the challenges and opportunities associated with automating wind turbine blade finishing operations, including blade trimming and grinding. These activities, developed and conducted in close cooperation with wind industry partners, included: • The development of new automation technology and systems; • The integration of automation technology and components; • The improvements of sensor technology and their deployment in automation systems • The elimination of extensive manual programing for the automation of wind blade finishing; • The rethinking of the approach to specific work tasks for automation systems; • The demonstration at scale of innovative wind turbine blade finishing automations systems. The IACMI Wind TA team worked with GE Renewable Energy and LM Wind Power to establish the metrics of the automated blade finishing system developed in the project. In addition, the project team helped to integrate the advanced automated systems into wind turbine blade production facilities. This project was divided into two phases. Phase I provided project management, preliminary techno-economic model development, early US wind turbine industry outreach, and early research into robotic solutions for automated wind blade finishing. This second phase continued with project management, as well as final techno-economic model development, advanced research into robotic solutions for automated wind blade finishing, as well as specifications and procurement of a robotic system for automated wind blade finishing. The 4.10 project leveraged the capabilities and facilities established through the Institute for Advanced Composites Manufacturing Innovation (IACMI), the Colorado Office of Economic Development and International Trade (OEDIT) and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). The IACMI Wind Technology Area (TA) designed and prepared for deployment a robotic automated wind turbine blade finishing system at the NREL/IACMI Composites Manufacturing Education and Technology (CoMET) facility. The results of this project led to follow-on funding to build upon and expand research in automated wind turbine blade finishing.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Adapte Agrivoltayik Pou Mini-Rezo Sole Ann Ayiti

Ak mwens pase 2% nan popilasyon riral la ki gen akse a elektrisite ak preske mwatye popilasyon an ap fe fas ak grangou egi, Ayiti fe fas a defi entekonekte nan povrete eneji ak ensekirite alimante. Yon solisyon pou ede abode povrete eneji ann Ayiti se devlopman mini-griy sole distribiye, sitou sole. Sepandan, souvan te ki pi byen adapte pou deplwaye jenerasyon sole se tou pi byen adapte pou agrikilti pa ti femye yo, kidonk kreye yon tansyon potansyelman konplike ant akse eneji ak sekirite manje. Pou adrese tansyon sa a, devlope sole yo, espesyalis agrikol yo ak cheche yo ap egzamine ansanm yon nouvo solisyon ki rele "agrivoltayik". Agrivoltaics se yon solisyon pataje te-itilize ki rapidman elaji nan mache sole etabli tankou Etazini, Ewop, ak Azi ki pe sole ak agrikilti, pwodwi elektrisite ak bay espas pou rekot ak bet patiraj anba ak ant panno. Nan kad Patenarya Akse Eneji pou Ayiti a ak Ajans Ameriken pou Devlopman Entenasyonal (USAID), Laboratwa Nasyonal Eneji Renouvlab (NREL) te fe yon premye analiz posibilite ak pwoje angajman pati konsene yo pou evalye potansyel agrivoltayik nan konteks mini-gri an Ayiti. Analiz la te konsidere mini-grid tipik 100-kW ak pi gwo 1-MW nan vil atrave Ayiti epi li te devlope de egzanp arketip agrivoltaik ki baze sou kontribisyon lokal kle yo, ki gen ladan irradians sole, done pwodiksyon ki soti nan resansman agrikol la, pri sou mache a, entevyou ak moun ki gen entere yo, ak ki egziste deja, rechech agrivoltayik. See NREL/TP-7A40-88444 for the English translation of this document.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

International Applications for Floating Solar PV (FPV) [Slides]

Floating solar is a comparatively new concept. Floating solar is about to form a third pillar in the market for solar energy next to ground mounted and rooftop solar. The Asia-Pacific region already dominates the fast-emerging market in floating solar PV (FPV), and it looks set to build on that position as more nations get on board and costs fall. Asia-Pacific is set to increase its market share from 74% in 2020 to 87% in 2026 in terms of global installed FPV capacity. However, since floating solar systems are still a new application, there is a lack of information on its performance, cost, technical complexity, and operations and maintenance (O&M). This seminar series seeks to partially remedy that through presenting case studies that highlight the benefits, challenges, and applications of FPV in South and Southeast Asia.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Scalable Thin Light-Emitting Diode (LED) Light Sheet Platform

The goal of the Scalable Thin Light-Emitting Diode (LED) Light Sheet Platform project is to derisk the manufacturing scalability for a high chip count heterogeneous smart lighting platform, with the potential to enable significant energy savings through dynamic directional light control and custom. Specifically, the project derisks the scalability of a disruptive new computer controlled microassembly fabrication process SRI International is developing, to address fundamental cost barriers to mass production of high chip count systems. This is key for enabling mass adoption and thus maximum societal energy savings impact. The LED light sheet technology is a smart illumination platform that can be applied to lighting, signage, and display. It has features and a form factor similar to bendable or conformal OLED light sheets but uses more efficient LEDs with a remote phosphor layer that is very close to the LED to deliver a luminous efficacy that exceeds 125 lumen/Watt and enable > 50% Lighting Application Efficiency (LAE) energy savings. During Budget Period 1 (BP1), all of the BP1 milestones were successfully completed: (M2.0.1) Design demonstrator details that will meet the final project goals, (M6.1.1) Show lighting output model can predict illuminance, spatial, spectral distribution for specific light-sheet designs and use case, (M3.2.1) Automated loading supports 200 chip arrays, and (M3.3.1) Finish first interconnect process run for 200 chip array. The BP1 Go/No-Go Decision Point (G/NG 1) 200 chip demonstrator sample was in the process of final assembly and test at the end of BP1 on December 31, 2023. The objective was successfully achieved on January 16, 2024, when a wired 200-chip sample underwent confirmation testing that demonstrated a 93.75% first pass electrical yield that successfully exceeded the 75% first-pass electrical yield BP1 G/NG requirement. In addition, all 93.75% of the sample devices lit up, further demonstrating the ability to assemble and transfer small LED chips without damaging their functionality.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Technical and Economic Screening for Potential of Distributed Energy Resource Integration at Chervonohrad Water Utility in Ukraine

In this report, the authors present a preliminary techno-economic screening for distributed renewable energy for Chervonohrad Vodokanal, the water utility in Chervonohrad, Ukraine. The screening estimates the technical potential and economics of integrating solar photovoltaics (PV) and battery energy storage systems (BESS) at Chervonohrad Vodokanal water pumping stations, Pravda, Bendiuha, and Mezhyrichchya. For the Ukrainian version of this report, see NREL/TP-7A40-90360 (https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy24osti/90360.pdf).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Super Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource Data With Wind From Reanalysis Data (Sup3rWind) and Application to Ukraine [Slides]

In this work we present a novel deep learning-based downscaling method, using generative adversarial networks (GANs), for generating high-resolution wind resource data from ECMWF Reanalysis v5 data (ERA5). We show that by training a GAN model on ERA5, as opposed to coarsened high-resolution data, we achieve results that are competitive with conventional dynamical downscaling. This GAN-based downscaling method additionally reduces computational costs over dynamical downscaling by two orders of magnitude. All GANs are trained on data sampled from CONUS, selected to provide a diverse sampling of terrain conditions, and validated on observational data along with data held out from training. This cross-validation shows low error and high correlations with observations and excellent agreement with hold out data across physical distributions. Our approach is finally used to downscale 30km hourly ERA5 to 2-km 5-minute wind data, for January 2000 through December 2023, at multiple hub heights, over Ukraine, Moldova, and part of Romania. Comparisons against observational data from Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) and multiple wind farms show the same level of performance as for CONUS validation. This 24 year data record is the first member of the "super resolution for renewable energy resource data with wind from reanalysis data" dataset (Sup3rWind).

17 WIND ENERGY↗