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At least 397 records · Page 22

Changing Nature of High-Impact Snowfall Events in Eastern North America

Snowstorms cause substantial disruption in the eastern United States and Canada each winter. While reductions in annual snowfall are projected over most of this region due to anthropogenic global warming, daily snowfall extremes that have the greatest impact may not decrease in the same manner. We examine changes to two extreme snowfall metrics: the 95th percentile of daily snowfall (SF95, cm) and the number of events during which 10% of the mean annual snowfall is exceeded during a single day (TC10, events yr−1). We explore changes to these metrics in two ensembles of the fifth-generation Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM5), including four 0.22° ( ≈ 25 km) simulations driven by different coupled general circulation models as well as the higher-resolution (0.11°, ≈ 12 km) ClimEx ensemble, driven by 50 members of a large initial-condition ensemble of one global model. We find that while mean annual snowfall is projected to decrease over our domain, SF95 is projected to remain relatively constant, suggesting that the most extreme daily snowfalls currently observed are likely to occur even in a warmer future climate. The region of the largest TC10 values exhibits a northward shift, with a larger percentage of annual snowfall occurring during a few large events along the U.S.-Canada border. These projected changes to the nature of snowfall events may have important socioeconomic consequences in this densely populated region of North America.

heavy snow↗

Revision of the Dobson total ozone series at Hohenpeissenberg

Total ozone measurements with the Dobson No. 104 (D 104) have been performed at the Meteorological Observatory Hohenpeissenberg since 1967. A critical review of this time series and the comparison with other instruments like TOMS or Brewer spectrophotometer revealed some intervals with uncertainties. Especially in the early eighties a monthly mean bias of about minus 3 percent to TOMS-data with annual variations depending on the mean sun-height exists. An extreme amplitude of 5.6 percent occurs in 1980 with minus 0.76 percent (February) and minus 6.36 percent (July). Two different methods were applied to reprocess the Dobson data set. A comparison of the differently recalculated data showed, that the application of N-corrections by means of the standard-lamp tests starting from the reference values of the Arosa Intercomparison 1986 yields better results than the N-corrections based on a Langley-pilot of the Arosa Intercomparison 1978. The extreme amplitude of the year 1980 is now reduced to 3.02 percent. There is still a slight drift in the monthly and yearly mean differences between TOMS and revised Dobson data. It cannot be excluded, that the satellite data may be responsible for the trend.

Koehler, U.↗

Symbolic Analysis of Concurrent Programs with Polymorphism

The current trend of multi-core and multi-processor computing is causing a paradigm shift from inherently sequential to highly concurrent and parallel applications. Certain thread interleavings, data input values, or combinations of both often cause errors in the system. Systematic verification techniques such as explicit state model checking and symbolic execution are extensively used to detect errors in such systems [7, 9]. Explicit state model checking enumerates possible thread schedules and input data values of a program in order to check for errors [3, 9]. To partially mitigate the state space explosion from data input values, symbolic execution techniques substitute data input values with symbolic values [5, 7, 6]. Explicit state model checking and symbolic execution techniques used in conjunction with exhaustive search techniques such as depth-first search are unable to detect errors in medium to large-sized concurrent programs because the number of behaviors caused by data and thread non-determinism is extremely large. We present an overview of abstraction-guided symbolic execution for concurrent programs that detects errors manifested by a combination of thread schedules and data values [8]. The technique generates a set of key program locations relevant in testing the reachability of the target locations. The symbolic execution is then guided along these locations in an attempt to generate a feasible execution path to the error state. This allows the execution to focus in parts of the behavior space more likely to contain an error.

Rungta, Neha Shyam↗

Solar cosmic ray, solar wind, solar flare, and neutron albedo measurements, part C

All mineral detectors exposed on Apollo 16 had high surface track densities probably produced by a solar flare that occurred during the mission. The heavy ions followed a power law spectrum with exponent approximately 3 down to approximately 200 KeV/nucleon. The abundance of low-energy particle tracks observed in this flare may explain the high track densities observed in lunar dust grains. Pristine heavy-particle tracks in feldspar give long tracks. Shallow pits similar to those expected from extremely heavy solar wind ions were observed in about the expected number. Initial results give a low apparent value of neutron albedo relative to theory.

Burnett, D.↗

Soil moisture variation patterns observed in Hand County, South Dakota

Soil moisture data were taken during 1976 (April, June, October), 1977 (April, May, June), and 1978 (May, June, July) Hand County, South Dakota as part of the ground truth used in NASA's aircraft experiments to study the use of microwave radiometers for the remote sensing of soil moisture. The spatial variability observed on the ground during each of the sampling events was studied. The data reported are the mean gravimetric soil moisture contained in three surface horizon depths: 0 to 2.5, 0 to 5 and 0 to 10 cm. The overall moisture levels ranged from extremely dry conditions in June 1976 to very wet in May 1978, with a relatively even distribution of values within that range. It is indicated that well drained sites have to be partitioned from imperfectly drained areas when attempting to characterize the general moisture profile throughout an area of varying soil and cover type conditions. It is also found that the variability in moisture content is greatest in the 0 to 2.5 cm measurements and decreases as the measurements are integrated over a greater depth. It is also determined that the sampling intensity of 10 measurements per km is adequate to estimate the mean moisture with an uncertainty of + or - 3 percent under average moisture conditions in areas of moderate to good drainage.

Jones, E. B.↗

Hubble Space Telescope fine guidance sensor control system

The fine pointing information required for the extraordinary pointing stability of the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) is provided by the fine guidance sensor (FGS), which is capable of measuring extremely small pointing errors, of the order of 3 milliarcseconds. The FGS provides this fine pointing information over a relatively large, continuous range of angles of guide stars relative to the optical axis of the telescope. The FGS accomplishes this task by a judicious design involving the following: a two-axis high precision star selector servo system; an optical deflection system that provides high reduction from shaft angle to optical angle; a unique interferometer using Koester prisms and extremely sensitive photomultiplier tubes that enable the FGS to lock onto guide stars whose magnitude may be any value over a wide range of brightness (including 14.5 Mv and fainter); and the use the large aperture of the telescope itself to advantage. This paper describes the FGS control systems involved in achieving this performance, supported by test data.

Nurre, Gerald S.↗

Evidence for a primordial magnetic field during the meteorite parent body era

Data on 247 meteorites were examined, and a log-log plot of the magnetic moment/gm versus the susceptibility/gm reveals a straight-line relation with a slope of unity for a range of meteorite types extending from achondrites at the low Fe-Ni end to stony-irons. The relation holds for a span of parameter values ranging between four and five orders. The results support the hypothesis of a common background magnetic field at the time of meteorite formation. An equation relating the primordial field strength to the average carrier demagnetization factor, which can vary from 0 to 4 pi, is presented. The extreme lower limit for the field strength is 0.02 oersted, while for the mean field of 0.27 oersted determined from a study of individual meteorites (Stacy and Banerjee, 1974), the average value for the carrier demagnetization factor is 0.74, corresponding to elongated grains.

Sonett, C. P.↗

Introduction

Probable climatic extremes of terrestrial environment data specifically applicable for NASA space vehicles and associated equipment development are considered. Design guideline values are established for the following environmental parameters: (1) Thermal (temperature and solar radiation); (2) humidity; (3) precipitation; (4) winds; (5) pressure; (6) density; (7) electricity (atmospheric); (8) corrosion (atmospheric); (9) sand and dust; (10) fungi and bacteria; (11) atmospheric oxidants; (12) composition of the atmosphere; and (13) inflight thermodynamic properties.

Daniels, G. E.↗

Recent trends in aviation turbine fuel properties

Plots and tables, compiled from Department of Energy (and predecessor agency) inspection reports from 1969 to 1980, present ranges, averages, extremes, and trends for most of the 22 properties of Jet A aviation turbine fuel. In recent years, average values of aromatics content, mercaptan sulfur content, distillation temperature of 10 percent recovered, smoke point, and freezing point show small but recognizable trends toward their specification limits. About 80 percent of the fuel samples had at least one property near specification, defined as within a standard band about the specification limit. By far the most common near-specification properties were aromatics content, smoke point, and freezing point.

Friedman, R.↗

The International Halley Watch

The International Halley Watch has been designed to maximize the scientific value of ground-based observations of Halley's Comet. Important in their own right, such observations have also enhanced the value of space observations, setting the brief duration flyby data in the context of the overall apparition, placing the extremely high resolution encounter data into the normal scale of observations, and filling in missing data. The IHW has standardized observing techniques wherever useful and possible, coordinated the observing, and is now collecting data from publication in a comprehensive Halley Archieve. The IHW has been designed to avoid the problems of 1910 where the two major monographs on Halley were not published until 21 and 24 years later and where much data remains unpublished to this day. The Giacobini-Zinner Watch preovided support to the ICE mission and complements the IHW by using the same ground-based techniques at the same time of study another very different comet for comparison.

Newburn, R. L., Jr.↗

Effects of discrete-source outgassing on motions of periodic comets and discontinuous orbital anomalies

Isoline maps of the Style II nongravitational parameters A1 and A2 of periodic comets are presented for a baseline model as functions of the parameters of the inertially fixed spin vector and the source's location-dependent thrust angle. The parameters A1 and A2 for a collection of sources are equal to the sum of their values for the individual contributors, thus depending on the source distribution. The model is consistent with even the most extreme among detected perturbations, including instances of rapid temporal changes in A2 and the discontinuous orbital anomalies, which are interpreted as products of a sudden redistribution of the transferred momentum due to episodic activation of short-lived sources. It is argued that the lifetimes of active regions vary considerably from case to case, and forced precession of the nucleus strongly influences the comet's activity pattern.

Sekanina, Zdenek↗

Snowfall in the Northern Great Lakes: Lessons Learned from a Multisensor Observatory

A multisensor snowfall observational suite has been deployed at the Marquette, Michigan, National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office (KMQT) since 2014. Micro Rain Radar (MRR; profiling radar), Precipitation Imaging Package (PIP; snow particle imager), and ancillary ground-based meteorological observations illustrate the unique capabilities of these combined instruments to document radar and concomitant microphysical properties associated with northern Great Lakes snowfall regimes. Lake-effect, lake-orographic, and transition event case studies are presented that illustrate the variety of snowfall events that occur at KMQT. Case studies and multiyear analyses reveal the ubiquity of snowfall produced by shallow events. These shallow snowfall features and their distinctive microphysical fingerprints are often difficult to discern with conventional remote sensing instruments, thus highlighting the scientific and potential operational value of MRR and PIP observations. The importance of near-surface lake-orographic snowfall enhancement processes in extreme snowfall events and regime-dependent snow particle microphysical variability controlled by regime and environmental factors are also highlighted.

Lake effects↗

Comparing Evaporative Sources of Terrestrial Precipitation and Their Extremes in MERRA Using Relative Entropy

A quasi-isentropic back trajectory scheme is applied to output from the Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications and a land-only replay with corrected precipitation to estimate surface evaporative sources of moisture supplying precipitation over every ice-free land location for the period 1979-2005. The evaporative source patterns for any location and time period are effectively two dimensional probability distributions. As such, the evaporative sources for extreme situations like droughts or wet intervals can be compared to the corresponding climatological distributions using the method of relative entropy. Significant differences are found to be common and widespread for droughts, but not wet periods, when monthly data are examined. At pentad temporal resolution, which is more able to isolate floods and situations of atmospheric rivers, values of relative entropy over North America are typically 50-400 larger than at monthly time scales. Significant differences suggest that moisture transport may be the key to precipitation extremes. Where evaporative sources do not change significantly, it implies other local causes may underlie the extreme events.

Climatological Distributions↗

Isoprene over the Amazon Basin

Data obtained during the 1985 ABLE expedition to the Amazon are used to describe the diurnal and vertical variations of isoprene. Isoprene is a natural hydrocarbon emitted by many species of trees, particularly those in tropical forests. The concentrations of isoprene at lower levels in the atmosphere undergo large diurnal variations, with the highest concentrations during midday and the lowest during the night. At ground level, outside the forest, peak concentrations of about 3-parts per billion by volume (ppbv) of isoprene were observed around midday. Concentrations were nearly zero before sunrise, increased to their maximum values during the day, and declined after sunset. Concentrations of 1-2 ppbv of isoprene were observed up to 300 m. Near the canopy level, up to 8 ppbv of isoprene were observed. In the forest, concentrations are generally quite low below the canopy and are highest at the level of the canopy. Since the reaction of isoprene with OH radicals is extremely fast, its concentrations fall off rapidly with altitude, so that practically none of it was seen above the boundary layer. During nighttime, however, concentrations comparable to daytime values were observed at altitudes of 300 m and above.

Rasmussen, R. A.↗

Optimal horizontal guidance law for aircraft in the terminal area.

Study of the horizontal guidance of aircraft in and near the terminal area. The problem of guiding an aircraft in minimum time from an arbitrary point to the outer marker is formulated as a nonlinear optimal control problem, and the control law solution is obtained by the application of the maximum principle. It is found that for some initial states the problem is singular. Furthermore, the extremal controls for this problem are not unique. Consequently, the optimal controls must be obtained on the basis of the value of the performance index. The control law is implemented in the form of a digital computer program which computes the optimal trajectory for arbitrary initial conditions.

Pecsvaradi, T.↗

Summary of atmospheric data observations for 155 flight of MSFC/ABMA related aerospace vehicles

A summary of selected atmospheric conditions observed near launch time for 155 NASA-Marshall Space Flight Center and Army Ballistic Missile Agency related vehicles, launched primarilv from Cape Kennedy, Florida, between August 20, 1953, and November 16, 1963, is presented. Values of ambient pressure, temperature, relative humidity, ground winds, visual observations, density aloft, and wind/wind shear aloft are included. The extremes of these parameters are listed for each type of launch vehicle.

Johnson, D. L.↗

Turbulent electric fields in the nightside magnetosphere

Electric field measurements from the long-wire double-probe instrument (baseline of 179 m) on ISEE 1 have shown the magnetospheric electric field on auroral L shells to be extremely turbulent during periods of magnetic activity. During intense activity these turbulent electric fields can penetrate to very low L values. The variational component of the electric field is typically larger than the DC value. Measurements are presented at frequencies up to 14 Hz. Magnitudes of over 40 m V/m (zero to peak) have been observed with spectral power levels in the 1-10 Hz range greater than m squareV/sq m Hz. The spectral shape of the most intense events was generally flatter than that predicted by two-dimensional hydromagnetic cascading of energy, which argues that the source of this turbulence must be driving the plasma near these frequencies. This in turn suggests that the instability is in the low-energy plasma.

Maynard, N. C.↗

Parallel Performance Characterization of Columbia

Using a collection of benchmark problems of increasing levels of realism and computational effort, we will characterize the strengths and limitations of the 10,240 processor Columbia system to deliver supercomputing value to application scientists. Scientists need to be able to determine if and how they can utilize Columbia to carry extreme workloads, either in terms of ultra-large applications that cannot be run otherwise (capability), or in terms of very large ensembles of medium-scale applications to populate response matrices (capacity). We select existing application benchmarks that scale from a small number of processors to the entire machine, and that highlight different issues in running supercomputing-calss applicaions, such as the various types of memory access, file I/O, inter- and intra-node communications and parallelization paradigms. http://www.nas.nasa.gov/Software/NPB/

Biswas, Rupak↗