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At least 397 records · Page 22

Evaluation of the Rapid Refresh Numerical Weather Prediction Model over Arctic Alaska

Abstract Despite a need for accurate weather forecasts for societal and economic interests in the U.S. Arctic, thorough evaluations of operational numerical weather prediction in the region have been limited. In particular, the Rapid Refresh Model (RAP), which plays a key role in short-term forecasting and decision-making, has seen very limited assessment in northern Alaska, with most evaluation efforts focused on lower latitudes. In the present study, we verify forecasts from version 4 of the RAP against radiosonde, surface meteorological, and radiative flux observations from two Arctic sites on the northern Alaskan coastline, with a focus on boundary layer thermodynamic and dynamic biases, model representation of surface inversions, and cloud characteristics. We find persistent seasonal thermodynamic biases near the surface that vary with wind direction, and may be related to the RAP’s handling of sea ice and ocean interactions. These biases seem to have diminished in the latest version of the RAP (version 5), which includes refined handling of sea ice, among other improvements. In addition, we find that despite capturing boundary layer temperature profiles well overall, the RAP struggles to consistently represent strong, shallow surface inversions. Further, while the RAP seems to forecast the presence of clouds accurately in most cases, there are errors in the simulated characteristics of these clouds, which we hypothesize may be related to the RAP’s treatment of mixed-phase clouds.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Modal Testing of a Flexible Wing on a Dynamically Active Test Fixture Using Fixed Base Correction Method - IFASD 2019

In modal testing and finite element model correlation, analysts desire modal results using free-free or rigid boundary conditions to ease comparisons of test versus analytical data. It is often expensive both in cost and schedule to build and test with boundary conditions that replicate the free-free or rigid boundaries. Static test fixtures for load testing are often large, heavy, and unyielding, but do not provide adequate boundaries for modal tests because they are dynamically too flexible and often contain natural frequencies within the test article frequency range of interest. The dynamic coupling between the test article and test fixture complicates the model updating process because significant effort needs to be spent on modeling the test fixture and boundary conditions in addition to the test article. If the modal results could be corrected for fixture coupling, then setups used for other structural testing could be adequate for modal testing and would allow significant schedule and cost savings by eliminating a unique setup for only modal testing. To simplify future modal tests, this paper reports on a fixed base correction method that was investigated during modal testing of a full-scale, half-span, flexible wing cantilevered from a static test fixture. The results of this fixed base correction approach look very promising. The method aided in producing similar wing modal characteristics for two different physical boundary configurations of a dynamically active test fixture.

modal testing↗

Lineage-based functional types: characterising functional diversity to enhance the representation of ecological behaviour in Land Surface Models

Process-based vegetation models attempt to represent the wide range of trait variation in biomes by grouping ecologically similar species into plant functional types (PFTs). This approach has been successful in representing many aspects of plant physiology and biophysics but struggles to capture biogeographic history and ecological dynamics that determine biome boundaries and plant distributions. Grass-dominated ecosystems are broadly distributed across all vegetated continents and harbour large functional diversity, yet most Land Surface Models (LSMs) summarise grasses into two generic PFTs based primarily on differences between temperate C 3 grasses and (sub)tropical C 4 grasses. Incorporation of species-level trait variation is an active area of research to enhance the ecological realism of PFTs, which form the basis for vegetation processes and dynamics in LSMs. Using reported measurements, we developed grass functional trait values (physiological, structural, biochemical, anatomical, phenological, and disturbance-related) of dominant lineages to improve LSM representations. In this work, our method is fundamentally different from previous efforts, as it uses phylogenetic relatedness to create lineage-based functional types (LFTs), situated between species-level trait data and PFT-level abstractions, thus providing a realistic representation of functional diversity and opening the door to the development of new vegetation models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dynamic Catalysis Fundamentals: I. Fast calculation of limit cycles in dynamic catalysis

Dynamic catalysis—the forced oscillation of catalytic reaction coordinate potential energy surfaces (PES)—has recently emerged as a promising method for the acceleration of heterogeneously-catalyzed reactions. Theoretical study of enhancement of rates and supra-equilibrium product yield via dynamic catalysis has, to-date, been severely limited by onerous computational demands of forward integration of stiff, coupled ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that are necessary to quantitatively describe periodic cycling between PESs. Here, we establish a new approach that reduces, by ≳108×, the computational cost of finding the time-averaged rate at dynamic steady state (i.e. the limit cycle for linear and nonlinear systems of kinetic equations). Our developments are motivated by and conceived from physical and mathematical insight drawn from examination of a simple, didactic case study for which closed-form solutions of rate enhancement are derived in explicit terms of periods of oscillation and elementary step rate constants. Generalization of such closed-form solutions to more complex catalytic systems is achieved by introducing a periodic boundary condition requiring the dynamic steady state solution to have the same periodicity as the kinetic oscillations and solving the corresponding differential equations by linear algebra or Newton-Raphson-based approaches. The methodology is well-suited to extension to non-linear systems for which we detail the potential for multiple solutions or solutions with different periodicities. For linear and non-linear systems alike, the acute decrement in computational expense enables rapid optimization of oscillation waveforms and, consequently, accelerates understanding of the key catalyst properties that enable maximization of reaction rates, conversions, and selectivities during dynamic catalysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Prediction of axial-flow instabilities in a turbojet engine by use of a multistage compressor simulation on the digital computer

A method of estimating the undistorted stall line for an axial-flow compressor by using the digital computer is presented. The method involves linearization of nonlinear dynamic equations about an operating point on a speed line, and then application of the first method of Lyapunov to determine the stability of the nonlinear system from the stability of the linear system. The method is applied to a simulation of the J85 compressor, which utilizes stage stacking and lumped volume techniques for the interstage regions to simulate steady-state and dynamic compressor performance. The stability boundary predicted by the digital simulation compares quite well with the stall line predicted by a dynamic simulation of the J85 compressor programmed on the analog computer. Since previous studies have shown that the analog-predicted stall line agrees well with the stall line of the compressor, the digital method presented is also a good means of estimating the stall line.

Daniele, C. J.↗

Mixed convective-dynamic roll vortices and their effects on initial wind and temperature profiles

A new nonlinear 14-coefficient spectral model of two-dimensional shallow Boussinesq flow is developed and used to investigate the onset and development of both dynamically and convectively forced boundary-layer rolls. The model is developed to accept arbitrary basic-state wind profiles as dynamic forcing, using an Ekman profile to provide a means for easy comparison with other studies. The results are qualitatively compared with those of previous theoretical and observational investigations. The rolls are shown to significantly alter the initial wind profile in the sense found by Faller and Kaylor (1967) and Brown (1970), but via a mechanism independent of the Coriolis force.

Haack, Tracy↗

Assessing the Tundra-taiga Boundary with Multi-Sensor Satellite Data

Monitoring the dynamics of the circumpolar boreal forest (taiga) and Arctic tundra boundary is important for understanding the causes and consequences of changes observed in these areas. This ecotone, the world's largest, stretches for over 13,400 km and marks the transition between the northern limits of forests and the southern margin of the tundra. Because of the inaccessibility and large extent of this zone, remote sensing data can play an important role for mapping the characteristics and monitoring the dynamics. Basic understanding of the capabilities of existing space borne instruments for these purposes is required. In this study we examined the use of several remote sensing techniques for identifying the existing tundra- taiga ecotone. These include Landsat-7, MISR, MODIS and RADARSAT data. Historical cover maps, recent forest stand measurements and high-resolution IKONOS images were used for local ground truth. It was found that a tundra-taiga transitional area can be characterized using multi- spectral Landsat ETM+ summer images, multi-angle MISR red band reflectance images, RADARSAT images with larger incidence angle, or multi-temporal and multi-spectral MODIS data. Because of different resolutions and spectral regions covered, the transition zone maps derived from different data types were not identical, but the general patterns were consistent.

Ranson, K. J.↗

Impact of Assimilating AIRS Cloud-Cleared Radiances on Atmospheric Dynamics and Polar Low Representation at High Latitudes

This study explores the sensitivity of planetary boundary layer height and related atmospheric dynamics to the assimilation of cloud-cleared AIRS (Atmospheric Infrared Sounder) radiances in the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS, version 5) data assimilation and forecast system during the boreal fall 2014 season using observing system experiments (OSEs). Examined here are comparisons between the current, operational approach of assimilating AIRS clear-sky radiances against the assimilation of cloud-cleared radiances (CCR). In polar regions, assimilation of AIRS CCRs is particularly beneficial because of the sparsity of conventional observations and the prevalence of extended low-level stratus cloud cover, which limit the ingestion of clear-sky data. Assimilation of hyperspectral infrared information from AIRS over the Arctic region slightly modifies the lower midtropospheric temperature structure, which in turn contributes to adjustments in geopotential height, affecting the baroclinic instability properties over the entire hemisphere and explaining the overall improvement in global forecast skill. In addition, it is shown that the assimilation of CCRs benefits the representation of convectively-driven small-scale cyclones at high latitudes in the same way as previously noted for tropical cyclones. Specifically, assimilation of CCRs create a temperature dipole over the top of meteorologically active and strongly convective systems such as polar, arctic, and antarctic lows, which helps constrain the analyzed representation of their scale and vertical structure.

Mcgrath-Spangler, E. L.↗

Embedded cavity drag in steady and unsteady flows

The numerical solution of the laminar boundary-layer flow over an embedded cavity is studied. The purpose is to examine the relevant drag characteristics of laminar cavity flow. The solution field is obtained in terms of velocity and vorticity variables, with the stream function and pressure derivable from the directly computed variables. An analysis and comparison is made among four square cavities, ranging in size from 0.25 to 1.00 boundary-layer thicknesses deep. The dominant flow features are examined in the vicinity of the cavity by means of the stream function and iso-vorticity contours. The dominant physics in the overall drag characteristics of the flow is examined by an analysis of the pressure and wall shear stress distributions in the cavity, and upstream and downstream of the cavity. Pressure forces and frictional forces in, and in the vicinity of, the cavity are determined. Stress relaxation distances, both upstream and downstream of the cavity, are calculated and analyzed. The flow dynamics of the boundary-layer flow over an embedded cavity is summarized. Finally, the relevance of the results to the control of flow separation in such flows is discussed.

Gatski, T. B.↗

Embedded cavity drag in steady and unsteady flows

The numerical solution of the laminar boundary-layer flow over an embedded cavity is studied. The purpose of the study is to examine the relevant drag characteristics of laminar cavity flow. The solution field is obtained in terms of velocity and vorticity variables, with the stream function and pressure derivable from the directly computed variables. An analysis and comparison is made among four square cavities, ranging in size from 0.25 to 1.00 boundary-layer thicknesses deep. The dominant flow features are examined in the vicinity of the cavity by means of the stream function and iso-vorticity contours. The dominant physics in the overall drag characteristics of the flow is examined by an analysis of the pressure and wall shear stress distributions in the cavity, and upstream and downstream of the cavity. Pressure forces and frictional forces in, and in the vicinity of, the cavity are determined. Stress relaxation distances, both upstream and downstream of the cavity, are calculated and analyzed. The flow dynamics of the boundary-layer flow over an embedded cavity is summarized. Finally, the relevance of the present results to the control of flow separation in such flows is discussed.

Gatski, T. B.↗

Modeling the Extended Neutral Atmosphere and Plasma Environment near Saturn

In the three years of this study we have published five papers in refereed journals. We have first examined satellite sources and their contribution to the observed neutral cloud. Based on the total calculated satellite sources and the spatial distribution of sputtered H20, we concluded that they cannot produce observed OH cloud. The E-ring contribution has been also studied in detail.In order to produce observed OH cloud we suggested that the E-ring might be the dominant source in inner Saturnian magnetosphere. We proposed a possible resupply mechanism which is needed to keep both E-ring and OH cloud in the present state: collisions between E-ring grains and remains of a disrupted satellite near Enceladus Lagrangian points. In this scenario a large amount of material, ranging from a few micrometers to hundred of meters, which is optically invisible at present, is likely to exist there. The fourth paper compares the magnetosheaths of the outer planets. A surprising result is that the hot proton component comprises about 40% of the total density, much larger than predicted by shock theory. Gas dynamic models of the boundaries show that the magnetospheres of Jupiter and Saturn are flattened at the poles. The last paper was published in GRL and is the first based of the model of neutrals developed as a main goal of this grant and which is now operational.This Monte Carlo collision code self- consistently determines the neutral distribution. from the rings and satellites until they are lost by ionization, by collisions with rings, moons, or Saturn, or by escape from Saturn. Our model is unique in that it includes the effects of plasma chemistry and both plasma-neutral and neutral neutral collisions to determine the dynamical evolution of the water group neutrals in Saturn's magnetosphere. The lifetimes of the neutrals against loss to photoionization, charge exchange, electron dissociation and electron impact dissociation are based on the model given by (Richardson et al. 1998) and vary with position in the magnetosphere. The dominant neutral dissociation channels H20->OH+H, H20-> O+H2, and OH->O+H2 are considered.

Richardson, John D.↗

Helfrich-Hurault elastic instabilities driven by geometrical frustration

Here, the Helfrich-Hurault (HH) elastic instability is a well-known mechanism behind patterns that form as a result of strain upon liquid crystal systems with periodic ground states. In the HH model, layered structures undulate and buckle in response to local, geometric incompatibilities in order to maintain the preferred layer spacing. Classic HH systems include cholesteric liquid crystals under electromagnetic field distortions and smectic liquid crystals under mechanical strains, where both materials are confined between rigid substrates. However, richer phenomena are observed when undulation instabilities occur in the presence of deformable interfaces and variable boundary conditions. Understanding how the HH instability is affected by deformable surfaces is imperative for applying the instability to a broader range of materials. In this review, the HH mechanism is reexamined and special focus is given to how the boundary conditions influence the response of lamellar systems to geometrical frustration. Lamellar liquid crystals confined within a spherical shell geometry are used as the model system. Made possible by the relatively recent advances in microfluidics within the past 15 years, liquid crystal shells are composed entirely of fluid interfaces and have boundary conditions that can be dynamically controlled at will. Past and recent work that exemplifies how topological constraints, molecular anchoring conditions, and boundary curvature can trigger the HH mechanism in liquid crystals with periodic ground states is examined. The review ends by identifying similar phenomena across a wide variety of materials, both biological and synthetic. The fact that the HH mechanism is a generic and often overlooked response of periodic materials to geometrical frustration is highlighted.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Turbulence and Control of Wind Farms

The dynamics of the turbulent atmospheric boundary layer play a fundamental role in wind farm energy production, governing the velocity field that enters the farm as well as the turbulent mixing that regenerates energy for extraction at downstream rows. Understanding the dynamic interactions among turbines, wind farms, and the atmospheric boundary layer can therefore be beneficial in improving the efficiency of wind farm control approaches. Anticipated increases in the sizes of new wind farms to meet renewable energy targets will increase the importance of exploiting this understanding to advance wind farm control capabilities. This review discusses approaches for modeling and estimation of the wind farm flow field that have exploited such knowledge in closed-loop control, to varying degrees. We focus on power tracking as an example application that will be of critical importance as wind farms transition into their anticipated role as major suppliers of electricity. The discussion highlights the benefits of including the dynamics of the flow field in control and points to critical shortcomings of the current approaches.

Automation & Control Systems↗

Analysis of Flowfields over Four-Engine DC-X Rockets

The objective of this study is to validate a computational methodology for the aerodynamic performance of an advanced conical launch vehicle configuration. The computational methodology is based on a three-dimensional, viscous flow, pressure-based computational fluid dynamics formulation. Both wind-tunnel and ascent flight-test data are used for validation. Emphasis is placed on multiple-engine power-on effects. Computational characterization of the base drag in the critical subsonic regime is the focus of the validation effort; until recently, almost no multiple-engine data existed for a conical launch vehicle configuration. Parametric studies using high-order difference schemes are performed for the cold-flow tests, whereas grid studies are conducted for the flight tests. The computed vehicle axial force coefficients, forebody, aftbody, and base surface pressures compare favorably with those of tests. The results demonstrate that with adequate grid density and proper distribution, a high-order difference scheme, finite rate afterburning kinetics to model the plume chemistry, and a suitable turbulence model to describe separated flows, plume/air mixing, and boundary layers, computational fluid dynamics is a tool that can be used to predict the low-speed aerodynamic performance for rocket design and operations.

Wang, Ten-See↗

Vibration Response Predictions for Heavy Panel Mounted Components from Panel Acreage Environment Specifications

The development of new launch vehicles in the Aerospace industry often relies on response measurements taken from previously developed vehicles during various stages of liftoff and ascent, and from wind tunnel models. These measurements include sound pressure levels, dynamic pressures in turbulent boundary layers and accelerations. Rigorous statistical scaling methods are applied to the data to derive new environments and estimate the performance of new skin panel structures. Scaling methods have proven to be reliable, particularly for designs similar to the vehicles used as the basis for scaling, and especially in regions of smooth acreage without exterior protuberances or heavy components mounted to the panel. To account for response attenuation of a panel-mounted component due to its apparent mass at higher frequencies, the vibroacoustics engineer often reduces the acreage vibration according to a weight ratio first suggested by Barrett. The accuracy of the reduction is reduced with increased weight of the panel-mounted component, and does not account for low-frequency amplification of the component/panel response as a system. A method is proposed that combines acreage vibration from scaling methods with finite element analysis to account for the frequency-dependent dynamics of heavy panel-mounted components. Since the acreage and mass-loaded skins respond to the same dynamic input pressure, such pressure may be eliminated in favor of a frequency-dependent scaling function applied to the acreage vibration to predict the mass-loaded panel response. The scaling function replaces the Barrett weight ratio, and contains all of the dynamic character of the loaded and unloaded skin panels. The solution simplifies for spatially uncorrelated and fully correlated input pressures. Since the prediction uses finite element models of the loaded and unloaded skins, a rich suite of response data are available to the design engineer, including interface forces, stress and strain, as well as acceleration and displacement. An extension of the method is also developed to incorporate the effect of a local protuberance near a heavy component. Acreage environments from traditional scaling methods with and without protuberance effects serve as the basis for the extension. Authors:

Harrison, Phillip↗

The effect of latent heat release on synoptic-to-planetary wave interactions and its implication for satellite observations: Theoretical modeling

The project objectives are to develop process models to investigate the interaction of planetary and synoptic-scale waves including the effects of latent heat release (precipitation), nonlinear dynamics, physical and boundary-layer processes, and large-scale topography; to determine the importance of latent heat release for temporal variability and time-mean behavior of planetary and synoptic-scale waves; to compare the model results with available observations of planetary and synoptic wave variability; and to assess the implications of the results for monitoring precipitation in oceanic-storm tracks by satellite observing systems. Researchers have utilized two different models for this project: a two-level quasi-geostrophic model to study intraseasonal variability, anomalous circulations and the seasonal cycle, and a 10-level, multi-wave primitive equation model to validate the two-level Q-G model and examine effects of convection, surface processes, and spherical geometry. It explicitly resolves several planetary and synoptic waves and includes specific humidity (as a predicted variable), moist convection, and large-scale precipitation. In the past year researchers have concentrated on experiments with the multi-level primitive equation model. The dynamical part of that model is similar to the spectral model used by the National Meteorological Center for medium-range forecasts. The model includes parameterizations of large-scale condensation and moist convection. To test the validity of results regarding the influence of convective precipitation, researchers can use either one of two different convective schemes in the model, a Kuo convective scheme or a modified Arakawa-Schubert scheme which includes downdrafts. By choosing one or the other scheme, they can evaluate the impact of the convective parameterization on the circulation. In the past year researchers performed a variety of initial-value experiments with the primitive-equation model. Using initial conditions typical of climatological winter conditions, they examined the behavior of synoptic and planetary waves growing in moist and dry environments. Surface conditions were representative of a zonally averaged ocean. They found that moist convection associated with baroclinic wave development was confined to the subtropics.

Branscome, Lee E.↗

A Numerical Modeling Framework for Flocculation and Cohesive Sediment Transport in the Wave Bottom Boundary Layer

Flocculation, a critical process in coastal and estuarine systems, plays a significant role in sediment transport, nutrient cycling, and ecological health. This study develops a cohesive sediment transport modeling framework tailored to the wave bottom boundary layer under dilute and equilibrium conditions, explicitly incorporating flocculation effects via a Population Balance Equation (PBE). Using Direct Numerical Simulation, six baseline cases, each with a distinct sediment concentration profile resulting from a constant settling velocity and critical erosion shear stress, are generated to drive the PBE flocculation model for given floc yield strength and stickiness. Results reveal that flocculation significantly influences sediment concentration profiles promoting three distinct stages, well‐mixed, transition to lutocline, and well‐developed lutocline. At low concentrations with well‐mixed profiles, cohesive floc properties are less significant, and turbulence is a main flocculation driver. In contrast, as concentration increases, cohesive floc properties become crucial, facilitating lutocline formation. Here, the analysis also highlights limitations of depth‐averaged settling velocity as a parameterization. It is suitable for well‐mixed and transitional profiles but fails in well‐developed lutoclines, where empirical formulations that explicitly incorporate turbulent shear rate and sediment concentration better capture variability. This study underscores the necessity of incorporating flocculation effects into sediment transport models to enhance predictions of sediment dynamics in wave bottom boundary layers.

Penaloza‐Giraldo, Jorge A. [Oak Ridge National Lab↗

Application of Koopman operator for model-based control of fracture propagation and proppant transport in hydraulic fracturing operation

This work explores the application of the recently developed Koopman operator approach for model identification and feedback control of a hydraulic fracturing process. Controlling fracture propagation and proppant transport with precision is a challenge due in large part to the difficulty of constructing approximate models that accurately capture the characteristic moving boundary and highly-coupled dynamics exhibited by the process. Koopman operator theory is particularly attractive here as it offers a way to explicitly construct linear representations for even highly nonlinear dynamics. The method is data-driven and relies on lifting the states to an infinite-dimensional space of functions called observables where the dynamics are governed by a linear Koopman operator. Here this work considers two problems: (a) fracture geometry control, and (b) proppant concentration control. In both cases, an approximate linear model of the corresponding dynamics is constructed and used to design a model predictive controller (MPC). The manuscript shows that in the case of highly nonlinear dynamics, as observed in the proppant concentration, use of canonical functions in the observable basis fails. In such cases, a priori system knowledge can be leveraged to choose the required basis. The numerical experiments demonstrate that the Koopman linear model shows excellent agreement with the real system and successfully achieves the desired target values maximizing the oil and gas productivity. Additionally, due to its linear structure, the Koopman models allow convex MPC formulations that avoid any issues associated with nonlinear optimization.

42 ENGINEERING↗