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NASA NTRS2020

Global Declines in Human-Driven Mangrove Loss

Global mangrove loss has been attributed primarily to human activity. Anthropogenic loss hotspots across Southeast Asia and around the world have characterized the ecosystem as highly threatened, though natural processes such as erosion can also play a significant role in forest vulnerability. However, the extent of human and natural threats has not been fully quantified at the global scale. Here, using a Random Forest-based analysis of over one million Landsat images, we present the first 30-meter resolution global maps of the drivers of mangrove loss from 2000-2016, capturing both human-driven and natural stressors. We estimate that 62% of global losses between 2000-2016 resulted from land-use change, primarily through conversion to aquaculture and agriculture. Up to 80% of these human-driven losses occurred within six Southeast Asian nations, reflecting the regional emphasis on enhancing aquaculture for export to support economic development. Both anthropogenic and natural losses declined between 2000-2016, though slower declines in natural loss caused an increase in their relative contribution to total global loss area. We attribute the decline in anthropogenic losses to the regionally-dependent combination of increased emphasis on conservation efforts and a lack of remaining mangroves viable for conversion. While efforts to restore and protect mangroves appear to be effective over decadal time scales, the emergence of natural drivers of loss presents an immediate challenge for coastal adaptation. We anticipate that our results will inform decision making within conservation and restoration initiatives by providing a locally-relevant understanding of the causes of mangrove loss.

Coastal wetlands↗

NASA NTRS2020

Mark Twain National Forest Ecological Forecasting - Utilizing NASA Earth Observations to Classify Ground Cover Types in the Mark Twain National Forest

The Mark Twain National Forest (MTNF) encompasses 1.5 million acres of public land in the Ozarks region of southeastern Missouri. The industrial boom between the 1880s and 1920s had devastating effects on the shortleaf pine (Pinus echinata),Missouri’s only native pine species. The combination of fire suppression on this fire-dependent species and timber harvest of mature pine stands inhibited the development of pine seedlings and promoted the establishment of hardwood stands. Partners at the US Forest Service’s MTNF are currently involved in restoration efforts in two ranger districts, which includes removing invasive eastern red cedar (Juniperus virginiana) and prescribed burning. To expand spatial coverage for the MTNF beyond in situ observation sites, the NASA DEVELOP team analyzed land cover change from 1986 through 2019 and forecasted changes based on a ‘business-as-usual' scenario out to 2040. The team incorporated remotely sensed data from Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM) and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) into the random trees supervised classification tool in ArcGIS Pro. This tool spectrally separated pixels into five distinct land cover classes and produced classifications for 1986 and 2019, with kappa statistics of 0.87 and 0.81, respectively. Overall, there was a net decrease in conifer and meadow land cover between 1986 and 2019 along with a net increase in water, developed, and deciduous land cover. The team used TerrSet’s Land Change Modeler to forecast land cover through 2040. Results showed an increase in coniferous land cover and a decrease in deciduous cover, indicating a high probability that current restoration efforts will produce the intended effect.

Kaitlyn Bretz↗

NASA NTRS2020

Mark Twain National Forest Ecological Forecasting: Utilizing NASA Earth Observations to Classify Ground Cover Types in the Mark Twain National Forest

DEVELOP Tech Paper↗

NASA NTRS2021

Colorado Front Range Disasters: Understanding the Impact of Forest Management on the Cameron Peak and CalWood Fire

Along the Colorado Front Range, forest management has gained significant attention due to uncharacteristically large fires that burned late in 2020. The Cameron Peak Fire (largest in Colorado recorded history) and the CalWood Fire collectively burned an estimated 219,019 acres from August through December of 2020. Project partners at the Coalition for the Poudre River Watershed, Colorado State Forest Service, Ben Delatour Scout Ranch, The Nature Conservancy, Colorado Forest Restoration Institute, and Colorado State University were interested in understanding the effectiveness of previous forest treatments in reducing burn severity within the Cameron Peak Fire and the CalWood Fire. We first collated a forest treatment dataset from pre-existing datasets by reclassifying over 29,000 treatments, which occurred across the Northern Colorado Front Range between 1970-2020. Secondly, we mapped three burn severity indices using Landsat 8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI Earth observations and compared them to soil burn severity field data. Thirdly, a total of 35 topographic, disturbance, forest structure, and treatment predictor variables were generated across the fires. Finally, we assessed relationships between these predictor variables and burn severity using the random forest algorithm. Model results indicate that the primary drivers of burn severity were elevation and distance to treatment edge for the Cameron Peak Fire and fire area and forest canopy cover for the CalWood Fire. Further analysis of these variables paired with field data is necessary to understand the relationship between burn severity and treatments to guide future restoration efforts, improve forest resiliency, and mitigate fire risks.

Neal Swayze↗

NASA NTRS2021

Louisiana Water Resources: Using NASA Earth Observations to Monitor Historical Changes in the Extension of Seagrass Meadows in the Breton National Wildlife Refuge in Louisiana

The barrier islands of Louisiana’s Breton National Wildlife Refuge (BNWR) are disappearing due to sea level rise, extreme hurricanes, sediment starvation, and the Deepwater Horizon oil spill. This decline in land area has damaged important bird habitat and reduced the islands’ ability to protect coastal Louisiana from storm surges. The persistence of the islands is synergetic to that of the surrounding seagrass beds; seagrass binds together land, protecting the islands from erosion, and the loss of land exposes the seagrass and accelerates its decline. Furthermore, seagrass is independently important, absorbing excess nutrients and providing habitat for marine ecosystems. Here we present the Tool for Coastal Remote Ecological Observations in Louisiana (Tool CREOL), a Google Earth Engine Tool built to easily access data from Landsat 5 TM, Landsat 7 ETM+, Landsat 8 OLI, and Aqua and Terra MODIS. We show, using time series and maps generated using the tool, how land area and seagrass have responded to destructive events from the past 36 years (1984-2021). In only 7 years, Hurricane Georges (1998), Ivan (2004), and Katrina (2005) reduced land area by approximately 85%, accompanied by a major decline in seagrass extent. Tool CREOL will have strategic utility in planning upcoming restoration and revegetation efforts planned by Louisiana’s Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority in the Breton National Wildlife Refuge and will provide up-to-date monitoring of the results of that project. The tool serves as a basic model which can be adapted to study similar coastal regions in the world.

Mariam Moeen↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Tool CREOL: Using Earth Observations to Monitor Ecosystem Health for the Preservation of Coastal Louisiana

Submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) in Louisiana’s Breton National Wildlife Refuge (BNWR) has been steadily declining due to anthropogenic and climate induced changes, contributing to the degradation of the barrier island system. In the Chandeleur Islands region, events such as Hurricane Katrina and the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill have reduced the barrier islands’ ability to control storm surge and have decreased seagrass extent. Seagrasses promote aquatic biodiversity, absorb excess nutrients, and reduce the rate of shoreline erosion by trapping suspended sediment. The tool for Coastal Remote Ecological Observations in Louisiana (Tool CREOL), a novel GUI, was developed using Google Earth Engine to assess historical changes to and present conditions of the Chandeleur Islands’ land cover, water quality, and seagrass extent. Developed in collaboration with the Louisiana Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority and the Louisiana Department of Natural Resources, the tool uses Earth observations acquired from NASA’s Landsat 5 TM, Landsat 7 ETM+ and Landsat 8 OLI to analyze land cover, turbidity, chlorophyll-a, and seagrass extent from 1984 to today. Tool CREOL enables continuous monitoring of the Chandeleur Islands and will aid in the identification of ideal areas for island restoration and seagrass revegetation.

Taryn Waite↗

NASA NTRS2021

The Mean Seasonal Cycle in Relative Sea Level From Satellite Altimetry and Gravimetry

Satellite altimetry and gravimetry are used to determine the mean seasonal cycle in relative sea level, a quantity relevant to coastal flooding and related applications. The main harmonics (annual, semiannual, terannual) are estimated from 25 years of gridded altimetry, while several conventional altimeter “corrections” (gravitational tide, pole tide, and inverted barometer) are restored. To transform from absolute to relative sea levels, a model of vertical land motion is developed from a high-resolution seasonal mass inversion estimated from satellite gravimetry. An adjustment for annual geocenter motion accounts for use of a center-of-mass reference frame in satellite orbit determination. A set of 544 test tide gauges, from which seasonal harmonics have been estimated from hourly measurements, is used to assess how accurately each adjustment to the altimeter data helps converge the results to true relative sea levels. At these gauges, the median annual and semiannual amplitudes are 7.1 cm and 2.2 cm, respectively. The root-mean-square differences with altimetry are 3.24 and 1.17 cm, respectively, which are reduced to 1.93 and 0.86 cm after restoration of corrections and adjustment for land motion. Example outliers highlight some limitations of present-day coastal altimetry owing to inadequate spatial resolution: upwelling and currents off Oregon and wave setup at Minamitori Island.

Richard D Ray↗

NASA NTRS2022

Grand Valley Ecological Forecasting : Assessing Trends in Pinyon-Juniper Habitat Relative to Drought, Beetle Infestation, Wildland Fires, and Treatment to Plan Future Management Strategies

Drought, beetle infestation, and more frequent wildfires are changing the composition and distribution of the pinyon-juniper woodland and sagebrush ecosystems of the Grand Valley in western Colorado. Land managers must consider short- and long-term goals for restoration as well as budgetary and personnel limitations after such disturbances. Satellite remote sensing can provide long-term and continuous vegetation monitoring to assess where restoration is needed most and where treatment practices are most likely to succeed. Harnessing Earth observation data, our team set out to observe trends in disturbances and the distribution of pinyon-juniper woodlands and sagebrush communities of National Park Service (NPS) and Bureau of Land Management (BLM) lands within the Grand Valley. We used imagery from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aboard the Aqua and Terra satellites, and Landsat sensors to map landcover change within these ecosystems from 1984-2021. Additionally, we analyzed disturbed areas and treatment sites to understand their effect on long-term vegetation health and recovery. Results showed that pinyon-juniper woodland has expanded in extent more than other landcover types, indicating woody encroachment into sagebrush ecosystems. We also found that wildfire disturbances had lasting impacts up to 20 years post-disturbance. Pre-fire treatment practices showed mixed results regarding their effectiveness at stopping fires and promoting post-fire recovery. These results will provide context to public land managers in the Grand Valley when developing management plans, ecological monitoring locations, and implementing treatment practices for future disturbances.

Garrett Powers↗

NASA NTRS2022

Interim Measure Report Revision 0: Un-Numbered Operational Areas PRL 229

This report documents the Interim Measure (IM) completed at Un-Numbered Operational Areas (UNOA) potential release location (PRL) 229, at Kennedy Space Center (KSC), Florida. This document has been prepared for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), in accordance with HydroGeoLogic, Inc.’s (HGL) Contract 80KSC019D0012, Task Order 80KSC019F0224. The purpose of this IM report is to document the field results of the 2022 IM conducted between December 13, 2021, and February 11, 2022, and to present the recommendations based on the IM findings. IM activities were completed at the UNOA PRL 229 to remove railroad ties and benzo(a)pyrene equivalent (BAPE)/total recoverable petroleum hydrocarbons (TRPH)-affected soil in accordance with the IM Work Plan (IMWP) (Jacobs/CORE, 2019a). The objectives of the IM were to mitigate human health risks by reducing site contaminants to the residential soil cleanup target level (SCTL) based on the 95 percent upper confidence limit on the mean. A second objective was to reduce low molecular weight and high molecular weight polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) concentrations below ecological screening values for terrestrial receptors. Prior to excavation operations, railroad ties from all areas were consolidated. In total, 50.67 tons of railroad ties were transported from the site to JED Landfill in St. Cloud, Florida. The cumulative excavation footprint spanned an area of 9,710 square ft. In total, 908.54 tons of soil was transported from the site to JED Landfill. To backfill the excavation area, 880 cubic yards of clean fill was trucked to the site from S&LMaterials, Inc. borrow pit in Christmas, Florida. Following completion of backfill, the site restoration activities included grading the disturbed areas to match the existing elevations and vegetation planting by the site restoration subcontractor. The IM implementation activities were presented to the KSC Remediation Team during its meeting on May 3, 2022. The Remediation Team reached consensus on the completion of the IM reducing the area affected by BAPE/TRPH above the State of Florida residential soil cleanup target levels.

PAHs↗

NASA NTRS2022

Soil Carbon Losses Reduce Soil Moisture in Global Climate Model Simulations

Most agricultural soils have experienced substantial soil organic carbon losses in time. These losses motivate recent calls to restore organic carbon in agricultural lands to improve biogeochemical cycling and for climate change mitigation. Declines in organic carbon also reduce soil infiltration and water holding capacity, which may have important effects on regional hydrology and climate. To explore the regional hydroclimate impacts of soil organic carbon changes, we conduct new global climate model experiments with NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE that include spatially explicit soil organic carbon concentrations associated with different human land management scenarios. Compared to a “no land use” case, a year 2010 soil degradation scenario, in which organic carbon content (OCC; weight %) is reduced by a factor of ∼0.12 on average across agricultural soils, resulted in soil moisture losses between 0.5 and 1 temporal standard deviations over eastern Asia, northern Europe, and the eastern United States. In a more extreme idealized scenario where OCC is reduced uniformly by 0.66 across agricultural soils, soil moisture losses exceed one standard deviation in both hemispheres. Within the model, these soil moisture declines occur primarily due to reductions in porosity (and to a lesser extent infiltration) that overall soil water holding capacity. These results demonstrate that changes in soil organic carbon can have meaningful, large-scale effects on regional hydroclimate and should be considered in climate model evaluations and developments. Further, this also suggests that soil restoration efforts targeting the carbon cycle are likely to have additional benefits for improving drought resilience.

Atmosphere-land interaction↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Feasibility Study to Interactive Workshop: Building End-user Capacity to Integrate Earth Observation Data into Federally Endangered Atlantic Salmon (Salmo salar) Habitat Monitoring in Main

Changes in temperature and precipitation patterns, along with alterations in land cover threaten ongoing conservation efforts for Federally Endangered Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) in Maine. Earth observation data offers a unique perspective for habitat monitoring that can complement habitat restoration and conservation activity on the ground. As a dual capacity building program, the NASA DEVELOP National Program strives to build the capacity of program participants by leveraging Earth observation data to address environmental concerns across the globe, while also building capacity in partner organizations to integrate Earth observation data into their decision making practices. Between September 2021 and August 2022, three NASA DEVELOP teams demonstrated the feasibility of utilizing NASA Earth observations including Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Terra MODIS, Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM), Landsat 8 Operation Land Imager (OLI), and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) in conjunction with Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) to assess temperature, precipitation, and land use land cover (LULC) over time throughout salmon habitat in Maine. While the first two teams completed projects that were categorized as NASA DEVELOP’s traditional feasibility projects, the third and final project team generated resources and planned an interactive workshop to transfer project methods to end-user organizations. Ultimately, the goal of this work was to not only inform the partner’s ongoing salmon population recovery and habitat restoration initiatives but provide tools that allow partner organizations to continue integrating Earth observation data into their work beyond their partnership with the program. This project serves as a case study within the NASA DEVELOP Program and provides lessons learned for moving beyond traditional feasibility studies to more interactive partner engagement and knowledge transfer practices.

Nicole Ramberg-Pihl↗

NASA NTRS2022

Keweenaw Bay Water Resources: Turbidity Data Decision Support for Shoreline Assessment and Management in Lake Superior'S Keweenaw Bay

The Keweenaw Bay Indian Community (KBIC) has shoreline along the south of Lake Superior that is contaminated with copper stamp sands from legacy mining. The stamp sands have been capped with sandy-loam soils and restored native species, but erosion and flooding threaten to re-deposit these stamp sands onto wetlands and into the bay. Erosion and flooding also threaten loss of beaches and shoreline, infrastructure, wetland restoration projects, and coastal highways, which has driven shoreline armoring. However, while shoreline armoring can be effective in protecting the intended areas, it can also exacerbate erosion in nearby unarmored areas, so its net impact on the shoreline is yet to be quantified. The DEVELOP team partnered with KBIC and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to utilize imagery from Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI) in order to analyze turbidity proxies. The results from these analyses showed that seasonal variation in study area was greatest during the season dominated by rain, but spatial variability across our study period did not show a clear trend. These results will be used to better inform future shoreline management efforts and support resilience in the face of more coastal erosion.

remote sensing↗

NASA NTRS2023

Sub-Continental-Scale Carbon Stocks of Individual Trees in African Drylands

The distribution of dryland trees and their density, cover, size, mass and carbon content are not well known at sub-continental to continental scales. This information is important for ecological protection, carbon accounting, climate mitigation and restoration efforts of dryland ecosystems. We assessed more than 9.9 billion trees derived from more than 300,000 satellite images, covering semi-arid sub-Saharan Africa north of the Equator. We attributed wood, foliage and root carbon to every tree in the 0–1,000 mm year −1 rainfall zone by coupling field data, machine learning, satellite data and high-performance computing. Average carbon stocks of individual trees ranged from 0.54 Mg C ha −1 and 63 kg C tree −1 in the arid zone to 3.7 Mg C ha −1 and 98 kg tree −1 in the sub-humid zone. Overall, we estimated the total carbon for our study area to be 0.84 (±19.8%) Pg C. Comparisons with 14 previous TRENDY numerical simulation studies23 for our area found that the density and carbon stocks of scattered trees have been underestimated by three models and overestimated by 11 models, respectively. This benchmarking can help understand the carbon cycle and address concerns about land degradation. We make available a linked database of wood mass, foliage mass, root mass and carbon stock of each tree for scientists, policymakers, dryland-restoration practitioners and farmers, who can use it to estimate farmland tree carbon stocks from tablets or laptops.

Compton Tucker↗

NASA NTRS2023

Decommissioning of Air Sparge System at Vertical Processing Facility, Solid Waste Management Unit 077 Implementation Report

This document discusses the decommissioning of the air sparge (AS) system at the Vertical Processing Facility (VPF), Solid Waste Management Unit 077 at Kennedy Space Center, Florida completed between January 30, 2023, and February 8, 2023. A 2005 Resource Conservation and Recovery Act Facility Investigation identified chlorinated volatile organic compound impacts at the site. Following assessment activities, an AS system was in operation intermittently from April 2012 through October 2017, when the system was permanently shutdown due to equipment failure. Trichloroethene and vinyl chloride remained above their groundwater cleanup target levels in several monitoring wells and the site was moved into the Industrial Area Long Term Monitoring Program. VPF continues to be sampled biennially; the most recent event was May 2022. Successful implementation of this decommissioning project will reduce the risk of accidental AS and soil vapor extraction well damage and will lower operating costs associated with maintaining obsolete AS systems. Decommissioning the AS system at VPF included vegetation clearing to access AS wells and associated piping, abandonment of all on site AS wells, temporary electrical outage, and site restoration. At the completion of demobilization and site restoration activities, the site was returned to its original or better than original condition.

Jason J Bublitz↗

NASA NTRS2024

Soil Interim Measures Implementation Report Q6 Radar Station – Solid Waste Management Unit 112 Locations of Concern 3 and 10 Kennedy Space Center, Florida

This report presents a summary of the soil interim measures (IM) implementation activities that occurred from January 23 through June 6, 2023, at the Q6 Radar Station (Q6RS) Solid Waste Management Unit (SWMU) 112, located at the John F. Kennedy Space Center (KSC), Florida. The site is monitored under KSC’s Resource Conservation and Recovery Act Corrective Action Program, which also meets the requirements of Chapter 62-780, Florida Administrative Code. Assessment activities have previously been performed at 10 Q6RS Locations of Concern (LOCs), identified during a SWMU assessment in 2013 (NASA 2013). Since the SWMU assessment, further confirmatory sampling and assessment was conducted for each LOC, and based on the data collected during these assessments, it was determined that Resource Conservation and Recovery Act Facility Investigation to further evaluate soil and groundwater was to be conducted at two LOCs: LOC 1 – Former Underground Storage Tanks (groundwater) and LOC 3 – Radar Antenna Refurbishment Area (soil). The LOC 1 groundwater assessment is ongoing, and the results will be presented under a separate cover. It was also determined that soil IM would be completed at two of the LOCs, LOC 3 and LOC 10 – Compressor Building Condensate Discharge. A Soil IM Work Plan was prepared and submitted in October 2021 (NASA 2021). The plan proposed excavation and disposal of barium and copper impacted soil in the LOC 3 and 10 areas. This report presents a summary and results of the soil IM implementation activities conducted at LOCs 3 and 10. The site contaminates of concern for this soil IM are barium and copper. The activities presented in this report includes soil IM implementation and groundwater sampling. From January 23 through March 24, 2023, AECOM Technical Services, Inc. (AECOM) field personnel conducted IM implementation activities in the LOC 3 and 10 areas. As presented in the IM Work Plan, shallow soils, impacted with metals, were excavated to a depth of 2 feet below land surface in the central area of the site around the radar antenna and associated equipment. AECOM personnel excavated 77.43 tons of soil using hand tools and, when able, heavy equipment. The soils were placed into lined roll-off containers, which were covered and transported under manifest to the Cedar Trail Landfill in Bartow, Florida. The site was restored to original condition using certified clean backfill material (sand), with filter fabric, and gravel. Areas outside of the excavation were restored with grass seed. On June 6, 2023, AECOM field personnel conducted groundwater sampling activities within the soil IM excavation area. AECOM personnel collected one groundwater sample from monitoring well Q6RS-MW0003. The sample was submitted to a fixed-based laboratory for analysis by United States Environmental Protection Agency Method 6020B for metals (barium and copper). Barium and copper were detected at 18 micrograms per liter (µg/L) and 14 µg/L, respectively, and were below the State of Florida Groundwater Cleanup Target Levels (GCTLs) for barium at 2,000 µg/L and copper at 1,000 µg/L.

Chadwick Sloan Lee↗

NASA NTRS2024

A Decade of Salt Marsh Elevation Change in New York City’s Coastal Urban Parks

Coastal salt marshes of the eastern United States are particularly vulnerable to accelerated sea level rise, and urban marshes are at greater risk of erosion, inundation, and conversion to mudflat if left unmanaged. To guide New York City (NYC) salt marsh restoration strategies, NYC Parks collected up to 10 years of salt marsh elevation change data through 2020 at six salt marsh sites using the Surface Elevation Table-Marker Horizon (SET-MH) method, conducted a salt marsh trends analysis to determine shoreline change from 1974 to 2012, and conducted a salt marsh conditions assessment. We found that the citywide average surface elevation trend of 3.31 mm yr −1 was not significantly different from the 30-year (1990–2020) Relative Sea Level Rise of 4.23 mm yr −1 at The Battery, NY, tide station, probably due to high variability across and within sites. We also found that accretion rates differed across sites and watersheds, and sites situated lower in the tidal zone had higher accretion rates. Notably, Jamaica Bay’s Idlewild salt marsh, long suspected of being sediment-starved and ranking lowest in our conditions assessment, had the highest accretion rate at 9.5 mm yr −1 . Our salt marsh trends analysis also showed marsh loss at the shoreline edge, bare ground cover, and other indicators of marsh degradation. In mitigating marsh loss, the design grades for our recent wetland restoration projects enlarge the upper elevation ranges of the low- and high-marsh zones and incorporate wider and more gradual slopes in upland transition zones to enable inland marsh migration.

Salt marsh elevation change↗

NASA NTRS2014

NASA Pathways: Intern Employment Program Work Report Summer 2014

This report documents the work experience and project involvement of Kyle Davidson during his tenure at Kennedy Space Center for the summer of 2014. Projects include the Nitrogen Oxygen Recharge System (NORS), Restore satellite servicing program, and mechanical handling operations for the SAGE III and Rapidscat payloads.

Pathways↗

NASA NTRS2018

Dynamics of Gaps Created By Burning in Florida Oak-Saw Palmetto (Quercus, Fagaceae-Serenoa repens, Arecaceae) Scrub

Sandy gaps in the shrub matrix of oak (Quercus L.)-saw palmetto (Serenoa repens (W. Bartram) Small) scrub are created by fire but typically close quickly because of rapid regrowth. Such gaps are important habitat features for rare scrub flora and fauna and appear to have been more common in the historical landscape. We followed, from 1993 to 2016, the dynamics of 12 gaps (32.2-98.1 sq m) created by burning slash piles as part of restoration of long-unburned scrub. Gaps closed slowly, primarily by canopy spread of oaks around the gaps. In the absence of subsequent fire, gaps closed within approximately 12 yr. When burned a second or third time, gap area increased to near the initial after-burn size but then declined in area more rapidly than after the initial fire. Vegetation that reestablished in gaps differed from that of the scrub matrix in having less cover of scrub oaks, less cover of S. repens. > 0.5 m, greater cover of native shrubs and forbs. > 0.5 m, and more bare ground. Soil heating from slash-pile burning killed the roots and rhizomes from which scrub oaks, Serenoa, and ericaceous shrubs sprout; this altered and slowed the after-fire recovery.

Serenoa↗