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At least 397 records · Page 22

Energy Options Analysis Project (Final Report)

This Bear River Band of Rohnerville Rancheria (BRB) Energy Options Analysis Project provides a rigorous and comprehensive near-term renewable energy implementation plan that aligns with the BRB’s long term strategic vision of “zero net annual utility energy consumption.” Final recommendations were arrived at by following four key project phases:A gas and electricity load assessment was conducted for all existing buildings using historic consumption data, and projected loads of new or anticipated buildings using building designs. A renewable energy resource assessment was conducted that estimated the gross generation potential of solar and wind, constrained to areas that could potentially be developed. Other renewable generation technologies were not considered feasible to meet the loads of the BRB. Demand-side efficiency and fuel switching opportunities were identified that can reduce electrical and gas consumption. These opportunities were not integrated into the load assessment in order to provide a conservative implementation plan, but are recommended to be pursued in order to cost-optimize projects during a feasibility assessment. A strategic vision advisory committee was organized and consulted when iterating on the viability of possible projects. These project phases resulted in finalizing the following three solar PV projects for the near term, which also lay the foundation for a future community-scale or multiple-facility microgrid for added resiliency. Additional solar PV on the hillside south of the Tish-Non Community Center. Solar plus battery storage microgrid at the Pump & Play fuel station. Solar PV at the Casino.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The Importance of Internal Climate Variability in Climate Impact Projections

Uncertainty in climate projections is driven by three components: scenario uncertainty, intermodel uncertainty, and internal variability. Although socioeconomic climate impact studies increasingly take into account the first two components, little attention has been paid to the role of internal variability, although underestimating this uncertainty may lead to underestimating the socioeconomic costs of climate change. Using large ensembles from seven coupled general circulation models with a total of 414 model runs, we partition the climate uncertainty in classic dose–response models relating county-level corn yield, mortality, and per-capita gross domestic product to temperature in the continental United States. The partitioning of uncertainty depends on the time frame of projection, the impact model, and the geographic region. Internal variability represents more than 50% of the total climate uncertainty in certain projections, including mortality projections for the early 21st century, although its relative influence decreases over time. We recommend including uncertainty due to internal variability for many projections of temperature-driven impacts, including early-century and midcentury projections, projections in regions with high internal variability such as the Upper Midwest United States, and impacts driven by nonlinear relationships.

climate impacts↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - Advanced Catalyst Synthesis and Characterization (ACSC) Project WBS 2.5.4.304; 303; 305

The Advanced Catalyst Synthesis and Characterization (ACSC) project, in close collaboration with the Chemical Catalysis for Bioenergy (ChemCatBio) Consortium enabling projects, CatCost, and the Engineering of Catalyst Scale-Up project, (1) provides fundamental insight into working catalysts leading to actionable recommendations for all of the ChemCatBio catalysis projects, (2) addresses overarching catalysis challenges central to the ChemCatBio Consortium, and (3) adapts and applies new synthesis methodologies and in situ/operando characterization capabilities to meet the evolving needs of the catalysis projects. The outcome is a transition from empirical catalyst development to rational design through the prediction of materials with targeted properties based on advanced characterization combined with computational modeling, and the synthesis of next generation catalysts with predicted structures that yield demonstrated improvements in catalytic performance. In FY18, the ACSC helped to demonstrate the utility of the complete catalyst and process development cycle for dimethyl ether to high-octane gasoline over metal-modified zeolite catalysts for the Upgrading of C1 Building Blocks project, and in FY21 will leverage capabilities, expertise, and computational models established for this effort to target next-generation catalysts for ethanol to distillates for the Upgrading of C2 Intermediates project with enhanced performance in half the time.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Projected Changes in Temperature and Precipitation Over the United States, Central America, and the Caribbean in CMIP6 GCMs

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) dataset is used to examine projected changes in temperature and precipitation over the United States (U.S.), Central America and the Caribbean. The changes are computed using an ensemble of 31 models for three future time slices (2021–2040, 2041–2060, and 2080–2099) relative to the reference period (1995–2014) under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs; SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). The CMIP6 ensemble reproduces the observed annual cycle and distribution of mean annual temperature and precipitation with biases between – 0.93 and 1.27 °C and – 37.90 to 58.45%, respectively, for most of the region. However, modeled precipitation is too large over the western and Midwestern U.S. during winter and spring and over the North American monsoon region in summer, while too small over southern Central America. Temperature is projected to increase over the entire domain under all three SSPs, by as much as 6 °C under SSP5-8.5, and with more pronounced increases in the northern latitudes over the regions that receive snow in the present climate. Annual precipitation projections for the end of the twenty-first century have more uncertainty, as expected, and exhibit a meridional dipole-like pattern, with precipitation increasing by 10–30% over much of the U.S. and decreasing by 10–40% over Central America and the Caribbean, especially over the monsoon region. Seasonally, precipitation over the eastern and central subregions is projected to increase during winter and spring and decrease during summer and autumn. Over the monsoon region and Central America, precipitation is projected to decrease in all seasons except autumn. The analysis was repeated on a subset of 9 models with the best performance in the reference period; however, no significant difference was found, suggesting that model bias is not strongly influencing the projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Costs of mitigating the environmental impacts of hydropower projects in the United States

Developers are required to mitigate the environmental impacts of hydropower projects in the United States (U.S.) but there is very little accessible information on the associated costs. This work compiles and analyses a dataset of environmental impacts mitigation costs for 182 hydropower projects based on documents obtained from the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). The analysis shows that environmental costs vary wildly across hydropower project classes and mitigation measures, even when normalized by plant capacity. Capital costs per kilowatt are generally higher for relicensed conventional hydropower plants, and lower for new and relicensed pumped storage hydropower plants, relative to other project classes. Smaller plants tend to spend a higher share of total project costs on mitigating environmental impacts than larger plants, and measures related to Aquatic Species, Project Operations, and Recreation have the highest capital cost per kilowatt. These findings mean that environmental costs could become a key decision variable for new hydropower developments in the U.S. due to the small scale of most of the remaining potential and the increasing stringency of environmental requirements. Therefore, technologies to reduce the environmental impacts and costs of hydropower would be important for future project developments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating Enhanced Reservoir Evaporation Losses From CMIP6‐Based Future Projections in the Contiguous United States

Abstract Enhanced reservoir evaporation has become an emerging concern regarding water loss, especially when compounded with the ever‐increasing water demand. In this study, we evaluated the evaporation rates and losses for 678 major reservoirs (representing nearly 90% of total storage capacity) in the Contiguous United States over historical baseline (1980–2019), near‐term (2020–2039), and mid‐term (2040–2059) future periods. The evaporation rate was estimated using the Lake Evaporation Model (LEM), an advanced lake evaporation model that addresses both heat storage and fetch effects, driven by multi‐ensemble downscaled Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects 6 (CMIP6) projections under the SSP585 emission scenario. The results project that the evaporation loss may increase by 2.5 × 10 7 m 3 /yr through the research period (1980–2059). Among all regions, the Rio Grande is projected to have the largest increasing rate in the near‐term and mid‐term future, with values of 7.11% of 10.25%, respectively. At the seasonal scale, the most significant increase in the evaporation rate is projected during the fall. The evaporation is projected to increase faster than the streamflow over many of the regions in the southwestern US during the summer/fall, suggesting that the shortage of water will be further exacerbated. The climate models contribute the most to the variance, as compared to the other components related to the projection of evaporation losses (e.g., hydrological model, downscaling method, and historical meteorological data set). These findings demonstrate the need to consider accelerated water loss through open water evaporation in long‐term water resources planning across various spatiotemporal scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Communicating the Impacts of Projected Climate Change on Heavy Rainfall Using a Weighted Ensemble Approach

Urban flood risks are often determined by the frequency analysis of observed rainfall data, communicated using isohyetal maps showing rainfall totals for a range of durations and recurrence intervals. However, to assess future changes in heavy rainfall, it is necessary to study the future projected rainfall time series. Impacts of climate change are typically assessed using climate projections based on global climate model (GCM) outputs and downscaled to finer temporal and spatial scales. The projected data, however, are not generated in a format that urban planners and engineers can easily use to design for future conditions. This paper presents a method to analyze and express climate data in a format that can be readily used in hydrologic models to assess the effects of future extreme rainfall events. Future conditions’ climate data were analyzed using a weighted ensemble approach, which resulted in projected rainfall frequency estimates and their confidence limits. Two multimodel data sets were selected to illustrate this approach in Cook County, Illinois, which belongs to the Chicago metropolitan area. The first data set included statistical downscaling data based on the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change’s (IPCC) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) data. The weighted ensemble analysis applied to this data set produced results that indicated significant increases in projected heavy rainfall. For example, for CMIP3 Scenario A2, for the late 21st century, the 100-year, 24-h rainfall in the northern parts of the county was 29% larger than the model-generated rainfall for the present time. Finally, for the same time horizon and scenario, the confidence interval based on projected data was 87% wider compared with that of the published source (NOAA Atlas 14), calculated using the past observed data. Also, equal-weight delta-corrected IPCC CMIP5-based dynamical downscaling data were applied to the same region for the mid-21st century, producing increases in heavy rainfall fairly similar to those of CMIP3.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Projected coupled cluster theory

Coupled cluster theory is the method of choice for weakly correlated systems. But in the strongly correlated regime, it faces a symmetry dilemma, where it either completely fails to describe the system or has to artificially break certain symmetries. On the other hand, projected Hartree-Fock theory captures the essential physics of many kinds of strong correlations via symmetry breaking and restoration. Here, we combine and try to retain the merits of these two methods by applying symmetry projection to broken symmetry coupled cluster wave functions. The non-orthogonal nature of states resulting from the application of symmetry projection operators furnishes particle-hole excitations to all orders, thus creating an obstacle for the exact evaluation of overlaps. Here we provide a solution via a disentanglement framework theory that can be approximated rigorously and systematically. Results of projected coupled cluster theory are presented for molecules and the Hubbard model, showing that spin projection significantly improves unrestricted coupled cluster theory while restoring good quantum numbers. The energy of projected coupled cluster theory reduces to the unprojected one in the thermodynamic limit, albeit at a much slower rate than projected Hartree-Fock.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Historical evaluation and future projections of compound heatwave and drought extremes over the conterminous United States in CMIP6 *

Abstract Independently, both droughts and heatwaves can induce severe impacts on human and natural systems. However, when these two climate extremes occur concurrently in a given region, their compound impacts are often more pronounced. With the improvement in both the spatiotemporal resolution and representation of complex climate processes in the global climate models (GCMs), they are increasingly used to study future changes in these extremes and associated regional impacts. However, GCM selection for such impact assessments is generally based on historical performance and/or future mean changes, without considering individual or compound extremes. In contrast, this study evaluates historical performance and projected changes in heatwaves, droughts, and compound heatwave-droughts using an ensemble of GCMs from the latest Phase 6 of Coupled Models Intercomparison Project at a regional scale across the conterminous United States. Additionally, we explore the inter-model differences in the projected changes that are associated with various characteristics of extremes and the choice of drought indices. Our analysis reveals considerable variation among the GCMs, as well as substantial differences in the projected changes based on the choice of drought indices and region of interest. For example, the projected increases in both the frequency and intensity of drought and associated compound extreme days, based on the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index far exceed those derived from the standard precipitation index. Further, the largest changes in the frequency of compound extremes are projected over the Southwest, South Central, and parts of the Southeast while the smallest changes are projected over the Northeast. Overall, this study provides important insights for the interpretation and selection of GCMs for future assessment studies that are crucial for the development of regional adaptation strategies in the face of climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Projecting Future Energy Production from Operating Wind Farms in North America. Part II: Statistical Downscaling

Abstract Capacity factors (CFs) derived from daily expected power at 22 operating wind farms in different regions of North America are used as predictands to train statistical downscaling algorithms using output from ERA5. The statistical downscaling models are then used to make CF projections for a suite of CMIP6 Earth System Models (ESMs). Downscaling is performed using a hybrid statistical approach that employs synoptic types derived using k -means clustering applied to sea level pressure fields with variance corrections applied as a function of the pressure gradient intensity. ESMs exhibit marked variability in terms of the skill with which the frequency of synoptic types and pressure gradients are reproduced relative to ERA5, and that differential skill is used to infer differential credibility in the associated CF projections. Projections of median annual mean CF [P50(CF)] in each 20-yr period from 1980 to 2099 show evidence of declines at most wind farms except in parts of the southern Great Plains, although the magnitude of the changes is strongly dependent on the ESM. For example, P50(CF) in 2080–99 deviate from those in 1980–99 by from −3.1 to +0.2 percentage points in the Northeast. The largest-magnitude declines in P50(CF) ranging from −3.9 to −2 percentage points are projected for the southern West Coast. CF trends exhibit marked seasonality and are strongly linked to changes in the relative intensity of future synoptic patterns, with much less impact from shifts in the occurrence of synoptic types over time. Internal climate modes continue to play a significant role in inducing interannual variability in wind power production, even under high radiative forcing scenarios. Significance Statement We describe how future climate changes may affect wind resources and wind power generation. Near-term changes in projected wind power electricity generation potential at operating wind farms over North America are small, but by the end of the current century electricity production is projected to decrease in many areas but may increase in parts of the southern Great Plains. The amount of change in projected wind power production is a strong function of the Earth system model that is downscaled and also depends on the continued presence of internally forced climate variability. An additional dependence on the amount of greenhouse gas–induced global warming indicates the transition of the energy sector to low-carbon sources may assist in maintaining the abundant U.S. wind resource.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

(SPT-)LSM theorems from projective non-invertible symmetries

Projective symmetries are ubiquitous in quantum lattice models and can be leveraged to constrain their phase diagram and entanglement structure. In this paper, we investigate the consequences of projective algebras formed by non-invertible symmetries and lattice translations in a generalized 1+1 1 + 1 D quantum XY model based on group-valued qudits. This model is specified by a finite group G G and enjoys a projective \mathsf{Rep}(G)× Z(G) 𝖱 𝖾 𝗉 ( G ) × Z ( G ) and translation symmetry, where symmetry operators obey a projective algebra in the presence of symmetry defects. For invertible symmetries, such projective algebras imply Lieb-Schultz-Mattis (LSM) anomalies. However, this is not generally true for non-invertible symmetries, and we derive a condition on G G for the existence of an LSM anomaly. When this condition is not met, we prove an SPT-LSM theorem: any unique and gapped ground state is necessarily a non-invertible weak symmetry protected topological (SPT) state with non-trivial entanglement, for which we construct an example fixed-point Hamiltonian. The projectivity also affects the dual symmetries after gauging \mathsf{Rep}(G)× Z(G) 𝖱 𝖾 𝗉 ( G ) × Z ( G ) sub-symmetries, giving rise to non-Abelian and non-invertible dipole symmetries, as well as non-invertible translations. We complement our analysis with the SymTFT, where the projectivity causes it to be a topological order non-trivially enriched by translations. Throughout the paper, we develop techniques for gauging \mathsf{Rep}(G) 𝖱 𝖾 𝗉 ( G ) symmetry and inserting its symmetry defects on the lattice, which are applicable to other non-invertible symmetries.

Pace, Salvatore D. (ORCID:0000000306093335)↗

AOI2 - Initial Engineering, Testing, and Design of a Commercial-Scale Postcombustion CO 2 Capture System on an Existing Coal-Fired Generating Unit (Project Carbon)

The continued long-term use of North Dakota lignite is likely dependent on creating a business case for carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) that also addresses society’s desire to reduce carbon emissions. CCUS coupled with enhanced oil recovery appears to be the most feasible option for utilities to sustain and grow the lignite industry. Establishing a market where lignite-powered utilities provide carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) to oil producers depends upon having a cost-effective method to capture CO 2 . The application of CO 2 capture technology to lignite-fired flue gas has challenges in addition to the cost of capture, including the effects of the buildup of heat-stable salts, aerosol formation, degradation of solvents or solid sorbents, or subsequent solvent loss. Lignite, especially North Dakota lignite, presents its own set of challenges that include the combination of high sodium, sulfur, and ash contents; NO x reduction; and footprint limitations. Project Carbon was designed to address these technical barriers and provide pre-FEED (preliminary front-end engineering and design) information necessary for additional commercial demonstrations to move forward. A long-term pilot-scale evaluation of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries’ (MHI’s) KS-1™ solvent at Minnkota Power Cooperative’s lignite-fired Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 (MRY2) was a major objective of the project. The purpose of the test was to demonstrate the technology’s compatibility with MRY2’s flue gas over an extended period of time. During the long-term test, aerosol sampling and measurement were performed, and a pilot-scale baghouse was tested to determine the effect of bag material and operation on aerosol concentrations in the flue gas. Project engineering and design work were performed to support the other major project objective: a pre-FEED study of CO 2 capture at MRY2. Finally, a techno-economic assessment (TEA) of the application of CO 2 capture to MRY2 was performed. This project was performed over a period of 28 months, with a total budget of $12,700,000. The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) National Energy Technology Laboratory, through the Energy & Environmental Research Center’s (EERC’s) Cooperative Agreement, the North Dakota Industrial Commission, and industry partners ALLETE and Minnkota Power Cooperative, funded the project. The pilot-scale test system at MRY2 performed very well for the continuous test period of 83 days. The CO 2 capture plant achieved stable operation while utilizing MHI’s KS-1™ solvent and the MHI amine emission reduction unit. No major concerns were encountered when capturing CO 2 from lignite-fired flue gas. Challenges were encountered because the cooling water temperature was warmer than needed for the capture system to operate efficiently. This affected the ability of the solvent to capture CO 2 and promoted solvent loss through solvent entrainment caused by high CO 2 gas temperature within a cyclone separator. The KS-1™ solvent and the lignite-derived flue gas were analyzed during the long-term test. Analysis of the solvent indicates that, although some metals and heat-stable salts increased over the course of the long-term test, they were at levels that can be treated with filtration and reclaiming and do not pose a concern for effective solvent operation. Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometry was successfully used to determine the composition of the lignite-derived flue gas as well as concentrations of select components of the flue gas at various locations within the EERC’s CO 2 capture system. The formation of aerosols during the capture process is of interest, as are approaches for their reduction, especially in a baghouse. Testing of aerosol removal was performed using the EERC’s portable baghouse. It was found that both Ryton and polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) membrane bags were effective at reducing the level of aerosols during steady-state operation. During backpulse events, however, the amount of aerosols passing through the bags was an order of magnitude lower for the Ryton bags than the PTFE membrane bags. The testing showed that proper design of the baghouse air-to-cloth ratio as well as minimization of backpulsing can dramatically reduce the amount of aerosols that pass through the bags and remain in the flue gas stream exiting a baghouse system. A technology maturation plan (TMP) was performed to enable successful development of the Kansai Mitsubishi Carbon Dioxide Recovery® (KM CDR®) Process for application to a combustion flue gas for which the process has not yet been demonstrated. In the TMP, new challenges to the MHI CO 2 capture technology during its application to MRY2 were identified. These challenges included capture from lignite-fired (as opposed to subbituminous coal-fired) flue gas, a larger scope than previous applications of the technology, and implementation in a colder climate that could affect process and equipment operability. Because MRY2 is located where stack icing in the winter could be problematic, a rime icing study was performed. Rime icing modeling indicated that, under both 100% and 50% operating loads, there is a potential for many icing events during any given part of the year in which below-freezing weather conditions exist. The models showed that a critical amount of rime ice could be formed at the stack top during two or more events per year. CO 2 capture plant stack height and location will need to be determined in order to minimize the formation of rime ice. It was found that the integration of the MHI CO 2 capture process into the normal operation of the MRY2 steam turbine is a viable alternative to a cogeneration facility to provide steam and power for the carbon capture facility. The research performed under this project showed that CO 2 capture at a lignite-fired power plant can successfully be performed. No known fatal flaws that would prevent the continued development of the MRY2 CO 2 capture facility were identified during the pre-FEED study. A TEA performed following DOE methodology shows that applying capture technology to MRY2 may not only meet but exceed the DOE-recognized state-of-the-art baseline.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

2020 Mitigation and Monitoring Report for the Arroyo Las Positas Management Project

This report describes maintenance, monitoring, and mitigation conducted in 2020 as part of the Arroyo Las Positas Management Project (the project) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory’s (LLNL’s) Livermore Site. The purpose of this project is to enhance habitat value for the California red-legged frog (Rana draytonii) within the LLNL reach of Arroyo Las Positas and protect LLNL facilities from flooding. The project description, in addition to the monitoring and mitigation requirements for this project are described in the October 2015 Revised Mitigation and Monitoring Plan for the Arroyo Las Positas Management Project (MMP) and the Formal Consultation on the Proposed Arroyo Maintenance Project on Arroyo Las Positas at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (biological opinion; Service File Numbers 1-1-97-F-173 and 1-1-98-I-1562).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Keystone Solar Future Project (KSFP)

The Keystone Solar Future Project (KSFP, also referred to as “Keystone Project” in the report) implements a cost-effective, secure, reliable, and safe technology platform that paves the way for future interconnected distributed energy resources (DER), creates a framework that enables high penetration of DER, and transforms the DER interconnection process. The project is important and necessary in a few aspects. First, the industry definition of Distributed Energy Resource Management System (DERMS) is not yet validated against field deployments and mostly implemented in small pilots relying on third party integration. Keystone project implements a direct plug and play communication to inverter based DER systems. Secondly, most interconnection application portal is not yet fully integrated with back-end system, thus lacks the capability to drive a complete and accurate modeling of DER assets into the planning and operational systems. Keystone project rolled out a fully integrated modeling process of DERs from interconnection to operational management. Lastly, customers were given an opportunity to learn about the advanced functions of the inverters and take full advantages of their benefits through participation in the pilot program. During the project, the technical effectiveness and economic feasibility of DER management were investigated and demonstrated in real life events and simulation studies. The project highlighted the importance of coordinated DER interconnection, installation and management with the rest of the distribution system.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Techno-Economic Wind Blade Manufacturing Model to Identify Opportunities for Cost Improvements Phase II IACMI Project 4.6/4.8

In IACMI Project 4.6 and IACMI Project 4.8, an Excel-based Techno-Economic Model (TEM) of the manufacturing process for composite wind turbine blades and a DELMIA Factory Flow Simulation of a generic wind blade manufacturing facility was developed. Together, these two tools provide a combined economic modeling capability that accounts for the material, labor, overhead and full-lifecycle operating costs associated with wind blade manufacturing as well as the impact of process flow and factory layout on overall manufacturing efficiency. The tools provide a novel means of detailed comparative analysis of the economic feasibility of proposed technologies and process changes for blade manufacturing. The modeling tools were developed with close support from members of industry and visits to multiple blade manufacturing facilities. With industry oversight, a detailed generalized manufacturing process plan and facility layout were developed with manufacturing parameters, material costs and economic factors based on historical data. Dassault Systèmes and the University of Texas at Dallas (UTD) contributed to the development of the Techno-Economic Model by providing macros to enable the generation of Bill of Material (BOM) data from a 3D blade design in either CATIA or NuMAD format, respectively. The TEM was built with the capability to directly import a Bill of Materials for economic analysis, and with the addition of the macros provided by Dassault and UTD, the TEM can directly import blade designs from both CATIA and NuMAD file formats. The modeling tools developed in Project 4.6 were used to investigate four wind blade manufacturing concepts in detail and select one to explore with laboratory-scale experimentation in Project 4.8. The four manufacturing concepts that were investigated were down-selected by the full project team from a larger list of concepts. The selections were made based on a number of criteria ranking viability and level of interest for each concept. The ‘One-Step Close’ manufacturing concept was ultimately selected for investigation in Project 4.8 and the demonstration was performed at the NREL CoMET facility. The TPI advanced manufacturing facility in Warren, RI contributed the production of several prototype components, the designs for which were developed by Janicki Industries. The demonstration project provided clear indication of the viability of the One-Step Close manufacturing concept for blade manufacturing and good validation of the Techno-Economic Model’s prediction of its economic impact.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Front-End Engineering and Design: Project Tundra Carbon Capture System (Final Report)

As the next phase of Project Tundra, Minnkota Power Cooperative (MPC) completed a front-end engineering and design (FEED) study to install a post-combustion CO 2 capture system (CCS) at the MPC operated (Square Butte Electric Cooperative-owned) Milton R. Young Station (MRYS) Unit 2 (MRY2), a 477-MW power plant fueled by North Dakota lignite. The project team completed the FEED with Fluor’s Econamine FG Plus℠ (EFG+) technology and is taking the next steps leading up to start of construction. Team members included FEED technical lead Fluor Enterprises (Fluor); owner’s engineer and balance of plant (BOP) engineer Burns & McDonnell (BMcD); leading carbon capture consultants (David Greeson Consulting, Hunt International Energy Services); environmental consultants (AECOM, Agora Environmental), other BOP engineering consultants (Golder Associates, Nels); cost-share funding agency, the North Dakota Industrial Commission (NDIC); and the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC). Project Tundra’s goal is to implement carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) in North Dakota, while preserving the use of lignite. Future options could lead to revitalizing legacy oil fields and creating a new CO 2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR) industry. The topic of this report is the FEED study for the carbon dioxide capture portion of Project Tundra. Building on the findings of a pre-FEED study for MRY2, the key deliverables contained in this FEED study are: a) design, costing, and performance data needed to commence project financing activities; b) engineering and material balances required to file for all project permits; and c) a final project schedule. Based on the results of the previous pre-FEED study, MPC and its team evaluated two options to provide the large amount of steam needed to operate the CCS: 1) installation of new natural gas package boilers and a new pipeline to supply natural gas to the facility and 2) extraction of steam from the existing MRYS steam turbine generator. The FEED study was performed using the package boilers option, as it was deemed to have the lowest technical risk, overall cost, and cost uncertainty. A key feature of the design, however, was the mixing the natural gas boilers’ flue gas with the MRY2 flue gas. This increased the size of the CCS system. This design also enabled the tie-in of Unit 1 flue gas for times when Unit 2 is offline. The CCS was designed to capture a combined 12,978 short tons per day (STPD) of CO 2 from the flue gases produced by the existing MRY Unit 2 along with flue gas produced by the new boiler package within the CCS. The 12,978 STPD CO 2 capture is achieved by normally processing 100% of the total available MRY Unit 2 flue gas (considering full load operation) and 100% of the boiler package flue gas, then removing 90% of the CO 2 available from the processed flue gas streams.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Maritime Fuel Cell Generator Project: 2018 – 2023

This report summarizes activity in the Maritime Fuel Cell (MarFC) Generator Project from 2018 – 2023. FY 2018 saw the implementation of upgrades and repairs, making the unit more reliable and operator friendly. In FY2019 the team engaged the Scripps Institution of Oceanography (SIO) to use the MarFC to provide zero-emission shore power to the research vessel R/V Robert Gordon Sproul while in port at the Nimitz Marine Facility in San Diego, CA. In FY2020, the MarFC unit was shipped to San Diego, CA. A fueling contract with IGX was established to support MarFC operations at SIO, with renewable hydrogen provided by the California State University Los Angeles (CSULA) hydrogen station. The project team (Sandia, Cummins/Hydrogenics) provided training to SIO staff on the technical details of the MarFC, the safe use of hydrogen in general and the MarFC in particular. The first fueling of the unit at the SIO pier was successfully completed by IGX. The first powering of a vessel with fuel-cell shore power was conducted with the R/V Robert Gordon Sproul. While the mechanical systems (lights, AC, ventilation, hydraulics, pumps and cranes) were powered without incident, problems arose when powering the computer systems. Inspections carried out in FY2021 revealed the MarFC needed routine maintenance. Maintenance was performed and the unit was upgraded. The MarFC was turned on after the year pause, and initial test data on power levels and stability were collected. FY2022 was a year spent repairing, upgrading and testing the MarFC unit. Spikes in power and voltage were observed above 60 kW that could potentially extend below 60 kW with time. Such spikes could cause problems with the Sproul electrical systems. These age-related problems, the extended time for the Sproul spent in dry dock for scheduled upgrades, and the associated need to reschedule the vessel’s high-priority science missions made it no longer possible to deploy the unit at SIO. After due consideration, the decision was made by DOE, MARAD and the project team to cease the deployment, remove the MarFC from SIO, and not pursue further deployment activities. On December 2, 2022, the MarFC unit was removed from the Scripps Nimitz Marine Facility and shipped to Fridley, Michigan. The Cummins/Hydrogenics plan for the unit is to assess the condition of the MarFC subcomponents, and then use it as a training/learning system for technical employees new to hydrogen fuel-cell technology. After summarizing project activity from 2018 – 2023, this report provides a review of lessons learned. This report provides next steps in contemplating a follow-on project that would further advance the use of fuel-cell-based shore power in a marine setting. A comparison is made of the project results to the original objectives. This report ends with an accounting of presentations stemming from the project, and a list of references.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Evaluating GHG Mitigation Potential from ESPC Projects [Slides]

This report explores the impact of implemented ESPC projects on the projected greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions in the U.S. buildings sector, and the associated projected annual cost savings and marginal abatement costs. It is important to investigate the role that energy retrofits can play in achieving GHG emission reduction targets given the use of ESPC by public agencies to reduce emissions from energy use in addition to the historical use of ESPC to to achieve cost/energy savings and ancillary benefits (e.g., addressing deferred maintenance, aging infrastructure, etc.). The analysis draws from LBNL’s eProject Builder (ePB) database, which contains approximately 3,000 energy retrofit projects implemented by energy service companies (ESCOs), mostly energy savings performance contract (ESPC) projects. This is the first report to model GHG emission reductions from ongoing ESPC projects in the U.S public sector based on ePB project data. It is intended for policymakers, federal, state and local government officials and other potential ESPC customers, the ESCO industry, researchers, and other energy policy professionals.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗