Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Indices”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 397 records · Page 22
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Growth and Characterization of Epitaxial FeWO 4 Thin Films with Controlled Oxygen Stoichiometry

Here, we report the growth of single-phase epitaxial FeWO 4 thin films, using plasma-assisted molecular beam epitaxy, and investigate structural, optical, and electronic properties. The FeWO 4 films grow in (100) orientation on c-plane sapphire (0001) substrates and exhibit 3 rotational twin variants where FeWO 4 [001] is aligned to sapphire [100] equivalent in-plane directions. X-ray diffraction measurements indicate that the epitaxial FeWO 4 (100) structure is optimized when 80-100 W of rf power is applied to an atomic oxygen source during growth, yielding films with minimal strain and impurity phases or other orientations. In films grown with 120 W of rf power, FeWO 4 crystallites develop inhomogeneous and homogeneous strains and are potentially contaminated with Fe 3+ oxide phase impurities. In films grown with 60 W of rf power, FeWO 4 crystallites do not form fully epitaxial layers. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy indicates that the structural changes are correlated with the Fe 3+ /Fe 2+ oxidation state ratio increasing from 0.6-1.4 with rf power from 60-120 W. X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy indicates that the Fe/W composition ratio is also increasing from 1.1-1.8 with rf power from 60-120 W. Ultraviolet and visible optical absorption spectra indicate a 1.8 ± 0.1 eV band gap with an additional interband absorption feature at 3.1 ± 0.1 eV in the 80-100 W films, with similar onsets observed in the 60 W films. In the 120 W films, the higher lying transition is shifted to 2.7 ± 0.1 eV due to the Fe 3+ enrichment. Electrical resistivity decreases over 2 orders of magnitude with oxidation from 10 4 -10 5 Ω cm in 60 W films to 120 ± 10 Ω cm in 120 W films. Thermopower measurements show p-type to n-type conductivity conversion when oxidation states shift from Fe 2+ majority in the 100 W films to Fe 3+ majority in the 120 W films. We conclude that electron polaron hopping driven by Fe 3+ is a dominant transport mechanism and a source of n-type conductivity in overoxidized FeWO 4 films.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Flowthrough Pretreatment of Softwood under Water-only and Alkali Conditions

Flowthrough pretreatment provides valuable insight in the fundamentals of deconstruction of plant biomass. In this study, the potential softwood degradation pathways under water-only and alkali conditions were determined by elucidating the deconstructed biomass-derived products at 0-270 °C for 2-10 min at a flow rate of 25 mL/min with water-only or alkaline at initial pH of 8, 9, 11, and 12, respectively. Results indicated that the initial pH value was a convenient indicator along with the severity parameter to control biomass degradation through the non-oxidative (pH<9) and oxidative (pH=9) pathways. Up to 100 % of hemi-sugars, 90 % of cellulose, and 70 % of lignin were derived from softwood under non-oxidative conditions at severity parameter LogR0 around 5.5, respectively. On the contrary, at pH 12, the oxidative degradation resulted in pretreated hydrolysate rich in monomeric and oligomeric phenolic products as well as glycolic acid, acetic acid, and formic acid from carbohydrates. The two dimensional 1H-13C heteronuclear single quantum coherence (HSQC) nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) analysis revealed that non-oxidative degradation at initial pH values lower than 9 mainly cleaved ß-O-4, all of the ß-ß, and ß-5/a-O-4 linkages, whereas substantial aromatic ring structures with limited ß-O-4 structures remaining at pH 12 through oxidative degradation.

Zhang, Libing↗
DOE OSTI2022

Fuel Properties of Oxymethylene Ethers with Terminating Groups from Methyl to Butyl

Oxymethylene ethers (OMEs) have been studied as possible additives or replacements for diesel fuels. Typically, studies have considered only methyl-terminated OMEs. Recent structure-property relationship models suggest that extended-alkyl OMEs may provide improvements to many of the properties of methyl-terminated OMEs that make them less suitable as diesel fuel blendstocks. In this work, we describe the synthesis and characterization of 16 different OMEs with methyl, ethyl, propyl, butyl, isopropyl, and isobutyl terminating alkyl groups with varying oxymethylene chain length. Indicated Cetane Number, Lower Heating Value, Flash Point, Density, Viscosity, Vapor Pressure, and Oxidative Stability are tested via ASTM standard methods. Additionally, Water Solubility, Boiling Point, seal material compatibility, and sooting propensity (via the Yield Sooting Index) are measured for these fuels. For diesel compatibility, all tested OMEs except smaller methyl and ethyl OMEs, and the branched isopropyl OME, meet cetane number requirements. Further, extending the alkyl end group increases the heating value, but all OMEs, due to their oxygen content, have heating values less than diesel; despite this, all OMEs show significant reductions in soot production per unit heating value. Only the heaviest OMEs meet diesel viscosity requirements, and most are higher density than diesel. OMEs with larger alkyl groups show the highest stability under accelerated auto-oxidation conditions. Increases in alkyl group length cause order of magnitude reduction in water solubility, from hundreds of g/L for methyl terminated OMEs to hundreds of mg/L for butyl terminated OMEs. Limited seal material testing indicates that PEEK polymers are unaffected by OMEs; while extended alkyl groups may improve compatibility with FKM (Viton), other common elastomers (NBR, silicone) remain incompatible with all tested OMEs. Overall, it is found that methyl-terminated OMEs exhibit the most potential for soot reduction, but OMEs with larger propyl and butyl terminating alkyl groups show improved compatibility with existing diesel systems.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Potential Adoption and Benefits of Co-Optimized Multimode Engines and Fuels for U.S. Light-Duty Vehicles

Exploring a diverse portfolio of technologies for decarbonization is crucial to understanding the potential impacts of different technological solutions and their associated environmental implications. Using high-octane, high-sensitivity biofuel blends in co-optimized multimode engines can increase engine efficiency and reduce vehicle emissions. Here, the multimode engine research focuses on the benefits of light-duty vehicle engines, which can operate in multiple modes depending on the vehicle's load. Low-temperature combustion can improve efficiency and reduce emissions (such as those from oxides of nitrogen and particulate matter) during low-load operation, while spark ignition performance is maintained in high-load operation. These advanced engines can be optimized to run on blends of biobased fuels. This analysis models scenarios for potential market adoption of co-optimized multimode vehicles fueled by three different bioblendstocks: ethanol, isopropanol, and isobutanol. An integrated modeling approach is used to forecast the energy and environmental impacts of the deployment of co-optimized multimode vehicles and fuels in the light-duty sector over the 2020-to-2050 time horizon. The multidisciplinary approach combines vehicle sales modeling, system dynamics modeling of the biorefining industry, and life cycle assessment to estimate the emissions and energy benefits. The models consider market forces such as consumer preferences for vehicle attributes, biofuel supply and demand dynamics subject to biorefinery capacity build-out and bioresource constraints, and forecasted changes to the U.S. bulk energy system over time. Market adoption of co-optimized vehicles is evaluated across a wide parameter space for incremental vehicle cost and engine efficiency improvement. This analysis reveals that the deployment of co-optimized multimode fuels and vehicles results in up to a 5% reduction in annual sector-wide life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050, relative to a business-as-usual scenario, but is also indicates environmental trade-offs, such as higher life cycle water-use. Emission benefits could potentially increase beyond 2050, as the new technologies penetrate the market and gain a foothold. Results also show that, under certain circumstances, vehicles with engines co-optimized for use with high-octane, high-sensitivity biofuel blends can be cost-competitive with conventional gasoline, while reducing GHG emissions. Our modeling results indicate that co-optimized multimode fuels and engines can be strategically leveraged in tandem with electrification to decarbonize the light-duty sector. Co-optimized vehicles could play a role in the early years of the time horizon, while electric vehicles (EVs) could become more competitive in the later years, highlighting the complementary benefits of these technologies for GHG reductions.

Oke, Doris↗
DOE OSTI2020

Uranium recovery from seawater using amidoxime-based braided polymers synthesized from acrylic fibers

Global demand for nuclear energy is expected to rise in the coming decades. To meet these growing needs, new uranium resources must be explored. One of the potential alternatives to traditional uranium mining is oceanic uranium. The capture and recovery of uranium from the ocean has been under investigation for some time, with many recent studies focused on amidoxime based adsorbents. These adsorbents while able to achieve high uranium recovery capacities are, nevertheless, expensive to produce and adsorb a significant amount of hard to remove vanadium. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the adsorption performance of amidoxime based polymer braids synthesized from acrylic fibers which are designed to significantly cut polymer synthesis and conditioning costs. Adsorption experiments were performed in a recirculating raceway flume system at environmental conditions, approximately 10.8 oC, with 40-micron prefiltered seawater over 28 days for small and large sized LCW polymer braids. For both braid sizes, the adsorption of vanadium was far lower on the LCW materials than on Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s amidoxime based AF1 and AI8 small braids, with the LCW small braids outperforming both materials with respect to uranium adsorption under similar conditions. Adsorption modeling was used to simulate the performance at higher temperatures based on 20oC experiments previously performed with similar materials. Simulation results indicated that the small LCW braids would have a less significant advantage with respect to uranium adsorption over both AF1 and AI8 at 20oC and adsorb slightly less uranium than AF1 at 31oC. Vanadium adsorption by LCW small braids was less than one third of vanadium adsorption by either AF1 or AI8 for all temperatures. This behavior indicates that the LCW materials are able to achieve comparable uranium adsorption to other amidoxime adsorbents previously developed, while being cheaper to produce and adsorbing significantly less vanadium.

Wiechert, Alexander I.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Hydrolysis of Metal Dioxides Differentiates d-block from f-block Elements: Pa(V) as a 6d Transition Metal; Pr(V) as a 4f “Lanthanyl”

Gas-phase reactions of pentavalent metal dioxide cations M V O 2 + with water were studied experimentally for M = V, Nb, Ta, Pr, Pa, U, Pu, and Am. Addition of two H 2 O can occur by adsorption to yield hydrate (H 2 O) 2 M V O 2 + or by hydrolysis to yield hydroxide M V (OH) 4 + . Displacement of H 2 O by acetone indicates hydrates for Pr V , U V , Pu V , and Am V , whereas nondisplacement indicates hydroxides for Nb V , Ta V , and Pa V . Computed potential energy profiles agree with the experimental results and furthermore indicate that acetone unexpectedly induces dehydrolysis and displaces two H 2 O from (H 2 O)VO(OH) 2 + to yield (acetone) 2 VO 2 + . Structures and energies for several M V , as well as for Th IV and U VI , indicate that hydrolysis is governed by the involvement of valence f versus d orbitals in bonding: linear f-element dioxides are more resistant to hydrolysis than bent d-element dioxides. Accordingly, for early actinides, hydrolysis of Th IV is characteristic of a 6d-block transition metal; hydration of U V and U VI is characteristic of 5f actinyls; and Pa V is intermediate between 6d and 5f. The praseodymium oxide cation Pr V O 2 + is assigned as an actinyl-like lanthanyl with properties governed by 4f bonding.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

On the Rate Constant for NH 2 +HO 2 and Third-Body Collision Efficiencies for NH 2 +H(+M) and NH 2 +NH 2 (+M)

In low-temperature flash photolysis of NH 3 /O 2 /N 2 mixtures, the NH 2 consumption rate and the product distribution is controlled by the reactions NH 2 + HO 2 → products (R1), NH 2 + H (+M) → NH 3 (+M) (R2), and NH 2 + NH 2 (+M) → N 2 H 4 (+M) (R3). In the present work, published flash photolysis experiments by, among others, Cheskis and co-workers, are re-interpreted using recent direct measurements of NH 2 + H (+N 2 ) and NH 2 + NH 2 (+N 2 ) from Altinay and Macdonald. To facilitate analysis of the FP data, relative third-body collision efficiencies compared to N 2 for R2 and R3 were calculated for O 2 and NH 3 as well as for other selected molecules. We report results were in good agreement with the limited experimental data. Based on reported NH 2 decay rates in flash photolysis of NH 3 /O 2 /N 2 , a rate constant for NH 2 + HO 2 → NH 3 + O 2 (R1a) of $k_{1\text{a}}$ = 1.5(±0.5) × 10 14 cm 3 mol –1 s –1 at 295 K was derived. This value is higher than earlier determinations based on the FP results but in good agreement with recent theoretical work. Kinetic modeling of reported N 2 O yields indicates that NH 2 + HO 2 → H 2 NO + O (R1c) is competing with R1a, but perturbation experiments with addition of CH4 indicate that it is not a dominating channel. Measured HNO profiles indicate that this component is formed directly by NH 2 + HO 2 → HNO + H 2 O (R1b), but theoretical work indicates that R1b is only a minor channel. Based on this analysis, we estimate $k_{1\text{c}}$ = 2.5 × 10 13 cm 3 mol –1 s –1 and $k_{1\text{b}}$ = 2.5 × 10 12 cm 3 mol –1 s –1 at 295 K, with significant uncertainty margins.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Predicted Fracture Tendency of Naturally Occurring Aluminum Surface Coatings under Tensile Loading

Naturally occurring coatings on aluminum metal, such as its oxide or hydroxide, serve to protect the material from corrosion. Understanding the conditions under which these coatings mechanically fail is therefore expected to be an important aspect of predictive models for aluminum component lifetimes. To this end, we develop and apply a molecular dynamics (MD) modeling framework for conducting tension tests that is capable of isolating factors governing the mechanical strength as a function of coating chemistry, defect morphology, and variables associated with the loading path. We consider two representative materials, including γ-Al 2 O 3 and γ-Al(OH) 3 (i.e., oxide and hydroxide), both of which form readily as aluminum surface coatings. Our results indicate that defects have a significant bearing on the strength of aluminum oxide, with grain boundaries serving to reduce the strain at failure from ε zz = 0.300 to 0.219, relative to perfect single crystal. Our simulations also predict that porosity lowers the elastic stiffness and yield strength of the oxide. Relative to perfect crystal, we find porosity factors of 5%, 10% and 20% decrease the yield stress by 26%, 36% and 53%, respectively. MD predicts that perfect hydroxide and oxide single crystal have respective strains at failure of 0.08 and 0.31 under tensile uniaxial strain loading, and that the corresponding yield stresses are respectively 1.6 and 11.1 GPa. These data indicate that the hydroxide is substantially more susceptible to mechanical failure than the oxide. Our results, coupled with literature findings that indicate hot and humid conditions favor formation of hydroxide and defective oxide coatings, indicate the potential for a complicated dependence of aluminum corrosion susceptibility and stress corrosion cracking on aging history.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Selective butene formation in direct ethanol-to-C3+-olefin valorization over Zn-Y/Beta and single-atom alloy composite catalysts using in situ generated hydrogen

The selective production of C3+ olefins from renewable feedstocks, especially via C1 and C2 platform chemicals, is a critical challenge for obtaining economically viable low-carbon middle distillate transportation fuels (i.e., jet and diesel). Here, we report a multifunctional catalyst system composed of Zn-Y/Beta and “single-atom” alloy (SAA) Pt-Cu/Al2O3 which selectively catalyzes ethanol-to-olefins (C3+, ETO) valorization in the absence of cofed hydrogen, forming butenes as the primary olefin products. Beta zeolites containing predominately isolated Zn and Y metal sites catalyze ethanol upgrading steps (588 K, 3.1 kPa ethanol, ambient pressure) regardless of cofed hydrogen partial pressure (0-98.3 kPa H2), forming butadiene as the primary product (60% selectivity at 87% conversion). The Zn-Y/Beta catalyst possesses site-isolated Zn and Y Lewis acid sites (at ~7 wt% Y) and Brønsted acidic Y sites, the latter of which has been previously uncharacterized. A secondary bed of SAA Pt-Cu/Al2O3 selectively hydrogenates butadiene to butene isomers at a consistent reaction temperature using hydrogen generated in situ from ethanol-to-butadiene (ETB) conversion. This unique hydrogenation reactivity at near-stoichiometric hydrogen and butadiene partial pressures is not observed over monometallic Pt or Cu catalysts, highlighting these operating conditions as a critical SAA catalyst application area for conjugated diene selective hydrogenation at high reaction temperatures (>573 K) and low H2/diene ratios (e.g., 1:1). Single-bed steady state selective hydrogenation rates, associated apparent hydrogen and butadiene reaction orders, and DFT calculations of the Horiuti-Polanyi reaction mechanisms indicate that the unique butadiene selective hydrogenation reactivity over SAA Pt-Cu/Al2O3 reflects lower hydrogen scission barriers relative to monometallic Cu surfaces and limited butene binding energies relative to monometallic Pt surfaces. DFT calculations further indicate the preferential desorption of butene isomers over SAA Pt-Cu(111) and Cu(111) surfaces while Pt(111) surface favors subsequent butene hydrogenation reactions to form butane over butene desorption events. Under operating conditions without of hydrogen cofeeding, this combination of Zn-Y/Beta and SAA Pt-Cu catalysts can selectively form butenes (65% butenes, 78% C3+ selectivity at 94% conversion) and avoid butane formation using only in situ generated hydrogen, avoiding costly hydrogen cofeeding requirements that hinder many renewable energy processes.

Cordon, Michael↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modeling Volatility-Based Aerosol Phase State Predictions in the Amazon Rainforest

Organic aerosol (OA) is a complex matrix of various constituents—fresh (primary organic aerosols—POA) and aged via oxidation (secondary organic aerosols—SOA), generated from biogenic, anthropogenic, and biomass burning sources. The viscosity of OA can be critical in influencing new particle formation, reactive uptake processes that impact evaporation-growth kinetics, and the lifetime of particles in the atmosphere. We report this work utilizes a well-defined relationship between volatility and viscosity for pure compounds, which we incorporated within the Weather Research and Forecasting Model coupled to chemistry (WRF-Chem) to simulate the phase state and viscosity of bulk OA during the dry-to-wet transition season (September–October) in the Amazon rainforest during 2014. Our simulations indicate spatial and temporal heterogeneity in aerosol phase state often not captured by global-scale models. We show the strong role of water associated with organic aerosol ($w_s$) as the dominant factor that can be used to quantitatively estimate OA viscosity. Analysis of WRF-Chem simulations across the entire atmospheric column indicates a strong inverse log-linear relationship between $w_s$ and OA viscosity with a correlation coefficient approaching 1, in the background and biomass burning-influenced conditions. At high altitudes where relative humidity (RH) and temperatures are low, our simulations indicate that OA exists in a semisolid-/solid-like phase state, consistent with previous studies. OA hygroscopicity is strongly correlated (ca. –0.8) with OA viscosity at RH ca. 30–50%, but this RH range is found mostly at low OA concentrations and the middle troposphere (ca. 6–10 km altitudes) in our simulated domain. OA hygroscopicity is uncorrelated with viscosity at higher-RH (near surface) and lower-RH (upper troposphere) regimes. At the urban site near surface, where day–night differences in RH are significant, RH is found to drive the phase state. At the background forested site near surface, where day–night RH differences are small, biomass burning-influenced OA is semisolid and a significant OA associated with background conditions is liquid-like. Simulations indicate a long tail of OA viscosity frequency distributions extending in the semisolid/solid regimes over background biogenic-influenced conditions due to the role of low-volatility OA components such as monoterpene oxidation products.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Microbial Community Changes across Time and Space in a Constructed Wetland

Constructed wetlands are artificial ecosystems designed to replicate natural wetland processes. Microbial communities play a pivotal role in cycling essential elements, particularly sulfur, which is crucial for trace metal fixation and remobilization in these ecosystems. By their response to their environment, microbial communities act as biological indicators of the wetland performance. To address knowledge gaps pertinent to the changes in trace metal bioavailability in relation to microbial activities in the H-02 constructed wetland, we performed this study to investigate temporal and spatial variations in microbial communities by using molecular biology tools. Quantitative polymerase chain reaction and next generation sequencing techniques were employed to analyze archaeal and bacterial groups associated with sulfur and methane cycling. Alpha diversity indices were used to assess species richness, evenness, and dominance. Results indicated high gene abundance of Desulfuromonas (5.37 × 10 6 g.cell –1 ), methane oxidizing bacteria (6.92 × 10 6 g.cell –1 ), and methanogenic microorganisms (3.02 × 10 5 g.cell –1 ) during cool months. Warm months were marked by sulfate reducing bacteria dominance (3.31 × 10 6 g.cell –1 ), potentially due to competitive interactions and environmental conditions, higher temperatures, and lower redox potential. Spatial variability among microbial groups was insignificant, but trends in gene abundance indicated complex factors influencing these groups. Next generation sequencing data demonstrated Firmicutes as the most abundant phylum with over 50% regardless of the season or sampling location. Cool months exhibited higher alpha diversity than warm months. Overall, this study showed that seasonal changes significantly impacted the microbial communities in the H-02 constructed wetland that are associated with the sulfur cycle and eventually trace metal biogeochemistry, revealing two distinct mechanisms of the sulfur cycle between the two main seasons, whereas spatial variability effects were not conclusive.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigating Np(VI) Nitrate Speciation Control through Temperature and Optical Spectroscopy

Numerous areas of nuclear processing, such as radioisotope production, nuclear waste remediation, and separations, depend upon the speciation of f-elements in the solution state. However, fundamental knowledge of the actinides─particularly Np─lags behind most of the elements on the periodic table. Despite the importance of Np(VI) chemistry in separations and nuclear processing, its speciation in HNO 3 remains uncertain. This work addresses some of these gaps by investigating the effect of HNO 3 concentration and temperature on the spectra and speciation of the Np(VI) nitrate system. Six samples of Np in 1 to 10 M HNO 3 were prepared and treated with (NH 4 ) 2 [Ce(NO 3 ) 6 ] to stabilize the hexavalent oxidation state. The absorbance spectrum of the 10 M HNO 3 is drastically different from the spectra of the other samples; the 10 M spectrum indicates coordination of nitrate ligands to the Np(VI)O 2 2+ ion to form a complex with high symmetry. Additionally, absorbance spectra were recorded over the temperature range of 15 to 40 °C, and systematic increases and decreases in certain spectral features of the ultraviolet–visible (UV–vis)–near-infrared (NIR) spectra are present in the spectra. The difference in spectral features suggests that Np(VI) nitrate speciation depends on temperature. Dilution studies of this sample were monitored with UV–vis–NIR and Raman spectroscopies. Spectral data indicate the presence of multiple complexes with different symmetries, including a high-symmetry complex with an inversion center. As samples are diluted and aquo ligands replace nitrate ligands bound to the Np(VI) neptunyl cation, changes in spectroscopic signals indicate a decrease in the high-symmetry nitrate complex and an increase in the lower-symmetry aquo complex. Additionally, the Raman band associated with the Np(VI)O 2 2+ symmetric stretch broadens with dilution and is fitted with two peaks. These peaks are assigned to Np(VI) aquo and nitrato complexes, indicating that this vibrational mode is sensitive to the coordination environment of the Np(VI) neptunyl cation and that contributions from these two Np(VI) complexes can be distinguished. This unique experimental data could be used to advance computational models describing the electronic transitions of complex actinyl ions.

Absorption↗
DOE OSTI2020

Enhanced predictability of Eastern North Pacific Tropical cyclone activity using the ENSO Longitude Index

Past studies have indicated that El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) plays a major role in the interannual variability of Eastern Pacific hurricane activity. The primary mechanism being the eastward displacement of the warm pool during an El Nino, which carries warm water into that basin thereby creating favorable oceanic conditions. Despite this, the question of whether an accurate knowledge of ENSO enhances seasonal predictabiity of Eastern Pacific hurricanes has not been addressed specifically. In this study, we show that unlike traditional indices of ENSO, the ENSO Longitude Index (ELI) is able to predict Eastern Pacific hurricane activity at significant lead times. By capturing changes in the location of deep convection and associated thermocline processes more accurately, ELI explains the most variability in the upper-ocean heat content in the main development region of the Eastern Pacific basin compared to other ENSO indices. These results have substantial implications for operational seasonal forecasts of Eastern Pacific hurricanes.

Balaguru, Karthik↗
DOE OSTI2021

Examination of Radiation Belt Dynamics During Substorm Clusters: Activity Drivers and Dependencies of Trapped Flux Enhancements

Here, dynamical variations of radiation belt trapped electron fluxes are examined to better understand the variability of enhancements linked to substorm clusters. Analysis is undertaken using the Substorm Onsets and Phases from Indices of the Electrojet substorm cluster algorithm for event detection. Observations from low earth orbit are complemented by additional measurements from medium earth orbit to allow a major expansion in the energy range considered, from medium energy energetic electrons up to ultra-relativistic electrons. The number of substorms identified inside a cluster does not depend strongly on solar wind drivers or geomagnetic indices either before, during, or after the cluster start time. Clusters of substorms linked to moderate (100 nT < AE ≤ 300 nT) or strong AE (AE ≥ 300 nT) disturbances are associated with radiation belt flux enhancements, including up to ultra-relativistic energies by the strongest substorms (as measured by strong southward Bz and high AE). These clusters reliably occur during times of high speed solar winds streams with associated increased magnetospheric convection. However, substorm clusters associated with quiet AE disturbances (AE ≤ 100 nT) lead to no significant chorus whistler mode intensity enhancements, or increases in energetic, relativistic, or ultra-relativistic electron flux in the outer radiation belts. In these cases the solar wind speed is low, and the geomagnetic Kp index indicates a lack of magnetospheric convection. Our study clearly indicates that clusters of substorms occurring outside of high speed wind streams are not by themselves sufficient to drive acceleration, which may be due to the lack of pre-cluster convection.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Process Interactions Can Change Process Ranking in a Coupled Complex System Under Process Model and Parametric Uncertainty

For a complex hydrologic system with multiple processes and process interactions, global sensitivity analysis is often used to identify important or influential parameters for model development and improvement. The identification is complicated by process model uncertainty, when a system process can be represented by multiple process models. This study develops a new total-effect process sensitivity index to identify influential processes under model uncertainty. This is done by extending Sobol's total-effect parameter sensitivity index for one system model to total-effect process sensitivity index for multiple system models to account for uncertainty in process models and model parameters. The total-effect process sensitivity index includes not only the first-order process sensitivity index for measuring the importance of individual processes but also higher-order indices that account for process interactions. The total-effect process sensitivity index can identify an influential process that itself and its interactions with other processes influence a model output. Here, the total-effect process sensitivity index is applied to two numerical examples: (a) Sobol's G*-functions with analytical solutions of first-order and total-effect process sensitivity indices, and (b) groundwater flow models with interactions between recharge, geology, and snowmelt processes. The second evaluation shows that, due to second-order and higher-order process interactions, the first-order and total-effect process sensitivity indices give different process ranking. It is thus necessary to estimate both first-order and total-effect process sensitivity indices to appreciate the difference between the first-order impact of a process alone and the overall total-effect impact of the process itself and its interactions with other processes on a model output.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

The Dichotomy of Wet and Dry Trends Over India by Aerosol Indirect Effects in CMIP5 Models

Abstract Aerosol‐cloud interactions, also known as aerosol indirect effect (AIE), substantially impact rainfall frequency and intensity. Here, we analyze NEX‐GDDP, a multimodel ensemble of high‐resolution (0.25°) historical simulations and future projections statistically downscaled from 21 CMIP5 models, to quantify the importance of AIE on extreme climate indices, specifically consecutive dry days (CDD), consecutive wet days (CWD), and simple daily intensity index (SDII). The 21 NEX‐GDDP CMIP5 models are classified into models with reliable (REM) and unreliable (UREM) monsoon climate simulated over India based on their simulations of the climate indices. The REM group is further decomposed based on whether the models represent only the direct (REM ADE ) or the direct and indirect (REM ALL ) aerosol effects. Compared to REM ADE , including all aerosol effects significantly improves the model skills in simulating the observed historical trends of all three climate indices over India. Specifically, AIE enhances dry days and reduces wet days in India in the historical period, consistent with the observed changes. However, by the middle and end of the 21st century, there is a relative decrease in dry days and an increase in wet days and precipitation intensity. Moreover, the REM ALL simulated future CWD and CDD changes are mostly opposite to those in REM ADE , indicating the substantial role of AIE in the future projection of dry and wet climates. These findings underscore the crucial role of AIE in future projections of the Indian hydroclimate and motivate efforts to accurately represent AIE in climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

The Water Balance Representation in Urban‐PLUMBER Land Surface Models

Abstract Urban Land Surface Models (ULSMs) simulate energy and water exchanges between the urban surface and atmosphere. However, earlier systematic ULSM comparison projects assessed the energy balance but ignored the water balance, which is coupled to the energy balance. Here, we analyze the water balance representation in 19 ULSMs participating in the Urban‐PLUMBER project using results for 20 sites spread across a range of climates and urban form characteristics. As observations for most water fluxes are unavailable, we examine the water balance closure, flux timing, and magnitude with a score derived from seven indicators expecting better scoring models to capture the latent heat flux more accurately. We find that the water budget is only closed in 57% of the model‐site combinations assuming closure when annual total incoming fluxes (precipitation and irrigation) fluxes are within 3% of the outgoing (all other) fluxes. Results show the timing is better captured than magnitude. No ULSM has passed all water balance indicators for any site. Models passing more indicators do not capture the latent heat flux more accurately refuting our hypothesis. While output reporting inconsistencies may have negatively affected model performance, our results indicate models could be improved by explicitly verifying water balance closure and revising runoff parameterizations. By expanding ULSM evaluation to the water balance and related to latent heat flux performance, we demonstrate the benefits of evaluating processes with direct feedback mechanisms to the processes of interest.

Jongen, H. J.↗