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At least 397 records · Page 22

Cost-Benefit Analysis For Indonesia Building Sector: Whole-Building Cooling Solutions

The Net Zero World (NZW) Initiative Collaborative Work Program with the Government of Indonesia (GoI) includes technical assistance and investment mobilization facilitation to accelerate deployment of energy efficiency technologies and solutions for the building sector. A February 2023 U.S.–Indonesia Joint Workshop on Decarbonizing the Building Sector yielded a NZW Indonesia Building Decarbonization Working Group (NZW IBDWG) with four sub-working groups (SWG): SWG-A National Center, SWG-B Capacity Building, SWG-C Investment and Financing, and SWG-D Pilot Projects. Technical analysis of whole-building cooling solutions for tropical climates of Indonesia was conducted by SWG-A to quantify energy savings, carbon dioxide reductions, and comfort improvements offered by 12 passive or low-energy cooling strategies: ceiling fans with and without thermostat setbacks; cool roofs; cool walls; exterior awnings; exterior shades; interior shades; insulated roofs; insulated walls; low-e windows; solar window films; and natural ventilation. Leveraging the results from SWG-A, cost-benefit analysis (CBA) was conducted by SWG-C to assess the consumer and national costs and impacts associated with these 12 cooling solutions. The evaluation involved estimating life-cycle costs (LCC), payback period (PBP), net present values (NPV), annual electricity burden change for low-income households, and reduced national annual power-sector generation demand by 2030, 2040, 2050, and 2060. This evaluation can help guide Indonesia’s Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) investments in policies and programs to advance research, development, deployment, and commercial adoption (RDDCA) of efficient residential building sector cooling technologies and solutions in Indonesia. Four key energy conservation measures (ECM) have been identified to reduce air-conditioning (AC) energy demand in single-family housing in Indonesia: ceiling fan with temperature setback (to 28.1 °Celcius from 25 °C); insulated walls; insulated roof; and cool roof. This study found that low-income households with AC installations in Indonesia currently face a high energy cost burden of approximately 10%. However, by implementing a ceiling fan with temperature setback, this burden could decrease to 2.5% today and further reduce to 1.3% by the year 2060. The PBP for a ceiling fan with temperature setback is one year, indicating one of the lowest LCC and best NPV. In the planned upcoming phase of CBA, a series of building cooling improvement scenarios can be further defined, incorporating more than one ECM in combination with socio-economic factors evaluated in the initial CBA phase. Additionally, the analysis of ECM effects in multifamily housing can be expanded. This broader national analysis aims to encompass a holistic and comprehensive system-level perspective, including factors such as avoided power sector infrastructure investments, domestic job creation, domestic manufacturing job creation, and gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Probing thermodynamics of radiogenic helium and defects in $δ$-plutonium alloys and interactions with adsorbed environmental gases

Differential scanning calorimetry coupled with simultaneous evolved gas analysis (DSC-EGA) on aged δ-Pu samples shows that most radiogenic helium remains trapped within the Pu matrix at temperatures very close to, or slightly above, the melting temperature. Our results indicate that helium release from 50-year-old δ-Pu occurs as a burst just below the melting temperature (>0.994 T m ), with subsequent pressure oscillations as temperature increases. Subordinate quantities of H 2 were also released along with helium. Here, the helium emission tails off and ceases above ~720 – 750°C. In a δ-Pu alloy aged 6 years, the initial helium burst occurs slightly above melting (~1.015 – 1.042 T m ), with a discrete, larger helium spike occurring between 670 and 686°C. The proximity of helium release to the liquidus transition presented challenges in the deconvolution of overlapping process enthalpies, the liquidus endotherm, and the exotherm resulting from bubble collapse, annealing and gas expulsion. Helium’s strong affinity for vacancy binding in a 2He-vac configuration is predicted by Density Functional Theory (DFT) modeling. The measured stored energy associated with the He release events in a 50-year-old δ alloy is on the order of ~ 10–11 J/g, which is significantly higher than stored energies measured in the sub-solidus regimes (~2 J/g) that are related to the solid-state annealing of processing- and radiation-induced defects. This implies that aged δ Pu alloys have a remarkable resilience to accommodate the lattice strain produced by the internal pressure of the helium bubbles and provides further insight into the thermodynamic behavior of aged δ Pu.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Simulations for x-ray imaging of wave-packet dynamics

Previous work on imaging wave-packet dynamics with x-ray scattering revealed that the scattering patterns deviate substantially from the notion of instantaneous momentum density of the wave packet. Here we show that scattering patterns can provide clear insights into the electron wave-packet dynamics if the final state of the scattered electron and the scattered photon momentum are determined simultaneously. The scattering probability is shown to be proportional to the modulus square of the Fourier transform of the instantaneous electronic spatial wave function weighted by the final state of the electron. Several cases for the choice of final state of the electron are explored. First, the case where the final state can be measured up to a given principal quantum number n and orbital angular momentum l are presented. Next, the case where the final states can only be determined up to a given energy is discussed. Lastly, the case of an initial wave packet consisting of a large amount of a known stationary state and a small amount of an unknown stationary state is examined. The scattering profile is used to determine the properties of the unknown state in the wave packet.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Establishing an Early CO 2 Storage Complex in Kemper County, Mississippi: Project ECO 2 S (Phase III) (Final Progress Report)

“Establishing an Early CO 2 Storage Complex in Kemper County, Mississippi (Project ECO 2 S)” is an early mover project within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and National Energy Technology Laboratory’s Carbon Storage Assurance Facility Enterprise, or CarbonSAFE, initiative. Phase III of Project ECO2S advanced the foundational work of Phase II, which confirmed the potential for safely, permanently, and economically storing commercial volumes of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) in the regionally significant saline reservoir system near Mississippi Power Company’s (MPC) Kemper County Energy Facility. The primary objective of Phase III was to complete detailed site characterization necessary to obtain an Underground Injection Control (UIC) Class VI Permit to Construct from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. This involved transitioning from regional geologic assessments to high-resolution site-specific analyses.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Inclusive jet and hadron suppression in a multistage approach

We present a new study of jet interactions in the quark-gluon plasma created in high-energy heavy-ion collisions, using a multistage event generator within the jetscape framework. We focus on medium-induced modifications in the rate of inclusive jets and high transverse momentum (high-p T ) hadrons. Scattering-induced jet energy loss is calculated in two stages: a high virtuality stage based on the matter model, in which scattering of highly virtual partons modifies the vacuum radiation pattern, and a second stage at lower jet virtuality based on the LBT model, in which leading partons gain and lose virtuality by scattering and radiation. Coherence effects that reduce the medium-induced emission rate in the matter phase are also included. The TRENTO model is used for initial conditions, and the (2 + 1)dimensional VISHNU model is used for viscous hydrodynamic evolution. Jet interactions with the medium are modeled via 2-to-2 scattering with Debye screened potentials, in which the recoiling partons are tracked, hadronized, and included in the jet clustering. Holes left in the medium are also tracked and subtracted to conserve transverse momentum. Calculations of the nuclear modification factor (R AA ) for inclusive jets and high-p T hadrons are compared to experimental measurements at the BNL Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC) and the CERN Large Hadron Collider (LHC). Within this framework, we find that with one extra parameter which codifies the transition between stages of jet modification—along with the typical parameters such as the coupling in the medium, the start and stop criteria, etc.—we can describe these data at all energies for central and semicentral collisions without a rescaling of the jet transport coefficient q.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Stabilizing the Interphase in Cobalt–Free, Ultrahigh–Nickel Cathodes for Lithium–Ion Batteries

High-nickel layered oxide cathodes, such as LiNi 1-x-y Mn x Co y O 2 (NMC) and LiNi 1-x-y Co x Al y O 2 (NCA), are at the forefront for implementation in high-energy-density lithium-ion batteries. The presence of cobalt in both cathode chemistries, however, largely deters their application due to fiscal and humanitarian issues affiliated with cobalt sourcing. Increasing the Ni content drives down the Co content, but introduces additional structural and electrochemical problems attributed to high-Ni cathodes. Herein a dually modified cobalt-free ultrahigh-nickel cathode 0.02B-LiNi 0.99 Mg 0.01 O 2 (NBM) is presented with 1 mol% Mg and 2 mol% B that exhibits a high initial 1C discharge capacity of 210 mA h g –1 with a 20% capacity retention improvement over 500 cycles when benchmarked against LiNiO 2 (LNO) in pouch full cell configurations with graphite anode. Postmortem analyses reveal the enhanced performance stems from reduced active lithium inventory loss and localized surface reactivity in the NBM cathode. Here, the stabilized cathode-electrolyte interphase subsequently reduces transition-metal dissolution and ensuing chemical crossover to the graphite anode, which prevents further catalyzed parasitic reactions that harmfully passivate the anode surface. Altogether, this study aims to highlight the importance of electrode characterization and analysis from an interphasial viewpoint and to push the ongoing research to stabilize cobalt-free ultrahigh-Ni cathodes for industrial feasibility.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Performance Evaluation of LPBF Manufactured 316H Components

This work represents the continuation of a benchmark study that includes modeling, fabrication and characterization as demonstration to support industry’s adoption of advanced manufacturing processes in a variety of structures. This comprehensive study investigated the feasibility of using additive manufacturing (AM) technologies, specifically Laser Powder Direct Energy Deposition (LP-DED) and Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF), to produce complex nuclear microreactor components using 316H stainless steel. The research focused on manufacturing an expanded elbow pipe component with transitioning sections, which are traditionally difficult and costly to produce through conventional manufacturing methods. The overall study’s primary objectives are therefore demonstrating AM viability for nuclear applications, optimizing process parameters, developing comprehensive material characterization protocols, validating computational modeling approaches, and establishing manufacturing guidelines for complex geometries. Although the initial work included the phased approach of cubical, upscaled cylindrical components, it is to enable to obtain more knowledge for the printing of the expanded elbow structure. The project achieved significant progress in process development by successfully optimizing LP-DED parameters to achieve 99.16-99.97% relative density in 316H stainless steel components. Through systematic evaluation of sixteen cube samples with varied laser powers (400-700W) and scan speeds (600-900 mm/min), optimal processing windows were identified at 500-550W with 600-700 mm/min or 650-700W with 650-900 mm/min scan speeds. The DED manufactured 316H demonstrated mechanical properties comparable or superior to wrought materials, with Young's modulus ranging from 153-208 GPa and controlled microstructural characteristics including greater than 95% face-centered cubic (FCC) phases and engineered cellular structures with sizes between 3.23-6.17 µm.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Airfoil Computational Fluid Dynamics - 2k shapes, 25 AoA's, 3 Re numbers

This dataset contains aerodynamic quantities - including flow field values (momentum, energy, and vorticity) and summary values (coefficients of lift, drag, and momentum) - for 1,830 airfoil shapes computed using the HAM2D CFD (computational fluid dynamics) model. The airfoil shapes were designed using the separable shape tensor parameterization that encodes two-dimensional shapes as elements of the Grassmann manifold. This data-driven approach learns two independent spaces of parameter from a collection of sample airfoils. The first captures large-scale, linear perturbations, and the second defines small-scale, higher-order perturbations. For this dataset, we used the G2Aero database of over 19,000 airfoil shapes to learn a parameter space that captured a wide array of shape characteristics. We sampled airfoil designs over both parameter spaces to explore the full range of possible shape variations. The aerodynamic quantities for the generated airfoil were obtained using the HAM2D code, which is a finite-volume Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) flow solver. We employ a fifth-order WENO scheme for spatial reconstruction with Roe's flux difference scheme for inviscid flux and second-order central differencing for viscous flux. A preconditioned GMRES method is applied for implicit integration. The Spalart-Allmaras 1-eq turbulence model is used for the turbulence closure, and the Medida-Baeder 2-eq transition model is applied to account for the effects of laminar turbulent transition. The airfoil grid is generated with a total of 400 points on the airfoil surface, the initial wall-normal spacing of y+ = 1, and an outer boundary located at 300 chord lengths away from the wall. The CFD simulations are performed at a freestream Mach number of 0.1, for or three different Reynolds' numbers (3M, 6M, and 9M), and for 25 angles of attack from -4 deg. to 20 deg. with 1 degree increments. Across all these various parameters, this dataset includes the results from over 250,000 CFD simulations. The simulations were performed using the Bridges-2 system at the Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center in February 2023 as part of the INTEGRATE project funded by the Advanced Research Projects Agency - Energy, in the U.S. Department of Energy. The data was collected, reformatted, and preprocessed for this OEDI submission in July 2023 under the Foundational AI for Wind Energy project funded by the U.S. Department of Energy Wind Energy Technologies Office. This dataset is intended to serve as a benchmark against which new artificial intelligence (AI) or machine learning (ML) tools may be tested. Baseline AI/ML methods for analyzing this dataset have been implemented, and a link to their repository containing those models has been provided. The .h5 data file structure can be found in the GitHub Repository resource under explore_airfoil_2k_data.ipynb.

2k↗

Analytical solution for nonadiabatic quantum annealing to arbitrary Ising spin Hamiltonian

Abstract Ising spin Hamiltonians are often used to encode a computational problem in their ground states. Quantum Annealing (QA) computing searches for such a state by implementing a slow time-dependent evolution from an easy-to-prepare initial state to a low energy state of a target Ising Hamiltonian of quantum spins, H I . Here, we point to the existence of an analytical solution for such a problem for an arbitrary H I beyond the adiabatic limit for QA. This solution provides insights into the accuracy of nonadiabatic computations. Our QA protocol in the pseudo-adiabatic regime leads to a monotonic power-law suppression of nonadiabatic excitations with time T of QA, without any signature of a transition to a glass phase, which is usually characterized by a logarithmic energy relaxation. This behavior suggests that the energy relaxation can differ in classical and quantum spin glasses strongly, when it is assisted by external time-dependent fields. In specific cases of H I , the solution also shows a considerable quantum speedup in computations.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

UNIFI's Grid-Forming (GFM) Inverter Reference Design: A Tutorial on Modeling, Control, and Experimental Implementation of GFM Inverters

The UNIFI Consortium's tutorial on grid-forming (GFM) inverters provides a comprehensive guide to the modeling, control, and experimental implementation of GFM inverters. As the integration of renewable energy accelerates, the transition from traditional grid following (GFL) to GFM inverters is crucial to ensure stable and sustainable power systems. This document outlines a reference design for three-phase and single-phase GFM inverters developed at the University of Texas at Austin. The tutorial also provides step-by-step guidance for accessing and using UNIFI’s GitHub repository, enabling users to design, build, and test GFM inverters efficiently. By fostering collaboration and equipping users with accessible resources, this initiative aims to drive widespread adoption of GFM technology across academia, utilities, and industries.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

The microscopic mechanism of bulk melting of ice

We study the initial stages of homogeneous melting of a hexagonal ice crystal at coexistence and at moderate superheating. Our trajectory-based computer simulation approach provides a comprehensive picture of the events that lead to melting, from the initial accumulation of 5+7 defects, via the formation of L-D and interstitial-vacancy pairs, to the formation of a liquid nucleus. Of the different types of defects that we observe to be involved in melting, a particular kind of 5+7 type defect (type 5) plays a prominent role as it often forms prior to the formation of the initial liquid nucleus and close to the site where the nucleus forms. Hence, like other solids, ice homogeneously melts via the prior accumulation of defects.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Operation of Layered LiCoO 2 to Higher Voltages with a Localized Saturated Electrolyte

The commercialization of lithium-ion batteries started with the layered LiCoO 2 (LCO) cathode for portable electronics, but only 50% of its theoretical capacity can be used in practical cells due to detrimental surface and bulk degradations when charged to high voltages. Here we demonstrate here that the stability of electrolyte plays a critical role in the performance of LCO at high voltages by employing a localized saturated electrolyte (LSE). With a cutoff voltage of 4.5 V, LCO achieves an initial 1C discharge capacity of 176 mA h g -1 and a capacity retention of 80% over 230 cycles. Even with a cutoff voltage of 4.6 V, LCO with 2% aluminum doping displays an initial discharge capacity of 189 mA h g -1 at 1C rate with 80% capacity retention over 137 cycles. With extensive analytical characterization, we show that the improved cycling stability stems from a suppression of the O3 to H1-3 phase transition as well as a robust inorganic-rich cathode-electrolyte interphase (CEI) facilitated by the LSE. This work highlights the importance of protecting the surface as well as the bulk with appropriate electrolytes for the high-voltage, higher-energy-density operation of LCO.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Development of Biological and Electrochemical Technologies for the Clean Extraction of Copper and Critical Materials from Low Grade Ores

As we transition toward renewable energy resources and electrification, there will be an increasing demand for critical materials, including copper. While copper is currently mined in the US, processing capacity is not sufficient, and intermediate mining products are shipped to Asia for further processing. The goal of this research was to develop a transformative hydrometallurgical process for the production of copper from low-grade ores that would eliminate the need for smelting and would increase the domestic processing capacity in the US, The project initially focused on the electrochemical reduction of copper concentrate using vanadium, followed by the biological oxidation to produce a stream compatible with existing solvent extraction and electrowinning operations. We discovered an efficient electrochemical process that could produce copper salts from concentrate without the need for biological oxidation, and this technology has been licensed and spun-off into a start-up company. The microbes involved in the current state-of-the-art bioleaching processes were genetically modified to introduced a number of new traits, including increased sulfur oxidation, salt-tolerance, and binding of other critical metals such as cobalt, molybdenum, rhenium, and the rare earth elements. The project was extended to also explore the electrochemical oxidation of copper concentrate using cerium which would potentially eliminate production of hydrogen sulfide that occurs with the reductive leaching process. This technology was found to have slower kinetics, however could it still be developed as an alternative process for domestic copper production and has been found to be applicable to other critical minerals.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Direct Measurement of Ice-Ablator Interface Motion for Instability Mitigation in Indirect Drive ICF Implosions

In indirect drive inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosions hydrodynamic instability growth at the imploding capsule ablator-DT fuel interface can reduce fuel compressibility and inject ablator into the hot spot hence reducing hot spot pressure and temperature. As a mitigation strategy, a gentle acceleration of this interface is predicted by simulations and theory to significantly reduce this instability growth in the early stage of the implosion. We have performed high-contrast, time-resolved x-ray refraction enhanced radiography (RER) to accurately measure the level of acceleration as a function of the initial laser drive time history for indirect-drive implosions on the National Ignition Facility. Here, we demonstrate a transition from no acceleration to 20 ± 1.8μm ns -2 acceleration by tweaking the drive that should reduce the initial instabilities by an order of magnitude at high modes.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Time-resolved particle image velocimetry measurements of the turbulent Richtmyer–Meshkov instability

Experiments are presented on the Richtmyer–Meshkov instability (RMI) with a three-dimensional, multi-mode initial perturbation. The experiments use a vertical shock tube, where a stably stratified interface is formed between air and sulphur hexafluoride (SF 6 ) via counterflow. A perturbation is imposed at the interface by vertical oscillation of the gas column, forming Faraday waves. The interface is accelerated by a Mach 1.17 (in air) shock wave, and the development of the mixing region between the gases is investigated using particle image velocimetry. Following shock acceleration, a reflected shock wave from the bottom of the shock tube interacts with the mixing layer a second time (reshock). The experiment is initialized with both high and low amplitude perturbations to examine the effect of the perturbation amplitude on measured quantities. The instability growth exponent (θ) is determined from the kinetic energy field using the width of the mixing layer and the decay of kinetic energy, which are found to be in agreement when the flow is most strongly excited. A growth exponent of θ ≈ 0.5 is found for all cases except the high-amplitude reshocked regime (where θ ≈ 0.33). High-amplitude experiments exhibit the transitional outer Reynolds number (Re ≡ hh˙/ν >10 4 ) required for mixing transition following the incident shock, and both experiments are elevated well above this threshold following reshock. However, neither set of experiments meet the more stringent requirements proposed by Zhou et al. (Phys. Rev.E, vol. 67, issue 5, 2003) which include the time dependent aspect of the RMI, an observation which is also made when examining the spectra.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Circularity Assessment for Silicon Solar Panels Based on Dynamic Material Flow Analysis

Solar photovoltaics (PV) are the fastest growing renewable energy technology for clean, inexpensive, and sustainable electricity generation. Along with numerous technical roadmaps to improve system cost, performance and reliability, the PV industry should also plan to handle large volumes of silicon panel waste, which is initially estimated to be ~13 million metric tons (MT) by 2050 in the U.S. alone. Understanding the magnitude of material needs and how material flows throughout the PV panel life cycle could respond to design, operational and different end-of-life (EOL) circular pathways will help transition into a circular, resource-conserving economy. Herein, we introduce a dynamic material flow analysis (DMFA) framework based on electricity generation to quantify time-series stocks and flows of bulk PV materials (e.g., solar glass and aluminum frames) throughout the life cycles of utility-scale silicon PV systems in the U.S. in the period 2000-2100. We apply the model to a range of scenarios to understand how material demands depend on selected PV-related parameters, different material circularity strategies, and recent module design trends (e.g., bifacial, frameless). We found that float glass and aluminum in PV installations would likely reach 100 million MT and 12 million MT by 2100, respectively, in the baseline scenario. The most influential parameters for PV installation and subsequent waste reduction are found to be module lifetime, module efficiency, annual degradation, and material reduction. Module recycling and component remanufacturing were found to be the most effective material circularity strategies for waste minimization. Panel reuse has negligible savings on waste under current module efficiencies compared to replacements with newer generations with higher efficiency. Ongoing trends to produce larger power frameless modules could save 10 million MT of glass and ~9 million MT of aluminum. Our results enable advanced planning for future materials needs and provide insight into potential opportunities to minimize waste.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Computational diagnostics for flame acceleration and transition to detonation in a hydrogen/air mixture

A new computational diagnostic method for pressure-induced compressibility is proposed by projecting its local contribution to the chemical explosive mode (CEM) in the chemical explosive mode analysis (CEMA) framework. The new method is validated for the study of detonation development during the deflagration-to-detonation transition (DDT) process. The flame characteristics are identified through the quantification of individual CEM contributions of chemical reaction, diffusion, and pressure-induced compressibility. Numerical simulations are performed to investigate the DDT processes in a stoichiometric hydrogen-air mixture. A Godunov algorithm, fifth-order in space, and third-order in time are used to solve the fully compressible Navier-Stokes equations on a dynamically adapting mesh. A single-step, calibrated chemical diffusive model (CDM) described by Arrhenius kinetics is used for energy release and conservation between the fuel and the product. The new diagnostic method is first applied to onedimensional (1D) canonical flame configurations followed by two-dimensional (2D) simulations of DDT in an obstructed channel where different detonation initiation scenarios are examined using the new CEMA projection formulation. Detailed examinations of the idealized configuration of detonation initiation through shock focusing mechanism at a flame front are also studied using the new formulation. A comparison of the currently proposed CEMA projection and the original formulation by the authors suggests that including the pressure-induced compressibility is essential for the use of CEMA in DDT process. The results also show that the new formulation of CEMA projection can successively capture the detonation initiation through either a gradient mechanism or a direct initiation mechanism, and therefore can be used as an effective local analytical tool for the computational diagnostics of detonation initiation in a DDT process. It was found that detonation development is characterized by a strong contribution of chemistry role to the CEM which is pivotal to the initiation of detonation. The role of compressibility is found enhanced at the edge of the detonation front where diffusion was found to have minimal effects on detonation development.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Toward Drilling the Perfect Geothermal Well: An International Research Coordination Network for Geothermal Drilling Optimization Supported by Deep Machine Learning and Cloud Based Data Aggregation

The EDGE project, supported by the U.S. Department of Energy Geothermal Technologies Office under award DE-EE0008793, established a data-driven framework for improving the efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and reliability of geothermal well drilling. The project focused on developing scalable data infrastructure, advanced machine learning and probabilistic models, and integrated analytics tools to support continuous drilling optimization. A central objective was to reduce geothermal drilling costs by up to seventy percent while minimizing the risk of well failure through predictive diagnostics and adaptive planning. Over the project period, a comprehensive data repository was designed and deployed, incorporating records from over one hundred geothermal wells across varied geological settings. This repository supported both structured and unstructured data and adhered to FAIR data principles, enabling provenance tracking, quality control, and standardized metadata. The project introduced automated ingestion pipelines and a cloud-hosted platform that facilitated access to raw, processed, and derived datasets. This infrastructure served as the foundation for model development and analysis. Machine learning workflows were developed to predict key drilling metrics including rate of penetration, non-productive time, and total drilling costs. Self-organizing maps and dimensionality reduction methods were used to uncover operational patterns and outliers, while supervised learning algorithms such as random forests and deep neural networks were applied to forecast performance outcomes. The models were validated on heterogeneous datasets from both U.S. and Icelandic fields, demonstrating variable but significant predictive accuracy. The results indicated that finer temporal resolution, inclusion of lithological data, and consistency in operational annotations could substantially improve model performance. The project also implemented process mining techniques to reconstruct state-transition models from drilling event logs. These models enabled the identification of deviations from optimal workflows and provided insights into recurring failure modes. Analysis of non-productive time highlighted the impact of equipment failures, geological challenges, and human factors, offering opportunities for targeted mitigation strategies. The EDGE Dashboard was developed as a web-based expert system integrating data visualization, model outputs, and user-driven queries. It provided an accessible interface for operators to explore historical data, evaluate predicted outcomes, and compare drilling scenarios. Initial feedback from project partners suggested that the dashboard could serve as a foundation for more advanced advisory and optimization tools. Overall, the EDGE project demonstrated the feasibility and value of applying modern data science techniques to geothermal drilling. It delivered a set of interoperable tools and models that can support more efficient, lower-risk well development. The findings point toward a viable path for transitioning from advisory analytics to semi-autonomous drilling systems, contingent on continued collaboration, expanded datasets, and field validation. The project results have immediate relevance for drilling operations, data management practices, and future geothermal R&D efforts aimed at achieving reliable, cost-competitive geothermal energy at scale.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗