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At least 397 records · Page 22

Autonomous and dynamic precursor selection for solid-state materials synthesis

Abstract Solid-state synthesis plays an important role in the development of new materials and technologies. While in situ characterization and ab-initio computations have advanced our understanding of materials synthesis, experiments targeting new compounds often still require many different precursors and conditions to be tested. Here we introduce an algorithm (ARROWS 3 ) designed to automate the selection of optimal precursors for solid-state materials synthesis. This algorithm actively learns from experimental outcomes to determine which precursors lead to unfavorable reactions that form highly stable intermediates, preventing the target material’s formation. Based on this information, ARROWS 3 proposes new experiments using precursors it predicts to avoid such intermediates, thereby retaining a larger thermodynamic driving force to form the target. We validate this approach on three experimental datasets, containing results from over 200 synthesis procedures. In comparison to black-box optimization, ARROWS 3 identifies effective precursor sets for each target while requiring substantially fewer experimental iterations. These findings highlight the importance of domain knowledge in optimization algorithms for materials synthesis, which are critical for the development of fully autonomous research platforms.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multipole groups and fracton phenomena on arbitrary crystalline lattices

Multipole symmetries are of interest in multiple contexts, from the study of fracton phases, to nonergodic quantum dynamics, to the exploration of new hydrodynamic universality classes. However, prior explorations have focused on continuum systems or hypercubic lattices. In this work, we systematically explore multipole symmetries on arbitrary crystal lattices. We explain how, given a crystal structure (specified by a space group and the occupied Wyckoff positions), one may systematically construct all consistent multipole groups. We focus on two-dimensional crystal structures for simplicity, although our methods are general and extend straightforwardly to three dimensions. We classify the possible multipole groups on all two-dimensional Bravais lattices, and on the Kagome and breathing Kagome crystal structures to illustrate the procedure on general crystal lattices. Using Wyckoff positions, we provide an in-principle classification of all possible multipole groups in any space group. We explain how, given a valid multipole group, one may construct a consistent lattice Hamiltonian and a low-energy field theory. We then explore the physical consequences, beginning by generalizing certain results originally obtained on hypercubic lattices to arbitrary crystal structures. Next, we identify two apparently novel phenomena: an emergent, robust subsystem symmetry on the triangular lattice, and an exact multipolar symmetry on the breathing Kagome lattice that does not include conservation of charge (monopole), but instead conserves a vector charge. This makes clear that there is new physics to be found by exploring the consequences of multipolar symmetries on arbitrary lattices, and this work provides the map for the exploration thereof, as well as guiding the search for emergent multipolar symmetries and the attendant exotic phenomena in real materials based on nonhypercubic lattices.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Physics guided machine learning using simplified theories

Recent applications of machine learning, in particular deep learning, motivate the need to address the generalizability of the statistical inference approaches in physical sciences. In this Letter, we introduce a modular physics guided machine learning framework to improve the accuracy of such data-driven predictive engines. The chief idea in our approach is to augment the knowledge of the simplified theories with the underlying learning process. To emphasize their physical importance, our architecture consists of adding certain features at intermediate layers rather than in the input layer. To demonstrate our approach, we select a canonical airfoil aerodynamic problem with the enhancement of the potential flow theory. We include the features obtained by a panel method that can be computed efficiently for an unseen configuration in our training procedure. By addressing the generalizability concerns, our results suggest that the proposed feature enhancement approach can be effectively used in many scientific machine learning applications, especially for the systems where we can use a theoretical, empirical, or simplified model to guide the learning module.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Robust scalable initialization for Bayesian variational inference with multi-modal Laplace approximations

Predictive modeling typically relies on Bayesian model calibration to provide uncertainty quantification. Variational inference utilizing fully independent (“mean-field”) Gaussian distributions are often used as approximate probability density functions. This simplification is attractive since the number of variational parameters grows only linearly with the number of unknown model parameters. However, the resulting diagonal covariance structure and unimodal behavior can be too restrictive to provide useful approximations of intractable Bayesian posteriors that exhibit highly non-Gaussian behavior, including multimodality. High-fidelity surrogate posteriors for these problems can be obtained by considering the family of Gaussian mixtures. Gaussian mixtures are capable of capturing multiple modes and approximating any distribution to an arbitrary degree of accuracy, while maintaining some analytical tractability. Unfortunately, variational inference using Gaussian mixtures with full-covariance structures suffers from a quadratic growth in variational parameters with the number of model parameters. The existence of multiple local minima due to strong nonconvex trends in the loss functions often associated with variational inference present additional complications, These challenges motivate the need for robust initialization procedures to improve the performance and computational scalability of variational inference with mixture models. In this work, we propose a method for constructing an initial Gaussian mixture model approximation that can be used to warm-start the iterative solvers for variational inference. The procedure begins with a global optimization stage in model parameter space. In this step, local gradient-based optimization, globalized through multistart, is used to determine a set of local maxima, which we take to approximate the mixture component centers. Around each mode, a local Gaussian approximation is constructed via the Laplace approximation. Finally, the mixture weights are determined through constrained least squares regression. The robustness and scalability of the proposed methodology is demonstrated through application to an ensemble of synthetic tests using high-dimensional, multimodal probability density functions. Here, the practical aspects of the approach are demonstrated with inversion problems in structural dynamics.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

METHODOLOGY AND APPLICATION OF PHYSICAL SECURITY EFFECTIVENESS BASED ON DYNAMIC FORCE-ON-FORCE MODELING

This paper describes ongoing work within the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to optimize security and cost of nuclear power plants (NPPs). It reviews the conservatisms in conventional physical security posture and regulations. It introduces the dynamic risk assessment tool developed at INL, Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD). The dynamic assessment methodology leverages EMRALD to process results of force-on-force (FOF) simulations and crediting safety mitigation actions from probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) models as well as diverse and flexible coping strategies (FLEX) mitigation strategies. Timing information from these simulations are compared against the available time to perform mitigations obtained from Reactor Excursion and Leak Analysis Program (RELAP5) simulations. To illustrate the methodology, a station blackout (SBO) attack scenario was modeled in commercially available FOF simulation tools. The simulation results provide valuable insights into possible attack outcomes and as the probabilistic risk of a core damage event given these outcomes. Safety mitigation procedures were modeled in EMRALD, and were dependent on the attack outcomes by considering human operator uncertainties. RELAP5 simulations incorporating human and hardware uncertainties were performed to estimate the distribution of time-to-core damage. The results demonstrate that, even in the extreme case of a successful adversarial attack, plant mitigation strategies provide significantly high-likelihood of preventing radiological release. The proposed modeling and simulation framework of integrating FLEX equipment with FOF models enables the NPPs to credit FLEX portable equipment in the plant security posture, resulting in an efficient and optimized physical security.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

An implicit-explicit time splitting strategy for the far SOL plasma fluid model with DG-FEM discretization

We consider a far scrape-off layer (SOL) plasma fluid model of ions that is governed by a Braginskiitype model: a one-dimensional, nonlinear system of advection-diffusion equations coupled with a diffusion equation for neutral particles. Our motivation for studying this system arises from the coupling between the edge plasma and radio-frequency (RF) heating, where solving a far SOL plasma fluid model provides critical insights into edge plasma dynamics. Numerical simulations of plasma fluid models require advanced computational techniques to achieve both efficiency and accuracy, especially when resolving the boundary layer in magnetically confined plasmas. In this work, we propose an implicit-explicit time operator splitting strategy that allows for an efficient solution algorithm, where the diffusive terms are treated semi-implicitly requiring only a linear solve, while the advection part is handled explicitly using a strong-stability-preserving Runge-Kutta (SSP-RK3) scheme. This leads to a fully decoupled system in which the diffusion and advection sub-problems can be solved separately, simplifying the overall solution procedure and allowing for efficient parallelization, which is particularly relevant for exploring the impact of RF heating on the SOL plasma. The main challenge of the discretization is due to the strong coupling between diffusion and advection, particularly through the boundary conditions. This makes implementation of such a scheme in an accurate and stable manner nontrivial. We discuss in detail how to split the equations and manage boundary conditions to maintain stability and well-posedness for each subsystem. We also describe a spatial discretization approach, based on the discontinuous Galerkin finite element method (DG-FEM) and present numerical results for a one-dimensional system.

Burkovska, Olena [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000163101130)↗

Next generation Arctic vegetation maps: Aboveground plant biomass and woody dominance mapped at 30 m resolution across the tundra biome

The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth, placing tundra ecosystems at the forefront of global climate change. Plant biomass is a fundamental ecosystem attribute that is sensitive to changes in climate, closely tied to ecological function, and crucial for constraining ecosystem carbon dynamics. However, the amount, functional composition, and distribution of plant biomass are only coarsely quantified across the Arctic. Therefore, we developed the first moderate resolution (30 m) maps of live aboveground plant biomass (g m −2 ) and woody plant dominance (%) for the Arctic tundra biome, including the mountainous Oro Arctic. We modeled biomass for the year 2020 using a new synthesis dataset of field biomass harvest measurements, Landsat satellite seasonal synthetic composites, ancillary geospatial data, and machine learning models. Additionally, we quantified pixel-wise uncertainty in biomass predictions using Monte Carlo simulations and validated the models using a robust, spatially blocked and nested cross-validation procedure. Observed plant and woody plant biomass values ranged from 0 to ∼6000 g m −2 (mean ≈ 350 g m −2 ), while predicted values ranged from 0 to ∼4000 g m −2 (mean ≈ 275 g m −2 ), resulting in model validation root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) ≈ 400 g m −2 and R 2 ≈ 0.6. Our maps not only capture large-scale patterns of plant biomass and woody plant dominance across the Arctic that are linked to climatic variation (e.g., thawing degree days), but also illustrate how fine-scale patterns are shaped by local surface hydrology, topography, and past disturbance. By providing data on plant biomass across Arctic tundra ecosystems at the highest resolution to date, our maps can significantly advance research and inform decision-making on topics ranging from Arctic vegetation monitoring and wildlife conservation to carbon accounting and land surface modeling.

Climate change↗

Dynamic Human-in-the-Loop Simulated Nuclear Power Plant Thermal Dispatch System Demonstration and Evaluation Study

An Idaho National Laboratory research team performed a human-in-the-loop study with two formerly licensed retired operators to evaluate thermal power dispatch operations supported by the modified GSE Systems GPWR plant simulator. Virtual representations of the analog control panels were presented on touch-screen bays configured to mimic the control room layout in the newly renovated Human Systems Simulation Laboratory. The operators performed 15 scenarios covering normal evolutions to transition the plant from full turbine operation to joint turbine and thermal power dispatch operations in addition to transient response scenarios induced with simulated faults to evaluate the impact of thermal power dispatch system on operator and plant responses. A prototype human-system interface (HSI) was developed and displayed in tandem with the virtual analog panels to support the operators executing the procedurally drive evolutions and transient responses. An interdisciplinary team of operations experts, nuclear engineers, and human factors experts observed the operators performing the scenarios to evaluate the operations. Only a preliminary analysis of the results has been performed. The full analysis will be shared in a milestone report scheduled for release at the end of September; however, some high-level conclusions were readily available. Two high level findings for the system design were captured in the study. The manual control supported by the HSI to transition from standard operations to thermal power dispatch operation imposed a considerable amount of workload on the operators due to tedious manual valve manipulations and system monitoring required to verify their intended effect. An additional operator would be required in the control room to support the daily evolution. Automatic control for the transition was deemed a requirement for plant adoption without imposing additional staffing costs. The second finding was the necessity for an automatic thermal power dispatch system trip isolation function linked to a turbine and reactor trip signal. The operators completed scenarios with automatic isolation functionality and manually required actuation of the thermal power dispatch system. The operator response was sufficiently slower in the manual trip condition, such that operators were unable to manually actuate key post trip safety functions an indicate a degraded control capability that should be avoided. With an automatic trip signal little to no impact of the thermal power dispatch system was identified on the primary plant response and therefore the system could be readily and safely adopted. Together these two findings represent the need to support the adoption of thermal power dispatch capability into existing operations by leveraging automation to augment any additional operator tasking required to control and monitor an additional system beyond existing operations.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Efficient bi-directional coupling of 3D computational fluid-particle dynamics and 1D Multiple Path Particle Dosimetry lung models for multiscale modeling of aerosol dosimetry

The development of predictive aerosol dosimetry models has been a major focus of environmental toxicology and pharmaceutical health research for decades. One-dimensional (1D) models successfully predict overall deposition averages but fail to accurately predict local deposition. Computational fluid-particle dynamics (CFPD) models provide site-specific predictions but at a computational cost that prohibits whole lung predictions. Thus, there is a need for developing multiscale strategies to provide a realistic subject-specific picture of the fate of inhaled aerosol in the lungs. CT-based 3D/CFPD models of the large airways were bidirectionally coupled with individualized 1D Navier-Stokes airflow and particle transport based upon the widely used Multiple Path Particle Dosimetry Model (MPPD). Distribution of airflows among lobes was adjusted by measured lobar volume changes observed in CT images between FRC and FRC + 1.5 L. Additionally, as a test of the effectiveness of the coupling procedures, deposition modeling of previous 1 µm aerosol exposure studies was performed. The complete coupled model was run for 3 breaths, with the computation-intense portion being the 3D CFD Lagrangian particle tracking calculation. The average deposition per breath was 11% in the combined multiscale model with site-specific doses available in the CFPD portion of the model and airway- or region-specific deposition available for the MPPD portion. In conclusion, the key methods developed in this study enable predictions of ventilation heterogeneities and aerosol deposition across the lungs that are not captured by 3D or 1D models alone. Overall, these methods can be used as the foundation for multi-scale modeling of the full respiratory system.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Cation Selectivity in Capacitive Deionization: Elucidating the Role of Pore Size, Electrode Potential, and Ion Dehydration

Capacitive deionization (CDI) is a promising water desalination technology that is applicable to the treatment of low-salinity brackish waters and the selective removal of ionic contaminants. In this work, we show that by making a small change in the synthetic procedure of hierarchical carbon aerogel monolith (HCAM) electrodes, we can adjust the pore-size distribution and tailor the selectivity, effectively switching between selective adsorption of calcium or sodium ions. Ion selectivity was measured for a mixture of 5 mM NaCl and 2.5 mM CaCl 2 . For the low activated flow-through CDI (fteCDI) cell, we observed extremely high sodium selectivity over calcium (S Na/Ca $\gg$ 10, no Ca 2+ adsorbed) at all of the applied potentials, while for the highly activated fteCDI cell, we observed a selectivity value of 6.6 ± 0.8 at 0.6 V for calcium over sodium that decreased to 2.2 ± 0.03 at 1.2 V. Molecular dynamics simulations indicated that the loss in Ca 2+ selectivity over Na+ at high applied voltages could be due to a competition between ion-pore electrostatic interactions and volume exclusion (“crowding”) effects. Interestingly, we also find with these simulations that the relative sizes of the ions change due to changes in hydration at a higher voltage.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

(2 + δ)-dimensional theory of the electromechanics of lipid membranes: Electrostatics

The coupling of electric fields to the mechanics of lipid membranes gives rise to intriguing electromechanical behavior, as, for example, evidenced by the deformation of lipid vesicles in external electric fields. Electromechanical effects are relevant for many biological processes, such as the propagation of action potentials in axons and the activation of mechanically gated ion channels. Currently, a theoretical framework describing the electromechanical behavior of arbitrarily curved and deforming lipid membranes does not exist. Purely mechanical models commonly treat lipid membranes as two-dimensional surfaces, ignoring their finite thickness. While holding analytical and numerical merit, this approach cannot describe the coupling of lipid membranes to electric fields and is thus unsuitable for electromechanical models. In a sequence of articles, we derive an effective surface theory of the electromechanics of lipid membranes, called the (2 + δ)-dimensional theory, which has the advantages of surface descriptions while accounting for finite thickness effects. The present article proposes a generic dimension reduction procedure relying on low-order spectral expansions. This procedure is applied to the electrostatics of lipid membranes to obtain the (2 + δ)-dimensional theory that captures potential differences across and electric fields within lipid membranes. Finally, this model is tested on different geometries relevant for lipid membranes, showing good agreement with the corresponding three-dimensional electrostatics theory.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Ni5Ga3 Catalysts for CO2 Reduction to Methanol: Exploring the Role of Ga Surface Oxidation/reductions on Catalytic Activity

Ad-Ni5Ga3/SiO2 catalyst, which is highly active and stable for thermal CO2 hydrogenation to methanol, was investigated to understand its surface dynamics during reaction conditions. The catalyst was prepared, tested and characterized using a multitude of techniques, including ex-situ XRD, TEM, H2-TPR, CO chemisorption and in-situ ETEM and APXPS. The formation of Ga2O3 upon air exposure was observed and the consequences on catalytic activity were investigated. Results revealed that upon air exposure Ga migrates from the subsurface region to the surface of the nanoparticles forming a Ga-oxide shell surrounding a metallic core. The oxide shell can be reduced completely at high temperatures and the temperature of the reduction activation treatment plays a crucial role on the catalytic activity. This air exposure-reduction procedure results in a redistribution of the Ga species in the surface/subsurface region, promoted by a higher Ga affinity for oxygen. XRD analysis of the post-reaction samples provide evidence for the partial transformation of a Ni5Ga3 intermetallic phase into a Ni-rich Ni3Ga phase. APXPS data indicate that the Ni-rich phase forms in the subsurface region. A Ga-rich phase exists on the surface, where the Ni/Ga ratio reaches 2/3 upon activation in hydrogen. At low reduction temperatures an amorphous Ga2O3 shell remains, indicating a promotion effect on methanol synthesis activity.

Ni-Ga, intermetallic, methanol synthesis, in-situ ↗

Calibration of the underground muon detector of the Pierre Auger Observatory

To obtain direct measurements of the muon content of extensive air showers with energy above 10 16.5 eV, the Pierre Auger Observatory is currently being equipped with an underground muon detector (UMD), consisting of 219 10 m 2 -modules, each segmented into 64 scintillators coupled to silicon photomultipliers (SiPMs). Direct access to the shower muon content allows for the study of both of the composition of primary cosmic rays and of high-energy hadronic interactions in the forward direction. As the muon density can vary between tens of muons per m 2 close to the intersection of the shower axis with the ground to much less than one per m 2 when far away, the necessary broad dynamic range is achieved by the simultaneous implementation of two acquisition modes in the read-out electronics: the binary mode, tuned to count single muons, and the ADC mode, suited to measure a high number of them. In this work, we present the end-to-end calibration of the muon detector modules: first, the SiPMs are calibrated by means of the binary channel, and then, the ADC channel is calibrated using atmospheric muons, detected in parallel to the shower data acquisition. The laboratory and field measurements performed to develop the implementation of the full calibration chain of both binary and ADC channels are presented and discussed. The calibration procedure is reliable to work with the high amount of channels in the UMD, which will be operated continuously, in changing environmental conditions, for several years.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Elevated levels of radiocarbon in methane dissolved in seawater reveal likely local contamination from nuclear powered vessels

Measurements of the natural radiocarbon content of methane ( 14 C-CH 4 ) dissolved in seawater and freshwater have been used to investigate sources and dynamics of methane. However, during investigations along the Atlantic, Pacific, and Arctic Ocean Margins of the United States, as well as in the North American Great Lakes, some samples revealed highly elevated 14 C-CH 4 values, as much as 4–5 times above contemporary atmospheric 14 C-CH 4 levels. Natural production of the 14 CH 4 isotopologue is too low to cause these observations nor can it explain the variations in location and depth. Numerous lab and field validation tests and blanks, as well as the relatively small number of samples that display these elevated values, all suggest that these signals are not derived from an unknown procedural issue. Here, in this work, we suggest that the byproducts of nuclear power generation include localized discharges of the 14 CH4 isotopologue into marine and aquatic environments, severely altering the measured 14 C-CH 4 isotopic signals. Since several of our sample sites are distant from on-land nuclear powerplants, we conduct further calculations concluding that the most elevated anomalies in 14 C-CH 4 likely originate with discharge from nuclear-powered vessels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Accelerate microstructure evolution simulation using graph neural networks with adaptive spatiotemporal resolution

Abstract Surrogate models driven by sizeable datasets and scientific machine-learning methods have emerged as an attractive microstructure simulation tool with the potential to deliver predictive microstructure evolution dynamics with huge savings in computational costs. Taking 2D and 3D grain growth simulations as an example, we present a completely overhauled computational framework based on graph neural networks with not only excellent agreement to both the ground truth phase-field methods and theoretical predictions, but enhanced accuracy and efficiency compared to previous works based on convolutional neural networks. These improvements can be attributed to the graph representation, both improved predictive power and a more flexible data structure amenable to adaptive mesh refinement. As the simulated microstructures coarsen, our method can adaptively adopt remeshed grids and larger timesteps to achieve further speedup. The data-to-model pipeline with training procedures together with the source codes are provided.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Monte Carlo Simulations in Support of NorthStar Irradiation Facility Commissioning Procedure

NorthStar Medical Radioisotopes LLC is constructing an irradiation facility at which electron accelerators will induce photo-transmutation (i.e., neutron knockout) of molybdenum-100 (Mo-100) to produce medically useful Mo-99. The facility will house two high-intensity electron RhodotronTM accelerators developed by IBA Industrial. The nominal power of each Rhodotron is 125kW at 40 MeV beam energy. The production target is made of metallic molybdenum enriched with Mo-100 isotope. It will be irradiated by electron beams and will itself play a role in electron conversion to intense X-rays. A full description of the NorthStar target as well as the concept of radiation shielding of the facility can be found in our previous report. The NorthStar irradiation facility is under commissioning now. The goal of the present work is to support the commissioning process by: (1) Studying residual radiation and activation to minimize personnel exposure and inform radiation waste management; (2) Using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) of the irradiated target to ensure the facility design is safe and reliable; and (3) Helping to determine radiation protection requirements during operation. Monte Carlo simulations are used for the analyses. Most of the results are presented as 3D arrays representing spatial distribution of values across simulated geometries: radiation energy depositions, ambient doses, residual isotopes accumulated, and residual doses.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Optimizing Piezoelectric Material Location and Size for Multiple-Mode Vibration Reduction of Turbomachinery Blades

Modern turbomachinery blades have extremely low inherent damping, which can lead to high transient vibrations and failure through high-cycle fatigue. Smart materials enable vibration reduction while meeting strict blade requirements such as weight and aerodynamic efficiency. In particular, piezoelectric-based vibration reduction offers the potential to reduce vibration semi-actively while simultaneously harvesting sufficient energy to power the implementation. The placement and the size of the piezoelectric material is critical to the vibration reduction capabilities of the system. Furthermore, the implementation should target multiple vibration modes. In this study, we develop a procedure to optimize electromechanical coupling across multiple vibration modes for a representative turbomachinery blade with surface-mounted piezoelectric patches. Experimental validation demonstrates good coupling across three targeted modes with a single piezoelectric patch. Placing the piezoelectric material in regions of high signed strain energy for all targeted modes enables vibration reduction across all of the targeted modes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Hardness Prediction by Incorporating Heat Transfer and Molten Pool Fluid Flow in a Multi-pass, Multi-layer Weld for Onsite Repair of Grade 91 steel

Introduction: In the current fleet of fossil-fired power plants, creep strength enhanced ferritic steels (CSEF) are used to sustain the harsh service conditions. Enhanced properties of Grade 91 steel result from tempered martensite with a fine distribution of MX and M23C6 carbides. Grade 91 steel is subjected to onsite welding repair to remedy their degradation due to extreme service condition. Knowledge of weld repairability of these steels, such as as-welded hardness distribution, is essential to establishing sound repair procedures. Experimental trial and error tests can consume a lot of time as many welding variables need to be studied. For numerical modelling, most of the multi-pass multi-layer models are based on finite element method, which are limited to solve the heat conduction equation and ignore convective heat transfer due to melt flow. Moreover, the mesh has to be pre-built based on a known or assumed weld cross-section geometry. These finite element based models thus have limited predictive capability as defects are not considered and nugget size are pre-assumed. This research aims at developing a thermal and microstructure evolution model incorporating molten pool dynamics in a multi-pass multi-layer material deposition to predict the as-welded hardness distribution. Technical Approach: All the thermal, physical, and metallurgical properties of Grade 91 as a function of temperature are collected from the literature and inputted into the thermo-fluid model based on Flow-3D, a computational fluid dynamics software. A multi-pass, multi-layer material deposition is simulated where the melting of filler wire into the molten pool is directly considered based on the volume of fluid (VOF) method. The flow behaviour of the molten pool is used to understand the formation of deposition geometry and defects. The temperature profiles during the multi-pass, multi-layer welding are calculated. The results computed using the new model are compared against the experimental data of fusion zone geometry and thermal cycles. Hardness prediction in the heat-affected zone (HAZ) are made using Johnson-Mehl-Avrami (JMA) equation for solid-state phase transformation kinetics. The JMA parameters are extracted from the experimental data available in the literature. For comparison, a standard finite element heat conduction model is also developed to predict the thermal cycles and hardness distribution in the multi-pass, multi-layer weld. Expected Result: Results obtained using the molten pool dynamic simulation versus the finite element heat conduction model are compared. Specifically, the effects of convective heat transfer on the accuracy of the calculated thermal history, bead shape and size, and HAZ hardness distribution are examined.

Modeling, Grade 91 steel, Multi-pass multi-layer d↗