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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 397 records · Page 22

Regional Medium-Term Hourly Electricity Demand Forecasting Based on LSTM: Preprint

This paper aims to forecast high-resolution (hourly) aggregated load for a certain region in the medium term (a few days to over a year). One region is defined as some places with similar climate characteristics because the climate influences people's daily lifestyles and hence the electric usage. We decompose the electric usage records into two parts: base load and seasonal load. Considering both temperature and time factors, different deep-learning methods are adopted to characterize them. The first goal of our approach is to predict the peak load which is critical for power system planning. Furthermore, our proposed forecast method can provide the depiction of the hourly load profile to provide customized load curves for high-level real-time applications. The proposed method is tested on real-world historical data collected by CAISO, BPA, and PACW. The experimental results show that trained by three years of data, our method could reduce the prediction error for a one-year lead hourly load below 5% MAPE, and predict the occurrence of the peak load for next year in CAISO with an error within three days. Furthermore, as a byproduct, an interesting observation on the impact of COVID-19 on human life was made and discussed based on these case studies.

deep learning↗

Evaluating Electric Vehicle Public Charging Utilization in the United States Using the EV WATTS Dataset: Preprint

The utilization of electric vehicle (EV) charging in the United States is a rapidly evolving puzzle further complicated by changes in travel habits brought on by the global COVID-19 pandemic. The EV WATTS dataset is the largest publicly available dataset on the utilization of EV charging in the United States and provides key insights into the changing patterns of public vehicle charging and vehicle use as EV range increases, commute patterns evolve, and more infrastructure becomes available.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Empowering Women in Biomedical Informatics: Pivoting for Success in the Post-Pandemic World

The COVID-19 pandemic and the isolation measures implemented to contain its spread have exacerbated pre-existing barriers to advancement for women in biomedical informatics. In 2020, the Women in AMIA (WIA) Networking, Mentoring, and Lifecycle Committee administered a survey to identify resources and needs to assist women in informatics. Part of this survey identified several factors impacted by the pandemic: 1) work-life boundaries disappeared and caring for family while working from home became increasingly challenging; 2) isolation, stress and safety of well-being was heightened during the pandemic impacting physical and mental health; 3) diverse working environment and modality brought unforeseen challenges in collaborations and unified communications. These challenges present an opportunity for promoting career development for women professionals in biomedical informatics. This WIA-sponsored panel brings together leaders in the field to highlight their personal experiences and strategies to support women professionals.

Dua, Prerna↗

Identification and Exploration of a Series of SARS-Cov-2 M Pro Cyano-Based Inhibitors Revealing Ortho-Substitution Effects within the P3 Biphenyl Group

Starting from a simple scaffold hopping exercise based on our previous exploration of cysteine protease inhibitors against legumain, compound 6a was identified as a starting point for the development of a SARS-CoV-2 main protease (M Pro ) inhibitor. Compound 6a displayed submicromolar biochemical potency in the ultrasensitive assay developed by Drag and coworkers. Through an iterative structure−activity relationship campaign, we discovered an unexpected improvement in both biochemical and cellular potency through the incorporation of an ortho substituent within the P3 benzamide. X-ray crystallography revealed that incorporation of the ortho substituent caused a subtle but important binding enhancement of the P1 glutamate group within the M Pro S1 pocket. While incorporation of the ortho substituent improved the potency, the off-target selectivity against a panel of cysteine proteases and cell activity remained suboptimal. Further scanning of the P2 core revealed that incorporation of the 3.1.0 proline could address these issues and afford compound 22e, a highly potent and cellularly active M Pro inhibitor.

COVID-19 infection↗

Targeting the Spike Receptor Binding Domain Class V Cryptic Epitope by an Antibody with Pan-Sarbecovirus Activity

Novel therapeutic monoclonal antibodies (MAbs) must accommodate comprehensive breadth of activity against diverse sarbecoviruses and high neutralization potency to overcome emerging variants. Here, in this study, we report the crystal structure of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) receptor binding domain (RBD) in complex with MAb WRAIR-2063, a moderate-potency neutralizing antibody with exceptional sarbecovirus breadth, that targets the highly conserved cryptic class V epitope. This epitope overlaps substantially with the spike protein N-terminal domain (NTD) -interacting region and is exposed only when the spike is in the open conformation, with one or more RBDs accessible. WRAIR-2063 binds the RBD of SARS-CoV-2 WA-1, all variants of concern (VoCs), and clade 1 to 4 sarbecoviruses with high affinity, demonstrating the conservation of this epitope and potential resiliency against variation. We compare structural features of additional class V antibodies with their reported neutralization capacity to further explore the utility of the class V epitope as a pan-sarbecovirus vaccine and therapeutic target.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Nonparametric Inference for the Reproductive Rate in Generalized Compartmental Models

We develop a tractable nonparametric model for the time-varying reproductive rate of infectious diseases that combines the structure of a deterministic compartmental model and a stochastic model for incidence data. We use Bayesian inference to estimate, with uncertainty, the reproductive rate of the Coronavirus 2019 outbreak in the U.S. states of California, Florida, Michigan, New Mexico, New York, and Texas from January 2020 to March 2022. Employing the inferred reproductive rates, we estimate the posterior distribution of the time-varying reproduction numbers for each state. Compering the time-varying reproduction numbers across the states, we identify some epidemic waves, potentially driven from changes in human behavior and virus mutations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

TwoFold: Highly accurate structure and affinity prediction for protein-ligand complexes from sequences

We describe our development of ab initio protein-ligand binding pose prediction models based on transformers and binding affinity prediction models based on the neural tangent kernel (NTK). Folding both protein and ligand, the TwoFold models achieve efficient and quality predictions matching state-of-the-art implementations while additionally reconstructing protein structures. In conclusion, solving NTK models points to a new use case for highly optimized linear solver benchmarking codes on HPC.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

FTR for: Reducing plug-load electricity footprint of residential buildings through low-cost, non-intrusive sub-metering and personalized feedback technology

The project started in October 2016 and ended in December 2022. The project's principal goals and achievements were: (i) Measure real and reactive electric power consumption in ~400 apartments in multifamily settings of varying size and vintage and publish the data; data was published according to New York State's recommended 15x15 rule continuously from Jan 2019 through December 2022 (10 second time resolution); with the combination of large number of apartments, real and reactive power, as well as high time resolution (10-seconds), the dataset is first of its kind worldwide; because the dataset New York City apartment consumption pre, during, and post pandemic, it further offers unique insights into changes in residential electricity consumption during lockdowns and after modified work from home schedules. (ii) Measure effectiveness of different feedback types to prompt residents to lower their electricity consumption; achieved 11% (kWh-weighted) reduction versus baseline consumption; confirmed previous studies that social comparisons elicit above average responses; showed, for the first time, that the so called boomerang effect in power consumption feedback projects can be explained by a previously hypothesized norm-conforming "magnet effect" (rather than a non-conforming defiance effect), thus substantially advancing the research in the field. (iii) Disaggregate apartment-level consumption to appliance level; because the hardware for electricity consumption unexpectedly allowed only for 10-second time resolution (rather than the 1-second resolution we had planned on), the disaggregation algorithms we developed on sample data could not be applied to the actual field data we collected. The project has yielded high visibility, with a total of 17 publications, from peer reviewed journals, published data sets (free access), blog posts, NY Times, National Public Radio, and CNN.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Predicting SARS-CoV-2 Variant Using Non-Invasive Hand Odor Analysis: A Pilot Study

The adaptable nature of the SARS-CoV-2 virus has led to the emergence of multiple viral variants of concern. This research builds upon a previous demonstration of sampling human hand odor to distinguish SARS-CoV-2 infection status in order to incorporate considerations of the disease variants. This study demonstrates the ability of human odor expression to be implemented as a non-invasive medium for the differentiation of SARS-CoV-2 variants. Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) were extracted from SARS-CoV-2-positive samples using solid phase microextraction (SPME) coupled with gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC–MS). Sparse partial least squares discriminant analysis (sPLS-DA) modeling revealed that supervised machine learning could be used to predict the variant identity of a sample using VOC expression alone. The class discrimination of Delta and Omicron BA.5 variant samples was performed with 95.2% (±0.4) accuracy. Omicron BA.2 and Omicron BA.5 variants were correctly classified with 78.5% (±0.8) accuracy. Lastly, Delta and Omicron BA.2 samples were assigned with 71.2% (±1.0) accuracy. This work builds upon the framework of non-invasive techniques producing diagnostics through the analysis of human odor expression, all in support of public health monitoring.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Review of Rattlesnake Venoms

Venom components are invaluable in biomedical research owing to their specificity and potency. Many of these components exist in two genera of rattlesnakes, Crotalus and Sistrurus, with high toxicity and proteolytic activity variation. This review focuses on venom components within rattlesnakes, and offers a comparison and itemized list of factors dictating venom composition, as well as presenting their known characteristics, activities, and significant applications in biosciences. There are 64 families and subfamilies of proteins present in Crotalus and Sistrurus venom. Snake venom serine proteases (SVSP), snake venom metalloproteases (SVMP), and phospholipases A2 (PLA2) are the standard components in Crotalus and Sistrurus venom. Through this review, we highlight gaps in the knowledge of rattlesnake venom; there needs to be more information on the venom composition of three Crotalus species and one Sistrurus subspecies. We discuss the activity and importance of both major and minor components in biomedical research and drug development.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Tracking 2020 Decreases in Carbon Dioxide Due to the COVID19 Pandemic in NASA’s GEOS Modeling system: Implications for Space-Based Carbon Monitoring

The COVID19 pandemic led to abrupt, worldwide changes in human activity and related emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases that are unprecedented in modern times. NASA satellites have demonstrated their ability to observe some of these impacts, particularly in relation to short-lived gases like nitrogen dioxide (NO2), which is emitted primarily from transportation. Bottom-up analyses of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions suggest that the growth of atmospheric CO2 has also slowed, but differences are much more subtle than for NO2 because of the lifetime of atmospheric CO2 and sectoral differences in emission reductions. Estimates of CO2 from NASA’s Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO-2) provide a unique view of COVID19 impacts, but observed changes in the column-average CO2 can be difficult to interpret because of gaps in spatial coverage. Assimilating these data into the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS), an integrated Earth system model with an advanced Constituent Data Assimilation System (CoDAS), helped to reveal changes in CO2 that are consistent with separate, bottom-up analyses of emissions reductions. Both indicate that from February-April of 2020, the growth in CO2 over Europe, North America, and Asia was roughly 0.3 ppm less than during the previous four years. Anomalies derived from gap-filled GEOS OCO-2 CoDAS products contribute to a joint effort by the world’s space agencies to track COVID19 impacts on the Earth. However, attribution of these changes is complicated by interannual variability in atmospheric circulation and the influence of climate on ocean and land carbon sinks. We discuss these results from the perspective of space-based carbon monitoring, which has received considerable support over the past decade from NASA. Our results demonstrate the accomplishments of current sensors and data assimilation systems, but also highlight challenges in providing high quality, low latency information to the public. In particular, understanding and attributing CO2 changes during 2020 requires year-specific information about land and ocean fluxes, which is often delayed for months or even years. We discuss current limitations and potential solutions to address these lags, which would support more reliable and timely space-based carbon monitoring.

COVID-19↗

Tropospheric Ozone Retrieval By A Combination of TROPOMI/S5P Measurements With BASCOE Assimilated Data

We present a new tropospheric ozone dataset based on TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI)/Sentinel-5 Precursor (S5P) total ozone measurements combined with stratospheric ozone data from the Belgian Assimilation System for Chemical ObsErvations (BASCOE) constrained by assimilating ozone observations from the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS). The BASCOE stratospheric data are interpolated to the S5P observations and subtracted from the TROPOMI total ozone data. The difference is equal to the tropospheric ozone residual column from the surface up to the tropopause. The tropospheric ozone columns are retrieved at the full spatial resolution of the TROPOMI sensor (5.5×3.5 km 2 ) with daily global coverage. Compared to the Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications 2 (OMPS-MERRA-2) data, a global mean positive bias of 3.3 DU is found for the analysed period April 2018 to June 2020. A small negative bias of about −0.91 DU is observed in the tropics relative to the operational TROPOMI tropical tropospheric data based on the convective cloud differential (CCD) algorithm throughout the same period. The new tropospheric ozone data (S5P-BASCOE) are compared to a set of globally distributed ozonesonde data integrated up to the tropopause level. We found 2254 comparisons with cloud-free TROPOMI observations within 25 km of the stations. In the global mean, S5P-BASCOE deviates by 2.6 DU from the integrated ozonesondes. Depending on the latitude the S5P-BASCOE deviate from the sondes and between −4.8 and 7.9 DU, indicating a good agreement. However, some exceptional larger positive deviations up to 12 DU are found, especially in the northern polar regions (north of 70∘). The monthly mean tropospheric column and time series for selected areas showed the expected spatial and temporal pattern, such as the wave one structure in the tropics or the seasonal cycle, including a summer maximum, in the mid-latitudes.

Satellite Retrieval↗